The TOTAL3 index, representing the total cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, is displaying a bullish continuation pattern in the form of a bull flag. The market has established a strong uptrend, followed by a consolidation period that appears to be setting up for another leg higher.
Key Technical Observations: The primary trend is decisively bullish, with price action showing a steep ascent from around 600B to 1.14T market cap. The recent consolidation has formed a flag pattern, with parallel downward-sloping lines containing the price action. This type of consolidation after a strong move is typically a continuation pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum may resume. The volume profile during the consolidation appears to be diminishing, which is characteristic of flag patterns and supports the continuation thesis.
Price Targets: Based on the measured move technique for flag patterns, taking the flagpole's height and projecting it from the breakout point, the primary target extends to approximately 1.6T. This projection aligns with the principle that crypto markets often extend previous moves after corrections. The target represents a significant psychological level that could act as a major resistance zone.
Trading Setup: - Entry Conditions: Look for a decisive break above the upper flag boundary at approximately 1.14T, preferably with increased volume - Initial Stop Loss: Place below the lower flag boundary around 1.07T - Take Profit Levels: Primary target at 1.6T, with potential intermediate resistance at 1.3T and 1.4T
Risk Management: - Stop Loss Placement: The tight consolidation pattern allows for a relatively close stop loss, improving the risk-reward ratio - Market Conditions to Watch: Monitor Bitcoin and Ethereum's price action as they can influence the broader market sentiment
Additional Considerations: The current consolidation is occurring at all-time high levels for TOTAL3, suggesting strong underlying strength in the altcoin market. The clean technical pattern, combined with the strategic location of the consolidation, provides a favorable setup for continuation.
Trade Validation: - Bullish Case: A high-volume breakout above 1.14T would confirm the pattern - Invalidation: A decisive break below 1.07T would negate the immediate bullish setup
Market Context: The altcoin market has shown significant strength relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating growing interest in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. This suggests potential capital rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies, which could support the bullish thesis.
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