The Lazy Trader - Index (ETF) Trend Following Robot50/150 moving average, index (ETF) trend following robot. Coded for people who cannot psychologically handle dollar-cost-averaging through bear markets and extreme drawdowns (although DCA can produce better results eventually), this robot helps you to avoid bear markets. Be a fair-weathered friend of Mr Market, and only take up his offer when the sun is shining! Designed for the lazy trader who really doesn't care...
Recommended Chart Settings:
Asset Class: ETF
Time Frame: Daily
Necessary ETF Macro Conditions:
a) Country must have healthy demographics, good ratio of young > old
b) Country population must be increasing
c) Country must be experiencing price-inflation
Default Robot Settings:
Slow Moving Average: 50 (integer) //adjust to suit your underlying index
Fast Moving Average: 150 (integer) //adjust to suit your underlying index
Bullish Slope Angle: 5 (degrees) //up angle of moving averages
Bearish Slope Angle: -5 (degrees) //down angle of moving averages
Average True Range: 14 (integer) //input for slope-angle formula
Risk: 100 (%) //100% risk means using all equity per trade
ETF Test Results (Default Settings):
SPY (1993 to 2020, 27 years), 332% profit, 20 trades, 6.4 profit factor, 7% drawdown
EWG (1996 to 2020, 24 years), 310% profit, 18 trades, 3.7 profit factor, 10% drawdown
EWH (1996 to 2020, 24 years), 4% loss, 26 trades, 0.9 profit factor, 36% drawdown
QQQ (1999 to 2020, 21 years), 232% profit, 17 trades, 3.6 profit factor, 2% drawdown
EEM (2003 to 2020, 17 years), 73% profit, 17 trades, 1.1 profit factor, 3% drawdown
GXC (2007 to 2020, 13 years), 18% profit, 14 trades, 1.3 profit factor, 26% drawdown
BKF (2009 to 2020, 11 years), 11% profit, 13 trades, 1.2 profit factor, 33% drawdown
A longer time in the markets is better, with the exception of EWH. 6 out of 7 tested ETFs were profitable, feel free to test on your favourite ETF (default settings) and comment below.
Risk Warning:
Not tested on commodities nor other financial products like currencies (code will not work), feel free to leave comments below.
Moving Average Slope Angle Formula:
Reproduced and modified from source:
Following
EMA Slope - ValenteThis indicator will show you the EMA SLOPE as a HISTOGRAM.
Este indicador mostra a INCLINACAO da EMA como um HISTOGRAMA
CDC ActionZone V3 2020## CDC ActionZone V3 2020 ##
This is an update to my earlier script, CDC ActionZone V2
The two scripts works slightly differently with V3 reacting slightly faster.
The main update is focused around conforming the standard to Pine Script V4.
## How it works ##
ActionZone is a very simple system, utilizing just two exponential moving
averages. The 'Zones' in which different 'actions' should be taken is
highlighted with different colors on the chart. Calculations for the zones
are based on the relative position of price to the two EMA lines and the
relationship between the two EMAs
CDCActionZone is your barebones basic, tried and true, trend following system
that is very simple to follow and has also proven to be relatively safe.
## How to use ##
The basic method for using ActionZone is to follow the green/red color.
Buy when bar closes in green.
Sell when bar closes in red.
There is a small label to help with reading the buy and sell signal.
Using it this way is safe but slow and is expected to have around 35-40%
accuracy, while yielding around 2-3 profit factors. The system works best
on larger time frames.
The more advanced method uses the zones to switch between different
trading system and biases, or in conjunction with other indicators.
example 1:
Buy when blue and Bullish Divergence between price and RSI is visible,
if not Buy on Green and vise-versa
example 2:
Set up a long-biased grid and trade long only when actionzone is in
green, yellow or orange.
change the bias to short when actionzone turns to te bearish side
(red, blue, aqua)
(Look at colors on a larger time frame)
## Note ##
The price field is set to close by default. change to either HL2 or OHLC4
when using the system in intraday timeframes or on market that does not close
(ie. Cryptocurrencies)
## Note2 ##
The fixed timeframe mode is for looking at the current signal on a larger time frame
ie. When looking at charts on 1h you can turn on fixed time frame on 1D to see the
current 'zone' on the daily chart plotted on to the hourly chart.
This is useful if you wanted to use the system's 'Zones' in conjunction with other
types of signals like Stochastic RSI, for example.
FRAMA - Supertrend strategyFRAMA Strategy
I found this strategy on internet, in a well-known forex forum.
I have translated the two indicators mentioned in that strategy (originally in mq4) in pine script.
Thanks to Fractured and Shizaru for the FRAMA snippets, to mejialucas for Supertrend snippet, to JayRogers for trade management snippet and to Trost for backtesting snippet.
I also added some code to have FRAME with a deiiferent timeframe
Indicators set-up:
FRAMA period 24 (it was originally 25 but it's better to use an even number)
FRAMA timefarme lower then chart timeframe (e.g. daily chart and weekly FRAMA)
Supertrend indicator as it is.
Of course, it is better to adapt above setting to traded instrument.
Long/Buy rules:
1 - Enter at crossover between FRAMA and its signal
2 - Option to filter entries based on supertrend signal
3 - Exit when Supertrend change direction;
4 - Exit long when short signal occurs;
Short/Sell rules:
1 - Enter at crossunder between FRAMA and its signal
2 - Option to filter entries based on supertrend signal
3 - Exit when Supertrend change direction;
4 - Exit short when long signal occurs;
VERY IMPORTANT NOTE: this is a trend following strategy, so the target is to stay in the trade as much as possible (drawdown my be high). If your trading style is more focused on scalping and/or pullbaks, this strategy is not for you.
Credits to who developed this startegy (google it).
Thanks to all pinescripters mentined in the code for their snippets.
I have also a study with alerts.
Please use comment section for any feedback or contact me if you need support.
Stochastic binary option styleUsing Time Frames For Trend – You can also use different time frames to determine trends with stochastic. To do this you will need to use two different time frame charts, I like to use the weekly/daily or daily/hourly combination depending on the asset. Weekly/daily works well with stocks and indices while I prefer the shorter time frame for currency and commodities. This is how it works; stochastic on the longer term chart sets trend, stochastic on the shorter term chart gives the signal. If, on the weekly chart, stochastic is pointing up then you would trade bullish signals on the daily charts. Or if using the daily/hourly combo the stochastic on the daily would set trend while signals would come from the hourly chart.
Green color bar and background means k is > d, the crowd is bullish (trend is bullish, a bullish crossover is happened), red is the contrary (bears are the leaders)
Credit to Michael Hodges
Price FlowFor those who like to trade with the trend instead of against it. This little script shows you what side of the daily/weekly/monthly timeframe open, price is currently trading at so that you dont accidentally trade against the higher timeframe momentum. Timeframes are customizable through the indicator settings panel.