After almost a year since I published this short idea for TLT.
The Covid 3n+1 Recession


The first bounce this summer was quickly snuffed out by the uber hawkish Jackson Hole speech from Jerome Powell when he told the world there was more blood to come.
There will be Blood


A lot of bulls and bears have been hung out to dry over this year long bear market.
Bulls waiting for Futures to Open on Sunday


I don't know what every one was smoking this summer thinking Crypto was going to save them from the most difficult bear market since 2008.
When you finally see WYCKOFF lining up with Tether and Bitcoin


A year long bear market that was testing just how much banks learned from the 2008 housing crisis.
Monthly Supply of Houses


Did Jerome Powell actually stave off a global financial crisis.
What is causing a 14% decline in MBS?


The 10Yr yield is rolling over after pointing to 2008 levels.
That's Bait Version 2


I'm not convinced the worst selling is over, but the next month up to Christmas is a seasonly strong period.

Short term volatility may be in for a post thanksgiving pop like last year, but continues to compress into winter regardless of the bad news.
Volatility Compression Footprints


The S&P should be testing the 200D moving average around the time the next CPI prints in Dec.
Where we're going we don't need... inflation


While Volatility lets out the last of the bear market volatility. Skew is not. This should concern anyone with financial assets.
VIX vs SKEW : Still volatility below the surface


Lots of charting ideas coming this Christmas.

* IchanOt believe what I heard today.
* Santa Clause Rally predictions.
* Breaking down what inflation will do next.
* Is reading Gamma a reliable indicator.

In the mean time, have a great Thanksgiving.

If you don't live in Ukraine you have a lot to be thankful for.

Peace and Prosperity are far greater than the Put.
Beyond Technical AnalysisreviewthanksgivingTrend Analysis

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