[KL] Double Bollinger Bands Strategy (for Crypto/FOREX)This strategy uses a setup consisting of two Bollinger Bands based on the 20 period 20-SMA +/-
(a) upper/lower bands of two standard deviations apart, and
(b) upper/lower bands of one standard deviation apart.
We consider price at +/- one standard deviation apart from 20-SMA as the "Neutral Zone".
If price closes above Neutral Zone after a period of consolidation, then it's an opportunity for entry. Strategy will long, anticipating for breakout.
The illustration below shows price closing above the Neutral Zone after a period of consolidation.
a.c-dn.net
Position is exited when prices closes at Neutral Zone (being lower than prior bars)
Cari dalam skrip untuk "20蒙古币兑换人民币"
Optimized Keltner Channels SL/TP Strategy for BTCThis strategy is optimized for Bitcoin with the Keltner Channel Strategy, which is TradingView's built-in strategy. In the original Keltner Channel Strategy, it was difficult to predict the timing of entry because the Buy and Sell signals floated in the middle of the candle in real time. This strategy is convenient because if the bitcoin price hits the top or bottom of the Keltner Channel and closes the closing price, you can enter Buy or Sell at the next candle start price. In addition, this strategy provides Stop Loss and Take Profit functions to maximize profit.
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Recommended settings are below.
- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 19
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 20
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- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 18
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 5
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▶ Usefulness and Originality
- Stop Loss and Take Profit functions are available
- Convenient Buy and Sell entry compared to the original Keltner Channel Strategy
- Optimized for BTCUSD market (maximizing profits)
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이 전략은 TradingView의 Built-in 전략인 Keltner Channel Strategy를 비트코인에 맞게 최적화되었습니다. 기존의 Keltner Channel Strategy는 Buy, Sell 신호가 캔들 중간에 실시간으로 떠서 진입 시점을 예측하기 어려운 불편함이 있었지만 이 전략은 비트코인 가격이 Keltner Channel 상단 혹은 하단을 찍고 종가를 마감하면 그 다음 캔들 시작가에서 Buy 혹은 Sell 진입이 가능하여 편리합니다. 또한, 이 전략은 Keltner Channel을 만나서 캔들을 마감한 가격 (bprice, sprice)을 시각적으로 plot을 제공하여 타점 및 차트를 보기에 편리하며 손절가 및 목표가를 지정한 백테스팅이 가능합니다.
[KBCUSTOM] Histogramified Stochastic RSI The public and regular stoch RSI does not come with a histogram which makes it hard to tell the magnitude of any cross. This version comes with one enabled by default and with includes buy and sell triggers on specified crosses.
Buy & Sell Options:
KB Cross Factor: this is the minimum stochastic change between candles that needs to be exceeded in order to trigger a buy or sell signal. For instance, if the previous candle has a value of -20, and the next one has 10, then the factor should be 30 in order for it to trigger a signal.
KB Cross Threshold: in order to minimize bad signals due to weak trend, you can set the minimum stochastic value any candle should have for an order signal to trigger. For instance, say the stochastic has a good cross factor (i.e. 30) and is met, and the stochastic has a value of 10 but your cross threshold is set at 20, then the signal will not trigger unless it is actually 20 or higher.
Let me know how it works.
Cheers.
Drawdown RangeHello death eaters, presenting a unique script which can be used for fundamental analysis or mean reversion based trades.
Process of deriving this table is as below:
Find out ATH for given day
Calculate the drawdown from ATH for the day and drawdown percentage
Based on the drawdown percentage, increment the count of basket which is based on input iNumber of ranges . For example, if number of ranges is 5, then there will be 5 baskets. First basket will fit drawdown percentage 0-20% and each subsequent ones will accommodate next 20% range.
Repeat the process from start to last bar. Once done, table will plot how much percentage of days belong to which basket.
For example, from the below chart of NASDAQ:AAPL
We can deduce following,
Historically stock has traded within 1% drawdown from ATH for 6.59% of time. This is the max amount of time stock has stayed in specific range of drawdown from ATH.
Stock has traded at the drawdown range of 82-83% from ATH for 0.17% of time. This is the least amount of time the stock has stayed in specific range of drawdown from ATH.
At present, stock is trading 2-3% below ATH and this has happened for about 2.46% of total days in trade
Maximum drawdown the stock has suffered is 83%
Lets take another example of NASDAQ:TSLA
Stock is trading at 21-22% below ATH. But, historically the max drawdown range where stock has traded is within 0-1%. Now, if we make this range to show 20 divisions instead of 100, it will look something like this:
Table suggests that stock is trading about 20-25% below ATH - which is right. But, table also suggests that stock has spent most number of days within this drawdown range when we divide it by 20 baskets instad of 100. I would probably wait for price to break out of this range before going long or short. At present, it seems a stage ranging stage. I might think about selling PUTs or covered CALLs outside this range.
Similarly, if you look at AMEX:SPY , 36% of the time, price has stayed within 5% from ATH - makes it a compelling bull case!!
NYSE:BABA is trading at 50-55% below ATH - which is the most it has retraced so far. In general, it is used to be within 15-20% from ATH
NOW, Bit of explanation on input options.
Number of Ranges : Says how many baskets the drawdown map needs to be divided into.
Reference : You can take ATH as reference or chose a time window between which the highest need to be considered for drawdown. This can be useful for megacaps which has gone beyond initial phase of uncertainity. There is no point looking at 80% drawdown AAPL had during 1990s. More approriate to look at it post 2000s where it started making higher impact and growth.
Cumulative Percentage : When this is unchecked, percentage division shows 0-nth percentage instad of percentage ranges. For example this is how it looks on SPY:
We can see that SPY has remained within 6% from ATH for more than 50% of the time.
Hope this is helpful. Happy trading :)
PS: this can be used in conjunction with Drawdown-Price-vs-Fundamentals to pick value stocks at discounted price while also keeping an eye on range tendencies of it.
