ALT Risk Strategy with Fear & Greed + ISM PMI📊 Overview
This advanced crypto trading strategy combines multiple macro indicators to identify optimal buy and sell zones for altcoins. It tracks the relationship between altcoin performance versus Bitcoin (ALT/BTC pairs) while incorporating broader market sentiment and economic data to generate risk-adjusted entry and exit signals.
🎯 Core Methodology
Base Risk Metric (65% weight):
MACD Momentum (5%): Normalized trend strength on weekly ALT/BTC pair
RSI (60%): Relative strength indicating overbought/oversold conditions
Price Deviation (35%): Distance from 150-period moving average
Fear & Greed Index (20% weight):
Analyzes market sentiment using multiple factors:
Price momentum and rate of return
Money flow and volume analysis
Volatility metrics (crypto: BVOL24H, traditional: VIX)
Dominance indicators (crypto: BTC.D, traditional: Gold)
Two modes: Crypto-focused or Traditional markets
Customizable smoothing and weighting
US ISM PMI Integration (15% weight):
Manufacturing economic indicator (contraction vs expansion)
PMI < 50 = Economic weakness = Better crypto buying opportunities
PMI > 50 = Economic strength = Risk-on environment
Configurable offset to lead/lag the signal
Daily data smoothed over customizable period
💰 Trading Logic
Tiered Buy System:
Level 1 (Risk < 70): Initial entry with conservative amount
Level 2 (Risk < 50): Double down as risk decreases
Level 3 (Risk < 30): Maximum accumulation at extreme lows
All purchases customizable by dollar amount
Tiered Sell System:
Level 1 (Risk > 70): Take partial profits (default 25%)
Level 2 (Risk > 85): Continue scaling out (default 35%)
Level 3 (Risk > 100): Final exit (default 40%)
Sells reset when new buys occur (can re-accumulate)
⚙️ Key Features
Multi-Asset Support: ETH, SOL, ADA, LINK, UNI, XRP, DOGE, AVAX, MATIC, RENDER, or custom
Exchange Selection: Works with Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bitfinex, Bybit
3Commas Integration: Optional webhook alerts for automated bot trading
Visual Risk Zones: Color-coded indicator (green/lime/yellow/orange/red/maroon)
Real-time Info Table: Displays current risk metric, F&G index, PMI value, weights, and position status
Flexible Weighting: Adjust influence of each component (Base/F&G/PMI)
Weekly Timeframe: Reduces noise and focuses on macro trends
📈 Use Cases
DCA Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging with intelligent timing
Swing Trading: Catching major market cycles (weeks to months)
Risk Management: Exit before major downturns, enter during fear
Macro Trading: Align crypto positions with economic conditions
Bot Automation: Connect to 3Commas for hands-free execution
🎓 Credits & Attribution
Original Concept & Base Risk Metric:
Inspired by community-developed ALT/BTC risk oscillators
Fear & Greed methodology adapted from crypto market sentiment research
Enhancements & Integration:
ISM PMI integration and weighting system
Multi-indicator combination framework
Tiered buy/sell logic with reset mechanism
3Commas webhook integration
Development:
Primary Development: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Collaboration & Testing: User feedback and iteration
Pine Script Implementation: TradingView v5
⚠️ Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading. The strategy uses lagging indicators (weekly timeframe) which may not react quickly to sudden market changes.
🔧 Recommended Settings
For better performance than default conservative settings:
Increase buy amounts: Try $50/$75/$100 for more meaningful positions
Adjust thresholds: Consider 40/60/80 for more frequent entries
Test different weights: Experiment with F&G and PMI influence
Optimize for your asset: Different cryptos may require different parameters
Version: 1.0
Last Updated: December 2025
Compatible With: TradingView Pine Script v5
J-ETH
Vega Convexity Engine [PRO]ENGINEERED ASYMMETRY.
This is the flagship Stage 2 Specialist Model of the Vega Crypto Strategies ecosystem.
While the free "Regime Filter" tells you when to trade (filtering out chop), the Convexity Engine tells you how to trade. It activates only when the Regime Filter confirms an Impulse, classifying the specific vector of the market move to maximize risk-adjusted returns.
PRO FEATURES
This script visualizes the output of our Hierarchical Machine Learning Engine:
🚀 Directional Classification:
It does not just say "Buy." It classifies volatility into 4 distinct probability classes:
- EXPLOSION: High-confidence, high-velocity upside (Fat-Tail).
- RALLY: Standard trend continuation.
- PULLBACK: Short-term correction opportunity.
- CRASH: High-confidence downside (Long Squeeze Detection).
🛡️ Dynamic Risk Engine (Intraday Stops):
The "+" markers on your chart represent the Vega Institutional Stop Loss . These levels dynamically adjust based on Average True Range (ATR) and Volatility Z-Scores.
Strategy: If price breaches the "+" marker, the hypothesis is invalidated. Exit immediately.
📊 Institutional HUD:
A professional heads-up display showing the current Regime, Vector, and Risk Deployment status in real-time.
THE PHILOSOPHY
"Convexity" means limited downside with unlimited upside. By combining the Regime Filter (sitting in cash during noise) with Dynamic Stops (cutting losers fast), this engine is designed to capture the "fat tails" of the crypto market distribution.
🔒 HOW TO GET ACCESS
This is an Invite-Only script. It is strictly for members of Vega Crypto Strategies .
To unlock access, please visit the link in the Author Profile below or check our signature. Once subscribed via Whop, your TradingView username will be automatically authorized instantly.
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk.
ALT Risk Metric StrategyHere's a professional write-up for your ALT Risk Strategy script:
ALT/BTC Risk Strategy - Multi-Crypto DCA with Bitcoin Correlation Analysis
Overview
This strategy uses Bitcoin correlation as a risk indicator to time entries and exits for altcoins. By analyzing how your chosen altcoin performs relative to Bitcoin, the strategy identifies optimal accumulation periods (when alt/BTC is oversold) and profit-taking opportunities (when alt/BTC is overbought). Perfect for traders who want to outperform Bitcoin by strategically timing altcoin positions.
Key Innovation: Why Alt/BTC Matters
Most traders focus solely on USD price, but Alt/BTC ratios reveal true altcoin strength:
When Alt/BTC is low → Altcoin is undervalued relative to Bitcoin (buy opportunity)
When Alt/BTC is high → Altcoin has outperformed Bitcoin (take profits)
This approach captures the rotation between BTC and alts that drives crypto cycles
Key Features
📊 Advanced Technical Analysis
RSI (60% weight): Primary momentum indicator on weekly timeframe
Long-term MA Deviation (35% weight): Measures distance from 150-period baseline
MACD (5% weight): Minor confirmation signal
EMA Smoothing: Filters noise while maintaining responsiveness
All calculations performed on Alt/BTC pairs for superior market timing
💰 3-Tier DCA System
Level 1 (Risk ≤ 70): Conservative entry, base allocation
Level 2 (Risk ≤ 50): Increased allocation, strong opportunity
Level 3 (Risk ≤ 30): Maximum allocation, extreme undervaluation
Continuous buying: Executes every bar while below threshold for true DCA behavior
Cumulative sizing: L3 triggers = L1 + L2 + L3 amounts combined
📈 Smart Profit Management
Sequential selling: Must complete L1 before L2, L2 before L3
Percentage-based exits: Sell portions of position, not fixed amounts
Auto-reset on re-entry: New buy signals reset sell progression
Prevents premature full exits during volatile conditions
🤖 3Commas Automation
Pre-configured JSON webhooks for Custom Signal Bots
Multi-exchange support: Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bitfinex, Bybit
Flexible quote currency: USD, USDT, or BUSD
Dynamic order sizing: Automatically adjusts to your tier thresholds
Full webhook documentation compliance
🎨 Multi-Asset Support
Pre-configured for popular altcoins:
ETH (Ethereum)
SOL (Solana)
ADA (Cardano)
LINK (Chainlink)
UNI (Uniswap)
XRP (Ripple)
DOGE
RENDER
Custom option for any other crypto
How It Works
Risk Metric Calculation (0-100 scale):
Fetches weekly Alt/BTC price data for stability
Calculates RSI, MACD, and deviation from 150-period MA
Normalizes MACD to 0-100 range using 500-bar lookback
Combines weighted components: (MACD × 0.05) + (RSI × 0.60) + (Deviation × 0.35)
Applies 5-period EMA smoothing for cleaner signals
Color-Coded Risk Zones:
Green (0-30): Extreme buying opportunity - Alt heavily oversold vs BTC
Lime/Yellow (30-70): Accumulation range - favorable risk/reward
Orange (70-85): Caution zone - consider taking initial profits
Red/Maroon (85-100+): Euphoria zone - aggressive profit-taking
Entry Logic:
Buys execute every candle when risk is below threshold
As risk decreases, position sizing automatically scales up
Example: If risk drops from 60→25, you'll be buying at L1 rate until it hits 50, then L2 rate, then L3 rate
Exit Logic:
Sells only trigger when in profit AND risk exceeds thresholds
Sequential execution ensures partial profit-taking
If new buy signal occurs before all sells complete, sell levels reset to L1
Configuration Guide
Choosing Your Altcoin:
Select crypto from dropdown (or use CUSTOM for unlisted coins)
Pick your exchange
Choose quote currency (USD, USDT, BUSD)
Risk Metric Tuning:
Long Term MA (default 150): Higher = more extreme signals, Lower = more frequent
RSI Length (default 10): Lower = more volatile, Higher = smoother
Smoothing (default 5): Increase for less noise, decrease for faster reaction
