Trend Continuation RatioThis TradingView indicator calculates the likelihood of consecutive bullish or bearish days over a specified period, giving insights into day-to-day continuation patterns within the market.
How It Works
Period Length Input:
The user sets the period length (e.g., 20 days) to analyze.
After each period, the counts reset, allowing fresh data for each new interval.
Bullish and Bearish Day Definitions:
A day is considered bullish if the closing price is higher than the opening price.
A day is considered bearish if the closing price is lower than the opening price.
Count Tracking:
Within each specified period, the indicator tracks:
Total Bullish Days: The number of days where the close is greater than the open.
Total Bearish Days: The number of days where the close is less than the open.
Bullish to Bullish Continuations: Counts each instance where a bullish day is followed by another bullish day.
Bearish to Bearish Continuations: Counts each instance where a bearish day is followed by another bearish day.
Calculating Continuation Ratios:
The Bullish Continuation Ratio is calculated as the percentage of bullish days that were followed by another bullish day:
Bullish Continuation Ratio = (Bullish to Bullish Continuations /Total Bullish Days)×100
Bullish Continuation Ratio=( Total Bullish Days/Bullish to Bullish Continuations )×100
The Bearish Continuation Ratio is the percentage of bearish days followed by another bearish day:
Bearish Continuation Ratio = (Bearish to Bearish Continuations/Total Bearish Days)×100
Bearish Continuation Ratio=( Total Bearish Days/Bearish to Bearish Continuations )×100
Display on Chart:
The indicator displays a table in the top-right corner of the chart with:
Bullish Continuation Ratio (%): Percentage of bullish days that led to another bullish day within the period.
Bearish Continuation Ratio (%): Percentage of bearish days that led to another bearish day within the period.
Usage Insights
High Ratios: If the bullish or bearish continuation ratio is high, it suggests a trend where bullish/bearish days often lead to similar days, indicating possible momentum.
Low Ratios: Low continuation ratios indicate frequent reversals, which could suggest a range-bound or volatile market.
This indicator is helpful for assessing short-term trend continuation tendencies, allowing traders to gauge whether they are more likely to see follow-through on bullish or bearish days within a chosen timeframe.
Kitaran
Average Up and Down Candles Streak with Predicted Next CandleThis indicator is designed to analyze price trends by examining the patterns of up and down streaks (consecutive bullish or bearish candles) over a defined period. It uses this data to provide insights on whether the next candle is likely to be bullish or bearish, and it visually displays relevant information on the chart.
Here’s a breakdown of what the indicator does:
1. Inputs and Parameters
Period (Candles): Defines the number of candles used to calculate the average length of bullish and bearish streaks. For example, if the period is set to 20, the indicator will analyze the past 20 candles to determine average up and down streak lengths.
Bullish/Bearish Bias Signal Toggle: These options allow users to show or hide visual signals (green or red circles) when there’s a bullish or bearish bias in the trend based on the indicator’s calculations.
2. Streak Calculation
The indicator looks at each candle within the period to identify if it closed up (bullish) or down (bearish).
Up Streak: The indicator counts consecutive bullish candles. When there’s a bearish candle, it resets the up streak count.
Down Streak: Similarly, it counts consecutive bearish candles and resets when a bullish candle appears.
Averages: Over the defined period, the indicator calculates the average length of up streaks and average length of down streaks. This provides a baseline to assess whether the current streak is typical or extended.
3. Current and Average Streak Display
The indicator displays the current up and down streak lengths alongside the average streak lengths for comparison. This data appears in a table on the chart, allowing you to see at a glance:
The current streak length (for both up and down trends)
The average streak length for up and down trends over the chosen period
4. Trend Prediction for the Next Candle
Next Candle Prediction: Based on the current streak and its comparison to the average, the indicator predicts the likely direction of the next candle:
Bullish: If the current up streak is shorter than the average up streak, suggesting that the bullish trend could continue.
Bearish: If the current down streak is shorter than the average down streak, indicating that the bearish trend may continue.
Neutral: If the current streak length is near the average, which could signal an upcoming reversal.
This prediction appears in a table on the chart, labeled as “Next Candle.”
5. Previous Candle Analysis
The Previous Candle entry in the table reflects the last completed candle (directly before the current candle) to show whether it was bullish, bearish, or neutral.
This data gives a reference point for recent price action and helps validate the next candle prediction.
6. Visual Signals and Reversal Zones
Bullish/Bearish Bias Signals: The indicator can plot green circles on bullish bias and red circles on bearish bias to highlight points where the trend is likely to continue.