Thanks to @mattX5 for the ideas and discussion today :)
[VJ] Hulk Smash IntraThis is a simple intraday strategy for working on Stocks or commodities based out on Super Trend and ever reliable ADX . You can modify the start time and end time based on your timezones. Session value should be from market start to the time you want to square-off
Important: The end time should be at least 2 minutes before the intraday square-off time set by your broker
Comment below if you get good returns
Strategy: Supertrend and ADX strength (Hulk Smash)
Indicators used :
Super trend is simple and easy to use indicator and gives a precise reading about an on going trend.It is built with two parameters, namely period and multiplier.The Buy and Sell signal modifies once the indicator tosses over the closing price. When the Super trend closes above the Price, a Buy signal is generated, and when the Super trend closes below the Price, a Sell signal is generated. In this case we use it only for direction .
ADX informs a trader when the market is trending.It filters out anti trend trades to help trend chasing indicators from frequent whipsaws
Multiplier is a vital input for Super trend. If the multiplier value is too high, then lesser number of signals is made.
Buying/Selling
• If the price is going UP, and the ADX indicator is also going UP, then we have the case for a bullish trend.
• The same is true if the price is going down and the ADX indicator is going UP. Then we have the case for a bearish trend.
• Value of ADX below 20 is called trading zone which implies non-trending market
• Trade with Strength only if the Super trend is validating
ADX Values
0 - 20 : Non Trending (Range bound market, phase of Accumulation/Distribution)
20-45 : Strong Signal (helpful for traders)
45-60 : Very strong trend (occur rarely, indicate exhaustion)
60 - 100 : Extremely strong trend (very rare, unsustainable trends, be ready for reversals)
Usage & Best setting :
Choose a good volatile stock and a time frame - 5m.
ADX Factor : vary as per info above
ST multiplier : 3
There is stop loss and take profit that can be used to optimise your trade
The template also includes daily square off based on your time.
Rolling ReturnsWhat does this indicator show?
This indicator shows the rolling return of a set lookback period.
The default indicator value is 20 which will show the rolling 20-day return because 20 trading days is 1 month.
LargestMarketCapsThis trading system uses a MA to check if the LARGEST CAP stocks are above or below the MA.
You can see from the indicator below how well it manages to capture big moves.
It aggregates the data of all the tickers to create the histogram indicator at the bottom of the chart called MarketLeaders.
If a ticker is above its moving average, then the output will increase by +1 and -1 if a ticker is below its moving average.
This is a powerful system because it uses not only data from one stock but from the stocks that really affect the market big time. If those stocks don't do well, the market won't do well either.
Basically if all the market leaders are doing well, then this system will buy those 20 tickers and keep positions open until the MarketLeaders indicator crosses below 0 -- meaning red.
It also has a red stop loss line, with a wide 15% stop loss to keep us in the trades for the long term.
I've used a 5-day chart because I wanted fewer signals, but higher quality signals.
There are no profit targets, this exits when the indicator turns red -- meaning below 0 or if a position falls 15% in price.
The MA setting is adjustable, the default is 20
These are the tickers that the strategy and indicator currently looks at
The tickers will need to be updated every 6-12 months to remove and ad those who have dropped out of the largest 20 stocks.
It would be a good idea to create a watchlist and alerts for the Large Cap tickers so you can scroll through to see how the system performed on each ticker
"SPX"
"QQQ"
"AAPL"
"MSFT"
"GOOG"
"FB"
"BRK.A"
"TSLA"
"V"
"JPM"
"WMT"
"UNH"
"MA"
"KO"
"PYPL"
"PG"
"HD"
"DIS"
"BAC"
"ADBE"
"CMCSA"
"NKE"
RELATED IDEAS / Indicators
Market Leaders Ribbon
Market Leaders Large Performance Table
RedK Volume-Weighted Directional Efficiency Index (DXF)RedK Volume-Weighted Directional Efficiency Index (DXF) is a momentum indicator - that builds on Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio (ER) concept.
DXF utilizes a restricted +100/-100 oscillator to represent the "quality" of a trend, and does a good job in detecting the possibility of an upcoming trend change (in both direction and quality), improving our ability to make decisions on trade entries and exits.
Here's a quick background on Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio (ER)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Copied from internet sources -----------------------------
Developed by Perry Kaufman and introduced in his book “New Trading Systems and Methods”, the Efficiency Ratio reflects relative market speed to volatility. There are cases, when it is used as a filter, which helps a trader to avoid ”choppy” markets or trading ranges and to identify smoother trends.
ER is the result of dividing the net change in price movement during n-periods by the sum of all bar-to-bar price changes during the same n-periods. In case the market is trending smoother, then the ratio will be higher. In case the ratio shows readings in proximity to zero, this implies that market movement is inefficient and ”choppy”.
If the Efficiency Ratio shows a reading of +100, this means that the trading instrument is in a bull trend and trending with perfect efficiency.
If the Efficiency Ratio shows a reading of -100, this means that the trading instrument is in a bear trend and trending with perfect efficiency.
It is impossible for any instrument to have a perfect Efficiency ratio, because any movement against the major trend during the examined period of time would cause the ratio to drop.
If the Efficiency Ratio shows a reading above +30 (common setting for the "Significant Level"), this is indicative of a quality bull trend. If the ratio shows a reading below -30, this is indicative of a quality bear trend.
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Kaufman also used the ER as basis for his famous Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA).
Read more on ER & Kama here
How is DXF different from other ER-based indicators?
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- Let's get the easy part out of the way: DXF has a "volume-weighting" option ✔
This option is OFF by default (to avoid errors with instruments with no volume data)
- once this option is applied, it provides the benefit of combining the volume effect into the calculation - those who appreciate the effect of volume on price action will hopefully find this option valuable
- The calculation of ER and how it can be "best utilized":
Let's examine the ER concept a bit closer: as a (math) concept, the (original) Efficiency Ratio (ER) takes the positive change of the price of an instrument during a certain period, and divide it by the sum of (absolute) price moves that were observed during that same period.