Buy Settings (Aggressive DCA Example):
L1 Threshold: 70 | Amount: $5
L2 Threshold: 50 | Amount: $6
L3 Threshold: 30 | Amount: $7
Total L3 buy = $18 per candle when deeply oversold
Sell Settings (Balanced Exit Example):
L1: 70 threshold, 25% position
L2: 85 threshold, 35% position
L3: 100 threshold, 40% position (final exit)
3Commas Setup
Bot Configuration:
Create Custom Signal Bot in 3Commas
Set trading pair to your altcoin/USD (e.g., ETH/USD, SOL/USDT)
Order size: Select "Send in webhook, quote" to use strategy's dollar amounts
Copy Bot UUID and Secret Token
Script Configuration:
Paste credentials into 3Commas section inputs
Check "Enable 3Commas Alerts"
Save and apply to chart
TradingView Alert:
Create Alert → Condition: "alert() function calls only"
Webhook URL: api.3commas.io
Enable "Webhook URL" checkbox
Expiration: Open-ended
Strategy Advantages
✅ Outperform Bitcoin: Designed specifically to beat BTC by timing alt rotations
✅ Capture Alt Seasons: Automatically accumulates when alts lag, sells when they pump
✅ Risk-Adjusted Sizing: Buys more when cheaper (better risk/reward)
✅ Emotional Discipline: Systematic approach removes fear and FOMO
✅ Multi-Asset: Run same strategy across multiple altcoins simultaneously
✅ Proven Indicators: Combines RSI, MACD, and MA deviation - battle-tested tools
Backtesting Insights
Optimal Timeframes:
Daily chart: Best for backtesting and signal generation
Weekly data is fetched internally regardless of display timeframe
Historical Performance Characteristics:
Accumulates heavily during bear markets and BTC dominance periods
Captures explosive altcoin rallies when BTC stagnates
Sequential selling preserves capital during extended downtrends
Works best on established altcoins with multi-year history
Risk Considerations:
Requires capital reserves for extended accumulation periods
Some altcoins may never recover if fundamentals deteriorate
Past correlation patterns may not predict future performance
Always size positions according to personal risk tolerance
Visual Interface
Indicator Panel Displays:
Dynamic color line: Green→Lime→Yellow→Orange→Red as risk increases
Horizontal threshold lines: Dashed lines mark your buy/sell levels
Entry/Exit labels: Green labels for buys, Orange/Red/Maroon for sells
Real-time risk value: Numerical display on price scale
Customization:
All threshold lines are adjustable via inputs
Color scheme clearly differentiates buy zones (green spectrum) from sell zones (red spectrum)
Line weights emphasize most extreme thresholds (L3 buy and L3 sell)
Strategy Philosophy
This strategy is built on the principle that altcoins move in cycles relative to Bitcoin. During Bitcoin rallies, alts often bleed against BTC (high sell, accumulate). When Bitcoin consolidates, alts pump (take profits). By measuring risk on the Alt/BTC chart instead of USD price, we time these rotations with precision.
The 3-tier system ensures you're always averaging in at better prices and scaling out at better prices, maximizing your Bitcoin-denominated returns.
Advanced Tips
Multi-Bot Strategy:
Run this on 5-10 different altcoins simultaneously to:
Diversify correlation risk
Capture whichever alt is pumping
Smooth equity curve through rotation
Pairing with BTC Strategy:
Use alongside the BTC DCA Risk Strategy for complete portfolio coverage:
BTC strategy for core holdings
ALT strategies for alpha generation
Rebalance between them based on BTC dominance
Threshold Calibration:
Check 2-3 years of historical data for your chosen alt
Note where risk metric sat during major bottoms (set buy thresholds)
Note where it peaked during euphoria (set sell thresholds)
Adjust for your risk tolerance and holding period
Credits
Strategy Development & 3Commas Integration: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Technical Analysis Framework: RSI, MACD, Moving Average theory
Implementation: pommesUNDwurst
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Altcoins are especially volatile and many fail completely. The strategy assumes liquid markets and reliable Alt/BTC price data. Always do your own research, understand the fundamentals of any asset you trade, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The authors are not financial advisors and assume no liability for trading decisions.
Additional Warning: Using leverage or trading illiquid altcoins amplifies risk significantly. This strategy is designed for spot trading of established cryptocurrencies with deep liquidity.
Tags: Altcoin, Alt/BTC, DCA, Risk Metric, Dollar Cost Averaging, 3Commas, ETH, SOL, Crypto Rotation, Bitcoin Correlation, Automated Trading, Alt Season
Feel free to modify any sections to better match your style or add specific backtesting results you've observed! 🚀Claude is AI and can make mistakes. Please double-check responses. Sonnet 4.5
Dumb Money Flow - Retail Panic & FOMO# Dumb Money Flow (DMF) - Retail Panic & FOMO
## 🌊 Overview
**Dumb Money Flow (DMF)** is a powerful **contrarian indicator** designed to track the emotional state of the retail "herd." It identifies moments of extreme **Panic** (irrational selling) and **FOMO** (irrational buying) by analyzing on-chain data, volume anomalies, and price velocity.
In crypto markets, retail traders often buy the top (FOMO) and sell the bottom (Panic). This indicator helps you do the opposite: **Buy when the herd is fearful, and Sell when the herd is greedy.**
---
## 🧠 How It Works
The indicator combines multiple data points into a single **Sentiment Index** (0-100), normalized over a 90-day period to ensure it always uses the full range of the chart.
### 1. Panic Index (Bearish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of capitulation and fear. High values contribute to the **Panic Zone**.
* **Exchange Inflows:** Spikes in funds moving to exchanges (preparing to sell).
* **Volume Spikes:** High volume during price drops (panic selling).
* **Price Crash (ROC):** Rapid, emotional price drops over 3 days.
* **Volatility (ATR):** High market nervousness and instability.
### 2. FOMO Index (Bullish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of euphoria and greed. High values contribute to the **FOMO Zone**.
* **Exchange Outflows:** Funds moving to cold storage (HODLing/Greed).
* **Profitable Addresses:** When >90% of holders are in profit, tops often form.
* **Parabolic Rise:** Rapid, unsustainable price increases.
---
## 🎨 Visual Guide
The indicator uses a distinct color scheme to highlight extremes:
* **🟢 Dark Green Zone (> 80): Extreme FOMO**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is euphoric. Risk of a correction is high.
* **Action:** Consider taking profits or looking for short entries.
* **🔴 Dark Burgundy Zone (< 20): Extreme Panic**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is capitulating. Prices may be oversold.
* **Action:** Look for buying opportunities (catching the knife with confirmation).
* **🔵 Light Blue Line:**
* The smoothed moving average of the sentiment, helpful for seeing the trend direction.
---
## 🛠️ How to Use (Trading Strategies)
### 1. Contrarian Reversals (The Primary Strategy)
* **Buy Signal:** Wait for the line to drop deep into the **Burgundy Panic Zone (< 20)** and then start curling up. This indicates that the worst of the selling pressure is over.
* **Sell Signal:** Wait for the line to spike into the **Green FOMO Zone (> 80)** and then start curling down. This suggests buying exhaustion.
### 2. Divergences
* **Bullish Divergence:** Price makes a **Lower Low**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Higher Low** (less panic on the second drop). This is a strong reversal signal.
* **Bearish Divergence:** Price makes a **Higher High**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Lower High** (less FOMO/buying power on the second peak).
### 3. Trend Confirmation (Midline Cross)
* **Crossing 50 Up:** Sentiment is shifting from Fear to Greed (Bullish).
* **Crossing 50 Down:** Sentiment is shifting from Greed to Fear (Bearish).
---
## ⚙️ Settings
* **Data Source:** Defaults to `INTOTHEBLOCK` for on-chain data.
* **Crypto Asset:** Auto-detects BTC/ETH, but can be forced.
* **Normalization Period:** Default 90 days. Determines the "window" for defining what is considered "Extreme" relative to recent history.
* **Weights:** You can customize how much each factor (Volume, Inflows, Price) contributes to the index.
---
**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational purposes only. "Dumb Money" analysis is a probability tool, not a crystal ball. Always manage your risk.
**Indicator by:** @iCD_creator
**Version:** 1.0
**Pine Script™ Version:** 6
---
## Updates & Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please comment below or message the author.
**Like this indicator? Leave a 👍 and share your feedback!**
Smart Money Flow - Exchange & TVL Composite# Smart Money Flow - Exchange & TVL Composite Indicator
## Overview
The **Smart Money Flow (SMF)** indicator combines two powerful on-chain metrics - **Exchange Flows** and **Total Value Locked (TVL)** - to create a composite index that tracks institutional and "smart money" movement in the cryptocurrency market. This indicator helps traders identify accumulation and distribution phases by analyzing where capital is flowing.
## What It Does
This indicator normalizes and combines:
- **Exchange Net Flow** (from IntoTheBlock): Tracks Bitcoin/Ethereum movement to and from exchanges
- **Total Value Locked** (from DefiLlama): Measures capital locked in DeFi protocols
The composite index is displayed on a 0-100 scale with clear zones for overbought/oversold conditions.
