Dominant Cycle Tuned RsiIntroduction
Adaptive technical indicators are importants in a non stationary market, the ability to adapt to a situation can boost the efficiency of your strategy. A lot of methods have been proposed to make technical indicators "smarters" , from the use of variable smoothing constant for exponential smoothing to artificial intelligence.
The dominant cycle tuned rsi depend on the dominant cycle period of the market, such method allow the rsi to return accurate peaks and valleys levels. This indicator is an estimation of the cycle finder tuned rsi proposed by Lars von Thienen published in Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm/Fine-tuning technical indicators using the dominant market vibration/2010 using the cycle measurement method described by John F.Ehlers in Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures .
The following section is for information purpose only, it can be technical so you can skip directly to the The Indicator section.
Frequency Estimation and Maximum Entropy Spectral Analysis
“Looks like rain,” said Tom precipitously.
Tom would have been a great weather forecaster, but market patterns are more complex than weather ones. The ability to measure dominant cycles in a complex signal is hard, also a method able to estimate it really fast add even more challenge to the task. First lets talk about the term dominant cycle , signals can be decomposed in a sum of various sine waves of different frequencies and amplitudes, the dominant cycle is considered to be the frequency of the sine wave with the highest amplitude. In general the highest frequencies are those who form the trend (often called fundamentals) , so detrending is used to eliminate those frequencies in order to keep only mid/mid - highs ones.
A lot of methods have been introduced but not that many target market price, Lars von Thienen proposed a method relying on the following processing chain :
Lars von Thienen Method = Input -> Filtering and Detrending -> Discrete Fourier Transform of the result -> Selection using Bartels statistical test -> Output
Thienen said that his method is better than the one proposed by Elhers. The method from Elhers called MESA was originally developed to interpret seismographic information. This method in short involve the estimation of the phase using low amount of information which divided by 360 return the frequency. At first sight there are no relations with the Maximum entropy spectral estimation proposed by Burg J.P. (1967). Maximum Entropy Spectral Analysis. Proceedings of 37th Meeting, Society of Exploration Geophysics, Oklahoma City.
You may also notice that these methods are plotted in the time domain where more classic method such as : power spectrum, spectrogram or FFT are not. The method from Elhers is the one used to tune our rsi.
The Indicator
Our indicator use the dominant cycle frequency to calculate the period of the rsi thus producing an adaptive rsi . When our adaptive rsi cross under 70, price might start a downtrend, else when our adaptive rsi crossover 30, price might start an uptrend. The alpha parameter is a parameter set to be always lower than 1 and greater than 0. Lower values of alpha minimize the number of detected peaks/valleys while higher ones increase the number of those. 0.07 for alpha seems like a great parameter but it can sometimes need to be changed.
The adaptive indicator can also detect small top/bottoms of small periods
Of course the indicator is subject to failures
At the end it is totally dependent of the dominant cycle estimation, which is still a rough method subject to uncertainty.
Conclusion
Tuning your indicator is a great way to make it adapt to the market, but its also a complex way to do so and i'm not that convinced about the complexity/result ratio. The version using chart background will be published separately.
Feel free to tune your indicators with the estimator from elhers and see if it provide a great enhancement :)
Thanks for reading !
References
for the calculation of the dominant cycle estimator originally from www.davenewberg.com
Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm (2010) Lars von Thienen
Ehlers , J. F. 2004 . Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures: Cutting-Edge DSP Technology to Improve Your Trading . Wiley
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Futures"
Risk TrackerThis Risk Tracker Pine Script provides traders with a customizable tool for tracking and managing trade risk directly on their chart. The script is designed to accommodate both futures and crypto trades, allowing you to monitor risk and reward parameters, adjust contract sizes, and manage leverage in real-time.
Key Features:
1. Trade Direction and Risk-Reward Ratio:
• Select between Long or Short trade directions.
• Set a custom Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) to calculate potential profit and loss levels based on your trade setup.
2. Customizable Parameters:
• Input fields for contract size, leverage, margin, and maximum drawdown allow you to adjust the risk settings depending on the market you are trading.
• You can toggle between using a dollar-based or percentage-based risk calculation depending on whether you’re trading futures (USD-based) or crypto.
3. Real-time Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Calculation:
• The script automatically calculates and draws the Stop-Loss (SL) and Take-Profit (TP) levels on the chart based on your entry price and selected risk settings.
• The color of the SL and TP lines is customizable, allowing you to visually distinguish profit and loss levels.
4. Historical Price Levels:
• If there is no active trade, the script scans historical price data to find the last instances when the price hit the predefined stop-loss or take-profit levels, helping you understand past price behavior.
5. Risk Management Table:
• A summary table is displayed on the chart, showing the key metrics of your trade, including:
• Tick value and Dollar value for futures.
• Margin and Leverage for crypto.
• Risk-Reward Ratio, Entry price, Risk and Profit in USD or percentage terms.
• The table dynamically updates based on the current trade status.
6. Extended Chart Visualization:
• Option to extend the SL and TP lines to the left of the chart, allowing you to easily view these levels across multiple timeframes and bars.
This script helps ensure you are always aware of your trade’s risk profile, providing a clear and visual representation of potential profit and loss, both in terms of percentage and dollar value. Ideal for futures and crypto traders who rely on precise risk management to maintain profitability.
LibraryCOT_NZLibrary "LibraryCOT_NZ"
This library provides tools to help Pine programmers fetch Commitment of Traders (COT) data for futures.
rootToCFTCCode(root)
Accepts a futures root and returns the relevant CFTC code.
Parameters:
root (simple string) : Root prefix of the future's symbol, e.g. "ZC" for "ZC1!"" or "ZCU2021".
Returns: The part of a COT ticker corresponding to `root`, or "" if no CFTC code exists for the `root`.
currencyToCFTCCode(currency)
Converts a currency string to its corresponding CFTC code.
Parameters:
currency (simple string)
Returns: The corresponding to the currency, if one exists.
optionsToTicker(includeOptions)
Returns the part of a COT ticker using the `includeOptions` value supplied, which determines whether options data is to be included.
Parameters:
includeOptions (simple bool) : A "bool" value: 'true' if the symbol should include options and 'false' otherwise.
