FXN1 COT Net Positions + Oscillator

11 Sep

The FXN1 COT Net Positions Oscillator is a versatile tool designed for traders to analyze Commitment of Traders (COT) data with both raw net positions and oscillator-style visualization. This script allows users to visualize the net positions of Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retailers Small Speculators to identify potential market turning points or trends based on the positioning of different market participants.

Key Features:

1. Customizable Time Frame:
The script allows users to select the number of months (6 months, 12 months, 18 months, or 24 months) for calculating the COT net positions. This flexibility helps in analyzing longer or shorter-term trends in the market.

2. Oscillator and Raw Net Positions View:
- Users can choose to view the net positions as a normalized oscillator (scaled between 0 and 100) or as raw net positions. The oscillator view helps to identify overbought and oversold conditions, while the raw view provides direct insights into the net positioning of each group.
- The oscillator is created using a stochastic-like normalization, where the net position is plotted relative to its high/low over the selected time period.

3. Toggle Between Oscillator and Raw Data:
- A simple input toggle allows users to switch between the oscillator and raw net positions view with ease.
- In oscillator mode, overbought and oversold levels are displayed to help identify potential reversal points in the market.

4. Clear Visualization:
- Commercials Net: Shown in blue, representing the positions of commercial traders (hedgers).
- Large Speculators Net: Shown in red, indicating the positions of large institutional traders (fund managers).
- Retailers Small Speculators Net: Shown in yellow, representing the positions of small retail traders.
- Overbought and oversold levels in oscillator mode are customizable, allowing for more flexible trading signals.

5. Overbought and Oversold Levels:
- In oscillator mode, the script includes customizable overbought and oversold levels, making it easier to spot extreme conditions that may signal a market reversal.
- These levels are hidden when the raw net position view is active, offering a clean and clear visualization.

6. Works Across Multiple Markets:
The script is designed to work with a wide variety of futures markets, adapting to different symbols with automatic COT data adjustments based on the root symbol.

How It Works:
COT Data Sources: The script pulls commercial, large speculator, and small speculator data from the Legacy COT report.
Net Positions: It calculates the net long positions by subtracting the short positions from the long positions for each group.
Oscillator Mode: The net positions are normalized to oscillate between 0 and 100, where 100 represents the most extreme net long position and 0 represents the most extreme net short position over the selected time period.
Raw Mode: The net positions are plotted directly, providing the actual number of net positions held by each group without normalization.

Use Cases:
Trend Identification: Analyze the positioning of commercial traders (hedgers) vs. large speculators (fund managers) and retail traders to identify potential trend reversals or continuations.
Reversal Signals: In oscillator mode, overbought and oversold conditions can provide potential signals for market reversals.
Sentiment Analysis: Gauge market sentiment by comparing the positions of different market participants and using the insights to build contrarian strategies or confirm trend-following strategies.

Parameters:
Number of Months: Choose between 6, 12, 18, and 24 months for the calculation period.
Overbought Level: Customizable level to define when the market may be considered overbought in oscillator mode (default: 80).
Oversold Level: Customizable level to define when the market may be considered oversold in oscillator mode (default: 20).

Show Net Positions as Oscillator: Toggle to switch between raw net positions and oscillator view.

This script is a powerful tool for traders who want to incorporate COT data into their analysis in a more flexible and customizable way. Whether you're a swing trader looking for reversal points or a trend follower analyzing market sentiment, the FXN1 COT Net Positions Oscillator provides deep insights into the behavior of different market participants.