## Core Concept
### Exchange Flows
- **Negative Flow (Outflows)** = Bullish Signal
- Coins moving OFF exchanges → Long-term holding/accumulation
- Indicates reduced selling pressure
- **Positive Flow (Inflows)** = Bearish Signal
- Coins moving TO exchanges → Preparation for selling
- Indicates potential distribution phase
### Total Value Locked (TVL)
- **Rising TVL** = Bullish Signal
- Capital flowing into DeFi protocols
- Increased ecosystem confidence
- **Falling TVL** = Bearish Signal
- Capital exiting DeFi protocols
- Decreased ecosystem confidence
### Combined Signals
**🟢 Strong Bullish (70-100):**
- Exchange outflows + Rising TVL
- Smart money accumulating and deploying capital
**🔴 Strong Bearish (0-30):**
- Exchange inflows + Falling TVL
- Smart money preparing to sell and exiting positions
**⚪ Neutral (40-60):**
- Mixed or balanced flows
## Key Features
### ✅ Auto-Detection
- Automatically detects chart symbol (BTC/ETH)
- Uses appropriate exchange flow data for each asset
### ✅ Weighted Composite
- Customizable weights for Exchange Flow and TVL components
- Default: 50/50 balance
### ✅ Normalized Scale
- 0-100 index scale
- Configurable lookback period for normalization (default: 90 days)
### ✅ Signal Zones
- **Overbought**: 70+ (Strong bullish pressure)
- **Oversold**: 30- (Strong bearish pressure)
- **Extreme**: 85+ / 15- (Very strong signals)
### ✅ Clean Interface
- Minimal visual clutter by default
- Only main index line and MA visible
- Optional elements can be enabled:
- Background color zones
- Divergence signals
- Trend change markers
- Info table with detailed metrics
### ✅ Divergence Detection
- Identifies when price diverges from smart money flows
- Potential reversal warning signals
### ✅ Alerts
- Extreme overbought/oversold conditions
- Trend changes (crossing 50 line)
- Bullish/bearish divergences
## How to Use
### 1. Trend Confirmation
- Index above 50 = Bullish trend
- Index below 50 = Bearish trend
- Use with price action for confirmation
### 2. Reversal Signals
- **Extreme readings** (>85 or <15) suggest potential reversal
- Look for divergences between price and indicator
### 3. Accumulation/Distribution
- **70+**: Accumulation phase - smart money buying/holding
- **30-**: Distribution phase - smart money selling
### 4. DeFi Health
- Monitor TVL component for DeFi ecosystem strength
- Combine with exchange flows for complete picture
## Settings
### Data Sources
- **Exchange Flow**: IntoTheBlock real-time data
- **TVL**: DefiLlama aggregated DeFi TVL
- **Manual Mode**: For testing or custom data
### Indicator Settings
- **Smoothing Period (MA)**: Default 14 periods
- **Normalization Lookback**: Default 90 days
- **Exchange Flow Weight**: Adjustable 0-100%
- **Overbought/Oversold Levels**: Customizable thresholds
### Visual Options
- Show/Hide Moving Average
- Show/Hide Zone Lines
- Show/Hide Background Colors
- Show/Hide Divergence Signals
- Show/Hide Trend Markers
- Show/Hide Info Table
## Data Requirements
⚠️ **Important Notes:**
- Uses **daily data** from IntoTheBlock and DefiLlama
- Works on any chart timeframe (data updates daily)
- Auto-switches between BTC and ETH based on chart
- All other crypto charts default to BTC exchange flow data
## Best Practices
1. **Use on Daily+ Timeframes**
- On-chain data is daily, most effective on D/W/M charts
2. **Combine with Price Action**
- Use as confirmation, not standalone signals
3. **Watch for Divergences**
- Price making new highs while indicator falling = warning
4. **Monitor Extreme Zones**
- Sustained readings >85 or <15 indicate strong conviction
5. **Context Matters**
- Consider broader market conditions and fundamentals
## Calculation
1. **Exchange Net Flow** = Inflows - Outflows (inverted for index)
2. **TVL Rate of Change** = % change over smoothing period
3. **Normalize** both metrics to 0-100 scale
4. **Composite Index** = (ExchangeFlow × Weight) + (TVL × Weight)
5. **Smooth** with moving average
## Disclaimer
This indicator uses on-chain data for analysis. While valuable, it should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with other technical analysis tools, fundamental analysis, and proper risk management.
On-chain data reflects blockchain activity but may lag price action. Use this indicator as part of a comprehensive trading strategy.
---
## Credits
**Data Sources:**
- IntoTheBlock: Exchange flow metrics
- DefiLlama: Total Value Locked data
**Indicator by:** @iCD_creator
**Version:** 1.0
**Pine Script™ Version:** 6
---
## Updates & Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please comment below or message the author.
**Like this indicator? Leave a 👍 and share your feedback!**
Qullamagi EMA Breakout Autotrade (Crypto Futures L+S)Title: Qullamagi EMA Breakout – Crypto Autotrade
Overview
A crypto-focused, Qullamagi-style EMA breakout strategy built for autotrading on futures and perpetual swaps.
It combines a 5-MA trend stack (EMA 10/20, SMA 50/100/200), volatility contraction boxes, volume spikes and an optional higher-timeframe 200-MA filter. The script supports both long and short trades, partial take profit, trailing MA exits and percent-of-equity position sizing for automated crypto futures trading.
Key Features (Crypto)
Qullamagi MA Breakout Engine – trades only when price is aligned with a strong EMA/SMA trend and breaks out of a tight consolidation range. Longs use: Close > EMA10 > EMA20 > SMA50 > SMA100 > SMA200. Shorts are the mirror condition with all MAs sloping in the trend direction.
Strict vs Loose Modes – Strict (Daily) is designed for cleaner swing trades on 1H–4H (full MA stack, box+ATR and volume filters, optional HTF filter). Loose (Intraday) focuses on 10/20/50 alignment with relaxed filters for more frequent 15m–30m signals.
Volatility & Volume Filters for Crypto – ATR-based box height limit to detect volatility contraction, wide-candle filter to avoid chasing exhausted breakouts, and a volume spike condition requiring current volume to exceed an SMA of volume.
Higher-Timeframe Trend Filter (Optional) – uses a 200-period SMA on a higher timeframe (default: 1D). Longs only when HTF close is above the HTF 200-SMA, shorts only when it is below, helping avoid trading against dominant crypto trends.
Autotrade-Oriented Trade Management – position size as % of equity, initial stop anchored to a chosen MA (EMA10 / EMA20 / SMA50) with optional buffer, partial take profit at a configurable R-multiple, trailing MA exit for the remainder, and an optional cooldown after a full exit.
Markets & Timeframes
Best suited for BTC, ETH and major altcoin futures/perpetuals (Binance, Bybit, OKX, etc.).
Strict preset: 1H–4H charts for classic Qullamagi-style trend structure and fewer fake breakouts.
Loose preset: 15m–30m charts for higher trade frequency and more active intraday trading.
Always retune ATR length, box length, volume multiplier and position size for each symbol and exchange.
Strategy Logic (Quick Summary)
Long (Strict): MA stack in bullish alignment with all MAs sloping up → tight volatility box (ATR-based) → volume spike above SMA(volume) × multiplier → breakout above box high (close or intrabar) → optional HTF close above 200-SMA.
Short: Mirror logic: bearish MA stack, tight box, volume spike and breakdown below box low with optional HTF downtrend.
Best Practices for Crypto
Backtest on each symbol and timeframe you plan to autotrade, including commissions and slippage.
Start on higher timeframes (1H/4H) to learn the behavior, then move to 15m–30m if you want more signals.
Use the higher-timeframe filter when markets are strongly trending to reduce counter-trend trades.
Keep position-size percentage conservative until you fully understand the drawdowns.
Forward-test / paper trade before connecting to live futures accounts.
Webhook / Autotrade Integration
Designed to work with TradingView webhooks and external crypto trading bots.
Alert messages include structured fields such as: EVENT=ENTRY / SCALE_OUT / EXIT, SIDE=LONG / SHORT, STRATEGY=Qullamagi_MA.
Map each EVENT + SIDE combination to your bot logic (open long/short, partial close, full close, etc.) on your preferred exchange.
Important Notes & Disclaimer
Crypto markets are highly volatile and can change regime quickly. Backtest and forward-test thoroughly before using real capital. Higher timeframes generally produce cleaner MA structures and fewer fake breakouts.
