Ichimoku Cloud Breakout Only LongThis is a very simple trading strategy based exclusively on the Ichimoku Cloud. There are no additional indicators or complex rules involved. The key condition is that we only open long positions when the price is clearly above the cloud — indicating a bullish trend.
For optimal results, the recommended timeframes are 1D (daily) or 1W (weekly) charts. These higher timeframes help filter out market noise and provide more reliable trend signals.
We do not short the market under any circumstances. The focus is purely on riding upward momentum when the price breaks out or stays above the cloud.
This strategy works best when applied to growth stocks with strong upward trends and good fundamentals — such as Google (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA), Apple (AAPL), or NVIDIA (NVDA).
M-oscillator
Funding Rate Strategy IndicatorDescription
Funding Rate Backtest Strategy uses smoothed funding‐rate dynamics to trigger long/short trades, enhanced by volume, session and daily‐limit filters, plus configurable profit-taking, stop-loss and trailing stops. It is designed for perpetual‐swap markets (e.g. BTCUSDT) where funding costs reflect market sentiment.
1. Strategy Logic & Components
Funding Rate Source
External: real exchange funding rate (e.g. Binance funding).
Custom: manual override value.
Simulate: sine‐wave test data between –3 and +3 to validate behavior.
Entry Conditions
LONG when fundingRate ≤ Long Threshold (default –2.0)
SHORT when fundingRate ≥ Short Threshold (default +2.0)
Volume Filter: requires a ≥ 5% increase vs prior bar.
4H Session Filter: only triggers on new 4-hour bars (optional).
Daily Cap: max 5 signals per calendar day (prevents overtrading).
Weekend Trading: on/off toggle for Saturday–Sunday.
Exit Conditions
Funding Normalization: exit LONG when fundingRate > –0.5; exit SHORT when fundingRate < +0.5.
Profit-Taking & Stop-Loss: default TP = 5%, SL = 3% of entry price.
Trailing Stop: optional 2% trailing (togglable).
2. Default Settings & Backtest Parameters
Account Size: $10,000
Position Sizing: 10% of equity per trade
Commission: 0.10% per side
Slippage: 0.05% per trade
Instrument & Timeframe: BTCUSDT perpetual, 1H bars, Jan 1 2022 – Dec 31 2023
Volume Increase: 5%
Session Filter: 4-hour bars only
Max Signals/Day: 5
Weekend Trading: Enabled
3. Backtest Results (Jan 2022–Dec 2023)
Total Trades: 142
Win Rate: 55.6%
Average R/R: 1 : 1.4
Max Drawdown: 14.8%
Net Return: +22.3%
These results assume realistic commission (0.1%) and slippage (0.05%). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
4. Default Properties Explained
Property Default Description
rateSourceChoice External Select funding‐rate data source
fundingRateLongThreshold –2.0 Funding ≤ –2% → LONG condition
fundingRateShortThreshold +2.0 Funding ≥ +2% → SHORT condition
volumeIncreasePercent 5.0 Min % volume increase vs prior bar
enableFourHourFilter true Only trigger on new 4H sessions
maxSignalsPerDay 5 Daily cap on entries
exitLongThreshold –0.5 Funding > –0.5% → exit LONG
exitShortThreshold +0.5 Funding < +0.5% → exit SHORT
takeProfitPercent 5.0 Fixed profit target in %
stopLossPercent 3.0 Fixed stop‐loss in %
useTrailingStop false Toggle trailing stop
trailingStopPercent 2.0 Trailing stop distance in %
allowWeekendTrading true Allow entries on Sat/Sun
5. How to Use
Add to Chart → search “Funding Rate Backtest.”
Configure Inputs → choose your funding‐rate feed, adjust thresholds, volume and session filters.
Position Sizing → defaults to 10% equity; adjust if desired.
Monitor Table & Signals → on‐chart shapes mark entries/exits; status table shows open P&L and signals count.
Risk Management → always verify commission/slippage settings; limit risk to sustainable levels (≤ 10% equity per trade).
6. Warnings & Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only. Real funding rates may differ—replace simulation or custom inputs with actual data. Always apply your own analysis and risk management. Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results.
EXODUS EXODUS by (DAFE) Trading Systems
EXODUS is a sophisticated trading algorithm built by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems for competitive and competition purposes, designed to identify high-probability trades with robust risk management. this strategy leverages a multi-signal voting system, combining three core components—SPR, VWMO, and VEI—alongside ADX, choppiness filters, and ATR-based volatility gates to ensure trades are taken only in favorable market conditions. the algo uses a take-profit to stop-loss ratio, dynamic position sizing, and a strict voting mechanism requiring all signals to align before entering a trade.
EXODUS was not overfitted for any specific symbol. instead, it uses a generic tuned setting, making it versatile across various markets. while it can trade futures, it’s not currently set up for it but has the potential to do more with further development. visuals are intentionally minimal due to its competition focus, prioritizing performance over aesthetics. a more visually stunning version may be released in the future with enhanced graphics.
The Unique Core Components Developed for EXODUS
SPR (Session Price Recalibration)
SPR measures momentum during regular trading hours (RTH, 0930-1600, America/New_York) to catch session-specific trends.
spr_lookback = input.int(15, "SPR Lookback") this sets how many bars back SPR looks to calculate momentum (default 15 bars). it compares the current session’s price-volume score to the score 15 bars ago to gauge momentum strength.
how it works: a longer lookback smooths out the signal, focusing on bigger trends. a shorter one makes SPR more sensitive to recent moves.
how to adjust: on a 1-hour chart, 15 bars is 15 hours (about 2 trading days). if you’re on a shorter timeframe like 5 minutes, 15 bars is just 75 minutes, so you might want to increase it to 50 or 100 to capture more meaningful trends. if you’re trading a choppy stock, a shorter lookback (like 5) can help catch quick moves, but it might give more false signals.
spr_threshold = input.float (0.7, "SPR Threshold")
this is the cutoff for SPR to vote for a trade (default 0.7). if SPR’s normalized value is above 0.7, it votes for a long; below -0.7, it votes for a short.
how it works: SPR normalizes its momentum score by ATR, so this threshold ensures only strong moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher conviction.
how to adjust: if you’re getting too few trades, lower it to 0.5 to let more signals through. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise it to 1.0 for stricter filtering. test on your chart to find a balance.
spr_atr_length = input.int(21, "SPR ATR Length") this sets the ATR period (default 21 bars) used to normalize SPR’s momentum score. ATR measures volatility, so this makes SPR’s signal relative to market conditions.
how it works: a longer ATR period (like 21) smooths out volatility, making SPR less jumpy. a shorter one makes it more reactive.
how to adjust: if you’re trading a volatile stock like TSLA, a longer period (30 or 50) can help avoid noise. for a calmer stock, try 10 to make SPR more responsive. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter ATR.
rth_session = input.session("0930-1600","SPR: RTH Sess.") rth_timezone = "America/New_York" this defines the session SPR uses (0930-1600, New York time). SPR only calculates momentum during these hours to focus on RTH activity.
how it works: it ignores pre-market or after-hours noise, ensuring SPR captures the main market action.
how to adjust: if you trade a different session (like London hours, 0300-1200 EST), change the session to match. you can also adjust the timezone if you’re in a different region, like "Europe/London". just make sure your chart’s timezone aligns with this setting.
VWMO (Volume-Weighted Momentum Oscillator)
VWMO measures momentum weighted by volume to spot sustained, high-conviction moves.
vwmo_momlen = input.int(21, "VWMO Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VWMO looks to calculate price momentum (default 21 bars). it takes the price change (close minus close 21 bars ago).
how it works: a longer period captures bigger trends, while a shorter one reacts to recent swings.
how to adjust: on a daily chart, 21 bars is about a month—good for trend trading. on a 5-minute chart, it’s just 105 minutes, so you might bump it to 50 or 100 for more meaningful moves. if you want faster signals, drop it to 10, but expect more noise.
vwmo_volback = input.int(30, "VWMO Volume Lookback") this sets the period for calculating average volume (default 30 bars). VWMO weights momentum by volume divided by this average.
how it works: it compares current volume to the average to see if a move has strong participation. a longer lookback smooths the average, while a shorter one makes it more sensitive.
how to adjust: for stocks with spiky volume (like NVDA on earnings), a longer lookback (50 or 100) avoids overreacting to one-off spikes. for steady volume stocks, try 20. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter lookback.
vwmo_smooth = input.int(9, "VWMO Smoothing")
this sets the SMA period to smooth VWMO’s raw momentum (default 9 bars).
how it works: smoothing reduces noise in the signal, making VWMO more reliable for voting. a longer smoothing period cuts more noise but adds lag.
how to adjust: if VWMO is too jumpy (lots of false votes), increase to 15. if it’s too slow and missing trades, drop to 5. test on your chart to see what keeps the signal clean but responsive.
vwmo_threshold = input.float(10, "VWMO Threshold") this is the cutoff for VWMO to vote for a trade (default 10). above 10, it votes for a long; below -10, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong momentum signals count. a higher threshold means fewer but stronger trades.
how to adjust: if you want more trades, lower it to 5. if you’re getting too many weak signals, raise it to 15. this depends on your market—volatile stocks might need a higher threshold to filter noise.
VEI (Velocity Efficiency Index)
VEI measures market efficiency and velocity to filter out choppy moves and focus on strong trends.
vei_eflen = input.int(14, "VEI Efficiency Smoothing") this sets the EMA period for smoothing VEI’s efficiency calc (bar range / volume, default 14 bars).
how it works: efficiency is how much price moves per unit of volume. smoothing it with an EMA reduces noise, focusing on consistent efficiency. a longer period smooths more but adds lag.
how to adjust: for choppy markets, increase to 20 to filter out noise. for faster markets, drop to 10 for quicker signals. this should match your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter period.
vei_momlen = input.int(8, "VEI Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VEI looks to calculate momentum in efficiency (default 8 bars).
how it works: it measures the change in smoothed efficiency over 8 bars, then adjusts for inertia (volume-to-range). a longer period captures bigger shifts, while a shorter one reacts faster.
how to adjust: if VEI is missing quick reversals, drop to 5. if it’s too noisy, raise to 12. test on your chart to see what catches the right moves without too many false signals.
vei_threshold = input.float(4.5, "VEI Threshold") this is the cutoff for VEI to vote for a trade (default 4.5). above 4.5, it votes for a long; below -4.5, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong, efficient moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher quality.
how to adjust: if you’re not getting enough trades, lower to 3. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise to 6. this depends on your market—fast stocks like NQ1 might need a lower threshold.
