Smart Mean Reversion DashboardThis indicator is designed to help traders identify potential mean reversion opportunities using a combination of Bollinger Bands, RSI, and deviation from the moving average. It provides a clean, visually appealing dashboard that displays key metrics and signals in real-time.
How to Read and Use:
Deviation from Mean:
Displays the percentage deviation of the current price from the moving average.
A high positive or negative deviation may indicate overextension and a potential mean reversion opportunity.
Bollinger Band Status:
Indicates whether the price is inside or outside the Bollinger Bands.
"Outside Upper" suggests overbought conditions, while "Outside Lower" suggests oversold conditions.
RSI Status:
Shows whether the RSI is in overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral conditions.
Overbought and oversold levels can confirm potential reversal zones.
Signal:
BUY: Triggered when the price is outside the lower Bollinger Band and RSI is in the oversold zone.
SELL: Triggered when the price is outside the upper Bollinger Band and RSI is in the overbought zone.
WAIT: No clear signal; wait for better conditions.
Important Notes:
This is NOT a buy or sell recommendation. This indicator is a tool to assist in identifying potential trading opportunities. Always use it in conjunction with your own analysis and risk management.
The signals generated by this indicator are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance.
It is recommended to use this indicator alongside other technical analysis tools and confirm signals with price action or other strategies.
Features:
Dashboard: Displays deviation, Bollinger Band status, RSI status, and signals in a clean, movable interface.
Customizable Settings: Adjust Bollinger Band length, RSI length, and moving average length to suit your trading style.
Visual Enhancements: Color-coded signals and metrics for easy interpretation in both light and dark modes.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Pengayun
Smart Grid Scalping (Pullback) Strategy[BullByte]The Smart Grid Scalping (Pullback) Strategy is a high-frequency trading strategy designed for short-term traders who seek to capitalize on market pullbacks. This strategy utilizes a dynamic ATR-based grid system to define optimal entry points, ensuring precise trade execution. It integrates volatility filtering and an RSI-based confirmation mechanism to enhance signal accuracy and reduce false entries.
This strategy is specifically optimized for scalping by dynamically adjusting trade levels based on current market conditions. The grid-based system helps capture retracement opportunities while maintaining strict trade management through predefined profit targets and trailing stop-loss mechanisms.
Key Features :
1. ATR-Based Grid System :
- Uses a 10-period ATR to dynamically calculate grid levels for entry points.
- Prevents chasing trades by ensuring price has reached key levels before executing entries.
2. No Trade Zone Protection :
- Avoids low-volatility zones where price action is indecisive.
- Ensures only high-momentum trades are executed to improve success rate.
3. RSI-Based Entry Confirmation :
- Long trades are triggered when RSI is below 30 (oversold) and price is in the lower grid zone.
- Short trades are triggered when RSI is above 70 (overbought) and price is in the upper grid zone.
4. Automated Trade Execution :
- Long Entry: Triggered when price drops below the first grid level with sufficient volatility.
- Short Entry: Triggered when price exceeds the highest grid level with sufficient volatility.
5. Take Profit & Trailing Stop :
- Profit target set at a customizable percentage (default 0.2%).
- Adaptive trailing stop mechanism using ATR to lock in profits while minimizing premature exits.
6. Visual Trade Annotations :
- Clearly labeled "LONG" and "SHORT" markers appear at trade entries for better visualization.
- Grid levels are plotted dynamically to aid decision-making.
Strategy Logic :
- The script first calculates the ATR-based grid levels and ensures price action has sufficient volatility before allowing trades.
- An additional RSI filter is used to ensure trades are taken at ideal market conditions.
- Once a trade is executed, the script implements a trailing stop and predefined take profit to maximize gains while reducing risks.
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Disclaimer :
Risk Warning :
This strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Users are advised to conduct their own due diligence and risk management before using this strategy in live trading.
The developer and publisher of this script are not responsible for any financial losses incurred by the use of this strategy. Market conditions, slippage, and execution quality can affect real-world trading outcomes.
Use this script at your own discretion and always trade responsibly.
EMA Price Range by tuanduongEMA Price Range Indicator – Dynamic Range Analysis with Custom EMA (tuanduong2511)
Overview
The EMA Price Range Indicator is designed to help traders visualize the distance between price action and a key Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This indicator dynamically calculates the range from each candle to a user-defined EMA and displays it in a real-time table. By understanding the relationship between price and the EMA, traders can better gauge potential support, resistance, and overextension in the market.
Key Features
✅ Customizable EMA – Allows users to choose the EMA period that best suits their strategy (default: 144).
✅ Real-Time Range Calculation – Computes the absolute difference between the EMA and the price (using the high or low, depending on whether the candle is above or below the EMA).
✅ Minimalist UI – The EMA is plotted directly on the chart, while a small table in the bottom-right corner provides numerical insights, reducing chart clutter.
✅ Versatile Use Cases – Suitable for trend-following traders (identifying pullbacks to EMA) and mean-reversion traders (spotting extended price movements).
How It Works
User-Defined EMA:
The script calculates an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) based on the selected period.
EMA adapts dynamically, giving more weight to recent price movements.
Range Calculation:
If the price is above the EMA, the range is measured from the high point of the candle to the EMA.
If the price is below the EMA, the range is measured from the low point of the candle to the EMA.
This approach ensures that we’re measuring the most relevant distance for price interaction.
Live Table Display:
The current EMA value and the distance (range) from the price are displayed in a small table in the bottom-right corner of the chart.
How to Use It
📌 Trend Traders: Use the indicator to track pullbacks to key EMAs (e.g., EMA 50, 144, or 200). When the price is far from the EMA, it may indicate an overextended trend or potential retracement zone.
📌 Mean Reversion Traders: Look for extreme deviations between price and the EMA. Large distances can signal potential price snapbacks to the mean.
📌 Scalping & Day Trading: Short-term traders can use it with fast EMAs (e.g., EMA 21 or 34) to measure quick price movements relative to short-term momentum.
Why This Indicator?
Unlike traditional EMA indicators, which only plot a moving average, this script provides quantifiable price distance to the EMA, helping traders make data-driven decisions. It allows traders to answer:
✅ Is the price stretched too far from the EMA?
✅ Should I wait for a pullback before entering?
✅ Is the trend strong, or is the price losing momentum?
By integrating EMA-based range analysis, traders gain a clearer understanding of market conditions and can improve their entry, exit, and risk management strategies.
Gioteen-NormThe "Gioteen-Norm" indicator is a versatile and powerful technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify key market conditions such as divergences, overbought/oversold levels, and trend strength. By normalizing price data relative to a moving average and standard deviation, this indicator provides a unique perspective on price behavior, making it easier to spot potential reversals or continuations in the market.
The indicator calculates a normalized value based on the difference between the selected price and its moving average, scaled by the standard deviation over a user-defined period. Additionally, an optional moving average of this normalized value (Green line) can be plotted to smooth the output and enhance signal clarity. This dual-line approach makes it an excellent tool for both short-term and long-term traders.
***Key Features
Divergence Detection: The Gioteen-Norm excels at identifying divergences between price action and the normalized indicator value. For example, if the price makes a higher high while Red line forms a lower high, it may signal a bearish divergence, hinting at a potential reversal.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Extreme values of Red line (e.g., significantly above or below zero) can indicate overbought or oversold conditions, helping traders anticipate pullbacks or bounces.
Trend Strength Insight: The normalized output reflects how far the price deviates from its average, providing a measure of momentum and trend strength.
**Customizable Parameters
Traders can adjust the period, moving average type, applied price, and shift to suit their trading style and timeframe.
**How It Works
Label1 (Red Line): Represents the normalized price deviation from a user-selected moving average (SMA, EMA, SMMA, or LWMA) divided by the standard deviation over the specified period. This line highlights the relative position of the price compared to its historical range.
Label2 (Green Line, Optional): A moving average of Label1, which smooths the normalized data to reduce noise and provide clearer signals. This can be toggled on or off via the "Draw MA" option.
**Inputs
Period: Length of the lookback period for normalization (default: 100).
MA Method: Type of moving average for normalization (SMA, EMA, SMMA, LWMA; default: EMA).
Applied Price: Price type used for calculation (Close, Open, High, Low, HL2, HLC3, HLCC4; default: Close).
Shift: Shifts the indicator forward or backward (default: 0).
Draw MA: Toggle the display of the Label2 moving average (default: true).
MA Period: Length of the moving average for Label2 (default: 50).
