Backtesting ModuleDo you often find yourself creating new 'strategy()' scripts for each trading system? Are you unable to focus on generating new systems due to fatigue and time loss incurred in the process? Here's a potential solution: the 'Backtesting Module' :)
INTRODUCTION
Every trading system is based on four basic conditions: long entry, long exit, short entry and short exit (which are typically defined as boolean series in Pine Script).
If you can define the conditions generated by your trading system as a series of integers, it becomes possible to use these variables in different scripts in efficient ways. (Pine Script is a convenient language that allows you to use the integer output of one indicator as a source in another.)
The 'Backtesting Module' is a dynamic strategy script designed to adapt to your signals. It boasts two notable features:
⮞ It produces a backtest report using the entry and exit variables you define.
⮞ It not only serves for system testing but also to combine independent signals into a single system. (This functionality enables to create complex strategies and report on their success!)
The module tests Golden and Death cross signals by default, when you enter your own conditions the default signals will be neutralized. The methodology is described below.
PREPARATION
There are three simple steps to connect your own indicator to the Module.
STEP 1
Firstly, you must define entry and exit variables in your own script. Let's elucidate it with a straightforward example. Consider a system generating long and short signals based on the intersections of two moving averages. Consequently, our conditions would be as follows:
// Signals
long = ta.crossover(ta.sma(close, 14), ta.sma(close, 28))
short = ta.crossunder(ta.sma(close, 14), ta.sma(close, 28))
Now, the question is: How can we convert boolean variables into integer variables? The answer is conditional ternary block, defined as follows:
// Entry & Exit
long_entry = long ? 1 : 0
long_exit = short ? 1 : 0
short_entry = short ? 1 : 0
short_exit = long ? 1 : 0
The mechanics of the Entry & Exit variables are simple. The variable takes on a value of 1 when your trading system generates the signal and if your system does not produce any signal, variable returns 0. In this example, you see how exit signals can be generated in a trading system that only contains entry signals. If you have a system with original exit signals, you can also use them directly. (Please mind the NOTES section below).
STEP 2
To utilize the Entry & Exit variables as source in another script, they must be plotted on the chart. Therefore, the final detail to include in the script containing your trading system would be as follows:
// Plot The Output
plot(long_entry, "Long Entry", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
plot(long_exit, "Long Exit", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
plot(short_entry, "Short Entry", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
plot(short_exit, "Short Exit", display=display.data_window, editable=false)
STEP 3
Now, we are ready to test the system! Load the Backtesting Module indicator onto the chart along with your trading system/indicator. Then set the outputs of your system (Long Entry, Long Exit, Short Entry, Short Exit) as source in the module. That's it.
FEATURES & ORIGINALITY
⮞ Primarily, this script has been created to provide you with an easy and practical method when testing your trading system.
⮞ I thought it might be nice to visualize a few useful results. The Backtesting Module provides insights into the outcomes of both long and short trades by computing the number of trades and the success percentage.
⮞ Through the 'Trade' parameter, users can specify the market direction in which the indicator is permitted to initiate positions.
⮞ Users have the flexibility to define the date range for the test.
⮞ There are optional features allowing users to plot entry prices on the chart and customize bar colors.
⮞ The report and the test date range are presented in a table on the chart screen. The entry price can be monitored in the data window.
⮞ Note that results are based on realized returns, and the open trade is not included in the displayed results. (The only exception is the 'Unrealized PNL' result in the table.)
STRATEGY SETTINGS
The default parameters are as follows:
⮞ Initial Balance : 10000 (in units of currency)
⮞ Quantity : 10% of equity
⮞ Commission : 0.04%
⮞ Slippage : 0
⮞ Dataset : All bars in the chart
For a realistic backtest result, you should size trades to only risk sustainable amounts of equity. Do not risk more than 5-10% on a trade. And ALWAYS configure your commission and slippage parameters according to pessimistic scenarios!
NOTES
⮞ This script is intended solely for development purposes. And it'll will be available for all the indicators I publish.
⮞ In this version of the module, all order types are designed as market orders. The exit size is the sum of the entry size.
⮞ As your trading conditions grow more intricate, you might need to define the outputs of your system in alternative ways. The method outlined in this description is tailored for straightforward signal structures.