Features
Multi-Signal Voting: requires all three signals (SPR, VWMO, VEI) to align for a trade, ensuring high-probability setups.
Risk Management: uses ATR-based stops (2.1x) and take-profits (4.1x), with dynamic position sizing based on a risk percentage (default 0.4%).
Market Filters: ADX (default 27) ensures trending conditions, choppiness index (default 54.5) avoids sideways markets, and ATR expansion (default 1.12) confirms volatility.
Dashboard: provides real-time stats like SPR, VWMO, VEI values, net P/L, win rate, and streak, with a clean, functional design.
Visuals
EXODUS prioritizes performance over visuals, as it was built for competitive and competition purposes. entry/exit signals are marked with simple labels and shapes, and a basic heatmap highlights market regimes. a more visually stunning update may be released later, with enhanced graphics and overlays.
Usage
EXODUS is designed for stocks and ETFs but can be adapted for futures with adjustments. it performs best in trending markets with sufficient volatility, as confirmed by its generic tuning across symbols like TSLA, AMD, NVDA, and NQ1. adjust inputs like SPR threshold, VWMO smoothing, or VEI momentum length to suit specific assets or timeframes.
Setting I used: (Again, these are a generic setting, each security needs to be fine tuned)
SPR LB = 19 SPR TH = 0.5 SPR ATR L= 21 SPR RTH Sess: 9:30 – 16:00
VWMO L = 21 VWMO LB = 18 VWMO S = 6 VWMO T = 8
VEI ES = 14 VEI ML = 21 VEI T = 4
R % = 0.4
ATR L = 21 ATR M (S) =1.1 TP Multi = 2.1 ATR min mult = 0.8 ATR Expansion = 1.02
ADX L = 21 Min ADX = 25
Choppiness Index = 14 Chop. Max T = 55.5
Backtesting: TSLA
Frame: Jan 02, 2018, 08:00 — May 01, 2025, 09:00
Slippage: 3
Commission .01
Disclaimer
this strategy is for educational purposes. past performance is not indicative of future results. trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. always backtest and validate any strategy before using it in live markets.
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
About the Author
Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is dedicated to building high-performance trading algorithms. EXODUS is a product of rigorous research and development, aimed at delivering consistent, and data-driven trading solutions.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
2025 Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Cyclical CALL/PUT StrategyThis script identifies optimal CALL (long) and PUT (short) entries using a cyclical price wave modeled from a sine function and confirmed with trend direction via a 200 EMA.
Strategy Highlights:
Cycle-Based Signal: Detects market rhythm with a smoothed sinusoidal wave.
Trend Confirmation: Filters entries using a customizable EMA (default: 200).
Auto-Scaling: Wave height adjusts dynamically to price action volatility.
Risk Parameters:
Take Profit: Default 5% (customizable)
Stop Loss: Default 2% (customizable)
Signal Triggers:
CALL Entry: Price crosses above the scaled wave and in an uptrend
PUT Entry: Price crosses below the scaled wave and in a downtrend
Inputs:
Cycle Length
Smoothing
Wave Height
EMA Trend Length
Take Profit %
Stop Loss %
Visuals:
Gray line = Scaled Cycle Wave
Orange line = 200 EMA Trend Filter
Best For: Traders looking to make 1–2 high-probability trades per week on SPY or other highly liquid assets.
Timeframes: Works well on 2-min, 15-min, and daily charts.
Moving Average Shift WaveTrend StrategyMoving Average Shift WaveTrend Strategy
🧭 Overview
The Moving Average Shift WaveTrend Strategy is a trend-following and momentum-based trading system designed to be overlayed on TradingView charts. It executes trades based on the confluence of multiple technical conditions—volatility, session timing, trend direction, and oscillator momentum—to deliver logical and systematic trade entries and exits.
🎯 Strategy Objectives
Enter trades aligned with the prevailing long-term trend
Exit trades on confirmed momentum reversals
Avoid false signals using session timing and volatility filters
Apply structured risk management with automatic TP, SL, and trailing stops
⚙️ Key Features
Selectable MA types: SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, VWMA
Dual-filter logic using a custom oscillator and moving averages
Session and volatility filters to eliminate low-quality setups
Trailing stop, configurable Take Profit / Stop Loss logic
“In-wave flag” prevents overtrading within the same trend wave
Visual clarity with color-shifting candles and entry/exit markers
📈 Trading Rules
✅ Long Entry Conditions:
Price is above the selected MA
Oscillator is positive and rising
200-period EMA indicates an uptrend
ATR exceeds its median value (sufficient volatility)
Entry occurs between 09:00–17:00 (exchange time)
Not currently in an active wave
🔻 Short Entry Conditions:
Price is below the selected MA
Oscillator is negative and falling
200-period EMA indicates a downtrend
All other long-entry conditions are inverted
❌ Exit Conditions:
Take Profit or Stop Loss is hit
Opposing signals from oscillator and MA
Trailing stop is triggered
🛡️ Risk Management Parameters
Pair: ETH/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Starting Capital: $3,000
Commission: 0.02%
Slippage: 2 pips
Risk per Trade: 2% of account equity (adjustable)
Total Trades: 224
Backtest Period: May 24, 2016 — April 7, 2025
Note: Risk parameters are fully customizable to suit your trading style and broker conditions.
🔧 Trading Parameters & Filters
Time Filter: Trades allowed only between 09:00–17:00 (exchange time)
Volatility Filter: ATR must be above its median value
Trend Filter: Long-term 200-period EMA
📊 Technical Settings
Moving Average
Type: SMA
Length: 40
Source: hl2
Oscillator
Length: 15
Threshold: 0.5
Risk Management
Take Profit: 1.5%
Stop Loss: 1.0%
Trailing Stop: 1.0%
👁️ Visual Support
MA and oscillator color changes indicate directional bias
Clear chart markers show entry and exit points
Trailing stops and risk controls are transparently managed
🚀 Strategy Improvements & Uniqueness
In-wave flag avoids repeated entries within the same trend phase
Filtering based on time, volatility, and trend ensures higher-quality trades
Dynamic high/low tracking allows precise trailing stop placement
Fully rule-based execution reduces emotional decision-making
💡 Inspirations & Attribution
This strategy is inspired by the excellent concept from:
ChartPrime – “Moving Average Shift”
It expands on the original idea with advanced trade filters and trailing logic.
Source reference:
📌 Summary
The Moving Average Shift WaveTrend Strategy offers a rule-based, reliable approach to trend trading. By combining trend and momentum filters with robust risk controls, it provides a consistent framework suitable for various market conditions and trading styles.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Always use proper backtesting and risk evaluation before applying in live markets.
TrendTwisterV1.5 (Forex Ready + Indicators)A Precision Trend-Following TradingView Strategy for Forex**
HullShiftFX is a Pine Script strategy for TradingView that combines the power of the **Hull Moving Average (HMA)** and a **shifted Exponential Moving Average (EMA)** with multi-layered momentum filters including **RSI** and **dual Stochastic Oscillators**.
It’s designed for traders looking to catch high-probability breakouts with tight risk management and visual clarity.
Chart settings:
1. Select "Auto - Fits data to screen"
2. Please Select "Scale Price Chart Only" (To make the chart not squished)
### ✅ Entry Conditions
**Long Position:**
- Price closes above the 12-period Hull Moving Average.
- Price closes above the 5-period EMA shifted forward by 2 bars.
- RSI is above 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (12,3,3) %K is above 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) %K is above 50.
- Hull MA crosses above the shifted EMA.
**Short Position:**
- Price closes below the 12-period Hull Moving Average.
- Price closes below the 5-period EMA shifted forward by 2 bars.
- RSI is below 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (12,3,3) %K is below 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) %K is below 50.
- Hull MA crosses below the shifted EMA.
---
## 📉 Risk Management
- **Stop Loss:** Set at the low (for long) or high (for short) of the previous 2 candles.
- **Take Profit:** Calculated at a risk/reward ratio of **1.65x** the stop loss distance.
---
## 📊 Indicators Used
- **Hull Moving Average (12)**
- **Exponential Moving Average (5) **
- **Relative Strength Index (14)**
- **Stochastic Oscillators:**
- %K (12,3,3)
- %K (5,3,3)
RSI Pro+ (Bear market, financial crisis and so on EditionIn markets defined by volatility, fear, and uncertainty – the battlegrounds of bear markets and financial crises – you need tools forged in resilience. Introducing RSI Pro+, a strategy built upon a legendary indicator born in 1978, yet engineered with modern visual clarity to remain devastatingly effective even in the chaotic financial landscapes of 3078.
This isn't about complex algorithms predicting the unpredictable. It's about harnessing the raw, time-tested power of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify potential exhaustion points and capitalize on oversold conditions. RSI Pro+ cuts through the noise, providing clear, actionable signals when markets might be poised for a relief bounce or reversal.
Core Technology (The 1978 Engine):
RSI Crossover Entry: The strategy initiates a LONG position when the RSI (default period 11) crosses above a user-defined low threshold (default 30). This classic technique aims to enter when selling pressure may be waning, offering potential entry points during sharp downturns or periods of consolidation after a fall.
Modern Enhancements (The 3078 Cockpit):
RSI Pro+ isn't just about the signal; it's about providing a professional-grade visual experience directly on your chart:
Entry Bar Highlight: A subtle background flash on the chart signals the exact bar where the RSI crossover condition is met, alerting you to potential entry opportunities.
Trade Bar Coloring: Once a trade is active, the price bars are subtly colored, giving you immediate visual confirmation that the strategy is live in the market.
Entry Price Line: A clear, persistent line marks your exact average entry price for the duration of the trade, serving as a crucial visual anchor.
Take Profit Line: Your calculated Take Profit target is plotted as a distinct line, keeping your objective clearly in sight.
Custom Entry Marker: A precise shape (▲) appears below the bar where the trade entry was actually executed, pinpointing the start of the position.
On-Chart Info Table (HUD): A clean, customizable Heads-Up Display appears when a trade is active, showing vital information at a glance:
Entry Price: Your position's average cost basis.
TP Target: The calculated price level for your Take Profit exit.
Current PnL%: Real-time Profit/Loss percentage for the open trade.
Full Customization: Nearly every aspect is configurable via the settings menu:
RSI Period & Crossover Level
Take Profit Percentage
Toggle ALL visual enhancements on/off individually
Position the Info Table wherever you prefer on the chart.
