Options Trading for SPY - Bear Spread Oct 17

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I'm setting up a Bear Put Spread on SPY with the following legs:

Buy 630 Put

Sell 620 Put

Expiration: October 18, 2025

Thesis: I'm expecting a bearish move or neutral-to-bearish consolidation over the coming weeks, likely driven by macroeconomic pressure and technical weakness around the 630 level.

Current Price: ~$629.50

Risk/Reward: Defined risk strategy with a maximum loss equal to the net debit paid.

Breakeven Point: $630 – net debit

Max Profit: If SPY closes below $620 at expiration

Max Loss: If SPY closes above $630 at expiration

Technical indicators include:

Price rejection around VWAP

Decreasing OBV during consolidation

RSI divergence suggesting weakening momentum

Watching for further confirmation on breakdown from current levels. Will monitor volume and macro news.

Penafian

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