Returns: The part of a COT ticker: "FO" for data that includes options and "F" for data that doesn't.
metricNameAndDirectionToTicker(metricName, metricDirection)
Returns a string corresponding to a metric name and direction, which is one component required to build a valid COT ticker ID.
Parameters:
metricName (simple string) : One of the metric names listed in this library's chart. Invalid values will cause a runtime error.
metricDirection (simple string) : Metric direction. Possible values are: "Long", "Short", "Spreading", and "No direction". Valid values vary with metrics. Invalid values will cause a runtime error.
Returns: The part of a COT ticker ID string, e.g., "OI_OLD" for "Open Interest" and "No direction", or "TC_L" for "Traders Commercial" and "Long".
typeToTicker(metricType)
Converts a metric type into one component required to build a valid COT ticker ID. See the "Old and Other Futures" section of the CFTC's Explanatory Notes for details on types.
Parameters:
metricType (simple string) : Metric type. Accepted values are: "All", "Old", "Other".
Returns: The part of a COT ticker.
convertRootToCOTCode(mode, convertToCOT)
Depending on the `mode`, returns a CFTC code using the chart's symbol or its currency information when `convertToCOT = true`. Otherwise, returns the symbol's root or currency information. If no COT data exists, a runtime error is generated.
Parameters:
mode (simple string) : A string determining how the function will work. Valid values are:
"Root": the function extracts the futures symbol root (e.g. "ES" in "ESH2020") and looks for its CFTC code.
"Base currency": the function extracts the first currency in a pair (e.g. "EUR" in "EURUSD") and looks for its CFTC code.
"Currency": the function extracts the quote currency ("JPY" for "TSE:9984" or "USDJPY") and looks for its CFTC code.
"Auto": the function tries the first three modes (Root -> Base Currency -> Currency) until a match is found.
convertToCOT (simple bool) : "bool" value that, when `true`, causes the function to return a CFTC code. Otherwise, the root or currency information is returned. Optional. The default is `true`.
Returns: If `convertToCOT` is `true`, the part of a COT ticker ID string. If `convertToCOT` is `false`, the root or currency extracted from the current symbol.
COTTickerid(COTType, CFTCCode, includeOptions, metricName, metricDirection, metricType)
Returns a valid TradingView ticker for the COT symbol with specified parameters.
Parameters:
COTType (simple string) : A string with the type of the report requested with the ticker, one of the following: "Legacy", "Disaggregated", "Financial".
CFTCCode (simple string)
includeOptions (simple bool) : A boolean value. 'true' if the symbol should include options and 'false' otherwise.
metricName (simple string) : One of the metric names listed in this library's chart.
metricDirection (simple string) : Direction of the metric, one of the following: "Long", "Short", "Spreading", "No direction".
metricType (simple string) : Type of the metric. Possible values: "All", "Old", and "Other".
Returns: A ticker ID string usable with `request.security()` to fetch the specified Commitment of Traders data.
UB Short Signal (10Y Yield Future Spike)"This indicator identifies short opportunities on UB futures based on inverse correlation with 10Y Yield Futures. A macro trading tool to be used with additional confirmations."
🎯 Indicator Strategy
This tool generates sell signals for Ultra Bond (UB) futures when:
The Micro 10-Year Yield Future shows an upward spike (> adjustable threshold)
Trading volume is significant (false signal filter)
Inverse correlation is confirmed (UB falls when 10Y rises)
⚙️ Parameters
Spike Threshold: Sensitivity adjustment (e.g., 0.08% for swing trading)
Minimum Volume: Default 100 (optimized for Micro 10Y contracts)
📊 Recent Backtest
06/15/2024: +0.10% spike → UB dropped -0.3% within 15 minutes
06/18/2024: Valid signal post-CPI release
⚠️ Disclaimer
Analytical tool only – not financial advice
Must be combined with proper risk management
Open Interest Auto OverrideWhat does this “Open Interest Auto Override” Indicator
do?
Open Interest data is not supplied by every exchange to TradingView, however it is available on Binance Perpetual Futures. This script helps the crypto trader to identify the equivalent Binance Perpetual Futures Chart that has Open Interest Data available and automatically displays this on the traders chart.
How can a trader use this indicator?
This helps the trader to identify if there is Open Interest Data available in Binance and automatically displays it, making it easier to switch Coins whilst viewing the market.
What is Open Interest and how can I trade using this indicator?
Open Interest (OI) is the number of open futures contracts held by traders in active positions. The higher the value the Higher the number of open positions which indicates an increase in interest by traders in the asset.
If OI is increasing an equal number of longs and short positions are being opened.
If OI Decreases both longs and shorts are exiting the market.
If OI remains unchanged, no new contracts are entering or exiting, or an equal number of positions are being opened as there are being closed.
Open Interest can help traders by giving us a hint that a breakout may occur. If Open Interest is increasing whilst price is consolidating it may indicate that a breakout is imminent. If Open Interest is decreasing whilst price is consolidating it is likely that a false move in the form of a stop hunt may be issued prior to the actual breakout.
Usage of the Indicator:
By default the indicator will automatically use the Equivalent Binance Perpetual Chart for the Data
You can override the symbol manually if you what to view another exchanges data.
GG - LevelsThe GG Levels indicator is a tool designed for day trading U.S. equity futures. It highlights key levels intraday, overnight, intermediate-swing levels that are relevant for intraday futures trading.
Terminology
RTH (Regular Trading Hours): Represents the New York session from 09:30 to 17:00 EST.
ON Session (Overnight Session): Represents the trading activity from 17:00 to 09:29 EST.
IB (Initial Balance): The first hour of the New York session, from 09:30 to 10:30 EST.
Open: The opening price of the RTH session.
YH (Yesterday's High): The highest price during the RTH session of the previous day.
YL (Yesterday's Low): The lowest price during the RTH session of the previous day.
YC (Yesterday's Close): The daily bar close which for futures gets updated to settlement.
IBH (Initial Balance High): The highest price during the IB session.
IBL (Initial Balance Low): The lowest price during the IB session.
ONH (Overnight High): The highest price during the ON session.
ONL (Overnight Low): The lowest price during the ON session.
VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): The volume-weighted average price that resets each day.
Why is RTH Important?
Tracking the RTH session is important because often times the overnight session can be filled with "lies". It is thought that because the overnight session is lower volume price can be pushed or "manipulated" to extremes that would not happen during higher volume times.
Why is the ON Session Important Then?
Just because the ON session can be thought as a "lie" doesn't mean it is relevant to know. For example, if price is stuck inside the ON range then you can think of the market as rotational or range-bound. If price is above the ON range then it can be thought of as bullish. If price is below the ON range then it can be thought as bearish.
What is IB?
IB or initial balance is the first hour of the New York Session. Typically the market sets the tone for the day in the first hour. This tone is similarly a map like the ON session. If we are above the IBH then it is bullish and likely a trend day to the upside. If we are below the IBL then it is bearish and likely a trend day to the downside. If we are in IB then we want to avoid conducting business in the middle of IBH and IBL to avoid getting chopped up in a range bound market.
These levels are not a holy grail
You should use this indicator as guide or map for context about the instrument you are trading. You need to combine your own technical analysis with this indicator. You want as much context confirming your trade thesis in order to enter a trade. Simply buying or selling because we are above or below a level is not recommended in any circumstance. If it were that easy I would not publish this indicator.
Adjustments
In the indicator settings you can adjust the RTH, ON, and IB session-time settings. All of the times entered must be in EST (Eastern Standard Time). You may want to do this to apply the levels to a foreign market.
Examples
PriceCatch-Intraday VolumeHi TV Community,
Greetings to you.
This is a script that may be of use to intra-day traders. Knowing how much volume is getting traded and in which direction can help with decision-making in trading - especially when trading Futures.
So, this script, displays volume, number of candles and trades on intra-day time-frames.
FUTURES CHART
NOTE: The instrument must contain volume information for this script to work.
Number of trades will be accurate on Futures Chart because Volume / lot-size will give number of trades on a specific time-interval. For cash chart, please ignore this value.
Please use this script on Intra-day time-frame only.
Hope this script may be of use to you. All the best.
Comments/queries welcome.
PriceCatch
PS: As always with trading you and you alone are responsible for your actions and the profits/losses resulting from your trading activity.
Ether (Ethereum) CME Gaps [NeoButane]Detects gaps in trading for CME's "Ether" cash-settled futures. This will show gaps as they happen on the 24/7 charts that crypto exchanges use. It is not usable on CME's tickers themselves, as gaps in trading are not displayed.
This indicator will only display if viewing an ETH chart.
More information on the CME ETH futures here:
www.cmegroup.com
Based on:
What's different: CME's BTC and ETH markets trade the same hours, but one may hit a limit breaker while there may be a case where the other does not.
Change % Inteligente - NQ / ES / YMTopstep Compliance: Daily Price Change % Alert (NQ / ES / YM)
Script Purpose
This script helps funded traders (especially those using Topstep or similar programs) monitor the real-time percentage change of major equity index futures: Nasdaq (NQ), S&P 500 (ES), and Dow Jones (YM).
⚠️ Why it matters
Topstep prohibits trading within 2% of the daily price limits set by the CME. If a trader holds a position too close to those limits, they risk account disqualification.
📊 How it works
• Detects the instrument: NQ1!, ES1!, YM1!, or M2025 contracts
• Calculates the real-time % change from today’s market open
• Simulates daily CME price limits (+7% / -7%)
• Highlights when price enters the last 2% of the limit range (prohibited zone)
• Displays a clean, floating panel with the current % change and a warning if necessary
• Sends a visual and optional audio alert when in the prohibited zone
🧠 What makes this script unique?
This tool is **not for technical analysis**. It focuses exclusively on **funding program compliance** and **account protection**, which is not covered by other public scripts. It’s lightweight, intuitive, and designed for traders who manage risk like professionals.
✅ Open-source and ready for review.
✅ CHART SETUP FOR PUBLICATION
✔️ Use a clean chart
✔️ Only apply this script
✔️ Make sure the panel is visible (top-right or top-center recommended)
❌ No extra indicators or drawings
✔️ Use NQM2025, ESM2025 or YMM2025 on a volatile day (to show -1% to -3% range)
INSTRUCTIONS
1. Add the script to your chart.
2. Use it with NQ1!, ES1!, or YM1! (or M2025 contracts).
3. The panel will show today’s price change %.
4. If the market is within the last 2% of the CME price limit, a warning will appear.
5. Use this to avoid violating Topstep’s trading rules during volatile days.
Maguila Strategy by Rodrigo CohenREAD BEFORE USE!!!
!!!ALERT!!!! THIS CODE ONLY WORKS WITH WDO AND WIN , BOTH WITH TIMEFRAMES 1 MINUTE AND 5 MINUTE.
This is a test to the Maguila strategy created by Rodrigo Cohen.
This code MUST be validaded by Rodrigo Cohen, use ONLY for tests.
Some results are different from Cohen's videos, so the McGuinley indicator needs some ajustments.
FUTURES: WIN , WDO
TIME FRAME: 1 Minute (also works in 5 minutes)
INDICATORS: McGinley Dynamic accompanied by the Exponential Moving Average coloring rule of 21 and 42 periods
MARKET TYPE: In trend (up or down)
INPUT:
1. When buying (long) = Market in an upward trend, the average of 21 crosses that of 42 upwards. When the price returns to the average of 21, wait for a positive candle in the Maguila's color and buy a break from the maximum of this signal candle.
2. On sale (short) = Downtrend market, the average of 21 crosses that of 42 downwards. When the price returns to the average of 21, wait for a negative candle in the Maguila's color and sell when the minimum of this signal candle breaks.
GAIN and LOSS are technical.
DEFAULT VALUES:
Averages:
- 1 minute - EMA 21 and EMA 42
- 5 minute - EMA 17 and EMA 34
Gains and Loss:
- WDO - 10 points
- WIN - 200 points
Z-Score Normalized Volatility IndicesVolatility is one of the most important measures in financial markets, reflecting the extent of variation in asset prices over time. It is commonly viewed as a risk indicator, with higher volatility signifying greater uncertainty and potential for price swings, which can affect investment decisions. Understanding volatility and its dynamics is crucial for risk management and forecasting in both traditional and alternative asset classes.
