NCTA Cycle FinderCycle Finder
The NCTA Cycle Finder is one of three technical indicators that are part of the Profit Flow Analytics.
New Cycle Trading and Analytics is a group of traders creating market analytics for traders. The objective is to take complex combinations of multiple technical pattern indicators and present to the trader a simple, single entry signal.
The NCTA Cycle Finder is designed to identify the beginning of new, trending cycles. It is excellent in short 1, 3, and 5 minute timeframes for futures traders and short term options traders. Longer timeframes such as the 5, 10, and 30 minute timeframes work well for options traders.
This indicator consists of a simple, single entry indicator designed to provide an entry very close to the shift on the intra-day cycle. It provides a warning that a cycle shift may be coming by printing a grey bar. Bars above the zero line imply a possible new long cycle developing. Grey bars below the zero line imply a possible new short cycle is developing.
Once the indicator has confirmed a new cycle is developing, a dark blue or red bar will print. Dark blue above the zero line is the trader’s signal to go long. A dark red signal below the zero line is the traders signal to go short. The indicator is designed to filter out false signals and provide the trader with an optimum timing of capturing an entry/exit very close to the beginning / ending of a cycle.
Using the NCTA Cycle Finder, the Profit Flow Oscillator, and Trend Consensus indicators together, offers traders an opportunity to lock in profits and enter the same trending cycle more than one time. This is an excellent opportunity to open trend continuation trades. The NCTA Cycle Finder is excellent when used across more than one timeframe to confirm alignment. For example, monitoring the 5 minute signals and confirming alignment with the 1 minute chart improves the probability of entering a profitable trade.
HOW TO USE: Use the grey bar prints to be ready for a signal and the possible direction. Go long when a blue bar appears and go short when a red bar appears. The print of these signals very closely identify the beginning of a new cycle
The NCTA Cycle Finder, which is part of the Profit Flow Analytics set of indicators, is traded in a live trading room every market day, hosted by our friends at Options Money Maker.
To learn more about the NCTA Cycle Finder and the other two indicators, which are part of Profit Flow Analytics, use the following link:
www.newcycletrading.com
NQZ2019
SP:SPX
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Cycle"
Vicious Cycle by Cryptorhythms [CR]Vicious Cycle by Cryptorhythms
Intro
I have been working on this one for a few months now, bringing our flagship indicator Bull Bear Filter up to date with new ideas and algorithms to clarify cyclical trend components in any time series data.
Description
This indicator has no settings that the user needs to change. It is completely adaptive and dynamic to any market, timeframe, or time series data. The goal was to create a tool that isolated cyclical waveforms, making it easier to follow a noisy market. Keep in mind, its not RSI, Stoch, Ehlers or anything else - its a completely new DSP method that I created myself. You can only get the Vicious Cycle from CR!
Private
This indicator is reserved for our members only to prevent the alpha decay as long as possible. You can view my signature at the bottom of this post for more information on membership.
Examples
Here I will list a number of examples screenshots across markets and timeframes. Remember, NO SETTINGS WERE CHANGED at all for these screenshots. As you can see its quite a versatile tool!
BITCOIN
XBTUSD 20Min
XBTUSD 4H
XBTUSD 6H
GOLD
XAUUSD 2D
XAUUSD 4H
FOREX
EURUSD 3 Min
EURUSD 30 Min
GBPJPY 1H
USDJPY 12H
STOCKS
TSLA 1D
AMD 1D
SPY 1D
VIX 12H
OIL
USDWTI 3D
USDWTI 2H
USOIL 15 Min
Ehlers Cyber Cycle [CC]The Cyber Cycle was created by John Ehlers (Cybernetic Analysis For Stocks And Futures pg 34) and this is one of my favorite Ehlers indicators. I use it personally for exits but it has several uses. It gives great entry and exit signals when you enter when it is at the bottom or at the very top during a cycle. When it is above 0 then the stock is in a strong uptrend and when it is below 0 then the stock is in a strong downtrend. It is also very reactive as well with zero lag according to Ehlers. Buy when the indicator line is green and sell when it is red.
Let me know if there are other scripts you would like to see me publish or if you want something custom done!
