Dow Theory Trend Strategy v3Title: Dow Theory Trend Strategy
Description:
This Pine Script implements a trading strategy based on classic Dow Theory principles for trend identification. It analyzes pivot highs and lows to determine uptrends (Higher Highs & Higher Lows) and downtrends (Lower Highs & Lower Lows), entering trades when the trend direction is confirmed to change.
This version (v3) includes several key features and improvements:
Core Dow Theory Logic: Identifies trends based on confirmed sequences of pivot points detected using ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow().
Improved Trend Persistence: The script confirms an uptrend only on both a Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL), and a downtrend on both a Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL). Crucially, if neither condition is met, the script maintains the previous trend state (trendDirection ), leading to smoother trend following compared to logic that frequently resets to neutral.
Manual Trend Override: A user input allows you to override the automatic Dow Theory trend detection. You can set the strategy to:
Auto: Follow the calculated Dow Theory trend signals.
Long Only: Only take long entry signals.
Short Only: Only take short entry signals.
Tick-Based Stop Loss & Take Profit: Optional Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels can be enabled. These are set in Ticks from the entry price using strategy.exit().
Important: You must understand what a 'tick' (syminfo.mintick) represents for the specific instrument you are trading when setting the stopLossTicks and takeProfitTicks inputs (e.g., for EURUSD with mintick=0.00001, a 20 pip SL = 200 ticks).
Clear Visualizations:
Background color changes to reflect the detected Dow Theory trend (Blue for Up, Red for Down, Gray for Undetermined).
Optional markers for confirmed pivot points.
Optional labels indicating confirmed trend change signals (potential entry points).
Code Structure Note: This version defines the options for the "Manual Trend Mode" input directly inline within the input.string() function to potentially improve compatibility for users who experienced issues with copy-pasting previous versions that used a separate array definition.
How it Works:
Pivots are identified using the pivotLookback period (note the inherent lag).
The trend direction (trendDirection) is updated based on HH/HL or LH/LL confirmations, otherwise, it persists.
Strategy enters long on changedToUp (if allowed by mode) and short on changedToDown (if allowed by mode).
If enabled, strategy.exit places SL and TP orders based on the specified number of ticks immediately upon entry.
Inputs:
Calculation Settings:
pivotLookback: Controls pivot detection sensitivity and lag.
Display Settings:
Show Pivot Points: Toggle pivot markers.
Show Trend Change Signals: Toggle entry signal labels.
Strategy Settings:
Manual Trend Mode: Select "Auto", "Long Only", or "Short Only".
Risk Management:
Use Stop Loss: Enable/disable SL.
Stop Loss (Ticks): Set SL distance in ticks.
Use Take Profit: Enable/disable TP.
Take Profit (Ticks): Set TP distance in ticks.
How to Use:
Add the script to your TradingView chart.
Access the Settings panel for the script.
Configure the pivotLookback appropriate for your timeframe and instrument.
Choose your desired Manual Trend Mode.
Enable and configure the Stop Loss (Ticks) and Take Profit (Ticks) carefully, based on the instrument's tick size and your risk management plan.
Use the Strategy Tester tab to backtest performance on historical data.
Disclaimer:
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Trading strategies based on Dow Theory involve inherent lag. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Financial markets involve risk, and you should not trade with capital you cannot afford to lose. Always conduct thorough backtesting and implement robust risk management practices before considering any live trading. This script does not constitute financial advice.
Dowtheory
Dow Theory Trend StrategyDow Theory Trend Strategy (Pine Script)
Overview
This Pine Script implements a trading strategy based on the core principles of Dow Theory. It visually identifies trends (uptrend, downtrend) by analyzing pivot highs and lows and executes trades when the trend direction changes. This script is an improved version that features refined trend determination logic and strategy implementation.
Core Concept: Dow Theory
The script uses a fundamental Dow Theory concept for trend identification:
Uptrend: Characterized by a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Downtrend: Characterized by a series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
How it Works
Pivot Point Detection:
It uses the built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions to identify significant swing points (potential highs and lows) in the price action.
The pivotLookback input determines the number of bars to the left and right required to confirm a pivot. Note that this introduces a natural lag (equal to pivotLookback bars) before a pivot is confirmed.
Improved Trend Determination:
The script stores the last two confirmed pivot highs and the last two confirmed pivot lows.
An Uptrend (trendDirection = 1) is confirmed only when the latest pivot high is higher than the previous one (HH) AND the latest pivot low is higher than the previous one (HL).
A Downtrend (trendDirection = -1) is confirmed only when the latest pivot high is lower than the previous one (LH) AND the latest pivot low is lower than the previous one (LL).
