Money Supply Index (MSI) by zdmreThe primary objective of the states monetary policy is to maintain price stability with sustainable maximum economic growth. In anticipation of higher inflation , the Central Banks raise short-term interest rate thereby to reduce money supply. Conversely, the Central Banks reduce short-term interest rate to inject additional money into the economy in apprehension of unleashing recessionary forces. The stock markets usually respond negatively to interest rate increases and positively to interest rate decreases. The linkages between money market and stock market a wealth effect due to a change in money supply disturbs the equilibrium in the portfolio of investors.
This index indicates the long-run and short-run dynamic effects of broad money supply (M2) on U.S. stock market (this symbol is optional (Bitcoin, Gold or Oil or other markets etc.)).
#DYOR
Cari dalam skrip untuk "GOLD"
CHN BUY SELLCHN BUY SELL is formed from two RSI indicators, those are RSI 14 and RSI 7 . I use RSI 14 to determine the trend and RSI 7 to find entry points.
+ Long (BUY) Signal:
- RSI 14 will give a "BUY" signal, then RSI 7 will give entry point to LONG when the candle turns yellow.
+ Short (SELL) Signal:
- RSI 14 will give a "EXIT" signal, then RSI 7 will give entry point to SHORT when the candle turns purple.
+ About Take Profit and Stop Loss:
- With Gold, I usually set Stop Loss and Take Profit at 50 pips
- With currency pairs, I usually keep my Stop Loss and Take Profit at 30 pips
- With crypto, I usually keep Stop Loss and Take Profit at 1.5%
Recommended to use in time frame M15 and above .
This method can be used to trade Forex, Gold and Crypto.
My idea is formed on the view that when the price is moving strongly, the RSI 14 will tell us what the current trend is through a "BUY" or "EXIT" signal. When RSI 14 reaches the oversold area it will form a "BUY" signal and when it reaches the overbought area it will give an "EXIT" signal. I believe that when the price reaches the oversold or overbought area, the price momentum has also decreased and is about to reverse.
After receiving a signal from RSI 14, my job is to wait for an Entry signal from RSI 7. When RSI 7 reaches the overbought area, a yellow candle will appear and that's when we enter a LONG order. When the RSI 7 reaches the oversold area, a purple candle will appear and that's when we enter a SHORT order.
Metals:Backwardation/ContangoMETALS: Gold , Silver , Copper ( GC , SI, HG)
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Gold ( GC ); 21 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Macro EMA Correlation
This script is useful to see correlation between macroeconomic assets, displayed in different ema line shown in percentage to compare these assets on the same basis. Percentage will depend on the time frame selection. In the higher timeframe you will see higher variation and in small timeframe smaller variation.
You can select the timeframe who suit your trading style. The 1h and 4h fit well for longer trend swing trade and the lower time frame 15m, 5m, 1m are good for scalping or daily trading.
The following asset are available:
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Gold
Crypto total market cap excluding bitcoin (total2)
United state 10-year government bond (US10Y)
Usdt dominance show the concentration of usdt hold. For example, when trader are fearful they sell their crypto position to keep more usdt in their portfolio (USDT.D)
The USD/JPY pair the dollar usd versus the Japanese Yen one of the most forex traded pair.
You can clic on parameter to select the asset you want to analyse.
The main correlation observed are:
bitcoin negatively correlated with the usdt dominance.
bitcoin negatively correlated with the usd/jpy pair
bitcoin is positively correlated to eth, total2 (altcoin)
bitcoin positively correlated with gold
bitcoin is mostly negatively correlated to us10y
The basis of correlation is that positively correlated asset goes in the same direction and that the negatively correlated goes in opposite direction.
So, the idea is to use these information to see trend reversing.
Example 1: when bitcoin and usdt dominance are extended in opposite direction we look for a possible retracement toward 1% wich is the middle base.
Example 2 : when bitcoin make a move we look for ethereum and total 2 to follow
SWING for GOLD / BITCOIN Hey everyone
I want to share my swing trading system with you.Based on two moving averages coupled to RSI
The options
Shows current trends and entries for trades. Average trade retention 15-20 days
Entries for trades with a crossover of two lines
The percentage of successful test deals XAU/USD for 2010-2021: 69%
[RickAtw] T2 Trend Signal GOLDTrend gold signal Ema strategy
The system finds the best entries for a trade. Use in gold, all numbers have been customized for it.