So, in the trader's language, we will be saying "out of a total of $20 moves (up and down) that MSFT did in the past 10 days, MSFT only made a net change of $5 up during that period" - so the "10-day ER" for MSFT in that case is 5/20 = 25% -- then we continue to observe that ongoing "10-day ER" and if it increases, we can expect that MSFT is going to establish a strong move (trend) up --- right?
the magic word here is to "observe the ongoing ER" - many of the ER based indicators just use the ER as calculated by Kaufman's original method. IMHO, these are just "point-in-time readings" - if we hope to get real insights from the ER, we need to take an average of that reading - for our "time window" we're interested in - and only then we can identify trends and patterns in the ER value as it changes during that windowss- DXF does that - and that allows a trader to say "the (weighted) 5-day average of the 10-day ER for MSFT is increasing, and that why i expect an up-trend" -- makes sense ? both the "Lookback" used to calculate the ER, and the Length of observed "window" for the Average ER are adjustable in DXF settings
Other Uses and Settings :
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- As a momentum indicator, DXF can predict an upcoming change of trend - cause that will reflect on the average ER value. There are few examples in the chart where the price move and ER trend *do not agree* - The trader can see these signs and take decisions accordingly
- DXF can help reveal best entries and exits: assume we are long-term bullish on MSFT, and we want to "buy the dip" - DXF can help reveal the time where price is recovering from extreme weakness - and that would be the ideal buy opportunities for us - exampled marked on the chart
- the Stepping & Smoothing options enable better visualization of the DXF plot. the "raw" DXF is still shown as a silver line.
- The "Significant Levels" option is available and is set to -20/+20 by default .. also adjustable in indicator settings.
- Please use DXF in combination with other trend and volume indicators, and with thorough chart / price action analysis and not in isolation to ensure you get proper signal confirmation for trades. In the chart above, you can see DXF combined with a moving average that can act as a filter and to confirm the price moves.
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As usual, feedback & comments are welcome - if you find this work useful in your trading arsenal, please share a comment - i would be more than happy to learn about that. Good luck!
Modified RSI Multi-Time Frame (HM)Effective RSI with Multi-Timeframe with Hilema - Milega(HM) concept (HM=WMA -EMA). RSI Script is included with WMA and EMA band for RSI1 and it works very simple
i) When the RSI band turns to Green its a Buy signal. Normally whenever Bearish strength weakens and move towards the Bullish area, the WMA and EMA cross each other and that tends to provide a possible trend change. A trade at crossover normally provides a very good trading oppertunity. One can combine with some other Price action if needed for double confirmation.
ii)When RSI band turns to RED its a Sell signal. As explained in the point 1 , its a vice-versa where a crossover of WMA and EMA is perfect entry to get a good swing trade. Once can combine this tool with Price action for double confirmation.
iii) Using the Multi timeframe user could able to find the trend at higher timeframe to take double confirm on the trend strength and take a perfect oppertunity to take the trade.
By default, script uses the RSI with length 14, WMA 21 and EMA 3 which perfectly working for Index in NSE. Please change as per your requirement.
Apart from the above band, RSI is not have the different levels like 20/ 40 /50/60/80
Multi-timeframes currently set as
RSI1 - Same as Chart
RSI2 - 15 Min
RSI3 - 60 Min
RSI4 - Daily
Script has enabled the option to change the values for these timeframes as per the user requirement.
These ranges can be interpreted and acts as a probable swing points based on the trend and momentum.
40-60 - Neutral Range or Sideways
20 - 60 Bearish range
40 - 70 - Bullish range
Below 20 -- Over Sold Zone
Above 80 - over Bought zone
Also, the crossovers of the WMA and EMA on the RSI gives a very good momentum towards that trend.
BTC top bottom weekly oscillatorThis indicator is based on the 20 weekly simple moving average and it could be used to help finding potential tops and bottoms on a weekly BTC chart.
This version uses an "oscillator" presentation, it fluctuates around the value zero.
The indicator plots 0 when the close price is near the 20 weekly moving average.
If it's below 0 it reflects the price being below the 20 weekly moving average, and opposite for above.
IT's possible to see how many times the price has hit the 0.5 coef support. In one case it hit 0.6 showing that the 0.5 support can be broken.
The indicator is calculated as Log(close / sma(close))
Instructions:
- Use with the symbol INDEX:BTCUSD so you can see the price since 2010
- Set the timeframe to weekly
Optionals:
- change the coef to 0.6 for a more conservative bottom
- change the coef to 0.4 for a more conservative top
Magic BandBSE:DLF
I have integrated Moving average, Bollinger bands and Exponential moving average. It has two SMA,
The first thing is 20 SMA with blue coloured SMA line source as high and red coloured SMA line source as low, this together forms a band which can be used for a swing trade, usually useful in bull run of the stock and price tries to get support on this band.
the second thing in this is similar to the previous set up but it plots 89 period EMA, this becomes useful in the smaller timeframe when one step larger timeframe is near to 20 SMA band
the third thing is plots of Bollinger band with 20 SMA, which gives us an idea on volatility.
McClellan Oscillator for nifty 50This is a indicator which indicates breath of the market.
If found relevant do let me know!!
Only handpicked relevant 20 stocks (20 +ve indicator+ 20 -ve indicator) from different sector .
As there is the limit of 40 script allowed only.
Further modifications might be there if the limit is increased to 100 (50 +50 indicator) .
A simple double moving average system# This simple code is describing the double moving average system, thanks for the contribution of Lei and jchang264
# The moving average system is including the SMA(20,60,120) and EMA(20,60,120), which use the different colours and style
# The bar is using the different colours to describe the different state, for example the black one mean the season of the trendy didn't form, the blue mean to reach the first phase of the trendy, the state of gray bar just between the black and blue, The gold one mean the season of the trend has already forming (SMA20 > SMA60 > SMA120), which one I think it is important.
