Cari dalam skrip untuk "Cycle"
Quarterly Cycle Theory with DST time AdjustedThe Quarterly Theory removes ambiguity, as it gives specific time-based reference points to look for when entering trades. Before being able to apply this theory to trading, one must first understand that time is fractal:
Yearly Quarters = 4 quarters of three months each.
Monthly Quarters = 4 quarters of one week each.
Weekly Quarters = 4 quarters of one day each (Monday - Thursday). Friday has its own specific function.
Daily Quarters = 4 quarters of 6 hours each = 4 trading sessions of a trading day.
Sessions Quarters = 4 quarters of 90 minutes each.
90 Minute Quarters = 4 quarters of 22.5 minutes each.
Yearly Cycle: Analogously to financial quarters, the year is divided in four sections of three months each:
Q1 - January, February, March.
Q2 - April, May, June (True Open, April Open).
Q3 - July, August, September.
Q4 - October, November, December.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (daily candles) — Monthly Cycle.
Monthly Cycle: Considering that we have four weeks in a month, we start the cycle on the first month’s Monday (regardless of the calendar Day):
Q1 - Week 1: first Monday of the month.
Q2 - Week 2: second Monday of the month (True Open, Daily Candle Open Price).
Q3 - Week 3: third Monday of the month.
Q4 - Week 4: fourth Monday of the month.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (4 hour candles) — Weekly Cycle.
Weekly Cycle: Daye determined that although the trading week is composed by 5 trading days, we should ignore Friday, and the small portion of Sunday’s price action:
Q1 - Monday.
Q2 - Tuesday (True Open, Daily Candle Open Price).
Q3 - Wednesday.
Q4 - Thursday.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (1 hour candles) — Daily Cycle.
Daily Cycle: The Day can be broken down into 6 hour quarters. These times roughly define the sessions of the trading day, reinforcing the theory’s validity:
Q1 - 18:00 - 00:00 Asia.
Q2 - 00:00 - 06:00 London (True Open).
Q3 - 06:00 - 12:00 NY AM.
Q4 - 12:00 - 18:00 NY PM.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (15 minute candles) — 6 Hour Cycle.
6 Hour Quarters or 90 Minute Cycle / Sessions divided into four sections of 90 minutes each (EST/EDT):
Asian Session
Q1 - 18:00 - 19:30
Q2 - 19:30 - 21:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 21:00 - 22:30
Q4 - 22:30 - 00:00
London Session
Q1 - 00:00 - 01:30
Q2 - 01:30 - 03:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 03:00 - 04:30
Q4 - 04:30 - 06:00
NY AM Session
Q1 - 06:00 - 07:30
Q2 - 07:30 - 09:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 09:00 - 10:30
Q4 - 10:30 - 12:00
NY PM Session
Q1 - 12:00 - 13:30
Q2 - 13:30 - 15:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 15:00 - 16:30
Q4 - 16:30 - 18:00
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (5 minute candles) — 90 Minute Cycle.
Micro Cycles: Dividing the 90 Minute Cycle yields 22.5 Minute Quarters, also known as Micro Sessions or Micro Quarters:
Asian Session
Q1/1 18:00:00 - 18:22:30
Q2 18:22:30 - 18:45:00
Q3 18:45:00 - 19:07:30
Q4 19:07:30 - 19:30:00
Q2/1 19:30:00 - 19:52:30 (True Session Open)
Q2/2 19:52:30 - 20:15:00
Q2/3 20:15:00 - 20:37:30
Q2/4 20:37:30 - 21:00:00
Q3/1 21:00:00 - 21:23:30
etc. 21:23:30 - 21:45:00
London Session
00:00:00 - 00:22:30 (True Daily Open)
00:22:30 - 00:45:00
00:45:00 - 01:07:30
01:07:30 - 01:30:00
01:30:00 - 01:52:30 (True Session Open)
01:52:30 - 02:15:00
02:15:00 - 02:37:30
02:37:30 - 03:00:00
03:00:00 - 03:22:30
03:22:30 - 03:45:00
03:45:00 - 04:07:30
04:07:30 - 04:30:00
04:30:00 - 04:52:30
04:52:30 - 05:15:00
05:15:00 - 05:37:30
05:37:30 - 06:00:00
New York AM Session
06:00:00 - 06:22:30
06:22:30 - 06:45:00
06:45:00 - 07:07:30
07:07:30 - 07:30:00
07:30:00 - 07:52:30 (True Session Open)
07:52:30 - 08:15:00
08:15:00 - 08:37:30
08:37:30 - 09:00:00
09:00:00 - 09:22:30
09:22:30 - 09:45:00
09:45:00 - 10:07:30
10:07:30 - 10:30:00
10:30:00 - 10:52:30
10:52:30 - 11:15:00
11:15:00 - 11:37:30
11:37:30 - 12:00:00
New York PM Session
12:00:00 - 12:22:30
12:22:30 - 12:45:00
12:45:00 - 13:07:30
13:07:30 - 13:30:00
13:30:00 - 13:52:30 (True Session Open)
13:52:30 - 14:15:00
14:15:00 - 14:37:30
14:37:30 - 15:00:00
15:00:00 - 15:22:30
15:22:30 - 15:45:00
15:45:00 - 15:37:30
15:37:30 - 16:00:00
16:00:00 - 16:22:30
16:22:30 - 16:45:00
16:45:00 - 17:07:30
17:07:30 - 18:00:00
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (30 second candles) — 22.5 Minute Cycle.
MÈGAS ALGO : ZIG-ZAG CYCLE INSIGTH [INDICATOR]Overview
The Zig-Zag Cycle Insigth is a revisited version of the classic Zig Zag indicator, designed to provide traders with a more comprehensive and actionable view of price movements.
