๐ SPY Macro Wave Outlook โ Bullish Fifth Wave into AI Supercycle?
๐ง WaverVanir DSS | VolanX Protocol | Institutional AI Alignment
The SPY rally appears to be unfolding within a 5-wave macro impulse, currently inside Wave (5) targeting the 670โ787 zone, depending on macro alignment and Fed behavior. This structure converges with long-term Fibonacci clusters and macro transition signals.
๐ Thesis:
Wave (5) in Progress โ Next resistance seen at ~670.33, followed by long-term targets near 787.19.
Pullback Scenario โ A temporary correction into the 597โ600 range is possible before further upside.
Structure Validity โ Channel and Fibonacci extensions confirm bullish continuation unless macro conditions deteriorate sharply.
๐ง Macro Alignment Required:
Fed Pivot Late 2025 โ Probability: 60%
Earnings Growth Led by AI โ 11% projected for S&P500 (GS)
Productivity > Consumption โ AI-led industries showing 5%+ labor productivity growth (Dallas Fed)
Low Inflation Reacceleration Risk โ Core PCE stabilization key
โ ๏ธ Risk Matrix:
Macro Risk Probability Notes
Fed Hawkish Reversal 30% Data-dependent but unlikely unless inflation re-flares
AI Concentration Shock 25% Tech-heavy rally, breadth remains a concern
Valuation Compression 20% Shiller CAPE near 37
Trade War Reignition 15% Tariff risk remains a geopolitical tail
๐ฏ Target Zones:
Near-term: 670.33 (Wave 5 peak)
Medium-term: 714โ787 (Fib clusters)
Correction Zone: 597โ600, invalidation below 525
The AI economy is acceleratingโproductivity is now outpacing consumption in several sectors. This macro regime shift could be the foundation for the next secular bull wave.
๐บ Powered by VolanX Protocol
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. Educational chart generated by institutional DSS models.
#SPY #VolanX #WaverVanir #ElliottWave #MacroTrading #AIProductivity #Fibonacci #FedPivot #USEquities #TradingSignals #SmartMoneyConcepts #InstitutionalStrategy #AIInvesting #SP500
๐ง WaverVanir DSS | VolanX Protocol | Institutional AI Alignment
The SPY rally appears to be unfolding within a 5-wave macro impulse, currently inside Wave (5) targeting the 670โ787 zone, depending on macro alignment and Fed behavior. This structure converges with long-term Fibonacci clusters and macro transition signals.
๐ Thesis:
Wave (5) in Progress โ Next resistance seen at ~670.33, followed by long-term targets near 787.19.
Pullback Scenario โ A temporary correction into the 597โ600 range is possible before further upside.
Structure Validity โ Channel and Fibonacci extensions confirm bullish continuation unless macro conditions deteriorate sharply.
๐ง Macro Alignment Required:
Fed Pivot Late 2025 โ Probability: 60%
Earnings Growth Led by AI โ 11% projected for S&P500 (GS)
Productivity > Consumption โ AI-led industries showing 5%+ labor productivity growth (Dallas Fed)
Low Inflation Reacceleration Risk โ Core PCE stabilization key
โ ๏ธ Risk Matrix:
Macro Risk Probability Notes
Fed Hawkish Reversal 30% Data-dependent but unlikely unless inflation re-flares
AI Concentration Shock 25% Tech-heavy rally, breadth remains a concern
Valuation Compression 20% Shiller CAPE near 37
Trade War Reignition 15% Tariff risk remains a geopolitical tail
๐ฏ Target Zones:
Near-term: 670.33 (Wave 5 peak)
Medium-term: 714โ787 (Fib clusters)
Correction Zone: 597โ600, invalidation below 525
The AI economy is acceleratingโproductivity is now outpacing consumption in several sectors. This macro regime shift could be the foundation for the next secular bull wave.
๐บ Powered by VolanX Protocol
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. Educational chart generated by institutional DSS models.
#SPY #VolanX #WaverVanir #ElliottWave #MacroTrading #AIProductivity #Fibonacci #FedPivot #USEquities #TradingSignals #SmartMoneyConcepts #InstitutionalStrategy #AIInvesting #SP500
Penafian
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Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.