Reversal Zones: If the current streak length reaches or exceeds the average, it suggests the trend may be overextended, indicating a potential reversal zone. The indicator highlights these zones with shaded backgrounds (green for possible bullish reversal, red for bearish) on the chart.
Summary of What You See on the Chart
Bullish and Bearish Bias Signals: Green or red circles mark areas of expected continuation in the trend.
Reversal Zones: Shaded areas in red or green suggest that the trend might be about to reverse.
Tables:
The Next Candle prediction table displays the trend direction of the previous candle and the likely trend of the next candle.
The Streak Information table shows the current up and down streak lengths, along with their averages for easy comparison.
Practical Use
This indicator is helpful for traders aiming to understand trend momentum and potential reversals based on historical patterns. It’s particularly useful for swing trading, where knowing the typical length of bullish or bearish trends can help in timing entries and exits.
Price Move Exceed % Threshold & BE Evaluation1Handy to see history or quick back test of moves. Enter a decimal for percentage wanted and choose the time frame wanted . The occurrences of the up or down threshold are plotted in the panel as maroon or green squares and can be read as red or green text in the panel data and on the right hand scale . The last number in the panel is the average move for the chosen period.
My usage is mostly to see what % has been exceeded for break even prices of option trades. Example: in SPY a spread has a break even of 567 when the price is 570; I get the percentage of the $3 move by dividing 3/570 to get 0.0526 ; the results show as described above.
US Presidents with Market Returns by Party (1910s-Present)Colored background for presidents by party affiliation with table displaying market returns for each US president and sum of total returns by party.
Globex Trap ZoneGlobex Trap Indicator
A powerful tool designed to identify potential trading opportunities by analyzing the relationship between Globex session ranges and Supply & Demand zones during regular trading hours.
Key Features
Tracks and visualizes Globex session price ranges
Identifies key Supply & Demand zones during regular trading hours
Highlights potential trap areas where price might experience significant reactions
Fully customizable time ranges and visual settings
Clear labeling of Globex highs and lows
How It Works
The indicator tracks two key periods:
Globex Session (Default: 6:00 PM - 9:30 AM)
Monitors overnight price action
Marks session high and low
Helps identify potential range breakouts
Supply & Demand Zone (Default: 8:00 AM - 11:00 AM)
Tracks price action during key market hours
Identifies potential reaction zones
Helps spot institutional trading areas
Best Practices for Using This Indicator
Use on 1-hour timeframe or lower for optimal visualization
Best suited for futures and other instruments traded during Globex sessions
Pay attention to areas where Globex range and Supply/Demand zones overlap
Use in conjunction with your existing trading strategy for confirmation
Recommended minimum of 10 days of historical data for context
Settings Explanation
Globex Session: Customizable time range for overnight trading session
Supply & Demand Zone: Adjustable time range for regular trading hours
Days to Look Back: Number of historical days to display (default: 10)
Visual Settings: Customizable colors and transparency for both zones
Important Notes
All times are based on exchange timezone
The indicator respects overnight sessions and properly handles timezone transitions
Historical data requirements: Minimum 10 days recommended
Performance impact: Optimized for smooth operation with minimal resource usage
Disclaimer
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is designed to be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Updates and Support
I actively maintain this indicator and welcome feedback from the trading community. Please feel free to leave comments or suggestions for improvements.
Ido strategy RSI Oversold with MACD Buy Signal Indicator
This indicator combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to help identify potential buy signals based on oversold conditions and trend reversals. This script is designed for traders looking to identify entry points when an asset is likely undervalued (oversold) and showing bullish momentum.
How It Works
RSI Oversold Detection: The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. This indicator flags when the RSI falls below 30, signaling that the asset may be oversold. The user can customize the RSI lookback period and the timeframe within which oversold conditions are considered relevant.
MACD Crossover: The MACD line crossing above the Signal line often indicates a shift to bullish momentum. In this script, a buy signal is generated when a MACD bullish crossover occurs after an RSI oversold condition has been met within a user-defined lookback window.
Buy Signal: A green triangle appears below the price chart each time both conditions are met—when the RSI has recently been in oversold territory and the MACD line crosses above the Signal line. This signal suggests that the asset may be positioned for a potential upward trend, providing a visual cue for entry points.
Customizable Settings
RSI Settings: Adjust the RSI source and period length.
MACD Settings: Customize the fast, slow, and signal lengths of the MACD to suit different market conditions.