This advanced tool not only highlights significant price swings but also incorporates additional features such as cycle analysis, real-time data tracking, and Fibonacci retracement levels. These enhancements make it an invaluable resource for identifying trends, potential reversal points, and market structure.
This indicator adheres to TradingView's guidelines and is optimized for both technical analysts and active traders who seek deeper insights into market dynamics.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Thresholds for Price Movements:
- Users can set personalized thresholds for price movement percentages and time periods.
This ensures that only significant price swings are plotted, reducing noise and increasing
clarity.
- Straight lines connect swing highs and lows, providing a cleaner visual representation of
the trend.
2. Cycle Analysis Table:
- A dynamic table is included to analyze price cycles based on three key factors:
- Price Change: Measures the magnitude of each swing (high-to-low or low-to-high).
- Time Duration (Bar Count): Tracks the number of bars elapsed between consecutive swings,
offering precise timing insights.
- Volume: Analyzes trading volume during each segment of the cycle.
- The indicator calculates the **maximum**, **minimum**, and **mean** values for each
parameter across all completed cycles, providing deeper statistical insights into market
behavior.
- This table updates in real-time, offering traders a quantitative understanding of how price
behaves over different cycles.
3. Real-Time Data Integration:
- The indicator displays live updates of current price action relative to the last identified
swing high/low. This includes:
- Current distance from the last pivot point.
- Percentage change since the last pivot.
- Volume traded since the last pivot.
4. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
- Integrated Fibonacci retracement levels are dynamically calculated based on the most
recent significant swing high and low.
- Key retracement levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%) are plotted alongside the Zig
Zag lines, helping traders identify potential support/resistance zones.
- Extension levels (100%, 161.8%, etc.) are also included to anticipate possible breakout
targets.
5. Customizable Alerts:
- Users can configure alerts for specific real-time conditions, such as:
- Price Change
- Duration
- Volume
- Fibonacci Retracement Levels
How It Works:
1. Zig Zag Identification:
- The indicator scans historical price data to identify significant turning points where the
price moves by at least the user-defined percentage threshold.
- These turning points are connected by straight lines to form the Zig Zag pattern.
2. Cycle Analysis:
For each completed cycle (from one swing high/low to the next), the indicator calculates:
- Price Change: Difference between the start and end prices of the cycle.
- Maximum Price Change: The largest price difference observed across all cycles.
- Minimum Price Change: The smallest price difference observed across all cycles.
- Mean Price Change: The average price difference across all cycles.
- Time Duration (Bar Count): Number of bars elapsed between consecutive swings.
- Maximum Duration: The longest cycle in terms of bar count.
- Minimum Duration: The shortest cycle in terms of bar count.
- Mean Duration: The average cycle length in terms of bar count.
- Volume: Total volume traded during the cycle.
- Maximum Volume: The highest volume traded during any single cycle.
- Minimum Volume: The lowest volume traded during any single cycle.
- Mean Volume: The average volume traded across all cycles.
- These calculations provide traders with a statistical overview of market behavior, enabling
them to identify patterns and anomalies in price, time, and volume.
3. Fibonacci Integration:
- Once a new swing high or low is identified, the indicator automatically calculates Fibonacci
retracement and extension levels.
- These levels serve as reference points for potential entry/exit opportunities.
4. Real-Time Updates:
- As the market evolves, the indicator continuously monitors the relationship between the
current price and the last identified swing point.
- Real-time metrics, such as percentage change and volume, are updated dynamically.
5. Alerts Based on Real-Time Parameters:
- The indicator allows users to set customizable alerts based on real-time conditions:
- Price Change Alert: Triggered when the real-time price change is less or greater than a
predefined percentage threshold (e.g., > or < fixed value).
- Duration Alert: Triggered when the cycle duration (in bars) is less or greater than a
predefined
bar count threshold (e.g., > or < fixed value).
- Volume Alert: Triggered when the trading volume during the current cycle is less or greater
than a predefined volume threshold (e.g., > or < fixed value).
Advantages of Zig-Zag Cycle Insigth
- Comprehensive Insights: Combining cycle analysis, Fibonacci retracements, and real-time data
provides a holistic view of market conditions.
- Statistical Analysis: The inclusion of maximum, minimum, and mean values for price change,
duration, and volume offers deeper insights into market behavior.
- Actionable Signals: Customizable alerts ensure traders never miss critical market events based
on real-time price, duration, and volume parameters.
- User-Friendly Design: Clear visuals and intuitive controls make it accessible for traders of all
skill levels.
Reference:
TradingView/ZigZag
TradingView/AutofibRetracement
Please Note:
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and it should not be considered a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any financial instrument. Trading involves significant risks, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
The results and images provided are based on algorithms and historical/paid real-time market data but do not guarantee future results or accuracy. Use this tool at your own risk, and understand that past performance is not indicative of future outcomes.
Gann Cycle IndicatorVersion "Beta 1.0.0"
The "Gann Cycle Indicator" helps you analyze market cycles, from the smaller ones to the bigger ones. It requires you to know how Gann used market cycles to trade efficently. It helps predict where to expect a minum or a maximum and where to expect the start of a new cycle. It works with any market and can be set up as you prefer. It takes some inputs to work properly:
1) Starting X: this is the offset on the X axis where all the cycles start from. Once you applied this indicator on your graph, you must adjust the starting position to match the start of the cycle you found on the graph.
2) Cycles (1 to 4). These are the period, expressed in candles number, of each cycles. "Cycle 1" (i.e 3,25 days) should be the smaller of the 4 while "Cycle 4" the bigger one (i.e 15 days).