# Price mark mean the deduction price of 20, 60 and 120
Price Action IndexI've created a simple oscillator which I think does a good job of easily showing you when price is worth watching or not. I think all too often you get stuck looking at something like an RSI and end up trading noise.
From my observations and experiences, I've found that there are 2 major catalysts for price movement--
Price is either trending and reaches a top or bottom, or
Price is consolidating and ready to make a move in some direction
These movements can be seen quite well from a Bollinger Band, which is what mostly gave me the inspiration. When I watch a chart with a BB on it I see that either you're looking to trade price moving out of a squeeze or riding price up/down the band until it crosses over and makes a move to the moving average.
My solution was to multiply the direction of price by the strength of its deviation.
Price gets converted into a signal between -1.0 (bottom of the range) and 1.0 (top of the range)
Standard Deviation gets converted into a stochastic signal between 0 (next to no deviation from mean) and 100 (highest deviation in lookback)
These 2 get multiplied by each other
The result tells you if price action is trending bullish and if its approaching max strength (perhaps Overbought), example: Price is hitting highs (1.0) and deviation is also at its highest (100) = 100, opposite for bearish
Result can also tell you if price is at the top of the range but the deviation is so tiny and we're mostly pinned to the mean (1.0 * 5 = only 5)
How to Trade this Indicator--
If the indicator is stuck near the middle and purple:
- Don't make directional trades or you'll be eaten alive by the chop
- Good idea to sell options, Iron Condors/Butterflies, etc
- Wait for a move to breakout --> the purple will fade away and give way to a direction
--- As in all trading scenarios, be mindful of fakeouts/short moves to one direction that very quickly get reversed
If the indicator is heading higher:
- This would indicate there is a bull trend going on, get long
- If we are reaching the overbought area, this is an ideal place to take profits or look at spreads like Bearish Call Spreads (sell calls)
- I think you can make your own determination of when to sell by either selling when we're in the overbought area (if it reaches there) or staying bullish so long as it is above the zone
If the indicator is heading lower:
- Bear trend, shorting is possible
- Can use this as a contrarian signal to buy lows
A couple of charts with the indicator and a purple squeeze box I've drawn (can sometimes get noisy in real-time, but hindsight is 20/20)--
Bitcoin on Daily with default 20 length
Gamestop on 30 minute time frame with 100 length
Please feel free to use this indicator for your trading or your own indicators. This particular script is very stripped down/bare bones from what I have been working on as an ongoing project. If TradingView ever returns scripts you can sell, I would probably open that up for a small premium.
Rainbow Trend IndicatorThis is an indicator based on the MA rainbow concept. It is possible to choose between 15 or 20 MA's and if all 15 MA's is picked, the calculation will be calculated on 15 MA's and if 20 is picked the calculation is calculated on 20 MA's. The indicator will then be a line which is assigned a value from the calculation based on the MA's. If the line is above the dashed zero line, meaning the line's last value is a positive value, the price is in a uptrend and if the line is below the dashed zero line, meaning the line's last value is a negative value, the price is in a downtrend.
In short
If the line is green, the price is in a uptrend. If the line is red, the price is in a downtrend.
Koalafied RSI// Concept developed from RSI : The Complete Guide by John Hayden
// RSI is regarded as a momentum indicator. 2:1 momentum is associated with RSI values of 66.67 and 33.33 respectfully. In an Uptrend an RSI value of 40 should not be broken and in a downtrend
// a RSI value of 60 should not be exceeded. 4:1 momentum (RSI values of 80/20) can be associated with extreme market conditions, typically thought of as being Overbought or Oversold.
// Simple divergence provides a strong indication that the preceding trend will resume as soon as the retracement is completed. Multiple long-term divergences (not shown in this indicator)
// increase the likelihood that the preceding trend has ended.
// An Uptrend is indicated when:
// 1. RSI values remain in an 80/40 range
// 2. Presence of bearish divergences
// 3. Hidden bullish divergences are seen
// A Downtrend is indicated when:
// 1. RSI values remain in a 60/20 range
// 2. Presence of bullish divergence
// 3. Hidden bearish divergence is seen
// Personal additions to John Haydens concepts are horizontal pivot breaks and diagonal trendline breaks. The 80/20 line color shows the last break of horizontal pivot points, while the rsi
// line changes color with diagonal breaks. Additional support/resistance is shown by 66.67 and 33.33 lines.
Market Traffic LightThis indicator visualizes warning and panic signs, which are shown separately.
1. Section (Fear & Greed)
Approximation of the CNN Money Fear & Greed index based on code of user MagicEins. The index shows values between 0 (extreme fear, red) and 100 (extreme greed, green).
2. Section (warning signs)
VIX: Values above 20 are red and below green. The legend shows the value of the current bar including the change from the bar before. The average VIX is about 16. Values over 20 are a sign of stressed market.
Distribution days: A distribution day (loss to the day before > 0,2 % and higher volume) is marked with a yellow dot. In case there are more than four distributions days within 25 markets days the dot is orange. When big players redistribute their investments distribution days can occur. If this is done often (more than four times within 25 market days) it is possible that the markets changes or that a sector rotation occurs. For calculation distribution days futures of S&P 500 (ES1!) and NASDAQ (NQ1!) are used because the volume for this calculation is needed. TradingView does not support volumes for S&P 500 or NASDAQ directly.
Markets: A green/red dot signals that the market is above/below its 25-Daily-EMA. A green/red square signals that the market is above/below its 25-Weekly-EMA. Markets can give as a feeling about where investors store their money. E.g. when markets are falling but DUX (Down Jones Utility Average) is rising this means that investors put their money into save haven. This can be a sign that the markets will fall more.
3. Section (panic signs, = signs of reaching a low within a correction of a crash)
VIX-Reversion: A VIX reversion day (VIX > 20 & VIX high > VIX high of the day before & VIX high – VIX close > 3) is marked as a yellow dot
VVIX: A value equal or above 140 is marked with a yellow dot and shows absolute panic.