Lookback Period: Define how many bars back to check for an RSI oversold condition before confirming a MACD crossover.
Visual Elements
Oversold Background Color: The background on the price chart is shaded red whenever the RSI is below 30.
Buy Signal: A green triangle is displayed on the chart to indicate a potential entry point when both conditions are met.
Alerts
This indicator includes optional alerts, allowing traders to receive notifications whenever the conditions for a buy signal are met, making it easier to monitor multiple assets and stay informed of trading opportunities.
This indicator is ideal for traders using a combination of momentum and trend reversal strategies, especially in volatile markets where oversold conditions often precede a trend change.
Williams %R - Multi TimeframeThis indicator implements the William %R multi-timeframe. On the 1H chart, the curves for 1H (with signal), 4H, and 1D are displayed. On the 4H chart, the curves for 4H (with signal) and 1D are shown. On all other timeframes, only the %R and signal are displayed. The indicator is useful to use on 1H and 4H charts to find confluence among the different curves and identify better entries based on their alignment across all timeframes. Signals above 80 often indicate a potential bearish reversal in price, while signals below 20 often suggest a bullish price reversal.
Zig Zag with Adaptive ProjectionThe "Zig Zag with Adaptive Projection" is an advanced technical analysis tool designed for TradingView's Pine Script platform. This indicator builds upon the traditional ZigZag concept by incorporating adaptive projection capabilities, offering traders a more sophisticated approach to identifying significant price movements and forecasting potential future price levels.
At its core, the indicator utilizes a user-defined period to calculate and display the ZigZag pattern on the chart. This pattern connects significant highs and lows, effectively filtering out minor price fluctuations and highlighting the overall trend structure. Users can customize the appearance of the ZigZag lines, including their color, style (solid, dashed, or dotted), and width, allowing for easy visual integration with other chart elements.
What sets this indicator apart is its adaptive projection feature. By analyzing historical ZigZag patterns, the indicator calculates average lengths and slopes of both bullish and bearish trends. This data is then used to project potential future price movements, adapting to the current market context. The projection lines extend from the most recent ZigZag point, offering traders a visual representation of possible price targets based on historical behavior.
The adaptive nature of the projections is particularly noteworthy. The indicator considers the current trend direction, the length of the most recent ZigZag segment, and compares it to historical averages. This approach allows for more nuanced projections that account for recent market dynamics. If the current trend is stronger than average, the projection will extend further, and vice versa.
From a technical standpoint, the indicator leverages Pine Script v5's capabilities, utilizing arrays for efficient data management and implementing dynamic line drawing for both the ZigZag and projection lines. This ensures smooth performance even when analyzing large datasets.
Traders can fine-tune the indicator to their preferences with several customization options. The ZigZag period can be adjusted from 10 to 100, allowing for sensitivity adjustments to match different trading timeframes. The projection lines can be toggled on or off and their appearance customized, providing flexibility in how the forecast is displayed.
In essence, the "Zig Zag with Adaptive Projection" indicator combines traditional trend analysis with forward-looking projections. It offers traders a tool to not only identify significant price levels but also to anticipate potential future movements based on historical patterns. This blend of retrospective analysis and adaptive forecasting makes it a valuable addition to a trader's technical analysis toolkit, particularly for those interested in trend-following strategies or looking for potential reversal points.
Daily Structure Cycles - Session - PDH/PDLDescription:
The Session Windows indicator visualizes predefined trading sessions on the chart, highlighting key price ranges with customizable background colors and labels. Designed to track session-specific high and low levels, this tool provides visual guidance for analyzing market behavior across different trading windows. It includes three customizable sessions—Asian, Window 1, and Window 2—that can be toggled on or off.
How It Works:
Each session is marked with a colored box, representing the high and low range for that session. Border colors and box transparency can be customized, allowing for easy visual differentiation.
The indicator also displays the high and low levels of the previous day, marked as PDH (Previous Day High) and PDL (Previous Day Low). When the current price crosses these levels, the line style changes, signaling potential support or resistance levels.
Labels for each session high and low are positioned based on the user-defined offset and alignment options, providing easy-to-read markers at the end of each session.
Usage: This indicator helps traders observe price behavior within distinct trading sessions and how the current price interacts with previous day’s highs and lows, which may offer insight into support/resistance zones. Traders can use this tool to spot breakout or reversal points as price moves through session highs/lows or crosses the previous day’s levels.