In this example, we trade BTCUSD on the 15 days cycle, so 15 days on the graph is composed of 360 candles. Our bigger cycle (Cycle 4) take 360 as period. For simplicity, "Cycle 3 to 1" take each time half of the period so: Cycle 3 -> 180, Cycle 2-> 90, Cycle 1 (smaller) -> 45.
3) Trend. 0 to a rectangle trend, -1 for bearish trend and 1 for a bullish trend .
4) Trend strength. From 0 to 2, step 0.1
This parameter expresses the strength of the trend. In a bullish market (Trend set to 1) you can set Trend strength from 0 to 2 to allow the indicator to follow the current market trend
Note:
This indicator must be put in a separate Y axis so it can overaly the graph.
Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMADescription of the Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA Pine Script
This Pine Script, titled "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA", is a custom technical indicator designed for TradingView to help traders analyze market cycles and identify potential buy or sell opportunities. It combines an Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO) with multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), displayed as colorful, wavy lines, and includes features like buy/sell signals and divergence detection. Below is a beginner-friendly explanation of how the script works, adhering to TradingView's Script Publishing Rules.
What This Indicator Does
The Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA helps you:
Visualize market cycles using an oscillator that adapts to price movements.
Track trends with seven EMAs of different lengths, plotted as a rainbow of wavy lines.
Identify potential buy or sell signals when the oscillator crosses predefined thresholds.
Spot divergences between the oscillator and price to anticipate reversals.
Use customizable settings to adjust the indicator to your trading style.
Note: This is a technical analysis tool and does not guarantee profits. Always combine it with other analysis methods and practice risk management.
Step-by-Step Explanation for New Users
1. Understanding the Indicator
Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO): The ACO analyzes price data (based on high, low, and close prices, or HLC3) to detect market cycles. It smooths price movements to create an oscillator that swings between overbought and oversold levels.
EMAs: Seven EMAs of different lengths are applied to the ACO and scaled based on the market's dominant cycle. These EMAs are plotted as colorful, wavy lines to show trend direction.
Buy/Sell Signals: The script generates signals when the ACO crosses above or below user-defined thresholds, indicating potential entry or exit points.
Divergence Detection: The script identifies bullish or bearish divergences between the ACO and the fastest EMA, which may signal potential reversals.
Visual Style: The indicator uses a rainbow of seven colors (red, orange, yellow, green, blue, indigo, violet) for the EMAs, with wavy lines for a unique visual effect. Static levels (zero, overbought, oversold) are also wavy for consistency.
2. How to Add the Indicator to Your Chart
Open TradingView and load the chart of any asset (e.g., stock, forex, crypto).
Click on the Indicators button at the top of the chart.
Search for "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA" (or paste the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor if you have access to it).
Click to add the indicator to your chart. It will appear in a separate panel below the price chart.
3. Customizing the Indicator
The script offers several input options to tailor it to your needs:
Base Cycle Length (Default: 20): Sets the initial period for calculating the dominant cycle. Higher values make the indicator slower; lower values make it more sensitive.
Alpha Smoothing (Default: 0.07): Controls how much the ACO smooths price data. Smaller values produce smoother results.
Show Buy/Sell Signals (Default: True): Toggle to display green triangles (buy) and red triangles (sell) on the chart.
Threshold (Default: 0.0): Defines overbought (above threshold) and oversold (below threshold) levels. Adjust to widen or narrow signal zones.
EMA Base Length (Default: 10): Sets the starting length for the fastest EMA. Other EMAs are incrementally longer (12, 14, 16, etc.).
Divergence Lookback (Default: 14): Determines how far back the script looks to detect divergences.
To adjust these:
Right-click the indicator on your chart and select Settings.
Modify the inputs in the pop-up window.
Click OK to apply changes.
4. Reading the Indicator
Oscillator and EMAs: The ACO and seven EMAs are plotted in a separate panel. The EMAs (colored lines) move in a wavy pattern:
Red (fastest) to Violet (slowest) represent different response speeds.
When the faster EMAs (e.g., red, orange) are above slower ones (e.g., blue, violet), it suggests bullish momentum, and vice versa.
Zero Line: A gray wavy line at zero acts as a neutral level. The ACO above zero indicates bullish conditions; below zero indicates bearish conditions.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Red (overbought) and green (oversold) wavy lines mark threshold levels. Extreme ACO values near these lines may suggest reversals.
Buy/Sell Signals:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Appears when the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold, suggesting a potential buy.
Red Triangle (Top): Appears when the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold, suggesting a potential sell.
Divergences:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Indicates a bullish divergence (price makes a lower low, but the EMA makes a higher low), hinting at a potential upward reversal.
Red Triangle (Top): Indicates a bearish divergence (price makes a higher high, but the EMA makes a lower high), hinting at a potential downward reversal.
5. Using Alerts
You can set alerts for key events:
Right-click the indicator and select Add Alert.
Choose a condition (e.g., "ACO Buy Signal", "Bullish Divergence").
Configure the alert settings (e.g., notify via email, app, or pop-up).
Click Create to activate the alert.
Available alert conditions:
ACO Buy Signal: When the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold.
ACO Sell Signal: When the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold.
Bullish Divergence: When a potential upward reversal is detected.
Bearish Divergence: When a potential downward reversal is detected.
6. Tips for Using the Indicator
Combine with Other Tools: Use the indicator alongside support/resistance levels, candlestick patterns, or other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for confirmation.
Test on Different Timeframes: The indicator works on any timeframe (e.g., 1-minute, daily). Shorter timeframes may produce more signals but with more noise.
Practice Risk Management: Never rely solely on this indicator. Set stop-losses and position sizes to manage risk.
Backtest First: Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester (if you convert the script to a strategy) to evaluate performance on historical data.