60-Day Cycle Long-Only IndicatorThe following indicator generates ‘Buy’ signals based on rotating 60-day cycles. The general theory is that when buying strong, growth-oriented assets, 60-day micro-cycles culminate into larger macro-cycles.
Summary:
Explaining the Upper and Lower Bounds in the 60-Day Cycle Strategy:
1. Cycle High (Upper Bound):
The cycle high is the highest closing price of the asset over the past 60 days. This value acts as the upper boundary of the 60-day cycle, indicating the peak price level during this period. When the current closing price is above this boundary, it suggests a potential distribution phase, where the asset might be overbought, and larger players may be selling off their positions. In the strategy, the cycle high is plotted as a red line on the chart, helping traders visually identify the upper limit of the 60-day trading range.
2. Cycle Low (Lower Bound):
The cycle low is the lowest closing price of the asset over the past 60 days. This value acts as the lower boundary of the 60-day cycle, indicating the trough price level during this period. When the current closing price is below this boundary, it suggests a potential accumulation phase, where the asset might be oversold, and larger players may be accumulating positions at lower prices. In the strategy, the cycle low is plotted as an orange line on the chart, helping traders visually identify the lower limit of the 60-day trading range.
How These Bounds Are Calculated:
• Cycle High: Calculated using the highest closing price over the last 60 trading days. In Pine Script, this is achieved with the function ta.highest(close, cycle_length), where cycle_length is set to 60 days.
• Cycle Low: Calculated using the lowest closing price over the last 60 trading days. In Pine Script, this is achieved with the function ta.lowest(close, cycle_length), where cycle_length is set to 60 days.
Interpretation and Application:
• Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the closing price crosses above the cycle low. This indicates a potential end to the bearish phase and the start of a bullish trend.
• Distribution Phase: When the closing price crosses above the cycle high, it suggests the market is in a distribution phase, potentially signaling a bearish trend or a sell-off period.
Example:
On a trading chart, the cycle high and cycle low are plotted as horizontal lines, with their colors distinguishing them (red for cycle high and orange for cycle low). These lines create a visual range within which the asset's price has moved over the last 60 days, helping traders quickly assess whether the current price is near the upper or lower bound.
By identifying and plotting these upper and lower bounds, traders can better understand the current market phase and make more informed trading decisions based on the 60-day cycle strategy. This indicator can be used across various assets.
Moving Average CyclesMoving Average Cycles Indicator
Description:
The Moving Average Cycles indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify and analyze bullish and bearish cycles based on price movements relative to a moving average. This indicator offers valuable insights into market trends and potential reversal points.
Key Features:
Customizable Moving Average: Users can adjust the MA period and resolution (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) to suit their trading style.
Cycle Identification: The indicator tracks bull and bear cycles, providing visual cues through color-coded histograms.
Comprehensive Metrics: A detailed table displays crucial cycle statistics, including:
Current cycle information (candles and % distance from MA)
Maximum and average cycle lengths (in candles)
Maximum and average percentage distances from the MA
How to Use:
Apply the indicator to your chart and adjust the MA period and resolution as needed.
Green histograms represent bullish cycles, while red histograms indicate bearish cycles.
Use the metrics table to gain insights into historical cycle behavior and current market positioning.
This indicator is designed to complement your existing trading strategy by providing a clear visual representation of market cycles and detailed statistical information. It can be particularly useful for identifying potential trend reversals and gauging the strength of current trends compared to the past.
Note: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This indicator is meant for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always combine multiple analysis tools and conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Feel free to use and modify it, but please provide appropriate credit if you build upon this work.
I hope you find this Moving Average Cycles indicator helpful in your trading journey. If you have any questions or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to leave a comment below.
Leonid's Bitcoin Full Cycle Simple SMA IndicatorThis is a straight-forward and customizable indicator to track Bitcoin cycles, specifically used for helping investors understand where to buy and sell. This is done by using a two year SMA period as the base calculation. With that calculation you create lower and upper bounds for bull market peaks and bear market bottoms.
The novel idea here is that you can customize the SMA "strength" for both the upper and lower bounds as alpha decays over time and price get's less volatile with adoption increasing. The multiples are customizable for both the upper and lower bounds along with a mid-line that will adjust based on the settings input.
