Fearless Bulls, Straight-Line Rise – But Mean Reversion Calls

8 Sep

Last week Gold bulls were fearless – we witnessed three all-time highs within a single trading week. The market closed on Friday just below 3600, locking in an impressive 1,500 pips weekly gain. There is no doubt: the trend remains firmly bullish.

But let’s add some perspective. Even if XAUUSD were to drop 1,000 pips from current levels, that move would count as a minor correction within the dominant bullish trend. That’s how extended this rally has become.

📌 Another element supporting the correction scenario is the parabolic nature of the latest move. From the 3300 zone, the rally has been almost a straight vertical line, leaving gold strongly overextended and far away from the mean. Markets rarely sustain such deviation without at least a temporary pullback.

🔑 Trading Plan: While acknowledging the risks of counter-trend setups, I will look for short opportunities. In my view, there is more room to the downside than upside in the short term.

Target for correction: 3530 confluence support zone.

As always, the trend is still bullish, but corrections are part of the game. A disciplined trader must know when to step aside – and when to take the contrarian shot. 🚀

8 Sep

Dagangan ditutup: hentian tercapai

Stop loss reached; however, my idea is unchanged.
I still believe that Gold will correct strongly.

Looking to re-enter sell on signs of weakness