🔮 Weekly 
SPY / 
SPX Scenarios for August 4–8, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📦 U.S. Tariffs Finalized as August 7 Deadline Nears
President Trump’s administration confirmed newly finalized tariff rates—ranging from 10% to over 40%—on dozens of countries, set to take effect starting August 7. The announcement has heightened global trade uncertainty and injected volatility into equity markets
📉 Weak Jobs Data Spurs Concern
July’s nonfarm payrolls came in at just 73,000 jobs added, far below expectations, while revisions to May and June data subtracted a combined 258,000 jobs. In response, the administration fired the Bureau of Labor Statistics head, escalating political risk around economic transparency
📈 U.S. Shows Resilience Amid Policy Chaos
Despite the tariff-era turbulence and labor softness, U.S. Q2 GDP rose by 3%—outperforming forecasts. Businesses racked up inventory as a hedge, absorbing initial price shocks. Still, concerns about sustained inflation pressures and waning consumer confidence linger
🎯 Earnings Week Spotlight on Tech & Industrial Names
Major companies reporting include Palantir (Monday), AMD, Uber, Disney, McDonald’s, Gilead, Pfizer, Constellation Energy, and Eli Lilly. Markets will watch for AI signals, consumer demand, and industrial trends
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, August 4
Factory Orders (June) — Critical for industrial demand and trade momentum.
📅 Tuesday, August 5
ISM U.S. Services PMI (July) — Thermometer for expansion in the biggest part of the economy.
S&P U.S. Services PMI (July, flash) — Preliminary signal on service-sector strength.
Trade Balance (June) — Watching for impact of tariffs and shifting cross-border flows.
📅 Thursday, August 7
Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims — Weekly labor-market readings post weak payroll report.
Productivity & Labor Costs (Q2) — Reflect business efficiency and wage trend shifts.
Wholesale Inventories (June) — Key for supply-chain and inventory cycle insights.
Consumer Credit (June) — Measures household borrowing resilience.
📅 Friday, August 8
Fed Speech: St. Louis Fed President Musalem — Market-watchers will look for cues on the near-term rate path.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This weekly outlook is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #tariffs #jobs #earnings #inflation #Fed #technicalanalysis
SPY / SPX Scenarios for August 4–8, 2025 🔮🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📦 U.S. Tariffs Finalized as August 7 Deadline Nears
President Trump’s administration confirmed newly finalized tariff rates—ranging from 10% to over 40%—on dozens of countries, set to take effect starting August 7. The announcement has heightened global trade uncertainty and injected volatility into equity markets
📉 Weak Jobs Data Spurs Concern
July’s nonfarm payrolls came in at just 73,000 jobs added, far below expectations, while revisions to May and June data subtracted a combined 258,000 jobs. In response, the administration fired the Bureau of Labor Statistics head, escalating political risk around economic transparency
📈 U.S. Shows Resilience Amid Policy Chaos
Despite the tariff-era turbulence and labor softness, U.S. Q2 GDP rose by 3%—outperforming forecasts. Businesses racked up inventory as a hedge, absorbing initial price shocks. Still, concerns about sustained inflation pressures and waning consumer confidence linger
🎯 Earnings Week Spotlight on Tech & Industrial Names
Major companies reporting include Palantir (Monday), AMD, Uber, Disney, McDonald’s, Gilead, Pfizer, Constellation Energy, and Eli Lilly. Markets will watch for AI signals, consumer demand, and industrial trends
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, August 4
Factory Orders (June) — Critical for industrial demand and trade momentum.
📅 Tuesday, August 5
ISM U.S. Services PMI (July) — Thermometer for expansion in the biggest part of the economy.
S&P U.S. Services PMI (July, flash) — Preliminary signal on service-sector strength.
Trade Balance (June) — Watching for impact of tariffs and shifting cross-border flows.
📅 Thursday, August 7
Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims — Weekly labor-market readings post weak payroll report.
Productivity & Labor Costs (Q2) — Reflect business efficiency and wage trend shifts.
Wholesale Inventories (June) — Key for supply-chain and inventory cycle insights.
Consumer Credit (June) — Measures household borrowing resilience.
📅 Friday, August 8
Fed Speech: St. Louis Fed President Musalem — Market-watchers will look for cues on the near-term rate path.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This weekly outlook is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #tariffs #jobs #earnings #inflation #Fed #technicalanalysis
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