Compliance with TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules
This description adheres to TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules (as outlined in the provided link):
No Performance Claims: The description avoids promising profits or specific results, emphasizing that the indicator is a tool for analysis.
Clear Instructions: It provides step-by-step guidance for adding, customizing, and using the indicator.
Risk Disclaimer: It notes that trading involves risks and the indicator should be used with other analysis methods.
No Misleading Terms: Terms like “buy” and “sell” are used to describe signals, not guaranteed actions.
Transparency: The description explains the indicator’s components (ACO, EMAs, signals, divergences) without exaggerating its capabilities.
No External Links: The description avoids linking to external resources or soliciting users.
Educational Tone: It focuses on educating users about the indicator’s functionality.
Limitations
Not a Standalone System: The indicator is not a complete trading strategy. It provides insights but requires additional analysis.
Lagging Nature: As with most oscillators and EMAs, signals may lag behind price movements, especially in fast markets.
False Signals: Signals and divergences may not always lead to successful trades, particularly in choppy markets.
Market Dependency: Performance varies across assets and market conditions (e.g., trending vs. ranging markets).
G. Santostasi Power Law Cycle Comparison
G. Santostasi Power Law Cycle Comparison Indicator
The "G. Santostasi Power Law Cycle Comparison" indicator is a revolutionary tool designed to provide deep insights into Bitcoin's historical price behavior, based on the renowned G. Santostasi power law model. This indicator goes beyond simple trend analysis, leveraging the power law model to analyze Bitcoin's cyclical patterns by shifting and superimposing past cycles onto the current price action.
Key Features and Insights:
Cycle-Based Comparison:
The indicator divides each Bitcoin cycle into three distinct phases:
Exponential Growth Phase (Year 1): A year of near-exponential price appreciation, often associated with the post-halving effect and the inflow of new market participants.
Exponential Correction Phase (Year 2): A sharp, quasi-exponential price decline as the market corrects from speculative highs.
Power Law Growth Phase (Years 3 and 4): A steady and predictable price increase along the power law support line, representing Bitcoin’s intrinsic long-term value trajectory.
Visual Clarity:
By overlaying past cycles onto the current cycle, the indicator highlights recurring patterns, making it easy for investors to identify similarities and deviations in price behavior. This visual comparison helps pinpoint where we are within the current cycle.
Orientation Tool for Investors:
Provides a "map" of Bitcoin's price action across cycles, enabling investors to orient themselves and make more informed decisions.
Helps distinguish between short-term noise and long-term trends, offering a broader perspective on Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
Consistency and Coherence:
The indicator’s ability to show how Bitcoin cycles adhere to a consistent framework underscores its robustness and reliability. The distinct phases of growth, correction, and stabilization align perfectly with the power law model, offering a coherent narrative of Bitcoin’s market dynamics.
Utility for Risk Management and Strategy:
Investors can use this indicator to anticipate major price movements, identify overbought or oversold conditions within the context of the cycle, and plan entry or exit points based on historical patterns.
Uniqueness of the Indicator:
Unlike traditional indicators that focus solely on momentum or trend, the G. Santostasi Power Law Cycle Comparison is rooted in a scientific approach. By applying the power law model to Bitcoin's cyclical behavior, this tool offers unparalleled insights into the underlying mechanics of price action. The ability to compare current price dynamics with past cycles provides a unique perspective, revealing patterns that are often missed by conventional technical analysis.
Who Should Use This Indicator?
Long-Term Investors: Gain confidence in understanding Bitcoin’s price action over its multi-year cycles.
Active Traders: Identify key phases within the cycle to time market entries and exits.
Analysts and Researchers: Explore the fundamental consistency of Bitcoin’s power law behavior across cycles.
The "G. Santostasi Power Law Cycle Comparison" indicator is not just a tool; it’s a lens through which Bitcoin’s intricate market cycles can be viewed, understood, and navigated. By aligning historical context with current price action, this indicator empowers investors with clarity, foresight, and actionable insights.
Pulse DPO: Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms█ OVERVIEW
Pulse DPO is an oscillator designed to highlight Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms .
It works on any market driven by cycles. It operates by removing the short-term noise from the price action and focuses on the market's cyclical nature.
This indicator uses a Normalized version of the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) on a 0-100 scale, making it easier to identify major tops and bottoms.
Credit: The DPO was first developed by William Blau in 1991.
█ HOW TO READ IT
Pulse DPO oscillates in the range between 0 and 100. A value in the upper section signals an OverBought (OB) condition, while a value in the lower section signals an OverSold (OS) condition.
Generally, the triggering of OB and OS conditions don't necessarily translate into swing tops and bottoms, but rather suggest caution on approaching a market that might be overextended.
Nevertheless, this indicator has been customized to trigger the signal only during remarkable top and bottom events.
I suggest using it on the Daily Time Frame , but you're free to experiment with this indicator on other time frames.
The indicator has Built-in Alerts to signal the crossing of the Thresholds. Please don't act on an isolated signal, but rather integrate it to work in conjunction with the indicators present in your Trading Plan.
█ OB SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Top Threshold it Triggers ON the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OB color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OB Zone, please beware! In this Area the Major Players usually become Active Sellers to the Public. While the OB signal is On, it might be wise to Consider Selling a portion or the whole Long Position.
Please note that even though this indicator aims to focus on major tops and bottoms, a strong trending market might trigger the OB signal and stay with it for a long time. That's especially true on young markets and on bubble-mode markets.
█ OB SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Top Threshold it Triggers OFF the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OB Zone, please beware because a Major Top might just have occurred. In this Area the Major Players usually become Aggressive Sellers. They might wind up any remaining Long Positions and Open new Short Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Shorts or to Close/Reverse any remaining Long Position. Whatever you choose to do, it's usually best to act quickly because the market is prone to enter into panic mode.
