Here we sit near the end of 2017 and the forecast for this year is looking pretty good: "The opportunity to own Tesla at a $20 billion valuation would provide a triple to get up to the $60 billion valuation I am forecasting for the 2017-2018 time frame, so do view any drop in price with the $60 billion likely valuation and compare the risk/reward."
Tesla's market cap has indeed reached the $60 Billion valuation and the bears have been frustrated and the bulls have been too. This big of a company will take time to get momentum for the next leg of the advance when software sales will kick in on their new models of cars and $9000 per pop on the sale of driver-assisted vehicles.
The solar roof will kick in sometime soon, together with the success of the Australian battery installation will likely increase demand for in-home-solar+battery backup sales. The Model-3 is quietly overcoming obstacles which prevent mass-production of vehicles, so once that kicks in we can see some upside. But until the line produces, setbacks will be frequent. The clear need for more capital (read as: TSLA will sell more shares, convertible bonds, bonds, and accept deposits, etc) to continue investing in charging stations, production capacity, build-out of more gigafactories, Tesla Semi-Truck and the luxury 620 mile range Roadster. In the last year, I think I've read over $100 billion of capex has been announced in the EV space with the latest being $40 Billion from Volkswagen. All of this money will drive innovation, adoption, demand and a bigger future for Tesla and for EV in general. Stay tuned, these are exciting times to be alive.
Dec 3, 2017 9:35PM EST