Gold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish momentum recently, reaching an all-time high of $3,085.345. However, there are clear signs of bearish divergence forming across the daily, 1-hour, and 15-minute timeframes, suggesting the bullish momentum may be weakening.
Technical Breakdown:
๐ Daily Chart (1D)
Price is making higher highs.
RSI is making lower highs โ a classic bearish divergence.
RSI currently at 73.87, in the overbought zone, indicating exhaustion.
๐ 1-Hour Chart (1H)
Similar structure: price climbing while RSI is trending downward.
RSI around 62.27, showing divergence from the new highs in price action.
๐ 15-Minute Chart (15M)
Intraday bearish divergence continues.
Price is riding an upward trendline, while RSI forms lower highs.
If the trendline breaks, it could lead to a swift correction.
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Trade Idea:
If price breaks below the $3,070โ$3,060 support zone (trendline on lower timeframes), we could see a pullback toward the following levels:
๐ Target 1: $3,032
๐ Target 2: $3,003
๐ Target 3: $2,980 (Previous consolidation area)
๐ Stop Loss: Above the recent high at $3,090
Conclusion:
While the macro trend is bullish, the confluence of RSI bearish divergence across multiple timeframes hints at a potential short-term reversal or correction. Risk management is key as Gold remains fundamentally strong.
Let the price action confirm the divergence via a breakdown before entering a short position.
Technical Breakdown:
๐ Daily Chart (1D)
Price is making higher highs.
RSI is making lower highs โ a classic bearish divergence.
RSI currently at 73.87, in the overbought zone, indicating exhaustion.
๐ 1-Hour Chart (1H)
Similar structure: price climbing while RSI is trending downward.
RSI around 62.27, showing divergence from the new highs in price action.
๐ 15-Minute Chart (15M)
Intraday bearish divergence continues.
Price is riding an upward trendline, while RSI forms lower highs.
If the trendline breaks, it could lead to a swift correction.
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Trade Idea:
If price breaks below the $3,070โ$3,060 support zone (trendline on lower timeframes), we could see a pullback toward the following levels:
๐ Target 1: $3,032
๐ Target 2: $3,003
๐ Target 3: $2,980 (Previous consolidation area)
๐ Stop Loss: Above the recent high at $3,090
Conclusion:
While the macro trend is bullish, the confluence of RSI bearish divergence across multiple timeframes hints at a potential short-term reversal or correction. Risk management is key as Gold remains fundamentally strong.
Let the price action confirm the divergence via a breakdown before entering a short position.
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Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.