⮞ Additionally, depending on the structure of your trading system, the backtest module may require further development. This encompasses stop-loss, take-profit, specific exit orders, quantity, margin and risk management calculations. I am considering releasing improvements that consider these options in future versions.
⮞ An example of how complex trading signals can be generated is the OTT Collection. If you're interested in seeing how the signals are constructed, you can use the link below.
THANKS
Special thanks to PineCoders for their valuable moderation efforts.
I hope this will be a useful example for the TradingView community...
DISCLAIMER
This is just an indicator, nothing more. It is provided for informational and educational purposes exclusively. The utilization of this script does not constitute professional or financial advice. The user solely bears the responsibility for risks associated with script usage. Do not forget to manage your risk. And trade as safely as possible. Best of luck!
Cari dalam skrip untuk "GOLD"
Big Round Number for GOLD (XAU/USD)This is simple indicator to show BRN (Big Round Number) on price level, it can use to help analyze the price action on the chart.
COT MCIThe COT MCI script is a market indicator based on the data from the Commitment of Traders Reports.
Integration of COT Report Data:
The script sources COT data from futures contracts, including:
Treasury Bonds (ZB), Dollar Index (DX), 10-Year Treasury Notes (ZN)
Commodities like Soybeans (ZS), Soy Meal (ZM), Soy Oil (ZL), Corn (ZC), Wheat (ZW), Kansas City Wheat (KE), Pork (HE), Cattle (LE)
Precious Metals such as Gold (GC), Silver (SI), Palladium (PA), Platinum (PL)
Industrial Metals like Copper (HG), Aluminum (AUP), Steel (HRC)
Energy Products like Crude Oil (CL), Heating Oil (HO), Gasoline (RB), Natural Gas (NG), Brent Crude (BB)
Currencies such as AUD (6A), GBP (6B), CAD (6C), EUR (6E), JPY (6J), CHF (6S), NZD (6N), BRL (6L), MXN (6M), RUB (6R), ZAR (6Z)
Others: Sugar (SB), Coffee (KC), Cocoa (CC), Cotton (CT), Ethanol (EH), Rice (ZR), Oats (ZO), Whey (DC), Orange Juice (OJ), Lumber (LBS), Livestock (GF), E-mini S&P 500 (ES), E-mini Russell 2000 (RTY), E-mini Dow Jones (YM), E-mini NASDAQ-100 (NQ), VIX Futures (VX), S&P 500 (SP), DJIA (DJIA)
Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH)
Functions and Logic of the Script:
COT Calculation: Determines the net positions for commercial actors and large speculators. Also Available are short and long positions of commercials or large speculators.
Position Change Analysis: Analyzes the percentage changes in net positions and open interest data over a period of 6 weeks (Weekly Chart).
Average Value Calculation: Determines short-term and long-term trend averages.
Trend Analysis: Buy and sell signals (represented in colors) are based on linear regressions and average calculations.
Usage and Application Examples:
Ideal for traders looking for a detailed analysis of market dynamics and position changes in the futures market. Suitable for decision-making in transaction timing and assessing market sentiment.
Usage Notes:
Users should be familiar with the interpretation of COT data and basic concepts of futures trading. Particularly suitable for medium to long-term trading strategies.
Supertrend Advance Pullback StrategyHandbook for the Supertrend Advance Strategy
1. Introduction
Purpose of the Handbook:
The main purpose of this handbook is to serve as a comprehensive guide for traders and investors who are looking to explore and harness the potential of the Supertrend Advance Strategy. In the rapidly changing financial market, having the right tools and strategies at one's disposal is crucial. Whether you're a beginner hoping to dive into the world of trading or a seasoned investor aiming to optimize and diversify your portfolio, this handbook offers the insights and methodologies you need. By the end of this guide, readers should have a clear understanding of how the Supertrend Advance Strategy works, its benefits, potential pitfalls, and practical application in various trading scenarios.
Overview of the Supertrend Advance Pullback Strategy:
At its core, the Supertrend Advance Strategy is an evolution of the popular Supertrend Indicator. Designed to generate buy and sell signals in trending markets, the Supertrend Indicator has been a favorite tool for many traders around the world. The Advance Strategy, however, builds upon this foundation by introducing enhanced mechanisms, filters, and methodologies to increase precision and reduce false signals.