MA Method (Label2): Type of moving average for Label2 (SMA, EMA, SMMA, LWMA; default: SMA).
**How to Use
Divergence Trading: Look for discrepancies between price action and Label1. A bullish divergence (higher low in Label1 vs. lower low in price) may suggest a buying opportunity, while a bearish divergence could indicate a selling opportunity.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Monitor extreme Label1 values. For instance, values significantly above +2 or below -2 could indicate overextension, though traders should define thresholds based on the asset and timeframe.
Trend Confirmation: Use Label2 to confirm trend direction. A rising Label2 suggests increasing bullish momentum, while a declining Label2 may indicate bearish pressure.
Combine with Other Tools: Pair Gioteen-Norm with support/resistance levels, RSI, or volume indicators for a more robust trading strategy.
**Notes
The indicator is non-overlay, meaning it plots below the price chart in a separate panel.
Avoid using a Period value of 1, as it may lead to unstable results due to insufficient data for standard deviation calculation.
This tool is best used as part of a broader trading system rather than in isolation.
**Why Use Gioteen-Norm?
The Gioteen-Norm indicator offers a fresh take on price normalization, blending statistical analysis with moving average techniques. Its flexibility and clarity make it suitable for traders of all levels—whether you're scalping on short timeframes or analyzing long-term trends. By publishing this for free, I hope to contribute to the TradingView community and help traders uncover hidden opportunities in the markets.
**Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always backtest and validate any strategy before trading with real capital, and use proper risk management.
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression OscillatorThis is the oscillator version of the script. Click here for the other part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
Pro Scalper AI [BullByte]The Pro Scalper AI is a powerful, multi-faceted scalping indicator designed to assist active traders in identifying short-term trading opportunities with precision. By combining trend analysis, momentum indicators, dynamic weighting, and optional AI forecasting, this tool provides both immediate and latched trading signals based on confirmed (closed bar) data—helping to avoid repainting issues. Its flexible design includes customizable filters such as a higher timeframe trend filter, and adjustable settings for ADX, ATR, and Hull Moving Average (HMA), giving traders the ability to fine-tune the strategy to different markets and timeframes.
Key Features :
- Confirmed Data Processing :
Utilizes a helper function to lock in price and volume data only from confirmed (closed) bars, ensuring the reliability of signals without the risk of intrabar repainting.
- Trend Analysis :
Employs ADX and Directional Movement (DI) calculations along with a locally computed HMA to detect short-term trends. An optional higher timeframe trend filter can further refine the analysis.
- Flexible Momentum Modes :
Choose between three momentum calculation methods—Stochastic RSI, Fisher RSI, or Williams %R—to match your preferred style of analysis. This versatility allows you to optimize the indicator for different market conditions.
- Dynamic Weighting & Volatility Adjustments :
Adjusts the contribution of trend, momentum, volatility, and volume through dynamic weighting. This ensures that the indicator responds appropriately to varying market conditions by scaling its sensitivity with user-defined maximum factors.
- Optional AI Forecast :
For those who want an extra edge, the built-in AI forecasting module uses linear regression to predict future price moves and adjusts oscillator thresholds accordingly. This feature can be toggled on or off, with smoothing options available for more stable output.
- Latching Mode for Signal Persistenc e:
The script features a latching mechanism that holds signals until a clear reversal is detected, preventing whipsaws and providing more reliable trade entries and exits.
- Comprehensive Visualizations & Dashboard :
- Composite Oscillator & Dynamic Thresholds : The oscillator is plotted with dynamic upper and lower thresholds, and the area between them is filled with a color that reflects the active trading signal (e.g., Strong Buy, Early Sell).
- Signal Markers : Both immediate (non-latching) and stored (latched) signals are marked on the chart with distinct shapes (circles, crosses, triangles, and diamonds) to differentiate between signal types.
- Real-Time Dashboard : A customizable dashboard table displays key metrics including ADX, oscillator value, chosen momentum mode, HMA trend, higher timeframe trend, volume factor, AI bias (if enabled), and more, allowing traders to quickly assess market conditions at a glance.
How to Use :
1. S ignal Interpretation :
- Immediate Signals : For traders who prefer quick entries, the indicator displays immediate signals such as “Strong Buy” or “Early Sell” based on the current market snapshot.
- Latched Signals : When latching is enabled, the indicator holds a signal state until a clear reversal is confirmed, offering sustained trade setups.
2. Trend Confirmation :
- Use the HMA trend indicator and the optional higher timeframe trend filter to confirm the prevailing market direction before acting on signals.
3. Dynamic Thresholds & AI Forecasting :
- Monitor the dynamically adjusted oscillator thresholds and, if enabled, the AI bias to gauge potential shifts in market momentum.
4. Risk Management :
- Combine these signals with additional analysis and sound risk management practices to determine optimal entry and exit points for scalping trades.
Disclaimer :
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own analysis and use proper risk management strategies before trading.
Customizable RSI/StochRSI Double ConfirmationBelow are the key adjustable parameters in the script and their usage:
RSI Parameters
RSI Length: The number of periods used to calculate the RSI, with a default value of 7. Adjusting this parameter changes the sensitivity of the RSI—shorter periods make it more sensitive, while longer periods make it smoother.
RSI Source: The price source used for RSI calculation, defaulting to the closing price (close). This can be changed to the opening price or other price types as needed.
StochRSI Parameters
StochRSI Length: The number of periods used to calculate the StochRSI, with a default value of 5. This affects how quickly the StochRSI reacts to changes in the RSI.
StochRSI Smooth K: The smoothing period for the StochRSI %K line, with a default value of 3. This is used to reduce noise.
StochRSI Smooth D: The smoothing period for the StochRSI %D line, with a default value of 3. It works in conjunction with %K to provide more stable signals.
Signal Thresholds
RSI Buy Threshold: A buy signal is triggered when the RSI crosses above this value (default 20).
RSI Sell Threshold: A sell signal is triggered when the RSI crosses below this value (default 80).
StochRSI Buy Threshold: A buy signal is triggered when the StochRSI %K crosses above this value (default 20).
StochRSI Sell Threshold: A sell signal is triggered when the StochRSI %K crosses below this value (default 80).
Signals
RSI Buy/Sell Signals: When the RSI crosses the buy/sell threshold, a green "RSI Buy" or red "RSI Sell" is displayed on the chart.
StochRSI Buy/Sell Signals: When the StochRSI %K crosses the buy/sell threshold, a yellow "StochRSI Buy" or purple "StochRSI Sell" is displayed.
Double Buy/Sell Signals: When both RSI and StochRSI simultaneously trigger buy/sell signals, a green "Double Buy" or red "Double Sell" is displayed, indicating a stronger trading opportunity.
The volatility of different cryptocurrencies varies, and different parameters may be suitable for each. Users need to experiment and select the most appropriate parameters themselves.
Disclaimer: This script is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice; use it at your own risk.
Sentiment Master Oscillator[BullByte]
The Sentiment Master Oscillator is a modern market sentiment indicator designed for traders seeking to identify early trend shifts and potential reversals with clarity. This oscillator combines multiple technical tools—RSI, MACD, EMAs, ADX, ATR, and volume filters—to deliver layered signals that help you assess market momentum in a clear and simplified manner.
Key Features:
- Multi-Indicator Approach :
Integrates RSI (with a smoothing function), MACD, and two EMAs to gauge momentum and trend direction. The oscillator also includes ADX and ATR filters to ensure that only markets with sufficient directional strength and volatility generate signals.
- Dynamic Signal Zones :
The oscillator produces a raw value ranging roughly from -3 to +3 (adjustable via a scaling factor). Positive readings suggest bullish conditions, while negative readings indicate bearish trends. Visual zones (Early, Confirmed, Strong) are clearly marked with color-coded horizontal lines to help you interpret the strength of the signal at a glance.
- Adaptive Smoothing :
For those who prefer quicker, more responsive signals (ideal for scalping), an adaptive smoothing option is available. When enabled, it applies a shorter smoothing period to the oscillator; otherwise, a more conservative base period is used.
- Reversal Alerts :
Yellow dots are plotted on the chart to highlight potential reversal points. These alerts are triggered when the oscillator crosses specific thresholds, coupled with volume and ATR conditions, signaling that a top or bottom may be forming.
- Customizable Filters :
- ATR Filter :Ensures that the market's volatility is above a set threshold before signaling.
- ADX Filter :Confirms sufficient trend strength.