How to Use RSI Pro+:
Add to Chart: Apply the "RSI Pro+ (Bear market...)" strategy to your TradingView chart. Ensure any previous versions are removed.
Access Settings: Click the cogwheel icon (⚙️) next to the strategy name on your chart.
Configure Inputs (Crucial Step):
RSI Crossover Level: This is key. The default (30) targets standard oversold conditions. In severe downturns, you might experiment with lower levels (e.g., 25, 20) or higher ones (e.g., 40) depending on the asset and timeframe. Observe where RSI(11) typically bottoms out on your chart.
Take Profit Percentage (%): Define your desired profit target per trade (e.g., enter 0.5 for 0.5%, 1.0 for 1%). The default is a very small 0.11%.
RSI Period: While default is 11, you can adjust this (e.g., the standard 14).
Visual Enhancements: Enable or disable the visual features (background highlights, bar coloring, lines, markers, table) according to your preference using the checkboxes. Adjust table position.
Observe & Backtest: Watch how the strategy behaves on your chosen asset and timeframe. Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to analyze historical performance based on your settings. No strategy works perfectly everywhere; testing is essential.
Important Considerations:
Risk Management: This specific script version focuses on a Take Profit exit. It does not include an explicit Stop Loss. You MUST manage risk through appropriate position sizing, potentially adding a Stop Loss manually, or by modifying the script.
Oversold ≠ Reversal: An RSI crossover is an indicator of potential exhaustion, not a guarantee of a price reversal.
Fixed TP: A fixed percentage TP ensures small wins but may exit before larger potential moves.
Backtesting Limitations: Past performance does not guarantee future results.
RSI Pro+ strips away complexity to focus on a robust, time-honored principle, enhanced with modern visuals for the discerning trader navigating today's (and tomorrow's) challenging markets
QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17 - Strategy Introduction and User Guide
Strategy Introduction
Welcome to the QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17, a comprehensive trading strategy designed for TradingView. This strategy is built upon oscillator principles, drawing inspiration from the Turbo Oscillator by RedRox, and incorporates multiple technical analysis concepts including RSI, MFI, Stochastic oscillators, divergence detection, and an optional FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average) filter.
The Turbine Trader aims to provide traders with a flexible toolkit for identifying potential entry and exit points in the market. It presents information through a main signal line oscillator, a histogram, and various visual cues like dots, triangles, and divergence lines directly on the indicator panel. The strategy component allows users to define specific conditions based on these visual signals to trigger automated long or short trades within the TradingView environment.
This guide provides an overview of the strategy's components, settings, and usage. Please remember that this is a BETA version (v1.17). While developed with care, it may contain bugs or behave unexpectedly.
LEGAL DISCLAIMER: QuantJazz makes no claims about the fitness or profitability of this tool. Trading involves significant risk, and you may lose all of your invested capital. All trading decisions made using this strategy are solely at the user's discretion and responsibility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough backtesting and risk assessment before deploying any trading strategy with real capital.
This work is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International.
Core Concepts and Visual Elements
The Turbine Trader indicator displays several components in its own panel below the main price chart:
1. Signal Line (Avg & Avg2): This is the primary oscillator. It's a composite indicator derived from RSI, MFI (Money Flow Index), and Stochastic calculations, smoothed using an EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
Avg: The faster smoothed signal line.
Avg2: The slower smoothed signal line.
Color Coding: The space between Avg and Avg2 is filled. The color (Neon Blue/gColor or Neon Purple/rColor) indicates the trend based on the relationship between Avg and Avg2. Blue suggests bullish momentum (Avg > Avg2), while Purple suggests bearish momentum (Avg2 > Avg).
Zero Line Crosses: Crossovers of the Avg line with the zero level can indicate shifts in momentum.
2. Histogram (resMfi): This histogram is based on smoothed and transformed MFI calculations (Fast MFI and Slow MFI).
Color Coding: Bars are colored Neon Blue (histColorUp) when above zero, suggesting bullish pressure, and Neon Purple (histColorDn) when below zero, suggesting bearish pressure. Transparency is applied.
Zero Line Crosses: Crossovers of the histogram with the zero level can signal potential shifts in money flow.
3. Reversal Points (Dots): Dots appear on the Signal Line (specifically on Avg2) when the color changes (i.e., Avg crosses Avg2).
Small Dots: Appear when a reversal occurs while the oscillator is in an "extreme" zone (below -60 for bullish reversals, above +60 for bearish reversals).
Large Dots: Appear when a reversal occurs outside of these extreme zones.
Colors: Blue (gRdColor) for bullish reversals (Avg crossing above Avg2), Purple (rRdColor) for bearish reversals (Avg crossing below Avg2).
4. Take Profit (TP) Signals (Triangles): Small triangles appear above (+120) or below (-120) the zero line.
Bearish Triangle (Down, Purple rTpColor): Suggests a potential exit point for long positions or an entry point for short positions, based on the oscillator losing upward momentum above the 50 level.
Bullish Triangle (Up, Blue gTpColor): Suggests a potential exit point for short positions or an entry point for long positions, based on the oscillator losing downward momentum below the -50 level.
5. Divergence Lines: The strategy automatically detects and draws potential regular and hidden divergences between the price action (highs/lows) and the Signal Line (Avg).
Regular Bullish Divergence (White bullDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a lower low, but the oscillator makes a higher low. Suggests potential bottoming.
Regular Bearish Divergence (White bearDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high. Suggests potential topping.
Hidden Bullish Divergence (bullHidDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a higher low, but the oscillator makes a lower low. Suggests potential continuation of an uptrend.
Hidden Bearish Divergence (bearHidDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a lower high, but the oscillator makes a higher high. Suggests potential continuation of a downtrend.
Delete Broken Divergence Lines: If enabled, newer divergence lines originating from a similar point will replace older ones.
6. Status Line: A visual bar at the top (95 to 105) and bottom (-95 to -105) of the indicator panel. Its color intensity reflects the confluence of signals:
Score Calculation: +1 if Avg > Avg2, +1 if Avg > 0, +1 if Histogram > 0.
Top Bar (Bullish): Bright Blue (gStatColor) if score is 3, Faded Blue if score is 2, Black otherwise.
Bottom Bar (Bearish): Bright Purple (rStatColor) if score is 0, Faded Purple if score is 1, Black otherwise.
Strategy Settings Explained
The strategy's behavior is controlled via the settings panel (gear icon).
1. Date Range:
Start Date, End Date: Define the period for backtesting. Trades will only occur within this range.
2. Optional Webhook Configuration: (For Automation)
3C Email Token, 3C Bot ID: Enter your 3Commas API credentials if you plan to automate trading using webhooks. The strategy generates JSON alert messages compatible with 3Commas. You can go ahead and just leave the text field as defaulted, "TOKEN HERE" / "BOT ID HERE" if not using any bot automations at this time. You can always come back later and automate it. More info can be made available from QuantJazz should you need automation assistance with custom indicators and trading strategies.
3. 🚀 Signal Line:
Turn On/Off: Show or hide the main signal lines (Avg, Avg2).
gColor, rColor: Set the colors for bullish and bearish signal line states.
Length (RSI): The lookback period for the internal RSI calculation. Default is 2.
Smooth (EMA): The smoothing period for the EMAs applied to the composite signal. Default is 9.
RSI Source: The price source used for RSI calculation (default: close).
4. 📊 Histogram:
Turn On/Off: Show or hide the histogram.
histColorUp, histColorDn: Set the colors for positive and negative histogram bars.
Length (MFI): The base lookback period for MFI calculations. Default is 5. Fast and Slow MFI lengths are derived from this.
Smooth: Smoothing period for the final histogram output. Default is 1 (minimal smoothing).
5.💡 Other:
Show Divergence Line: Toggle visibility of regular divergence lines.
bullDivColor, bearDivColor: Colors for regular divergence lines.
Show Hidden Divergence: Toggle visibility of hidden divergence lines.
bullHidDivColor, bearHidDivColor: Colors for hidden divergence lines.
Show Status Line: Toggle visibility of the top/bottom status bars.
gStatColor, rStatColor: Colors for the status line bars.
Show TP Signal: Toggle visibility of the TP triangles.
gTpColor, rTpColor: Colors for the TP triangles.
Show Reversal points: Toggle visibility of the small/large dots on the signal line.
gRdColor, rRdColor: Colors for the reversal dots.
Delete Broken Divergence Lines: Enable/disable automatic cleanup of older divergence lines.
6. ⚙️ Strategy Inputs: (CRITICAL for Trade Logic)
This section defines which visual signals trigger trades. Each signal (Small/Large Dots, TP Triangles, Bright Bars, Signal/Histogram Crosses, Signal/Histogram Max/Min, Divergences) has a dropdown menu:
Long: This signal can trigger a long entry.
Short: This signal can trigger a short entry.
Disabled: This signal will not trigger any entry.
Must Be True Checkbox: If checked for a specific signal, that signal's condition must be met for any trade (long or short, depending on the dropdown selection for that signal) to be considered. Multiple "Must Be True" conditions act as AND logic – all must be true simultaneously.
How it Works:
The strategy first checks if all conditions marked as "Must Be True" (for the relevant trade direction - long or short) are met.
If all "Must Be True" conditions are met, it then checks if at least one of the conditions not marked as "Must Be True" (and set to "Long" or "Short" respectively) is also met.
If both steps pass, and other filters (like Date Range, FRAMA) allow, an entry order is placed.
Example: If "Large Bullish Dot" is set to "Long" and "Must Be True" is checked, AND "Bullish Divergence" is set to "Long" but "Must Be True" is not checked: A long entry requires BOTH the Large Bullish Dot AND the Bullish Divergence to occur simultaneously. If "Large Bullish Dot" was "Long" but not "Must Be True", then EITHER a Large Bullish Dot OR a Bullish Divergence could trigger a long entry (assuming no other "Must Be True" conditions are active).
Note: By default, the strategy is configured for long-only trades (strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(strategy.direction.long)). To enable short trades, you would need to comment out or remove this line in the Pine Script code and configure the "Strategy Inputs" accordingly.
7. 💰 Take Profit Settings:
Take Profit 1/2/3 (%): The percentage above the entry price (for longs) or below (for shorts) where each TP level is set. (e.g., 1.0 means 1% profit).
