Indeks S&P 500
Singkat

The strong bear (Crash) might have started.

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We might have the start of what will become the actionable break for the memorable part of the crash. Although the market has been down-trending for a while, usually the part of the move remembered as the "Crash" is when this steady downtrend transitions into the strong capitulation crash. The 2008 bear started in 2007, but we call 2008 the "Crash".

And the "Crash" might be starting. This big rejection and agreement in the currency markets might mark the start of the crash.

Implied move of the big 161 break.


Based on 2022 trading history, bulls have 0% chance of up week.


Short swing positioning update.

Penafian

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