Z-Score Normalization in Volatility Analysis
The Z-score is a statistical tool that quantifies how many standard deviations a given data point is from the mean of the dataset. It is calculated as:
Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}
Where X is the value of the data point, \mu is the mean of the dataset, and \sigma is the standard deviation of the dataset. In the context of volatility indices, the Z-score allows for the normalization of these values, enabling their comparison regardless of the original scale. This is particularly useful when analyzing volatility across multiple assets or asset classes.
This script utilizes the Z-score to normalize various volatility indices:
1. VIX (CBOE Volatility Index): A widely used indicator that measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 options. It is considered a barometer of market fear and uncertainty (Whaley, 2000).
2. VIX3M: Represents the 3-month implied volatility of the S&P 500 options, providing insight into medium-term volatility expectations.
3. VIX9D: The implied volatility for a 9-day S&P 500 options contract, which reflects short-term volatility expectations.
4. VVIX: The volatility of the VIX itself, which measures the uncertainty in the expectations of future volatility.
5. VXN: The Nasdaq-100 volatility index, representing implied volatility in the Nasdaq-100 options.
6. RVX: The Russell 2000 volatility index, tracking the implied volatility of options on the Russell 2000 Index.
7. VXD: Volatility for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
8. MOVE: The implied volatility index for U.S. Treasury bonds, offering insight into expectations for interest rate volatility.
9. BVIX: Volatility of Bitcoin options, a useful indicator for understanding the risk in the cryptocurrency market.
10. GVZ: Volatility index for gold futures, reflecting the risk perception of gold prices.
11. OVX: Measures implied volatility for crude oil futures.
Volatility Clustering and Z-Score
The concept of volatility clustering—where high volatility tends to be followed by more high volatility—is well documented in financial literature. This phenomenon is fundamental in volatility modeling and highlights the persistence of periods of heightened market uncertainty (Bollerslev, 1986).
Moreover, studies by Andersen et al. (2012) explore how implied volatility indices, like the VIX, serve as predictors for future realized volatility, underlining the relationship between expected volatility and actual market behavior. The Z-score normalization process helps in making volatility data comparable across different asset classes, enabling more effective decision-making in volatility-based strategies.
Applications in Trading and Risk Management
By using Z-score normalization, traders can more easily assess deviations from the mean in volatility, helping to identify periods when volatility is unusually high or low. This can be used to adjust risk exposure or to implement volatility-based trading strategies, such as mean reversion strategies. Research suggests that volatility mean-reversion is a reliable pattern that can be exploited for profit (Christensen & Prabhala, 1998).
References:
• Andersen, T. G., Bollerslev, T., Diebold, F. X., & Vega, C. (2012). Realized volatility and correlation dynamics: A long-run approach. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(3), 385-406.
• Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327.
• Christensen, B. J., & Prabhala, N. R. (1998). The relation between implied and realized volatility. Journal of Financial Economics, 50(2), 125-150.
• Whaley, R. E. (2000). Derivatives on market volatility and the VIX index. Journal of Derivatives, 8(1), 71-84.
Key LevelsI couldn't find an indicator that plotted previous day and intraday key levels like I wanted.
This indicator plots key levels on the chart:
Current session high (HOD) and low (LOD)
Previous day high (PDH), low (PDL), and close (PDC)
Overnight high (ONH) and low (ONL) based on a defined overnight window
At the start of a new session (day), the indicator resets its values and creates a new set of labels.
These labels are positioned in a fixed horizontal column (offset from the current bar) and are updated each bar so that they remain vertically aligned with their corresponding level (with a small vertical offset).
Inputs you can modify:
Futures Mode and session times for equities and futures.
Horizontal label offset (in bars) and vertical offset (price units) for label positioning.
Colors, line widths, and styles for each level (day high, day low, overnight high/low, previous day levels).
Adjust these inputs to match your market hours and desired appearance.
Zero background in coding, but worked with chatGPT to develop this, and it works for me. Would welcome any and all feedback.
Aggressive Strategy for High IV Market### Strategic background
In a volatile high IV market, prices are volatile and market expectations of future uncertainty are high. This environment provides opportunities for aggressive trading strategies, but also comes with a high level of risk. In pursuit of a high Sharpe ratio (i.e., risk-adjusted return), we need to design a strategy that captures the benefits of market volatility while effectively controlling risk. Based on daily line cycles, I choose a combination of trend tracking and volatility filtering for highly volatile assets such as stocks, futures or cryptocurrencies.
---
### Strategy framework
#### Data
- Use daily data, including opening, closing, high and low prices.
- Suitable for highly volatile markets such as technology stocks, cryptocurrencies or volatile index futures.
#### Core indicators
1. ** Trend Indicators ** :
Fast Exponential Moving Average (EMA_fast) : 10-day EMA, used to capture short-term trends.
- Slow Exponential Moving Average (EMA_slow) : 30-day EMA, used to determine the long-term trend.
2. ** Volatility Indicators ** :
Average true Volatility (ATR) : 14-day ATR, used to measure market volatility.
- ATR mean (ATR_mean) : A simple moving average of the 20-day ATR that serves as a volatility benchmark.
- ATR standard deviation (ATR_std) : The standard deviation of the 20-day ATR, which is used to judge extreme changes in volatility.
#### Trading logic
The strategy is based on a trend following approach of double moving averages and filters volatility through ATR indicators, ensuring that trading only in a high-volatility environment is in line with aggressive and high sharpe ratio goals.
---
### Entry and exit conditions
#### Admission conditions
- ** Multiple entry ** :
- EMA_fast Crosses EMA_slow (gold cross), indicating that the short-term trend is turning upward.
-ATR > ATR_mean + 1 * ATR_std indicates that the current volatility is above average and the market is in a state of high volatility.
- ** Short Entry ** :
- EMA_fast Crosses EMA_slow (dead cross) downward, indicating that the short-term trend turns downward.
-ATR > ATR_mean + 1 * ATR_std, confirming high volatility.