1. Basic Concept:
The Supertrend Advance Strategy relies on a combination of price action and volatility to determine the potential trend direction. By assessing the average true range (ATR) in conjunction with specific price points, this strategy aims to highlight the potential starting and ending points of market trends.
2. Methodology:
Unlike the traditional Supertrend Indicator, which primarily focuses on closing prices and ATR, the Advance Strategy integrates other critical market variables, such as volume, momentum oscillators, and perhaps even fundamental data, to validate its signals. This multidimensional approach ensures that the generated signals are more reliable and are less prone to market noise.
3. Benefits:
One of the main benefits of the Supertrend Advance Strategy is its ability to filter out false breakouts and minor price fluctuations, which can often lead to premature exits or entries in the market. By waiting for a confluence of factors to align, traders using this advanced strategy can increase their chances of entering or exiting trades at optimal points.
4. Practical Applications:
The Supertrend Advance Strategy can be applied across various timeframes, from intraday trading to swing trading and even long-term investment scenarios. Furthermore, its flexible nature allows it to be tailored to different asset classes, be it stocks, commodities, forex, or cryptocurrencies.
In the subsequent sections of this handbook, we will delve deeper into the intricacies of this strategy, offering step-by-step guidelines on its application, case studies, and tips for maximizing its efficacy in the volatile world of trading.
As you journey through this handbook, we encourage you to approach the Supertrend Advance Strategy with an open mind, testing and tweaking it as per your personal trading style and risk appetite. The ultimate goal is not just to provide you with a new tool but to empower you with a holistic strategy that can enhance your trading endeavors.
2. Getting Started
Navigating the financial markets can be a daunting task without the right tools. This section is dedicated to helping you set up the Supertrend Advance Strategy on one of the most popular charting platforms, TradingView. By following the steps below, you'll be able to integrate this strategy into your charts and start leveraging its insights in no time.
Setting up on TradingView:
TradingView is a web-based platform that offers a wide range of charting tools, social networking, and market data. Before you can apply the Supertrend Advance Strategy, you'll first need a TradingView account. If you haven't set one up yet, here's how:
1. Account Creation:
• Visit TradingView's official website.
• Click on the "Join for free" or "Sign up" button.
• Follow the registration process, providing the necessary details and setting up your login credentials.
2. Navigating the Dashboard:
• Once logged in, you'll be taken to your dashboard. Here, you'll see a variety of tools, including watchlists, alerts, and the main charting window.
• To begin charting, type in the name or ticker of the asset you're interested in the search bar at the top.
3. Configuring Chart Settings:
• Before integrating the Supertrend Advance Strategy, familiarize yourself with the chart settings. This can be accessed by clicking the 'gear' icon on the top right of the chart window.
• Adjust the chart type, time intervals, and other display settings to your preference.
Integrating the Strategy into a Chart:
Now that you're set up on TradingView, it's time to integrate the Supertrend Advance Strategy.
1. Accessing the Pine Script Editor:
• Located at the top-center of your screen, you'll find the "Pine Editor" tab. Click on it.
• This is where custom strategies and indicators are scripted or imported.
2. Loading the Supertrend Advance Strategy Script:
• Depending on whether you have the script or need to find it, there are two paths:
• If you have the script: Copy the Supertrend Advance Strategy script, and then paste it into the Pine Editor.
• If searching for the script: Click on the “Indicators” icon (looks like a flame) at the top of your screen, and then type “Supertrend Advance Strategy” in the search bar. If available, it will show up in the list. Simply click to add it to your chart.
3. Applying the Strategy:
• After pasting or selecting the Supertrend Advance Strategy in the Pine Editor, click on the “Add to Chart” button located at the top of the editor. This will overlay the strategy onto your main chart window.
4. Configuring Strategy Settings:
• Once the strategy is on your chart, you'll notice a small settings ('gear') icon next to its name in the top-left of the chart window. Click on this to access settings.
• Here, you can adjust various parameters of the Supertrend Advance Strategy to better fit your trading style or the specific asset you're analyzing.
5. Interpreting Signals:
• With the strategy applied, you'll now see buy/sell signals represented on your chart. Take time to familiarize yourself with how these look and behave over various timeframes and market conditions.
3. Strategy Overview
What is the Supertrend Advance Strategy?
