Earnings Price Move Cheat Sheet [KT]Hello!
This script looks to distinguish replicable sequences and correlations between earnings releases and price. The indicator calculates the average 1-session to 20-session performance of an asset prior to an earnings release, and the 1-session to 20-session performance of an asset subsequent an earnings release.
You can select the number of sessions the script calculates for asset performance.
In the image above the script calculates the average 1-session performance following an earnings surprise, earnings miss, and in general. 20 sessions is the maximum value!
Also measured is the average performance of an asset before and after earnings, in addition to the average performance following an earnings surprise "green earnings" and the average performance following an earnings miss "red earnings".
I included VaR and CVaR calculations - using the historical method - in the script. For those of you unfamiliar with the metrics, both look to quantify the risk of financial loss for a portfolio, or even a particular position.
The script also calculates the 1st - 5th percentile for earnings losses. A more comprehensive explanation of the metrics is stored in tooltips in the user input tab.
The script also calculates the highest high and lowest low following an earnings release, up to 20 sessions, and calculates the difference between the two.
Keep in mind that a company might not have a significant number of earnings misses, or may have only traded publicly for a short while. If true, the resulting earnings/price calculations *will* be misleading - there is an insufficient sample size; no correlations are ascertainable.
I will be working on this script more, so let me know if there is anything you would like included!
Analisis Fundamental
Valuation TableHey folks, I hope you are all doing well!
This is an indicator that you can use to help you to evaluate companies. There are a few things I added to the valuation table that I personally use and I will explain what they are.
I added Joel Greenblatt's ROC% because it takes Earnings before Interest and Taxes to reflect more closely what the company earns from its operations, while including the cost of depreciation/amortization of assets. A high double digit figure often means that the company has a defensible edge versus its competitors (e.g. a strong brand or a unique product). It's good for relative valuation (comparing two companies in the same industry).
I also added Donald Yacktman's forward rate of return. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation . Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future. Yacktman’s Forward Rate of Return may or may not be a useful metric. However, it does present new ways to see and think about stocks we may want to buy.
I added a box called "real price" and that is from Peter Lynch's book, "One Up on Wall Street," where he talked about how the real price of the stock is really the current price - Net Cash Per Share.
I would also personally pair this script with TradingView's built in financial indicators that shows the revenue growth, net income, etc.
Note: the script only works on the weekly timeframe and it will take some time to load because it has a lot of data.
VIX Strategy : Risk-ON, Risk-OFF
VRatio is the ratio of VIX3M and VIX. This ratio rises above 1.1; in a bear market, it decreases and goes below 1. VRatio=VIX3M/VIX. More details in Part 2.
VRatio > 1: Risk-On signal
Contango is the ratio of VX2 (first back-month contract) and VX1 (front-month contract) minus one. In a bull market, this indicator rises above 5%’ in a downtrend market, this indicator goes below -5%. More details in Part 2.
Contango > -5%: Risk-On signal
Contango Roll is the ratio of VX2 first back-month contract) and the VIX minus one. In a bull market, this indicator rises above 10%’ in a downtrend market, this indicator goes below -10%. More details in Part 2.
Contango Roll > 10%: Risk-On signal
Volatility Risk Premium (VRP) compares the implied volatility to the recent realized volatility; it attempts to quantify how much “extra” premium (in volatility term) S&P500 option sellers are charging investors for the protection of their portfolio. It can be seen as an insurance premium. A simple way to compute the VRP is VRP= VIX -HV10 where HV10 is the 10-day historical volatility of S&P500. Some people also look at the 5-day moving average of the VRP to smooth this indicator.
VRP > 0: Risk-On signal
Fast Volatility Risk Premium (FVRP) is a variant of the VRP. FVRP=EMA(VIX,7)-HV5 where HV5 the 5-day historical volatility of S&P500.
FVRP > 0: Risk-On signal
Volatility Momentum compares today’s VIX to last 50 days. It has, therefore, quite a bit of lag but it is a useful measure when combined with other indicators. Volatility Momentum=SMA(VIX,50) -VIX.
Volatility Momentum > 0: Risk-On signal
VIX Mean Reversion looks at today’s VIX compared to certain thresholds. We avoid investing in the S&P500 when the VIX is too high (above 20) or too low (below 12).