#### Appearance conditions
- ** Long show ** :
- EMA_fast Enters the EMA_slow (dead cross) downward, and the trend reverses.
- or ATR < ATR_mean-1 * ATR_std, volatility decreases significantly and the market calms down.
- ** Bear out ** :
- EMA_fast Crosses the EMA_slow (gold cross) on the top, and the trend reverses.
- or ATR < ATR_mean-1 * ATR_std, the volatility is reduced.
---
### Risk management
To control the high risk associated with aggressive strategies, set up the following mechanisms:
1. ** Stop loss ** :
- Long: Entry price - 2 * ATR.
- Short: Entry price + 2 * ATR.
- Dynamic stop loss based on ATR can adapt to market volatility changes.
2. ** Stop profit ** :
- Fixed profit target can be selected (e.g. entry price ± 4 * ATR).
- Or use trailing stop losses to lock in profits following price movements.
3. ** Location Management ** :
- Reduce positions appropriately in times of high volatility, such as dynamically adjusting position size according to ATR, ensuring that the risk of a single trade does not exceed 1%-2% of the account capital.
---
### Strategy features
- ** Aggressiveness ** : By trading only in a high ATR environment, the strategy takes full advantage of market volatility and pursues greater returns.
- ** High Sharpe ratio potential ** : Trend tracking combined with volatility filtering to avoid ineffective trades during periods of low volatility and improve the ratio of return to risk.
- ** Daily line Cycle ** : Based on daily line data, suitable for traders who operate frequently but are not too complex.
---
### Implementation steps
1. ** Data Preparation ** :
- Get the daily data of the target asset.
- Calculate EMA_fast (10 days), EMA_slow (30 days), ATR (14 days), ATR_mean (20 days), and ATR_std (20 days).
2. ** Signal generation ** :
- Check EMA cross signals and ATR conditions daily to generate long/short signals.
3. ** Execute trades ** :
- Enter according to the signal, set stop loss and profit.
- Monitor exit conditions and close positions in time.
4. ** Backtest and Optimization ** :
- Use historical data to backtest strategies to evaluate Sharpe ratios, maximum retracements, and win rates.
- Optimize parameters such as EMA period and ATR threshold to improve policy performance.
---
### Precautions
- ** Trading costs ** : Highly volatile markets may result in frequent trading, and the impact of fees and slippage on earnings needs to be considered.
- ** Risk Control ** : Aggressive strategies may face large retracements and need to strictly implement stop losses.
- ** Scalability ** : Additional metrics (such as volume or VIX) can be added to enhance strategy robustness, or combined with machine learning to predict trends and volatility.
---
### Summary
This is a trend following strategy based on dual moving averages and ATR, designed for volatile high IV markets. By entering into high volatility and exiting into low volatility, the strategy combines aggressive and risk-adjusted returns for traders seeking a high sharpe ratio. It is recommended to fully backtest before implementation and adjust the parameters according to the specific market.
Turtle Soup ICT Strategy [TradingFinder] FVG + CHoCH/CSD🔵 Introduction
The ICT Turtle Soup trading setup, designed in the ICT style, operates by hunting or sweeping liquidity zones to exploit false breakouts and failed breakouts in key liquidity Zones, such as recent highs, lows, or major support and resistance levels.
This setup identifies moments when the price breaches these liquidity zones, triggering stop orders placed (Stop Hunt) by other traders, and then quickly reverses direction. These movements are often associated with liquidity sweeps that create temporary market imbalances.
The reversal is typically confirmed by one of three structural shifts : a Market Structure Shift (MSS), a Change of Character (CHoCH), or a break of the Change in State of Delivery (CISD). Each of these structural shifts provides a reliable signal to interpret market intent and align trading decisions with the expected price movement. After the structural shift, the price frequently pullback to a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering a precise entry point for trades.
By integrating key concepts such as liquidity, liquidity sweeps, stop order activation, structural shifts (MSS, CHoCH, CISD), and price imbalances, the ICT Turtle Soup setup enables traders to identify reversal points and key entry zones with high accuracy.
This strategy is highly versatile, making it applicable across markets such as forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures. It offers traders a robust and systematic approach to understanding price movements and optimizing their trading strategies
🟣 Bullish and Bearish Setups
Bullish Setup : The price first sweeps below a Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) zone, then reverses upward after forming an MSS or CHoCH, and finally pulls back to an FVG, creating a buying opportunity.
Bearish Setup : The price first sweeps above a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) zone, then reverses downward after forming an MSS or CHoCH, and finally pulls back to an FVG, creating a selling opportunity.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively utilize the ICT Turtle Soup trading setup, begin by identifying key liquidity zones, such as recent highs, lows, or support and resistance levels, in higher timeframes.
Then, monitor lower timeframes for a Liquidity Sweep and confirmation of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or Change of Character (CHoCH).
After the structural shift, the price typically pulls back to an FVG, offering an optimal trade entry point. Below, the bullish and bearish setups are explained in detail.
🟣 Bullish Turtle Soup Setup
Identify Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) : In a higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour or 4-hour), identify recent price lows or support levels that serve as SSL zones, typically the location of stop-loss orders for traders.
Observe a Liquidity Sweep : On a lower timeframe (e.g., 15-minute or 30-minute), the price must move below one of these liquidity zones and then reverse. This movement indicates a liquidity sweep.
Confirm Market Structure Shift : After the price reversal, look for a structural shift (MSS or CHoCH) indicated by the formation of a Higher Low (HL) and Higher High (HH).
Enter the Trade : Once the structural shift is confirmed, the price typically pulls back to an FVG. Enter a buy trade in this zone, set a stop-loss slightly below the recent low, and target Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) in the higher timeframe for profit.
🟣 Bearish Turtle Soup Setup
Identify Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) : In a higher timeframe, identify recent price highs or resistance levels that serve as BSL zones, typically the location of stop-loss orders for traders.
Observe a Liquidity Sweep : On a lower timeframe, the price must move above one of these liquidity zones and then reverse. This movement indicates a liquidity sweep.
Confirm Market Structure Shift : After the price reversal, look for a structural shift (MSS or CHoCH) indicated by the formation of a Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL).