TP1/2/3 Percentage: The percentage of the currently open position to close when the corresponding TP level is hit. The percentages should ideally sum to 100% if you intend to close the entire position across the TPs.
Trailing Stop (%): The percentage below the highest high (for longs) or above the lowest low (for shorts) reached after the activation threshold, where the stop loss will trail.
Trailing Stop Activation (%): The minimum profit percentage the trade must reach before the trailing stop becomes active.
Re-entry Delay (Bars): The minimum number of bars to wait after a TP is hit before considering a re-entry. Default is 1 (allows immediate re-entry on the next bar if conditions met).
Re-entry Price Offset (%): The percentage the price must move beyond the previous TP level before a re-entry is allowed. This prevents immediate re-entry if the price hovers around the TP level.
8. 📈 FRAMA Filter: (Optional Trend Filter)
Use FRAMA Filter: Enable or disable the filter.
FRAMA Source, FRAMA Period, FRAMA Fast MA, FRAMA Slow MA: Parameters for the FRAMA calculation. Defaults provided are common starting points.
FRAMA Filter Type:
FRAMA > previous bars: Allows trades only if FRAMA is significantly above its recent average (defined by FRAMA Percentage and FRAMA Lookback). Typically used to confirm strong upward trends for longs.
FRAMA < price: Allows trades only if FRAMA is below the current price (framaSource). Can act as a baseline trend filter.
FRAMA Percentage (X), FRAMA Lookback (Y): Used only for the FRAMA > previous bars filter type.
How it Affects Trades: If Use FRAMA Filter is enabled:
Long entries require the FRAMA filter condition to be true.
Short entries require the FRAMA filter condition to be false (as currently coded, this acts as an inverse filter for shorts if enabled).
How to Use the Strategy
1. Apply to Chart: Open your desired chart on TradingView. Click "Indicators", find "QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17" (you might need to add it via Invite-only scripts or if published publicly), and add it to your chart. The oscillator appears below the price chart, and the strategy tester panel opens at the bottom.
2. Configure Strategy Properties: In the Pine Script code itself (or potentially via the UI if supported), adjust the strategy() function parameters like initial_capital, default_qty_value, commission_value, slippage, etc., to match your account, broker fees, and risk settings. The user preferences provided (e.g., 1000 initial capital, 0.1% commission) are examples. Remember use_bar_magnifier is false by default in v1.17.
3. Configure Inputs (Settings Panel):
Set the Date Range for backtesting.
Crucially, configure the ⚙️ Strategy Inputs. Decide which signals should trigger entries and whether they are mandatory ("Must Be True"). Start simply, perhaps enabling only one or two signals initially, and test thoroughly. Remember the default long-only setting unless you modify the code.
Set up your 💰 Take Profit Settings, including TP levels, position size percentages for each TP, and the trailing stop parameters. Decide if you want to use the re-entry feature.
Decide whether to use the 📈 FRAMA Filter and configure its parameters if enabled.
Adjust visual elements (🚀 Signal Line, 📊 Histogram, 💡 Other) as needed for clarity.
4. Backtest: Use the Strategy Tester panel in TradingView. Analyze the performance metrics (Net Profit, Max Drawdown, Profit Factor, Win Rate, Trade List) across different assets, timeframes, and setting configurations. Pay close attention to how different "Strategy Inputs" combinations perform.
5. Refine: Based on backtesting results, adjust the input settings, TP/SL strategy, and signal combinations to optimize performance for your chosen market and timeframe, while being mindful of overfitting.
6. Automation (Optional): If using 3Commas or a similar platform:
Enter your 3C Email Token and 3C Bot ID in the settings.
Create alerts in TradingView (right-click on the chart or use the Alert panel).
Set the Condition to "QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17".
In the "Message" box, paste the corresponding placeholder, which will pass the message in JSON from our custom code to TradingView to pass through your webhook: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
In the next tab, configure the Webhook URL provided by your automation platform. Put a Whale sound, while you're at it! 🐳
When an alert triggers, TradingView will send the pre-formatted JSON message from the strategy code to your webhook URL.
Final Notes
The QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17 offers a wide range of customizable signals and strategy logic. Its effectiveness heavily depends on proper configuration and thorough backtesting specific to the traded asset and timeframe. Start with the default settings, understand each component, and methodically test different combinations of signals and parameters. Remember the inherent risks of trading and never invest capital you cannot afford to lose.
Adaptive KDJ (MTF)Hey guys,
this is an adaptive MTF KDJ oscillator.
Pick up to 3 different timeframes, choose a weighting if you want and enjoy the beautiful signals it will show you.
The length of every timeframe is adaptive and based of the timeframe's ATR.
The plot shows the smoothed average of the 3 KDJ values.
Large triangles show KDJ crossings.
Small triangles show anticipations of possible crossings.
I found out it works best with 1m, 5m, 15m and weighting=1 for forex scalping in 1m.
Use other indicators for confluence.
TEMA OBOS Strategy PakunTEMA OBOS Strategy
Overview
This strategy combines a trend-following approach using the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) with Overbought/Oversold (OBOS) indicator filtering.
By utilizing TEMA crossovers to determine trend direction and OBOS as a filter, it aims to improve entry precision.
This strategy can be applied to markets such as Forex, Stocks, and Crypto, and is particularly designed for mid-term timeframes (5-minute to 1-hour charts).
Strategy Objectives
Identify trend direction using TEMA
Use OBOS to filter out overbought/oversold conditions
Implement ATR-based dynamic risk management
Key Features
1. Trend Analysis Using TEMA
Uses crossover of short-term EMA (ema3) and long-term EMA (ema4) to determine entries.
ema4 acts as the primary trend filter.
2. Overbought/Oversold (OBOS) Filtering
Long Entry Condition: up > down (bullish trend confirmed)
Short Entry Condition: up < down (bearish trend confirmed)
Reduces unnecessary trades by filtering extreme market conditions.
3. ATR-Based Take Profit (TP) & Stop Loss (SL)
Adjustable ATR multiplier for TP/SL
Default settings:
TP = ATR × 5
SL = ATR × 2
Fully customizable risk parameters.
4. Customizable Parameters
TEMA Length (for trend calculation)
OBOS Length (for overbought/oversold detection)
Take Profit Multiplier
Stop Loss Multiplier
EMA Display (Enable/Disable TEMA lines)
Bar Color Change (Enable/Disable candle coloring)
Trading Rules
Long Entry (Buy Entry)
ema3 crosses above ema4 (Golden Cross)
OBOS indicator confirms up > down (bullish trend)
Execute a buy position
Short Entry (Sell Entry)
ema3 crosses below ema4 (Death Cross)
OBOS indicator confirms up < down (bearish trend)
Execute a sell position
Take Profit (TP)
Entry Price + (ATR × TP Multiplier) (Default: 5)
Stop Loss (SL)
Entry Price - (ATR × SL Multiplier) (Default: 2)
TP/SL settings are fully customizable to fine-tune risk management.
Risk Management Parameters
This strategy emphasizes proper position sizing and risk control to balance risk and return.
Trading Parameters & Considerations
Initial Account Balance: $7,000 (adjustable)
Base Currency: USD
Order Size: 10,000 USD
Pyramiding: 1
Trading Fees: $0.94 per trade
Long Position Margin: 50%
Short Position Margin: 50%
Total Trades (M5 Timeframe): 128
Deep Test Results (2024/11/01 - 2025/02/24)BTCUSD-5M
Total P&L：+1638.20USD
Max equity drawdown：694.78USD
Total trades：128
Profitable trades:44.53
Profit factor:1.45
These settings aim to protect capital while maintaining a balanced risk-reward approach.
Visual Support
TEMA Lines (Three EMAs)
Trend direction is indicated by color changes (Blue/Orange)
ema3 (short-term) and ema4 (long-term) crossover signals potential entries
OBOS Histogram
Green → Strong buying pressure
Red → Strong selling pressure
Blue → Possible trend reversal
Entry & Exit Markers
Blue Arrow → Long Entry Signal
Red Arrow → Short Entry Signal
Take Profit / Stop Loss levels displayed
Strategy Improvements & Uniqueness
This strategy is based on indicators developed by "l_lonthoff" and "jdmonto0", but has been significantly optimized for better entry accuracy, visual clarity, and risk management.
Enhanced Trend Identification with TEMA
Detects early trend reversals using ema3 & ema4 crossover
Reduces market noise for a smoother trend-following approach
Improved OBOS Filtering
Prevents excessive trading
Reduces unnecessary risk exposure
Dynamic Risk Management with ATR-Based TP/SL
Not a fixed value → TP/SL adjusts to market volatility
Fully customizable ATR multiplier settings
(Default: TP = ATR × 5, SL = ATR × 2)
Summary
The TEMA + OBOS Strategy is a simple yet powerful trading method that integrates trend analysis and oscillators.
TEMA for trend identification
OBOS for noise reduction & overbought/oversold filtering
ATR-based TP/SL settings for dynamic risk management
Before using this strategy, ensure thorough backtesting and demo trading to fine-tune parameters according to your trading style.
Balance of Power for US30 4H [PineIndicators]The Balance of Power (BoP) Strategy is a momentum-based trading system for the US30 index on a 4-hour timeframe. It measures the strength of buyers versus sellers in each candle using the Balance of Power (BoP) indicator and executes trades based on predefined threshold crossovers. The strategy includes dynamic position sizing, adjustable leverage, and visual trade tracking.
⚙️ Core Strategy Mechanics
Positive values indicate buying strength.
Negative values indicate selling strength.
Values close to 1 suggest strong bullish momentum.
Values close to -1 indicate strong bearish pressure.
The strategy uses fixed threshold crossovers to determine trade entries and exits.
📌 Trade Logic
Entry Conditions
Long Entry: When BoP crosses above 0.8, signaling strong buying pressure.
Exit Conditions
Position Close: When BoP crosses below -0.8, indicating a shift to selling pressure.
This threshold-based system filters out low-confidence signals and focuses on high-momentum shifts.
📏 Position Sizing & Leverage
Leverage: Adjustable by the user (default = 5x).
Risk Management: Position size adapts dynamically based on equity fluctuations.
📊 Trade Visualization & History Tracking
Trade Markers:
"Buy" labels appear when a long position is opened.
"Close" labels appear when a position is exited.
Trade History Boxes:
Green for profitable trades.
Red for losing trades.
These elements provide clear visual tracking of past trade execution.
⚡ Usage & Customization
1️⃣ Apply the script to a US30 4H chart in TradingView.