█ OS SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Bottom Threshold it Triggers ON the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OS color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OS Zone, please beware because in this Area the Major Players usually become Active Buyers accumulating Long Positions from the desperate Public.
While the OS signal is On, it might be wise to Consider becoming a Buyer or to implement a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy to build a Long Position towards the next Cycle. In contrast to the tops, the OS state usually takes longer to resolve a major bottom.
█ OS SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Bottom Threshold it Triggers OFF the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OS Zone, please beware because a Major Bottom might already be in place. In this Area the Major Players become Aggresive Buyers. They might wind up any remaining Short Positions and Open new Long Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Longs or to Close/Reverse any remaining Short Positions.
█ WHY WOULD YOU BE INTERESTED IN THIS INDICATOR?
This indicator is built over a solid foundation capable of signaling Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms across many markets. Let's see some examples:
Early Bitcoin Years: From 0 to 1242
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling the major early highs from 9-Jun-2011 at 31.50, to the next one on 9-Apr-2013 at 240 and the epic top from 29-Nov-2013 at 1242.
Due to the massive price movements, the OB condition stays pinned during most of the exponential price action. But as you can see, the OB condition quickly vanishes once the Cycle Top has been reached. As the market matures, the OB condition becomes more exceptional and triggers much closer from the Cycle Top.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the early bottom of 2 after having peaked at 31.50 doesn’t get captured by the indicator. That is the only cycle bottom that escapes the Pulse DPO when the bottom threshold is set at a value of 5. In that event, the oscillator low reached 6.95.
Bitcoin Adoption Spreading: From 257 to 73k
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling all the major highs from 17-Dec-2017 at 19k, to the next one on 14-Apr-2021 at 64k and the most recent top from 9-Nov-2021 at 68k.
During the massive run of 2017, the OB condition still stayed triggered for a few weeks on each swing top. But on the next cycles it started to signal only for a few days before each swing top actually happened. The OB condition during the last cycle top triggered only for 3 days. Therefore the signal grows in focus as the market matures.
At the time of publishing this indicator, Bitcoin printed a new All Time High (ATH) on 13-Mar-2024 at 73k. That run didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, if the indicator is correct the Bitcoin market still has some way to grow during the next months.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the bottom of 3k after having peaked at19k got captured within the wide OS zone. The bottom of 15k after having peaked at 68k got captured too within the OS accumulation area.
Gold
Pulse DPO behaves surprisingly well on a long standing market such as Gold. Moving back to the 197x years it’s been signaling most Cycle Tops and Bottoms with precision. During the last cycle, it shows topping at 2k and bottoming at 1.6k.
The current price action is signaling OB condition in the range of 2.5k to 2.7k. Looking at past cycles, it tends to trigger on and off at multiple swing tops until reaching the final cycle top. Therefore this might indicate the first wave within a potential gold run.
Oil
On the Oil market, we can see that most of the cycle tops and bottoms since the 80s got signaled. The only exception being the low from 2020 which didn’t trigger.
EURUSD
On Forex markets the Pulse DPO also behaves as expected. Looking back at EURUSD we can see the marketing triggering OB and OS conditions during major cycle tops and bottoms from recent times until the 80s.
S&P 500
On the S&P 500 the Pulse DPO catched the lows from 2016 and 2020. Looking at present price action, the recent ATH didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, the indicator is allowing room for another leg up during the next months.
Amazon
On the Amazon chart the Pulse DPO is mirroring pretty accurately the major swings. Scrolling back to the early 2000s, this chart resembles early exponential swings in the crypto space.
Tesla
Moving onto a younger tech stock, Pulse DPO captures pretty accurately the major tops and bottoms. The chart is shown in logarithmic scale to better display the magnitude of the moves.
█ SETTINGS
This indicator is ideal for identifying major market turning points while filtering out short-term noise. You are free to adjust the parameters to align with your preferred trading style.
Parameters : This section allows you to customize any of the Parameters that shape the Oscillator.
Oscillator Length: Defines the period for calculating the Oscillator.
Offset: Shifts the oscillator calculation by a certain number of periods, which is typically half the Oscillator Length.
Lookback Period: Specifies how many bars to look back to find tops and bottoms for normalization.
Smoothing Length: Determines the length of the moving average used to smooth the oscillator.
Thresholds : This section allows you to customize the Thresholds that trigger the OB and OS conditions.
Top: Defines the value of the Top Threshold.
Bottom: Defines the value of the Bottom Threshold.
NCTA Cycle FinderCycle Finder
The NCTA Cycle Finder is one of three technical indicators that are part of the Profit Flow Analytics.
New Cycle Trading and Analytics is a group of traders creating market analytics for traders. The objective is to take complex combinations of multiple technical pattern indicators and present to the trader a simple, single entry signal.
The NCTA Cycle Finder is designed to identify the beginning of new, trending cycles. It is excellent in short 1, 3, and 5 minute timeframes for futures traders and short term options traders. Longer timeframes such as the 5, 10, and 30 minute timeframes work well for options traders.
This indicator consists of a simple, single entry indicator designed to provide an entry very close to the shift on the intra-day cycle. It provides a warning that a cycle shift may be coming by printing a grey bar. Bars above the zero line imply a possible new long cycle developing. Grey bars below the zero line imply a possible new short cycle is developing.
Once the indicator has confirmed a new cycle is developing, a dark blue or red bar will print. Dark blue above the zero line is the trader’s signal to go long. A dark red signal below the zero line is the traders signal to go short. The indicator is designed to filter out false signals and provide the trader with an optimum timing of capturing an entry/exit very close to the beginning / ending of a cycle.
