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XRP/USD Short Trade Setup Analysis (9H Timeframe - Bitstamp)

949
๐Ÿ”น Current Setup:

- ๐Ÿ“ˆ XRP experienced a strong move upward following ETF news but is now approaching major resistance.
- ๐Ÿ”น Price is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $2.66, aligning with the descending channel's resistance.
- ๐Ÿ“‰ Given the broader bearish trend, a rejection from this level could trigger a strong downside move.

- ๐Ÿ“ Key Resistance Levels (Potential Rejection Zones):
- ๐ŸŽฏ $2.87 (0.764 Fibonacci retracement & upper channel resistance)
- ๐ŸŽฏ $3.21 (Full Fibonacci retracement, invalidation level for bears)
- ๐Ÿ“ Key Support Levels:
- โ— $2.48 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)
- ๐Ÿ”ป $2.36 (0.382 Fib retracement)
- ๐Ÿ“‰ Deeper Target: $1.36 - $1.40 XRP (Projected based on Fibonacci extensions & channel breakdown)

๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play)
- ๐ŸŸข Entry: Above $2.87 (If price breaks above 0.764 Fib)
- ๐ŸŽฏ Take Profit 1: $3.21 (Full retracement level)
- ๐ŸŽฏ Take Profit 2: $3.50+ (Potential bullish expansion)
- ๐Ÿ”ด Stop Loss: Below $2.66

โœ… Justification:
- ๐Ÿ”น If price breaks and holds above $2.87, the bearish structure could be invalidated.
- ๐Ÿ”น Momentum from the ETF-driven rally might fuel another leg up beyond $3.00.
- ๐Ÿ”น A strong breakout above $3.21 would confirm a bullish reversal.

๐Ÿ“‰ Bearish Scenario (Primary Expectation)
- โŒ Invalidation Level: Above $3.21
- ๐Ÿ”ป Downside Targets:

- $2.48: 0.5 Fibonacci retracement
- $2.36: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement
- $1.76: Key structure support
- $1.36 - $1.40 XRP: Final bearish target (0.272 Fib extension & channel bottom)

โœ… Justification:
- โ— Price remains within a descending channel, signaling a continuation of the downtrend.
- โ— The ETF-driven pump appears to be a liquidity grab, leading to a likely reversal.
- โ— A rejection from $2.66 - $2.87 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting the lower support zones.

โšก Key Takeaways:
- ๐Ÿ”น XRP is facing strong resistance at $2.66 - $2.87, a likely rejection zone.
- ๐Ÿ”น A breakdown below $2.48 increases bearish pressure, targeting $1.40 XRP.
- ๐Ÿ”น Bearish bias remains unless price breaks & holds above $3.21.
- ๐Ÿ”น Expect price to follow the descending channel structure toward $1.36 - $1.40.

Dagangan aktif
So far so good. Breaking below a key support
Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai
1.6 target hit. expecting lower

Penafian

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