Enter the Trade : Once the structural shift is confirmed, the price typically pulls back to an FVG. Enter a sell trade in this zone, set a stop-loss slightly above the recent high, and target Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) in the higher timeframe for profit.
🔵 Settings
Higher TimeFrame Levels : This setting allows you to specify the higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily) for identifying key liquidity zones.
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
FVG Length : Default is 120 Bar.
MSS Length : Default is 80 Bar.
FVG Filter : This refines the number of identified FVG areas based on a specified algorithm to focus on higher quality signals and reduce noise.
Types of FVG filter s:
Very Aggressive Filter: Adds a condition where, for an upward FVG, the last candle's highest price must exceed the middle candle's highest price, and for a downward FVG, the last candle's lowest price must be lower than the middle candle's lowest price. This minimally filters out FVGs.
Aggressive Filter: Builds on the Very Aggressive mode by ensuring the middle candle is not too small, filtering out more FVGs.
Defensive Filter: Adds criteria regarding the size and structure of the middle candle, requiring it to have a substantial body and specific polarity conditions, filtering out a significant number of FVGs.
Very Defensive Filter: Further refines filtering by ensuring the first and third candles are not small-bodied doji candles, retaining only the highest quality signals.
In the indicator settings, you can customize the visibility of various elements, including MSS, FVG, and HTF Levels. Additionally, the color of each element can be adjusted to match your preferences. This feature allows traders to tailor the chart display to their specific needs, enhancing focus on the key data relevant to their strategy.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Turtle Soup trading setup is a powerful tool in the ICT style, enabling traders to exploit false breakouts in key liquidity zones. By combining concepts of liquidity, liquidity sweeps, market structure shifts (MSS and CHoCH), and pullbacks to FVG, this setup helps traders identify precise reversal points and execute trades with reduced risk and increased accuracy.
With applications across various markets, including forex, stocks, crypto, and futures, and its customizable indicator settings, the ICT Turtle Soup setup is ideal for both beginner and advanced traders. By accurately identifying liquidity zones in higher timeframes and confirming structure shifts in lower timeframes, this setup provides a reliable strategy for navigating volatile market conditions.
Ultimately, success with this setup requires consistent practice, precise market analysis, and proper risk management, empowering traders to make smarter decisions and achieve their trading goals.
MNQ/NQ Rotations [Tiestobob]### Indicator Description: MNQ/NQ Rotations
TO BE USED ONLY ON THE CONTINOUS CONTRACTS NQ1! and MNQ1! It will not work on others or the forward contracts of these.
#### Overview
The MNQ/NQ Rotations indicator is designed for traders of Nasdaq futures (MNQ and NQ) to visualize key price levels where typical market rotations occur. This indicator identifies and highlights the xxx.20 and xxx.80 levels based on empirical data and trading experience, allowing traders to recognize potential support and resistance points during trading sessions.
#### Key Features
- **Timeframe Selection**: The indicator allows users to specify a timeframe for identifying breakout candles, ensuring flexibility across different trading strategies.
- **Active Trading Range**: Users can define an active trading range, focusing the analysis on specific hours when the market is most active.
- **Visual Representation**: The indicator paints horizontal lines at key price levels (xxx.20 and xxx.80), extending them across a user-defined length to aid in visual analysis.
- **Customization**: Users can customize the color of the lines to match their charting preferences.
#### Inputs
- **Timeframe (`tf`)**: Defines the timeframe to select the breakout candle (default: 1 minute).
- **Active Trading Range (`session`)**: Specifies the time range for identifying breakout candles (default: 08:00-12:00).
- **Line Color (`line_color`)**: Allows customization of the line color (default: purple).
#### Logic
1. **Session Validation**: The indicator checks if the current bar falls within the specified active trading range.
2. **Price Point Calculation**: For each candle close, the indicator calculates the nearest xxx.20 and xxx.80 levels.
3. **Line Drawing**: Horizontal lines are drawn at these key levels, extending a specified length forward to highlight potential rotation points.
#### Use Cases
- **Support and Resistance Identification**: By highlighting the xxx.20 and xxx.80 levels, traders can easily spot areas where the market is likely to reverse or consolidate.
- **Breakout Trading**: Traders can use the indicator to identify breakout levels and set appropriate entry points.
- **Risk Management**: The visual cues provided by the indicator can help traders set more effective stop-loss and take-profit levels.
#### Example
A trader using a 1-minute timeframe with an active trading range from 08:00 to 12:00 will see horizontal lines painted at the nearest xxx.20 and xxx.80 levels for each candle close during this period. These lines serve as visual markers for typical rotation points, aiding in decision-making and trade planning.
#### Conclusion
The MNQ/NQ Rotations indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their market analysis of Nasdaq futures. By focusing on empirically derived rotation levels, this indicator provides clear visual cues for identifying key price levels, supporting more informed trading decisions.
Turtle Trading Strategy@lihexieThe full implementation of the Turtle Trading Rules (as distinct from the various truncated versions circulating within the community) is now ready.
This trading strategy script distinguishes itself from all currently publicly available Turtle trading systems on Tradingview by comprehensively embodying the rules for entries, exits, position management, and profit and loss controls.
Market Selection:
Trade in highly liquid markets such as forex, commodity futures, and stock index futures.
Entry Strategies:
Model 1: Buy when the price breaks above the highest point of the last 20 trading days; Sell when the price drops below the lowest point of the last 20 trading days. When an entry opportunity arises, if the previous trade was profitable, skip the current breakout opportunity and refrain from entering.
Model 2: Buy when the price breaks above the highest point of the last 55 trading days; Sell when the price drops below the lowest point of the last 55 trading days.
Position Sizing:
Determine the size of each position based on the price volatility (ATR) to ensure that the risk of each trade does not exceed 2% of the account balance.
Exit Strategies:
1. Use a fixed stop-loss point to limit losses: Close long positions when the price falls below the lowest point of the last 10 trading days.
2. Trailing stop-loss: Once a position is profitable, adjust the stop-loss point to protect profits.
Pyramiding Rules:
Unit Doubling: Increase position size by one unit every time the price moves forward by n (default is 0.5) units of ATR, up to a maximum of 4 units, while also raising the stop-loss point to below the ATR value at the level of additional entries.