Using the NCTA Cycle Finder, the Profit Flow Oscillator, and Trend Consensus indicators together, offers traders an opportunity to lock in profits and enter the same trending cycle more than one time. This is an excellent opportunity to open trend continuation trades. The NCTA Cycle Finder is excellent when used across more than one timeframe to confirm alignment. For example, monitoring the 5 minute signals and confirming alignment with the 1 minute chart improves the probability of entering a profitable trade.
HOW TO USE: Use the grey bar prints to be ready for a signal and the possible direction. Go long when a blue bar appears and go short when a red bar appears. The print of these signals very closely identify the beginning of a new cycle
The NCTA Cycle Finder, which is part of the Profit Flow Analytics set of indicators, is traded in a live trading room every market day, hosted by our friends at Options Money Maker.
To learn more about the NCTA Cycle Finder and the other two indicators, which are part of Profit Flow Analytics, use the following link:
www.newcycletrading.com
NQZ2019
SP:SPX
Vicious Cycle by Cryptorhythms [CR]Vicious Cycle by Cryptorhythms
Intro
I have been working on this one for a few months now, bringing our flagship indicator Bull Bear Filter up to date with new ideas and algorithms to clarify cyclical trend components in any time series data.
Description
This indicator has no settings that the user needs to change. It is completely adaptive and dynamic to any market, timeframe, or time series data. The goal was to create a tool that isolated cyclical waveforms, making it easier to follow a noisy market. Keep in mind, its not RSI, Stoch, Ehlers or anything else - its a completely new DSP method that I created myself. You can only get the Vicious Cycle from CR!
Private
This indicator is reserved for our members only to prevent the alpha decay as long as possible. You can view my signature at the bottom of this post for more information on membership.
Examples
Here I will list a number of examples screenshots across markets and timeframes. Remember, NO SETTINGS WERE CHANGED at all for these screenshots. As you can see its quite a versatile tool!
BITCOIN
XBTUSD 20Min
XBTUSD 4H
XBTUSD 6H
GOLD
XAUUSD 2D
XAUUSD 4H
FOREX
EURUSD 3 Min
EURUSD 30 Min
GBPJPY 1H
USDJPY 12H
STOCKS
TSLA 1D
AMD 1D
SPY 1D
VIX 12H
OIL
USDWTI 3D
USDWTI 2H
USOIL 15 Min
Ehlers Cyber Cycle [CC]The Cyber Cycle was created by John Ehlers (Cybernetic Analysis For Stocks And Futures pg 34) and this is one of my favorite Ehlers indicators. I use it personally for exits but it has several uses. It gives great entry and exit signals when you enter when it is at the bottom or at the very top during a cycle. When it is above 0 then the stock is in a strong uptrend and when it is below 0 then the stock is in a strong downtrend. It is also very reactive as well with zero lag according to Ehlers. Buy when the indicator line is green and sell when it is red.
Let me know if there are other scripts you would like to see me publish or if you want something custom done!
60-Day Cycle Long-Only IndicatorThe following indicator generates ‘Buy’ signals based on rotating 60-day cycles. The general theory is that when buying strong, growth-oriented assets, 60-day micro-cycles culminate into larger macro-cycles.
Summary:
Explaining the Upper and Lower Bounds in the 60-Day Cycle Strategy:
1. Cycle High (Upper Bound):
The cycle high is the highest closing price of the asset over the past 60 days. This value acts as the upper boundary of the 60-day cycle, indicating the peak price level during this period. When the current closing price is above this boundary, it suggests a potential distribution phase, where the asset might be overbought, and larger players may be selling off their positions. In the strategy, the cycle high is plotted as a red line on the chart, helping traders visually identify the upper limit of the 60-day trading range.
2. Cycle Low (Lower Bound):
The cycle low is the lowest closing price of the asset over the past 60 days. This value acts as the lower boundary of the 60-day cycle, indicating the trough price level during this period. When the current closing price is below this boundary, it suggests a potential accumulation phase, where the asset might be oversold, and larger players may be accumulating positions at lower prices. In the strategy, the cycle low is plotted as an orange line on the chart, helping traders visually identify the lower limit of the 60-day trading range.
How These Bounds Are Calculated:
• Cycle High: Calculated using the highest closing price over the last 60 trading days. In Pine Script, this is achieved with the function ta.highest(close, cycle_length), where cycle_length is set to 60 days.
• Cycle Low: Calculated using the lowest closing price over the last 60 trading days. In Pine Script, this is achieved with the function ta.lowest(close, cycle_length), where cycle_length is set to 60 days.
Interpretation and Application:
• Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the closing price crosses above the cycle low. This indicates a potential end to the bearish phase and the start of a bullish trend.
• Distribution Phase: When the closing price crosses above the cycle high, it suggests the market is in a distribution phase, potentially signaling a bearish trend or a sell-off period.
Example:
On a trading chart, the cycle high and cycle low are plotted as horizontal lines, with their colors distinguishing them (red for cycle high and orange for cycle low). These lines create a visual range within which the asset's price has moved over the last 60 days, helping traders quickly assess whether the current price is near the upper or lower bound.
By identifying and plotting these upper and lower bounds, traders can better understand the current market phase and make more informed trading decisions based on the 60-day cycle strategy. This indicator can be used across various assets.
Bitcoin: Pi Cycle Top & Bottom Indicator Z ScoreIndicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA, not the number of days.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking.
It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. However, in this instance, it does so with a high degree of accuracy over Bitcoin's adoption phase of growth.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator forecasts the cycle top of Bitcoin’s market cycles. It attempts to predict the point where Bitcoin price will peak before pulling back. It does this on major high time frames and has picked the absolute tops of Bitcoin’s major price moves throughout most of its history.
