US30 - 2 Day Traders Edge

semalam

📈Technical:
MARKET BIAS: Neutral-Bullish above PIVOT (holding above HVN level, testing resistance)
PIVOT ZONE: 46,205 (Current HVN magnet)

🥇 Traders Edge - Actionable & Tactical

TRADE SETUPS:
🟧 Risk Warning: Core PCE surprise = 200+ point moves
↕️ Bias Flip: Break below 46,100 (bearish) | above 46,450 (bullish)

🟢BULLISH Potential if PIVOT holds -
• Bounce from Pivot area 46300 | 46450
• Stop Loss: 46,050

🔴BEARISH Potential -
• Look for SHORT Entries: Rejections at 46300 and/or below PIVOT @ 46205
• Take Profit: 45900 | 45500 Extended Breakdown
• Stop Loss: Above 46300

🎯KEY LEVELS:
• Strong Resistance: 46,300 | 46,450 | 46,650
• Strong Support: 46,100 | 45,900 | 45,700 | 45,500

🎯PRICE TARGETS:
• Bullish Path: 46,300 → 46,450 → 46,650 (Extended breakout)
• Bearish Path: 46,100 → 45,900 → 45,500 (Extended breakdown)

🚨HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS (48H): (NY Time Zone)
• Sep 25 | 08:30 Core Durable Goods: -0.1% vs 1.1% → Manufacturing health
• Sep 25 | 08:30 GDP Q2 Final: 3.3% vs -0.5% → Growth = equity bullish
• Sep 26 | 08:30 Core PCE MoM: 0.2% vs 0.3% → RATE REPRICING RISK
• Sep 26 | 08:30 Personal Income: 0.3% vs 0.4% → Corporate earnings proxy

🛑 MASTER RISK EVENT
🟧Friday September 26 | 08:30 (NY Time Zone)
🟧 Core PCE Price Index (MoM) - Forecast: 0.2% vs Previous: 0.3%
🟧 Critical Impact: Fed's preferred inflation gauge determines rate path and USD strength
• Gold: Collapse risk if hot print
• Equities: Rate repricing volatility
• Sectors: Tech rotation sensitivity

⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOL
• Reduce position sizes before Friday 08:30 EDT
• USD strength reversals impact Gold heavily
• Tech high beta to rate repricing
• Month-end flows amplify volatility
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Analysis based on Session Volume POC clusters and HVN methodology

6 jam lalu

Nota

📌 US30 Trading Plan - Updated parameter calibration from yesterday

Trader’s Edge:
🎯Dow is parked on a major HVN pivot – watch this zone for a bias flip and momentum shift.

US30 (Dow Jones)

Pivot Zone:
45,900 – 46,000

Bias Flip:
Bullish above 46,000 / Bearish below 45,900

Bearish Targets: 45,600 → 45,200 → 44,800
Bullish Targets: 46,400 → 46,800 → 47,200+

Invalidation: Re-entry back into pivot zone negates bias flip