ETH Gravity OscillatorThis indicator is a deviation of a Center of Gravity Oscillator corrected for the diminishing returns of Ethereum.
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe . The indicator oscillates between 0 and 10, where 0 indicates oversold conditions and 10 indicates overbought conditions. What is interesting is that it is not particularly ideal for identifying market cycle tops, but generally picks out the most euphoric region in the initial parabolic rally. Good to potentially keep in mind if there is a second bounce to the peak!
The indicator plots in any ETH charts. It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
Made at the request of a kind commenter. If you would like to request different derivations of this script be sure to let me know!
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Cycle"
TASC 2025.02 Autocorrelation Indicator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Autocorrelation Indicator introduced by John Ehlers in the "Drunkard's Walk: Theory And Measurement By Autocorrelation" article from the February 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . The indicator calculates the autocorrelation of a price series across several lags to construct a periodogram , which traders can use to identify market cycles, trends, and potential reversal patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Drunkard's walk
A drunkard's walk , formally known as a random walk , is a type of stochastic process that models the evolution of a system or variable through successive random steps.
In his article, John Ehlers relates this model to market data. He discusses two first- and second-order partial differential equations, modified for discrete (non-continuous) data, that can represent solutions to the discrete random walk problem: the diffusion equation and the wave equation. According to Ehlers, market data takes on a mixture of two "modes" described by these equations. He theorizes that when "diffusion mode" is dominant, trading success is almost a matter of luck, and when "wave mode" is dominant, indicators may have improved performance.
Pink spectrum
John Ehlers explains that many recent academic studies affirm that market data has a pink spectrum , meaning the power spectral density of the data is proportional to the wavelengths it contains, like pink noise . A random walk with a pink spectrum suggests that the states of the random variable are correlated and not independent. In other words, the random variable exhibits long-range dependence with respect to previous states.
Autocorrelation function (ACF)
Autocorrelation measures the correlation of a time series with a delayed copy, or lag , of itself. The autocorrelation function (ACF) is a method that evaluates autocorrelation across a range of lags , which can help to identify patterns, trends, and cycles in stochastic market data. Analysts often use ACF to detect and characterize long-range dependence in a time series.
The Autocorrelation Indicator evaluates the ACF of market prices over a fixed range of lags, expressing the results as a color-coded heatmap representing a dynamic periodogram. Ehlers suggests the information from the periodogram can help traders identify different market behaviors, including:
Cycles : Distinguishable as repeated patterns in the periodogram.
Reversals : Indicated by sharp vertical changes in the periodogram when the indicator uses a short data length .
Trends : Indicated by increasing correlation across lags, starting with the shortest, over time.
█ USAGE
This script calculates the Autocorrelation Indicator on an input "Source" series, smoothed by Ehlers' UltimateSmoother filter, and plots several color-coded lines to represent the periodogram's information. Each line corresponds to an analyzed lag, with the shortest lag's line at the bottom of the pane. Green hues in the line indicate a positive correlation for the lag, red hues indicate a negative correlation (anticorrelation), and orange or yellow hues mean the correlation is near zero.
Because Pine has a limit on the number of plots for a single indicator, this script divides the periodogram display into three distinct ranges that cover different lags. To see the full periodogram, add three instances of this script to the chart and set the "Lag range" input for each to a different value, as demonstrated in the chart above.
With a modest autocorrelation length, such as 20 on a "1D" chart, traders can identify seasonal patterns in the price series, which can help to pinpoint cycles and moderate trends. For instance, on the daily ES1! chart above, the indicator shows repetitive, similar patterns through fall 2023 and winter 2023-2024. The green "triangular" shape rising from the zero lag baseline over different time ranges corresponds to seasonal trends in the data.
To identify turning points in the price series, Ehlers recommends using a short autocorrelation length, such as 2. With this length, users can observe sharp, sudden shifts along the vertical axis, which suggest potential turning points from upward to downward or vice versa.
CVDD Z-ScoreCumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered for a top when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension. For the bottoms, the CVDD is shifted upwards at a default value of 120%. The slope, intercept, and CVDD bottom shift can all be modified in the script.
Now with the automatic Z-Score calculation for ease of classification of Bitcoin's valuation according to this metric.
Created for TRW.
Goichi Hosoda TheoryGreetings to traders. I offer you an indicator for trading according to the Ichimoku Kinho Hyo trading system. This indicator determines possible time cycles of price reversal and expected asset price values based on the theory of waves and time cycles by Goichi Hosoda.
The indicator contains classic price levels N, V, E and NT, and is supplemented with intermediate levels V+E, V+N, N+NT and x2, x3, x4 for levels V and E, which are used in cases where the wave does not contain corrections and there is no possibility to update the impulse-corrective wave.
A function for counting bars from points A B and C has also been added.
Advanced Multi-Seasonality StrategyThe Multi-Seasonality Strategy is a trading system based on seasonal market patterns. Seasonality refers to recurring market trends driven by predictable calendar-based events. These patterns emerge due to economic cycles, corporate activities (e.g., earnings reports), and investor behavior around specific times of the year. Studies have shown that such effects can influence asset prices over defined periods, leading to opportunities for traders who exploit these patterns (Hirshleifer, 2001; Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
How the Strategy Works:
The strategy allows the user to define four distinct periods within a calendar year. For each period, the trader selects:
Entry Date (Month and Day): The date to enter the trade.
Holding Period: The number of trading days to remain in the trade after the entry.
Trade Direction: Whether to take a long or short position during that period.
The system is designed with flexibility, enabling the user to activate or deactivate each of the four periods. The idea is to take advantage of seasonal patterns, such as buying during historically strong periods and selling during weaker ones. A well-known example is the "Sell in May and Go Away" phenomenon, which suggests that stock returns are higher from November to April and weaker from May to October (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Seasonality in Financial Markets:
Seasonal effects have been documented across different asset classes and markets:
Equities: Stock markets tend to exhibit higher returns during certain months, such as the "January effect," where prices rise after year-end tax-loss selling (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987).