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading leveraged crypto products involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research, manage risk carefully, and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
EMA + RSI Autotrade Webhook - VarunOverview
The EMA + RSI Autotrade Webhook is a powerful trend-following indicator designed for automated crypto futures trading. This indicator combines the reliability of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossovers with RSI momentum filtering to generate high-probability buy and sell signals optimized for webhook integration with crypto exchanges like Delta Exchange, Binance Futures, and Bybit.Key Features
Simple & Effective: Uses proven EMA 9/21 crossover strategy
RSI Momentum Filter: Eliminates low-probability trades in ranging markets
Webhook Ready: Two clean alerts (LONG Entry, SHORT Entry) for seamless automation
Exchange Compatible: Works with Delta Exchange, 3Commas, Alertatron, and other webhook platforms
Zero Lag Signals: Real-time alerts on crossover confirmation
Visual Clarity: Clean chart markers for easy signal identification
How It Works
Entry Signals:
LONG Entry: Triggers when EMA 9 crosses above EMA 21 AND RSI is above 52 (bullish momentum confirmed)
SHORT Entry: Triggers when EMA 9 crosses under EMA 21 AND RSI is below 48 (bearish momentum confirmed)
Technical Components:
Fast EMA: 9-period (tracks short-term price action)
Slow EMA: 21-period (identifies primary trend)
RSI: 14-period (confirms momentum strength)
RSI Long Threshold: 52 (filters weak bullish signals)
RSI Short Threshold: 48 (filters weak bearish signals)
Best Use Cases
Crypto Futures Trading: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoin perpetual contracts
Automated Trading Bots: Integration with Delta Exchange webhooks, TradingView alerts
Timeframes: Optimized for 15-minute charts (works on 5min-1H)
Markets: Trending crypto markets with clear directional moves
Risk Management: Best used with 1-2% stop loss per trade (managed externally)
Webhook Automation Setup
Add indicator to your TradingView chart
Create alerts for "LONG Entry" and "SHORT Entry"
Configure webhook URL from your exchange (Delta Exchange, Binance, etc.)
Use alert message: Entry LONG {{ticker}} @ {{close}} or Entry SHORT {{ticker}} @ {{close}}
Exchange automatically reverses positions on opposite signals
Advantages
✅ No manual trading required - fully automated
✅ Eliminates emotional trading decisions
✅ Catches trending moves early with EMA crossovers
✅ RSI filter reduces whipsaws in choppy markets
✅ Works 24/7 without monitoring
✅ Simple two-alert system (easy to manage)
✅ Compatible with multiple exchanges via webhooksStrategy Philosophy
This indicator follows a trend-following with momentum confirmation approach. By waiting for both EMA crossover AND RSI confirmation, it ensures you're entering trades with genuine momentum behind them, not just random price noise. The tight RSI thresholds (52/48) keep you aligned with the prevailing trend.Recommended Settings
Timeframe: 15-minute (primary), 5-minute (scalping), 1-hour (swing)
Markets: BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT, high-liquidity altcoin perpetuals
Position Sizing: 100% capital per signal (exchange manages reversals)
Stop Loss: 2% (managed via exchange or external bot)
Leverage: 1-2x for conservative approach, up to 5x for aggressive
Important Notes
⚠️ This indicator generates entry signals only - position reversals are handled automatically by your exchange
⚠️ Always backtest on historical data before live trading
⚠️ Use proper risk management and position sizing
⚠️ Best performance in trending markets; may generate false signals in tight ranges
⚠️ Requires TradingView Premium or higher for webhook functionalityTags
cryptocurrency futures automated-trading ema-crossover rsi webhook delta-exchange tradingview-alerts trend-following momentum bitcoin ethereum crypto-bot algo-trading 15-minute-strategy
NEESON Plus Crypto Market Sentiment IndicatorCore Features
1. Multi-Factor Sentiment Scoring System
Comprehensive Algorithm: Combines 6 different market indicators
Weighted Scoring: Each factor contributes with different weights
Real-time Calculation: Updates with every new bar
Smoothing Mechanism: Triple EMA smoothing for stable signals
2. Advanced Technical Indicators Integration
Multi-Timeframe RSI: 1H, 4H, and Daily RSI analysis
Volume Analysis: Volume spikes and decline detection
ATR Volatility: Market volatility assessment
MACD Momentum: Trend momentum confirmation
Bollinger Bands: Price position analysis
3. Proprietary Indicator Calculations
AHR999 Proxy: Enhanced version for crypto markets
Puell Multiple Proxy: Dynamic calculation with RSI adjustment
PI Cycle Top: Multi-moving average cycle analysis
CBBI Enhanced: Crypto Bull Bear Index with momentum
Market Volatility Sentiment: Volatility-based sentiment scoring
Volume Sentiment: Volume-based market sentiment
Signal Generation System
4. Multi-Condition Signal Filters
Strong Buy/Sell Signals: Multiple confirmation requirements
Warning Signals: Early entry/exit indications
Confirmation Bars: User-configurable signal confirmation
Trend Filter: Optional trend alignment requirement
Volume Filter: Volume spike confirmation
Volatility Filter: ATR-based market condition filtering
Momentum Filter: MACD momentum confirmation
5. Advanced Signal Management
Signal State Tracking: Maintains current position state
Duration Tracking: Tracks how long signals have been active
Entry Score Recording: Records sentiment score at entry
Consecutive Signal Counting: Prevents signal flipping
Exit Conditions: Multiple exit criteria for risk management
Visualization Features
6. Professional Chart Display
Dual Score Plotting: Comprehensive and raw sentiment scores
Color-Coded Background: Real-time market sentiment coloring
Threshold Lines: Clear visual reference levels
Area Fills: Colored zones for different sentiment levels
Signal Markers: Visual indicators for buy/sell signals
7. Information Panel
Real-time Data Display: Current scores and signals
Position Tracking: Duration and entry information
Performance Metrics: Floating P/L calculation
Market Status: RSI, Volume, Volatility, MACD status
Configuration Status: Current filter settings
Customization Options
8. User-Configurable Parameters
Threshold Settings: Adjustable buy/sell/exit levels
Filter Toggles: Enable/disable various filters
Indicator Periods: Customizable calculation periods
Color Settings: Fully customizable color scheme
Signal Duration: Minimum signal duration requirements
9. Alert System
Strong Buy/Sell Alerts: Immediate notification for strong signals
Warning Alerts: Early signal notifications
Custom Alert Messages: Clear, descriptive alert texts
Multiple Timeframe Compatibility: Works across all timeframes
Risk Management Features
10. Built-in Protection Mechanisms
Signal Confirmation: Prevents false signals
Exit Triggers: Multiple exit conditions
Position Duration Limits: Automatic exit after prolonged periods
Profit/Loss Tracking: Real-time performance monitoring
Volatility Adjustment: Adapts to market conditions
Technical Specifications
11. Performance Optimization
Efficient Calculation: Optimized for real-time performance
Multi-Timeframe Support: Works on all chart timeframes
Resource Management: Controlled line and label counts
Precision Control: Adjustable decimal precision
12. Compatibility
Cryptocurrency Focus: Specifically designed for crypto markets
Multi-Asset Support: Works with all TradingView symbols
Platform Compatibility: Fully compatible with TradingView platform
Mobile Support: Responsive design for mobile devices
Usage Benefits
Comprehensive Analysis: Single indicator providing multiple insights
Clear Signals: Easy-to-understand buy/sell indications
Customizable: Adaptable to different trading styles
Risk-Aware: Built-in risk management features
Professional Grade: Institutional-level analysis tools
User-Friendly: Intuitive visual interface
Educational: Helps understand market sentiment dynamics
This indicator is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive market sentiment analysis tool specifically optimized for cryptocurrency markets, combining traditional technical analysis with crypto-specific metrics.
自用事件30M - 优化版V8This is a strategy designed specifically for the 30-minute period of the Ethereum Event Contract, which is suitable for use during the 1-minute cycle to gain insights into the 30-minute period.
Premarket & Extended Hours High/LowSnippet to display extended hours (ETH) and premarket graph displays. Once activated, you will see next to the UTC time display at the lower right corner of the graph window a dropdown option of RTH. Click on it and you'll see ETH. RTH: Regular Trading Hours -- ETH: Extended Trading Hours.
Volume Profile Grid [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated volume distribution analysis system that transforms market activity into institutional-grade visual profiles, revealing hidden support/resistance zones and market participant behavior. Utilizing advanced price level segmentation, bullish/bearish volume separation, and dynamic range analysis, the Volume Profile Grid delivers comprehensive market structure insights with Point of Control (POC) identification, Value Area boundaries, and volume delta analysis. The system features intelligent visualization modes, real-time sentiment analysis, and flexible range selection to provide traders with clear, actionable volume-based market context.
🔶 Dynamic Range Analysis Engine
Implements dual-mode range selection with visible chart analysis and fixed period lookback, automatically adjusting to current market view or analyzing specified historical periods. The system intelligently calculates optimal bar counts while maintaining performance through configurable maximum limits, ensuring responsive profile generation across all timeframes with institutional-grade precision.
// Dynamic period calculation with intelligent caching
get_analysis_period() =>
if i_use_visible_range
chart_start_time = chart.left_visible_bar_time
current_time = last_bar_time
time_span = current_time - chart_start_time
tf_seconds = timeframe.in_seconds()
estimated_bars = time_span / (tf_seconds * 1000)
range_bars = math.floor(estimated_bars)
final_bars = math.min(range_bars, i_max_visible_bars)
math.max(final_bars, 50) // Minimum threshold
else
math.max(i_periods, 50)
🔶 Advanced Bull/Bear Volume Separation
Employs sophisticated candle classification algorithms to separate bullish and bearish volume at each price level, with weighted distribution based on bar intersection ratios. The system analyzes open/close relationships to determine volume direction, applying proportional allocation for doji patterns and ensuring accurate representation of buying versus selling pressure across the entire price spectrum.