Key Improvement: If neither a clear uptrend nor a clear downtrend is confirmed based on the latest pivots, the script maintains the previous trend state (trendDirection := trendDirection ). This differs from simpler implementations that might switch to a neutral/range state (e.g., trendDirection = 0) more frequently. This approach aims for smoother trend following, acknowledging that trends often persist through periods without immediate new HH/HL or LH/LL confirmations.
Trend Change Detection:
The script monitors changes in the trendDirection variable.
changedToUp becomes true when the trend shifts to an Uptrend (from Downtrend or initial state).
changedToDown becomes true when the trend shifts to a Downtrend (from Uptrend or initial state).
Visualizations
Background Color: The chart background is colored to reflect the currently identified trend:
Blue: Uptrend (trendDirection == 1)
Red: Downtrend (trendDirection == -1)
Gray: Initial state or undetermined (trendDirection == 0)
Pivot Points (Optional): Small triangles (shape.triangledown/shape.triangleup) can be displayed above pivot highs and below pivot lows if showPivotPoints is enabled.
Trend Change Signals (Optional): Labels ("▲ UP" / "▼ DOWN") can be displayed when a trend change is confirmed (changedToUp / changedToDown) if showTrendChange is enabled. These visually mark the potential entry points for the strategy.
Strategy Logic
Entry Conditions:
Enters a long position (strategy.long) using strategy.entry("L", ...) when changedToUp becomes true.
Enters a short position (strategy.short) using strategy.entry("S", ...) when changedToDown becomes true.
Position Management: The script uses strategy.entry(), which automatically handles position reversal. If the strategy is long and a short signal occurs, strategy.entry() will close the long position and open a new short one (and vice-versa).
Inputs
pivotLookback: The number of bars on each side to confirm a pivot high/low. Higher values mean pivots are confirmed later but may be more significant.
showPivotPoints: Toggle visibility of pivot point markers.
showTrendChange: Toggle visibility of the trend change labels ("▲ UP" / "▼ DOWN").
Key Improvements from Original
Smoother Trend Logic: The trend state persists unless a confirmed reversal pattern (opposite HH/HL or LH/LL) occurs, reducing potential whipsaws in choppy markets compared to logic that frequently resets to neutral.
Strategy Implementation: Converted from a pure indicator to a strategy capable of executing backtests and potentially live trades based on the Dow Theory trend changes.
Disclaimer
Dow Theory signals are inherently lagging due to the nature of pivot confirmation.
The effectiveness of the strategy depends heavily on the market conditions and the chosen pivotLookback setting.
This script serves as a basic template. Always perform thorough backtesting and implement proper risk management (e.g., stop-loss, take-profit, position sizing) before considering any live trading.
Dow Theory Swing Trading-DexterThis Pine Script strategy that implements a basic price action-based trading system inspired by Dow Theory, focusing on swing highs and swing lows. This strategy will generate buy and sell signals based on the formation of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) for an uptrend, and lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) for a downtrend.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows:
The script identifies swing highs and swing lows using the ta.highest and ta.lowest functions over a specified lookback period.
A swing high is identified when the high of the current bar is the highest high over the lookback period.
A swing low is identified when the low of the current bar is the lowest low over the lookback period.
Trend Detection:
An uptrend is detected when the current low is higher than the last identified swing low.
A downtrend is detected when the current high is lower than the last identified swing high.
Buy and Sell Signals:
A buy signal is generated when the price closes above the last swing high during an uptrend.
A sell signal is generated when the price closes below the last swing low during a downtrend.
Plotting:
Swing highs and swing lows are plotted on the chart using plotshape.
Buy and sell signals are also plotted on the chart for visual reference.
How to Use:
Copy and paste the script into the Pine Script editor in TradingView.
Adjust the lookback period as needed to suit your trading style and timeframe.
Apply the script to your chart and it will generate buy and sell signals based on the price action.
NOTE: Please uncheck the all the unwanted symbol from chart for clear view .
MarketStructureLibrary "MarketStructure"
This library contains functions for identifying Lows and Highs in a rule-based way, and deriving useful information from them.
f_simpleLowHigh()
This function finds Local Lows and Highs, but NOT in order. A Local High is any candle that has its Low taken out on close by a subsequent candle (and vice-versa for Local Lows).
The Local High does NOT have to be the candle with the highest High out of recent candles. It does NOT have to be a Williams High. It is not necessarily a swing high or a reversal or anything else.
It doesn't have to be "the" high, so don't be confused.