Commodities: Agricultural commodities often follow seasonal planting and harvesting cycles, which impact supply and demand patterns (Fama & French, 1987).
Forex: Currency pairs may show strength or weakness during specific quarters based on macroeconomic factors, such as fiscal year-end flows or central bank policy decisions.
Scientific Basis:
Research shows that market anomalies like seasonality are linked to behavioral biases and institutional practices. For example, investors may respond to tax incentives at the end of the year, and companies may engage in window dressing (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987). Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as monetary policy shifts and holiday trading volumes, can also contribute to predictable seasonal trends (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Risks of Seasonal Trading:
While the strategy seeks to exploit predictable patterns, there are inherent risks:
Market Changes: Seasonal effects observed in the past may weaken or disappear as market conditions evolve. Increased algorithmic trading, globalization, and policy changes can reduce the reliability of historical patterns (Lo, 2004).
Overfitting: One of the risks in seasonal trading is overfitting the strategy to historical data. A pattern that worked in the past may not necessarily work in the future, especially if it was based on random chance or external factors that no longer apply (Sullivan, Timmermann, & White, 1999).
Liquidity and Volatility: Trading during specific periods may expose the trader to low liquidity, especially around holidays or earnings seasons, leading to slippage and larger-than-expected price swings.
Economic and Geopolitical Shocks: External events such as pandemics, wars, or political instability can disrupt seasonal patterns, leading to unexpected market behavior.
Conclusion:
The Multi-Seasonality Strategy capitalizes on the predictable nature of certain calendar-based patterns in financial markets. By entering and exiting trades based on well-established seasonal effects, traders can potentially capture short-term profits. However, caution is necessary, as market dynamics can change, and seasonal patterns are not guaranteed to persist. Rigorous backtesting, combined with risk management practices, is essential to successfully implementing this strategy.
References:
Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween Indicator, "Sell in May and Go Away": Another Puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618-1635.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1987). Commodity Futures Prices: Some Evidence on Forecast Power, Premiums, and the Theory of Storage. Journal of Business, 60(1), 55-73.
Haugen, R. A., & Lakonishok, J. (1987). The Incredible January Effect: The Stock Market's Unsolved Mystery. Dow Jones-Irwin.
Hirshleifer, D. (2001). Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing. Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1533-1597.
Lo, A. W. (2004). The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Market Efficiency from an Evolutionary Perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(5), 15-29.
Sullivan, R., Timmermann, A., & White, H. (1999). Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap. Journal of Finance, 54(5), 1647-1691.
This strategy harnesses the power of seasonality but requires careful consideration of the risks and potential changes in market behavior over time.
US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)
Description :
This indicator marks key dates in US presidential history, highlighting both election days and inauguration dates. It's designed to provide historical context to your charts, allowing you to see how major political events align with market movements.
Key Features:
• Displays US presidential elections from 1936 to 2052
• Shows inauguration dates for each president
• Customizable colors and styles for both election and inauguration markers
• Toggle visibility of election and inauguration labels separately
• Adapts to different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly)
• Includes president names for historical context
The indicator uses yellow labels for election days and blue labels for inauguration dates. Election labels show the year and "Election", while inauguration labels display the name of the incoming president.
Customization options include:
• Colors for election and inauguration labels and text
• Line widths for both types of events
• Label placement styles
This tool is perfect for traders and analysts who want to correlate political events with market trends over long periods. It provides a unique perspective on how presidential cycles might influence financial markets.
Note: Future elections (2024 onwards) are marked with a placeholder (✅) as the presidents are not yet known.
Use this indicator to:
• Identify potential market patterns around election cycles
• Analyze historical market reactions to specific presidencies
• Add political context to your long-term chart analysis
Enhance your chart analysis with this comprehensive view of US presidential history!
CVDD - Coin Value Days Destroyed for Bitcoin (BTC) [Logue]Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered for a top when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension. For the bottoms, the CVDD is shifted upwards at a default value of 120%. The slope, intercept, and CVDD bottom shift can all be modified in the script.
Cycle Position TradingTitle: Cycle Position Trading Strategy v1.0
Description: Cycle Position Trading Strategy is a simple yet effective trading strategy based on a 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Users can select between two modes, "Buy Uptrend" and "Buy Downtrend," to customize the strategy according to their trading preferences. The strategy allows users to set their own stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels, providing more flexibility and control over their trades.
Features:
Choose between two trading modes: "Buy Uptrend" and "Buy Downtrend."
Customize your stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels.
Clear visual representation of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the chart.
How to use:
Add the strategy to your chart by searching for "Cycle Position Trading Strategy" in the TradingView "Indicators & Strategies" section.
Configure the strategy settings according to your preferences:
Select the trading mode from the dropdown menu. "Buy Uptrend" will open long positions when the closing price is above the 200-day SMA. "Buy Downtrend" will open long positions when the closing price is below the 200-day SMA.
Set your desired stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels. The default values are 0.9 (10% below the entry price) for the stop loss and 1.1 (10% above the entry price) for the take profit.
Monitor the chart for trade signals based on the chosen mode and settings. The strategy will enter and exit trades automatically based on the selected mode and the configured stop loss and take profit levels.
Analyze the performance of the strategy by checking the TradingView strategy performance summary or by viewing individual trades in the "Trades" list.
Disclaimer: This strategy is intended for educational and illustrative purposes only. Use it at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading stocks, cryptocurrencies, or any other financial instrument involves significant risk and may result in the loss of capital.
Version: v1.0
Release date: 2023-03-25
Author: I11L
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (mozilla.org)
Cycle Channel Oscillator [LazyBear]Here's an oscillator derived from my previous script, Cycle Channel Clone ().
There are 2 oscillator plots - fast & slow. Fast plot shows the price location with in the medium term channel, while slow plot shows the location of short term midline of cycle channel with respect to medium term channel.