VIX Mean Reversion > 12 and VIX Mean Reversion < 20: Risk-On signal
VIX3M Mean Reversion works the same way as VIX Mean Reversion.
VIX3M Mean Reversion > 12 and VIX3M Mean Reversion < 20: Risk-On signal
ds Revenue, Margins, Earnings TrendsPURPOSE: Looks for trends in Revenue, Margins, Earnings (RME) and provides a quick indication of where to focus your attention. Developed for educational purposes for my Investing Program Students at Everett Community College, Everett, WA.
WHAT IT DOES:
Based on the principle that fundamental trends support technical price trends this indicator intends to help swing and position trading students evaluate the income statement by exposing recent trends in the revenue, margins, and earnings looking at eight quarters of data. It requires three quarters to determine a trend therefore there is a heavy focus on the last three quarters of data. Tools and indicators should be used to "tell something useful" in this case it is specifically is revenue, margins, and earnings expanding, contracting, or flat? Is this movement accelerating or decelerating? Lastly some logic is used to interpret at glance whether this stock warrants a closer look into the fundamentals and technicals of this particular company.
HOW TO:
This is a brief description on how to use this tool
1. TOP ROW: This shows the symbol and then provides a summation indicator (Green Checkmark, Yellow caution triangle, Red X) for each section (Revenue, Margins, Earnings). At a glance shows strength/weakness/concerns.
2. TABLE: You will see 8 quarters of data assuming it is available broken into sections for Revenue, Margins, and Earnings.
3. COLUMNS: The text color red does not denote a negative number and the text color green does not denote a positive number. Rather in the column of data where it is displayed, the green text helps visually show a bullish trend when each value is greater than the prior value and the red text helps visually show a bearish trend when each value is less than the prior value. Yellow background in columns highlights values which should not normally be negative numbers.
4. 3Q TREND ROW: This row analyzes the last three quarters of data in the column to determine if the trend is rising, falling, or flat.
5. 3Q ROCK ROW: This row analyzes the last three quarters of data to determine if the trend is accelerating up, accelerating down, or momentum (MOM) is sideways.
6. BOTTOM ROW INDICATORS: Based on whether the numbers are negative or positive and the trend, This row shows one of the following results:
6a. Green Checkmark is considered acceptable performance.
6b. Yellow Caution Triangle indicates a closer inspection of this columns data is warranted.
6c. Orange Diamond is more serious than the Caution but not as bad as a Red Flag. Extra caution is required here.
6d. Red Flag indicates a warning that undesirable performance characteristics are associated with the data in this column.
Bond Yeild CurveBond Yeild Curve
A bond yeild curve is a line that plot the interest rate of bonds of each maturity dates.
The slope of the curve give the future of economy cycle.
if the slope could be normal (positive), flat or even inverted.
This indicator aquired data of bond yeild provided by TradingView.
How to use it.
Select the country of the bond / another country to compare.
Select the maturity of bond (this indicator set 2Y, 5Y, 10Y and 20Y as default).
You can toggle to 3 different data set; Yeild, Spread (10Y-2Y) and Yeild Curve.
In case that you select the "Yeild Curve", you can customize the desired past period to compare.
How we can get the benefit.
- If the current spread is greater than 1.0, it suppose that the economy of that country probably is ok.
- if the current spread is between 0 - 1.0, it suppose to be flatted and probably turn to invert and the economy cound be in a recession soon.
- if the current spread is below 0, it suppose to be inverted and economy is in recession.
when knowing the state of economy, it would help us to manage our investment.
When you select "Yeild"
When you select "Spread"
When you select "Yeild Curve"
I'm new for this.
if any idea, correction and suggestion, i do appreciate it.
