OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Vince/Williams Extreme Volatility Vulnerability

125
Description: This indicator implements the "Period of Extreme Vulnerability" concept developed by Ralph Vince and Larry Williams. The theory posits that a healthy market must regularly see the number of New Lows "dry up" (drop to near zero). When the percentage of New Lows fails to drop below a minimal threshold (default 0.15%) for a prolonged period (default 65 days), it indicates that internal market structure is rotting even if prices are rising, leaving the market fragile and prone to sudden volatility shocks.

I have programmed this script to track that exact condition—the extended absence of a "low" New Lows reading. It applies a 50-day Moving Average filter to contextually categorize the signal:

Red Dot (Crash Warning): Triggers when the vulnerability period begins while the price is above the 50 SMA. This is the classic warning signal, indicating that an uptrend is unsupported by market internals and a sharp correction may be imminent.

Green Dot (Contrarian Buy): Triggers when the vulnerability period begins while the price is below the 50 SMA. The script identifies this as a potential capitulation or value point where the persistent internal weakness is likely already priced in.

Note: This indicator requires exchange-wide data (New Lows, Advancers, Decliners) to function. It is best used on daily timeframes.

Penafian

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.