Usage of this is similar to %b oscillator. The slow plot can be considered as the signal line.
Bar colors can be enabled via options page. When short plot is above 1.0 or below 0, they are marked purple (both histo and the bar color) to highlight the extreme condition.
This makes use of the default 10/30 values of Cycle Channel, but may need tuning for your instrument.
More info:
List of my free indicators: bit.ly
List of my app-store indicators: blog.tradingview.com (More info: bit.ly)
DTCC RECAPS Dates 2020-2025This is a simple indicator which marks the RECAPS dates of the DTCC, during the periods of 2020 to 2025.
These dates have marked clear settlement squeezes in the past, such as GME's squeeze of January 2021.
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The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) has published the 2025 schedule for its Reconfirmation and Re-pricing Service (RECAPS) through the National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC). RECAPS is a monthly process for comparing and re-pricing eligible equities, municipals, corporate bonds, and Unit Investment Trusts (UITs) that have aged two business days or more .
At its core, the Reconfirmation and Re-pricing Service (RECAPS) is a risk management tool used by the National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC), a subsidiary of the DTCC. Its primary purpose is to reduce the risks associated with aged, unsettled trades in the U.S. securities market .
When a trade is executed, it is sent to the NSCC for clearing and settlement. However, for various reasons, some trades may not settle on their scheduled date and become "aged." These unsettled trades create risk for both the trading parties and the clearinghouse (NSCC) because the value of the underlying securities can change over time. If a trade fails to settle and one of the parties defaults, the NSCC may have to step in to complete the transaction at the current market price, which could result in a loss.
RECAPS mitigates this risk by systematically re-pricing these aged, open trading obligations to the current market value. This process ensures that the financial obligations of the clearing members accurately reflect the present value of the securities, preventing the accumulation of significant, unmanaged market risk .
Detailed Mechanics: How Does it Work?
The RECAPS process revolves around two key dates you asked about: the RECAPS Date and the Settlement Date .
The RECAPS Date: On this day, the NSCC runs a process to identify all eligible trades that have remained unsettled for two business days or more. These "aged" trades are then re-priced to the current market value. This re-pricing is not just a simple recalculation; it generates new settlement instructions. The original, unsettled trade is effectively cancelled and replaced with a new one at the current market price. This is done through the NSCC's Obligation Warehouse.
The Settlement Date: This is typically the business day following the RECAPS date. On this date, the financial settlement of the re-priced trades occurs. The difference in value between the original trade price and the new, re-priced value is settled between the two trading parties. This "mark-to-market" adjustment is processed through the members' settlement accounts at the DTCC.
Essentially, the process ensures that any gains or losses due to price changes in the underlying security are realized and settled periodically, rather than being deferred until the trade is ultimately settled or cancelled.
Are These Dates Used to Check Margin Requirements?
Yes, indirectly, this process is closely tied to managing margin and collateral requirements for NSCC members. Here’s how:
The NSCC requires its members to post collateral to a clearing fund, which acts as a mutualized guarantee against defaults. The amount of collateral each member must provide is calculated based on their potential risk exposure to the clearinghouse.
By re-pricing aged trades to current market values through RECAPS, the NSCC gets a more accurate picture of each member's outstanding obligations and, therefore, their current risk profile. If a member has a large number of unsettled trades that have moved against them in value, the re-pricing will crystallize that loss, which will be settled the next day.
This regular re-pricing and settlement of aged trades prevent the build-up of large, unrealized losses that could increase a member's risk profile beyond what their posted collateral can cover. While RECAPS is not the only mechanism for calculating margin (the NSCC has a complex system for daily margin calls based on overall portfolio risk), it is a crucial component for managing the specific risk posed by aged, unsettled transactions. It ensures that the value of these obligations is kept current, which in turn helps ensure that collateral levels remain adequate.
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Future dates of 2025:
- November 12, 2025 (Wed)
- November 25, 2025 (Tue)
- December 11, 2025 (Thu)
- December 29, 2025 (Mon)
The dates for 2026 haven't been published yet at this time.
The RECAPS process is essentially the industry's way of retrying the settlement of all unresolved FTDs, netting outstanding obligations, and gradually forcing resolution (either delivery or buy-in). Monitoring RECAPS cycles is one way to track the lifecycle, accumulation, and eventual resolution (or persistence) of failures to deliver in the U.S. market.
The US Stock market has become a game of settlement dates and FTDs, therefore this can be useful to track.
Squeeze Hour Frequency [CHE]Squeeze Hour Frequency (ATR-PR) — Standalone — Tracks daily squeeze occurrences by hour to reveal time-based volatility patterns
Summary
This indicator identifies periods of unusually low volatility, defined as squeezes, and tallies their frequency across each hour of the day over historical trading sessions. By aggregating counts into a sortable table, it helps users spot hours prone to these conditions, enabling better scheduling of trading activity to avoid or target specific intraday regimes. Signals gain robustness through percentile-based detection that adapts to recent volatility history, differing from fixed-threshold methods by focusing on relative lowness rather than absolute levels, which reduces false positives in varying market environments.
Motivation: Why this design?
Traders often face uneven intraday volatility, with certain hours showing clustered low-activity phases that precede or follow breakouts, leading to mistimed entries or overlooked calm periods. The core idea of hourly squeeze frequency addresses this by binning low-volatility events into 24 hourly slots and counting distinct daily occurrences, providing a historical profile of when squeezes cluster. This reveals time-of-day biases without relying on real-time alerts, allowing proactive adjustments to session focus.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
- Reference baseline: Classical volatility tools like simple moving average crossovers or fixed ATR thresholds, which flag squeezes uniformly across the day.
- Architecture differences:
- Uses persistent arrays to track one squeeze per hour per day, preventing overcounting within sessions.
- Employs custom sorting on ratio arrays for dynamic table display, prioritizing top or bottom performers.
- Handles timezones explicitly to ensure consistent binning across global assets.