海龟交易法则的完整实现（区别于当前社区各种有阉割海龟交易系统代码）
本策略脚本区别于Tradingview目前公开的所有的海龟交易系统，完整的实现了海龟交易法则中入场、出场、仓位管理，止盈止损的规则。
市场选择：
选择流动性高的市场进行交易，如外汇、商品期货和股指期货等。
入市策略：
模式1：当价格突破过去20个交易日的高点时，买入；当价格跌破过去20个交易日的低点时，卖出。当出现入场机会时，如果上一笔交易是盈利的，那么跳过当前突破的机会，不进行入场。
模式2：当价格突破过去55个交易日的高点时，买入；当价格跌破过去55个交易日的低点时，卖出。
头寸规模：
根据价格波动性（ATR）来确定每个头寸的大小, 使每笔交易的风险不超过账户余额的2%。
退出策略：
1. 使用一个固定的止损点来限制损失：当多头头寸的价格跌破过去10个交易日的低点时，平仓止损。
2. 跟踪止损：一旦头寸盈利，移动止损点以保护利润。
加仓规则：
单位加倍：每当价格向前n（默认是0.5）个单位的ATR移动时，就增加一个单位的头寸大小（默认最大头寸数量是4个），同时将止损点提升至加仓点位的ATR值以下。
MACD Crossover with +/- FilterThis is to directly target when MACD crosses the Signal line. The purpose of this script is to target a +/- change of 3 in the MACD value after the most recent cross. It uses the value of the MACD line and holds it until a value of 3.00 + or - a crossover or crossunder happens. That's the significance of the red and green circles that appear on the chart. This is not financial advice, but I wanted to recreate what a friend of mine was doing manually and automate it for him.
The first circle that appears after MACD/SIGNAL lines cross would represent a potential trade idea. The circles after the first one match the intention of the first dot as they meet the condition of more than a value of -3 or +3 as the previous dot.
Inputs:
Standard Inputs as normal MACD (Moving Average Converging Divergence) within TradingView
Fast Length: User can change it to any value they want
Slow Length: User can change it to any value they want
Standard 12, 26, 9 as normal MACD // 9 being signal smoothing
Oscillator and Signal Line moving average type is using EMA's
Timeframe is dependent on user chart.
Circles are used for signaling the change in values. Red indicates a short-term bearish trend. Green indicates a short-term bullish trend.
Tested on lower timeframes:
1m, 3m, 5m, 15m, 60m
Not used as much on higher timeframes. Used for trading futures. This is what I use it for. It can be used for other futures than just NQ or ES, but those 2 are the ones that I've tested. Code it shown below for users to tinker with.
Style of indication symbol can be changed via settings within the indicator in the "Style" tab, as well as location of the symbol(s). Additionally, color can be changed as well, if you prefer different colors.
Not financial advice. Just trade ideas.
LNL Trend SystemLNL Trend System is an ATR based day trading system specifically designed for intra-day traders and scalpers. The System works on any chart time frame & can be applied to any market. The study consist of two components - the Trend Line and the Stop Line. Trend System is based on a special ATR calculation that is achieved by combining the previous values of the 13 EMA in relation to the ATR which creates a line of deviations that visually look similar to the basic moving average but actually produce very different results ESPECIALLY in sideways market.
Trend Line:
Trend Line is a simple line which is basically a fast gauge represented by the 13 EMA that can change the color based on the current trend structure defined by multiple averages (8,13,21,34 EMAs). Trend Line is there to simply add the confluence for the current trend. Colors of the line are pretty much self-explanatory. Whenever the line turns red it states that the current structure is bearish. Vice versa for green line. Gray line represents neutral market structure.
Stop Line:
Stop Line is an ATR deviaton line with special calculation based on the previous bar ATRs and position of the price in relation to the current and previous values of 13 EMA. As already stated, this creates an ATR deviation marker either above or below the price that trails the price up or down until they touch. Whenever the price comes into the Stop Line it means it is making an ATR expansion move up or down .This touch will usually resolve into a reaction (a bounce) which provides trade opportunities.
Trend Bars:
When turned ON, Trend Bars can provide additional confulence of the current trend alongside with the Trend Line color. Trend Bars are based on the DMI and ADX indicators. Whenever the DMI is bearish and ADX is above 20 the candles paint themselfs red. And vice versa applies for the green candles and bullish DMI. Whenever the ADX falls below the 20, candles are netural (Gray) which means there is no real trend in place at the moment.
Trend Mode:
There are total of 5 different trend modes available. Each mode is visualizing different ATR settings which provides either aggressive or more conservative approach. The more tigher the mode, the more closer the distance between the price and the Stop Line. First two modes were designed for slower markets, whereas the "Loose" and "FOMC" modes are more suitable for products with high volatility.
Trend Modes:
1. Tight
Ideal for the slowest markets. Slowest market can be any market with unusually small average true range values or just simply a market that does have a personality of a "sleeper". Tight Mode can be also used for aggresive entries in the most ridiculous trends. Sometimes price will barely pullback to the Trend Line not even the Stop Line.
2. Normal
Normal Mode is the golden mean between the modes. "Normal" provides the ideal ATR lengths for the most used markets such as S&P Futures (ES) or SPY, AAPL and plenty of other highly popular stocks. More often than not, the length of this mode is respected considering there is no breaking news or high impact market event scheduled.
3. Loose
The "Loose" mode is basically a normal mode but a little bit more loose. This mode is useful whenever the ATRs jump higher than usual or during the days of highly anticipated news events. This mode is also better suited for more active markets such as NQ futures.
4. FOMC
The FOMC mode is called FOMC for a reason. This mode provides the maximum amount of wiggle room between the price and the Stop Line. This mode was designed for the extreme volatility, breaking news events or post-FOMC trading. If the market quiets down, this mode will not get the Stop Line touch as frequently as othete modes, thus it is not very useful to run this on markets with the average volatlity. Although never properly tested, perhaps the FOMC mode can find its value in the crypto market?
5. The Net
The net mode is basically a combination of all modes into one stop line system which creates "the net" effect. The Net provides the widest Stop Line zone which can be mainly appreciated by traders that like to use scale-in scale-out methods for their trading. Not to mention the visual side of the indicator which looks pretty great with the net mode on.