🔶 Multi-Mode Volume Visualization
Features three distinct display modes for bull/bear volume representation: Split mode creates mirrored profiles from a central axis, Side by Side mode displays sequential bull/bear segments, and Stacked mode separates volumes vertically. Each mode offers unique insights into market participant behavior with customizable width, thickness, and color parameters for optimal visual clarity.
// Bull/Bear volume calculation with weighted distribution
for bar_offset = 0 to actual_periods - 1
bar_high = high
bar_low = low
bar_volume = volume
// Calculate intersection weight
weight = math.min(bar_high, next_level) - math.max(bar_low, current_level)
weight := weight / (bar_high - bar_low)
weighted_volume = bar_volume * weight
// Classify volume direction
if bar_close > bar_open
level_bull_volume += weighted_volume
else if bar_close < bar_open
level_bear_volume += weighted_volume
else // Doji handling
level_bull_volume += weighted_volume * 0.5
level_bear_volume += weighted_volume * 0.5
🔶 Point of Control & Value Area Detection
Implements institutional-standard POC identification by locating the price level with maximum volume accumulation, providing critical support/resistance zones. The Value Area calculation uses sophisticated sorting algorithms to identify the price range containing 70% of trading volume, revealing the market's accepted value zone where institutional participants concentrate their activity.
🔶 Volume Delta Analysis System
Incorporates real-time volume delta calculation with configurable dominance thresholds to identify significant bull/bear imbalances. The system visually highlights price levels where buying or selling pressure exceeds threshold percentages, providing immediate insight into directional volume flow and potential reversal zones through color-coded delta indicators.
// Value Area calculation using 70% volume accumulation
total_volume_sum = array.sum(total_volumes)
target_volume = total_volume_sum * 0.70
// Sort volumes to find highest activity zones
for i = 0 to array.size(sorted_volumes) - 2
for j = i + 1 to array.size(sorted_volumes) - 1
if array.get(sorted_volumes, j) > array.get(sorted_volumes, i)
// Swap and track indices for value area boundaries
// Accumulate until 70% threshold reached
for i = 0 to array.size(sorted_indices) - 1
accumulated_volume += vol
array.push(va_levels, array.get(volume_levels, idx))
if accumulated_volume >= target_volume
break
❓How It Works
🔶 Weighted Volume Distribution
Implements proportional volume allocation based on the percentage of each bar that intersects with price levels. When a bar spans multiple levels, volume is distributed proportionally based on the intersection ratio, ensuring precise representation of trading activity across the entire price spectrum without double-counting or volume loss.
🔶 Real-Time Profile Generation
Profiles regenerate on each bar close when in visible range mode, automatically adapting to chart zoom and scroll actions. The system maintains optimal performance through intelligent caching mechanisms and selective line updates, ensuring smooth operation even with maximum resolution settings and extended analysis periods.
🔶 Market Sentiment Analysis
Features comprehensive volume analysis table displaying total volume metrics, bullish/bearish percentages, and overall market sentiment classification. The system calculates volume dominance ratios in real-time, providing immediate insight into whether buyers or sellers control the current price structure with percentage-based sentiment thresholds.
🔶 Visual Profile Mapping
Provides multi-layered visual feedback through colored volume bars, POC line highlighting, Value Area boundaries, and optional delta indicators. The system supports profile mirroring for alternative perspectives, line extension for future reference, and customizable label positioning with detailed price information at critical levels.
Why Choose Volume Profile Grid
The Volume Profile Grid represents the evolution of volume analysis tools, combining traditional volume profile concepts with modern visualization techniques and intelligent analysis algorithms. By integrating dynamic range selection, sophisticated bull/bear separation, and multi-mode visualization with POC/Value Area detection, it provides traders with institutional-quality market structure analysis that adapts to any trading style. The comprehensive delta analysis and sentiment monitoring system eliminates guesswork while the flexible visualization options ensure optimal clarity across all market conditions, making it an essential tool for traders seeking to understand true market dynamics through volume-based price discovery.
Spent Output Profit Ratio Z-Score | Vistula LabsOverview
The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) Z-Score indicator is a sophisticated tool designed by Vistula Labs to help cryptocurrency traders analyze market sentiment and identify potential trend reversals. It leverages on-chain data from Glassnode to calculate the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for Bitcoin and Ethereum, transforming this metric into a Z-Score for easy interpretation.
What is SOPR?
Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) measures the profit ratio of spent outputs (transactions) on the blockchain:
SOPR > 1: Indicates that, on average, coins are being sold at a profit.
SOPR < 1: Suggests that coins are being sold at a loss.
SOPR = 1: Break-even point, often seen as a key psychological level.
SOPR provides insights into holder behavior—whether they are locking in profits or cutting losses—making it a valuable gauge of market sentiment.
How It Works
The indicator applies a Z-Score to the SOPR data to normalize it relative to its historical behavior:
Z-Score = (Smoothed SOPR - Moving Average of Smoothed SOPR) / Standard Deviation of Smoothed SOPR
Smoothed SOPR: A moving average (e.g., WMA) of SOPR over a short period (default: 30 bars) to reduce noise.
Moving Average of Smoothed SOPR: A longer moving average (default: 180 bars) of the smoothed SOPR.
Standard Deviation: Calculated over a lookback period (default: 200 bars).
This Z-Score highlights how extreme the current SOPR is compared to its historical norm, helping traders spot significant deviations.
Key Features
Data Source:
Selectable between BTC and ETH, using daily SOPR data from Glassnode.
Customization:
Moving Average Types: Choose from SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, or VWMA for both smoothing and main averages.
Lengths: Adjust the smoothing period (default: 30) and main moving average length (default: 180).
Z-Score Lookback: Default is 200 bars.
Thresholds: Set levels for long/short signals and overbought/oversold conditions.
Signals:
Long Signal: Triggered when Z-Score crosses above 1.02, suggesting potential upward momentum.
Short Signal: Triggered when Z-Score crosses below -0.66, indicating potential downward momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
Overbought: Z-Score > 2.5, signaling potential overvaluation.
Oversold: Z-Score < -2.0, indicating potential undervaluation.
Visualizations:
Z-Score Plot: Teal for long signals, magenta for short signals.
Threshold Lines: Dashed for long/short, solid for overbought/oversold.
Candlestick Coloring: Matches signal colors.
Arrows: Green up-triangles for long entries, red down-triangles for short entries.
Background Colors: Magenta for overbought, teal for oversold.
Alerts:
Conditions for Long Opportunity, Short Opportunity, Overbought, and Oversold.
Usage Guide
Select Cryptocurrency: Choose BTC or ETH.
Adjust Moving Averages: Customize types and lengths for smoothing and main averages.
Set Thresholds: Define Z-Score levels for signals and extreme conditions.
Monitor Signals: Use color changes, arrows, and background highlights to identify opportunities.
Enable Alerts: Stay informed without constant chart watching.
Interpretation
High Z-Score (>1.02): SOPR is significantly above its historical mean, potentially indicating overvaluation or strong bullish momentum.
Low Z-Score (<-0.66): SOPR is below its mean, suggesting undervaluation or bearish momentum.
Extreme Conditions: Z-Scores above 2.5 or below -2.0 highlight overbought or oversold markets, often preceding reversals.
Conclusion
The SOPR Z-Score indicator combines on-chain data with statistical analysis to provide traders with a clear, actionable view of market sentiment. Its customizable settings, visual clarity, and alert system make it an essential tool for both novice and experienced traders seeking an edge in the cryptocurrency markets.
Supply In Profit Z-Score | Vistula LabsOverview
The Supply In Profit Z-Score indicator is a Pine Script™ tool developed by Vistula Labs for technical analysis of cryptocurrencies, specifically Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It utilizes on-chain data from IntoTheBlock to calculate the difference between the percentage of addresses in profit and those in loss, transforming this metric into a Z-Score. This indicator helps traders identify market sentiment, trend-following opportunities, and overbought or oversold conditions.
What is Supply In Profit?
Supply In Profit is defined as the net difference between the percentage of addresses in profit and those in loss:
Profit Percentage: The proportion of addresses where the current value of holdings exceeds the acquisition price.
Loss Percentage: The proportion of addresses where the current value is below the acquisition price.
A positive value indicates more addresses are in profit, suggesting bullish sentiment, while a negative value indicates widespread losses, hinting at bearish sentiment.
How It Works
The indicator computes a Z-Score to normalize the Supply In Profit data relative to its historical behavior:
Z-Score = (Current Supply In Profit - Moving Average of Supply In Profit) / Standard Deviation of Supply In Profit
Current Supply In Profit: The latest profit-minus-loss percentage.
Moving Average: A customizable average (e.g., EMA, SMA) over a default 180-bar period.
Standard Deviation: Calculated over a default 200-bar lookback period.
Key Features
Data Source:
Selectable between BTC and ETH, pulling daily profit/loss percentage data from IntoTheBlock.
Customization:
Moving Average Type: Options include SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, or VWMA (default: EMA).
Moving Average Length: Default is 180 bars.
Z-Score Lookback: Default is 200 bars.
Thresholds: Adjustable for long/short signals and overbought/oversold levels.
Signals:
Long Signal: Z-Score crosses above the Long Threshold (default: 1.0).
Short Signal: Z-Score crosses below the Short Threshold (default: -0.64).
