Lumens has retraced in between the .6 and .618 fib levels, which is to be expected given that lumens tends to retrace to this level from its previous bull runs also. I do believe that the ABC retracement is complete but with BTC's uncertainty, noone can say for sure. The wedge in the image will tell us if a breakout is happening or if another pullback will occur, only time will tell. I would play it safe for now and only buy upon a breakout confirmation, otherwise you can still get lumens for a cheaper price if it pulls back.
Both RSI and MACD have resetted and we've been in a sideway market for the past couple days. Volume is also drying up, which are all signs of a bullish market. I do believe that this is the new floor from the latest bull run, but again... BTC's potential bullrun can ruin this for us. I will be keeping a close watch on lumens as the day progress and will trade accordingly. If a breakout does occur, then I expect our first resistance to be previous ATH, from there it might pull back a bit (as depicted) and then runup to around the 9k satoshi area. Hopefully the major market mover announcement is happening by the end of this month... that would send lumens into stellar space.
Reminder to keep a close eye on BTC's movement on top of lumen's movement! Lumen's bullish movement will stop dead in its track if BTC has a bullish movement of its own... unless Jed hits us with some good news!
Last, this is not, in any shape for form, investment advice. This is just my take on Lumen's chart. Happy investing guys!