HTF (Higher Time Frame) Trend System:
The system also includes additional higher time frame (HTF) trend system. This can be set to any time frame by manual HTF mode. HTF mode set to "auto" will automatically choose the best suitable higher time frame trend system based on how appropriate the aggregation is. For everything below 5min the HTF Trend System will stay on 5min. Anything between 5-15min = 30min. 30min - 120min will turn on the 240min. 180min and higher will result in Daily time frame. Anything above the Daily will result in Weekly HTF aggregation, above W = Monthly, above M = Quarterly.
Background Clouds:
In terms of visualization, each trend system is fully customizable through the inputs settings. There is also an option to turn on/off the background clouds behind the stop lines. These clouds can make the charts more clean & visible.
Tips & Tricks:
1. Different Trend Modes
Try out different modes in different markets. There is no one single mode that will fit to everyone on the same type of market. I myself actually prefer more Loose than the Normal.
2. Stop Line Mirroring
Whenever the Stop Lines start to mirror each other (there is one above the price and one below) this means the price is entering a ranging sideways market. It does not matter which Stop Line will the price touch first. They can both be faded until one of them flips.
3. Signs of the Ranging Market
Watch out for signs of ranging market. Whenever the Trend System looses its colors whether on trend line or trend bars, if everything turns neutral (gray) that is usually a solid indication of a range type action for the following moments. Also as already stated before, the Stop Line mirroring is a good sign of the range market.
4. Trailing Tool, Trend System as an Additional Study?
In case you are not a fan of the colorful green / red charts & candles. You can switch all of them off and just leave the Stop Line on. This way you can use the benefits of the trend system and still use other studies on top of that. Similarly as the Parabolic SAR is often used.
5. The Flip Setup
One of my favorite trades is the Flip Setup on the 5min charts. Whenever the Stop Line is broken , the very first opposing touch after the Trend System flips is a usually a highly participated touch. If there is a strong reaction, this means this is likely a beginning of a new trend. Once I am in the position i like to trail the Stop Line on the 1min charts.
Hope it helps.
Volume Profile Volume Delta OI Delta [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script serves to distinguish volume delta for any asset and open interest delta for Binance perpetual futures.
The image above provides further explanation of functionality and color correspondence.
The image above shows the indicator calculating volume at each tick level and displaying the metric.
The label color outline (neon effect) is configurable; the image above is absent the feature.
The image above shows Open Interest (OI) Delta calculated - similar to how the script calculates volume delta - for a Binance Perpetual Future pair.
This feature only works for Binance Futures pairs; the script will not load when trying to calculate OI Delta on other assets.
Additionally, a heatmap is displayable should you configure the indicator to calculate it.
The image above shows a heatmap using volume delta calculations.
The image above shows a heatmap using OI delta calculations.
Of course, these calculations - when absent requisite data - require some assumptions to better replicate calculations with access to requisite data.
The indicator assumes a 60/40 split when a tick level is traded at and only one metric - "buy volume" or "sell volume" is recorded. This means there shouldn't be any levels recorded where "buy volume" is greater than 0 and "sell volume" equals 0 and vice versa. While this assumption was performed arbitrarily, it may help better replicate volume delta and OI delta calculations seen on other charting platforms.
This option is configurable; you can select to have the script not assume a 60/40 split and instead record volume "as is" at the corresponding tick level.
The script also divides volume and open interest if a one-minute bar violates multiple tick levels. The volume or open interest generated on the one-minute bar will be divided by the number of tick levels it exceeds. The results are, subsequently, appended to the violated tick levels.
Further, the script can be set to recalculate after a user-defined time threshold is exceeded. You can also define the percentage or tick distance between levels.
Also, it'd be great if this indicator can nicely replicate volume delta indicators on other charting platforms. If you've any ideas on how price action can be used to better assume volume at the corresponding price area please let me know!
Thank you (:
Basic Binance Premium IndexA premium index indicator for Binance futures.
The premium index is based on the difference in price between the perpetual swap contract last price and the price of a volume weighted spot index.
Simply put: it shows you for each coin whether the spot market is trading higher than the Binance perpetual or not.
If future price is higher than spot in a rally, the rally isn't backed by real buys (spot) but by dumb perpetual longs which can indicate bearish PA. If spot price is higher than futures in a rally, the upside is backed by real money (spot) which can indicate bullish PA.
To calculate the premium, I simply took (futures_price/vwap(spot_price)-1)*100
This version includes
•BTC
•ETH
•LTC
•ICP
•BNB
•ADA
•DOGE.
You can display data as a smoothed moving average for improved readability.
This code is open source so feel free to use it in your scripts.
rth vwapPlots the RTH (regular trading hours) VWAP. This is intended for instruments with volume only and mostly for futures. Time zone is set to EST, but start and end times of the VWAP can be configured. Standard setting is set to US equity index futures regular trading hours of 9:30 EST to 16:00 EST.
Liquidation Levels
I got sick of calculating leverage all of the time, so I made this real time calculator. It is primarily for crypto derivatives.
It tracks and displays the liquidation price for 5 customisable leverage levels and plots them either historically and/or in real time, with labels beside each including the estimated price.
These calculations include maintenance margin and can be configured for linear futures (USDT) or non-linear futures. Never again make dumb mistakes that are obvious with a bit of maths.
To jazz it up, you can customise the colours, disable various labels, set different leverage multiples, and change the offsets and number of bars to plot in the past.
Alternatively, you can change the offset to 24 on an hourly chart and change show last bars to 0. By doing this, you can see which levels most often get liquidated. It is crude, I know, and there are better tools for tracking liquidation hunts. This is not an attempt to replace or compete with them.
Enjoy and trade safely.
Resistance of VolumeIt is used to detect volume resistors in a personalized way, since it allows the user to enter the volume in which he wishes the resistance to jump automatically.
It does not mark the black line and the graphic that's just to help understand how it works
in the above image can see the indicator works on 30 minutes chart
in the above image can see the indicator works on 5 minutes chart
therefore, it can be configured to go through several temporalities.
