NeuroTrend

NeuroTrend is an advanced, self-adjusting trend analysis system that continuously adapts to changing market conditions using volatility-aware smoothing, momentum weighting, and intelligent trend classification. It provides real-time trend detection, confidence scoring, early reversal warnings, and slope projection, all delivered through a coaching dashboard and structured rule-based commentary system.

At its core, NeuroTrend uses two EMAs whose smoothing lengths change automatically based on current volatility, measured by the ATR relative to price, and momentum bias, measured by RSI displacement from the neutral level. These adaptive EMAs create a flexible baseline that adjusts to the pace of the market. From these EMAs, the system calculates angular slope and derives a slope power score, which reflects directional momentum weighted by volatility.

NeuroTrend classifies each bar into one of five market phases: Impulse, Cooling, Reversal Risk, Stall, or Neutral. This classification is based on slope strength, slope variability, and RSI behavior. Each phase offers specific context for whether to enter, continue, or avoid a position.

The indicator uses what is referred to as a neural memory engine, which is inspired by the idea of memory but is not a neural network or machine learning model. Instead, it is a statistical recalibration system that adjusts thresholds using recent ATR conditions and slope standard deviation. This allows the indicator to remain aligned with the current market environment without the need for manual tuning.

Although NeuroTrend is fully adaptive, it includes inputs for the base fast and slow EMAs. These inputs define the central anchor points around which the adaptive logic operates. This gives the trader the ability to control the default behavior of the indicator while still benefiting from real-time responsiveness to volatility and momentum.

To assess the strength of a trend, NeuroTrend computes a confidence score based on four elements: DMI trend strength, directional bias from DI+ and DI–, slope normalization, and volatility efficiency measured by ATR in relation to EMA distance. This score is used to inform alerts, commentary, and dashboard visualization.

The indicator also includes a slope projection engine that estimates near-term direction based on slope change and acceleration. This projection is scaled and clamped using a dynamic volatility factor to prevent unrealistic or unstable values.

Reversal and stall detection are built in. Reversal detection is based on slope collapsing, sign flipping, and RSI weakness. Stall detection is triggered when slope magnitude is low, RSI is flat, and ATR is compressed. These filters help prevent entries in low-quality or high-risk environments.

The system also includes AI-style commentary. This feature is not powered by machine learning or natural language processing. It is rule-based, using prioritized conditions to generate clear statements that reflect the current market state. Messages such as "Strong trend forming" or "Reversal risk rising" are created by predefined logic that adapts to the market.

A visual dashboard is provided on the chart. It displays the current phase, trend direction, slope score, confidence level, reversal status, stall condition, and projected slope angle. This helps traders interpret market behavior at a glance without scanning multiple indicators.

Alerts are triggered only when specific conditions are met: trend strength must be in the impulse phase, confidence must be high, and there must be no active reversal or stall conditions. This ensures alerts are reserved for high-quality setups with strong directional alignment.

Disclaimer:

This script is intended for educational and informational use only. It does not constitute financial advice. The author accepts no responsibility for any trading or investment decisions made using this tool. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making financial decisions.