Indicators don't always have to rely on crazy math or outlandish ideas to be useful, sometimes even the simplest of inputs can give investors (especially those that are new) a great base case for their strategy. Something being simple does not diminish the idea or strength behind the data.
How to use this indicator: This script must be used on INDEX:BTCUSD (Bitcoin All-Time History Index) with the y-axis being set to Logarithmic scale.
Details & how to interpret: The price is colored green when Bitcoin enters a "value zone" meaning it is heavily oversold and likely near a bottom for the bear market cycle. The price is colored red when Bitcoin enters an "overbought zone" meaning it is heavily overbought and is likely near a top for the bull market cycle.
Along with the upper and lower bound I have plotted a mid-line (in orange) to establish a neutral zone which helps depict what phase of the cycle we're in (under mid-line = bearish/accumulation phase, over mid-line = bullish/distribution phase).
The inputs for the upper and lower bound are customizable and will need to be adjusted over time as alpha decay will occur as time goes on. Currently the numbers are as follows:
0.2 for the lower bound
4.675 for the upper bound
Both inputs can be modified depending on your risk tolerance. Mathematically it is safe to assume these numbers will decrease as time goes on and volatility during cycle peaks & troughs is reduced.
I've also plotted an upper bound "heat zone" which is shaded in green, this area is great for signaling when you should be preparing to begin taking profits. It takes the upper bound and subtracts the lower bound to derive the band.
All the colors are customizable and this indicator is best used on a line chart but can be customized to use on a bar chart/candlestick as well.
Simple Moving Averages are a very basic indicator but are often extremely powerful because the majority of traders/investors are looking at such levels which creates a psychological/herd effect. Another good example is the law of round numbers.
Regardless this script can be adapted with EMAs or additional standard deviations if necessary. If you have any questions or concerns please don't hesitate to message me.
Ehlers Adaptive Cyber Cycle [CC]The Adaptive Cyber Cycle was created by John Ehlers and this is a cycle based indicator which you don't find too many of these days. Each stock goes through cycles which are repeating patterns of price movement and cycle indicators help you find the timing of the cycle to capitalize on the underlying cycle. That is an extremely simple explanation but most importantly don't interpret these indicators as the same as other indicators because it may seem like there are very many false signals but that is because of the different cycles the stock is undergoing. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish.
AnarchoEconomy 9-11 Weeks CyclesThis script is, with pleasure, written for the @AnarchoEconomy with his logic and strategy.
TO BE USED ONLY ON 1 WEEK TIMEFRAME!
1. Set the date in the settings to choose the all-time high on your pair.
2. The indicator divides price action into cycles.
3. A bullish cycle lasts 9 weeks.
4. A bearish cycle lasts 11 weeks.
5. A table displays the current symbol, trend, and week count.
For every next closed bullish cycle, you should know that the next two weeks could turn it into the bearish. If not, the new cycle will restart after 9 weeks of bullish close.
TopTenAlgo 8. Elliottwave Cycle EN: The Elliottwaves Cycle Oscillator is an indicator that allows the detection of impulsive (impulsive / ascend) or corrective (correction / fall) waves, ie each cycle (cycle) in Elliott Waves . The aim is to measure the speed of a real trend and to predict returns. In the uptrend or impulsive movement, Cycle continues its movement in the upper band after the price is set on a certain band, while in the downtrend or corrective move, the Cycle continues its movement in the lower band.
This algorithm is prepared with @Top10Algo ...
TR: Elliottwaves Cycle Osilatörü Elliott Dalgalarında ki impulsive (itkisel/yükseliş) yada corrective (düzeltme/düşüş) dalgaların yani her bir siklus’ un (cycle) önceden tespit edilmesini sağlayan bir göstergedir. Amaç gerçek bir trendin hızını ölçmek ve geri dönüşleri önceden tespit etmektir. Yükseliş trendi içinde yada impulsive bir harekette fiyat belli bir banda oturduktan sonra Cycle üst band’ da hareketine devam ederken, düşüş trendi içinde yada corrective bir harekette fiyat belli bir banda oturduktan sonra Cycle alt bandda hareketine devam eder.
Bu algoritma @Top10Algo ile beraber hazırlanmıştır...
