Triad Macro Gauge

Introduction
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The Triad Macro Gauge (TMG) is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment impacting financial markets. By synthesizing three critical market signals—VIX (volatility), Credit Spreads (credit risk), and the Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT)—this indicator offers a probabilistic assessment of market sentiment, helping traders identify bullish or bearish macro conditions.
- Holistic Macro Analysis: Combines three distinct macroeconomic indicators for multi-dimensional insights.
- Customization & Flexibility: Adjust weights, thresholds, lookback periods, and visualization styles.
- Visual Clarity: Dynamic table, color-coded plots, and anomaly markers for quick interpretation.
- Fully Consistent Scores: Identical values across all timeframes (4H, daily, weekly).
- Actionable Signals: Clear bull/bear thresholds and volatility spike detection.
Optimized for timeframes ranging from 4 hour to 1 week, the TMG equips swing traders and long-term investors with a robust tool to navigate macroeconomic trends.
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Key Indicators
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- VIX (CBOE:VIX): Measures market volatility (negatively weighted for bearish signals).
- Credit Spreads (FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2EY): Tracks high-yield bond spreads (negatively weighted).
- Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT): Evaluates equity sentiment relative to treasuries (positively weighted).
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Originality and Purpose
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The TMG stands out by combining VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT into a single, cohesive indicator. Its unique strength lies in its fully consistent scores across all timeframes, a critical feature for multi-timeframe analysis.
Purpose: To empower traders with a clear, actionable tool to:
- Assess macro conditions
- Spot market extremes
- Anticipate reversals
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How It Works
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- VIX Z-Score: Measures volatility deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
- Credit Z-Score: Tracks credit spread deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
- Ratio Z-Score: Assesses SPY/TLT strength (positively weighted for bullish signals).
- TMG Score: Weighted composite of z-scores (bullish > +0.30, bearish < -0.30).
- Anomaly Detection: Identifies extreme volatility spikes (z-score > 3.0).
All calculations are performed using daily data, ensuring that scores remain consistent across all chart timeframes.
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Visualization & Interpretation
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The script visualizes data through:
- A dynamic table displaying TMG Score, VIX Z, Credit Z, Ratio Z, and Anomaly status, with color gradients (green for positive, red for negative, gray for neutral/N/A).
- A plotted TMG Score in Area, Histogram, or Line mode, with adaptive opacity for clarity.
- Bull/Bear thresholds as horizontal lines (+0.30/-0.30) to signal market conditions.
- Anomaly markers (orange circles) for volatility spikes.
- Crossover signals (triangles) for bull/bear threshold crossings.
The table provides an immediate snapshot of macro conditions, while the plot offers a visual trend analysis. All values are consistent across timeframes, simplifying multi-timeframe analysis.
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Script Parameters
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Extensive customization options:
- Symbol Selection: Customize VIX, Credit Spreads, SPY, TLT symbols
- Core Parameters: Adjust lookback periods, weights, smoothing
- Anomaly Detection: Enable/disable with custom thresholds
- Visual Style: Choose display modes and colors
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Conclusion
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The Triad Macro Gauge by Ox_kali is a cutting-edge tool for analyzing macroeconomic trends. By integrating VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT, TMG provides traders with a clear, consistent, and actionable gauge of market sentiment.
Recommended for: Swing traders and long-term investors seeking to navigate macro-driven markets.
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Credit & Inspiration
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Special thanks to Caleb Franzen for his pioneering work on macroeconomic indicator blends – his research directly inspired the core framework of this tool.
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Notes & Disclaimer
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This is the initial public release (v2.5.9). Future updates may include additional features based on user feedback.
Please note that the Triad Macro Gauge is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used with proper risk management. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Untuk akses pantas pada carta, tambah skrip ini kepada kegemaran anda — ketahui lebih lanjut di sini.
Penafian
Skrip sumber terbuka
Dalam semangat sebenar TradingView, pencipta skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka supaya pedagang dapat menilai dan mengesahkan kefungsiannya. Terima kasih kepada penulis! Walaupun anda boleh menggunakannya secara percuma, ingat bahawa menerbitkan semula kod ini adalah tertakluk kepada Peraturan Dalaman kami.
Untuk akses pantas pada carta, tambah skrip ini kepada kegemaran anda — ketahui lebih lanjut di sini.