SONIC / TETHER
Panjang

SONIC/USDT — Descending Triangle at Key Support!

547
Overview

The daily chart shows a clear medium-term downtrend (well-defined descending trendline) meeting a strong horizontal support zone around 0.25–0.31 USDT (yellow box). Current price ≈ 0.3059 USDT. This structure forms a descending triangle or accumulation range, signaling that the market is in a decision phase — either a bullish breakout or a bearish continuation.

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Key Levels

Current Price: 0.3059

Support Zone: 0.2494 – 0.305 (historical low at 0.2494)

Descending Trendline Resistance: ~0.33–0.35 (dynamic)

Next Resistances: 0.3891, 0.5278, 0.6067, 0.7461, 0.8654, 1.0453

Breakdown Measured Target: ~0.11 (if 0.2494 breaks)


Potential % moves from current price:

To 0.3891 ≈ +27.2%

To 0.5278 ≈ +72.5%

To 0.2494 ≈ −18.5%

To 0.11 ≈ −64%

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Pattern & Interpretation

Main Pattern: Descending trendline + horizontal support = descending triangle (bearish bias unless broken to the upside).

Bearish Signal: Lower highs structure, price still under the descending trendline, supply pressure dominant. A daily close below 0.2494 with high volume = breakdown confirmation.

Bullish Signal: Daily close above the trendline (~0.33–0.35) with strong volume, followed by a successful retest = breakout confirmation. Extra confirmation if price breaks and holds above 0.3891.

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Scenarios

Bullish

1. Break & daily close above trendline (~0.33–0.35) with rising volume.


2. Retest holds as support.


3. Targets: 0.3891 (+~27%), then 0.5278 (+~72%).


4. Stop-loss: below support box (~0.28 or safer < 0.2494).



Bearish

1. Daily close below 0.2494 with strong volume = breakdown.


2. Measured move target ≈ 0.11.


3. Conservative target: psychological zones 0.18–0.15.


4. Stop-loss for shorts: above 0.305–0.33.

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Trading Notes

Conservative Long: Wait for breakout & retest above trendline.

Aggressive Long: Enter near support (0.26–0.30) with tight stop below 0.2494.

Short: Only after confirmed breakdown below 0.2494.

Always watch daily close + volume to avoid false signals.

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Conclusion

Current trend is bearish, but the strong 0.25–0.31 support keeps the possibility of a short-term rebound alive.

Decision point: Breakout above 0.35 → bullish rally, Breakdown below 0.2494 → extended sell-off.

Risk management is key — use stop-losses and position sizing.

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Penafian

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