How It Can Be Used
Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter-term moving average, which is the 111-day moving average, has reached an x2 multiple of the 350-day moving average. Historically, it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin around this time in Bitcoin's price cycles.
It is also worth noting that this indicator has worked during Bitcoin's adoption growth phase, the first 15 years or so of Bitcoin's life. With the launch of Bitcoin ETF's and Bitcoin's increased integration into the global financial system, this indicator may cease to be relevant at some point in this new market structure.
Added the Z-Score metric for easy classification of the value of Bitcoin according to this indicator.
Created for TRW
Moving Average CyclesMoving Average Cycles Indicator
Description:
The Moving Average Cycles indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify and analyze bullish and bearish cycles based on price movements relative to a moving average. This indicator offers valuable insights into market trends and potential reversal points.
Key Features:
Customizable Moving Average: Users can adjust the MA period and resolution (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) to suit their trading style.
Cycle Identification: The indicator tracks bull and bear cycles, providing visual cues through color-coded histograms.
Comprehensive Metrics: A detailed table displays crucial cycle statistics, including:
Current cycle information (candles and % distance from MA)
Maximum and average cycle lengths (in candles)
Maximum and average percentage distances from the MA
How to Use:
Apply the indicator to your chart and adjust the MA period and resolution as needed.
Green histograms represent bullish cycles, while red histograms indicate bearish cycles.
Use the metrics table to gain insights into historical cycle behavior and current market positioning.
This indicator is designed to complement your existing trading strategy by providing a clear visual representation of market cycles and detailed statistical information. It can be particularly useful for identifying potential trend reversals and gauging the strength of current trends compared to the past.
Note: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This indicator is meant for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always combine multiple analysis tools and conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Feel free to use and modify it, but please provide appropriate credit if you build upon this work.
I hope you find this Moving Average Cycles indicator helpful in your trading journey. If you have any questions or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to leave a comment below.
Leonid's Bitcoin Full Cycle Simple SMA IndicatorThis is a straight-forward and customizable indicator to track Bitcoin cycles, specifically used for helping investors understand where to buy and sell. This is done by using a two year SMA period as the base calculation. With that calculation you create lower and upper bounds for bull market peaks and bear market bottoms.
The novel idea here is that you can customize the SMA "strength" for both the upper and lower bounds as alpha decays over time and price get's less volatile with adoption increasing. The multiples are customizable for both the upper and lower bounds along with a mid-line that will adjust based on the settings input.
Indicators don't always have to rely on crazy math or outlandish ideas to be useful, sometimes even the simplest of inputs can give investors (especially those that are new) a great base case for their strategy. Something being simple does not diminish the idea or strength behind the data.
How to use this indicator: This script must be used on INDEX:BTCUSD (Bitcoin All-Time History Index) with the y-axis being set to Logarithmic scale.
Details & how to interpret: The price is colored green when Bitcoin enters a "value zone" meaning it is heavily oversold and likely near a bottom for the bear market cycle. The price is colored red when Bitcoin enters an "overbought zone" meaning it is heavily overbought and is likely near a top for the bull market cycle.
Along with the upper and lower bound I have plotted a mid-line (in orange) to establish a neutral zone which helps depict what phase of the cycle we're in (under mid-line = bearish/accumulation phase, over mid-line = bullish/distribution phase).
The inputs for the upper and lower bound are customizable and will need to be adjusted over time as alpha decay will occur as time goes on. Currently the numbers are as follows:
0.2 for the lower bound
4.675 for the upper bound
Both inputs can be modified depending on your risk tolerance. Mathematically it is safe to assume these numbers will decrease as time goes on and volatility during cycle peaks & troughs is reduced.
I've also plotted an upper bound "heat zone" which is shaded in green, this area is great for signaling when you should be preparing to begin taking profits. It takes the upper bound and subtracts the lower bound to derive the band.
All the colors are customizable and this indicator is best used on a line chart but can be customized to use on a bar chart/candlestick as well.
Simple Moving Averages are a very basic indicator but are often extremely powerful because the majority of traders/investors are looking at such levels which creates a psychological/herd effect. Another good example is the law of round numbers.
Regardless this script can be adapted with EMAs or additional standard deviations if necessary. If you have any questions or concerns please don't hesitate to message me.
Ehlers Adaptive Cyber Cycle [CC]The Adaptive Cyber Cycle was created by John Ehlers and this is a cycle based indicator which you don't find too many of these days. Each stock goes through cycles which are repeating patterns of price movement and cycle indicators help you find the timing of the cycle to capitalize on the underlying cycle. That is an extremely simple explanation but most importantly don't interpret these indicators as the same as other indicators because it may seem like there are very many false signals but that is because of the different cycles the stock is undergoing. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish.
AnarchoEconomy 9-11 Weeks CyclesThis script is, with pleasure, written for the @AnarchoEconomy with his logic and strategy.
TO BE USED ONLY ON 1 WEEK TIMEFRAME!
1. Set the date in the settings to choose the all-time high on your pair.
2. The indicator divides price action into cycles.
3. A bullish cycle lasts 9 weeks.
4. A bearish cycle lasts 11 weeks.
5. A table displays the current symbol, trend, and week count.
For every next closed bullish cycle, you should know that the next two weeks could turn it into the bearish. If not, the new cycle will restart after 9 weeks of bullish close.
