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Daily ATR Bonanza: Expected Moves
Overview🤷♂️
The Daily ATR Bonanza script is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders visualize and understand potential price movements using the Average True Range (ATR). It provides daily and weekly ATR levels, historical statistics, and conditional probability analysis to give traders actionable insights. The script also plots the daily Keltner channel. This script is ideal for traders who want to gauge volatility, identify key levels, and make data-driven decisions.
b]Key Features:
📈1. Daily and Weekly ATR Levels
🔵ATR Levels: The script calculates and displays ATR-based levels for the day and week. These levels are derived from the previous day's or week's close price and are adjusted using customizable multipliers (0.5x, 1x, and 1.5x by default).
🔵You can choose the number of ATR levels (1, 2, or 3) and adjust the multipliers to suit your trading strategy.
🌐2. ATR Bands (Keltner Channels)
🔵The script includes an option to display ATR Bands, which are volatility-based envelopes around a moving average. These bands help identify overbought and oversold conditions.
🔵You can adjust the ATR multiplier and the length of the moving average used for the bands.
🧮3. Historical Statistics and Conditional Probability
🔵 Historical Analysis: The script analyzes historical price movements to calculate the likelihood of closing at certain ATR levels.
🔵 Conditional Probability: This feature shows the probability of the price reaching specific ATR levels given the current market conditions. The conditional matches historical data by an open in the same opening ATR bucket, as well as the current price bucket having been visited in the historical case. Conditional probabilities are just statistics, and do not predict anything.
Data Table: 📚
❓What is Conditional Probability?❓
Conditional probability is a statistical measure that calculates the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. In this script, it is used to determine the probability of the price reaching specific ATR levels based on the current opening range as well as current ATR distance from the previous close.
For example:
If the market opens near the lower end of the first ATR level, the script calculates the likelihood of the price reaching the upper end of the first, second, or third ATR level.
This analysis is based on historical data, making it a powerful tool for understanding potential price movements.
🌟Understanding the Levels
🔵Daily Levels: These are based on the previous day's close price and ATR. They are updated at the start of each new day.
🔵Weekly Levels: These are based on the previous week's close price and ATR. They are updated at the start of each new week.
🔵ATR Bands: These are dynamic levels that adjust with market volatility.
🔬Analyze the Statistics (Daily only for now, no weekly yet)
🔵Use the interactive table to understand historical probabilities and conditional probabilities.
🔵Focus on the current opening range and the likelihood of reaching specific levels.
🧠Make Trading Decisions
🔵Use the ATR levels and bands to identify key support and resistance levels.
🔵Use the conditional probability table to gauge the likelihood of reaching specific targets.
🔵Adjust your strategy based on the historical performance of the market.
Example Use Cases
1. Day Trading
Use the daily ATR levels to set intraday targets and stop-loss levels.
Monitor the conditional probability table to adjust your expectations based on the opening range.
2. Swing Trading
Use the weekly ATR levels to identify longer-term support and resistance levels.
3. Scalping
Use the ATR bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Use the conditional probability table to quickly assess the likelihood of price movements.
Overview🤷♂️
The Daily ATR Bonanza script is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders visualize and understand potential price movements using the Average True Range (ATR). It provides daily and weekly ATR levels, historical statistics, and conditional probability analysis to give traders actionable insights. The script also plots the daily Keltner channel. This script is ideal for traders who want to gauge volatility, identify key levels, and make data-driven decisions.
b]Key Features:
📈1. Daily and Weekly ATR Levels
🔵ATR Levels: The script calculates and displays ATR-based levels for the day and week. These levels are derived from the previous day's or week's close price and are adjusted using customizable multipliers (0.5x, 1x, and 1.5x by default).
🔵You can choose the number of ATR levels (1, 2, or 3) and adjust the multipliers to suit your trading strategy.
🌐2. ATR Bands (Keltner Channels)
🔵The script includes an option to display ATR Bands, which are volatility-based envelopes around a moving average. These bands help identify overbought and oversold conditions.
🔵You can adjust the ATR multiplier and the length of the moving average used for the bands.
🧮3. Historical Statistics and Conditional Probability
🔵 Historical Analysis: The script analyzes historical price movements to calculate the likelihood of closing at certain ATR levels.
🔵 Conditional Probability: This feature shows the probability of the price reaching specific ATR levels given the current market conditions. The conditional matches historical data by an open in the same opening ATR bucket, as well as the current price bucket having been visited in the historical case. Conditional probabilities are just statistics, and do not predict anything.
Data Table: 📚
🔵 Historical Close Probability: The percentage of days the price closed within each ATR level.
🔵 Conditional Close Probability: The likelihood of the price closing within each ATR level today.
❓What is Conditional Probability?❓
Conditional probability is a statistical measure that calculates the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. In this script, it is used to determine the probability of the price reaching specific ATR levels based on the current opening range as well as current ATR distance from the previous close.
For example:
If the market opens near the lower end of the first ATR level, the script calculates the likelihood of the price reaching the upper end of the first, second, or third ATR level.
This analysis is based on historical data, making it a powerful tool for understanding potential price movements.
🌟Understanding the Levels
🔵Daily Levels: These are based on the previous day's close price and ATR. They are updated at the start of each new day.
🔵Weekly Levels: These are based on the previous week's close price and ATR. They are updated at the start of each new week.
🔵ATR Bands: These are dynamic levels that adjust with market volatility.
🔬Analyze the Statistics (Daily only for now, no weekly yet)
🔵Use the interactive table to understand historical probabilities and conditional probabilities.
🔵Focus on the current opening range and the likelihood of reaching specific levels.
🧠Make Trading Decisions
🔵Use the ATR levels and bands to identify key support and resistance levels.
🔵Use the conditional probability table to gauge the likelihood of reaching specific targets.
🔵Adjust your strategy based on the historical performance of the market.
Example Use Cases
1. Day Trading
Use the daily ATR levels to set intraday targets and stop-loss levels.
Monitor the conditional probability table to adjust your expectations based on the opening range.
2. Swing Trading
Use the weekly ATR levels to identify longer-term support and resistance levels.
3. Scalping
Use the ATR bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Use the conditional probability table to quickly assess the likelihood of price movements.
Nota Keluaran
5/1/05 - Update: Got rid of label smearing.Nota Keluaran
Update 4/2/25 pm - Added the ability to turn off the Tr33man watermark.Nota Keluaran
5/2/24 - Fixed a buffer overflow on the 1min in f_getDailyData(). Skrip sumber terbuka
Dalam semangat sebenar TradingView, pencipta skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka supaya pedagang dapat menilai dan mengesahkan kefungsiannya. Terima kasih kepada penulis! Walaupun anda boleh menggunakannya secara percuma, ingat bahawa menerbitkan semula kod ini adalah tertakluk kepada Peraturan Dalaman kami.
Untuk akses pantas pada carta, tambah skrip ini kepada kegemaran anda — ketahui lebih lanjut di sini.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Skrip sumber terbuka
Dalam semangat sebenar TradingView, pencipta skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka supaya pedagang dapat menilai dan mengesahkan kefungsiannya. Terima kasih kepada penulis! Walaupun anda boleh menggunakannya secara percuma, ingat bahawa menerbitkan semula kod ini adalah tertakluk kepada Peraturan Dalaman kami.
Untuk akses pantas pada carta, tambah skrip ini kepada kegemaran anda — ketahui lebih lanjut di sini.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.