The Supertrend Advance Strategy is a refined version of the classic Supertrend Indicator, which was developed to aid traders in spotting market trends. The strategy utilizes a combination of data points, including average true range (ATR) and price momentum, to generate buy and sell signals.
In essence, the Supertrend Advance Strategy can be visualized as a line that moves with the price. When the price is above the Supertrend line, it indicates an uptrend and suggests a potential buy position. Conversely, when the price is below the Supertrend line, it hints at a downtrend, suggesting a potential selling point.
Strategy Goals and Objectives:
1. Trend Identification: At the core of the Supertrend Advance Strategy is the goal to efficiently and consistently identify prevailing market trends. By recognizing these trends, traders can position themselves to capitalize on price movements in their favor.
2. Reducing Noise: Financial markets are often inundated with 'noise' - short-term price fluctuations that can mislead traders. The Supertrend Advance Strategy aims to filter out this noise, allowing for clearer decision-making.
3. Enhancing Risk Management: With clear buy and sell signals, traders can set more precise stop-loss and take-profit points. This leads to better risk management and potentially improved profitability.
4. Versatility: While primarily used for trend identification, the strategy can be integrated with other technical tools and indicators to create a comprehensive trading system.
Type of Assets/Markets to Apply the Strategy:
1. Equities: The Supertrend Advance Strategy is highly popular among stock traders. Its ability to capture long-term trends makes it particularly useful for those trading individual stocks or equity indices.
2. Forex: Given the 24-hour nature of the Forex market and its propensity for trends, the Supertrend Advance Strategy is a valuable tool for currency traders.
3. Commodities: Whether it's gold, oil, or agricultural products, commodities often move in extended trends. The strategy can help in identifying and capitalizing on these movements.
4. Cryptocurrencies: The volatile nature of cryptocurrencies means they can have pronounced trends. The Supertrend Advance Strategy can aid crypto traders in navigating these often tumultuous waters.
5. Futures & Options: Traders and investors in derivative markets can utilize the strategy to make more informed decisions about contract entries and exits.
It's important to note that while the Supertrend Advance Strategy can be applied across various assets and markets, its effectiveness might vary based on market conditions, timeframe, and the specific characteristics of the asset in question. As always, it's recommended to use the strategy in conjunction with other analytical tools and to backtest its effectiveness in specific scenarios before committing to trades.
4. Input Settings
Understanding and correctly configuring input settings is crucial for optimizing the Supertrend Advance Strategy for any specific market or asset. These settings, when tweaked correctly, can drastically impact the strategy's performance.
Grouping Inputs:
Before diving into individual input settings, it's important to group similar inputs. Grouping can simplify the user interface, making it easier to adjust settings related to a specific function or indicator.
Strategy Choice:
This input allows traders to select from various strategies that incorporate the Supertrend indicator. Options might include "Supertrend with RSI," "Supertrend with MACD," etc. By choosing a strategy, the associated input settings for that strategy become available.
Supertrend Settings:
1. Multiplier: Typically, a default value of 3 is used. This multiplier is used in the ATR calculation. Increasing it makes the Supertrend line further from prices, while decreasing it brings the line closer.
2. Period: The number of bars used in the ATR calculation. A common default is 7.
EMA Settings (Exponential Moving Average):
1. Period: Defines the number of previous bars used to calculate the EMA. Common periods are 9, 21, 50, and 200.
2. Source: Allows traders to choose which price (Open, Close, High, Low) to use in the EMA calculation.
RSI Settings (Relative Strength Index):
1. Length: Determines how many periods are used for RSI calculation. The standard setting is 14.
2. Overbought Level: The threshold at which the asset is considered overbought, typically set at 70.
3. Oversold Level: The threshold at which the asset is considered oversold, often at 30.
MACD Settings (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
1. Short Period: The shorter EMA, usually set to 12.
2. Long Period: The longer EMA, commonly set to 26.
3. Signal Period: Defines the EMA of the MACD line, typically set at 9.
CCI Settings (Commodity Channel Index):
1. Period: The number of bars used in the CCI calculation, often set to 20.
2. Overbought Level: Typically set at +100, denoting overbought conditions.
3. Oversold Level: Usually set at -100, indicating oversold conditions.
SL/TP Settings (Stop Loss/Take Profit):
1. SL Multiplier: Defines the multiplier for the average true range (ATR) to set the stop loss.
2. TP Multiplier: Defines the multiplier for the average true range (ATR) to set the take profit.
Filtering Conditions:
This section allows traders to set conditions to filter out certain signals. For example, one might only want to take buy signals when the RSI is below 30, ensuring they buy during oversold conditions.