PCR Intra max: A value equal or above 1.4 is marked with a yellow dot.
New high/lows: New highs/lows are shown for AMEX, NYSE and NASDAQ. A yellow dot is shown if the ratio is less or equal than 0.01.
Down-Day: Down days are shown for AMEX, NYSE and NASDA. A yellow dot is shown if at least 90 % of the whole volume (up and down) is a down volume.
In Addition to the warning signs in the second section a check of the Advance Decline Line (NYSE and NASDAQ) for bullish and bearish divergences is useful. The whole set-up can be seen in the screenshot.
Only one signal normally does not give us a good prediction. Therefore we need to see these indication as a bundle. TradingView gives us the opportunity to check some striking market situations in the past. So feel free to test this indication for building up your own opinion.
Please feel free to comment in case of failures, improvements or experiences (good or bad).
MACD Trend CandlesThe script combines 2 indicators (MACD and Stoch-RSI) and puts them visually directly on the candles - can be used with normal OHLC candles or Heiken Ashi candles. Furthermore, you can derive divergences exremely easy directly visually from the candles as well. Lastly, a SMA 20 high and a SMA 20 low line build a trend channel.
Script is best used in trending markets to trade with the trend.
1) SMA trend channel:
* uptrend: close above
* downtrend: close below
* aggressive entry (uptrend) closing inside channel from below
* conservative entry (uptrend) closing above channel from inside
* hold (uptrend) until close below channel
* can be used accordingly for the downtrend
2) MACD candles
* visualization of the MACD histogram directly on the candles
* dark blue: histogram > 0 and histogram > histogram of previous candle
* light blue: histogram > 0 and histogram < histogram of previous candle
* orange: histogram < 0 and histogram < histogram of previous candle
* light blue: histogram < 0 and histogram > histogram of previous candle
* hold uptrend (dark/light blue candles) - combined with trend channel (above channel)
* hold downtrend (orange /yellow candles) - combined with trend channel (below channel)
* Color divergence: light blue candle > dark blue candle (price and MACD show divergence (bearish)
* Color divergence: yellow candle < orange candle (price and MACD show divergence (bullish)
* Trend change (0 line cross to upside) yellow or orange to dark blue
* Trend change (0 line cross to downside) dark or light blue to orange
3) Stoch RSI diamonds
* visualization of the STOCH-RSI as diamonds above or below the candle
* k, d line > 80: diamond above the candle
* k, d line < 20: diamond below the candle
* divergence caldle without diamond above > candle with diamond above (bearish divergence)
* divergence caldle without diamond below < candle with diamond below (bullish divergence)
Feel free to test each part individually and combine it with other indicators, e.g. BBands and Ichimoku Cloud - you will see it is a powerful visualization script
HAVE FUN
BTC and ETH Long strategy - version 2I wrote my first article in May 2020. See below
BTC and ETH Long strategy - version1
After 6 months, it is now time to check the result of my script for the last 6 months.
XBTUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +78% in 4 trades
ETHXBT (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +21% in 9 trades
ETHUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +90% in 6 trades
Using the signals from this strategy to trade manually has shown that this was a bit frustrating because of the low rate of winning trades.
If you have to enter 100 trades and see 75% of them failing and 25% winning, this is frustrating. For sure the strategy makes good money but it is difficult to hold this mentality.
So, I have reviewed and modified it to get a higher winning rate.
After few days of work, tests and validation, I managed to get a wining rate close to 60%.
The key element was also to decrease the number of trades by using a higher time frame. (4H candles instead of 2H candles).
- Entry in position is based on
MACD, EMA (20), SMA (100), SMA (200) moving up
AND EMA (20) > SMA (100)
AND SMA (100) > SMA (200)
- Exit the position if: Stoploss is reached OR EMA (20) crossUnder SMA (100)
The goal of this new script is to be able to follow the signals manually and only make few trades per years.
I have also validated it against some other altcoins where some are giving very good results.
Here are some results for 2020 (from 01/01/2020 until now (22/11/2020). Those results are the one I get when using 4H candles.
ETH/USD: +144% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +120% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +33% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +123% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +155% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +388% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +180% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +97% in 10 trades.
The best is that above results are without considering compound effect. If you re-invest all gains done in each new trade, this will give you the below results :)
ETH/USD: +189% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +260% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +29% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +112% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +222% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +793% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +319% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +103% in 10 trades.
As you can see, the results are good and the number of trades for 11 months is not big, which allows the trader to place orders manually.
But still, I'm lazy :), so, I have also coded this strategy in HaasScript language which allows you to automate this strategy using the HaasOnline software specialized in automated crypto trading.
I hope that this strategy will give you ideas or will be the starting point for your own strategy.
Let me know if you need more details.
CCI-RSI MR Indicators:
Bollinger Bands (20 period, 2σ)
RSI (14 period) and Simple moving average of RSI (5 period)
CCI (20 period)
SMA (5 period)
Entry Conditions:
Buy when:
Swing low (5) should be lower than the highest of lower BB (3 periods)
Both RSI crossover RSI_5 and CCI crossover -100 should have happened within last 3 candles (including the current candle)
Once all the above conditions are met, the close should be higher than SMA (5) within the next 3 candles
After condition 3 is satisfied, we enter the trade at next candle’s open
Stop loss will be at 1 tick lower than previous swing low
Sell when:
Swing high (5) should be higher than the lowest of upper BB (3 periods)
Both RSI crossunder RSI_5 and CCI crossunder 100 should have happened within last 3 candles (including the current candle)
Once all the above conditions are met, the close should be lower than SMA (5) within the next 3 candles
After condition 3 is satisfied, we enter the trade at next candle’s open
Stop loss will be at 1 tick higher than previous swing high
Exit Conditions:
Since it’s mean reversion strategy we’ll be having only 2 target exits with a trailing stop loss after target price 1 is achieved.