Customization Options:
Session Settings: Choose session times for Asian, Window 1, and Window 2.
Color Settings: Set different colors for session background and border lines.
Label Positioning: Adjust label offset and vertical position for high/low markers.
PDH/PDL Levels: Toggle lines for previous day’s high and low, with color and line style options.
Limitations: This indicator is designed for visualization purposes and is best used alongside other tools for confirmation, as it does not provide standalone buy or sell signals.
Polygonal Pivot Bands [FXSMARTLAB]The Polygonal Pivot Bands highlights key price pivots, dynamic support and resistance levels, and recent price action on a trading chart. This indicator connects pivot highs and lows with a zigzag line, extends a real-time dashed line to the latest price point, and plots diagonal support/resistance levels that adapt to price movement. These elements together provide traders with a view of significant price zones and potential trend shifts.
Key Components of the Indicator
Pivots are calculated based on user-defined lengths, specifying how many bars on either side of a high or low are required to validate it as a pivot.
Adjustable left and right pivot lengths allow traders to control the sensitivity of pivot detection, with higher values resulting in fewer, more prominent pivots, and lower values increasing sensitivity to price changes.
Zigzag Line
The zigzag line connects consecutive pivot points, filtering out smaller fluctuations and emphasizing the broader direction of price movement.
Users can customize the line's color and thickness to match their preferences, helping them focus on larger trends and potential reversal points.
By linking pivot highs and lows, the zigzag pattern highlights the overall trend and potential points of reversal.
Real-Time Connector Line
A dashed line extends from the last confirmed pivot to the latest price point, providing a real-time, bar-by-bar update of the current price relative to the previous pivot.
This line does not project future price direction but maintains an up-to-date connection with the current price, showing the distance from the last pivot.
Its color and thickness are customizable for improved visibility on the chart.
Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels
The indicator plots dynamic support and resistanc e levels by connecting recent pivot highs and lows, resulting in lines that may appear diagonal rather than strictly horizontal.
These levels move in line with price action, adapting to the natural direction of trends, and offer visual cues where price may encounter support or resistance.
Colors and thickness of these lines can be set individually, allowing traders to adjust visibility according to their preferences.
Enabling these lines gives traders an ongoing reference for critical price boundaries that align more closely with the overall trend.
US 30 Daily Breakout Strategy The US 30 Daily Breakout Strategy (Single Trade Per Breakout/Breakdown) is a trading approach for the US 30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) that aims to capture breakout or breakdown moves based on the previous day’s high and low levels. The strategy includes mechanisms to take only one trade per breakout (or breakdown) each day and ensures that each trade is executed only when no other trade is open.
Entry Conditions:
Long Trade (Breakout): The strategy initiates a long position if the current candle closes above the previous day's high, indicating an upward breakout. Only one breakout trade can occur per day, regardless of whether the price remains above the previous high.
Short Trade (Breakdown): The strategy initiates a short position if the current candle closes below the previous day's low, indicating a downward breakdown. Similarly, only one breakdown trade can occur per day.
Risk Management:
Take Profit and Stop Loss: Each trade has a take profit and stop loss of 50 points, aiming to cap profit and limit loss effectively for each position.
Daily Reset Mechanism:
At the start of each new day (based on New York time), the strategy resets its flags, allowing it to look for new breakout or breakdown trades. This reset ensures that only one trade can be taken per breakout or breakdown level each day.
Execution Logic
Flags for Trade Limitation: Flags (breakout_traded and breakdown_traded) are used to ensure only one breakout or breakdown trade is taken per day. These flags reset daily.
Dynamic Plotting: The previous day’s high and low are plotted on the chart, providing a visual reference for potential breakout or breakdown levels.
Overall Objective
This strategy is designed to capture single-directional daily moves by identifying significant breakouts or breakdowns beyond the previous day’s range. The fixed profit and loss limits ensure the trades are managed with controlled risk, while the daily reset feature prevents overtrading and limits each trade opportunity to one breakout and one breakdown attempt per day.
Gradient color Candlesthis is a simple candle colouring script that sets the colour of the candles to a gradient and the length of the gradient can be set by a user defined number of bars
SW Gann Pressure time from tops and bottomsW.D. Gann's trading techniques often emphasized the significance of time in the markets, believing that specific time intervals could influence price movements. Here’s how the 30, 60, 90, 120, 180, and 270 bar intervals relate to Gann's rules:
1. **30 Bars**:
- Gann often viewed shorter time frames as critical for identifying short-term trends. A 30-bar interval can signify minor cycles or potential turning points in price.