Better RSI with bullish / bearish market cycle indicator This script improves the default RSI. First. it identifies regions of the RSI which are oversold and overbought by changing the color of RSI from white to red. Second, it adds additional reference lines at 20,40,50,60, and 80 to better gauge the RSI value. Finally, the coolest feature, the middle 50 line is used to indicate which cycle the price is currently at. A green color at the 50 line indicates a bullish cycle, a red color indicators a bearish cycle, and a white color indicates a neutral cycle.
The cycles are determined using the RSI as follows:
if RSI is overbought, cycle switches to bullish until RSI falls below 40, at which point it becomes neutral
if RSI is oversold, cycle switches bearish until RSI rises above 60, at which point it becomes neutral
a neutral cycle is exited at either overbought or oversold conditions
Very useful, please give it a try and let me know what you think
Ehlers Cycle Period [CC]The Cycle Period was created by John Ehlers and this is yet another version that shows how to calculate the current cycle period which is the approximate amount of days between a current peak or valley and the next peak or valley. I would not recommend this for trading since it is more for informational use only but I would try experimenting with this output to be used with another indicator as an input length. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Schaff Trend Cycle [ChuckBanger]The Schaff Trend Cycle is a method, developed by Doug Schaff and based on the concept that trends also have repeating high and low patterns, or cycles. This is a modified MACD line, run through a modified stochastic algorithm and smoothed with Wilders’ smoothing in order to estimate the final Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) indicator. Its purpose is to identify the direction, in which a trend cycle is moving and possible peaks and bottoms within this cycle.
If this is interesting you should also take a look at MACD Leader:
For more info about Schaff Trend Cycle Indicator:
www.investopedia.com
Ehlers Cyber CycleEhlers Cyber Cycle indicator script.
This indicator was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (see his book `Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures`, Chapter 4: `Trading the Cycle`).
Crimson/Grover Sine CycleThere is plenty of indicators trying to show cycles in price, the majority of them create a stationary version of the price and then smooth it, the Crimson/Grover cycle use as source a pure sine wave of period crimson and then use a best fit line with y = price and x = sine wave.Some final transformations are mades for highlights the cycle of the price.
The length parameter control the regression period and the crimson parameter the period of the sine cycle.If the length is higher than the crimson period then the indicator is more smoother but give more liberty to the sine wave.
The period of sine wave is equal to period/(2*3.14) .
A sine wave of period 100
For any questions regarding the indicator please contact me :)
Ehlers Stochastic Cyber CycleEhlers Stochastic Cyber Cycle indicator script.
This indicator was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (see his book `Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures`, Chapter 8: `Stochasticization and Fisherization of Indicators`).
AnNam RSI Cycle [PlungerMen] This script improves the default RSI 14
1: it identifies regions of the RSI which are oversold and overbought by changing the color of RSI from white to red.
2: it adds additional reference lines at 20,25.. 75,80 to better gauge the RSI value
Finally, the coolest feature, the middle 50 line is used to indicate which cycle the price is currently at
A green color at the 50 line indicates a bullish cycle, a red color indicators a bearish cycle, and a white color indicates a neutral cycle.
The cycles are determined using the RSI as follows:
if RSI is overbought, cycle switches to bullish until RSI falls below 40 , at which point it becomes neutral
if RSI is oversold, cycle switches bearish until RSI rises above 60, at which point it becomes neutral
a neutral cycle is exited at either overbought or oversold conditions
Thank for TradeCamily!
Ehlers Cycle BandPass Filter [CC]The Cycle BandPass Filter was created by John Ehlers (Cycle Modes and Trend Modes) and this is an alternate to the default BandPass Filter by changing some settings. This will be another series I will be introducing showing some indicators created by Ehlers and that didn't get much attention. This identifies the underlying cycle in the price data and these indicators aren't very common so I want to introduce more of these to tv. Buying and selling with these indicators can be a bit tricky but overall what Ehlers recommends is to buy at the lowest point and sell at the highest point to capture the underlying cycle. I have included strong buy and sell signals as darker colors and normal signals as lighter colors. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Simple CycleIntroduction
A simple and really clean cycle oscillator, in fact its quite precise even if the script use recursion which can sometime produce totally uncorrelated results.