Target exit price 1 & 2 are decided based on the risk ‘R’ for each trade
Depending on the instrument and time frame a trailing stop loss of 0.5R or 1R has opted.
A stop limit is placed @Entry_price +- 2*ATR(20) to offset the risk of losing significantly more than 1xR in a trade
Bar Balance [LucF]Bar Balance extracts the number of up, down and neutral intrabars contained in each chart bar, revealing information on the strength of price movement. It can display stacked columns representing raw up/down/neutral intrabar counts, or an up/down balance line which can be calculated and visualized in many different ways.
WARNING: This is an analysis tool that works on historical bars only. It does not show any realtime information, and thus cannot be used to issue alerts or for automated trading. When realtime bars elapse, the indicator will require a browser refresh, a change to its Inputs or to the chart's timeframe/symbol to recalculate and display information on those elapsed bars. Once a trader understands this, the indicator can be used advantageously to make discretionary trading decisions.
Traders used to work with my Delta Volume Columns Pro will feel right at home in this indicator's Inputs . It has lots of options, allowing it to be used in many different ways. If you value the bar balance information this indicator mines, I hope you will find the time required to master the use of Bar Balance well worth the investment.
█ OVERVIEW
The indicator has two modes: Columns and Line .
Columns
• In Columns mode you can display stacked Up/Down/Neutral columns.
• The "Up" section represents the count of intrabars where `close > open`, "Down" where `close < open` and "Neutral" where `close = open`.
• The Up section always appears above the centerline, the Down section below. The Neutral section overlaps the centerline, split halfway above and below it.
The Up and Down sections start where the Neutral section ends, when there is one.
• The Up and Down sections can be colored independently using 7 different methods.
• The signal line plotted in Line mode can also be displayed in Columns mode.
Line
• Displays a single balance line using a zero centerline.
• A variable number of independent methods can be used to calculate the line (6), determine its color (5), and color the fill (5).
You can thus evaluate the state of 3 different components with this single line.
• A "Divergence Levels" feature will use the line to automatically draw expanding levels on divergence events.
Features available in both modes
• The color of all components can be selected from 15 base colors, with 16 gradient levels used for each base color in the indicator's gradients.
• A zero line can show a 6-state aggregate value of the three main volume balance modes.
• The background can be colored using any of 5 different methods.
• Chart bars can be colored using 5 different methods.
• Divergence and large neutral count ratio events can be shown in either Columns or Line mode, calculated in one of 4 different methods.
• Markers on 6 different conditions can be displayed.
█ CONCEPTS
Intrabar inspection
Intrabar inspection means the indicator looks at lower timeframe bars ( intrabars ) making up a given chart bar to gather its information. If your chart is on a 1-hour timeframe and the intrabar resolution determined by the indicator is 5 minutes, then 12 intrabars will be analyzed for each chart bar and the count of up/down/neutral intrabars among those will be tallied.
Bar Balances and calculation methods
The indicator uses a variety of methods to evaluate bar balance and to derive other calculations from them:
1. Balance on Bar : Uses the relative importance of instant Up and Down counts on the bar.
2. Balance Averages : Uses the difference between the EMAs of Up and Down counts.
3. Balance Momentum : Starts by calculating, separately for both Up and Down counts, the difference between the same EMAs used in Balance Averages and an SMA of double the period used for the EMAs. These differences are then aggregated and finally, a bounded momentum of that aggregate is calculated using RSI.
4. Markers Bias : It sums the bull/bear occurrences of the four previous markers over a user-defined period (the default is 14).
5. Combined Balances : This is the aggregate of the instant bull/bear bias of the three main bar balances.
6. Dual Up/Down Averages : This is a display mode showing the EMA calculated for each of the Up and Down counts.
Interpretation of neutral intrabars
What do neutral intrabars mean? When price does not change during a bar, it can be because there is simply no interest in the market, or because of a perfect balance between buyers and sellers. The latter being more improbable, Bar Balance assumes that neutral bars reveal a lack of interest, which entails uncertainty. That is the reason why the option is provided to interpret ratios of neutral intrabars greater than 50% as divergences. It is also the rationale behind the option to dampen signal lines on the inverse ratio of neutral intrabars, so that zero intrabars do not affect the signal, and progressively larger proportions of neutral intrabars will reduce the signal's amplitude, as the balance calcs using the up/down counts lose significance. The impact of the dampening will vary with markets. Weaker markets such as cryptos will often contain greater numbers of neutral intrabars, so dampening the Line in that sector will have a greater impact than in more liquid markets.
█ FEATURES
1 — Columns
• While the size of the Up/Down columns always represents their respective importance on the bar, their coloring mode is independent. The default setup uses a standard coloring mode where the Up/Down columns over/under the zero line are always in the bull/bear color with a higher intensity for the winning side. Six other coloring modes allow you to pack more information in the columns. When choosing to color the top columns using a bull/bear gradient on Balance Averages, for example, you will end up with bull/bear colored tops. In order for the color of the bottom columns to continue to show the instant bar balance, you can then choose the "Up/Down Ratio on Bar — Dual Solid Colors" coloring mode to make those bars the color of the winning side for that bar.
• Line mode shows only the line, but Columns mode allows displaying the line along with it. If the scale of the line is different than that of the scale of the columns, the line will often appear flat. Traders may find even a flat line useful as its bull/bear colors will be easily distinguishable.
2 — Line
• The default setup for Line mode uses a calculation on "Balance Momentum", with a fill on the longer-term "Balance Averages" and a line color based on the "Markers Bias". With the background set on "Line vs Divergence Levels" and the zero line on the hard-coded "Combined Bar Balances", you have access to five distinct sources of information at a glance, to which you can add divergences, divergences levels and chart bar coloring. This provides powerful potential in displaying bar balance information.
• When no columns are displayed, Line mode can show the full scale of whichever line you choose to calculate because the columns' scale no longer interferes with the line's scale.
