TON/USDT — Reversal Setup or Deeper Breakdown Ahead?

On the 6D timeframe, TON has reached its most critical level since 2023. After forming a macro top near 8.28, the market shifted into a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows, signaling sustained bearish control.
And now… price has landed directly inside the historical accumulation zone at 1.20 – 1.03 — a golden area that has repeatedly dictated long-term trend direction.

This isn’t just another support zone.
This is a psychological battleground, where major buyers stepped in previously and triggered multi-month rallies.


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🔥 Why the 1.20 – 1.03 Zone Matters So Much

It has served as a macro pivot zone in previous cycles.

Every major uptrend in TON began with accumulation inside this area.

Holding this zone = potential multi-month bullish reversal.

Losing this zone = full transition into a macro bearish cycle.


TON is standing on the edge:
Either it rebounds explosively, or it breaks down toward levels not visited in years.


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📈 Bullish Scenario — “Rebound from the Sacred Zone”

This scenario gains strength if:

1. Price prints a strong reversal inside 1.03–1.20 (pin bar / bullish engulfing).


2. A 6D candle closes back above 1.20 → confirms demand.


3. Breakout above 1.90–2.30 → confirms a macro trend shift.



If confirmed, upside targets are:

First target: 2.30

Expansion target: 3.50

Mid-cycle target: 5.00+


This could mark the beginning of TON’s next bullish cycle — but only with proper confirmation.


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📉 Bearish Scenario — “Freefall Toward Extreme Lows”

Bearish continuation becomes likely if:

1. Price fails to hold the 1.03–1.20 support zone.


2. A 6D candle closes below 1.00 → macro support officially broken.



If breakdown confirms, downside targets become:

0.80

And potentially a retest of 0.60 (the previous flash-low wick).


A clean break below the yellow zone signals the end of TON’s multi-year bullish structure and opens the door for deeper corrective moves.

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TON has entered the most decisive zone of the past two years.
The 1.03–1.20 range will determine whether TON launches a new bullish expansion…
or whether the market continues the strong downtrend toward 0.80–0.60.

The reaction inside this zone will dictate TON’s direction into 2026.



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