OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Alt Season vs USDT Flow Dashboard
What the script tells you (the signals)
It builds four “alt vs stables” lenses and colors the background when they agree.
ALT ex-ETH / STABLES (TOTAL3 / (USDT+USDC+DAI))
Think: “How much alt cap per $1 of dry-powder stables?”
Bullish when price is above its 200-day SMA and rising → risk appetite expanding toward smaller alts.
ALT Share of Risk-On ((TOTAL − STABLES − BTC − ETH) / (TOTAL − STABLES))
Of the non-stable crypto pie, how much is flowing to ex-BTC/ETH alts?
Uptrend = broadening alt participation (late-early to mid alt-season behavior).
Dominance Spread ((TOTAL3 / TOTAL) − (STABLES / TOTAL))
Alts’ share minus stables’ share.
Widening spread means stables are being converted into alts (not just into BTC).
Flow Ratio ROC(TOTAL3, N) / ROC(STABLES, N) (default N=30 days)
Compares alts’ growth rate to stable supply growth.
> 1 and sustained → alts expanding faster than new “dry powder” is appearing.
The background color (“regime”)
Green (ALT-on) when all three conditions align:
ALT/Stable > its SMA
Dominance Spread > its SMA
Flow Ratio > 1
Red (ALT-off) when the opposite holds.
No color = mixed/chop.
How to read it (quick playbook)
Early alt-season tell:
BTC.D starts to slip, total market cap (TOTAL) rising.
ALT/Stable breaks above its 200-SMA and stays there.
Dominance Spread climbs (alts gaining share, stables losing share).
Flow Ratio > 1 for a few weeks.
Maturing phase: ALT Share of Risk-On rises (money broadens from ETH/L1s → mid/small caps).
Exhaustion/false start: Flow Ratio dips < 1 or ALT/Stable loses the 200-SMA while BTC.D stabilizes or rises.
Practical tips
Timeframes: Make calls on 1D. Use 1W to avoid whipsaw; use 4H only for entries once the 1D regime is green.
Smoothing: If you see noisy spikes from market-cap revisions, add a light smoother (e.g., 7D SMA on the plotted lines).
Parameters:
Try ROC length 21–45 days.
Try SMA 150–250 days (200 is a good middle).
Confluence: Keep BTC.D and ETH.D in another pane. Best alt windows: BTC.D trending down, ETH.D flat-to-up initially, then ETH.D flattens as TOTAL3 momentum spreads to mid/small caps.
Risk checks: If USDT.D/USDC.D (stable dominance) spike up while your signals are green, that’s a caution flag (capital retreating to stables).
It builds four “alt vs stables” lenses and colors the background when they agree.
ALT ex-ETH / STABLES (TOTAL3 / (USDT+USDC+DAI))
Think: “How much alt cap per $1 of dry-powder stables?”
Bullish when price is above its 200-day SMA and rising → risk appetite expanding toward smaller alts.
ALT Share of Risk-On ((TOTAL − STABLES − BTC − ETH) / (TOTAL − STABLES))
Of the non-stable crypto pie, how much is flowing to ex-BTC/ETH alts?
Uptrend = broadening alt participation (late-early to mid alt-season behavior).
Dominance Spread ((TOTAL3 / TOTAL) − (STABLES / TOTAL))
Alts’ share minus stables’ share.
Widening spread means stables are being converted into alts (not just into BTC).
Flow Ratio ROC(TOTAL3, N) / ROC(STABLES, N) (default N=30 days)
Compares alts’ growth rate to stable supply growth.
> 1 and sustained → alts expanding faster than new “dry powder” is appearing.
The background color (“regime”)
Green (ALT-on) when all three conditions align:
ALT/Stable > its SMA
Dominance Spread > its SMA
Flow Ratio > 1
Red (ALT-off) when the opposite holds.
No color = mixed/chop.
How to read it (quick playbook)
Early alt-season tell:
BTC.D starts to slip, total market cap (TOTAL) rising.
ALT/Stable breaks above its 200-SMA and stays there.
Dominance Spread climbs (alts gaining share, stables losing share).
Flow Ratio > 1 for a few weeks.
Maturing phase: ALT Share of Risk-On rises (money broadens from ETH/L1s → mid/small caps).
Exhaustion/false start: Flow Ratio dips < 1 or ALT/Stable loses the 200-SMA while BTC.D stabilizes or rises.
Practical tips
Timeframes: Make calls on 1D. Use 1W to avoid whipsaw; use 4H only for entries once the 1D regime is green.
Smoothing: If you see noisy spikes from market-cap revisions, add a light smoother (e.g., 7D SMA on the plotted lines).
Parameters:
Try ROC length 21–45 days.
Try SMA 150–250 days (200 is a good middle).
Confluence: Keep BTC.D and ETH.D in another pane. Best alt windows: BTC.D trending down, ETH.D flat-to-up initially, then ETH.D flattens as TOTAL3 momentum spreads to mid/small caps.
Risk checks: If USDT.D/USDC.D (stable dominance) spike up while your signals are green, that’s a caution flag (capital retreating to stables).
Skrip sumber terbuka
Dalam semangat sebenar TradingView, pencipta skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka supaya pedagang dapat menilai dan mengesahkan kefungsiannya. Terima kasih kepada penulis! Walaupun anda boleh menggunakannya secara percuma, ingat bahawa menerbitkan semula kod ini adalah tertakluk kepada Peraturan Dalaman kami.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Skrip sumber terbuka
Dalam semangat sebenar TradingView, pencipta skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka supaya pedagang dapat menilai dan mengesahkan kefungsiannya. Terima kasih kepada penulis! Walaupun anda boleh menggunakannya secara percuma, ingat bahawa menerbitkan semula kod ini adalah tertakluk kepada Peraturan Dalaman kami.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.