- Volume Filter : Requires that trading volume surges above a multiple of its simple moving average, filtering out low-volume noise.
- Clear Signal Messaging :
Based on the combined signals from various indicators, the script categorizes market sentiment into actionable messages such as "Early Buy", "Confirmed Buy", "Strong Buy", "Early Sell", "Confirmed Sell", and "Strong Sell". A "Grey Zone" label is used when the oscillator is near neutral, indicating that no clear trend is present.
How to Use :
1. Entry and Exit Decisions : Use the different signal stages (Early, Confirmed, Strong) as guides for your entries and exits.
2. Trend Confirmation : Rely on the multi-indicator setup for added confirmation of prevailing market conditions before executing trades.
3. Reversal Cues : Pay attention to the reversal dots for potential turning points in the market, which can be used to adjust positions or initiate trades.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be taken as financial advice. Always use appropriate risk management and combine it with your analysis before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
By adhering to TradingView's publishing guidelines, the BullByte Sentiment Master is designed to provide transparency, simplicity, and robust analysis tools to enhance your trading strategy. Enjoy a clearer view of market sentiment and make more informed trading decisions!
Market Push Meter - CoffeeStyleMarket Push Meter - CoffeeKiller Indicator Guide
Welcome traders! This guide will walk you through the Market Push Meter indicator, a sophisticated volume analysis tool developed by CoffeeKiller with the help and assistance of FindBetterTrades that measures and visualizes the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers through volume pressure analysis.
🔔 **Warning: This Is Not a Standard Volume Indicator** 🔔 This indicator analyzes volume pressure in a unique way, combining directional volume with price action to identify market imbalances between buyers and sellers. All credit for the core logic for this indicator goes to FindBetterTrades and his/hers Volume Pressure Histogram (Normalized) (this is my adaptation and style added to that core logic, thus the CoffeeStyle name was added).
Core Concept: Volume Pressure Analysis
The foundation of this indicator lies in measuring the imbalance between buying and selling volume, providing insights into which market participants are exerting more pressure on price movements.
Volume Pressure Columns: Buying vs Selling Force
- Positive Green Columns: Net buying pressure
- Negative Red Columns: Net selling pressure
- Color intensity varies based on pressure strength
- Special coloring for new high/low boundaries
Marker Lines: Dynamic Support/Resistance
- High Marker Line (Magenta): Tracks the highest point reached during buying phases
- Low Marker Line (Cyan): Tracks the lowest point reached during selling phases
- Creates visual boundaries showing pressure extremes
Peak Detection System:
- Triangular markers identify significant local maxima and minima
- Background highlighting shows important pressure peaks
- Helps identify potential reversal points and pressure exhaustion
Reference Lines:
- Overbought Level: Threshold for extreme selling pressure
- Oversold Level: Threshold for extreme buying pressure
- Used to identify potential reversal zones
Core Components
1. Volume Pressure Calculation
- Separation of up-volume and down-volume
- Calculation of net volume pressure
- Smoothing for consistent visualization
- Normalization against total volume for percentage scaling
2. Boundary Tracking System
- Automatic detection of highest values in buying phases
- Automatic detection of lowest values in selling phases
- Step-line visualization of boundaries
- Color-coded for easy identification
3. Peak Detection System
- Identification of local maxima and minima
- Background highlighting of significant peaks
- Triangle markers for peak visualization
- Zero-line cross detection for trend changes
4. Threshold Settings
- Extreme threshold multiplier for identifying significant pressure
- Overbought/oversold levels for potential reversals
- Dynamic color coding based on pressure intensity
- Alert conditions for key pressure levels
Main Features
Volume Analysis Settings
- Customizable volume MA length
- Signal smoothing for clearer readings
- Optional log scale for handling wide range variations
- Adjustable threshold multiplier for sensitivity
Visual Elements
- Color-coded columns showing pressure direction and strength
- Dynamic marker lines for pressure boundaries
- Peak triangles for significant turning points
- Background highlighting for peak identification
- Overbought/oversold reference lines
Signal Generation
- Zero-line crosses for trend change signals
- Boundary breaks for pressure strength
- Peak formation for potential reversals
- Color changes for pressure direction and intensity
- Alert conditions for extreme pressure levels
Customization Options
- Volume analysis parameters
- Marker line visibility and colors
- Peak marker display options
- Log scale toggle for handling various markets
- Overbought/oversold threshold adjustments
Trading Applications
1. Trend Identification
- Volume pressure crossing above zero: buying pressure emerging
- Volume pressure crossing below zero: selling pressure emerging
- Column color: indicates pressure direction
- Column height: indicates pressure strength
- Signal line: confirms overall trend direction
2. Reversal Detection
- Peak triangles after extended trend: potential exhaustion
- Background highlighting: significant reversal points
- Volume pressure approaching marker lines: potential trend change
- Color shifts from bright to muted: decreasing pressure
- Readings beyond overbought/oversold levels: potential reversal zones
3. Pressure Analysis
- Breaking above previous high boundary: accelerating buying pressure
- Breaking below previous low boundary: accelerating selling pressure
- Special coloring (magenta/cyan): boundary breaks indicating strength
- Extreme readings: potential climactic buying/selling
4. Market Structure Assessment
- Consecutive higher peaks: strengthening buying structure
- Consecutive lower troughs: strengthening selling structure
- Peak comparisons: relative strength of pressure phases
- Boundary line steps: market structure levels
Optimization Guide
1. Volume Analysis Settings
- Volume MA Length: Default 25 provides balanced signals
- Lower values (10-15): More responsive, potentially noisier
- Higher values (30-50): Smoother, fewer false signals
- Signal Smoothing Length: Default 8 provides good balance
- Lower values: More responsive to pressure changes
- Higher values: Smoother trend identification
2. Threshold Settings
- Extreme Threshold Multiplier: Default 20.0
- Lower values: More signals, potentially more noise
- Higher values: Fewer signals, but more significant
- Overbought/Oversold Levels: Defaults at 20/-20
- Adjust based on instrument volatility
- Wider settings for more volatile instruments
3. Visual Customization
- Marker Line Colors: Adjust for visibility on your chart
- Peak Marker Color: Default yellow provides good contrast
- Enable/disable background highlights based on preference
- Consider log scale for instruments with wide volume ranges
4. Alert Settings
- Configure alerts for high buying pressure
- Configure alerts for high selling pressure
- Set additional alerts for zero-line crosses
- Consider timeframe when setting alert sensitivity
Best Practices
1. Signal Confirmation
- Wait for zero-line crosses to confirm pressure changes
- Look for peak formations to identify potential reversals
- Check for boundary breaks to confirm strong pressure
- Use with price action for entry/exit precision
- Consider extreme threshold crossings as significant signals
2. Timeframe Selection
- Lower timeframes: more signals, potential noise
- Higher timeframes: cleaner signals, less frequent
- Multiple timeframes: confirm signals across time horizons
- Match to your trading style and holding period
3. Market Context
- Strong buying phase: positive columns breaking above marker line
- Strong selling phase: negative columns breaking below marker line
- Columns approaching zero: potential pressure shift
- Columns beyond overbought/oversold: extreme conditions, potential reversal
4. Combining with Other Indicators
- Use with trend indicators for confirmation
- Pair with price action oscillators for divergence detection
- Combine with traditional volume indicators for validation
- Consider support/resistance levels with boundary lines
Advanced Trading Strategies
1. Boundary Break Strategy
- Enter long when volume pressure breaks above previous high marker line
- Enter short when volume pressure breaks below previous low marker line
- Use zero-line as initial stop-loss reference
- Take profits at formation of opposing peaks
2. Peak Trading Strategy
- Identify significant peaks with triangular markers
- Look for consecutive lower peaks in buying phases for shorting opportunities
- Look for consecutive higher troughs in selling phases for buying opportunities
- Use zero-line crosses as confirmation
3. Extreme Reading Strategy
- Look for volume pressure beyond overbought/oversold levels
- Watch for color changes and peak formations
- Enter counter-trend positions after confirmed peaks
- Use tight stops due to extreme market conditions
4. Volume Color Strategy
- Enter long when columns turn bright green (increasing buying pressure)
- Enter short when columns turn bright red (increasing selling pressure)
- Exit when color intensity fades (decreasing pressure)
- Use marker lines as dynamic support/resistance
Practical Analysis Examples
Bullish Market Scenario
- Volume pressure crosses above zero line
- Green columns grow in height and intensity
- High marker line forms steps upward
- Peak triangles appear at local maxima
- Background highlights appear at significant buying pressure peaks
Bearish Market Scenario
- Volume pressure crosses below zero line
- Red columns grow in depth and intensity
- Low marker line forms steps downward
- Peak triangles appear at local minima
- Background highlights appear at significant selling pressure troughs
Consolidation Scenario
- Volume pressure oscillates around zero line
- Column colors alternate frequently
- Marker lines remain relatively flat
- Few or no new peak highlights appear
- Pressure values remain small
Understanding Market Dynamics Through Market Push Meter
At its core, this indicator provides a unique lens to visualize market pressure through volume analysis:
1. Volume Imbalance: By separating and comparing buying volume (up candles) from selling volume (down candles), the indicator provides insights into which side is exerting more pressure in the market.