By the rules, Local Lows and Highs must alternate. In this function they do not, so I'm calling them Simple Lows and Highs.
Simple Highs and Lows, by the above definition, can be useful for entries and stops. Because I intend to use them for stops, I want them all, not just the ones that alternate in strict order.
@param - there are no parameters. The function uses the chart OHLC.
@returns boolean values for whether this bar confirms a Simple Low/High, and ints for the bar_index of that Low/High.
f_localLowHigh()
This function finds Local Lows and Highs, in order. A Local High is any candle that has its Low taken out on close by a subsequent candle (and vice-versa for Local Lows).
The Local High does NOT have to be the candle with the highest High out of recent candles. It does NOT have to be a Williams High. It is not necessarily a swing high or a reversal or anything else.
By the rules, Local Lows and Highs must alternate, and in this function they do.
@param - there are no parameters. The function uses the chart OHLC.
@returns boolean values for whether this bar confirms a Local Low/High, and ints for the bar_index of that Low/High.
f_enhancedSimpleLowHigh()
This function finds Local Lows and Highs, but NOT in order. A Local High is any candle that has its Low taken out on close by a subsequent candle (and vice-versa for Local Lows).
The Local High does NOT have to be the candle with the highest High out of recent candles. It does NOT have to be a Williams High. It is not necessarily a swing high or a reversal or anything else.
By the rules, Local Lows and Highs must alternate. In this function they do not, so I'm calling them Simple Lows and Highs.
Simple Highs and Lows, by the above definition, can be useful for entries and stops. Because I intend to use them for trailing stops, I want them all, not just the ones that alternate in strict order.
The difference between this function and f_simpleLowHigh() is that it also tracks the lowest/highest recent level. This level can be useful for trailing stops.
In effect, these are like more "normal" highs and lows that you would pick by eye, but confirmed faster in many cases than by waiting for the low/high of that particular candle to be taken out on close,
because they are instead confirmed by ANY subsequent candle having its low/high exceeded. Hence, I call these Enhanced Simple Lows/Highs.
The levels are taken from the extreme highs/lows, but the bar indexes are given for the candles that were actually used to confirm the Low/High.
This is by design, because it might be misleading to label the extreme, since we didn't use that candle to confirm the Low/High..
@param - there are no parameters. The function uses the chart OHLC.
@returns - boolean values for whether this bar confirms an Enhanced Simple Low/High
ints for the bar_index of that Low/High
floats for the values of the recent high/low levels
floats for the trailing high/low levels (for debug/post-processing)
bools for market structure bias
f_trueLowHigh()
This function finds True Lows and Highs.
A True High is the candle with the highest recent high, which then has its low taken out on close by a subsequent candle (and vice-versa for True Lows).
The difference between this and an Enhanced High is that confirmation requires not just any Simple High, but confirmation of the very candle that has the highest high.
Because of this, confirmation is often later, and multiple Simple Highs and Lows can develop within ranges formed by a single big candle without any of them being confirmed. This is by design.
A True High looks like the intuitive "real high" when you look at the chart. True Lows and Highs must alternate.
@param - there are no parameters. The function uses the chart OHLC.
@returns - boolean values for whether this bar confirms an Enhanced Simple Low/High
ints for the bar_index of that Low/High
floats for the values of the recent high/low levels
floats for the trailing high/low levels (for debug/post-processing)
bools for market structure bias
Trend From Volume And Price (TFVAP)Indicator that indicates buying and selling times based on price and volume and who is imposed of the two (VAP).
It uses the trends of the Dow theory (primary: 365 days/1 year, secondary: 90 days/3 months and tertiary: 21 days/3 weeks) and the identification of Elliot waves, both impulse and correction, based on the Fibonacci retracements (23.61% , 38.2%, etc.).
- Purple line is the evolution in percentage of the price in the primary trend
- Blue line is the evolution in percentage of the volume in the primary trend
- White line is the evolution in percentage of the (volume % - price %) in the primary trend, if white line > 0
- Green triangleup is time of start to buy
- Green square is time of stop to buy
- Red triangledown is time of sell
To understand it better:
If the purple line goes up it indicates that the price is rising, if it goes down, that the price is down.
If the blue line is greater than 0 it indicates that there are more purchases than sales, if the blue line is less than 0 it indicates that there are more sales than purchases.
If the white line is greater than 0 there is a high volume of purchases or low sales for the price that there is, it is likely that the price will rise.
If the white line is less than 0 there is a low volume of purchases or high sales for the price that there is, it is likely that the price will go down.