On The Code
The calculations start with a who is a smoothing/averaging constant. Then comes src who is the input and is defined as the sum of the closing price with the output, then the output is high-pass filtered in b , after that the output is just the weighted average of the input change with b .
All those recursions and detrending steps make the indicator able to highlights cycles.
Full Cycle Valuation | QuantumResearchQuantumResearch Full Cycle Valuation Indicator for BTC only!
The Full Cycle Valuation indicator is an advanced on-chain valuation model that synthesizes multiple fundamental Bitcoin metrics into a single, normalized score.
By leveraging Power Law Corridor, Pi Cycle Top, Crosby Ratio, MVRV Z-Score, SOPR Z-Score, NUPL Z-Score, BAERM, and other key valuation signals, this tool provides traders and investors with an intuitive way to assess Bitcoin’s market cycle positioning and identify potential overbought or undervalued conditions. 🚀📊
1. Overview
This indicator helps users:
Identify Market Cycles – Uses a blend of statistical and fundamental models to determine whether Bitcoin is undervalued or overvalued.🔄
Normalize On-Chain & Valuation Metrics – Standardizes multiple valuation indicators through Z-score transformation for clearer insights📉📈
Assess Risk & Reward – Generates an Average Valuation Z-score, offering a high-level overview of current market positioning. ⚖️
Customize Visual Preferences – Dynamic color-coded signals, background fills, and table-based valuation metrics enhance usability. 🎨
2. How It Works
A. Power Law Corridor
The Power Law Model provides a long-term price corridor for Bitcoin based on a logarithmic regression formula. 🔢
The indicator evaluates where the current price sits relative to the Power Law Support & Resistance levels. 📊
Normalized Z-score Calculation: A standardized metric indicating overvaluation or undervaluation. 🎯
B. Pi Cycle Top
Uses the 111-day and 350-day moving averages to identify cyclical market peaks. 🔺
Generates a Z-score that measures deviation from historical overbought conditions. ⚠️
C. Crosby Ratio
Measures market momentum by analyzing Heikin-Ashi candle trends and ATR-based volatility. 📊
Provides a weekly trend strength score that is normalized into a Z-score. 📈
D. MVRV Z-Score
Compares Bitcoin's Market Cap to Realized Cap to assess whether price is above or below fair value. 💰
The higher the MVRV Z-score, the more overvalued Bitcoin is; lower scores indicate undervaluation. 🔻
E. SOPR Z-Score
Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) measures profit-taking behavior in the market. 💵
SOPR is smoothed and standardized to filter out noise and highlight macro trends. 📊
F. NUPL Z-Score
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) calculates the proportion of coins held in profit versus loss. 📉📈
High Z-score values indicate speculative euphoria, while low values suggest capitulation. ⚠️
G. BAERM (Bitcoin AR Model)
BAERM is a statistical model that incorporates Bitcoin's supply, halvings, and historical growth trends to estimate fair value. 📉
This model is adjusted with a damping function to remove excess noise. 🎛️
H. Composite Full Cycle Z-Score
The indicator calculates a weighted average Z-score across all valuation models to generate a final Full Cycle Valuation Score. 📊
The score is used to define five distinct market states:
Very Undervalued (-3 to -2 Z-score): Ideal accumulation zone. 🟢
Undervalued (-2 to -1.5 Z-score): Accumulate Bitcoin at a discount. 🔵
Neutral (-1.5 to +1.5 Z-score): Fair market conditions. ⚪
Overheated (+1.5 to +2 Z-score): Potential distribution phase. 🟠
Very Overheated (>2 Z-score): High risk of market tops. 🔴
3. Visual Representation
This indicator offers multiple dynamic visual elements to improve clarity and ease of use:
Color-Coded Background Fill
Green Background – Indicates undervalued market conditions (Accumulation). 🟢
Blue Background – Signals overheated conditions (Distribution). 🔵
Table Display for Z-Scores
Displays each individual valuation model’s Z-score in a compact, color-coded format. 📊
The final average Z-score is highlighted, along with a corresponding market action recommendation. 🎯
4. Customization & Parameters
Traders and analysts can fine-tune the Full Cycle Valuation indicator to match their specific strategies:
On-Chain Valuation Metrics MVRV, SOPR, and NUPL Z-score lengths can be adjusted for different market perspectives.