2. Normalized Pressure: The indicator normalizes volume pressure as a percentage of total volume, making it more comparable across different market conditions and instruments.
3. Dynamic Boundaries: The marker lines create a visual representation of the "high water marks" of pressure in both directions, helping to identify when markets are making new pressure extremes.
4. Exhaustion Signals: The peak detection system highlights moments where pressure has reached a local maximum or minimum, often precursors to reversals or consolidations.
Remember:
- Combine signals from volume pressure, marker lines, and peak formations
- Use appropriate timeframe settings for your trading style
- Customize the indicator to match your visual preferences and market
- Consider overall market conditions and correlate with price action
This indicator works best when:
- Used as part of a comprehensive trading system
- Combined with proper risk management
- Applied with an understanding of current market conditions
- Signals are confirmed by price action and other indicators
DISCLAIMER: This indicator and its signals are intended solely for educational and informational purposes. They do not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with financial professionals before making trading decisions.
Relative Directional Index (RDI)🔍 Overview
The Relative Directional Index (RDI) is a hybrid tool that fuses the Average Directional and the Relative Strength Indices (ADX and RSI) into a single, highly visual interface. While the former captures trend strength, the latter reveals momentum shifts and potential exhaustion. Together, they can confirm trend structure, anticipate reversals, and sharpen the timing entries and exits.
📌 Why Combine ADX with RSI?
Most indicators focus on either trend-following (like ADX) or momentum detection (like RSI)—but rarely both. Each comes with trade-offs:
- ADX alone confirms trend strength but ignores momentum.
- RSI alone signals overbought/oversold, but lacks trend context.
The RDI resolves this by integrating both, offering:
- Smarter filters for trend entries
- Early warnings of momentum breakdowns
- More confident signal validation
🧠 Design Note: Fibonacci Harmony
All default values—5, 13, 21—are Fibonacci numbers. This is intentional, as these values reflect the natural rhythm of market cycles, and promote harmonic calibration between price action and indicator logic.
🔥 Key Features
✅ ADX Histogram
- Green bars = trend gaining strength
- Red bars = trend weakening
- Adjustable transparency for visual tuning
✅ ADX Line (Orange)
- Measures trend strength over time
- Rising = accelerating trend
- Falling = trend may be fading
✅ RSI Line (Lemon Yellow)
- Captures momentum surges and slowdowns
- Above 50 = bullish control
- Below 50 = bearish pressure
✅ Trend Strength Squares
- Bright green = strong uptrend
- Bright red = strong downtrend
- Faded colors = range-bound or indecisive
✅ ADX/RSI Crossover Markers
- Yellow square = RSI crosses above ADX → momentum building
- Orange square = ADX crosses above RSI → trend still dominant
✅ Customizable Reference Lines
- Yellow (50) = strong trend threshold
- Red (30) = weak trend zone
- Green (70) = overextended, potential exhaustion
_______________________________________________________
🎯 How to Trade with the RDI
The RDI helps traders identify momentum-supported trends, catch early reversals, and avoid false signals during consolidation.
✅ Trend Confirmation Entries
🔼 Bullish → Enter long on pullbacks or resistance breakouts
- ADX rising above 30
- RSI above 50
- Green trend square visible
🔽 Bearish → Enter short on breakdowns or failed retests
- ADX rising
- RSI below 50
- Red trend square visible
🧯 Exit if RSI crosses back against trend direction or ADX flattens
🚨 Reversal Setups Using Divergence
📈 Bullish Divergence → Long entry after confirmation (e.g. engulfing bar, volume spike)
- Price prints lower low
- RSI prints higher low
- Green triangle
📉 Bearish Divergence → Short entry on breakdown
- Price prints higher high
- RSI prints lower high
- Red triangle
Tip: Stronger if ADX is declining (fading trend strength)
🔂 Breakout Detection via Cross Markers
- Yellow square = RSI > ADX → breakout brewing
- Orange square = ADX > RSI → trend continuation likely
⏸️ Avoid Choppy Markets
- RSI between 45–55
- Faded trend squares
- Flat ADX below 20–30
🧠 Pro Tips
- Combine RDI with VWAPs, moving averages and/or pitchforks
- Watch for alignment between trend and momentum
- Use divergence markers as confirmation, not stand-alone triggers
_______________________________________________________
⚠️ Hidden Divergence (Optional)
The RDI includes optional hidden divergence detection. These signals suggest trend continuation but are off by default. Use with discretion—best in established trends, not sideways markets.
🙈 Hidden Bullish
- Price prints higher low
- RSI prints lower low
🙈 Hidden Bearish
- Price prints lower high
- RSI prints higher high
DAMA OSC - Directional Adaptive MA OscillatorOverview:
The DAMA OSC (Directional Adaptive MA Oscillator) is a highly customizable and versatile oscillator that analyzes the delta between two moving averages of your choice. It detects trend progression, regressions, rebound signals, MA cross and critical zone crossovers to provide highly contextual trading information.
Designed for trend-following, reversal timing, and volatility filtering, DAMA OSC adapts to market conditions and highlights actionable signals in real-time.
Features:
Support for 11 custom moving average types (EMA, DEMA, TEMA, ALMA, KAMA, etc.)
Customizable fast & slow MA periods and types
Histogram based on percentage delta between fast and slow MA
Trend direction coloring with “Green”, “Blue”, and “Red” zones
Rebound detection using close or shadow logic
Configurable thresholds: Overbought, Oversold, Underbought, Undersold
Optional filters: rebound validation by candle color or flat-zone filter
Full visual overlay: MA lines, crossover markers, rebound icons
Complete alert system with 16 preconfigured conditions
How It Works:
Histogram Logic:
The histogram measures the percentage difference between the fast and slow MA:
hist_value = ((FastMA - SlowMA) / SlowMA) * 100
Trend State Logic (Green / Blue / Red):
Green_Up = Bullish acceleration
Blue_Up (or Red_Up, depending the display settings) = Bullish deceleration
Blue_Down (or Green_Down, depending the display settings) = Bearish deceleration
Red_Down = Bearish acceleration
Rebound Logic:
A rebound is detected when price:
Crosses back over a selected MA (fast or slow)
After being away for X candles (rebound_backstep)
Optional: filtered by histogram zones or candle color
Inputs:
Display Options:
Show/hide MA lines
Show/hide MA crosses
Show/hide price rebounds
Enable/disable blue deceleration zones
DAMA Settings:
Fast/Slow MA type and length
Source input (close by default)
Overbought/Oversold levels
Underbought/Undersold levels
Rebound Settings:
Use Close and/or Shadow
Rebound MA (Fast/Slow)
Candle color validation
Flat zone filter rebounds (between UnderSold and UnderBought)
Available MA type:
SMA (Simple MA)
EMA (Exponential MA)
DEMA (Double EMA)
TEMA (Triple EMA)
WMA (Weighted MA)
HMA (Hull MA)
VWMA (Volume Weighted MA)
Kijun (Ichimoku Baseline)
ALMA (Arnaud Legoux MA)
KAMA (Kaufman Adaptive MA)
HULLMOD (Modified Hull MA, Same as HMA, tweaked for Pine v6 constraints)
Notes:
**DEMA/TEMA** reduce lag compared to EMA, useful for faster reaction in trending markets.
**KAMA/ALMA** are better suited to noisy or volatile environments (e.g., BTC).
**VWMA** reacts strongly to volume spikes.
**HMA/HULLMOD** are great for visual clarity in fast moves.
Alerts Included (Fully Configurable):
Golden Cross:
Fast MA crosses above Slow MA
Death Cross:
Fast MA crosses below Slow MA
Bullish Rebound:
Rebound from below MA in uptrend
Bearish Rebound:
Rebound from above MA in downtrend
Bull Progression:
Transition into Green_Up with positive delta
Bear Progression:
Transition into Red_Down with negative delta
Bull Regression:
Exit from Red_Down into Blue/Green with negative delta
Bear Regression:
Exit from Green_Up into Blue/Red with positive delta
Crossover Overbought:
Histogram crosses above Overbought
Crossunder Overbought:
Histogram crosses below Overbought
Crossover Oversold:
Histogram crosses above Oversold
Crossunder Oversold:
Histogram crosses below Oversold
Crossover Underbought:
Histogram crosses above Underbought
Crossunder Underbought:
Histogram crosses below Underbought
Crossover Undersold:
Histogram crosses above Undersold
Crossunder Undersold:
Histogram crosses below Undersold
Credits:
Created by Eff_Hash. This code is shared with the TradingView community and full free. do not hesitate to share your best settings and usage.