2. **60 Bars**:
- This interval is significant as Gann believed in the importance of quarterly cycles. A 60-bar mark could indicate a completion of a two-month cycle, often leading to retracements or reversals.
3. **90 Bars**:
- Gann considered 90 days (or bars) to represent a quarter. This interval can signify a substantial shift in market sentiment or a pivotal point in a longer trend.
4. **120 Bars**:
- The 120-bar mark corresponds to about four months. Gann viewed longer intervals as more significant, often leading to major shifts in market trends.
5. **180 Bars**:
- A 180-bar period relates to a semi-annual cycle, which Gann regarded as critical for major support and resistance levels. Price action around this interval can reveal potential long-term trend reversals.
6. **270 Bars**:
- Gann believed that longer cycles, such as 270 bars (approximately nine months), could indicate significant market phases. This interval may represent major turning points and help identify long-term trends.
### Application in Trading:
- **Identifying Trends**: Traders can use these intervals to spot potential trend reversals or continuations based on Gann’s principles of market cycles.
- **Setting Targets and Stops**: Knowing where these key bars fall can help in setting profit targets and stop-loss orders.
- **Analyzing Market Sentiment**: Price reactions at these intervals can provide insights into market psychology and sentiment shifts.
By marking these intervals on a chart, traders can visually assess when price action aligns with Gann's theories, helping them make more informed trading decisions based on historical patterns and cycles.
SW Gann DaysGann pressure days, named after the famous trader W.D. Gann, refer to specific days in a trading month that are believed to have significant market influence. These days are identified based on Gann's theories of astrology, geometry, and market cycles. Here’s a general outline of how they might be understood:
1. **Market Cycles**: Gann believed that markets move in cycles and that certain days can have heightened volatility or trend changes. Traders look for specific dates based on historical price movements.
2. **Timing Indicators**: Pressure days often align with key economic reports, earnings announcements, or geopolitical events that can cause price swings.
3. **Mathematical Patterns**: Gann used angles and geometric patterns to predict price movements, with pressure days potentially aligning with these calculations.
4. **Historical Patterns**: Traders analyze past data to identify dates that historically show strong price reactions, using this to predict future behavior.
5. **Astrological Influences**: Some practitioners incorporate astrological elements, believing that celestial events (like full moons or planetary alignments) can impact market psychology.
Traders might use these concepts to make decisions about entering or exiting positions, but it’s important to note that Gann's methods can be complex and are not universally accepted in trading communities.
Forex Relative Strength MatrixTraders often feel uncertain about which Forex pair to open a position with. This indicator is designed to help in that regard.
This indicator was created as described in the book Swing Trading with Heiken Ashi and Stochastics. In the original, the author suggests using it for swing trading. The author recommends applying it to a monthly chart with an 8-period moving average to analyze the context.
The logic of the indicator is to measure the relative strength of each currency by checking if the price of each Forex pair is above or below a chosen moving average. If the price is above the moving average, the base currency is awarded 1 point, indicating strength. If below, it scores 0, indicating weakness. By accumulating points across multiple pairs, the indicator ranks currencies from strongest to weakest, helping traders identify potential pairs for trading.
Trend Identification:
After identifying relative strength, the trader should observe the general trend using a 100-period SMA on 4-hour charts. If the price is above the SMA, the trend is bullish; if below, it is bearish.
Buy Logic:
A buy is triggered when the base currency is strong (price is above the moving average) and the quote currency is weak (price is below the moving average). After identifying the trend direction, the entry is confirmed by a color change in Heiken Ashi candles (from red to green in an uptrend) and a stochastic crossover in the trend’s direction.
Sell Logic:
A sell is triggered when the base currency is weak (price is below the moving average) and the quote currency is strong (price is above the moving average). The sell entry is confirmed by a color change in Heiken Ashi candles (from green to red in a downtrend) and a stochastic crossover aligned with the trend.
Entry Chart:
The entry chart used is the 4-hour chart. The trader should look for entry signals following a pullback in the trend direction, using Heiken Ashi candles. Entry is made when the Heiken Ashi candles change color (from red to green in an uptrend) and there is a smooth crossover of the stochastic indicator in the trend’s direction.
It would also be possible to adapt the indicator for day trading strategies with targets of 1 to 2 days. Here is a recommended setup:
Relative Strength Identification (1-Hour Chart):
Instead of monthly charts, use a 1-hour chart to identify currency strength with a 20-period moving average.
