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Fed Cuts (ZQ) - Clear Signal (0-100)
Description:
0–100 “cuts signal” for how much markets expect the Fed to cut rates over the next
~12 months.
Colors at a glance:
0–33 = Calm (blue): little/no cuts priced.
33–66 = Watch (amber): cuts meaningfully priced.
66–100 = Act (red): substantial cuts priced / accelerating.
Key cues to watch:
Crosses up through 33 → “Watch”: prep reallocations; tighten risk; line up entries.
Crosses up through 66 → “Act”: tilt toward cut-beneficiaries; be careful with rate-sensitive cyclicals.
Falls back below 66: urgency cooling—scale back aggressive tilts.
Falls back below 33: back to baseline—return to neutral playbook.
Fast jumps (few days): rapid repricing—expect headline sensitivity.
Best use: Pair with my Risk mood and Labor Softness indicator.
Strong agreement = higher-conviction moves.
Symbols (once): Near = ZQ1!; Far ≈ ZQ13! (or same month next year). Adjust smoothing if it looks jumpy.
0–100 “cuts signal” for how much markets expect the Fed to cut rates over the next
~12 months.
Colors at a glance:
0–33 = Calm (blue): little/no cuts priced.
33–66 = Watch (amber): cuts meaningfully priced.
66–100 = Act (red): substantial cuts priced / accelerating.
Key cues to watch:
Crosses up through 33 → “Watch”: prep reallocations; tighten risk; line up entries.
Crosses up through 66 → “Act”: tilt toward cut-beneficiaries; be careful with rate-sensitive cyclicals.
Falls back below 66: urgency cooling—scale back aggressive tilts.
Falls back below 33: back to baseline—return to neutral playbook.
Fast jumps (few days): rapid repricing—expect headline sensitivity.
Best use: Pair with my Risk mood and Labor Softness indicator.
Strong agreement = higher-conviction moves.
Symbols (once): Near = ZQ1!; Far ≈ ZQ13! (or same month next year). Adjust smoothing if it looks jumpy.
Skrip dilindungi
Skrip ini diterbitkan sebagai sumber tertutup. Akan tetapi, anda boleh menggunakannya dengan percuma dan tanpa had – ketahui lebih lanjut di sini.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Skrip dilindungi
Skrip ini diterbitkan sebagai sumber tertutup. Akan tetapi, anda boleh menggunakannya dengan percuma dan tanpa had – ketahui lebih lanjut di sini.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.