XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE — APRIL 30, 2025

30 Apr

Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution.

📍 What Happened:
🔻 3315–3325 SELL → Perfect rejection → Drop of 200+ pips

🔁 Retest at 3314 → Confirmed OB rejection zone

❌ 3284–3288 BUY → Invalidated, BOS clean

✅ 3260–3270 BUY → Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount → Delivered bounce

👁‍🗨 Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1):
3315–3325 = Decision zone
 → Break = bullish reversal
 → Rejection = new short trigger

3260–3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation

3252–3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails

3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news

🧠 Current Bias:
🔸 HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH → bearish-leaning

🔹 LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips

🎯 Bias: Neutral-bearish → shifting bullish only above 3325

📊 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:

Zone Type Level(s) Commentary
🔻 Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift
🔻 Flip Zone 3315–3320 Must flip to validate bulls
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 Last OB rejection
⚖️ Mid Zone 3286–3292 Retest structure, weak
✅ Support 3260–3270 Confirmed bounce zone
🟩 Demand 3252–3244 Next high-conviction buy zone
🟢 Discount 3220–3235 Long-term OB zone
🟢 Discount 3192–3205 Extreme discount + FVG
🗓️ MACRO FOR MAY 1:
🗣️ 15:30 Trump Speech

📉 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K)

🏭 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI

🏭 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices

⚠️ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms — not before.

🎯 Final Note:
If 3315–3325 breaks cleanly → we’re heading to 3350 / 3385.
If it holds → we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision.

This is not a place to guess. It’s where real traders wait.

—

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Drop a 🧠 if this structure helped you.
🔥 Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.

1 Mei

Dagangan aktif

🟨 XAUUSD Market Update – May 1, 2025
"We’re Not Bouncing—We’re Building Pressure. Gold’s Got Plans 🧠✨"

🔻 MACRO FOCUS – Big Day Ahead:

🇺🇸 Trump Speech @ 15:30 – Eyes on USD volatility if Powell is criticized or dollar policy is mentioned.

🧾 Unemployment Claims @ 15:30 – Forecast 224K (prev. 222K); watch for a soft print to ignite a gold spike.

🏭 Final Manufacturing PMI @ 15:45

📉 ISM Manufacturing PMI @ 17:00 (Forecast: 48.0 vs. Prev: 49.0)

💰 ISM Prices @ 17:00 – Key inflation driver.

🔍 STRUCTURAL REVIEW (H1–H4 Confluence):
🟢 Current Price: ~3222

Bearish market structure remains intact with clear LHs and fresh LLs. Price rejected hard from 3315–3325 key supply, confirming the "liquidity shelf" as real and hostile.

📉 Trendline pressure + premium rejections + CHoCHs = bearish flow intact.
📊 EMAs still in bearish cross on H1/H4; RSI also failed to diverge on recent low.

🔵 Key Levels To Watch
🔹 Level ⚙️ Description
3385 Major premium rejection pivot (mid-April)
3350 Target if 3315 breaks cleanly (low probability today)
3325–3315 🔥 Top liquidity shelf – very strong rejection today
3292 Previous bounce zone – now invalid
3260–3270 ⚠️ Key support zone – last bounce originated here
3220–3235 🔄 Current flip zone – price testing this area now
3180–3200 🧊 Unmitigated zone – expect reaction here if drop continues
3150–3170 Final daily discount zone for today’s range

👀 EYES ON:
If 3315–3325 holds, expect downside continuation toward 3260 and below.

If 3220–3235 holds as support → potential short squeeze toward 3280–3310.

If 3260 fails = momentum opens door to 3180, and even 3150 zone.

Flip zone near 3220–3235 is today’s intraday battleground — how price reacts here will set the NY direction.

✅ WHAT REMAINS VALID FROM YESTERDAY:
✅ Sell rejection from 3315 = confirmed ✔

✅ Target zone 3272 = HIT (TP2) ✔

❌ 3292 bounce zone = invalidated ❌

🔁 New intraday support forming near 3220–3225, but not confirmed yet.

🔥 All sell-side pressure zones held firm — premium supply remains dominant.

⚠️ Daily Bias: Bearish, unless 3225 flips cleanly.
🧠 Reminder: Structure leads, emotions mislead. Don’t chase fake breakouts, wait for your sniper zone confirmation.

🔚 Final Thought: Big news day + macro tension = potential breakout in either direction. Let price show its hand — not your ego.