Strategy: Short US30 from 44,000 to 42,100 – Weekly Trade Plan

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1. Market Overview & Context
US30 (Dow Jones) is recovering but still faces pressure from macroeconomic factors:

U.S. bond yields: The 10-year yield is slightly rising, putting pressure on stocks.
Monetary policy: The Fed maintains a cautious stance on rate cuts, limiting strong market rallies.
Investor sentiment: Signs of profit-taking after the recent rebound.
Given these factors, the strategy of shorting US30 from the 44,000 - 44,484 zone down to 42,100 is highly feasible.

2. Trading Strategy
Entry Point:
Sell in the 44,000 - 44,484 zone, a key resistance area likely to trigger strong selling pressure.
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 44,850, as a break above this level could invalidate the short setup.
Take Profit (TP):
Target 1: 43,664 - 43,765 (Take 50% profit to secure gains).
Target 2: 42,100 - 42,132 (Fully close the trade to capitalize on the expected drop).

Risk Management:
Minimum Risk/Reward (R:R) ratio of 1:3, ensuring an effective trade setup.
Use a trailing stop to maximize profits if the price moves in the desired direction.

Alternative Scenarios
If US30 breaks above 44,850, the short setup is invalid. Wait for a new confirmation signal.
If the price drops quickly to 43,664 before entry, wait for a rebound near 44,000 before shorting again.

Penafian

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