- Practical effect: Charts show a persistent table ranking hours by squeeze share, making intraday patterns immediately visible—such as a top hour capturing over 20 percent of total events—unlike static overlays that ignore temporal distribution, which matters for avoiding low-liquidity traps in crypto or forex.
How it works (technical)
The indicator first computes a rolling volatility measure over a specified lookback period. It then derives a relative ranking of the current value against recent history within a window of bars. A squeeze is flagged when this ranking falls below a user-defined cutoff, indicating the value is among the lowest in the recent sample.
On each bar, the local hour is extracted using the selected timezone. If a squeeze occurs and the bar has price data, the count for that hour increments only if no prior mark exists for the current day, using a persistent array to store the last marked day per hour. This ensures one tally per unique trading day per slot.
At the final bar, arrays compile counts and ratios for all 24 hours, where the ratio represents each hour's share of total squeezes observed. These are sorted ascending or descending based on display mode, and the top or bottom subset populates the table. Background shading highlights live squeezes in red for visual confirmation. Initialization uses zero-filled arrays for counts and negative seeds for day tracking, with state persisting across bars via variable declarations.
No higher timeframe data is pulled, so there is no repaint risk from external fetches; all logic runs on confirmed bars.
Parameter Guide
ATR Length — Controls the lookback for the volatility measure, influencing sensitivity to short-term fluctuations; shorter values increase responsiveness but add noise, longer ones smooth for stability — Default: 14 — Trade-offs/Tips: Use 10-20 for intraday charts to balance quick detection with fewer false squeezes; test on historical data to avoid over-smoothing in trending markets.
Percentile Window (bars) — Sets the history depth for ranking the current volatility value, affecting how "low" is defined relative to past; wider windows emphasize long-term norms — Default: 252 — Trade-offs/Tips: 100-300 bars suit daily cycles; narrower for fast assets like crypto to catch recent regimes, but risks instability in sparse data.
Squeeze threshold (PR < x) — Defines the cutoff for flagging low relative volatility, where values below this mark a squeeze; lower thresholds tighten detection for rarer events — Default: 10.0 — Trade-offs/Tips: 5-15 percent for conservative signals reducing false positives; raise to 20 for more frequent highlights in high-vol environments, monitoring for increased noise.
Timezone — Specifies the reference for hourly binning, ensuring alignment with market sessions — Default: Exchange — Trade-offs/Tips: Set to "America/New_York" for US assets; mismatches can skew counts, so verify against chart timezone.
Show Table — Toggles the results display, essential for reviewing frequencies — Default: true — Trade-offs/Tips: Disable on mobile for performance; pair with position tweaks for clean overlays.
Pos — Places the table on the chart pane — Default: Top Right — Trade-offs/Tips: Bottom Left avoids candle occlusion on volatile charts.
Font — Adjusts text readability in the table — Default: normal — Trade-offs/Tips: Tiny for dense views, large for emphasis on key hours.
Dark — Applies high-contrast colors for visibility — Default: true — Trade-offs/Tips: Toggle false in light themes to prevent washout.
Display — Filters table rows to focus on extremes or full list — Default: All — Trade-offs/Tips: Top 3 for quick scans of risky hours; Bottom 3 highlights safe low-squeeze periods.
Reading & Interpretation
Red background shading appears on bars meeting the squeeze condition, signaling current low relative volatility. The table lists hours as "H0" to "H23", with columns for daily squeeze counts, percentage share of total squeezes (summing to 100 percent across hours), and an arrow marker on the top hour. A summary row above details the peak count, its share, and the leading hour. A label at the last bar recaps total days observed, data-valid days, and top hour stats. Rising shares indicate clustering, suggesting regime persistence in that slot.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
- Trend following: Scan for hours with low squeeze shares to enter during stable regimes; confirm with higher highs or lower lows on the 15-minute chart, avoiding top-share hours post-news like tariff announcements.
- Exits/Stops: Tighten stops in high-share hours to guard against sudden vol spikes; use the table to shift to conservative sizing outside peak squeeze times.
- Multi-asset/Multi-TF: Defaults work across crypto pairs on 5-60 minute timeframes; for stocks, widen percentile window to 500 bars. Combine with volume oscillators—enter only if squeeze count is below average for the asset.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Logic executes on closed bars, with live bars updating counts provisionally but finalizing on confirmation; table refreshes only at the last bar, avoiding intrabar flicker. No security calls or higher timeframes, so no repaint from external data. Resources include a 5000-bar history limit, loops up to 24 iterations for sorting and totals, and arrays sized to 24 elements; labels and table are capped at 500 each for efficiency. Known limits: Skips hours without bars (e.g., weekends), assumes uniform data availability, and may undercount in sparse sessions; timezone shifts can alter profiles without warning.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with ATR Length at 14, Percentile Window at 252, and threshold at 10.0 for broad crypto use. If too many squeezes flag (noisy table), raise threshold to 15.0 and narrow window to 100 for stricter relative lowness. For sluggish detection in calm markets, drop ATR Length to 10 and threshold to 5.0 to capture subtler dips. In high-vol assets, widen window to 500 and threshold to 20.0 for stability.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a historical frequency tracker and visualization layer for intraday volatility patterns, best as a filter in multi-tool setups. It is not a standalone signal generator, predictive model, or risk manager—pair it with price action, news filters, and position sizing rules.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Thanks to Duyck
for the ma sorter
Timebender 369 Time CalculatorOverview
The Timebender Digits indicator visualizes rhythmic price cycles by marking confirmed swing highs and lows with dynamically colored numerical stamps.
Each number is derived from the sum of the current candle’s hour and minute, reduced to a single digit (1–9), providing a visual “time signature” for each structural turn in market flow.
This is a structural-pivot model inspired by LuxAlgo’s swing logic, rebuilt from the ground up in Pine v6 using the Timebender Rulebook framework for flawless compilation and precision label anchoring.