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
Overbought: Z-Score > 3.0.
Oversold: Z-Score < -2.0.
Visualizations:
Z-Score Plot: Teal for long signals, magenta for short signals.
Threshold Lines: Dashed lines for long/short, solid lines for overbought/oversold.
Candlestick Coloring: Matches signal colors (teal/magenta).
Arrows: Green up-triangles for long entries, red down-triangles for short entries.
Background Colors: Magenta for overbought, teal for oversold.
Alerts:
Conditions for Long Opportunity, Short Opportunity, Overbought, and Oversold.
Usage Guide
Trend Following
Long Entry: When Z-Score crosses above 1.0, indicating potential upward momentum.
Short Entry: When Z-Score crosses below -0.64, suggesting potential downward momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Analysis
Overbought (Z-Score > 3.0): Consider profit-taking or preparing for a reversal.
Oversold (Z-Score < -2.0): Look for buying opportunities or exiting shorts.
Timeframe
Uses daily IntoTheBlock data, ideal for medium to long-term analysis.
Interpretation
High Z-Score: Indicates Supply In Profit is significantly above its historical mean, potentially signaling overvaluation.
Low Z-Score: Suggests Supply In Profit is below its mean, indicating possible undervaluation.
Signals and thresholds help traders act on shifts in market sentiment or extreme conditions.
Conclusion
The Supply In Profit Z-Score indicator provides a robust, data-driven approach to analyzing cryptocurrency market trends and sentiment. By combining on-chain metrics with statistical normalization, it empowers traders to make informed decisions based on historical context and current market dynamics.
NUPL Z-Score | Vistula LabsWhat is NUPL?
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) is a fundamental on-chain metric used to evaluate the profit or loss state of a cryptocurrency's market participants, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It compares the current market capitalization—the total value of all coins at their current price—to the realized capitalization, which represents the average price at which all coins were last transacted on-chain.
Market Capitalization: Current price × circulating supply.
Realized Capitalization: The sum of the value of all coins based on the price at their last on-chain movement.
For Bitcoin (BTC):
NUPL = (Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap * 100
For Ethereum (ETH):
NUPL = (Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap
A positive NUPL indicates that the market holds unrealized profits, meaning the current value exceeds the price at which coins were last moved. A negative NUPL signals unrealized losses. Extreme NUPL values—high positives or low negatives—can suggest overvaluation (potential market tops) or undervaluation (potential market bottoms), respectively.
How NUPL is Calculated for BTC & ETH
This indicator calculates NUPL using data sourced from Glassnode and CoinMetrics:
For Bitcoin:
Market Cap: GLASSNODE:BTC_MARKETCAP
Realized Cap: COINMETRICS:BTC_MARKETCAPREAL
Formula: ((btc_market_cap - btc_market_cap_real) / btc_market_cap) * 100
For Ethereum:
Market Cap: GLASSNODE:ETH_MARKETCAP
Realized Cap: COINMETRICS:ETH_MARKETCAPREAL
Formula: ((eth_market_cap - eth_market_cap_real) / eth_market_cap) * 100
The indicator then transforms these NUPL values into a Z-Score, which measures how many standard deviations the current NUPL deviates from its historical average. The Z-Score calculation incorporates:
A customizable moving average of NUPL (options: SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA) over a user-defined length (default: 220 periods).
The standard deviation of NUPL over a specified lookback period (default: 200 periods).
Z-Score Formula:
Z-Score = (Current NUPL - Moving Average of NUPL) / Standard Deviation of NUPL
This normalization allows the indicator to highlight extreme market conditions regardless of the raw NUPL scale.
How This Indicator Can Be Used
Trend Following
The NUPL Z-Score indicator employs a trend-following system with adjustable thresholds to generate trading signals:
Long Signals: Triggered when the Z-Score crosses above the Long Threshold (default: 0.26).
Short Signals: Triggered when the Z-Score crosses below the Short Threshold (default: -0.62).
Visual Representations:
Green up-triangles: Indicate long entry points (plotted below the bar).
Red down-triangles: Indicate short entry points (plotted above the bar).
Color-coded elements:
Candles and Z-Score plot turn teal (#00ffdd) for long positions.
Candles and Z-Score plot turn magenta (#ff00bf) for short positions.
These signals leverage historical NUPL trends to identify potential momentum shifts, aiding traders in timing entries and exits.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions
The indicator flags extreme market states using additional thresholds:
Overbought Threshold (default: 3.0): When the Z-Score exceeds this level, the market may be significantly overvalued, hinting at potential selling pressure. Highlighted with a light magenta background (#ff00bf with 75% transparency).
Oversold Threshold (default: -2.0): When the Z-Score drops below this level, the market may be significantly undervalued, suggesting buying opportunities. Highlighted with a light teal background (#00ffdd with 75% transparency).
These extreme Z-Score levels have historically aligned with major market peaks and troughs, making them useful for medium- to long-term position management.
Customization Options
Traders can tailor the indicator to their preferences:
Cryptocurrency Source: Choose between BTC or ETH.
Moving Average Type: Select from SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, or VWMA.
Moving Average Length: Adjust the period for the NUPL moving average (default: 220).
Z-Score Lookback Period: Set the historical window for Z-Score calculation (default: 200).
Thresholds: Fine-tune values for: Long Threshold (default: 0.26), Short Threshold (default: -0.62), Overbought Threshold (default: 3.0), Oversold Threshold (default: -2.0)
These options enable users to adapt the indicator to various trading strategies and risk profiles.
Alerts
The indicator supports four alert conditions to keep traders informed:
NUPL Long Opportunity: Alerts when a long signal is triggered.
NUPL Short Opportunity: Alerts when a short signal is triggered.
NUPL Overbought Condition: Alerts when the Z-Score exceeds the overbought threshold.
NUPL Oversold Condition: Alerts when the Z-Score falls below the oversold threshold.
These alerts allow traders to monitor key opportunities without constantly watching the chart.
Btc and Eth 5 min winnerWhat the Strategy Does
Finding the Trend (Like Watching the Bus Move): The strategy uses special tools called Hull Moving Averages (HMAs) to figure out if Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) prices are generally going up or down. It looks at short-term (5 minutes) and long-term (10 minutes) price movements to make sure the “bus” (the market) is moving strongly in one direction—up for buying, down for selling.
Spotting Good Times to Jump On (Buy or Sell Signals): It looks for two types of opportunities:
Pullbacks: When the price dips a little while still moving up (like the bus slowing down but not stopping), it’s a chance to buy.
Breakouts: When the price suddenly jumps higher after being stuck (like the bus speeding up), it’s another chance to buy. It does the opposite for selling when prices are dropping.
It also checks if there’s enough “passenger activity” (volume) and momentum (speed of price change) to make sure it’s a good move.
Avoiding Traffic Jams (Filters): The strategy uses tools like RSI (to check if the market’s too fast or too slow), volume (to see if enough people are trading), and ATR (to measure how wild the price swings are). It skips trades if things look too chaotic or if the trend isn’t strong enough.
Setting Safety Stops and Profit Targets: Once you’re on the “bus,” it sets rules to protect you:
Stop-Loss: If the price moves against you by a small amount (0.5% of the typical price swing), you jump off to avoid losing too much—think of it as getting off before the bus crashes.
Take-Profit: If the price moves in your favor by a small amount (1.0% of the typical swing), you cash out—imagine getting off at your stop with a profit.
Trailing Stop: If the price keeps moving your way, it adjusts your exit point to lock in more profit, like moving your stop closer as the bus keeps going.
Using Leverage (10x Boost): This strategy uses 10x leverage on Binance futures, meaning for every $1 you have, you trade like you have $10. This can make profits (or losses) 10 times bigger, so it’s risky but can be rewarding if you’re careful.
Why 5 Minutes and Bitcoin and Ethereum?
5-Minute Chart: This is like checking the bus every 5 minutes to make quick, small trades—perfect for fast, short profits.
Bitcoin Ethereum (BTC/USD)(ETH/USD): It’s the most popular and liquid crypto, so there’s lots of activity, making it easier to jump on and off without getting stuck.
Why It Aims for 90% Wins (But Be Realistic)
The goal is to win 9 out of 10 trades by being super picky about when to trade—only jumping on when the trend, momentum, and volume are all perfect. But in real trading, markets can be unpredictable, so 90% is very hard to achieve. Still, this strategy tries to be as accurate as possible by avoiding bad moves and focusing on strong trends.
Risks for a New Trader
Leverage: Trading with 10x leverage means small price moves can lead to big losses if you’re not careful. Start with a demo account (pretend money) on TradingView or Binance to practice.
Learning Curve: This strategy uses technical terms (like HMAs, RSI) and tools you’ll need to learn over time. Don’t rush—just practice and ask questions!
How to Use It
Go to TradingView, load this strategy on a 5-minute BTC/USD futures chart on Binance.
Watch the green triangles (buy signals) and red triangles (sell signals) on the chart—they tell you when to trade.
Use the stops and targets to manage your trades—don’t guess, let the strategy guide you.
Start small, learn from each trade, and don’t risk money you can’t afford to lose.
This is like learning to ride a bike—start slow, practice, and you’ll get better. If you have more questions or want simpler tips, feel free to ask! Trading can be fun and rewarding, but it takes patience and practice.