2️⃣ Adjust leverage settings as needed.
3️⃣ Review trade signals and historical performance with visual markers.
4️⃣ Enable backtesting to evaluate past performance.
This strategy is designed for momentum-based trading and is best suited for volatile market conditions.
[SHORT ONLY] Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Strategy" is a mean-reversion strategy designed to identify trading opportunities based on the closing price's position within the daily price range. It enters a short position when the IBS indicates overbought conditions and exits when the IBS reaches oversold levels. This strategy is Short-Only and was designed to be used on the Daily timeframe for Stocks and ETFs.
█ WHAT IS INTERNAL BAR STRENGTH (IBS)?
Internal Bar Strength (IBS) measures where the closing price falls within the high-low range of a bar. It is calculated as:
IBS = (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
- Low IBS (≤ 0.2) : Indicates the close is near the bar's low, suggesting oversold conditions.
- High IBS (≥ 0.8) : Indicates the close is near the bar's high, suggesting overbought conditions.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The IBS value rises to or above the Upper Threshold (default: 0.9).
The Closing price is greater than the previous bars High (close>high ).
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the IBS value drops to or below the Lower Threshold (default: 0.3). This prompts the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Upper Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy enters trades. Default is 0.9.
Lower Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy exits short positions. Default is 0.3.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for Stocks and ETFs markets and performs best when prices frequently revert to the mean.
The strategy can be optimized further using additional conditions such as using volume or volatility filters.
It is sensitive to extreme IBS values, which help identify potential reversals.
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the Upper/Lower Thresholds for specific instruments and market conditions.
Iron Bot Statistical Trend Filter📌 Iron Bot Statistical Trend Filter
📌 Overview
Iron Bot Statistical Trend Filter is an advanced trend filtering strategy that combines statistical methods with technical analysis.
By leveraging Z-score and Fibonacci levels, this strategy quantitatively analyzes market trends to provide high-precision entry signals.
Additionally, it includes an optional EMA filter to enhance trend reliability.
Risk management is reinforced with Stop Loss (SL) and four Take Profit (TP) levels, ensuring a balanced approach to risk and reward.
📌 Key Features
🔹 1. Statistical Trend Filtering with Z-Score
This strategy calculates the Z-score to measure how much the price deviates from its historical mean.
Positive Z-score: Indicates a statistically high price, suggesting a strong uptrend.
Negative Z-score: Indicates a statistically low price, signaling a potential downtrend.
Z-score near zero: Suggests a ranging market with no strong trend.
By using the Z-score as a filter, market noise is reduced, leading to more reliable entry signals.
🔹 2. Fibonacci Levels for Trend Reversal Detection
The strategy integrates Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential reversal points in the market.
High Trend Level (Fibo 23.6%): When the price surpasses this level, an uptrend is likely.
Low Trend Level (Fibo 78.6%): When the price falls below this level, a downtrend is expected.
Trend Line (Fibo 50%): Acts as a midpoint, helping to assess market balance.
This allows traders to visually confirm trend strength and turning points, improving entry accuracy.
🔹 3. EMA Filter for Trend Confirmation (Optional)
The strategy includes an optional 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) filter for trend validation.
Price above 200 EMA: Indicates a bullish trend (long entries preferred).
Price below 200 EMA: Indicates a bearish trend (short entries preferred).
Enabling this filter reduces false signals and improves trend-following accuracy.
🔹 4. Multi-Level Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) Management
To ensure effective risk management, the strategy includes four Take Profit levels and a Stop Loss:
Stop Loss (SL): Automatically closes trades when the price moves against the position by a certain percentage.
TP1 (+0.75%): First profit-taking level.
TP2 (+1.1%): A higher probability profit target.
TP3 (+1.5%): Aiming for a stronger trend move.
TP4 (+2.0%): Maximum profit target.
This system secures profits at different stages and optimizes risk-reward balance.
🔹 5. Automated Long & Short Trading Logic
The strategy is built using Pine Script®’s strategy.entry() and strategy.exit(), allowing fully automated trading.
Long Entry:
Price is above the trend line & high trend level.
Z-score is positive (indicating an uptrend).
(Optional) Price is also above the EMA for stronger confirmation.
Short Entry:
Price is below the trend line & low trend level.
Z-score is negative (indicating a downtrend).
(Optional) Price is also below the EMA for stronger confirmation.
This logic helps filter out unnecessary trades and focus only on high-probability entries.
📌 Trading Parameters
This strategy is designed for flexible capital management and risk control.
💰 Account Size: $5000
📉 Commissions and Slippage: Assumes 94 pips commission per trade and 1 pip slippage.
⚖️ Risk per Trade: Adjustable, with a default setting of 1% of equity.
These parameters help preserve capital while optimizing the risk-reward balance.
📌 Visual Aids for Clarity
To enhance usability, the strategy includes clear visual elements for easy market analysis.
✅ Trend Line (Blue): Indicates market midpoint and helps with entry decisions.
✅ Fibonacci Levels (Yellow): Highlights high and low trend levels.
✅ EMA Line (Green, Optional): Confirms long-term trend direction.
✅ Entry Signals (Green for Long, Red for Short): Clearly marked buy and sell signals.
These features allow traders to quickly interpret market conditions, even without advanced technical analysis skills.
📌 Originality & Enhancements
This strategy is developed based on the IronXtreme and BigBeluga indicators,
combining a unique Z-score statistical method with Fibonacci trend analysis.
Compared to conventional trend-following strategies, it leverages statistical techniques
to provide higher-precision entry signals, reducing false trades and improving overall reliability.
📌 Summary
Iron Bot Statistical Trend Filter is a statistically-driven trend strategy that utilizes Z-score and Fibonacci levels.
High-precision trend analysis
Enhanced accuracy with an optional EMA filter
Optimized risk management with multiple TP & SL levels
Visually intuitive chart design
Fully customizable parameters & leverage support
This strategy reduces false signals and helps traders ride the trend with confidence.
Try it out and take your trading to the next level! 🚀
Statistical Arbitrage Pairs Trading - Long-Side OnlyThis strategy implements a simplified statistical arbitrage (" stat arb ") approach focused on mean reversion between two correlated instruments. It identifies opportunities where the spread between their normalized price series (Z-scores) deviates significantly from historical norms, then executes long-only trades anticipating reversion to the mean.
Key Mechanics:
1. Spread Calculation: The strategy computes Z-scores for both instruments to normalize price movements, then tracks the spread between these Z-scores.
2. Modified Z-Score: Uses a robust measure combining the median and Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) to reduce outlier sensitivity.
3. Entry Signal: A long position is triggered when the spread’s modified Z-score falls below a user-defined threshold (e.g., -1.0), indicating extreme undervaluation of the main instrument relative to its pair.
4. Exit Signal: The position closes automatically when the spread reverts to its historical mean (Z-score ≥ 0).
Risk management:
Trades are sized as a percentage of equity (default: 10%).
Includes commissions and slippage for realistic backtesting.
Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Strategy" is a mean-reversion strategy designed to identify trading opportunities based on the closing price's position within the daily price range. It enters a long position when the IBS indicates oversold conditions and exits when the IBS reaches overbought levels. This strategy was designed to be used on the daily timeframe.
█ WHAT IS INTERNAL BAR STRENGTH (IBS)?
Internal Bar Strength (IBS) measures where the closing price falls within the high-low range of a bar. It is calculated as:
IBS = (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
- **Low IBS (≤ 0.2)**: Indicates the close is near the bar's low, suggesting oversold conditions.
- **High IBS (≥ 0.8)**: Indicates the close is near the bar's high, suggesting overbought conditions.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY
A Buy Signal is triggered when:
The IBS value drops below the Lower Threshold (default: 0.2).
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
A Sell Signal is generated when the IBS value rises to or above the Upper Threshold (default: 0.8). This prompts the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Upper Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy exits trades. Default is 0.8.
Lower Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy enters long positions. Default is 0.2.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for ranging markets and performs best when prices frequently revert to the mean.
It is sensitive to extreme IBS values, which help identify potential reversals.
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the Upper/Lower Thresholds for specific instruments and market conditions.
Systematic Risk Aggregation ModelThe “Systematic Risk Aggregation Model” is a quantitative trading strategy implemented in Pine Script™ designed to assess and visualize market risk by aggregating multiple financial risk factors. This model uses a multi-dimensional scoring approach to quantify systemic risk, incorporating volatility, drawdowns, put/call ratios, tail risk, volume spikes, and the Sharpe ratio. It derives a composite risk score, which is dynamically smoothed and plotted alongside adaptive Bollinger Bands to identify trading opportunities. The strategy’s theoretical framework aligns with modern portfolio theory and risk management literature (Markowitz, 1952; Taleb, 2007).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Key Components of the Model
1. Volatility as a Risk Proxy
The model calculates the standard deviation of the closing price over a specified period (volatility_length) to quantify market uncertainty. Volatility is normalized to a score between 0 and 100, using its historical minimum and maximum values.
Reference: Volatility has long been regarded as a critical measure of financial risk and uncertainty in capital markets (Hull, 2008).
2. Drawdown Assessment
The drawdown metric captures the relative distance of the current price from the highest price over the specified period (drawdown_length). This is converted into a normalized score to reflect the magnitude of recent losses.
Reference: Drawdown is a key metric in risk management, often used to measure potential downside risk in portfolios (Maginn et al., 2007).
3. Put/Call Ratio as a Sentiment Indicator
The strategy integrates the put/call ratio, sourced from an external symbol, to assess market sentiment. High values often indicate bearish sentiment, while low values suggest bullish sentiment (Whaley, 2000). The score is normalized similarly to other metrics.
4. Tail Risk via Modified Z-Score
Tail risk is approximated using the modified Z-score, which measures the deviation of the closing price from its moving average relative to its standard deviation. This approach captures extreme price movements and potential “black swan” events.
Reference: Taleb (2007) discusses the importance of considering tail risks in financial systems.
5. Volume Spikes as a Proxy for Market Activity
A volume spike is defined as the ratio of current volume to its moving average. This ratio is normalized into a score, reflecting unusual trading activity, which may signal market turning points.
Reference: Volume analysis is a foundational tool in technical analysis and is often linked to price momentum (Murphy, 1999).
6. Sharpe Ratio for Risk-Adjusted Returns
The Sharpe ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of the asset, using the mean log return divided by its standard deviation over the same period. This ratio is transformed into a score, reflecting the attractiveness of returns relative to risk.