TopTenAlgo 8. Elliottwave Cycle EN: The Elliottwaves Cycle Oscillator is an indicator that allows the detection of impulsive (impulsive / ascend) or corrective (correction / fall) waves, ie each cycle (cycle) in Elliott Waves . The aim is to measure the speed of a real trend and to predict returns. In the uptrend or impulsive movement, Cycle continues its movement in the upper band after the price is set on a certain band, while in the downtrend or corrective move, the Cycle continues its movement in the lower band.
This algorithm is prepared with @Top10Algo ...
TR: Elliottwaves Cycle Osilatörü Elliott Dalgalarında ki impulsive (itkisel/yükseliş) yada corrective (düzeltme/düşüş) dalgaların yani her bir siklus’ un (cycle) önceden tespit edilmesini sağlayan bir göstergedir. Amaç gerçek bir trendin hızını ölçmek ve geri dönüşleri önceden tespit etmektir. Yükseliş trendi içinde yada impulsive bir harekette fiyat belli bir banda oturduktan sonra Cycle üst band’ da hareketine devam ederken, düşüş trendi içinde yada corrective bir harekette fiyat belli bir banda oturduktan sonra Cycle alt bandda hareketine devam eder.
Bu algoritma @Top10Algo ile beraber hazırlanmıştır...
Better RSI with bullish / bearish market cycle indicator This script improves the default RSI. First. it identifies regions of the RSI which are oversold and overbought by changing the color of RSI from white to red. Second, it adds additional reference lines at 20,40,50,60, and 80 to better gauge the RSI value. Finally, the coolest feature, the middle 50 line is used to indicate which cycle the price is currently at. A green color at the 50 line indicates a bullish cycle, a red color indicators a bearish cycle, and a white color indicates a neutral cycle.
The cycles are determined using the RSI as follows:
if RSI is overbought, cycle switches to bullish until RSI falls below 40, at which point it becomes neutral
if RSI is oversold, cycle switches bearish until RSI rises above 60, at which point it becomes neutral
a neutral cycle is exited at either overbought or oversold conditions
Very useful, please give it a try and let me know what you think
Bitcoin Cycle Log-Curve (JDK-Analysis)Important: The standard parameters provided in the script are specifically tuned for the TradingView Bitcoin Index chart on a monthly timeframe on logarithmic scale, and will yield the most accurate visual alignment when applied to that dataset. (more below)
This very simple script visualizes Bitcoin’s long-term price behavior using a logarithmic regression model designed to reflect the cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s historical market trends. Unlike typical technical indicators that react to recent price movements, this tool is built on the assumption that Bitcoin follows an exponential growth path over time, shaped by its fixed supply structure and four-year halving cycles.
The calculation behind the curved bands:
An upper boundary, a lower boundary, and a central midline, are calculated based on logarithmic functions applied to the bar index (which serves as a proxy for time). The upper and lower bounds are defined using exponential formulas of the type y = exp(constant + coefficient * log(bar_index)), allowing the curves to evolve dynamically over time. These bands serve as a macro-level guide for identifying periods of historical overvaluation (upper red curve) and undervaluation (lower green curve), with a central black curve representing the geometric average of the two.
How to customize the parameters:
The lower1_const and upper1_const values vertically shift the respective lower and upper curves—more negative values push the curve downward, while higher values lift it.
The lower1_coef and upper1_coef control the steepness of the curves over time, with higher values resulting in faster growth relative to time.
The shift_factor allows for uniform vertical adjustment of all curves simultaneously.
Additionally, the channel_width setting determines how far the mirrored bands extend from the original curves, creating a visual “channel” that can highlight more conservative or aggressive valuation zones depending on preference.
How to use this indicator:
This indicator is not intended for short-term trading or intraday signals. Rather, it serves as a contextual framework for long-term investors to identify high-risk zones near the upper curve and potential long-term value opportunities near the lower curve. These areas historically align with cycle tops and bottoms, and the model helps to place current price action within that broader cyclical narrative. While the concept draws inspiration from Bitcoin’s halving-driven market cycles and exponential adoption curve, the implementation is original in its use of time-based logarithmic regression to define dynamic trend boundaries.
It is best used as a strategic tool for cycle analysis, macro positioning, and trend anchoring—rather than as a short-term signal provider.
Ehlers Cycle Period [CC]The Cycle Period was created by John Ehlers and this is yet another version that shows how to calculate the current cycle period which is the approximate amount of days between a current peak or valley and the next peak or valley. I would not recommend this for trading since it is more for informational use only but I would try experimenting with this output to be used with another indicator as an input length. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Schaff Trend Cycle [ChuckBanger]The Schaff Trend Cycle is a method, developed by Doug Schaff and based on the concept that trends also have repeating high and low patterns, or cycles. This is a modified MACD line, run through a modified stochastic algorithm and smoothed with Wilders’ smoothing in order to estimate the final Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) indicator. Its purpose is to identify the direction, in which a trend cycle is moving and possible peaks and bottoms within this cycle.
If this is interesting you should also take a look at MACD Leader:
For more info about Schaff Trend Cycle Indicator:
www.investopedia.com
Ehlers Cyber CycleEhlers Cyber Cycle indicator script.
This indicator was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (see his book `Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures`, Chapter 4: `Trading the Cycle`).
Crimson/Grover Sine CycleThere is plenty of indicators trying to show cycles in price, the majority of them create a stationary version of the price and then smooth it, the Crimson/Grover cycle use as source a pure sine wave of period crimson and then use a best fit line with y = price and x = sine wave.Some final transformations are mades for highlights the cycle of the price.
The length parameter control the regression period and the crimson parameter the period of the sine cycle.If the length is higher than the crimson period then the indicator is more smoother but give more liberty to the sine wave.
The period of sine wave is equal to period/(2*3.14) .
A sine wave of period 100
For any questions regarding the indicator please contact me :)