Market Cycle Models Power Law Corridor: Adjustable regression parameters to modify long-term projections.
Pi Cycle & Crosby Ratio: Customizable smoothing lengths.
Threshold Adjustments Modify overvaluation and undervaluation thresholds to fine-tune signal sensitivity.
Visual Settings
Valuation Mode: Allows traders to switch between default mode and valuation-focused color themes. 🎨
5. Trading Applications
This indicator is not just for trading—it serves as a powerful macro analysis tool:
Long-Term Investing – Helps Bitcoin investors identify key accumulation and distribution phases. 📈
Market Timing – Guides traders in recognizing overbought and oversold conditions based on fundamental valuation. ⏳
Risk Management – Provides a systematic way to assess whether Bitcoin is fundamentally cheap or expensive. ⚠️
Cyclical Trend Analysis – Helps long-term investors compare past market cycles and spot repeating patterns. 🔄
6. Final Thoughts
The Full Cycle Valuation Indicator is a comprehensive macro valuation tool that combines multiple on-chain, statistical, and fundamental models into one easy-to-interpret score.
Whether you are a long-term investor looking to time Bitcoin cycles or a trader searching for additional confluence, this tool offers invaluable insights.
Important Disclaimer: No indicator can predict future price action with certainty. Always perform additional research and use proper risk management when making investment decisions. ⚠️📊
Bitcoin PivotFind [BTC Cycle Tops & Bottoms Finder]What is PivotFind?
PivotFind is a custom indicator designed to track 30+ data points of different nature (technical, sentiment, macro, on-chain), and across multiple timeframes (from 1D to 60D), to detect the market conditions that may indicate the formation of potential Cycle Tops and Bottoms .
PivotFind's goal is to help you navigate Bitcoin's price movements and key happenings over its approximately 4-year cycles to help you craft a mid-term investment plan focused on the larger swings, rather than the shorter-term fluctuations.
What Does PivotFind Show/Do?
Market Phase Assessment and Visualization:
- Uses color-coded backgrounds (green for bull, red for bear, yellow for trend reversal) to show the current (assessed) market phase. Note that the price line itself changes color to reinforce the current phase identification.
- Helps you understand if we're in a uptrend, downtrend, or potentially changing direction (reversal), often an open question for traders, with a mid-term horizon
Cycle Top and Bottom Warnings:
- Places red dots above the price line to warn of potential cycle peaks.
- Shows green dots below the price line to indicate possible cycle bottoms.
These markers appear when multiple indicators reach certain thresholds, which historically have often coincided with significant market pivots (from bull to bear, or viceversa). Clusters of tops and bottom warnings are expected to appear at truly pivotal moments.
Parabolic Growth Signals:
- Displays upward arrows when conditions suggest potential for the rapid price increases that historically anticipated blow-off tops
- These signals are based on a combination of technical indicators and market sentiment reaching certain thresholds.
Altcoin Season Indicators:
- Marks with white diamonds the conditions that have historically led to "altseasons" (i.e. Altcoins overperforming BTC's growth rate).
- Based on factors like Bitcoin dominance decrease and certain altcoin performance metrics.
Fibonacci Retracement Bands:
Plots long-term support and resistance zones based on Fibonacci retracement levels.
These bands are calculated from previous major market highs and lows and shed light on the nature of short-term retracements in the context of major trends.
Price Scenario
PivotFind also provides reference price levels for the upcoming halving cycle, including potential thresholds for increased market interest (retail FOMO), possible overvaluation, and theoretical cycle peak ranges. These projections are based on historical data and should be considered as points of reference rather than definitive predictions.
Comprehensive Data Tables:
Right-side Table: Shows current cycle stage, Bitcoin/Altcoin market dominance percentages, and evaluates key economic factors (like inflation and interest rates) for their potential impact.
Bottom Table: Displays real-time values of over 30 key indicators, including RSI, MVRV ratio, and Fear & Greed Index.
Alerts
PivotFind offers you the ability to set up custom alerts (via the standard TradingView alert functionality) or receive automated notifications for significant market events. Despite its sophisticated analysis, PivotFind is designed to be user-friendly, with pre-set parameters that don't require complex adjustments.