Core Features
Dynamic Swing Detection:
Detects structural highs/lows using ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow(), confirmed after the selected number of bars (len).
Digit Logic (1–9):
Converts the pivot candle’s timestamp into a reduced digit from 1–9, acting as a symbolic rhythm marker.
Phase-Based Coloring:
1-3 → Accumulation (Gray)
4-6 → Manipulation (Green)
7-9 → Distribution (Blue)
Floating or Fixed Labels:
Option to keep digits visually anchored above/below candles (yloc.abovebar/belowbar) or locked to price (yloc.price) with customizable ATR offset.
Clean Visuals:
Transparent background, no boxes, no tooltips — just crisp digits that scale smoothly with zoom.
Master Toggle:
Instantly hide/show all digits without removing the indicator.
Inputs & Customization
Show Digits on Chart: Enable/disable plotting.
Pivot Length: Number of bars used to confirm swings (default 21).
Float Above/Below Bars: Switch between floating or price-anchored mode.
ATR Offset Multiplier: Adjust spacing when price-anchored.
Digit Size: Tiny → Huge (default Large).
Color Controls: Customize the Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution color palette.
Use Cases
Visualize time-based rhythm in market structure.
Identify cyclical energy between accumulation, manipulation, and distribution phases.
Study how market timing aligns with structural swing formation.
Nth Candle by exp3rtsThis lightweight and versatile TradingView indicator highlights every Xth candle on your chart, making it easy to spot cyclical price behavior or track specific intervals in the market.
- Custom Interval – Choose how often candles should be highlighted (e.g., every 5th, 10th, or
20th bar).
- Color Coding – Highlighted candles are shaded green if bullish and red if bearish, giving you
quick visual insights into momentum at those intervals.
- Clean Overlay – The indicator draws directly on your main chart without clutter, so you can
combine it with your favorite setups and strategies.
Use this tool to:
1) Identify repeating patterns and cycles
2) Mark periodic reference candles
3) Support discretionary trading decisions with clear visual cues
Global Liquidity Proxy vs BitcoinGlobal Liquidity Proxy vs Bitcoin. Helps to understand the cycles with liquidty.
US Presidents 1920–2024Description:
This indicator displays all U.S. presidential elections from 1920 to 2024 on your chart.
Features:
Vertical lines at the date of each presidential election.
Line color by party:
Red = Republican
Blue = Democrat
Gray = Other/None
Labels showing the name of each president.
Modern flag style: Presidents from 1900 onward are highlighted as modern, giving clear historical separation.
Fully overlayed on the price chart for timeline context.
Customizable: Label position (above/below bar) and line width.
Use case: Useful for analyzing modern U.S. presidential cycles, market reactions to elections, or quickly referencing recent presidents directly on charts.
Auto-Fit Growth Trendline# **Theoretical Algorithmic Principles of the Auto-Fit Growth Trendline (AFGT)**
## **🎯 What Does This Algorithm Do?**
The Auto-Fit Growth Trendline is an advanced technical analysis system that **automates the identification of long-term growth trends** and **projects future price levels** based on historical cyclical patterns.
### **Primary Functionality:**
- **Automatically detects** the most significant lows in regular periods (monthly, quarterly, semi-annually, annually)
- **Constructs a dynamic trendline** that connects these historical lows
- **Projects the trend into the future** with high mathematical precision
- **Generates Fibonacci bands** that act as dynamic support and resistance levels
- **Automatically adapts** to different timeframes and market conditions
### **Strategic Purpose:**
The algorithm is designed to identify **fundamental value zones** where price has historically found support, enabling traders to:
- Identify optimal entry points for long positions
- Establish realistic price targets based on mathematical projections
- Recognize dynamic support and resistance levels
- Anticipate long-term price movements
---
## **🧮 Core Mathematical Foundations**
### **Adaptive Temporal Segmentation Theory**
The algorithm is based on **dynamic temporal partition theory**, where time is divided into mathematically coherent uniform intervals. It uses modular transformations to create bijective mappings between continuous timestamps and discrete periods, ensuring each temporal point belongs uniquely to a specific period.
**What does this achieve?** It allows the algorithm to automatically identify natural market cycles (annual, quarterly, etc.) without manual intervention, adapting to the inherent periodicity of each asset.
The temporal mapping function implements a **discrete affine transformation** that normalizes different frequencies (monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, annual) to a space of unique identifiers, enabling consistent cross-temporal comparative analysis.
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## **📊 Local Extrema Detection Theory**
### **Multi-Point Retrospective Validation Principle**
Local minima detection is founded on **relative extrema theory with sliding window**. Instead of using a simple minimum finder, it implements a cross-validation system that examines the persistence of the extremum across multiple historical periods.
**What problem does this solve?** It eliminates false minima caused by temporal volatility, identifying only those points that represent true historical support levels with statistical significance.
This approach is based on the **statistical confirmation principle**, where a minimum is only considered valid if it maintains its extremum condition during a defined observation period, significantly reducing false positives caused by transitory volatility.
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## **🔬 Robust Interpolation Theory with Outlier Control**
### **Contextual Adaptive Interpolation Model**
The mathematical core uses **piecewise linear interpolation with adaptive outlier correction**. The key innovation lies in implementing a **contextual anomaly detector** that identifies not only absolute extreme values, but relative deviations to the local context.
**Why is this important?** Financial markets contain extreme events (crashes, bubbles) that can distort projections. This system identifies and appropriately weights them without completely eliminating them, preserving directional information while attenuating distortions.
### **Implicit Bayesian Smoothing Algorithm**
When an outlier is detected (deviation >300% of local average), the system applies a **simplified Kalman filter** that combines the current observation with a local trend estimation, using a weight factor that preserves directional information while attenuating extreme fluctuations.
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## **📈 Stabilized Extrapolation Theory**
### **Exponential Growth Model with Dampening**
Extrapolation is based on a **modified exponential growth model with progressive dampening**. It uses multiple historical points to calculate local growth ratios, implements statistical filtering to eliminate outliers, and applies a dampening factor that increases with extrapolation distance.