Financials based on Piotroski F-ScoreFinancials based on Piotroski F-Score includes 2 languages : Vietnamese and English
Select Quarterly or Annual Financial Statements:
Select Quarterly Report
Select Annual Financial Statements
Convert to billions:
Note the abbreviations:
1. Rev: Total revenue
2. Gross: Gross profit (Gross Margin)
3. OI: Operating Income
4. Net: Net Income (Net Margin)
5. FCO: Cash From Operating Activities
6. ROA: Return on assets
7. C: Deferred Income, Current
8. N: Deferred Income, Non-Current
9. TAS: Total assets (Asset turnover)
10. Debt: Total liabilities
11. E: Debt to EBITDA ratio
12. L_debt: Long term debt to total assets ratio
13. Cur: Current ratio
14. INV: Total inventories (Inventory turnover)
15. TSO: Total Shares Outstanding (Diluted EPS )
16. Graham: Graham's number (close/Graham's number)
17. F_score: Piotroski F-score
Select item Financials on chart:
Manual Financials based on Piotroski F-Score:
The Piotroski F-Score is the sum of 9 components related to profitability, leverage and op. efficiency. These nine components are each given a pass (1) or fail (0). The sum of these parts results in the F-Score. For each criteria that a company meets, it's F-Score is increased by 1.
Profitability Components
- Positive Net Income -> 1
- Positive Operating Cash Flow -> 1
- Higher ROA than Previous Period -> 1
- CFO > NI -> 1
Leverage Components
- Decline in Long Term Debt -> 1
- Higher Current Ratio than Previous Period ->1
- Less Dilution (# of Shares Outstanding) than Previous Period -> 1
Operating Efficiency Components
- Higher Gross Margin than Previous Period -> 1
- Higher Asset Turnover than Previous Period -> 1
If you invested in only those companies that scored best or highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996, you would have outperformed the market by an average of 13.4% per year - and this over 20 years!
That sounds just about too good to be true. But it is true!
S&P 500 Earnings Yield SpreadThis indicator compares the attractiveness of equities relative to the risk-free rate of return, by comparing the earnings yields of S&P 500 companies to the 10Y treasury yields. "Earnings yield" refers to the net income attributable to shareholders divided by the stock's price - effectively the inverse of the PE ratio. The tangible meaning of this metric is "the annual income received by (attributable to) shareholders as a percent of the price paid to receive said income." Therefore, earnings yield is comparable to bond yields, which are "the annual income received by bond holders as a percent of the price paid to receive said income."
This indicator subtracts the earnings yield of S&P 500 companies from the current 10-year treasury bond yield, creating a "spread" between the yields that determines whether equities are currently an attractive investment relative to bonds. That is, if the S&P 500 earnings yield exceeds the 10Y treasury yield, then equity investors are receiving more attributable income per dollar paid than bondholders, which could be an indication that equities are an attractive purchase relative to the risk-free rate. The same applies vice-versa; if the 10Y treasury yield exceeds that of the S&P 500 earnings yield, then equities may not be an attractive investment relative to the risk-free rate.
Since data on S&P 500 companies' earnings yields are pulled on a monthly basis, this indicator should be used on a monthly timeframe or longer. Historical data has shown that the critical zones for the indicator are at -4% and +3%, i.e. when equities are trading with a 4% greater yield than 10Y T-bonds and when equities are trading with a 3% lower yield than 10Y T-bonds, respectively. In the "Oversold" case (-4%), equities are trading at a steep discount to the risk-free rate and has often represented a strong buying opportunity. In the "Overbought" case (+3%), equities are trading at a premium to the risk-free rate, which may be an indication that caution should be exercised within the stock market. When the indicator first crosses into "Oversold" territory, this has historically been near a the bottom of a crash on the S&P 500. When the indicator first crosses into the "Overbought" territory, this has often precipitated a correction of 15% on the S&P 500.
Some notable "misses," crashes that this indicator missed, include the 1973 stock market crash and the 2008 global recession. However, both of these cases were largely precipitated by unprecedented economic events, as opposed to stocks simply being "Overbought" relative to treasury yields. Nonetheless, this indicator should form only a small portion of your fundamental analysis, as there are many macroeconomic factors that could lead to major corrections besides the impact of treasury yields. Furthermore, it should also be noted that since markets are "forward looking," future earnings growth or interest rate hikes may become "priced into" both the stock and bond markets, affecting the outputs of this indicator. However, since both the stock and bond markets should account for these factors simultaneously, the impact has historically been minimized.
I hope you find this indicator to be beneficial to your strategies. Stay safe, and happy trading.