• Note that when "Balance on Bar" is selected, the Neutral count is also displayed as a ratio of the balance line. This is the only instance where the Neutral count is displayed in Line mode.
• The "Dual Up/Down Averages" is an exception as it displays two lines: one average for the Up counts and another for the Down counts. This mode will be most useful when Columns are also displayed, as it provides a reference for the top and bottom columns.
3 — Zero Line
The zero line can be colored using two methods, both based on the Combined Balances, i.e., the aggregate of the instant bull/bear bias of the three main bar balances.
• In "Six-state Dual Color Gradient" mode, a dot appears on every bar. Its color reflects the bull/bear state of the Combined Balances, and the dot's brightness reflects the tally of balance biases.
• In "Dual Solid Colors (All Bull/All Bear Only)" a dot only appears when all three balances are either bullish or bearish. The resulting pattern is identical to that of Marker 1.
4 — Divergences
• Divergences are displayed as a small circle at the top of the scale. Four different types of divergence events can be detected. Divergences occur whenever the bull/bear bias of the method used diverges with the bar's price direction.
• An option allows you to include in divergence events instances where the count of neutral intrabars exceeds 50% of the total intrabar count.
• The divergence levels are dynamic levels that automatically build from the line's values on divergence events. On consecutive divergences, the levels will expand, creating a channel. This implementation of the divergence levels corresponds to my view that divergences indicate anomalies, hesitations, points of uncertainty if you will. It excludes any association of a pre-determined bullish/bearish bias to divergences. Accordingly, the levels merely take note of divergence events and mark those points in time with levels. Traders then have a reference point from which they can evaluate further movement. The bull/bear/neutral colors used to plot the levels are also congruent with this view in that they are determined by price's position relative to the levels, which is how I think divergences can be put to the most effective use.
5 — Background
• The background can show a bull/bear gradient on four different calculations. You can adjust its brightness to make its visual importance proportional to how you use it in your analysis.
6 — Chart bars
• Chart bars can be colored using five different methods.
• You have the option of emptying the body of bars where volume does not increase, as does my TLD indicator, the idea behind this being that movement on bars where volume does not increase is less relevant.
7 — Intrabar Resolution
You can choose between three modes. Two of them are automatic and one is manual:
a) Fast, Longer history, Auto-Steps (~12 intrabars) : Optimized for speed and deeper history. Uses an average minimum of 12 intrabars.
b) More Precise, Shorter History Auto-Steps (~24 intrabars) : Uses finer intrabar resolution. It is slower and provides less history. Uses an average minimum of 24 intrabars.
c) Fixed : Uses the fixed resolution of your choice.
Auto-Steps calculations vary for 24/7 and conventional markets in order to achieve the proper target of minimum intrabars.
You can choose to view the intrabar resolution currently used to calculate delta volume. It is the default.
The proper selection of the intrabar resolution is important. It must achieve maximal granularity to produce precise results while not unduly slowing down calculations, or worse, causing runtime errors.
8 — Markers
Six markers are available:
1. Combined Balances Agreement : All three Bar Balances are either bullish or bearish.
2. Up or Down % Agrees With Bar : An up marker will appear when the percentage of up intrabars in an up chart bar is greater than the specified percentage. Conditions mirror to down bars.
3. Divergence confirmations By Price : One of the four types of balance calculations can be used to detect divergences with price. Confirmations occur when the bar following the divergence confirms the balance bias. Note that the divergence events used here do not include neutral intrabar events.
4. Balance Transitions : Bull/bear transitions of the selected balance.
5. Markers Bias Transitions : Bull/bear transitions of the Markers Bias.
6. Divergence Confirmations By Line : Marks points where the line first breaches a divergence level.
Markers appear when the condition is detected, without delay. Since nothing is plotted in realtime, markers do not appear on the realtime bar.
9 — Settings
• Two modes can be selected to dampen the line on the ratio of neutral intrabars.
• A distinct weight can be attributed to the count of the latter half of intrabars, on the assumption that later intrabars may be more important in determining the outcome of chart bars.
• Allows control over the periods of the different moving averages used in calculations.
• The default periods used for the various calculations define the following hierarchy from slow to fast:
Balance Averages: 50,
Balance Momentum: 20,
Dual Up/Down Averages: 20,
Marker Bias: 10.
█ LIMITATIONS
• This script uses a special characteristic of the `security()` function allowing the inspection of intrabars—which is not officially supported by TradingView.
• The method used does not work on the realtime bar—only on historical bars.
• The indicator only works on some chart resolutions: 3, 5, 10, 15 and 30 minutes, 1, 2, 4, 6, and 12 hours, 1 day, 1 week and 1 month. The script’s code can be modified to run on other resolutions, but chart resolutions must be divisible by the lower resolution used for intrabars and the stepping mechanism could require adaptation.
• When using the "Line vs Divergence Levels — Dual Color Gradient" color mode to fill the line, background or chart bars, keep in mind that a line calculation mode must be defined for it to work, as it determines gradients on the movement of the line relative to divergence levels. If the line is hidden, it will not work.
• When the difference between the chart’s resolution and the intrabar resolution is too great, runtime errors will occur. The Auto-Steps selection mechanisms should avoid this.
• Alerts do not work reliably when `security()` is used at intrabar resolutions. Accordingly, no alerts are configured in the indicator.
• The color model used in the indicator provides for fancy visuals that come at a price; when you change values in Inputs , it can take 20 seconds for the changes to materialize. Luckily, once your color setup is complete, the color model does not have a large performance impact, as in normal operation the `security()` calls will become the most important factor in determining response time. Also, once in a while a runtime error will occur when you change inputs. Just making another change will usually bring the indicator back up.
█ RAMBLINGS
Is this thing useful?
I'll let you decide. Bar Balance acts somewhat like an X-Ray on bars. The intrabars it analyzes are no secret; one can simply change the chart's resolution to see the same intrabars the indicator uses. What the indicator brings to traders is the precise count of up/down/neutral intrabars and, more importantly, the calculations it derives from them to present the information in a way that can make it easier to use in trading decisions.
