Gold Market In-Depth Analysis

3 hari lalu

Gold Market In-Depth Analysis | A wave of "downtrading" sweeps across the market, poised for a breakout in gold prices

1. A New Market Paradigm: The Rise of the "Downtrading"
A recent report from JPMorgan Chase indicates that retail investors, driven by fear of missing out (FOMO), are pouring into alternative assets like gold, creating a "downtrading" trend. Driving factors include:

🛡️ Heightened geopolitical and policy uncertainty

💸 Concerns about "debt devaluation" and government deficits

🌍 Declining confidence in fiat currencies in emerging markets

🔄 Global assets shift away from the US dollar toward diversified allocations

II. Capital Flows and Market Structure
ETF demand explodes

GLD, the world's largest gold ETF, saw a record inflow of 35.2 tons in September

A single-day inflow of 18.9 tons was a record high, indicating accelerated capital inflows

Central bank gold purchases have become normalized

Global official gold reserves have increased by over 1,000 tons per year for three consecutive years

Gold has surpassed the euro to become the second-largest reserve asset

Speculative positions still have room to grow

CFTC speculative holdings are below their 2016 peak

ETF holdings remain far from their 2020 high, suggesting significant potential for incremental capital

III. Technical Analysis: A shakeout or a reversal? Key Levels
🟢 Support: 3840-3850 (bull-bear watershed) → 3820-3830 (strong support zone)
🔴 Resistance: 3890-3900 (previous high pressure zone)

Trend Analysis
The 4-hour chart shows wide range fluctuations at high levels. Yesterday's sharp drop was more of a wash-out than a trend reversal. Bulls have repeatedly reclaimed 3850 and tested its validity, maintaining the overall bullish trend.📊

IV. Trading Strategy and Risk Control
🎯 Main Strategy: Bullish with a volatile outlook, choose opportune positions

Long Position: Enter the 3860-3855 area, stop-loss at 3848, target 3870 (reduce position) → 3900 (hold if breakout)

Alternative Plan: If the market stabilizes at 3820-3830, re-enter long positions.

Risk Control Warning: A significant break below 3820 indicates short-term weakness, with a target of 3790-3800.

V. Forward Guidance
Data Focus: Another surprise in tonight's ADP and non-farm payroll data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut.

Breakthrough Signal: If gold prices stabilize at 3900, a new round of upside will begin. 🚀

Silver Linkage: Silver's bullish momentum is strong and may attract wider retail participation.

The "depreciation trade" trend is gaining momentum, and the foundation for a structural bull market in gold is solid! Seize the opportunity to layout after the market shakeout and follow the trend to win 💎

3 hari lalu

Dagangan aktif

📈 Gold prices have retreated after breaking through the 3900 mark, leaving the overall bullish trend intact! The current price is finding buying support at the key support zone of 3870-3865, and the 4-hour moving average is bullish, a typical buildup pattern before a breakout.

🎯 Core Trading Strategy
🔶 Long Position Layout

Entry Zone: 3870-3866 (Buy Positions in Phases)
Risk Control: Stop-loss at 3858 (Strict 8-point Risk Control)
Target Range: 3884 (Initial Profit Take) → 3900 (Breakout Hold)

🌟 Strategic Advantages

Excellent risk-reward ratio, with potential upside of 20-30 points
Relying on key technical support, precise entry points
Follow the main trend and follow the trend

💡 Market Logic

Gold prices are consolidating healthily below the 3900 mark
3870-3865 represents the previous breakout turning point, offering strong support
Pullbacks during a bullish trend are good entry opportunities

⚠️ Risk Control Reminder
Strictly set stop-loss orders. If the price unexpectedly falls below 3858, it indicates short-term weakness and requires a reassessment of the trend.
🚀 Follow professional strategies and seize the last opportunity to enter before the breakout! Like and follow to get more real-time trading signals!

3 hari lalu

Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai

[This Week's Gold Strategy Concludes Perfectly | Long Orders Accurately Hit the 3886 Target, Weekend Position Management Reminder]
🎉 Successful Results: Our gold long orders placed in the 3870-3866 range have now perfectly reached our first target of 3886, capturing a 16-20 pip profit! Congratulations to everyone who followed along and secured your last trade of the week!

📊 Strategy Review:
✅ Adhere to the core strategy of "buy on pullbacks"
✅ Accurately grasp the key support levels of 3870-3865
✅ Strictly implement the 8-point risk control discipline
✅ Perfectly achieve the target level of 3884

🔔 Weekend Trading Reminder:

We recommend closing all positions opened this week to lock in profits.

If you still hold any remaining positions (such as long positions at high levels/short positions against the trend)
→ Please send me a private message immediately to receive a dedicated [Unwinding Solution]
→ We will customize a personalized risk control strategy for you over the weekend.

📈 Next Week's Strategies:

Watch for momentum to break through the 3900 mark, lock in pullback long opportunities in advance, and institutional-level non-farm payroll market strategies are being planned.

✨ Exclusive Benefits:
Leave a comment "Next Week's Strategies" and follow the account to receive:
① Weekend Gold Position Analysis Report
② Next Week's Key Point Forecast Chart
③ Non-farm Payroll Market Preview Strategies

Follow our homepage for a guaranteed [Weekend Position Solutions] every Friday! Let us continue to ride the waves together next week.