Ultimate Stochastics Strategy by NHBprod Use to Day Trade BTCHey All!
Here's a new script I worked on that's super simple but at the same time useful. Check out the backtest results. The backtest results include slippage and fees/commission, and is still quite profitable. Obviously the profitability magnitude depends on how much capital you begin with, and how much the user utilizes per order, but in any event it seems to be profitable according to backtests.
This is different because it allows you full functionality over the stochastics calculations which is designed for random datasets. This script allows you to:
Designate ANY period of time to analyze and study
Choose between Long trading, short trading, and Long & Short trading
It allows you to enter trades based on the stochastics calculations
It allows you to EXIT trades using the stochastics calculations or take profit, or stop loss, Or any combination of those, which is nice because then the user can see how one variable effects the overall performance.
As for the actual stochastics formula, you get control, and get to SEE the plot lines for slow K, slow D, and fast K, which is usually not considered.
You also get the chance to modify the smoothing method, which has not been done with regular stochastics indicators. You get to choose the standard simple moving average (SMA) method, but I also allow you to choose other MA's such as the HMA and WMA.
Lastly, the user gets the option of using a custom trade extender, which essentially allows a buy or sell signal to exist for X amount of candles after the initial signal. For example, you can use "max bars since signal" to 1, and this will allow the indicator to produce an extra sequential buy signal when a buy signal is generated. This can be useful because it is possible that you use a small take profit (TP) and quickly exit a profitable trade. With the max bars since signal variable, you're able to reenter on the next candle and allow for another opportunity.
Let me know if you have any questions! Please take a look at the performance report and let me know your thoughts! :)
ETH - 12HR Double Kernel Regression Strategy ETH Double Kernel Regression Strategy
This ETH -focused, 12-hour Double Kernel Regression strategy is designed to cut through market noise and guide you toward data-backed, higher-probability trades. By utilizing two kernel regression models—Fast and Slow—this approach gauges momentum shifts and confirms trends. The strategy intelligently switches between these kernels based on identifying FOMO patterns, allowing it to adapt to changing market conditions. This ensures you enter trades when the trend is genuinely gaining strength, rather than blindly "buying the dip."
Key Concepts
Fine-Tuned Since Inception:
The strategy’s logic and filters—including price thresholds, trend moving averages (MAs), and kernel confirmations—are meticulously fine-tuned to perform consistently across all market conditions. This proactive planning enables confident entries during bullish recoveries, eliminating the need to second-guess every signal.
“Buy the Rise, Sell the Dip” Logic:
Unlike the traditional mantra, this strategy waits for slow kernel confirmation before entering uptrends. When market conditions shift, it identifies optimal entry points and holds steady if the trade isn’t losing money. This reduces guesswork and helps prevent buying into false rallies.
Sell the Hype:
The crypto market is often cluttered with noise—meme coins, last-minute hype, and social media influencers. The Double Kernel Regression approach distinguishes genuine trends from hype-driven movements. When the price exceeds simple moving averages (SMAs), the fast kernel generates a sell signal. This carefully crafted strategy helps you navigate the chaotic landscape, especially during hype-driven rallies, and ensures you sell at the top.
Try It Out
Import this strategy into your TradingView platform and observe how it reacts in real-time as market conditions change. Evaluate the signals, adjust parameters if necessary, and experience firsthand how combining sound trading philosophy with a data-driven backbone can transform your trading journey.
Adapted RSI w/ Multi-Asset Regime Detection v1.1The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of an asset's recent price changes to detect overbought or oversold conditions in the price of said asset.
In addition to identifying overbought and oversold assets, the RSI can also indicate whether your desired asset may be primed for a trend reversal or a corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell.
The RSI will oscillate between 0 and 100. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought condition. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
The RSI is one of the most popular technical indicators. I intend to offer a fresh spin.
Adapted RSI w/ Multi-Asset Regime Detection
Our Adapted RSI makes necessary improvements to the original Relative Strength Index (RSI) by combining multi-timeframe analysis with multi-asset monitoring and providing traders with an efficient way to analyse market-wide conditions across different timeframes and assets simultaneously. The indicator automatically detects market regimes and generates clear signals based on RSI levels, presenting this data in an organised, easy-to-read format through two dynamic tables. Simplicity is key, and having access to more RSI data at any given time, allows traders to prepare more effectively, especially when trading markets that "move" together.
How we calculate the RSI
First, the RSI identifies price changes between periods, calculating gains and losses from one look-back period to the next. This look-back period averages gains and losses over 14 periods, which in this case would be 14 days, and those gains/losses are calculated based on the daily closing price. For example:
Average Gain = Sum of Gains over the past 14 days / 14
Average Loss = Sum of Losses over the past 14 days / 14
Then we calculate the Relative Strength (RS):
RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
Finally, this is converted to the RSI value:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
Key Features
Our multi-timeframe RSI indicator enhances traditional technical analysis by offering synchronised Daily, Weekly, and Monthly RSI readings with automatic regime detection. The multi-asset monitoring system allows tracking of up to 10 different assets simultaneously, with pre-configured major pairs that can be customised to any asset selection. The signal generation system provides clear market guidance through automatic regime detection and a five-level signal system, all presented through a sophisticated visual interface with dynamic RSI line colouring and customisable display options.
Quick Guide to Use it
Begin by adding the indicator to your chart and configuring your preferred assets in the "Asset Comparison" settings.
Position the two information tables according to your preference.
The main table displays RSI analysis across three timeframes for your current asset, while the asset table shows a comparative analysis of all monitored assets.
Signals are colour-coded for instant recognition, with green indicating bullish conditions and red for bearish conditions. Pay special attention to regime changes and signal transitions, using multi-timeframe confluence to identify stronger signals.
How it Works (Regime Detection & Signals)
When we say 'Regime', a regime is determined by a persistent trend or in this case momentum and by leveraging this for RSI, which is a momentum oscillator, our indicator employs a relatively simple regime detection system that classifies market conditions as either Bullish (RSI > 50) or Bearish (RSI < 50). Our benchmark between a trending bullish or bearish market is equal to 50. By leveraging a simple classification system helps determine the probability of trend continuation and the weight given to various signals. Whilst we could determine a Neutral regime for consolidating markets, we have employed a 'neutral' signal generation which will be further discussed below...
Signal generation occurs across five distinct levels:
Strong Buy (RSI < 15)
Buy (RSI < 30)
Neutral (RSI 30-70)
Sell (RSI > 70)
Strong Sell (RSI > 85)
Each level represents different market conditions and probability scenarios. For instance, extreme readings (Strong Buy/Sell) indicate the highest probability of mean reversion, while neutral readings suggest equilibrium conditions where traders should focus on the overall regime bias (Bullish/Bearish momentum).
This approach offers traders a new and fresh spin on a popular and well-known tool in technical analysis, allowing traders to make better and more informed decisions from the well presented information across multiple assets and timeframes. Experienced and beginner traders alike, I hope you enjoy this adaptation.
Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy Description:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is designed to leverage market volatility specifically in Bitcoin (BTC) using a combination of volatility indicators and trend-following techniques. This strategy utilizes the VIXFix (a volatility indicator adapted for crypto markets) and the BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index from BitMEX) to identify periods of high volatility, while confirming trends with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). These components work together to offer a comprehensive system that traders can use to enter positions when volatility and trends are aligned in their favor.
Key Features:
VIXFix (Volatility Index for Crypto Markets): This indicator measures the highest price of Bitcoin over a set period and compares it with the current low price to gauge market volatility. A rise in VIXFix indicates increasing market volatility, signaling that large price movements could occur.
BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index): This volatility index, provided by BitMEX, measures the volatility of Bitcoin over the past 7 days. It helps traders monitor the recent volatility trend in the market, particularly useful when making short-term trading decisions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The 50-period EMA acts as a trend indicator. When the price is above the EMA, it suggests the market is in an uptrend, and when the price is below the EMA, it suggests a downtrend.
How It Works:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when both the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators are rising, signaling increased volatility, and the price is above the 50-period EMA, confirming that the market is trending upward.
Exit: The strategy exits the position when the price crosses below the 50-period EMA, which signals a potential weakening of the uptrend and a decrease in volatility.
This strategy ensures that traders only enter positions when the volatility aligns with a clear trend, minimizing the risk of entering trades during periods of market uncertainty.
Testing and Timeframe:
This strategy has been tested on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe, which provides a longer-term perspective on market trends and volatility. However, users can adjust the timeframe according to their trading preferences. It is crucial to note that this strategy does not include comprehensive risk management, aside from the exit condition when the price crosses below the EMA. Users are strongly advised to implement their own risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to safeguard their positions during high volatility periods.
Utility:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is particularly well-suited for traders who aim to capitalize on the high volatility often seen in the Bitcoin market. By combining volatility measurements (VIXFix and BVOL7D) with a trend-following mechanism (EMA), this strategy helps identify optimal moments for entering and exiting trades. This approach ensures that traders participate in potentially profitable market moves while minimizing exposure during times of uncertainty.
Use Cases:
Volatility-Based Entries: Traders looking to take advantage of market volatility spikes will find this strategy useful for timing entry points during market swings.
Trend Confirmation: By using the EMA as a confirmation tool, traders can avoid entering trades that go against the trend, which can result in significant losses during volatile market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy exits when price falls below the EMA, it is important to recognize that this is not a full risk management system. Traders should use caution and integrate additional risk measures, such as stop-losses and position sizing, to better manage potential losses.