How reliable is Bar Balance information?
By the same token that an up bar does not guarantee that more up bars will follow, future price movements cannot be inferred from the mere count of up/down/neutral intrabars. Price movement during any chart bar for which, let's say, 12 intrabars are analyzed, could be due to only one of those intrabars. One can thus easily see how only relying on bar balance information could be very misleading. The rationale behind Bar Balance is that when the information mined for multiple chart bars is aggregated, it can provide insight into the history behind chart bars, and thus some bias as to the strength of movements. An up chart bar where 11/12 intrabars are also up is assumed to be stronger than the same up bar where only 2/12 intrabars are up. This logic is not bulletproof, and sometimes Bar Balance will stray. Also, keep in mind that balance lines do not represent price momentum as RSI would. Bar Balance calculations have no idea where price is. Their perspective, like that of any historian, is very limited, constrained that it is to the narrow universe of up/down/neutral intrabar counts. You will thus see instances where price is moving up while Balance Momentum, for example, is moving down. When Bar Balance performs as intended, this indicates that the rally is weakening, which does necessarily imply that price will reverse. Occasionally, price will merrily continue to advance on weakening strength.
Divergences
Most of the divergence detection methods used here rely on a difference between the bias of a calculation involving a multi-bar average and a given bar's price direction. When using "Bar Balance on Bar" however, only the bar's balance and price movement are used. This is the default mode.
As usual, divergences are points of interest because they reveal imbalances, which may or may not become turning points. I do not share the overwhelming enthusiasm traders have for the purported ability of bullish/bearish divergences to indicate imminent reversals.
Superfluity
In "The Bed of Procrustes", Nassim Nicholas Taleb writes: To bankrupt a fool, give him information . Bar Balance can display lots of information. While learning to use a new indicator inevitably requires an adaptation period where we put it through its paces and try out all its options, once you have become used to Bar Balance and decide to adopt it, rigorously eliminate the components you don't use and configure the remaining ones so their visual prominence reflects their relative importance in your analysis. I tried to provide flexible options for traders to control this indicator's visuals for that exact reason—not for window dressing.
█ NOTES
For traders
• To avoid misleading traders who don't read script descriptions, the indicator shows nothing in the realtime bar.
• The Data Window shows key values for the indicator.
• All gradients used in this indicator determine their brightness intensities using advances/declines in the signal—not their relative position in a fixed scale.
• Note that because of the way gradients are optimized internally, changing their brightness will sometimes require bringing down the value a few steps before you see an impact.
• Because this indicator does not use volume, it will work on all markets.
For coders
• For those interested in gradients, this script uses an advanced version of the Advance/Decline gradient function from the PineCoders Color Gradient (16 colors) Framework . It allows more precise control over the range, steps and min/max values of the gradients.
• I use the PineCoders Coding Conventions for Pine to write my scripts.
• I used functions modified from the PineCoders MTF Selection Framework for the selection of timeframes.
█ THANKS TO:
— alexgrover who helped me think through the dampening method used to attenuate signal lines on high ratios of neutral intrabars.
— A guy called Kuan who commented on a Backtest Rookies presentation of their Volume Profile indicator . The technique I use to inspect intrabars is derived from Kuan's code.
— theheirophant , my partner in the exploration of the sometimes weird abysses of `security()`’s behavior at intrabar resolutions.
— midtownsk8rguy , my brilliant companion in mining the depths of Pine graphics. He is also the co-author of the PineCoders Color Gradient Frameworks .
Cradle zone with BBand & SARHi All,
I have combined a number of indicators all into this 1 option.
It has the following:
> The Cradle zone represents a methodology to using the 10 and 20 EMA's at your selected time-frame.
Where the shading between the 10 and 20 EMA is green for an uptrend and red for a downtrend.
Default EMAs
10, 12, 20, and 50
> Those who are familiar using the Cradle method will find this option convenient.
> I have also added the Bollinger Band and Parabolic SAR as additional options to this item, to help give additional information by default.
Good luck with your trading strategy.
Please don't forget to give me a tick\like, as I would appreciate it.
Regards,
S.Sari /CryptoProspa
Congestion Index by KatsanosCONGESTION INDEX
Market movements can be characterized by two distinct types or phases. In the first, the market shows trending movements which have a directional bias over a period of time. The second type of market behavior is periodic or cyclic motion, where the market shows no consistent directional bias and trades between two levels. This type of market results in the failure of trend-following indicators and the success of overbought/oversold oscillators. Both phases of the market require the use of different types of indicator. Trending markets need trend-following indicators such as moving averages, moving average convergence/divergence (MACD), and so on. Trading range markets need oscillators such as the relative strength index (RSI) and stochastics, which use overbought and oversold levels. The age-old problem for many trading systems is their inability to determine if a trending or trading range market is at hand. Trend-following indicators, such as the MACD or moving averages, tend to be whipsawed as markets enter a nontrending congestion phase. On the other hand, oscillators (which work well during trading range markets) are often too early to buy or sell in a trending market. Thus, identifying the market phase and selecting the appropriate indicators is critical to a system’s success. The congestion index attempts to identify the market’s character by dividing the actual percentage that the market has changed in the past x days by the extreme range according to the following formula:
Readings between+20 and−20indicate congestion or oscillating mode. Crossing over the 20 line from below indicates the start of a rising trend. Conversely, the start of a down turn is indicated by crossing under−20 from above. The CI can also be used as an overbought/oversold oscillator.
It was taken from İntermarket Trading Strategies book of by Markos Katsanos.Read the book.
D1:=Input(“DAYS IN CONGESTION”,1,500,15);
CI:=ROC(C,D1-1,%)/((HHV(H,D1)-LLV(L,D1))/(LLV(L,D1)+.01)+.000001);
Mov ( CI ,3,E)
(Copyright Markos Katsanos 2008)