Lankou VS BTC all
/!\ To make it work well use -> pin at new right scale
This script displays the comparison with BTCUSDT
it permits to see if an asset is gaining value against BTC, and fastly scan USDT asset to determine if they are bullish
It works for ANY asset, as it's dividing it's price by the BTCUSDT one
Lev Umanov Sin EquationThis indicator is taken from the calculations made by Lev Umanov. It predicts the peaks of Bitcoin. The indicator works with most BTCUSD pairings.
BTC Price vs COP Spread Chart Wanted to create a spread chart using BTC and some cost of production estimates. In any commodity using COP is a great way to define "value" and typically there's about 100-150% markup for investors to keep in mind when using this metric in their analysis. Thanks to Grimm for the spread idea/request. #PMAFTW // Original cop code taken from;
J1 - Glassnode Metrics ToolkitTV announced that you can now pull data from Glassnode!
Here you can find every metric available to compare blockchain data from different coins.
How to use:
- Select your Coin
- Select your Metric
Then you can enable another coin or the same one to compare data.
As per TV's post:
Coins:
BTC, ETH, LTC, AAVE, ABT, AMPL, ANT, ARMOR, BADGER, BAL, BAND, BAT, BIX, BNT, BOND, BRD, BUSD, BZRX, CELR, CHSB, CND, COMP, CREAM, CRO, CRV, CVC, CVP, DAI, DDX, DENT, DGX, DHT, DMG, DODO, DOUGH, DRGN, ELF, ENG, ENJ, EURS, FET, FTT, FUN, GNO, GUSD, HEGIC, HOT, HPT, HT, HUSD, INDEX, KCS, LAMB, LBA, LDO, LEO, LINK, LOOM, LRC, MANA, MATIC, MCB, MCO, MFT, MIR, MKR, MLN, MTA, MTL, MX, NDX, NEXO, NFTX, NMR, Nsure, OCEAN, OKB, OMG, PAX, PAY, PERP, PICKLE, PNK, PNT, POLY, POWR, PPT, QASH, QKC, QNT, RDN, REN, REP, RLC, ROOK, RPL, RSR, SAI, SAN, SNT, SNX, STAKE, STORJ, sUSD, SUSHI, TEL, TOP, UBT, UMA, UNI, USDC, USDK, USDT, UTK, VERI, WaBi, WAX, WBTC, WETH, wNMX, WTC, YAM, YFI, ZRX.
Metrics:
ACTIVEADDRESSES — Number of Active Addresses
SENDINGADDRESSES — Number of Sending Addresses
RECEIVINGADDRESSES — Number of Receiving Addresses
NEWADDRESSES — Number of New Addresses
ADDRESSES — Number of Addresses
BLOCKS — Block Height
BLOCKSMINED — Number of Blocks Mined
BLOCKMEANINTERVAL — Mean Block Interval
BLOCKMEDIANINTERVAL — Median Block Interval
TOTALBLOCKSIZE — Total Block Size
MEANBLOCKSIZE — Mean Block Size
TOTALTXFEES — Total Transaction Fees
MEANTXFEES — Mean Transaction Fees
MEDIANTXFEES — Median Transaction Fees
TOTALTXFEESUSD — Total Transaction Fees in USD
MEANTXFEESUSD — Mean Transaction Fees in USD
MEDIANTXFEESUSD — Median Transaction Fees in USD
TOTALGASUSED — Total Gas Used
MEANGASUSED — Mean Gas Used
MEDIANGASUSED — Median Gas Used
MEANTXGASPRICE — Mean Transaction Gas Price in gwei
MEDIANTXGASPRICE — Median Transaction Gas Price in gwei
MEANTXGASPRICEUSD — Mean Transaction Gas Price in USD
MEDIANTXGASPRICEUSD — Median Transaction Gas Price in USD
MEANGASLIMIT — Mean Transaction Gas Limit
MEDIANGASLIMIT — Median Transaction Gas Limit
MARKETCAP — Market Cap
DIFFICULTY — Mining Difficulty
HASHRATE — Mean Hash Rate
ATHDRAWDOWN — Price Drawdown from ATH
SOPR — Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR)
NEWDEPOSITS — Number of New Deposits
NEWSTAKED — Amount of New Value Staked
NEWSTAKEDUSD — Amount of New Value Staked in USD
NEWVALIDATORS — Number of New Validators
DEPOSITS — Total Number of Deposits
STAKED — Total Value Staked
STAKEDUSD — Total Value Staked in USD
VALIDATORS — Total Number of Validators
PHASE0GOAL — Phase 0 Staking Goal
ACTIVE1Y — Percent of Supply Last Active 1+ Years Ago
TXS — Number of Transactions
TXSPS — Number of Transactions per Second
TFSPS — Number of Transfers per Second
TOTALTXSIZE — Total Size of Transactions
MEANTXSIZE — Mean Size of Transfers
TOTALVOLUME — Total Transfer Volume
TOTALVOLUMEUSD — Total Transfer Volume in USD