**What advantage does this offer?** Long-term projections in finance tend to be exponentially unrealistic. This system maintains short-to-medium term accuracy while converging toward realistic long-term projections, avoiding the typical "exponential explosions" of other methods.
### **Asymptotic Convergence Principle**
For long-term projections, the algorithm implements **controlled asymptotic convergence**, where growth ratios gradually converge toward pre-established limits, avoiding unrealistic exponential projections while preserving short-to-medium term accuracy.
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## **🌟 Dynamic Fibonacci Projection Theory**
### **Continuous Proportional Scaling Model**
Fibonacci bands are constructed through **uniform proportional scaling** of the base curve, where each level represents a linear transformation of the main curve by a constant factor derived from the Fibonacci sequence.
**What is its practical utility?** It provides dynamic resistance and support levels that move with the trend, offering price targets and profit-taking points that automatically adapt to market evolution.
### **Topological Preservation Principle**
The system maintains the **topological properties** of the base curve in all Fibonacci projections, ensuring that spatial and temporal relationships are consistently preserved across all resistance/support levels.
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## **⚡ Adaptive Computational Optimization**
### **Multi-Scale Resolution Theory**
It implements **automatic multi-resolution analysis** where data granularity is dynamically adjusted according to the analysis timeframe. It uses the **adaptive Nyquist principle** to optimize the signal-to-noise ratio according to the temporal observation scale.
**Why is this necessary?** Different timeframes require different levels of detail. A 1-minute chart needs more granularity than a monthly one. This system automatically optimizes resolution for each case.
### **Adaptive Density Algorithm**
Calculation point density is optimized through **adaptive sampling theory**, where calculation frequency is adjusted according to local trend curvature and analysis timeframe, balancing visual precision with computational efficiency.
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## **🛡️ Robustness and Fault Tolerance**
### **Graceful Degradation Theory**
The system implements **multi-level graceful degradation**, where under error conditions or insufficient data, the algorithm progressively falls back to simpler but reliable methods, maintaining basic functionality under any condition.
**What does this guarantee?** That the indicator functions consistently even with incomplete data, new symbols with limited history, or extreme market conditions.
### **State Consistency Principle**
It uses **mathematical invariants** to guarantee that the algorithm's internal state remains consistent between executions, implementing consistency checks that validate data structure integrity in each iteration.
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## **🔍 Key Theoretical Innovations**
### **A. Contextual vs. Absolute Outlier Detection**
It revolutionizes traditional outlier detection by considering not only the absolute magnitude of deviations, but their relative significance within the local context of the time series.
**Practical impact:** It distinguishes between legitimate market movements and technical anomalies, preserving important events like breakouts while filtering noise.
### **B. Extrapolation with Weighted Historical Memory**
It implements a memory system that weights different historical periods according to their relevance for current prediction, creating projections more adaptable to market regime changes.
**Competitive advantage:** It automatically adapts to fundamental changes in asset dynamics without requiring manual recalibration.
### **C. Automatic Multi-Timeframe Adaptation**
It develops an automatic temporal resolution selection system that optimizes signal extraction according to the intrinsic characteristics of the analysis timeframe.
**Result:** A single indicator that functions optimally from 1-minute to monthly charts without manual adjustments.
### **D. Intelligent Asymptotic Convergence**
It introduces the concept of controlled asymptotic convergence in financial extrapolations, where long-term projections converge toward realistic limits based on historical fundamentals.
**Added value:** Mathematically sound long-term projections that avoid the unrealistic extremes typical of other extrapolation methods.
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## **📊 Complexity and Scalability Theory**
### **Optimized Linear Complexity Model**
The algorithm maintains **linear computational complexity** O(n) in the number of historical data points, guaranteeing scalability for extensive time series analysis without performance degradation.
### **Temporal Locality Principle**
It implements **temporal locality**, where the most expensive operations are concentrated in the most relevant temporal regions (recent periods and near projections), optimizing computational resource usage.
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## **🎯 Convergence and Stability**
### **Probabilistic Convergence Theory**
The system guarantees **probabilistic convergence** toward the real underlying trend, where projection accuracy increases with the amount of available historical data, following **law of large numbers** principles.
**Practical implication:** The more history an asset has, the more accurate the algorithm's projections will be.
### **Guaranteed Numerical Stability**
It implements **intrinsic numerical stability** through the use of robust floating-point arithmetic and validations that prevent overflow, underflow, and numerical error propagation.
**Result:** Reliable operation even with extreme-priced assets (from satoshis to thousand-dollar stocks).
---
## **💼 Comprehensive Practical Application**
**The algorithm functions as a "financial GPS"** that:
1. **Identifies where we've been** (significant historical lows)
2. **Determines where we are** (current position relative to the trend)
3. **Projects where we're going** (future trend with specific price levels)
4. **Provides alternative routes** (Fibonacci bands as alternative targets)
This theoretical framework represents an innovative synthesis of time series analysis, approximation theory, and computational optimization, specifically designed for long-term financial trend analysis with robust and mathematically grounded projections.
Adaptive MVRV & RSI Strategy V6 (Dynamic Thresholds)Strategy Explanation
This is an advanced Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for Bitcoin that aims to adapt to long-term market cycles and changing volatility. Instead of relying on fixed buy/sell signals, it uses a dynamic, weighted approach based on a combination of on-chain data and classic momentum.
Core Components:
Dual-Indicator Signal: The strategy combines two powerful indicators for a more robust signal:
MVRV Ratio: An on-chain metric to identify when Bitcoin is fundamentally over or undervalued relative to its historical cost basis.
Weekly RSI: A classic momentum indicator to gauge long-term market strength and identify overbought/oversold conditions.
