Indeks S&P 500

SPX's Death Crosses "1 Hour" Little study. Deep & Crazy stuff

445
Small sample to make a big decision on, non the less something that would guide you . Calculation by Excel :
since 2018-2021 we got 12 Death Crosses ( 50d MA crossing down the 200d MA) :
3.76
4.80
5.69
2.47 lowest of all
3.40
5.20
5.85
13.4
4.15
10.29
6.05
2.03

Summary:
Minimum pullback 2.03
Maximum pullback 13.4
Average :5.59
Median : 5

---------------------------
Now for the " Deep & Crazy stuff"
From exact moment of crossing to the bottom
-----------------
0
6
51
0
0
0
106
69
5
92
0
0
36
-----------
0 : means we have already bottom (lagging )
--------------------------------------------------
Minimum : Already bottom lagging signal ( Crossed after the bottom have already placed in)
Maximum: 106 ( 24 days & 1 Hour)
Average: 28 bars.
Median: 5 bars.

Mother of all summaries : 1/ That there is a Median of 5 bars (less than a day) that the bottom is already in !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2 / There is almost a 50 % chance that when the cross happen, it is a time to buy.
3/ The Most risk we will get from just buying at the cross is
A: Average 52 Bars
B: Median: 51 Bars
C: That's just 12 Trading days & 1 Hour.

************************************************HOW INSANE IS THIS*********************************************

wish you the best.

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.