Swaraj Engines Ltd
Panjang

SWARAJENG - Earnings-Driven Breakout & Retest

55
Technical Overview
Trend: The chart shows a clear upward trend since early 2025. The price consolidated in a tight range for several months before breaking out convincingly.

Breakout: The breakout coincided with a notable spike in volume, indicating strong participation, likely due to robust earnings.

Current Price Action: After the breakout above the 4,313–4,350 resistance zone, the stock surged to fresh highs and is now pulling back, retesting the breakout zone as support.

Technical Setup
Support Levels:

4,350: Recent breakout level, now serving as immediate support.

4,313: Lower boundary of the support zone.

Resistance:

4,490 is the upper part of the breakout zone and the next resistance on upside moves.

Recent high (~4,700): Psychological and technical resistance.

Moving Averages: Price remains above the clustered short-term EMAs, supporting bullish sentiment.

Volume: Heavy buy volume on breakout; lighter volume during the pullback—suggesting selling pressure is mild so far.

Momentum (RSI/TA indicator): Still above the midline, positive but not overbought.

Action Plan

Bullish Scenario:
If price stabilizes and bounces off the 4,313–4,350 support zone—watch for bullish reversal candlesticks (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing).

Entry: Consider long positions if the stock holds above 4,350 with a clear up-day and renewed volume.

Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks and closes below 4,313 on high volume, expect a deeper retracement (watch for next EMA or previous swing lows as possible supports).

Action: Consider tightening stops or reducing long exposure if the support fails.

Neutral/Wait-and-Watch:
If the price moves sideways or in a tight range near support, wait for clear resolution—either a decisive bounce or breakdown.

Penafian

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