TSLA is pushing into a major decision zone after a strong multi-day run. The structure is clean: higher highs, higher lows, and a steady grind along the rising trendline. But price is now pressing directly into a heavy supply area that has rejected TSLA multiple times in the past. The next move will be defined by whether buyers can absorb this overhead liquidity.
Structure Overview (1H)
The broader trend remains bullish. Buyers have been in control since reclaiming the $430s, and momentum has carried price straight into the $452–456 supply block — the same zone where sellers previously stepped in aggressively. TSLA is also riding a rising channel, and price is now hovering right at the upper trendline. This is typically where you see either a breakout continuation… or the start of a pullback.
Below, the key demand sits at $445 → $438, with a deeper pocket near $424. These zones align with strong accumulation footprints and are where institutions previously positioned themselves.
Short-Term View (15M)
The 15M chart shows a clean BOS earlier in the day, followed by a controlled consolidation right under resistance. That’s what you usually see before one more push. But the red SMC sell zone overhead is rejecting each attempt to break through — that is the first sign of exhaustion.
You also have a CHoCH forming underneath, meaning the market is hinting at a shift in short-term momentum. If TSLA loses the 15M trendline, that shift becomes official and sellers will have the upper hand.
GEX Outlook for Tomorrow Gamma tells a very simple story:
* Major CALL resistance / positive GEX: $455–$460
* Neutral magnet zone: $448–$452
* PUT support: $445 → $438 → $424
Dealers are positioned in a way that limits clean trending movement unless price escapes these ranges. A push above $456 could squeeze toward $460–462, but rejection here would force price back toward the magnet zone at $448–452.
What I Expect for Dec 5 My outlook leans neutral-to-bearish unless TSLA proves it can break and hold above $456. The move has been extended, momentum is slowing, and we’re sitting at the most crowded liquidity layer on the chart.
If buyers want higher, they must show:
* A clean breakout → retest → hold above $456
* Strong volume through the supply block
* A new BOS on lower timeframes to confirm continuation
If sellers take control:
* Losing the rising trendline opens the door to $448
* Below that, $445 becomes the first real bounce zone
* Deeper pullback targets sit at $438 and $424
Trade Thoughts If bullish: The only setup worth taking is the break and hold above $456, with room toward $460 → $462.
If bearish: The best risk-reward is a rejection play from $454–$456, aligning with the SMC sell zone and GEX resistance. Targets: $448 → $445 → $438 if momentum accelerates.
Avoid taking trades in the middle of the range — that’s where TSLA will chop.
Disclaimer This outlook is for educational purposes only. It reflects personal analysis and opinions based on price action, structure, and GEX data. Always trade your own plan and manage risk carefully.
Structure Overview (1H)
The broader trend remains bullish. Buyers have been in control since reclaiming the $430s, and momentum has carried price straight into the $452–456 supply block — the same zone where sellers previously stepped in aggressively. TSLA is also riding a rising channel, and price is now hovering right at the upper trendline. This is typically where you see either a breakout continuation… or the start of a pullback.
Below, the key demand sits at $445 → $438, with a deeper pocket near $424. These zones align with strong accumulation footprints and are where institutions previously positioned themselves.
Short-Term View (15M)
The 15M chart shows a clean BOS earlier in the day, followed by a controlled consolidation right under resistance. That’s what you usually see before one more push. But the red SMC sell zone overhead is rejecting each attempt to break through — that is the first sign of exhaustion.
You also have a CHoCH forming underneath, meaning the market is hinting at a shift in short-term momentum. If TSLA loses the 15M trendline, that shift becomes official and sellers will have the upper hand.
GEX Outlook for Tomorrow Gamma tells a very simple story:
* Major CALL resistance / positive GEX: $455–$460
* Neutral magnet zone: $448–$452
* PUT support: $445 → $438 → $424
Dealers are positioned in a way that limits clean trending movement unless price escapes these ranges. A push above $456 could squeeze toward $460–462, but rejection here would force price back toward the magnet zone at $448–452.
What I Expect for Dec 5 My outlook leans neutral-to-bearish unless TSLA proves it can break and hold above $456. The move has been extended, momentum is slowing, and we’re sitting at the most crowded liquidity layer on the chart.
If buyers want higher, they must show:
* A clean breakout → retest → hold above $456
* Strong volume through the supply block
* A new BOS on lower timeframes to confirm continuation
If sellers take control:
* Losing the rising trendline opens the door to $448
* Below that, $445 becomes the first real bounce zone
* Deeper pullback targets sit at $438 and $424
Trade Thoughts If bullish: The only setup worth taking is the break and hold above $456, with room toward $460 → $462.
If bearish: The best risk-reward is a rejection play from $454–$456, aligning with the SMC sell zone and GEX resistance. Targets: $448 → $445 → $438 if momentum accelerates.
Avoid taking trades in the middle of the range — that’s where TSLA will chop.
Disclaimer This outlook is for educational purposes only. It reflects personal analysis and opinions based on price action, structure, and GEX data. Always trade your own plan and manage risk carefully.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.