Moon Phases Strategy [LuxAlgo]Trading moon phases has become quite popular among traders, believing that there exists a relationship between moon phases and market movements. This strategy is based on an estimate of moon phases with the possibility to use different methods to determine long/short positions based on moon phases.
Note that we assume moon phases are perfectly periodic with a cycle of 29.530588853 days (which is not realistically the case), as such there exists a difference between the detected moon phases by the strategy and the ones you would see. This difference becomes less important when using higher timeframes.
Settings
New Moon Reference Date: Date of a new moon to be used as starting point for the cycle calculation. Buy: Determine the condition to be used to open a long position Sell: Determine the condition to be used to open a short position
Description
The strategy can use different buy/sell conditions, these are determined in the Buy/Sell settings drop-down menu.
By default, the strategy goes long on a new moon and short on a full moon. This setup is common since full moons are said to be related to depressed mood. However, it is possible to use inverse conditions.
Users can also go long on higher moons (new moons or full moons occurring at a price that is higher than the previous one when a new/full moon occurred) and short on lower moons, this would return a trend following strategy, using the inverse conditions (buy lower moons/sell higher moons) would return a contrarian strategy.
The above chart displays the strategy using default conditions.
The above chart displays the strategy of going long on a higher moon and selling on a lower moon.
Quick Summary
We provide a quick summary of the strategy using default conditions (buy on a new moon, sell on a full moon) on various tickers using the 4h timeframe (note that using a lower timeframe would return a backtest executing a lower number of trades).
Constant position sizing is used and no frictional costs are considered.
BTCUSD
The moon phases strategy has been regularly tested with BTCUSD, with traders highlighting how moon phases tend to occur during tops/bottoms. We test the strategy from 2019-01-06 00:00.
Net Profit: $68544.86 Closed Trades : 67 % Profitability : 50.75 Max Drawdown : $18541.24 Max
TSLA
The strategy is tested from 2011-01-04 14:30
Net profit: $349.17 Closed Trades : 265 % Profitability : 54.34 Max Drawdown : $262.72
EURUSD
The strategy is tested from 2018-01-16 14:00.
Net profit: $-0.18 Closed Trades : 91 % Profitability : 50.55 Max Drawdown : 0.36
Moon
[astropark] Moon Phases [strategy]Dear Followers,
today I'm glad to present you an indicator which calculates Moon Phases and let's you backtest the simplest strategy over it: buy/sell on full moon and do the opposite on new moon.
This is a public free indicator based on the public one by @paaax:
I added my usual backtesting logic, plus some more customization inputs for easy coloring.
The lower the timeframe you backtest on, the more backtesting data are effective.
Enjoy!
-- astropark
Simple Moon Phases StrategySimple Moon Phases Strategy
This strategy is very basic and needs some filters to improve results. It was created to test the Moon Phase theory compared to just a buy and hold strategy and it did not beat the buy and hold. However, if you flip the entry and exit signals to the opposite signals it performs a lot worse, so there might be some validity to the Moon Phases having an effect on the markets. I might try to add some filters and increase hold times with trailing stops in a separate version.
WARNING: This strategy uses hard-coded dates from 1/1/2015 until 12/31/2021 only! Any dates outside of that range need to be added manually in the code or it will not work. I may or may not update this so please don't be upset if it stops working after 12/31/2021.
Feel free to use any part of this code and please let me know if you can improve on this strategy.
