Indeks S&P 500
Panjang

Updated Technical Analysis – SPX500 (15M)

69
Published: June 3, 2025 @ 10:22 PST

🔍 Observations:
🔺 Price Context:
Currently trading at 5,982, right inside the premium + weak high zone

1.382 Fib extension = 5,979.73 has just been tagged

Next Fib levels:

1.618 = 6,000.33

2.0 = 6,034.13 (also long-term resistance target)

🧠 SMC & Liquidity:
BOS confirmed around 5,927

Multiple ChoCHs now invalidated = strength in the up move

Weak high at 5,980 likely acted as a liquidity magnet → now filled

📉 Risk Alert:
Low volume on the final leg up = signs of exhaustion

Price is now above key liquidity zones — perfect for a fake-out or reversal

🔁 Updated Probabilities (Intraday Outlook)
Direction Probability Reason
Bearish Reversal (today) 65% Liquidity sweep + premium zone rejection + volume divergence
Bullish Continuation (toward 6,034) 35% Momentum intact, if breakout holds and is supported by volume spike

🧠 Analyst Note:
"This was the right view, can’t believe I missed it."
— This quote fits perfectly here. The 5,902 zone (equilibrium) acted exactly as intended: a launchpad. Missing the move isn’t the problem — it’s not learning from it that is.

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