### （1）Significant Pressure on the Supply Side
OPEC+ has a strong expectation to increase production, with some oil-producing countries planning to further raise output in July. Core producers such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have ample idle capacity and can rapidly expand supply. The resurgent production activity of U.S. shale oil enterprises, with an increase in the number of drilling rigs and sustained production growth, has further exacerbated the global crude oil supply glut. Once OPEC+'s production increase plan is implemented, the supply of crude oil in the market will surge. In the absence of a significant improvement in demand, oil prices will inevitably face enormous downward pressure.
### （2）Weak Demand Growth
The global economic recovery has been slow, with economic growth data in some countries and regions falling short of expectations. Sluggish industrial production activities have made it difficult to boost demand for crude oil. The rapid development and widespread application of new energy technologies have also been continuously squeezing the market space for crude oil, as more and more sectors are using clean energy as a substitute for crude oil, leading to limited growth in crude oil demand. In addition, recently released economic data show that the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) in many countries is below the expansion-contraction threshold, indicating that demand for crude oil from industrial production will continue to be weak in the future.
From a technical analysis perspective, crude oil prices face strong resistance in the $62-$62.50 range, with the price repeatedly encountering resistance and falling back in this area in the past. The current price is approaching this resistance zone, and if it fails to break through effectively, the price is highly likely to reverse and decline. At the same time, the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, with short-term moving averages suppressing long-term ones. Technical indicators such as MACD and KDJ also suggest a downward trend in prices, further validating the possibility of shorting.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL SELL62~62.5
SL:63.5
TP:61~61.5
OPEC+ has a strong expectation to increase production, with some oil-producing countries planning to further raise output in July. Core producers such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have ample idle capacity and can rapidly expand supply. The resurgent production activity of U.S. shale oil enterprises, with an increase in the number of drilling rigs and sustained production growth, has further exacerbated the global crude oil supply glut. Once OPEC+'s production increase plan is implemented, the supply of crude oil in the market will surge. In the absence of a significant improvement in demand, oil prices will inevitably face enormous downward pressure.
### （2）Weak Demand Growth
The global economic recovery has been slow, with economic growth data in some countries and regions falling short of expectations. Sluggish industrial production activities have made it difficult to boost demand for crude oil. The rapid development and widespread application of new energy technologies have also been continuously squeezing the market space for crude oil, as more and more sectors are using clean energy as a substitute for crude oil, leading to limited growth in crude oil demand. In addition, recently released economic data show that the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) in many countries is below the expansion-contraction threshold, indicating that demand for crude oil from industrial production will continue to be weak in the future.
From a technical analysis perspective, crude oil prices face strong resistance in the $62-$62.50 range, with the price repeatedly encountering resistance and falling back in this area in the past. The current price is approaching this resistance zone, and if it fails to break through effectively, the price is highly likely to reverse and decline. At the same time, the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, with short-term moving averages suppressing long-term ones. Technical indicators such as MACD and KDJ also suggest a downward trend in prices, further validating the possibility of shorting.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL SELL62~62.5
SL:63.5
TP:61~61.5
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.