Adv EMA Cloud v6 (ADX, Alerts)Summary:
This indicator provides a multi-faceted view of market trends using Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) arranged in visually intuitive clouds, enhanced with an optional ADX-based range filter and configurable alerts for key market conditions. It aims to help traders quickly gauge trend alignment across short, medium, and long timeframes while filtering signals during potentially choppy market conditions.
Key Features:
Multiple EMAs: Displays 10-period (Fast), 20-period (Mid), and 50-period (Slow) EMAs.
Long-Term Trend Filter: Includes a 200-period EMA to provide context for the overall dominant trend direction.
Dual EMA Clouds:
Fast/Mid Cloud (10/20 EMA): Fills the area between the 10 and 20 EMAs. Defaults to Green when 10 > 20 (bullish short-term momentum) and Red when 10 < 20 (bearish short-term momentum).
Mid/Slow Cloud (20/50 EMA): Fills the area between the 20 and 50 EMAs. Defaults to Aqua when 20 > 50 (bullish mid-term trend) and Fuchsia when 20 < 50 (bearish mid-term trend).
Optional ADX Range Filter: Uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) to identify potentially non-trending or choppy markets. When enabled and ADX falls below a user-defined threshold, the EMA clouds will turn grey, visually warning that trend-following signals may be less reliable.
Configurable Alerts: Provides several built-in alert conditions using Pine Script's alertcondition function:
Confluence Condition: Triggers when a 10/20 EMA crossover occurs while both EMA clouds show alignment (both bullish/green/aqua or both bearish/red/fuchsia) and price respects the 200 EMA filter and the ADX filter indicates a trend (if filters are enabled).
MA Filter Cross: Triggers when price crosses above or below the 200 EMA filter line.
Full Alignment Start: Triggers on the first bar where full bullish or bearish alignment occurs (both clouds aligned + MA filter respected + ADX trending, if filters are enabled).
How It Works:
EMA Calculation: Standard Exponential Moving Averages are calculated for the 10, 20, 50, and 200 periods based on the closing price.
Cloud Creation: The fill() function visually shades the area between the 10 & 20 EMAs and the 20 & 50 EMAs.
Cloud Coloring: The color of each cloud is determined by the relationship between the two EMAs that define it (e.g., if EMA 10 is above EMA 20, the first cloud is bullish-colored).
ADX Filter Logic: The script calculates the ADX value. If the "Use ADX Trend Filter?" input is checked and the calculated ADX is below the specified "ADX Trend Threshold", the script considers the market potentially ranging.
ADX Visual Effect: During detected ranging periods (if the ADX filter is active), the plotCloud12Color and plotCloud23Color variables are assigned a neutral grey color instead of their normal bullish/bearish colors before being passed to the fill() function.
Alert Logic: Boolean variables track the specific conditions (crossovers, cloud alignment, filter positions, ADX state). The alertcondition() function creates triggerable alerts based on these pre-defined conditions.
Potential Interpretation (Not Financial Advice):
Trend Alignment: When both clouds share the same directional color (e.g., both bullish - Green & Aqua) and price is on the corresponding side of the 200 EMA filter, it may suggest a stronger, more aligned trend. Conversely, conflicting cloud colors may indicate indecision or transition.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: The EMA lines themselves (especially the 20, 50, and 200) can sometimes act as dynamic levels where price might react.
Range Warning: Greyed-out clouds (when ADX filter is enabled) serve as a visual warning that trend-based strategies might face increased difficulty or whipsaws.
Confluence Alerts: The specific confluence alerts signal moments where multiple conditions align (crossover + cloud agreement + filters), which some traders might view as higher-probability setups.
Customization:
All EMA lengths (10, 20, 50, 200) are adjustable via the Inputs menu.
The ADX length and threshold are configurable.
The MA Trend Filter and ADX Trend Filter can be independently enabled or disabled.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Trading financial markets involves significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own thorough analysis and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. This indicator should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods and tools. Do not trade based solely on the signals or visuals provided by this indicator.
RSI + MFI Momentum Mapper - CoffeeKillerRSI + MFI Momentum Mapper - CoffeeKiller Indicator Guide
Welcome traders! This guide will walk you through the RSI + MFI Momentum Mapper indicator, an innovative market analysis tool developed by CoffeeKiller that combines two powerful oscillators to create a comprehensive momentum visualization system.
🔔 **Warning: This Is Not a Standard RSI or MFI Indicator** 🔔 This indicator combines and normalizes RSI and MFI data to create a unified momentum representation with boundary detection and peak signaling features.
Core Concept: Combined Momentum Analysis
The foundation of this indicator lies in merging the strengths of two complementary oscillators - Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI) - to provide a more robust momentum signal that accounts for both price action and volume.
Directional Columns: Momentum Strength
- Positive Green Columns: Bullish momentum
- Negative Red Columns: Bearish momentum
- Color intensity varies based on momentum strength
- Special coloring for new high/low boundaries
Marker Lines: Dynamic Support/Resistance
- High Marker Line (Magenta): Tracks the highest point reached during a bullish phase
- Low Marker Line (Cyan): Tracks the lowest point reached during a bearish phase
- Creates visual boundaries showing momentum extremes
Peak Detection System:
- Triangular markers identify significant local maxima and minima
- Background highlighting shows important momentum peaks
- Helps identify potential reversal points and momentum exhaustion
Reference Lines:
- Zero Line (Gray): Divides bullish from bearish momentum
- High Line (+1): Upper threshold for extremely bullish conditions
- Low Line (-1): Lower threshold for extremely bearish conditions
Core Components
1. Oscillator Normalization
- RSI and MFI values centered around zero
- Values scaled to create consistent visualization
- Normalized range typically between -1 and +1
- Combination of indicators for signal reliability
2. Boundary Tracking System
- Automatic detection of highest values in bullish phases
- Automatic detection of lowest values in bearish phases
- Step-line visualization of boundaries
- Color-coded for easy identification
3. Peak Detection System
- Identification of local maxima and minima
- Background highlighting of significant peaks
- Triangle markers for peak visualization
- Zero-line cross detection for trend changes
4. Signal Smoothing
- Signal line calculation via SMA
- Helps filter noise and identify trends
- Provides confirmation of momentum direction
Main Features
Oscillator Settings
- Customizable RSI length for sensitivity control
- Customizable MFI length for sensitivity control
- Normalized display for consistent visualization
- Signal smoothing for clearer readings
Visual Elements
- Color-coded columns showing momentum direction and strength
- Dynamic marker lines for momentum boundaries
- Peak triangles for significant turning points
- Background highlighting for peak identification
- Reference lines for momentum threshold levels
Signal Generation
- Zero-line crosses for trend change signals
- Boundary breaks for momentum strength
- Peak formation for potential reversals
- Color changes for momentum direction and acceleration
Customization Options
- RSI and MFI length parameters
- Marker line visibility and colors
- Peak marker color selection
- Peak background display options
Trading Applications
1. Trend Identification
- Directional line crossing above zero: bullish trend beginning
- Directional line crossing below zero: bearish trend beginning
- Column color: indicates momentum direction
- Column height: indicates momentum strength
2. Reversal Detection
- Peak triangles after extended trend: potential exhaustion
- Background highlighting: significant reversal points
- Directional line approaching marker lines: potential trend change
- Color shifts from bright to muted: decreasing momentum
3. Momentum Analysis
- Breaking above previous high boundary: accelerating bullish momentum
- Breaking below previous low boundary: accelerating bearish momentum
- Special coloring (magenta/cyan): boundary breaks indicating strength
- Approaching +1/-1 lines: extreme momentum conditions
4. Market Structure Assessment
- Consecutive higher peaks: strengthening bullish structure
- Consecutive lower troughs: strengthening bearish structure
- Peak comparisons: relative strength of momentum phases
- Boundary line steps: market structure levels
Optimization Guide
1. Oscillator Settings
- RSI Length: Default 14 provides balanced signals
- Lower values (7-10): More responsive, potentially noisier
- Higher values (20-30): Smoother, fewer false signals
- MFI Length: Default 14 provides balanced signals
- Lower values: More responsive to volume changes
- Higher values: Less sensitive to short-term volume spikes
2. Visual Customization