Functional
T2 trend gold is the second version of my trading system. Be sure to check out the first part! This system gives a signal earlier.
Key signals
Buy -----> Blue triangle to buy
Sell -----> Red triangle to sell
Remarks
I personally tested this system on my own trading and it helps me find entries for deals. The main thing is, if consolidation has begun, turn off the system, because the trading range is small at this moment, use oscillators
Thanks to everyone who supports me. Good luck to you friends
London Gold Fix TimesThis script highlights the London Gold Fix times (en.wikipedia.org) in your charts.
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Currency Strength Gold MethodolgyThis script was written by, and used with the express permission of, Eduardo Andrade. The purpose of the script is easily determine respective currencies strength and weakness as utilized in The Gold Methodology - Ichimoku.
Tradingview members can use this script to see how each currency pair performed the day before as the reading is based is based upon the 11:00 p.m. GMT 60 minute candle (just before the Tokyo open).
Each currency is ranked in order of descending Strength and are designated by the following colors:
Orange = AUD
Green = CAD
Aqua = CHF
Purple = EUR
Red = GBP
Yellow = JPY
Black = NZD
Blue = USD
I hope you find he script beneficial and if you have any questions, please comment or send me a message.
have a great weekend!!
Allen
Ichimoku Cloud strategy for gold marketThis strategy is based on main ichimoku features (Leading span , conversion line and base line) compared to cloud conditions.
I indicated all possibilities in this indicator and strategy decision is based on crossing factors of each main line through two other line confirmations.
Tick Tick BoomThis is THE tick tick boom method from the GOLD MINDS group!
When we enter a trade the line changes color.
If your charts are not in UTC time then you can adjust the UTC offset time. If your charts are in UTC-9 then set this to 9, if you are in UTC+1 set this to -1, if your charts are un UTC then set this to 0.
I noticed daily pivots, support, and resistance levels are pretty useful targets here. Uncheck the box if you would like to see the levels.
Many thanks to Dimitri Wallace!
Sweetspot Gold RN - by JustUncleLThis is an alternate version of "Sweetspot Gold R4" that does not use sublevels. Removing the sublevels allows more efficient use of the plots (TV script has a limit of 64 plot calls).
This works well for all currency pairs I've tested, most commodities, and most stocks.
The indicator plots the so called "round price levels" or "00" levels. For example, 1.4000, 1.4400, 1.4500.
It automatically calculates the levels for each chart time frame. Optionally you can manually select main level size (in pips)
Use this indicator as a guidance to a better mapping of Support/Resistance levels on the chart. Next time you draw Support/Resistance lines, if they coincide with round price levels, you have got a excellent S/R level to work with!
Generation 6 Massive Trend Following for Gold (Note at bottom!)Making this one an open script for you people.
Commission_value = 0.02 is the same as a 50 pip gold spread.
Start capital $10,000.
1.00 lots = 1 contract on this.
Trend establishment with the 600 period moving average, trend continuation with the crossover/crossunder.
This strategy is great for finding trends on XAUUSD.
Side note: if anyone knows MQL4 coding language for MT4, please let me know, I would like to see the results of this strategy over a period of several years rather than the several months of data that Tradingview Provides. Please PM me, I want to see how profitable this code is over a long period of time. Thank you, and enjoy.
15 Minute Gold Trend-Following StrategyThis is the main strategy that I will be forward testing on demo for a month or two, then making it an EA in MetaTrader4
You can see the code for yourself this time, all the strategy is, is a crossover of various moving averages.
Commission included, $10,000 account.
Results over the past 3 months, beginning in January 2017.
RSI Gold Basket"Using gold as a common denominator measure of a group of currencies enables one to rank these different currencies by order of performance" - Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis by Ashraf Laïdi
Correlation of chart symbol to different Index-ETF-currencyScript plots correlation of chart symbol to a variety of indexes, symbols, equities. ** Original idea was to find Bitcoin correlation, which I did not. Built in correlations are: Nikie, DAX, SPY, AAPL, US Dollar, Gold, EURUSD, USDCNY, EEM, QQQ, XLK, XLF, USDJPY, EURGBP
[LAVA] Early Warning IndicatorCombined the RSI inverse of gold to USD with the Dollar index (or whatever stock symbol that may be inverted/complementary) with another asset/currency, like bitcoin, you can basically be well informed when a potential move is on the horizon. Settings allow for inverse settings and de-combining the two pairs as well as a nice cloud look if all the lines get annoying.
