xiiimik asked:
About the last point, why do you think so?
My answer:
The usual chain of events is to see a retracement at the beginning of any new period before the actual commencement of the original move or a reversal of it.
Continuations prior to retracements have one of 2 reasons:
1. A very strong move that produces Marubozu or opening Marubozu candles for the period (so in this case on the weekly chart)
2. A bull/bear trap
So when I go to the weekly chart and I look at last week's candle, I'm not expecting option 1 to happen because the momentum is still at the beginning and there s nothing to drive such a strong move. If things develop, then I will adapt with the new events
Good luck