MEANVOLUME — Mean Transfer Volume
MEANVOLUMEUSD — Mean Transfer Volume in USD
MEDIANVOLUME — Median Transfer Volume
MEDIANVOLUMEUSD — Median Transfer Volume in USD
UTXOCREATED — Number of Created UTXOs
UTXOSPENT — Number of Spent UTXOs
UTXOTOTAL — Total Numbers of UTXOs in the Network
UTXOVALUETOTAL — Total Value of Created UTXOs
UTXOVALUETOTALUSD — Total Value of Created UTXOs in USD
UTXOVALUEMEAN — Mean Value of Created UTXOs
UTXOVALUEMEANUSD — Mean Value of Created UTXOs in USD
UTXOVALUEMEDIAN — Median Value of Created UTXOs
UTXOVALUEMEDIANUSD — Median Value of Created UTXOs in USD
UTXOVALUETOTALSPENT — Total Value of Spent UTXOs
UTXOVALUETOTALSPENTUSD — Total Value of Spent UTXOs in USD
UTXOVALUEMEANSPENT — Mean Value of Spent UTXOs
UTXOVALUEMEANSPENTUSD — Mean Value of Spent UTXOs in USD
UTXOVALUEMEDIANSPENT — Median Value of Spent UTXOs
UTXOVALUEMEDIANSPENTUSD — Median Value of Spent UTXOs in USD
UNISWAPTXS — Number of Transactions on Uniswap
UNISWAPTOTALVOLUME — Total Volume Traded on Uniswap
UNISWAPTOTALVOLUMEUSD — Total Volume Traded on Uniswap in USD
UNISWAPLIQUIDITY — Total Liquidity on Uniswap
UNISWAPLIQUIDITYUSD — Total Liquidity on Uniswap in USD
Premium on BTC in Russia (%)
Indicator shows the relative "premium" or "discount" of buying BTC with Ruble vs the USD on Binance.
Figures are shown in %.
Positive figures indicate a "premium" vs USD, negative indicates a "discount".
Indicator is calculated on the close of the 4h candles of each input.
Financial GrowthThis indicator will acquire the financial data provided by Tradview.
the data is compare between Quarter, Annual and TTM in term of percent of growth.
YoY, QoQ and CAGR is also available by this script (The minimum is 4).
in addition, ploting of data, label and table also available (you can check the mark to toggle on / off).
Data : Revenue, Net Income, EBITDA, EPS, DVPS, Free Cash Flow and Forward PE .
How to use it.
just select the financial data, period and size of data to compare.
you can check the box to toggle the plotting line, label and table.
Enjoy.
Stock Value - How Much Stock Should Worth?Stock Value
© danny_peanuts
There are many method of measuring value of stock. However I'm proposing most basic stock valuation based on Book Value, Earnings, Dividends and Money Supply:
SV = (BVPS + EPS + DPS) * (M2/M0)
BVPS = Book Value Per Share (Asset - Liability)
EPS = Earnings Per Share
DPS = Dividends Per Share
M2 = M2 Money Supply (Money Market)
M0 = M0 Money Supply (Base Money)
Fundamental value of a stock should be determine by it's BV which means total asset of a company if were liquidated today and use some of it's asset to pay of the debt. So technically BVPS is the intrinsic value of a stock. However the company is generating an earning which is profit and loss that should be added on top of the fundamental value of company, so thus EPS should be added on top of Book Value Per Share. Aside from earnings, the stock that you purchase give you dividends as your return so DPS also can be included on top of that. So all in all BVPS, EPS and DPS are the primary valuation of the stock. However most of the stock are traded way higher than their fundamental valuation. The main reason of this is the market dynamics which is driven by central banks printing of base money supply M0. The banking credit system then lend out this money to money markets as loan so that peoples can invest and by the company stock. This money supply extension of credit is known as money market M2 which drive the stock inflated price. The ratio between M2 and M0 are the money multiplier effect that drives the stock price higher than it's valuation. So the Stock Value should be the total number of BVPS + EPS + DPS times the M2 money multiplier as shown by this indicator.