The 20-period moving average on the 1-hour chart captures a balanced view of short- to medium-term direction, covering nearly a day’s worth of trading but with enough sensitivity for day trading.
General Trend (5-Minute Chart with 100 SMA):
On the 5-minute chart, observe the 100-period SMA to identify the general trend direction throughout the day.
Price above the 100 SMA indicates an uptrend, and below indicates a downtrend, confirming the movement in shorter timeframes.
Entry Chart and Signals (5-Minute Chart):
Use the 15-minute chart to look for entry opportunities, focusing on pullbacks in the main trend direction.
Entry Signals: Enter the position when Heiken Ashi candles change color in the trend direction (from red to green in an uptrend) and the stochastic indicator makes a smooth crossover in the trend’s direction.
Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component (YavuzAkbay)The Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component indicator in Pine Script™ is an advanced tool that helps traders isolate and analyze the cyclical deviations in asset prices from their underlying trend. This script calculates the cycle component of the price series using the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter, allowing traders to observe and interpret the short-term price movements around the long-term trend. By providing two views—Percentage and Price Difference—this indicator gives flexibility in how these cyclical movements are visualized and interpreted.
What This Script Does
This indicator focuses exclusively on the cycle component of the price, which is the deviation of the current price from the long-term trend calculated by the HP filter. This deviation (or "cycle") is what traders analyze for mean-reversion opportunities and overbought/oversold conditions. The script allows users to see this deviation in two ways:
Percentage Difference: Shows the deviation as a percentage of the trend, giving a normalized view of the price’s distance from its trend component.
Price Difference: Shows the deviation in absolute price terms, reflecting how many price units the price is above or below the trend.
How It Works
Trend Component Calculation with the HP Filter: Using the HP filter, the script isolates the trend component of the price. The smoothness of this trend is controlled by the smoothness parameter (λ), which can be adjusted by the user. A higher λ value results in a smoother trend, while a lower λ value makes it more responsive to short-term changes.
Cycle Component Calculation: Percentage Deviation (cycle_pct) calculated as the difference between the current price and the trend, divided by the trend, and then multiplied by 100. This metric shows how far the price deviates from the trend in relative terms. Price Difference (cycle_price) simply the difference between the current price and the trend component, displaying the deviation in absolute price units.
Conditional Plotting: The user can choose to view the cycle component as either a percentage or a price difference by selecting the Display Mode input. The indicator will plot the chosen mode in a separate pane, helping traders focus on the preferred measure of deviation.
How to Use This Indicator
Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions: When the cycle component deviates significantly from the zero line (shown with a dashed horizontal line), it may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. For instance, a high positive cycle component suggests the price may be overbought relative to the trend, while a large negative cycle suggests potential oversold conditions.
Mean-Reversion Strategy: In mean-reverting markets, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversal points. For example, if the cycle component shows an extreme deviation from zero, it could signal that the price is likely to revert to the trend. This can help traders with entry and exit points when the asset is expected to correct back toward its trend.
Trend Strength and Cycle Analysis: By comparing the magnitude and duration of deviations, traders can gauge the strength of cycles and assess if a new trend might be forming. If the cycle component remains consistently positive or negative, it may indicate a persistent market bias, even as prices fluctuate around the trend.
Percentage vs. Price Difference Views: Use the Percentage Difference mode to standardize deviations and compare across assets or different timeframes. This is especially helpful when analyzing assets with varying price levels. Use the Price Difference mode when an absolute deviation (price units) is more intuitive for spotting overbought/oversold levels based on the asset’s actual price.
Using with Hodrick-Prescott: You can also use Hodrick-Prescott, another indicator that I have adapted to the Tradingview platform, to see the trend on the chart, and you can also use this indicator to see how far the price is deviating from the trend. This gives you a multifaceted perspective on your trades.
Practical Tips for Traders
Set the Smoothness Parameter (λ): Adjust the λ parameter to match your trading timeframe and asset characteristics. Lower values make the trend more sensitive, which might suit short-term trading, while higher values smooth out the trend for long-term analysis.
Cycle Component as Confirmation: Combine this indicator with other momentum or trend indicators for confirmation of overbought/oversold signals. For example, use the cycle component with RSI or MACD to validate the likelihood of mean-reversion.
Observe Divergences: Divergences between price movements and the cycle component can indicate potential reversals. If the price hits a new high, but the cycle component shows a smaller deviation than previous highs, it could signal a weakening trend.
