SPX: Eye of The Storm

13 Apr

In a hurricane the EYE of the storm is region of "calm" and even blue skies

To the unaware, the break in the clouds and the blues skies may bring a sense of relief that "the worst is over"

But the informed know that the OTHER SIDE of the storm is coming and the worst has yet to happen

IMO the aforementioned scenario accurately describes what we are about to see in markets

The Administration is slowly backing off the more severe of the tariffs

Over the weekend they removed tariffs on major electronics and associated components coming from China which should bring a sense of relief to markets

We will most likely see continued softening on the worst of the tariffs as the administration grapples with the true reality of things: MARKETS ARE IN TROUBLE

This softening will give the appearance that things will be OK and we may even see markets rally to new ALL TIME HIGHS

But a rally to new ATHs will be akin to the "eye of the storm" as just like with a Hurricane..the other side of the storm is coming

13 Apr

Dagangan aktif

FED will most likely lower rates in May which will contribute to the feeling that "everything will be ok"

14 Apr

Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai

cnbc.com/2025/04/14/trump-tariffs-recession-hassett-insider-trading.html

"Trump aide Hassett says U.S. got ‘amazing’ tariff deal offers, recession ’100% not’ happening"

:)

Remember in March 2007, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke initially stated that the U.S. housing crisis, including the subprime mortgage crisis, was "likely to be contained"?

Time will tell...

21 Apr

Nota

5 hari lalu

Nota

I know this has a lot going on but you can manage :)

The GREEN highlighted AREA is what reeeaaaallllyyy NEEDS TO HOLD for this market to reach new ATHs IMO

Of course all things are possible in markets but for me that area is CRITICAL..lets see

5 hari lalu

Nota

Actually here is a cleaner view