If the stock are traded above their SV value, that means it's an overpriced bubble
If the stock are traded below their SV value, that means it's an underpriced burst
Close Combination Lock Style - Visual AppealThis creates a combination style closing price change on each tick.
It has two theme options, one as silver dials for Dark Theme and the other as black dials for White Theme.
We get fixated to watching closing prices on charts and it gets visually daunting. This creates a combination style price change which updates on each tick, which is quite pleasing to the eye.
When new price is above current center line, it shift the above prices showing ▲ arrow, and if new price is lower, it will shift the bottom prices showing ▼ arrow. If there is no change in price between the ticks, it will show =.
Market Risk IndicatorThere are many tools for swing traders. Position traders have not as much, perhaps because they live in the fringe zone between fundamental analysis and trend following.
In order to bridge this gap between fundamental analysis and technical analysis on large timeframes, we decided to work on building a market indicator that assesses its risk and quantifies it on a single dimension number.
The challenge is to consider as input different assets, that individually are themselves often market driving forces, and collectively, more often than not, are sufficient to determine the market status quo.
We came up with DXY , US10Y , HYG and WTI. The latter, the bigger the better; the former, vice versa.
Each asset is evaluated against its recent max/min range, percentually. The positive ones add up and vice versa.
This is still ongoing work. the math and code are simple. the heart of the matter is selecting the proper assets and processing them even better.
Thank you.
Crypto Spot Market Bot | BacktestHello Friends.
This script is only for long positions.
How does the algorithm work ?
The Relative Momentum Index
Relative Strength İndex
Average Directional Movement İndex
Momentum
When rsi and adx produce signals in the same direction, the rmi indicator confirms the signal. After the Confirmed Signal, the buy-side transaction is entered , the closed according to the % of profit taking and stoploss specified on the algorithm in the entered transaction.
In the spot market, it is possible to make money even in a down trend
All shared charts run within a 1-hour time frame.
Note : The shared backtest results have been shared as of 9/9/2021 by calculating 50% balance and 2 pyramiding methods in an account of 1000 dollars. Keep in mind that this algorithm will want to try to average down in possible worst-case scenarios. 2% - %3take profit levels will provide consecutive gains in the spot market.
How should the adjustments be made?
Value variables should be made according to formula a and formula b values and backtest results. You can increase the frequency of transactions by lowering the adx and rsi values.
Overview :
HighLow Box Highlight between EarningsHighLow Box Highlight between Earnings
This is an indicator to highlight area between two earning periods and their highest and lowest points.
It also alternates the highlight color in each subsequent block.
Tested to work in 1D charts and 1M charts
Just drop a message, if you want this further developed with more features.
Note: This was requested by user Meatpye on a forum.
Silen's Financials Fair ValueIt is finally here! 🔥 My 3rd and most important script in my Financial series! 🚀
Ever imagined to see all fundamentals (or many that is) combined into one indicator that is right on your chart, showing you how your favorite stock is trading compared to its fundamentals?
Well, here is your answer! 📡
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This script shows you my own personal interpretation of fair value, based solely on the financial fundamentals of a company compared to market averages.
I don't believe that certain sectors of the market should be priced higher than others. If you look at historical data you'll see that favored sectors always rotate - placing insanely high P/E multiples on some sectors. Once they are "out" and people rotate away from those sectors you're left with nothing but the naked fundamentals that matter. So, you'll see many companies, that have been doing well on paper, see their share price decline by 70-90% for no other reasons than people favoring other sectors.
That's why it's even more important to focus on fair value that is solely fundamentals-based. Know when your stock gets to expensive. 🤯
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To give you some examples:
- Most Megacaps trade at historically high valuations, several times my fair value. Those include AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, TSLA, JPM, TSM, V and so on. And no, in the past they partially traded below (my) fair value.