Dynamic, Self-Adjusting Thresholds: The core innovation of this strategy is that it avoids fixed thresholds (e.g., "sell when RSI is 70"). Instead, the buy and sell zones are dynamically calculated based on a long-term (2-year) moving average and standard deviation of each indicator. This allows the strategy to automatically adapt to Bitcoin's decreasing volatility and changing market structure over time.
Weighted DCA (Scaling In & Out): The strategy doesn't just buy or sell a fixed amount. The size of its trades is scaled based on conviction:
Buying: As the MVRV and RSI fall deeper into their "undervalued" zones, the percentage of available cash used for each purchase increases.
Selling: As the indicators rise further into "overvalued" territory, the percentage of the current position sold also increases.
This creates an adaptive system that systematically accumulates during periods of fear and distributes during periods of euphoria, with the intensity of its actions directly tied to the extremity of market conditions.
ECG chart - mauricioofsousaMGO Primary – Matriz Gráficos ON
The Blockchain of Trading applied to price behavior
The MGO Primary is the foundation of Matriz Gráficos ON — an advanced graphical methodology that transforms market movement into a logical, predictable, and objective sequence, inspired by blockchain architecture and periodic oscillatory phenomena.
This indicator replaces emotional candlestick reading with a mathematical interpretation of price blocks, cycles, and frequency. Its mission is to eliminate noise, anticipate reversals, and clearly show where capital is entering or exiting the market.
What MGO Primary detects:
Oscillatory phenomena that reveal the true behavior of orders in the book:
RPA – Breakout of Bullish Pivot
RPB – Breakout of Bearish Pivot
RBA – Sharp Bullish Breakout
RBB – Sharp Bearish Breakout
Rhythmic patterns that repeat in medium timeframes (especially on 12H and 4H)
Wave and block frequency, highlighting critical entry and exit zones
Validation through Primary and Secondary RSI, measuring the real strength behind movements
Who is this indicator for:
Traders seeking statistical clarity and visual logic
Operators who want to escape the subjectivity of candlesticks
Anyone who values technical precision with operational discipline
Recommended use:
Ideal timeframes: 12H (high precision) and 4H (moderate intensity)
Recommended assets: indices (e.g., NASDAQ), liquid stocks, and futures
Combine with: structured risk management and macro context analysis
Real-world performance:
The MGO12H achieved a 92% accuracy rate in 2025 on the NASDAQ, outperforming the average performance of major global quantitative strategies, with a net score of over 6,200 points for the year.
BUY in HASH RibbonsHash Ribbons Indicator (BUY Signal)
A TradingView Pine Script v6 implementation for identifying Bitcoin miner capitulation (“Springs”) and recovery phases based on hash rate data. It marks potential low-risk buying opportunities by tracking short- and long-term moving averages of the network hash rate.
⸻
Key Features
• Hash Rate SMAs
• Short-term SMA (default: 30 days)
• Long-term SMA (default: 60 days)
• Phase Markers
• Gray circle: Short SMA crosses below long SMA (start of capitulation)
• White circles: Ongoing capitulation, with brighter white when the short SMA turns upward
• Yellow circle: Short SMA crosses back above long SMA (end of capitulation)
• Orange circle: Buy signal once hash rate recovery aligns with bullish price momentum (10-day price SMA crosses above 20-day price SMA)
• Display Modes
• Ribbons: Plots the two SMAs as colored bands—red for capitulation, green for recovery
• Oscillator: Shows the percentage difference between SMAs as a histogram (red for negative, blue for positive)
• Optional Overlays
• Bitcoin halving dates (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) with dashed lines and labels
• Raw hash rate data in EH/s
• Alerts
• Configurable alerts for capitulation start, recovery, and buy signals
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How It Works
1. Data Source: Fetches daily hash rate values from a selected provider (e.g., IntoTheBlock, Quandl).
2. Capitulation Detection: When the 30-day SMA falls below the 60-day SMA, miners are likely capitulating.
3. Recovery Identification: A rising 30-day SMA during capitulation signals miner recovery.
4. Buy Signal: Confirmed when the hash rate recovery coincides with a bullish shift in price momentum (10-day price SMA > 20-day price SMA).
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Inputs
Hash Rate Short SMA: 30 days
Hash Rate Long SMA: 60 days
Plot Signals: On
Plot Halvings: Off
Plot Raw Hash Rate: Off
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Considerations
• Timeframe: Best applied on daily charts to capture meaningful miner behavior.
• Data Reliability: Ensure the chosen hash rate source provides consistent, gap-free data.
• Risk Management: Use alongside other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and fundamental analysis.
• Backtesting: Evaluate performance over different market cycles before live deployment.
Economy RadarEconomy Radar — Key US Macro Indicators Visualized
A handy tool for traders and investors to monitor major US economic data in one chart.
Includes:
Inflation: CPI, PCE, yearly %, expectations
Monetary policy: Fed funds rate, M2 money supply
Labor market: Unemployment, jobless claims, consumer sentiment
Economy & markets: GDP, 10Y yield, US Dollar Index (DXY)
Options:
Toggle indicators on/off
Customizable colors
Tooltips explain each metric (in Russian & English)
Perfect for spotting economic cycles and supporting trading decisions.
Add to your chart and get a clear macro picture instantly!
[Mustang Algo] Channel Strategy# Mustang Algo Channel Strategy - Universal Market Sentiment Oscillator
## 🎯 ORIGINAL CONCEPT
This strategy employs a unique market sentiment oscillator that works on ALL financial assets. It uses Bitcoin supply dynamics combined with stablecoin market capitalization as a macro sentiment indicator to generate universal timing signals across stocks, forex, commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies.
