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Volatility - Nothing New Under The Sun

Idea for Volatility:
- Wyckoff Cycle Mapped.
- Wave Frequencies synced.
- Cause and Effect determined.

- Greater Cycle:
syot kilat

- Bonds Volatility looks ready:
syot kilat

- China Credit Impulse turns negative, consequently the global credit impulse turns negative.
- Liquidity Flow: Credit > Bonds/Currencies > Commodities > Stocks.

Fighting the Fed:
- Reading the Curve:
Macro - Reading The Curve


- Data Suppression:
syot kilat

- Volatility Suppression:
syot kilat

- DXY is in a rising Trend:
syot kilat

- Decision point for the Dollar:
syot kilat

- Dollar is goosed, but Yen seems to be telling, as the Yen is seen as a haven currency and AUD is correlated to inflation:
syot kilat

- Yuan is very telling for the global economy:
syot kilat

- Bond yields (CN & US) are telling:
syot kilat

- Forecast suggests a Volatility spike this summer.
- It is likely that a greater explosion in Volatility will follow... speculating the date to be September Quad Witching 2022 (September 16, 2022).

It's Black Swan season... Look out for them, but they are never the cause. It is all about the Credit Cycle.

GLHF
- DPT
Dagangan aktif
Speculating sizable volatility spike this summer, Fed enacts YCC/MMT/CBDCs for the bull trap, and the real volatility between Q4 2021-2022, looking at the relationship between SPX YoY returns trailing the Global Credit Impulse by about 12 months.
Dagangan aktif
Wave 3 speculated for Nov. 30, 2021, Wave 5 speculated for Dec. 17, 2022.
Dagangan aktif
COVID Evolutionary Curve confirms move:
Black Swan - Delta Variant
Dagangan aktif
VIX Contango suggests a big move building up: syot kilat
Dagangan aktif
Oversold, similar conditions to 2008 > 2010: syot kilat
Dagangan aktif
Wave 1 speculate by mid-July:
Volatility - VIX Wyckoff Accumulation
Dagangan aktif
We are going to see a lot of bad events globally to 2023, not as catalysts for the market, but the other way around. Buckle up.

Penafian