PD: Ignore the chart drawings, the indicator script is only represented at the bottom
Smart Relative Strength Can Remove False SignalsRelative strength is one of the most useful indicators in the market, highlighting when stocks and sectors are outperforming or underperforming a broader index.
Traditional RS compares the percentage change of one symbol over a given time frame and subtracts the percentage change of the S&P 500 over the same period.
This is handy, but it can produce false signals at times of volatility. For example, when the broader market is crashing, certain sectors may “outperform” simply by falling less than the S&P 500.
Smart Relative Strength addresses this shortcoming by requiring that the symbol’s absolute AND relative returns both be positive. Otherwise a zero is returned.
This was useful last week on the Dow Jones Transportation Average . Using simple relative strength, it had its best one-week performance against the S&P 500 since October 2008. This was obviously a false signal because October 2008 was a time that everything else was crashing.
Smart Relative Strength showed that, excluding periods of overall decline, DJT had its best week since January 2008.
Note: This chart uses a 1-period interval, while the code defaults to 21 periods.
Dow Factor RSI Fractals with Risk Detector
This script is only the fact that the fractals are set according to my Dow Factor RSI .
Bar color and background change where risk factor is high.
You can turn it off or on from the menu.
I'm not licensing because "fractal support and resistances" are not my own codes.
The rest are my own products.
For more information about the Dow Factor RSI:
For more information on the DVOG Risk Detector:
For information about Dependent Variable Odd Generator :
To see the script in a storm theme with Quadruple Exponential Moving Averages:
Best wishes.
Storm Trading System This script is inspired by the following :
Fractal Dow RSI Support and Resistance ;
Moving Average Clouds ;
Let's start.
This command is based on a fun description of where we are.
Technical analysis methods are likened to a storm.
Clouds as moving average,risk factor as lightning,
fractals were taken as green and red rain.
In this system:
4 Exponential Moving Averages, ( EMA15, EMA30 , EMA45 , EMA60 ),
interpretation of my own work, Dow Factor RSI, as Fractal Support and Resistance,
interpretation of my own work , DVOG Risk Factor : with changeable background and bar color.
Fractal support resistance level codes do not belong to me.
So I'm not putting a license.
But the other codes are my labor.
Consider the risk factor not as a stop, but as a region of high attention.
It is a warning before hard movements.
And watch out for turbulence in the clouds :)
The regions above and below the clouds are major trend zones, which may take a long time.
Guide the fractals in these areas.
It allows you to comment on this and tons of similar things.
And you see where you are in the big trade from a different perspective.
Repaint issue :
Firstly our source is close . Repaint will only cause the following issue and solution:
There may be a time difference between countries as the dow factor depends on the indexes.
Do not use a low graph time frame in stocks.
Function : Multiple Correlation
This script was written to calculate the correlation coefficient (Adjusted R-Squared) for one dependent and two independent variables.(3-way)
Pearson correlation method was used with exponential moving averages as the correlation calculation method.
Use your source ( i use "close" generally ) as the dependent variable.
Inspired by this article : www.real-statistics.com
The Adjusted R-Squared coefficient is used as output, but the R-Squared coefficient is also available in the code.
Adjusted R-Squared is often used for multiple correlations.
It also gives better results in large samples.
Here is the article about the difference of the two coefficients : www.investopedia.com
I wrote this function to increase the efficiency of my Dow Factor I used before.
When my research is over, I will apply the 3-factor correlation to my scripts.
I hope that I will achieve more efficient indicators and oscillators and even strategies.
In this command, I gave a few variable values and plotted them as an example.
I hope this function is useful in your work.
Finally, you can use periods as mutable variables.
The function is recovered from integer loads.
Best regards. Noldo
Dow Factor Stoch RSIThe indicator was generated by adding the Dow Factor to the Stochastic Relative Strength Index.( Stoch RSI )
The Dow factor is the effect of the correlation coefficient, which determines the relationship between volume and price, on the existing indicators.
With these codes we are able to integrate them numerically into the indicators.
For more information on the Dow factor, please see my indicator:
This code is open source under the MIT license. ( github.com )
My dow factor updates will continue.We adapted the indicators and saw successful results, now it is time to examine and develop the factor itself.
Stay tuned , best regards.
REAL STRATEGY : Dow_Factor_MFI/RSI_DVOG_StrategyI'm actually one of those who think it's more important to extract clues from indicators than strategy, but I wanted to test the data about the probability and dow factor I've shared for a long time.
Usually, Bitcoin is used as an eye stain for strategy success, since the graph has increased significantly from the beginning.