- Marker Line Colors: Adjust for visibility on your chart
- Peak Marker Color: Default yellow provides good contrast
- Enable/disable background highlights based on preference
- Consider chart background when selecting colors
3. Signal Interpretation
- Stronger signals: When directional line approaches +1/-1
- Confirmation: When peaks form after extended momentum
- Early warnings: When color intensity changes before direction
- Trend strength: Distance between zero line and current reading
4. Reference Line Usage
- Zero line: Primary trend divider
- +1/-1 lines: Extreme momentum thresholds
- Marker lines: Dynamic support/resistance levels
- Distance from reference: Momentum strength measure
Best Practices
1. Signal Confirmation
- Wait for zero-line crosses to confirm trend changes
- Look for peak formations to identify potential reversals
- Check for boundary breaks to confirm strong momentum
- Use with price action for entry/exit precision
2. Timeframe Selection
- Lower timeframes: more signals, potential noise
- Higher timeframes: cleaner signals, less frequent
- Multiple timeframes: confirm signals across time horizons
- Match to your trading style and holding period
3. Market Context
- Strong bullish phase: positive columns breaking above marker line
- Strong bearish phase: negative columns breaking below marker line
- Columns approaching zero: potential trend change
- Columns approaching +1/-1: extreme conditions, potential reversal
4. Combining with Other Indicators
- Use with trend indicators for confirmation
- Pair with other oscillators for divergence detection
- Combine with volume analysis for validation
- Consider support/resistance levels with boundary lines
Advanced Trading Strategies
1. Boundary Break Strategy
- Enter long when directional line breaks above previous high marker line
- Enter short when directional line breaks below previous low marker line
- Use zero-line as initial stop-loss reference
- Take profits at formation of opposing peaks
2. Peak Trading Strategy
- Identify significant peaks with triangular markers
- Look for consecutive lower peaks in bullish phases for shorting opportunities
- Look for consecutive higher troughs in bearish phases for buying opportunities
- Use zero-line crosses as confirmation
3. Extreme Reading Strategy
- Look for directional line approaching +1/-1 lines
- Watch for color changes and peak formations
- Enter counter-trend positions after confirmed peaks
- Use tight stops due to extreme momentum conditions
4. Column Color Strategy
- Enter long when columns turn bright green (increasing momentum)
- Enter short when columns turn bright red (increasing momentum)
- Exit when color intensity fades (decreasing momentum)
- Use marker lines as dynamic support/resistance
Practical Analysis Examples
Bullish Market Scenario
- Directional line crosses above zero line
- Green columns grow in height and intensity
- High marker line forms steps upward
- Peak triangles appear at local maxima
- Background highlights appear at significant momentum peaks
Bearish Market Scenario
- Directional line crosses below zero line
- Red columns grow in depth and intensity
- Low marker line forms steps downward
- Peak triangles appear at local minima
- Background highlights appear at significant momentum troughs
Consolidation Scenario
- Directional line oscillates around zero line
- Column colors alternate frequently
- Marker lines remain relatively flat
- Few or no new peak highlights appear
- Directional values remain small
Understanding Market Dynamics Through RSI + MFI Momentum Mapper
At its core, this indicator provides a unique lens to visualize market momentum by combining two complementary oscillators:
1. Combined Strength: By averaging RSI (price-based) and MFI (volume-based), the indicator provides a more comprehensive view of market momentum that considers both price action and buying/selling pressure.
2. Normalized Scale: The indicator normalizes values around zero, making it easier to identify bullish vs bearish conditions and the relative strength of momentum in either direction.
3. Dynamic Boundaries: The marker lines create a visual representation of the "high water marks" of momentum in both directions, helping to identify when markets are making new momentum extremes.
4. Exhaustion Signals: The peak detection system highlights moments where momentum has reached a local maximum or minimum, often precursors to reversals or consolidations.
Remember:
- Combine signals from directional line, marker lines, and peak formations
- Use appropriate timeframe settings for your trading style
- Customize the indicator to match your visual preferences
- Consider market conditions and correlate with price action
This indicator works best when:
- Used as part of a comprehensive trading system
- Combined with proper risk management
- Applied with an understanding of current market conditions
- Signals are confirmed by price action and other indicators
DISCLAIMER: This indicator and its signals are intended solely for educational and informational purposes. They do not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with financial professionals before making trading decisions.
Pivot Length Percentiles Oscillator# Pivot Length Percentiles Oscillator: Technical Mechanics Explained
## Introduction
The Pivot Length Percentiles Oscillator is a statistical approach to identifying potential market reversals by analyzing the distribution of price movements relative to pivot points. This publication explains the technical mechanics behind the indicator.
## Core Mechanics
### 1. Pivot Point Detection
The indicator begins by identifying significant pivot highs and lows using a user-defined lookback period:
- `lft`: Number of bars to the left of potential pivot point
- `rht`: Number of bars to the right of potential pivot point
These parameters determine how "significant" a pivot needs to be to qualify for analysis.
### 2. Distance Measurement & Historical Database
For each new pivot point identified, the indicator:
- Calculates the absolute price distance from the previous pivot of the same type
- Records the number of candles between consecutive pivots
- Stores these measurements in dynamic arrays that build a historical database
### 3. Statistical Distribution Analysis
Rather than using fixed values, the oscillator analyzes the complete distribution of historical pivot distances and calculates key percentile values:
- `lw` (Low Percentile): Lower boundary for statistical significance
- `md` (Mid Percentile): Median statistical boundary
- `hi` (High Percentile): Upper boundary for statistical extremes
### 4. Oscillator Construction
Two primary oscillator lines are calculated:
- Green line (`osc1`): Measures current price's fall below recent highs with `low - ta.highest(high, lft)`
- Red line (`osc2`): Measures current price's rise above recent lows with `high - ta.lowest(low, lft)`
### 5. Threshold Generation
The percentile values from the historical distribution create dynamic threshold lines:
- For downside movements: Scaled versions of the low percentile (`lw_distance_low`) and high percentile (`hi_distance_low`)
- For upside movements: Scaled versions of the low percentile (`lw_distance_high`) and high percentile (`hi_distance_high`)
### 6. Signal Logic
Entry signals are generated when:
- **Bullish Signal**: The downside oscillator crosses below a statistical threshold while price continues showing downward momentum (close < previous close AND close < previous open)
- **Bearish Signal**: The upside oscillator crosses above a statistical threshold while price continues showing upward momentum (close > previous close AND close > previous open)
### 7. Visualization Options
Users can toggle between:
- Standard view: Shows the oscillator and threshold lines
- Percentile view: Displays the current movement's percentile rank within the historical distribution
## Implementation Notes
- The indicator scales threshold values by 0.9 to create a slight buffer that reduces false signals
- The movement's continuation is confirmed by checking both close-to-close and close-to-open relationships
- Arrays dynamically update throughout the chart's history, making the indicator increasingly accurate as more data is processed
## Mathematical Framework
The core statistical function calculates percentiles using linear interpolation between values when needed:
```
calculate_percentile(array, percentile) =
sortedValue +
fraction * (sortedValue - sortedValue )
```
where `index = (array.size - 1) * percentile / 100`
This mathematical approach ensures the thresholds adapt dynamically to changing market conditions rather than relying on fixed values.
Oracle Prediction Futur
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Indicator Description: Oracle Prediction Futur
The Oracle Prediction Futur is a sophisticated technical indicator designed for traders and analysts looking to gain insights into market trends through the analysis of price movements. This Pine Script™ code integrates innovative elements to enhance the trading experience and is governed by the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Key Features:
Normalization of Closing Prices:
The indicator normalizes closing prices over a defined lookback period (100 periods) to provide a percentage-based representation of the current price relative to its historical range. This helps in identifying potential price extremes.