How Does It Work?
PivotFind analyzes over 30 different indicators across multiple timeframes (from 1 day to 60 days), grouped into four main categories:
1. Technical Analysis:
Uses standard indicators like RSI, Stochastic RSI, Williams %R, Elliot Oscillator, TDI, and mean reversion concepts.
Looks for divergences between price and multiple indicators (like OBV, MFI, CCI, RSI, SRSI, MACD and others) to spot potential reversals.
2. Market Sentiment:
Incorporates the Crypto Fear & Greed Index (0-100 scale).
Tracks social media trends and influencer follower counts as a gauge of public interest.
3. Macroeconomic Factors:
Monitors inflation rates, interest rates, US rate yields, and money supply (M2) figures.
Tracks the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and bond market health through ETFs like TLT and HYG.
4. On-Chain Analytics:
Analyzes MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio to spot potential over/undervaluation.
Examines NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) and active Bitcoin addresses.
PivotFind analyzes these indicators collectively, looking for significant correlations and confluences, to provide a view of the market's position within the 4-year cycle and spot the conditions for potential Cycle tops and bottoms (cycle pivots).
Who Is This For?
PivotFind may be particularly useful for:
- Long-term investors looking to optimize entry and exit points within the 4-year cycle
- Individuals who want to understand mid-term trends without engaging in daily analysis of multiple charts (due to lack of time and/or financial knowledge)
- Bitcoin Holders and miners planning their decisions around critical market pivot points
It's less suitable for scalpers, day-traders or those focused on short-term price movements.
Value Proposition
PivotFind simplifies market analysis by bringing together a wide range of indicators and data sources across different timeframes. It uses built-in logic to interpret these inputs within the context of Bitcoin's cycles, giving users an efficient way to spot potential major market shifts. This all-in-one approach helps make sense of complex market conditions and supports more informed decision-making.
Since Bitcoin’s broader cycle strongly influences the entire crypto market, PivotFind can also be useful for investors who are focused on Altcoins, not just Bitcoin.
Important Note (Disclaimer)
Past performance, and patterns, do not guarantee future results. Therefore, PivotFind should be used as one of many tools in your analysis. While the indicator provides a multi-faceted and multi-timeframe analysis of factors historically correlated with pivotal price shifts, it cannot predict future prices with certainty. It's a tool to help inform your decisions, not make them for you. Always conduct your own research and remember that all investments, especially in cryptocurrencies, involve risk.
Recommended Settings
PivotFinds works best on the 1D INDEX:BTCUSD chart (dark-mode, logarithmic scale).
This indicator is not publicly available and requires special access.
Bitcoin Bull Runs Mid Cycle Aligned This script plots 2 lines which are the 2013 and 2016 bull run. The plots are aligned on their mid cycles to the 2021 mid cycle.
Settings:
You can move the plots on the x and y axis in the settings for the Daily, Weekly and Monthly TFs.
The plot is weird on the Monthly TF, best to use the Daily and Weekly.
If it doesn't load at first you have to zoom out fully and go back to 2013 for it to load. Then it will load.
Ehlers Instantaneous Phase Dominant Cycle [CC]The Instantaneous Phase Dominant Cycle was created by John Ehlers (Stocks & Commodities V. 18:3 (16-27)) and this is one of many similar indicators that I will be publishing from Ehlers in the next few months that calculate the current dominant cycle period. The cycle period can be used in multiple ways but generally this means that if the stock is currently at a low then the current cycle period will tell you when the next lowest low will get hit or vice versa. This is also useful for using this cycle period as an input for other indicators to provide a very good adaptive length. Let me know how you wind up using these indicators in your daily trading. I have included the same buy and sell signals from my recent Hilbert Transform and so buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
3 EMA & SMA (Market Cycle)Simple Indicator based on 3 Simple and 3 Exponential Moving Averages. Used to indicate Market Cycles.
Definition of Bull Market: 10 SMA is above 21 EMA . 30 SMA slope is up. 55 EMA is trending above 200 EMA .
Definition of Bear Market: 10 SMA is below 21 EMA . 30 SMA slope is down. 55 EMA is trending below 200 EMA .