Reference: Sharpe (1966) introduced the Sharpe ratio as a standard measure of portfolio performance.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Composite Risk Score
The composite risk score is calculated as a weighted average of the individual risk factors:
• Volatility: 30%
• Drawdown: 20%
• Put/Call Ratio: 20%
• Tail Risk (Z-Score): 15%
• Volume Spike: 10%
• Sharpe Ratio: 5%
This aggregation captures the multi-dimensional nature of systemic risk and provides a unified measure of market conditions.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dynamic Bands with Bollinger Bands
The composite risk score is smoothed using a moving average and bounded by Bollinger Bands (basis ± 2 standard deviations). These bands provide dynamic thresholds for identifying overbought and oversold market conditions:
• Upper Band: Signals overbought conditions, where risk is elevated.
• Lower Band: Indicates oversold conditions, where risk subsides.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trading Strategy
The strategy operates on the following rules:
1. Entry Condition: Enter a long position when the risk score crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating elevated market activity.
2. Exit Condition: Close the long position when the risk score drops below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a reduction in risk.
These conditions are consistent with momentum-based strategies and adaptive risk control.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conclusion
This script exemplifies a systematic approach to risk aggregation, leveraging multiple dimensions of financial risk to create a robust trading strategy. By incorporating well-established risk metrics and sentiment indicators, the model offers a comprehensive view of market dynamics. Its adaptive framework makes it versatile for various market conditions, aligning with contemporary advancements in quantitative finance.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
References
1. Hull, J. C. (2008). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education.
2. Maginn, J. L., Tuttle, D. L., McLeavey, D. W., & Pinto, J. E. (2007). Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process. Wiley.
3. Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91.
4. Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of Finance.
5. Sharpe, W. F. (1966). Mutual Fund Performance. The Journal of Business, 39(1), 119–138.
6. Taleb, N. N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Random House.
7. Whaley, R. E. (2000). The Investor Fear Gauge. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12–17.
Kinetik Model [NantzOS]Description:
The Kinetik Model is a strategy that reinterprets the traditional stochastic oscillator to take advantage of momentum instead of the standard overbought/oversold reversal approach. Primarily operating upon zero line crosses, what you observe is the difference between the K and D plots. the first unique feature about this system is that the stochastic calculation has been made "boundless" in order to more accurately gauge the rate of momentum. It doesn't consolidate in upper or lower channels. The second feature is the dataset typically known as %K smoothing is set to a fixed value, the %K length and %D smoothing serve as a customizable length and signal. The third is that it takes trades based on the difference between the fixed %K and customizable %D, a reminder that is your oscillator display. This oscillator versus the traditional stochastic is comparable to the MACD histogram versus the MACD line plots. The fourth feature is that the user dynamically tests the upper and lower thresholds, displayed with a color background on the oscillator, to act as a filtration method. The system won't take shorts if momentum is above the upper threshold and won't take longs if it's performing below the lower threshold. Lastly, this system uses a trailing stop exit strategy, which can be deactivated, and the option to test long only.
Features Summarized:
A reimagined stochastic that operates without fixed boundries, offering flexibility for properly observing momentum.
High and low levels act as extreme zones for highlighting strong trends.
Users can modify data length, signal input, and thresholds from the settings to suit their preferred asset and time frame.
A built-in optional stop-loss mechanism with adjustable sensitivity, enabling tighter or more relaxed risk management.
Includes and optional long only setting and candle coloring with signals.
How to Use:
Navigate to the indicator tab in TradingView to search and apply the Kinetik Model.
Access the settings icon on the indicator to navigate the style and settings:
Length: Modifies the amount of data used to calculate the oscillator.
Signal: Further calibrates the sensitivity of the final plot.
High/Low Thresholds: A single filtration method for defining extreme zones of momentum bias, which determines entry/exits along with the zero line crosses.
Remaining Settings: Customize stop loss calibration along with optional features and styling choice.
Oscillators have been a staple in financial analysis since the mid-20th century, with tools like the RSI, MACD, and Stochastic helping gauge overbought and oversold conditions. What makes the latter unique is that the stochastic utilizes highs and lows as opposed to various EMA rates of change. Kinetik's unique boundless stochastic calculation and K/D difference plotting are the heart of this strategy.
Kernel Regression Envelope with SMI OscillatorThis script combines the predictive capabilities of the **Nadaraya-Watson estimator**, implemented by the esteemed jdehorty (credit to him for his excellent work on the `KernelFunctions` library and the original Nadaraya-Watson Envelope indicator), with the confirmation strength of the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** to create a dynamic trend reversal strategy. The core idea is to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions using the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and then confirm these signals with the SMI before entering a trade.
**Understanding the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope:**
The Nadaraya-Watson estimator is a non-parametric regression technique that essentially calculates a weighted average of past price data to estimate the current underlying trend. Unlike simple moving averages that give equal weight to all past data within a defined period, the Nadaraya-Watson estimator uses a **kernel function** (in this case, the Rational Quadratic Kernel) to assign weights. The key parameters influencing this estimation are:
* **Lookback Window (h):** This determines how many historical bars are considered for the estimation. A larger window results in a smoother estimation, while a smaller window makes it more reactive to recent price changes.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** This parameter controls the influence of different time frames in the estimation. Lower values emphasize longer-term price action, while higher values make the estimator more sensitive to shorter-term movements.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** This allows you to exclude the potentially volatile initial bars of a chart from the calculation, leading to a more stable estimation.
The script calculates the Nadaraya-Watson estimation for the closing price (`yhat_close`), as well as the highs (`yhat_high`) and lows (`yhat_low`). The `yhat_close` is then used as the central trend line.
**Dynamic Envelope Bands with ATR:**
To identify potential entry and exit points around the Nadaraya-Watson estimation, the script uses **Average True Range (ATR)** to create dynamic envelope bands. ATR measures the volatility of the price. By multiplying the ATR by different factors (`nearFactor` and `farFactor`), we create multiple bands:
* **Near Bands:** These are closer to the Nadaraya-Watson estimation and are intended to identify potential immediate overbought or oversold zones.
* **Far Bands:** These are further away and can act as potential take-profit or stop-loss levels, representing more extreme price extensions.
The script calculates both near and far upper and lower bands, as well as an average between the near and far bands. This provides a nuanced view of potential support and resistance levels around the estimated trend.
**Confirming Reversals with the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI):**
While the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies potential overextended conditions, the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** is used to confirm a potential trend reversal. The SMI, unlike a traditional stochastic oscillator, oscillates around a zero line. It measures the location of the current closing price relative to the median of the high/low range over a specified period.
The script calculates the SMI on a **higher timeframe** (defined by the "Timeframe" input) to gain a broader perspective on the market momentum. This helps to filter out potential whipsaws and false signals that might occur on the current chart's timeframe. The SMI calculation involves:
* **%K Length:** The lookback period for calculating the highest high and lowest low.
* **%D Length:** The period for smoothing the relative range.
* **EMA Length:** The period for smoothing the SMI itself.
The script uses a double EMA for smoothing within the SMI calculation for added smoothness.
**How the Indicators Work Together in the Strategy:**
The strategy enters a long position when:
1. The closing price crosses below the **near lower band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential oversold condition.
2. The SMI crosses above its EMA, indicating positive momentum.
3. The SMI value is below -50, further supporting the oversold idea on the higher timeframe.
Conversely, the strategy enters a short position when:
1. The closing price crosses above the **near upper band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential overbought condition.
2. The SMI crosses below its EMA, indicating negative momentum.
3. The SMI value is above 50, further supporting the overbought idea on the higher timeframe.
Trades are closed when the price crosses the **far band** in the opposite direction of the trade. A stop-loss is also implemented based on a fixed value.
**In essence:** The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies areas where the price might be deviating significantly from its estimated trend. The SMI, calculated on a higher timeframe, then acts as a confirmation signal, suggesting that the momentum is shifting in the direction of a potential reversal. The ATR-based bands provide dynamic entry and exit points based on the current volatility.
**How to Use the Script:**
1. **Apply the script to your chart.**
2. **Adjust the "Kernel Settings":**
* **Lookback Window (h):** Experiment with different values to find the smoothness that best suits the asset and timeframe you are trading. Lower values make the envelope more reactive, while higher values make it smoother.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** Adjust to control the influence of different timeframes on the Nadaraya-Watson estimation.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** Increase this value if you want to exclude the initial, potentially volatile, bars from the calculation.
* **Stoploss:** Set your desired stop-loss value.
3. **Adjust the "SMI" settings:**
* **%K Length, %D Length, EMA Length:** These parameters control the sensitivity and smoothness of the SMI. Experiment to find settings that work well for your trading style.
* **Timeframe:** Select the higher timeframe you want to use for SMI confirmation.
4. **Adjust the "ATR Length" and "Near/Far ATR Factor":** These settings control the width and sensitivity of the envelope bands. Smaller ATR lengths make the bands more reactive to recent volatility.
5. **Customize the "Color Settings"** to your preference.
6. **Observe the plots:**
* The **Nadaraya-Watson Estimation (yhat)** line represents the estimated underlying trend.
* The **near and far upper and lower bands** visualize potential overbought and oversold zones based on the ATR.
* The **fill areas** highlight the regions between the near and far bands.
7. **Look for entry signals:** A long entry is considered when the price touches or crosses below the lower near band and the SMI confirms upward momentum. A short entry is considered when the price touches or crosses above the upper near band and the SMI confirms downward momentum.
8. **Manage your trades:** The script provides exit signals when the price crosses the far band. The fixed stop-loss will also close trades if the price moves against your position.
**Justification for Combining Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and SMI:**
The combination of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and the SMI provides a more robust approach to identifying potential trend reversals compared to using either indicator in isolation. The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope excels at identifying potential areas where the price is overextended relative to its recent history. However, relying solely on the envelope can lead to false signals, especially in choppy or volatile markets. By incorporating the SMI as a confirmation tool, we add a momentum filter that helps to validate the potential reversals signaled by the envelope. The higher timeframe SMI further helps to filter out noise and focus on more significant shifts in momentum. The ATR-based bands add a dynamic element to the entry and exit points, adapting to the current market volatility. This mashup aims to leverage the strengths of each indicator to create a more reliable trading strategy.
LETF Leveraged Edge Strategy v1.5Overview
The strategy is based on Stochastics to detect trends and then makes Buys and Sell based on custom entry and exit criteria as described below in the Execution Logic Rules section. It will NOT work with standard Stochastics.
