Liquidity-Weighted Business Cycle (Satoshi Global Base)

5 hari lalu

🌍 BTC-Affinity Global Liquidity Business Cycle (MACD Model)

This indicator models Bitcoin’s macroeconomic business cycle using a BTC-weighted global liquidity index as its foundation. It adapts a MACD-based framework to visualize expansions and contractions in fiat liquidity across major economies with high Bitcoin affinity.

🔍 What It Does:

🧠 Constructs a Global M2 Liquidity Index from the top 10 most BTC-relevant fiat currencies
(USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, INR, CNY, KRW, BRL, CAD, AUD)
— each weighted by its Bitcoin adoption score and FX-converted into USD.

📊 Applies a MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) signal to the index to detect macro liquidity trends.

🟢 Plots a histogram of business cycle momentum (red = expansion, green = contraction).

🔴 Marks potential cycle peaks, useful for macro trading alignment.

⚖️ BTC Affinity-Weighted Countries:

🇺🇸 United States

🇪🇺 Eurozone

🇯🇵 Japan

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

🇮🇳 India

🇨🇳 China

🇰🇷 South Korea

🇧🇷 Brazil

🇨🇦 Canada

🇦🇺 Australia

Weights are user-adjustable to reflect evolving capital controls, regulation, and real-world BTC adoption trends.

✅ Use Cases:

Confirm macro risk-on vs risk-off regimes for BTC and crypto.

Identify ideal entry and exit zones in macro pair trades (e.g., MSTR vs MSTY).

Monitor how global monetary expansion feeds into BTC valuations.

14 jam lalu

Nota Keluaran

BTC-Affinity Global Liquidity Business Cycle (MACD Model)

This indicator models Bitcoin’s macroeconomic business cycle using a BTC-weighted global liquidity index as its base. It adapts a MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) framework to highlight expansions and contractions in fiat liquidity across major economies with high Bitcoin adoption.

How It Works

Global Liquidity Index: Builds a composite M2 money supply index from 10 key fiat economies (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, INR, CNY, KRW, BRL, CAD, AUD). Each is converted into USD using FX rates and weighted by a Bitcoin Affinity Score, which reflects adoption levels and regulatory stance.

MACD Application: Applies the MACD calculation to the liquidity index to detect turning points in global monetary conditions.

Momentum Histogram: Plots cycle momentum as a histogram. Positive values indicate liquidity expansion; negative values show contraction.

Cycle Signals: Marks potential cycle peaks and troughs that can be used for long-term macro trading alignment.

Bitcoin Affinity Weighting

The following countries/regions are included by default:

United States

Eurozone

Japan

United Kingdom

India

China

South Korea

Brazil

Canada

Australia

Weights are user-adjustable, allowing the indicator to reflect evolving regulation, capital flows, and adoption trends.

How to Use

Macro Regime Confirmation: Identify risk-on versus risk-off conditions for Bitcoin and crypto markets.

Cycle Timing: Spot ideal entry/exit zones in macro-sensitive trades (for example, MSTR vs MSTY).

Liquidity Tracking: Monitor how global monetary expansion or contraction influences Bitcoin valuations.

This indicator is designed for traders who want to connect global liquidity conditions with Bitcoin’s business cycle in a structured, data-driven way.

Please consider adjusting the weights based on real-time data.

14 jam lalu

Nota Keluaran

BTC-Affinity Global Liquidity Business Cycle (MACD Model)

This indicator models Bitcoin’s macroeconomic business cycle using a BTC-weighted global liquidity index as its base. It adapts a MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) framework to highlight expansions and contractions in fiat liquidity across major economies with high Bitcoin adoption.

How It Works

Global Liquidity Index: Builds a composite M2 money supply index from 10 key fiat economies (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, INR, CNY, KRW, BRL, CAD, AUD). Each is converted into USD using FX rates and weighted by a Bitcoin Affinity Score, which reflects adoption levels and regulatory stance.

MACD Application: Applies the MACD calculation to the liquidity index to detect turning points in global monetary conditions.

Momentum Histogram: Plots cycle momentum as a histogram. Positive values indicate liquidity expansion; negative values show contraction.

Cycle Signals: Marks potential cycle peaks and troughs that can be used for long-term macro trading alignment.

Bitcoin Affinity Weighting

The following countries/regions are included by default:

United States

Eurozone

Japan

United Kingdom

India

China

South Korea

Brazil

Canada

Australia

Weights are user-adjustable, allowing the indicator to reflect evolving regulation, capital flows, and adoption trends.

How to Use

Macro Regime Confirmation: Identify risk-on versus risk-off conditions for Bitcoin and crypto markets.

Cycle Timing: Spot ideal entry/exit zones in macro-sensitive trades (for example, MSTR vs MSTY).

Liquidity Tracking: Monitor how global monetary expansion or contraction influences Bitcoin valuations.

This indicator is designed for traders who want to connect global liquidity conditions with Bitcoin’s business cycle in a structured, data-driven way.

Best used on the weekly time period