Williams FractalsBoaBias Fractals High & Lows is an indicator based on Bill Williams' fractals that helps identify key support and resistance levels on the chart. It displays horizontal lines at fractal highs (red) and lows (green), which extend to the current bar. Lines automatically disappear if the price breaks through them, leaving only the relevant levels. Additionally, the indicator shows the price values of active fractals on the price scale for convenient monitoring.
Key Features:
Customizable Fractals: Choose between 3-bar or 5-bar fractals (default: 3-bar).
Period: Adjust the number of periods for calculation
Visualization: Red lines for highs (resistance), green for lows (support). Lines are fixed on the chart and persist during scrolling or scaling changes.
Alert System: Notifications for the formation of a new fractal high/low and for level breaks (Fractal High Formed, Fractal Low Formed, Fractal High Broken, Fractal Low Broken).
How to Use:
Add the indicator to the chart.
Configure parameters: select the fractal type (3 or 5 bars) and period.
Set up alerts in TradingView to receive notifications about new fractals or breaks.
Use the lines as levels for entry/exit positions, stop-losses, or take-profits in fractal-based strategies.
Troubleshooting: If Levels Are Not Fixed on the Chart
If the levels (fractal lines) do not stay fixed on the chart and fail to move with it during scrolling or scaling (e.g., they remain stationary while the chart shifts), this is typically due to the indicator's scale settings in TradingView. The indicator may be set to "No scale," causing the lines to desynchronize from the chart's price scale.
What to Do:
Locate the Indicator Label: On the chart, find the indicator label in the top-left corner of the pane (or where "BoaBias Fractals High & Lows" is displayed).
Right-Click the Label: Click the right mouse button on this label.
Adjust the Scale:
In the context menu, look for the "Scale" or "Pin to scale" option.
If it shows "Pin to scale (now no scale)" or similar, select "Pin to right scale" (or "Pin to left scale," depending on your chart's main price scale—usually the right).
Refresh the Chart: After changing the setting, refresh the chart (press F5 or reload the page), or toggle the indicator off and on again to apply the changes.
After this, the lines should move and scale with the chart during scrolling (horizontal or vertical) or zooming. If the issue persists, check:
TradingView Limits: The indicator may draw too many lines (maximum ~500 per script). If there are many historical fractals, older lines might not display.
Chart Settings: Ensure the chart is not in logarithmic scale (if applicable) or that auto-scaling is enabled.
Indicator Version: Verify you are using the latest script version (Pine Script v6) and check for errors in the TradingView console.
This indicator is ideal for traders working with Bill Williams' chaos theory or those seeking dynamic support/resistance levels. It is based on standard fractals but with enhancements for convenience: automatic removal of broken levels and integration with the price scale.
Note: The indicator does not provide trading signals on its own — use it in combination with other tools. Test on historical data before real trading.
Code written in Pine Script v6. Original template: Mit Nayi.
PriceLevels GBGoldbach Price Levels – Identify Algorithmic Key Zones
This open-source indicator is designed to help traders identify potential algorithmic key zones by highlighting price levels ending with specific numbers such as 03, 11, 29, 35, 65, and 71. These levels may act as inflection points or hesitation areas based on observed behavioral patterns in price movement.
What It Does:
📌 Scans and plots horizontal price levels where the price ends with one of the selected number combinations
🎯 Toggle on/off visibility for each number ending
🎨 Customize color and thickness for each level
🏷️ Shows price labels at the end of each line
🌗 Label styles (color/transparency) are adjustable for both dark and light chart themes
🧠 Why Use It:
This tool is ideal for discretionary traders who study market structure through static price anchors. It provides a visual reference for recurring numerical levels that may be used in algorithmic trading models or serve as psychological price zones.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This script is open-source and intended for educational and analytical purposes only. No trading signals or performance guarantees are provided. Please use your own judgment when applying this tool in a trading context.