This is not a standard Stochastics implementation. It has been customized and modified, and does not match any widely known Stochastics variations (like Fast, Slow, or Full Stochastics) in its smoothing and iterative calculation process with:
• A unique smoothing mechanism.
• Iterative calculations.
• Additional conditional logic for strategy execution.
This strategy is designed to focus on volatile, liquid leveraged ETFs to capture gains equal to or better than Buy and Hold, and mitigate the risk of trading with a goal of reducing drawdown to a lot less than Buy and Hold. It has had successful backtest performance to varying degrees with TQQQ, SOXL, FNGU, TECL, FAS, UPRO, NAIL and SPXL. Results have not been good on other LETFs that have been backtested.
Performance
In this backtest the Net Profit shows to be $4,561 or 45.61%. Considering the initial order size was $1,000 I have to wonder if the Strategy Tester is calculating this correctly. The Strategy Tester Performance Summary shows the Buy and Hold Return at $61,165 or 611.7%. Based on calculating the price of the last shares sold, less the price paid, times the number of initial shares purchased, my math shows the Buy and Hold Gain at $4,572 or about equal with the strategy performance in this case. The Performance Summary also states the strategy had a Max DD of 3.46% which I believe is incorrect. Based on other backtests I’ve done, I believe the strategy drawdown here was closer to 28.4% and the Buy and Hold Drawdown at 82.7%. I manually calculated the Buy and Hold drawdown.
How it Works
The author provides training and support resource materials for this at his website. The strategy execution logic is driven by these rules:
Execution Logic Rules
Buy the LETF When:
BR #1a) The Daily Fast Line (FL) crosses above the Daily Slow Line (SL) and the FL is between the Low (L*) and High (H*) Range set (often referred to as Oversold and Overbought Lines). This can execute (Buy) any trading day of the week.
BR #1b) Re-Buy the next day after any Stop or Take Profit Sell if the Buy Rule condition is true (FL is above SL), if not, remain in cash and wait for the next Buy Signal.
Sell the LETF When:
SR #1a) The Daily Fast Line (FL) crosses below Daily Slow Line (SL) within the Low (L*) and High (H*) Range (often referred to as Oversold and Overbought Lines). “Crossunder Range Exit” This can execute (Sell) any trading day of the week.
SR #1b) If the (FL) crosses Below the SL above the Exit Level*, wait. Only Sell if the FL drops down below the Exit Level* “Crossunder Level Exit” This can execute (Sell) any trading day of the week.
SR #2a) Sell at the open any day the gap-down price is at or below the 1-Day Stop%*, based on previous day’s closing price (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #2b) Sell intraday any day the price is at or below the 1-Day Stop %*, based on previous day’s closing price (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #3a) Sell at the open any day the price is at or below the Trailing Stop %*, based on highest intraday price since Buy date (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #3b) Sell intraday any day the price is at or below the Trailing Stop%*, based on highest intraday price since Buy date (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #4) Sell any day when the opening price exceeds, or intraday price meets the Profit Target % price* (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #5) After each Sell go to Rule BR #1b to determine if a Re-Buy should occur the next day, or stay in cash until next Buy Signal
Settings:
Properties Tab – Initial Capital has been set to $10,000 and order size 10% of Equity, 0.1% commission and 3 Ticks for slippage. Net order size is $1,000
Input Tab:
Stochastic
Timeframe is selected to Daily or Weekly based on preference. Daily has more trades, but on average higher profitability.
Type: Proprietary (best selection for most LETFs, but a few will work better with the Full selection
%k Length 20, %K Smoothing 14, %D Smoothing (many LETFs work better with a specific Stoch setting, often each different) A List of these is provided for your starting point.
Trade Settings
Direction: Longs (This strategy only works on the Long side)
Stop Type: Trailing is recommended, but Fixed is an option.
Stop % (based on user risk tolerance)
PD Stop % (Suggest start at 5%. Based on volatility of LETF and is a stop percentage from prior day’s close. Designed to protect against sudden market volatility. Will need to balance between strategy performance and user risk tolerance)
Profit Target: User preference. (I can help with suggestions based on historical performance)
Entry/Exit Conditions
Enter on Tie: Default Checked – if a Fast line crosses a Slow line for a Buy signal, but doesn’t do so in the range set, this will trigger if it crosses at a tie.
Renter – Default Checked – If stopped out of a position, this tells the strategy to re-buy the position the next day if the conditions are still positive.
Exit Level: This is a exit level for a Fast cross below a Slow line that takes place above the Sell Range, but only happens if the Fast continues down to the level set. These usually don’t happen often, but can have a significant impact on performance. Unfortunately, it’s a trial and error process starting with 90 and working down to see if there’s any positive impact.
Trade Range
Buy Range: Start at typical 20 to 80. Expand the low end down first to check on performance impact. Normally a wide buying range is better for performance.
Sell Range: Start at 20 to 80 and tighten gradually to see performance impact. In some cases a very tight sell range does better. I have worked on our primary LETFs for many months to determine ranges for each that typically produce better results.
External Indicator: Some additional indicators have a positive impact on the strategy performance by increasing P/l, reducing drawdown and reducing the number of trades. This is not always the case and each LETF and time period for the LETF will have a bearing on whether the secondary indicator will help or not. Two that have helped are the MACD Histogram, and the Sloe-Velocity Indicator by Kamleshkumar43. Sometimes a couple of different indicators will have a positive impact, then it’s a personal preference which you pick to use with the strategy.
Since this strategy is focused on a very narrow selection of liquid LETFs, I have a lot of experience experimenting with the settings for the primary ones and can suggest things that will help. Additional training on the rules, working with the settings, and mitigating some of the negative trades during choppy markets is available at the website.
Chart
The strategy can be selected to use either a Daily or Weekly version of stochastic. This is important because the characteristics are different while still generating very good gains and minimal drawdowns. Generally, the daily stochastic will have a greater number of, and certainly more frequent, trades than the weekly stochastic. However, on average the daily version of the stochastic will generates greater profitability.
The Settings tabs have tooltip icons that will assist in inputting values that correspond to the written rules for the strategy, and some include specific rule detail.
Buying
The strategy generates Buy signals with the Fast line crossing over the Slow line within a “Buy Range” which is adjusted based on volatility of the leveraged ETF. This is unique in that a default is set for these entries to occur if the values are tied and doesn’t need to be within the high and low range if that occurs. The trader can select in the strategy for this to occur the same day, if he’s selected a Daily Stochastic timeframe, or at the end of the trading week if he’s selected a Weekly stochastic timeframe. The volatility of a leveraged ETF will sometimes cause a shake-out exit, a trailing stop can be hit, or there can be an exit based on taking a profit. A big part of the timing challenge was how to handle these. The strategy normally (set as a default) will immediately re-buy the next day only if the original buy conditions are still true. This helps capture gains when conditions are still favorable but keeps the trader out when they’re not.
Selling
Exits are handled in several ways. The strategy will exit if there is a fast line cross below a slow line within the “range”. The range is adjusted based on volatility of the leveraged ETF. The exit occurs at the close of the day if the trader has selected to use a Daily stochastic setting. The exit will occur at the end of the trading week if the trader has chosen a weekly stochastic strategy. The trader will set a level based on the instrument and volatility for another exit type. The level will sometimes coincide with the range exit high level but does not need to. If a fast line crosses down through a slow line above the level set, and then comes down to that level, the strategy will exit the position.
Another unique aspect of the strategy is the PD Stop setting. This is short for “Prior Day”, Rather than a normal stop based on the price paid for a position, the PD Stop is based on a percentage drop from the previous day’s closing price. This helps account for the volatility of the leveraged ETF and will cause an exit quickly if there’s a market, or index moving event. This helps capture gains and reduce risk should there be continued pullback.
Exits will also occur based on setting a trailing stop level and profit taking level. These are adjusted based on the leveraged ETFs volatility and historical performance.
Limitations
Choppy, or sideways markets are the most prone to poor performance and potential for being stopped out multiple times. If stopped out two consecutive times, make sure you’re monitoring market health and there are clear signs of a new uptrend such as a 10D and 21D MA in proper alignment and moving up. If you get a Buy signal from the strategy and you’re not confident yet about market and price direction then it’s fine to wait a day, or several days, to enter after the Buy signal when you have greater confidence about market direction. The author can help with a short list of tactical rules developed for these sideways or choppy markets.
This strategy has proven successful backtest results with a very limited set of LETFs as discussed earlier. The author does not know if it will prove successful with any others, or other types of ETFs such as 2X or plain ETFs. A lot more testing needs to be done.
The strategy buys and sells , excluding stops or take profit, at the market close. It can be very challenging to enter an order at market close.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting. This post and the script do not provide any financial advice and are for educational and entertainment purposes only.
TTM Grid StrategyThis strategy uses a TTM (based on EMAs of highs and lows) to determine the market's trend direction.
It then deploys a grid trading system around a dynamically updated base price, with the grid's direction and levels adjusting based on the trend.
Trades are executed as the price crosses the predefined grid levels, with the strategy risking a set percentage of equity per trade.
Core Strategy Logic:
TTM State Calculation (ttmState() function):
* Calculates two EMAs based on the `ttmPeriod`: one for the lows (`lowMA`) and one for the highs (`highMA`).
* Defines two threshold levels: `lowThird` (1/3 from the bottom) and `highThird` (2/3 from the bottom) of the range between `highMA` and `lowMA`.
* Returns the current TTM state as an integer:
+ `1` if the close price is above `highThird` (indicating an uptrend).
+ `0` if the close price is below `lowThird` (indicating a downtrend).
+ `-1` if the close price is between `lowThird` and `highThird` (indicating a neutral state).
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Awesome Oscillator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Awesome Oscillator shall create the "Saucer" long signal (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created "Saucer signal".
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one "Saucer" signal another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's go through all concepts used in this strategy to understand how they works together. Let's start from the easies one, the EMA. Let's briefly explain what is EMA. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). It is commonly used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. It can be calculated with the following steps:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy uses EMA an initial long term trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
Let's go to the next, short-term trend filter which consists of Alligator and Fractals. Let's briefly explain what do these indicators means. The Williams Alligator, developed by Bill Williams, is a technical indicator designed to spot trends and potential market reversals. It uses three smoothed moving averages, referred to as the jaw, teeth, and lips:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When these lines diverge and are properly aligned, the "alligator" is considered "awake," signaling a strong trend. Conversely, when the lines overlap or intertwine, the "alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator assists traders in identifying when to act on or avoid trades.