- Most Cybersecurity / Cloud companies are trading at truly massive multiples of my fair value. (NET, DDOG, etc)
- Many Smallcaps & Midcaps are trading several multiples (OESX, CODX, QFIN) below my fair value. And no, in the past they partially traded above (my) fair value.
Ok, so much about the market. You ultimately decide how much you want to orientate on fair value. 👨🏫
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This fair value indicator (purple line):
Takes the P/E rate of the company and compares it to the market (50% weight)
Takes the P/S rate of the company and compares it to the market (50% weight)
Then adds boni and mali f or debt/equity rates and debt and equity itself
Also looks at past growth and calculates future P/E and P/S rates which adds , in some cases, value to the fair value (green line)
Also compares how historical valuations have behaved compared to fair value and simulates a fair value guideline (dark blue line)
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This script is part 3️⃣ of a series of indicators that work well together.
Script 1️⃣ of the series is:
P/E & P/S Rates
Script 2️⃣ of the series is:
Debt & Equity
If you use all 3 scripts together it will look like this, giving you truly deep and simple information about the fundamentals of a company:
Example 1 - AMD
Example 2 - HZO
Example 3 - APPS
I hope this script makes your investing and stock picks a lot easier! 🔆💹🕗
Disclaimer: Fair value is always subjective. There are many different approaches to fair value. This one is only my personal interpretation.
Disclaimer 2: This script works only for the Day-Timeframe.
Disclaimer 3: This script uses 17,5 P/E and 3,0 P/S as market averages. The actual average keeps changing but, historically speaking, these seemed to be good numbers.
Feel free to share your thoughts and feedback! 🙃
[TG] Complete Financial DataHISTORY & CREDITS
Complete Financial Data is basic, yet very effective tool, that will show the most important information from the company's latest financial statements at a glance.
WHAT IT DOES
The table is designed to show comprehensive financial data about the selected ticker.
Revenue - often referred to as sales or the top line, is the money received from normal business operations.
Gross profit , also called gross income, is calculated by subtracting the cost of goods sold from revenue.
Net income , also called net earnings, is calculated as sales minus cost of goods sold, selling, general and administrative expenses, operating expenses, depreciation, interest, taxes, and other expenses.
Earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as a company's profit divided by the outstanding shares of its common stock. The resulting number serves as an indicator of a company's profitability.
Total debt includes long-term liabilities, such as mortgages and other loans that do not mature for several years, as well as short-term obligations, including loan payments and accounts payable balances.
The debt-to-revenue ratio is a financial measure that compares a company's monthly debt payment to its monthly gross income.
The term cash flow refers to the net amount of cash and cash equivalents being transferred in and out of a company. Cash received represents inflows, while money spent represents outflows.
An expense is the cost of operations that a company incurs to generate revenue. As the popular saying goes, “it costs money to make money.”
Return on equity (ROE) is a measure of financial performance calculated by dividing net income by shareholders' equity.
HOW TO USE IT
Even if you are entirely a technical analyst, it's always a good practice to take a look at the company's fundamentals, in order to understand more about the heath of the business. Look for companies that beat expectations and show positive growth numbers.
FX Profit CalculatorWith this indicator, you will be able to see how much you earn in forex in dollar terms.
It asks you 3 things when adding the indicator.
TP point
SL point
Position Entry point
If you have selected the TP point above, the entry zone below it, and the SL point below it, the indicator will automatically understand that there is a BUY order and will make the calculations accordingly.
The same is true for the opposite.
When you use the indicator in any parity, you will have problems switching to other parities.
So either use it only in one parity, or update your targets from the indicator settings at every parity change.
You will get the same error if:
Your trading entry point should be between your TP and SL points. If you do not set it this way, the indicator will warn that please fix it.
If you are in the trade, tick the settings and show the dollar-based profit of your position according to the instant closing price.
The percentage variable works like this:
When you adjust for one parity, shifts occur in the chart when you switch to the other parity. When switching to non-circulating graphics at the same prices, the user is prompted to re-enter so that the graphic does not deteriorate.
BONUS : You can move these lines up and down with your mouse on the graphic :)