Peak and Trough Detection:
It identifies and plots peak tops and bottom troughs based on normalized closing values. Peak tops are marked with vibrant magenta circles, while peak bottoms are indicated by soothing cyan circles, helping traders visually spot significant turning points in the price action.
Dynamic Background Gradient:
The indicator features a visually appealing gradient background that represents market sentiment. The background color transitions between bear and bull colors based on the position of the normalized close within the 0-100 range. This provides an immediate visual cue about the strength or weakness of the market.
Horizontal Reference Lines:
The indicator includes horizontal lines at key levels (9.51 and 92.5) for quick reference, which can help to gauge areas of potential support or resistance.
User-Friendly Visuals:
The combination of background colors, dynamic plots, and clear labeling offers a user-friendly visual representation, making it easier to interpret market conditions at a glance.
Overlay Options:
As an overlay-free indicator, it maintains clarity on the price chart while providing insightful trends and forecasts.
Practical Application:
Traders can utilize the Oracle Prediction Futur indicator to identify potential entry and exit points in their trading strategies. By observing the peaks, troughs, and background color shifts, users can better understand market momentum and price action.
How to Use:
Deploy this indicator on your trading platform, and analyze the peaks and troughs along with the normalized close line and background gradient to inform your trading decisions. Look for alignment between price action and the signaling provided by the indicator for optimized trading results.
RSI Pro+ (Bear market, financial crisis and so on EditionIn markets defined by volatility, fear, and uncertainty – the battlegrounds of bear markets and financial crises – you need tools forged in resilience. Introducing RSI Pro+, a strategy built upon a legendary indicator born in 1978, yet engineered with modern visual clarity to remain devastatingly effective even in the chaotic financial landscapes of 3078.
This isn't about complex algorithms predicting the unpredictable. It's about harnessing the raw, time-tested power of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify potential exhaustion points and capitalize on oversold conditions. RSI Pro+ cuts through the noise, providing clear, actionable signals when markets might be poised for a relief bounce or reversal.
Core Technology (The 1978 Engine):
RSI Crossover Entry: The strategy initiates a LONG position when the RSI (default period 11) crosses above a user-defined low threshold (default 30). This classic technique aims to enter when selling pressure may be waning, offering potential entry points during sharp downturns or periods of consolidation after a fall.
Modern Enhancements (The 3078 Cockpit):
RSI Pro+ isn't just about the signal; it's about providing a professional-grade visual experience directly on your chart:
Entry Bar Highlight: A subtle background flash on the chart signals the exact bar where the RSI crossover condition is met, alerting you to potential entry opportunities.
Trade Bar Coloring: Once a trade is active, the price bars are subtly colored, giving you immediate visual confirmation that the strategy is live in the market.
Entry Price Line: A clear, persistent line marks your exact average entry price for the duration of the trade, serving as a crucial visual anchor.
Take Profit Line: Your calculated Take Profit target is plotted as a distinct line, keeping your objective clearly in sight.
Custom Entry Marker: A precise shape (▲) appears below the bar where the trade entry was actually executed, pinpointing the start of the position.
On-Chart Info Table (HUD): A clean, customizable Heads-Up Display appears when a trade is active, showing vital information at a glance:
Entry Price: Your position's average cost basis.
TP Target: The calculated price level for your Take Profit exit.
Current PnL%: Real-time Profit/Loss percentage for the open trade.
Full Customization: Nearly every aspect is configurable via the settings menu:
RSI Period & Crossover Level
Take Profit Percentage
Toggle ALL visual enhancements on/off individually
Position the Info Table wherever you prefer on the chart.
How to Use RSI Pro+:
Add to Chart: Apply the "RSI Pro+ (Bear market...)" strategy to your TradingView chart. Ensure any previous versions are removed.
Access Settings: Click the cogwheel icon (⚙️) next to the strategy name on your chart.
Configure Inputs (Crucial Step):
RSI Crossover Level: This is key. The default (30) targets standard oversold conditions. In severe downturns, you might experiment with lower levels (e.g., 25, 20) or higher ones (e.g., 40) depending on the asset and timeframe. Observe where RSI(11) typically bottoms out on your chart.
Take Profit Percentage (%): Define your desired profit target per trade (e.g., enter 0.5 for 0.5%, 1.0 for 1%). The default is a very small 0.11%.
RSI Period: While default is 11, you can adjust this (e.g., the standard 14).
Visual Enhancements: Enable or disable the visual features (background highlights, bar coloring, lines, markers, table) according to your preference using the checkboxes. Adjust table position.
Observe & Backtest: Watch how the strategy behaves on your chosen asset and timeframe. Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to analyze historical performance based on your settings. No strategy works perfectly everywhere; testing is essential.
Important Considerations:
Risk Management: This specific script version focuses on a Take Profit exit. It does not include an explicit Stop Loss. You MUST manage risk through appropriate position sizing, potentially adding a Stop Loss manually, or by modifying the script.
Oversold ≠ Reversal: An RSI crossover is an indicator of potential exhaustion, not a guarantee of a price reversal.
Fixed TP: A fixed percentage TP ensures small wins but may exit before larger potential moves.
Backtesting Limitations: Past performance does not guarantee future results.
RSI Pro+ strips away complexity to focus on a robust, time-honored principle, enhanced with modern visuals for the discerning trader navigating today's (and tomorrow's) challenging markets
FiveFactorEdgeUses ATR14, TSI, RSI, Fast Stochastic and Slow Stochastic information to determine potential high and low price, trend strength and direction. The information ia easy to read, self-descriptive and color coded for quick reference. Since it incorporates 5 different elements it could be used by itself but as with any indicator it's highly recommended to use it with other tried and true indicators.
OG Trend MeterDescription:
The OG Trend Meter gives you a visual snapshot of multiple timeframe trends in one glance. Built for speed and clarity, it helps confirm direction across key intraday timeframes: 1m, 5m, 15m, and 30m.
How it works:
Each timeframe analyzes EMA alignment, price action, and momentum.
Displays clear green/red indicators for bullish/bearish trends on each timeframe.
Great for aligning trades with higher timeframe bias.
Best for:
Traders who want multi-timeframe confirmation before pulling the trigger.
Reducing fakeouts by staying with the dominant trend.
Scalping with the 1m chart while respecting 5m–30m direction.
Pair With: OG Supertrend or EMA Stack for high-probability confluence.
OG ATR RangeDescription:
The OG ATR Tool is a clean, visualized version of the Average True Range indicator for identifying volatility, stop-loss levels, and realistic price movement expectations.
How it works:
Calculates the average range (in points/pips) of recent candles.
Overlays ATR bands to help define breakout potential or squeeze zones.
Can be used to size trades or set dynamic stop-loss and target levels.
Best for:
Intraday traders who want to avoid unrealistic targets.
Volatility-based setups and breakout strategies.
Creating position sizing rules based on instrument volatility.
Pro Tip: Combine with your trend indicators to set sniper entries and exits that respect volatility.
Long Term Profitable Swing | AbbasA Story of a Profitable Swing Trading Strategy
Imagine you're sailing across the ocean, looking for the perfect wave to ride. Swing trading is quite similar—you're navigating the stock market, searching for the ideal moments to enter and exit trades. This strategy, created by Abbas, helps you find those waves and ride them effectively to profitable outcomes.
🌊 Finding the Perfect Wave (Entry)
Our journey begins with two simple signs that tell us a great trading opportunity is forming:
- Moving Averages: We use two lines that follow price trends—the faster one (EMA 16) reacts quickly to recent price moves, and the slower one (EMA 30) gives us a longer-term perspective. When the faster line crosses above the slower line, it's like a clear signal saying, "Hey! The wave is rising, and prices might move higher!"
- RSI Momentum: Next, we check a tool called the RSI, which measures momentum (how strongly prices are moving). If the RSI number is above 50, it means there's enough strength behind this rising wave to carry us forward.
When both signals appear together, that's our green light. It's time to jump on our surfboard and start riding this promising wave.
⚓ Safely Riding the Wave (Risk Management)
While we're riding this wave, we want to ensure we're safe from sudden surprises. To do this, we use something called the Average True Range (ATR), which measures how volatile (or bumpy) the price movements are:
- Stop-Loss: To avoid falling too hard, we set a safety line (stop-loss) 8 times the ATR below our entry price. This helps ensure we exit if the wave suddenly turns against us, protecting us from heavy losses.