The Williams Fractals, another tool introduced by Bill Williams, are used to pinpoint potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms when there are at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar displaying the highest high (for an up fractal) or the lowest low (for a down fractal), relative to the two bars on either side.
Key Points:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often combine fractals with other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, improving the accuracy of trading decisions.
How we use their combination in this strategy? Let’s consider an uptrend example. A breakout above an up fractal can be interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating a high likelihood that an uptrend is beginning. Here's the reasoning: an up fractal represents a potential shift in market behavior. When the fractal forms, it reflects a pullback caused by traders selling, creating a temporary high. However, if the price manages to return to that fractal’s high and break through it, it suggests the market has "changed its mind" and a bullish trend is likely emerging.
The moment of the breakout marks the potential transition to an uptrend. It’s crucial to note that this breakout must occur above the Alligator's teeth line. If it happens below, the breakout isn’t valid, and the downtrend may still persist. The same logic applies inversely for down fractals in a downtrend scenario.
So, if last up fractal breakout was higher, than Alligator's teeth and it happened after last down fractal breakdown below teeth, algorithm considered current trend as an uptrend. During this uptrend long trades can be opened if signal was flashed. If during the uptrend price breaks down the down fractal below teeth line, strategy considered that uptrend is finished with the high probability and strategy closes all current long trades. This combination is used as a short term trend filter increasing the probability of opening profitable long trades in addition to EMA filter, described above.
Now let's talk about Awesome Oscillator's "Sauser" signals. Briefly explain what is the Awesome Oscillator. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
Now we know what is AO, but what is the "Saucer" signal? This concept was introduced by Bill Williams, let's briefly explain it and how it's used by this strategy. Initially, this type of signal is a combination of the following AO bars: we need 3 bars in a row, the first one shall be higher than the second, the third bar also shall be higher, than second. All three bars shall be above the zero line of AO. The price bar, which corresponds to third "saucer's" bar is our signal bar. Strategy places buy stop order one tick above the price bar which corresponds to signal bar.
After that we can have the following scenarios.
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower low. If current AO bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AO bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next "Saucer" signal.
If long trades has been opened strategy use all the next signals until number of trades doesn't exceed 5. All trades are closed when the trend changes to downtrend according to combination of Alligator and Fractals described above.
Why we use "Saucer" signals? If AO above the zero line there is a high probability that price now is in uptrend if we take into account our two trend filters. When we see the decreasing bars on AO and it's above zero it's likely can be considered as a pullback on the uptrend. When we see the stop of AO decreasing and the first increasing bar has been printed there is a high probability that this local pull back is finished and strategy open long trade in the likely direction of a main trend.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next saucer signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.10%
Maximum Single Profit: +22.80%
Net Profit: +2838.58 USDT (+28.39%)
Total Trades: 107 (42.99% win rate)
Profit Factor: 3.364
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 373.43 USDT (-2.98%)
Average Profit per Trade: 26.53 USDT (+2.40%)
Average Trade Duration: 78 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Balthazar by Aloupay📈 BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY: Advanced Trading Strategy for Precision and Reliability
BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY is a comprehensive trading strategy developed for TradingView, designed to assist traders in making informed and strategic trading decisions. By integrating multiple technical indicators, this strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points, manage risk effectively, and enhance overall trading performance.
🌟 Key Features
1. Integrated Indicator Suite
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) : Utilizes Fast (12), Medium (26), and Slow (50) EMAs to determine trend direction and strength.
Stochastic RSI : Employs Stochastic RSI with customizable smoothing periods to assess momentum and potential reversal points.
Average True Range (ATR) : Calculates dynamic stop loss and take profit levels based on market volatility using ATR multipliers.
MACD Confirmation : Incorporates MACD histogram analysis to validate trade signals, enhancing the reliability of entries.
2. Customizable Backtesting Parameters
Date Range Selection: Allows users to define specific backtesting periods to evaluate strategy performance under various market conditions.
Timezone Adaptability: Ensures accurate time-based filtering in alignment with the chart's timezone settings.
3. Advanced Risk Management
Dynamic Stop Loss & Take Profit: Automatically adjusts exit points using ATR multipliers to adapt to changing market volatility.
Position Sizing: Configurable to risk a sustainable percentage of equity per trade (recommended: 5-10%) to maintain disciplined money management.
4. Clear Trade Signals
Long & Short Entries: Generates actionable signals based on the convergence of EMA alignment, Stochastic RSI crossovers, and MACD confirmation.
Automated Exits: Implements predefined take profit and stop loss levels to secure profits and limit losses without emotional interference.
5. Visual Enhancements
EMA Visualization: Displays Fast, Medium, and Slow EMAs on the chart for easy trend identification.
Stochastic RSI Indicators: Uses distinct shapes to indicate bullish and bearish momentum shifts.
Risk Levels Display: Clearly marks take profit and stop loss levels on the chart for transparent risk-reward assessment.
🔍 Strategy Mechanics
Trend Identification with EMAs
Bullish Trend: Fast EMA (12) > Medium EMA (26) > Slow EMA (50)
Bearish Trend: Fast EMA (12) < Medium EMA (26) < Slow EMA (50)
Momentum Confirmation with Stochastic RSI
Bullish Signal: %K line crosses above %D line, indicating upward momentum.
Bearish Signal: %K line crosses below %D line, signaling downward momentum.
Volatility-Based Risk Management with ATR
Stop Loss: Positioned at 1.0 ATR below (for long) or above (for short) the entry price.
Take Profit: Positioned at 4.0 ATR above (for long) or below (for short) the entry price.
MACD Confirmation
Long Trades: Executed only when the MACD histogram is positive.
Short Trades: Executed only when the MACD histogram is negative.
💱 Recommended Forex Pairs
While BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY has shown robust performance on the 4-hour timeframe for Gold (XAU/USD), it is also well-suited for the following highly liquid forex pairs:
EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar)
GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar)
USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen)
AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar)
USD/CAD (US Dollar/Canadian Dollar)
NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar)
EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound)
These pairs offer high liquidity and favorable trading conditions that complement the strategy's indicators and risk management features.
⚙️ Customization Options
Backtesting Parameters
Start Date: Define the beginning of the backtesting period.
End Date: Define the end of the backtesting period.
EMAs Configuration
Fast EMA Length: Default is 12.
Medium EMA Length: Default is 26.
Slow EMA Length: Default is 50.
Source: Default is Close price.
Stochastic RSI Configuration
%K Smoothing: Default is 5.
%D Smoothing: Default is 4.
RSI Length: Default is 14.
Stochastic Length: Default is 14.
RSI Source: Default is Close price.
ATR Configuration
ATR Length: Default is 14.
ATR Smoothing Method: Options include RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA (default: RMA).
Stop Loss Multiplier: Default is 1.0 ATR.
Take Profit Multiplier: Default is 4.0 ATR.
MACD Configuration
MACD Fast Length: Default is 12.
MACD Slow Length: Default is 26.
MACD Signal Length: Default is 9.
📊 Why Choose BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY?
Comprehensive Integration: Combines trend, momentum, and volatility indicators for a multifaceted trading approach.
Automated Precision: Eliminates emotional decision-making with rule-based entry and exit signals.
Robust Risk Management: Protects capital through dynamic stop loss and take profit levels tailored to market conditions.
User-Friendly Customization: Easily adjustable settings to align with individual trading styles and risk tolerance.
Proven Reliability: Backtested over extensive periods across various market environments to ensure consistent performance.
Disclaimer : Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading activities.
CCI Threshold StrategyThe CCI Threshold Strategy is a trading approach that utilizes the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) as a momentum indicator to identify potential buy and sell signals in financial markets. The CCI is particularly effective in detecting overbought and oversold conditions, providing traders with insights into possible price reversals. This strategy is designed for use in various financial instruments, including stocks, commodities, and forex, and aims to capitalize on price movements driven by market sentiment.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI was developed by Donald Lambert in the 1980s and is primarily used to measure the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specified period.
The formula for CCI is as follows:
CCI=(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015MeanDeviation
CCI=MeanDeviation(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015
where:
Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
SMA = Simple Moving Average of the Typical Price
Mean Deviation = Average of the absolute deviations from the SMA
The CCI oscillates around a zero line, with values above +100 indicating overbought conditions and values below -100 indicating oversold conditions (Lambert, 1980).
Strategy Logic
The CCI Threshold Strategy operates on the following principles:
Input Parameters:
Lookback Period: The number of periods used to calculate the CCI. A common choice is 9, as it balances responsiveness and noise.
Buy Threshold: Typically set at -90, indicating a potential oversold condition where a price reversal is likely.
Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy allows for risk management through customizable stop loss and take profit points.
Entry Conditions:
A long position is initiated when the CCI falls below the buy threshold of -90, indicating potential oversold levels. This condition suggests that the asset may be undervalued and due for a price increase.
Exit Conditions:
The long position is closed when the closing price exceeds the highest price of the previous day, indicating a bullish reversal. Additionally, if the stop loss or take profit thresholds are hit, the position will be exited accordingly.
Risk Management:
The strategy incorporates optional stop loss and take profit mechanisms, which can be toggled on or off based on trader preference. This allows for flexibility in risk management, aligning with individual risk tolerances and trading styles.
Benefits of the CCI Threshold Strategy
Flexibility: The CCI Threshold Strategy can be applied across different asset classes, making it versatile for various market conditions.
Objective Signals: The use of quantitative thresholds for entry and exit reduces emotional bias in trading decisions (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974).
Enhanced Risk Management: By allowing traders to set stop loss and take profit levels, the strategy aids in preserving capital and managing risk effectively.
Limitations
Market Noise: The CCI can produce false signals, especially in highly volatile markets, leading to potential losses (Bollinger, 2001).
Lagging Indicator: As a lagging indicator, the CCI may not always capture rapid market movements, resulting in missed opportunities (Pring, 2002).
Conclusion
The CCI Threshold Strategy offers a systematic approach to trading based on well-established momentum principles. By focusing on overbought and oversold conditions, traders can make informed decisions while managing risk effectively. As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to backtest the approach and adapt it to individual trading styles and market conditions.
References
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Lambert, D. (1980). Commodity Channel Index. Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, 2, 3-5.
Pring, M. J. (2002). Technical Analysis Explained. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131.