## 🌐 UNIVERSAL APPLICATION
- **Any Asset Class:** Stocks, Forex, Commodities, Indices, Crypto, Bonds
- **Market-Wide Timing:** BTC/Stablecoin ratio serves as a global risk sentiment gauge
- **Cross-Market Signals:** Trade any instrument using macro liquidity conditions
- **Ecosystem Approach:** One oscillator for all financial markets
## 🧮 METHODOLOGY
**Core Calculation:** BTC Supply / (Combined Stablecoin Market Cap / BTC Price)
- **Data Sources:** DAI + USDT + USDC market capitalizations
- **Signal Generation:** RSI(14) applied to the ratio, double-smoothed with WMA
- **Timing Logic:** Crossover signals filtered by overbought/oversold zones
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Configurable timeframe analysis (default: Daily)
## 📈 TRADING STRATEGY
**LONG Entries:** Bullish crossover when market sentiment is oversold (<48)
**SHORT Entries:** Bearish crossover when market sentiment is overbought (>55)
**Universal Timing:** These macro signals apply to trading any financial instrument
## ⚙️ FLEXIBLE RISK MANAGEMENT
**Three SL/TP Calculation Modes:**
- **Percentage Mode:** Traditional % based (4% SL, 12% TP default)
- **Ticks Mode:** Precise tick-based calculation (50/150 ticks default)
- **Pips Mode:** Forex-style pip calculation (50/150 pips default)
**Realistic Parameters:**
- Commission: 0.1% (adjustable for different asset classes)
- Slippage: 2 ticks
- Position sizing: 10% of equity (conservative)
- No pyramiding (single position management)
## 📊 KEY ADVANTAGES
✅ **Universal Application:** One strategy for all asset classes
✅ **Macro Foundation:** Based on global liquidity and risk sentiment
✅ **False Signal Filtering:** Overbought/oversold zones reduce noise
✅ **Flexible Risk Management:** Multiple SL/TP calculation methods
✅ **No Lookahead Bias:** Clean backtesting with realistic results
✅ **Cross-Market Correlation:** Captures broad market risk cycles
## 🎛️ CONFIGURATION GUIDE
1. **Asset Selection:** Apply to stocks, forex, commodities, indices, crypto
2. **Timeframe Setup:** Daily recommended for swing trading
3. **Sentiment Bounds:** Adjust 48/55 levels based on market volatility
4. **Risk Management:** Choose appropriate SL/TP mode for your asset class
5. **Direction Filter:** Select Long Only, Short Only, or Both
## 📋 BACKTESTING STANDARDS
**Compliant with TradingView Guidelines:**
- ✅ Realistic commission structure (0.1% default)
- ✅ Appropriate slippage modeling (2 ticks)
- ✅ Conservative position sizing (10% equity)
- ✅ Sustainable risk ratios (1:3 SL/TP)
- ✅ No lookahead bias (proper historical simulation)
- ✅ Sufficient sample size potential (100+ trades possible)
## 🔬 ORIGINAL RESEARCH
This strategy introduces a revolutionary approach to financial markets by treating the BTC/Stablecoin ratio as a global risk sentiment gauge. Unlike traditional indicators that analyze individual asset price action, this oscillator captures macro liquidity flows that affect ALL financial markets - from stocks to forex to commodities.
## 🎯 MARKET APPLICATIONS
**Stocks & Indices:** Risk-on/risk-off sentiment timing
**Forex:** Global liquidity flow analysis for major pairs
**Commodities:** Risk appetite for inflation hedges
**Bonds:** Flight-to-safety vs. risk-seeking behavior
**Crypto:** Native application with direct correlation
## ⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
- Designed for intermediate to long-term trading across all timeframes
- Market sentiment can remain extreme longer than expected
- Always use appropriate position sizing for your specific asset class
- Adjust commission and slippage settings for different markets
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
## 🚀 INNOVATION SUMMARY
**What makes this strategy unique:**
- First to use BTC/Stablecoin ratio as universal market sentiment indicator
- Applies macro-economic principles to technical analysis across all assets
- Single oscillator provides timing signals for entire financial ecosystem
- Bridges traditional finance with digital asset insights
- Combines fundamental liquidity analysis with technical precision
RSI - PRIMARIO -mauricioofsousa
MGO Primary – Matriz Gráficos ON
The Blockchain of Trading applied to price behavior
The MGO Primary is the foundation of Matriz Gráficos ON — an advanced graphical methodology that transforms market movement into a logical, predictable, and objective sequence, inspired by blockchain architecture and periodic oscillatory phenomena.
This indicator replaces emotional candlestick reading with a mathematical interpretation of price blocks, cycles, and frequency. Its mission is to eliminate noise, anticipate reversals, and clearly show where capital is entering or exiting the market.
What MGO Primary detects:
Oscillatory phenomena that reveal the true behavior of orders in the book:
RPA – Breakout of Bullish Pivot
RPB – Breakout of Bearish Pivot
RBA – Sharp Bullish Breakout
RBB – Sharp Bearish Breakout
Rhythmic patterns that repeat in medium timeframes (especially on 12H and 4H)
Wave and block frequency, highlighting critical entry and exit zones
Validation through Primary and Secondary RSI, measuring the real strength behind movements
Who is this indicator for:
Traders seeking statistical clarity and visual logic
Operators who want to escape the subjectivity of candlesticks
Anyone who values technical precision with operational discipline
Recommended use:
Ideal timeframes: 12H (high precision) and 4H (moderate intensity)
Recommended assets: indices (e.g., NASDAQ), liquid stocks, and futures
Combine with: structured risk management and macro context analysis
Real-world performance:
The MGO12H achieved a 92% accuracy rate in 2025 on the NASDAQ, outperforming the average performance of major global quantitative strategies, with a net score of over 6,200 points for the year.
Sun Moon Conjunctions Trine Oppositions 2025this script is an astrological tool designed to overlay significant Sun-Moon aspect events for 2025 on a Bitcoin chart. It highlights key lunar phases and aspects—Conjunctions (New Moon) in blue, Squares in red, Oppositions (Full Moon) in purple, and Trines in green—using background colors and labeled markers. Users can toggle visibility for each aspect type and adjust label sizes via customizable inputs. The script accurately marks events from January through December 2025, with labels appearing once per event, making it a valuable resource for exploring potential correlations between lunar cycles and Bitcoin price movements.