To prevent this, I used a commission and in the last lines of document I shared Bitmex's Bitcoin and Ethereum 1W test results.
I don't think there's a factor to repaint. ( Warn me if u see or observe )
I considered Bitcoin because I found working with liquid parities much more realistic.
Ethereum and Bitmex have been featured as a spot and may soon find a place at the CME , so I've evaluated the Ethereum .
But since the Ethereum Bitmex was also spot new, I deleted results that were less than 10 closed trades.
Since the Dow Theory also looks at the harmony in the indices, just try it in the Cryptocurrency market.
Use as indicator in other markets. Support with channels, trend lines with big periods and other supportive indicators.
And my personal suggestion : Use this script and indicator TF : 4H and above.
Specifications :
Commission. ( % 0.125 )
Switchable Methods ( Relative Strength Index / Money Flow Index )
Alarms. (Buy / Sell )
Position closure when horizontal market rates weighs.
Progressive gradual buy/sell alarms.
Clean code layout that will not cause repaint. (Caution : source = close )
Switchable barcolor option (I / 0 )
*****Test results :*****
drive.google.com
Summary:
It was a realistic test.
It has achieved great success in some markets, but as I mentioned earlier, use it only to gain insight into the price movements of cryptos.
Use as indicator in other markets.
This code is open source under the MIT license. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository : github.com
Stay tuned ! Noldo.
Dow Factor Relative Strength IndexThis script was written to create a new, rapid relative strength index inspired by the Dow Theory.
More info about Dow Theory : www.investopedia.com
According to the Dow Theory, volume should confirm market trends.
The correlation coefficient between prices and volume is negative in weakening trends and negative trends , positive in strengthening or positive trends.a factor was formed based on the correlation coefficient between volume and prices.
This factor was added to the relative strength index.
Period 5 is selected because the volume is very volatile and can be slow.
You can use the period you want, but I recommend the period as a minimum of 5.
It is suitable for all instruments and timeframes and thanks to its design, it provides control over gradual buying and selling points.
I haven't fully tested it, it's open to updates. For now, just use it to create ideas.
If I find it necessary,
I'll update after the tests.
If you have suggestions on these issues,
Leave your comments in the comment window.
This code is open source under the MIT license. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository github.com
Stay tuned , best regards.
Dependent Variable Odd Generator For Machine Learning TechniquesCAUTION : Not suitable for strategy, open to development.
If can we separate the stagnant market from other markets, can we be so much more accurate?
This project was written to research it. It is just the tiny part of the begining.
And this is a very necessary but very small side function in the main function. Lets start :
Hi users, I had this idea in my mind for a long time but I had a hard time finding the parameters that would make the market stagnant. This idea is my first original command system. Although it is very difficult to make sense of the stagnant market, I think that this command system can achieve realistic proportions. With 's money flow index, I opened the track to determine the level. On the other hand, the prices were also using a money flow index, and it forced me to make the limitations between the levels in a logical way. But the good thing is that since the bollinger bandwidth uses a larger period, we are able to print normal values at extreme buy and sell values.
In terms of price, we can define excessive purchase and sale values as the period is smaller. I have repeatedly looked at the limit values that determine the bull, bear, and bollinger bandwidth (mfi), and I think this is the right one. Then I have included these values in the probability set.
The bull and bear market did not form the intersection of the cluster, and because there are connected events, the stagnant market, which is the intersection, will be added to the other markets with the same venn diagram logic and the sum of the probability set will be 1. is equal to. I hope that we can renew the number generators in the very important parameters of machine learning such as Markov Process with generators dependent on dependent variables, which bring us closer to reality. This function is open to development and can be made of various ideas on machine learning. Best wishes.
This code is open source under the MIT license. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository github.com
Tabajara by André MachadoAmigos da comunidade TradingView que me pediram o Setup Tabajara, segue ele aqui para uso livre e educacional!
Na verdade é um Setup de Finanças Comportamentais, ou o que chamo de Setup Ansiolítico!!!
O meu Trading System é 100% discricionário e 100% baseado em AT clássica, Teoria de Dow pura, ou o que chamam de Price Action. Simplesmente uso as MMA20 e MMA200 para me mostrar a tendência, evitando assim operar contra. E tb usando o conceito matemático de "regressão à média" e operando as reversões nelas. Enfim, muito básico mesmo. Por isso o nome Tabajara, porque não tem nada de novo! O jogo de cores é só para gerenciar mesmo a ansiedade e forçar a disciplina e a paciência!
E aproveito para agradecer ao Filipe Ramos, da TradingView Brasil, por ter criado o setup Tabajara a meu pedido!