- Take Profit: We also set a goal to exit the trade at 11 times the ATR above our entry. This way, we capture significant profits when the wave reaches a nice high point.
🌟 Multiple Rides, Bigger Adventures
This strategy allows us to take multiple positions simultaneously—like riding several waves at once, up to 5. Each trade we make uses only 10% of our trading capital, keeping risks manageable and giving us multiple opportunities to win big.
🗺️ Easy to Follow Settings
Here are the basic settings we use:
- Fast EMA**: 16
- Slow EMA**: 30
- RSI Length**: 9
- RSI Threshold**: 50
- ATR Length**: 21
- ATR Stop-Loss Multiplier**: 8
- ATR Take-Profit Multiplier**: 11
These settings are flexible—you can adjust them to better suit different markets or your personal trading style.
🎉 Riding the Waves of Success
This simple yet powerful swing trading approach helps you confidently enter trades, clearly know when to exit, and effectively manage your risk. It’s a reliable way to ride market waves, capture profits, and minimize losses.
Happy trading, and may you find many profitable waves to ride! 🌊✨
Please test, and take into account that it depends on taking multiple longs within the swing, and you only get to invest 25/30% of your equity.
IDX - 5UPThe UDX-5UP is a custom indicator designed to assist traders in identifying trends, entry and exit signals, and market reversal moments with greater accuracy. It combines price analysis, volume, and momentum (RSI) to provide clear buy ("Buy") and sell ("Sell") signals across any asset and timeframe, whether you're a scalper on the 5M chart or a swing trader on the 4H chart. Inspired by robust technical analysis strategies, the UDX-5UP is ideal for traders seeking a reliable tool to operate in volatile markets such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, and futures.
Components of the UDX-5UP
The UDX-5UP consists of three main panels that work together to provide a comprehensive view of the market:
Main Panel (Price):
Pivot Supertrend: A dynamic line that changes color to indicate the trend. Green for an uptrend (look for buys), red for a downtrend (look for sells).
SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Two SMAs (8 and 21 periods) to confirm the trend direction. When the SMA 8 crosses above the SMA 21, it’s a bullish signal; when it crosses below, it’s a bearish signal.
Entry/Exit Signals: "Buy" (green) and "Sell" (red) labels are plotted on the chart when entry or exit conditions are met.
Volume Panel:
Colored Volume Bars: Green bars indicate dominant buying volume, while red bars indicate dominant selling volume.
Volume Moving Average (MA 20): A blue line that helps identify whether the current volume is above or below the average, confirming the strength of the movement.
RSI Panel:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Calculated with a period of 14, with overbought (70) and oversold (30) lines to identify momentum extremes.
Divergences: The indicator detects divergences between the RSI and price, plotting signals for potential reversals.
How the UDX-5UP Works
The UDX-5UP uses a combination of rules to generate buy and sell signals:
Buy Signal ("Buy"):
The Pivot Supertrend changes from red to green.
The SMA 8 crosses above the SMA 21.
The volume is above the MA 20, with green bars (indicating buying pressure).
The RSI is rising and, ideally, below 70 (not overbought).
Example: On the 4H chart, the price of Tether (USDT) is at 0.05515. The Pivot Supertrend turns green, the SMA 8 crosses above the SMA 21, the volume shows green bars above the MA 20, and the RSI is at 46. The UDX-5UP plots a "Buy".
Sell Signal ("Sell"):
The Pivot Supertrend changes from green to red.
The SMA 8 crosses below the SMA 21.
The volume is above the MA 20, with red bars (indicating selling pressure).
The RSI is falling and, ideally, above 70 (overbought).
Example: On the 4H chart, the price of Tether rises to 0.05817. The Pivot Supertrend turns red, the SMA 8 crosses below the SMA 21, the volume shows red bars, and the RSI is above 70. The UDX-5UP plots a "Sell".
RSI Divergences:
The indicator identifies bullish divergences (price makes a lower low, but RSI makes a higher low) and bearish divergences (price makes a higher high, but RSI makes a lower high), plotting alerts for potential reversals.
Adjustable Settings
The UDX-5UP is highly customizable to suit your trading style:
Pivot Supertrend Period: Default is 2. Increase to 3 or 4 for more conservative signals (fewer false positives, but more lag).
SMA Periods: Default is 8 and 21. Adjust to 5 and 13 for smaller timeframes (e.g., 5M) or 13 and 34 for larger timeframes (e.g., 1D).
RSI Period: Default is 14. Reduce to 10 for greater sensitivity or increase to 20 for smoother signals.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Default is 70/30. Adjust to 80/20 in volatile markets.
Display Panels: You can enable/disable the volume and RSI panels to simplify the chart.
How to Use the UDX-5UP
Identify the Trend:
Use the Pivot Supertrend and SMAs to determine the market direction. Uptrend: look for buys. Downtrend: look for sells.
Confirm with Volume and RSI:
For buys: Volume above the MA 20 with green bars, RSI rising and below 70.
For sells: Volume above the MA 20 with red bars, RSI falling and above 70.
Enter the Trade:
Enter a buy when the UDX-5UP plots a "Buy" and all conditions are aligned.
Enter a sell when the UDX-5UP plots a "Sell" and all conditions are aligned.
Plan the Exit:
Use Fibonacci levels or support/resistance on the price chart to set targets.
Exit the trade when the UDX-5UP plots an opposite signal ("Sell" after a buy, "Buy" after a sell).
Tips for Beginners
Start with Larger Timeframes: Use the 4H or 1D chart for more reliable signals and less noise.
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the UDX-5UP with tools like Fibonacci or the Candles RSI (another powerful indicator) to confirm signals.
Practice in Demo Mode: Test the indicator in a demo account before using real money.
Manage Risk: Always use a stop-loss and don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Why Use the UDX-5UP?
Simplicity: Clear "Buy" and "Sell" signals make trading accessible even for beginners.
Versatility: Works on any asset (crypto, forex, stocks) and timeframe.
Multiple Confirmations: Combines price, volume, and momentum to reduce false signals.
Customizable: Adjust the settings to match your trading style.
Author’s Notes
The UDX-5UP was developed based on years of trading and technical analysis experience. It is an evolution of tested strategies, designed to help traders navigate volatile markets with confidence. However, no indicator is infallible. Always combine the UDX-5UP with proper risk management and fundamental analysis, especially in unpredictable markets. Feedback is welcome – leave a comment or reach out with suggestions for improvements!
[blackcat] L2 Gradient RSIVWAPOVERVIEW
The L2 Gradient RSIVWAP indicator offers traders a powerful tool for assessing market conditions by combining Relative Strength Index (RSI) with Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). It features dynamic coloring and clear buy/sell signals to enhance decision-making.
Customizable Inputs: Adjust key parameters such as RSI-VWAP length, oversold/overbought levels, and smoothing period.
Gradient Color Visualization: Provides intuitive gradient coloring to represent RSI-VWAP values.
Buy/Sell Indicators: On-chart labels highlight potential buying and selling opportunities.
Transparent Fills: Visually distinguishes overbought and oversold zones without obscuring other data.
Access the TradingView platform and select the chart where you wish to implement the indicator.
Go to “Indicators” in the toolbar and search for “ L2 Gradient RSIVWAP.”
Click “Add to Chart” to integrate the indicator into your chart.
Customize settings via the input options:
Toggle between standard RSI and RSI-based VWAP.
Set preferred lengths and thresholds for RSI-VWAP calculations.
Configure the smoothing period for ALMA.
Performance can vary based on asset characteristics like liquidity and volatility.
Historical backtests do not predict future market behavior accurately.
The ALMA function, developed by Arnaud Legoux, enhances response times relative to simple moving averages.
Buy and sell signals are derived from RSI-VWAP crossovers; consider additional factors before making trades.
Special thanks to Arnaud Legoux for creating the ALMA function.
Adaptive KDJ (MTF)Hey guys,
this is an adaptive MTF KDJ oscillator.
Pick up to 3 different timeframes, choose a weighting if you want and enjoy the beautiful signals it will show you.
The length of every timeframe is adaptive and based of the timeframe's ATR.
The plot shows the smoothed average of the 3 KDJ values.
Large triangles show KDJ crossings.
Small triangles show anticipations of possible crossings.
I found out it works best with 1m, 5m, 15m and weighting=1 for forex scalping in 1m.
Use other indicators for confluence.
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression ModelThis is the main version of the script. Click here for the Oscillator part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines. The Oscillator version can be found here.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