How to Use:
Step 1: Monitor the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators. When both are rising and the Bitcoin price is above the EMA, the strategy will trigger a long entry, indicating that the market is experiencing increased volatility with a confirmed uptrend.
Step 2: Exit the position when the price drops below the 50-period EMA, signaling that the trend may be reversing or weakening, reducing the likelihood of continued upward price movement.
This strategy is open-source and is intended to help traders navigate volatile market conditions, particularly in Bitcoin, using proven indicators for volatility and trend confirmation.
Risk Disclaimer:
This strategy has been tested on the daily timeframe of Bitcoin, but users should be aware that it does not include built-in risk management except for the below-EMA exit condition. Users should be extremely cautious when using this strategy and are encouraged to implement their own risk management, such as using stop-losses, position sizing, and setting appropriate limits. Trading involves significant risk, and this strategy does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test any strategy in a demo environment before applying it to live markets.
Quatro SMA Strategy [4h]Hello, I would like to present to you The "Quatro SMA" strategy
Strategy is based on four simple moving averages of different lengths and monitoring trading volume. The key idea is to identify strong market trends by comparing short-term moving averages with the long-term SMA. The strategy generates buy signals when all short-term SMAs are above the SMA(200) and the volume confirms the strength of the move. Similarly, sell signals are generated when all short-term SMAs are below the SMA(200), and the volume is sufficiently high.
The strategy manages risk by applying a stop loss and three different Take Profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3), with varying percentages of the position closed at each level.
Each Take Profit level is triggered at a specific percentage gain, with the position being closed gradually depending on the achieved targets. The percentage of the position closed at each TP level is also defined by the user.
Indicators and Parameters:
Simple Moving Averages (SMA):
The script utilizes four simple moving averages with different lengths (4, 16, 32, 200). The first three SMAs (SMA1, SMA2, SMA3) are used to determine the trend direction, while the fourth SMA (with a length of 200) serves as a support/resistance line.
Volume:
The script monitors trading volume and checks if the current volume exceeds 2.5 times the average volume of the last 40 candles. High volume is considered as confirmation of trend strength.
Entry Conditions:
- Long Position: Triggered when SMA1 > SMA2 > SMA3, the closing price is above SMA(200), and the volume condition is met.
- Short Position: Triggered when SMA1 < SMA2 < SMA3, the closing price is below SMA(200), and the volume condition is met.
Exit Conditions:
- Long Position: Closed when SMA1 < SMA2 < SMA3 and the closing price is above SMA(200).
- Short Position: Closed when SMA1 > SMA2 > SMA3 and the closing price is below SMA(200).
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni, here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
I hope the strategy will be helpful, as always, best regards and safe trades
;)
1000SATS and ORDI Market Cap RatioSure! Here is a detailed description and usage guide for your TradingView indicator:
### Indicator Description
**Title**: 1000SATS/ORDI Market Cap Ratio
**Description**: The "1000SATS/ORDI Market Cap Ratio" indicator calculates and visualizes the market capitalization ratio between 1000SATS and ORDI. This indicator allows traders and investors to analyze the relative market strength and valuation trends of 1000SATS compared to ORDI over time. By tracking this ratio, users can gain insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities between these two assets.
### Indicator Usage
**Purpose**:
- To compare the market capitalizations of 1000SATS and ORDI.
- To identify potential undervaluation or overvaluation of 1000SATS relative to ORDI.
- To assist in making informed trading and investment decisions based on market cap trends.
**How to Use**:
1. **Add the Indicator to Your Chart**:
- Open TradingView and navigate to your chart.
- Click on the "Indicators" button at the top of the chart.
- Select "Pine Editor" and paste the provided script.
- Click "Add to Chart" to apply the indicator.
2. **Interpret the Ratio**:
- The indicator will plot a line representing the ratio of the market capitalization of 1000SATS to ORDI.
- A rising ratio indicates that the market cap of 1000SATS is increasing relative to ORDI, suggesting stronger market performance or higher valuation of 1000SATS.
- A falling ratio indicates that the market cap of 1000SATS is decreasing relative to ORDI, suggesting weaker market performance or lower valuation of 1000SATS.
3. **Analyze Trends**:
- Use the indicator to spot trends and potential reversal points in the market cap ratio.
- Combine the ratio analysis with other technical indicators and chart patterns to enhance your trading strategy.
4. **Set Alerts**:
- Set custom alerts on the ratio to notify you of significant changes or specific thresholds being reached, enabling timely decision-making.
**Example**:
- If the ratio is consistently rising, it may indicate a good opportunity to consider 1000SATS as a stronger investment relative to ORDI.
- Conversely, if the ratio is falling, it may be a signal to reevaluate the strength of 1000SATS compared to ORDI.
**Note**: Always conduct thorough analysis and consider other market factors before making trading decisions based on this indicator.
### Script
```pinescript
//@version=4
study("1000SATS and ORDI Market Cap Ratio", shorttitle="1000SATS/ORDI Ratio", overlay=true)
// Define the circulating supply for ORDI and 1000SATS
ORDI_supply = 21000000 // Circulating supply of ORDI
SATS_1000_supply = 2100000000000 // Circulating supply of 1000SATS
// Fetch the price data for ORDI
ordi_price = security("BINANCE:ORDIUSDT", timeframe.period, close)
// Fetch the price data for 1000SATS
sats_1000_price = security("BINANCE:1000SATSUSDT", timeframe.period, close)
// Calculate the market capitalizations
ordi_market_cap = ordi_price * ORDI_supply
sats_1000_market_cap = sats_1000_price * SATS_1000_supply
// Calculate the market cap ratio
ratio = sats_1000_market_cap / ordi_market_cap
// Plot the ratio
plot(ratio, title="1000SATS/ORDI Market Cap Ratio", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
```
This description and usage guide should help users understand the purpose and functionality of your indicator, as well as how to effectively apply it in their trading activities on TradingView.
Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator [presentTrading]This one is for SEC paves way for Ethereum ETFs in boost for crypto!
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator" is a sophisticated Pine Script tool designed to analyze the annualized difference between Ethereum (ETH) spot and futures prices. This tool is essential for identifying arbitrage opportunities and assessing market sentiment, offering traders invaluable insights into market dynamics. By calculating the premium or discount of futures contracts relative to the spot price and annualizing this figure based on the time until each contract's expiration, the Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator provides a clear view of potential profit margins and market trends.
Unlike traditional trading indicators that focus solely on price movements or technical patterns, this calculator delves deeper into the futures market, providing a dual-purpose tool. It not only helps in spotting arbitrage opportunities but also serves as a gauge for the emotional state of the market, thereby offering a more comprehensive analysis of market conditions. This dual functionality sets it apart, making it a must-have for traders looking to navigate the volatile cryptocurrency trading landscape effectively.
Historical backtesting has revealed that Bitcoin's Rolling APY can serve as a robust indicator of market sentiment:
- Below 0%: Often indicates panic or 'end-of-world' scenarios.
- 0-5%: Signifies extreme market fear.
- 5-10%: Reflects a calm market environment.
- 10-15%: Suggests a moderately warm market.
- 15-20%: Indicates an overheated market.
- **Above 20%: Signals FOMO (fear of missing out).
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator employs a systematic approach to derive its insights. The process is broken down into several steps, each contributing to the overall analysis:
🔶 Data Fetching: The script first fetches the necessary data, including the closing prices of Ethereum's spot market and selected futures contracts. These futures contracts are typically set to expire at different dates, providing a broad perspective on market expectations over time.
🔶 Time and Expiration: The tool takes into account the current time and the expiration dates of the futures contracts. This helps in calculating the number of days remaining until each contract's expiration.
🔶 Premium Calculations: The premium or discount of each futures contract relative to the spot price is computed. This is done by subtracting the spot price from the futures price and then dividing the result by the spot price. This calculation gives a percentage that represents the premium or discount.
🔶 Annualized Percentage Yield (APY) Calculations: The calculated premium or discount is then annualized based on the number of days remaining until the contract's expiration. This involves multiplying the premium or discount by the factor (365 / days remaining) to annualize the figure. If the user chooses not to annualize the numbers, this step is skipped.
🔶 Plotting Results: The annualized yields are then plotted on a chart, allowing traders to visualize the potential returns from different futures contracts. The plots are color-coded for easy differentiation and quick analysis.
By following this structured approach, the Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator provides traders with clear, actionable insights into market dynamics and potential arbitrage opportunities.
█ Trade Direction
While this tool does not provide direct trading signals, it informs traders about potential arbitrage opportunities and the prevailing market sentiment. Traders can leverage this data to make strategic decisions, aligning long or short positions with the anticipated market movements and arbitrage conditions.
█ Usage
By inputting specific parameters related to their market analysis, traders can monitor discrepancies in Bitcoin’s pricing across different timelines, which is especially beneficial for those involved in derivatives trading, arbitrage, and sentiment analysis.
█ Default Settings
- Resolution: Controls the frequency of data (default is daily).
- Show numbers in annual: Determines whether APY is displayed on an annual basis.
- Base Symbol and Future Symbols: Specify the spot and futures markets for analysis.