Trade Direction and Backtest Period:
1. Trade Direction: Allows traders to specify whether they want to take long trades, short trades, or both.
2. Backtest Period: Specifies the time range for backtesting the strategy. Traders can choose from options like 'Last 6 months,' 'Last 1 year,' etc.
It's essential to remember that while default settings are provided for many of these tools, optimal settings can vary based on the market, timeframe, and trading style. Always backtest new settings on historical data to gauge their potential efficacy.
5. Understanding Strategy Conditions
Developing an understanding of the conditions set within a trading strategy is essential for traders to maximize its potential. Here, we delve deep into the logic behind these conditions, using the Supertrend Advance Strategy as our focal point.
Basic Logic Behind Conditions:
Every strategy is built around a set of conditions that provide buy or sell signals. The conditions are based on mathematical or statistical methods and are rooted in the study of historical price data. The fundamental idea is to recognize patterns or behaviors that have been profitable in the past and might be profitable in the future.
Buy and Sell Conditions:
1. Buy Conditions: Usually formulated around bullish signals or indicators suggesting upward price momentum.
2. Sell Conditions: Centered on bearish signals or indicators indicating downward price momentum.
Simple Strategy:
The simple strategy could involve using just the Supertrend indicator. Here:
• Buy: When price closes above the Supertrend line.
• Sell: When price closes below the Supertrend line.
Pullback Strategy:
This strategy capitalizes on price retracements:
• Buy: When the price retraces to the Supertrend line after a bullish signal and is supported by another bullish indicator.
• Sell: When the price retraces to the Supertrend line after a bearish signal and is confirmed by another bearish indicator.
Indicators Used:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
• Logic: EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price movements. A shorter-period EMA crossing above a longer-period EMA can be a bullish sign, while the opposite is bearish.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
• Logic: RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to analyze overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 are typically considered overbought, and values below 30 are considered oversold.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
• Logic: MACD assesses the relationship between two EMAs of a security’s price. The MACD line crossing above the signal line can be a bullish signal, while crossing below can be bearish.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
• Logic: CCI compares a security's average price change with its average price variation. A CCI value above +100 may mean the price is overbought, while below -100 might signify an oversold condition.
And others...
As the strategy expands or contracts, more indicators might be added or removed. The crucial point is to understand the core logic behind each, ensuring they align with the strategy's objectives.
Logic Behind Each Indicator:
1. EMA: Emphasizes recent price movements; provides dynamic support and resistance levels.
2. RSI: Indicates overbought and oversold conditions based on recent price changes.
3. MACD: Showcases momentum and direction of a trend by comparing two EMAs.
4. CCI: Measures the difference between a security's price change and its average price change.
Understanding strategy conditions is not just about knowing when to buy or sell but also about comprehending the underlying market dynamics that those conditions represent. As you familiarize yourself with each condition and indicator, you'll be better prepared to adapt and evolve with the ever-changing financial markets.
6. Trade Execution and Management
Trade execution and management are crucial aspects of any trading strategy. Efficient execution can significantly impact profitability, while effective management can preserve capital during adverse market conditions. In this section, we'll explore the nuances of position entry, exit strategies, and various Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) methodologies within the Supertrend Advance Strategy.
Position Entry:
Effective trade entry revolves around:
1. Timing: Enter at a point where the risk-reward ratio is favorable. This often corresponds to confirmatory signals from multiple indicators.
2. Volume Analysis: Ensure there's adequate volume to support the movement. Volume can validate the strength of a signal.
3. Confirmation: Use multiple indicators or chart patterns to confirm the entry point. For instance, a buy signal from the Supertrend indicator can be confirmed with a bullish MACD crossover.
Position Exit Strategies:
A successful exit strategy will lock in profits and minimize losses. Here are some strategies:
1. Fixed Time Exit: Exiting after a predetermined period.
2. Percentage-based Profit Target: Exiting after a certain percentage gain.
3. Indicator-based Exit: Exiting when an indicator gives an opposing signal.
Percentage-based SL/TP:
• Stop Loss (SL): Set a fixed percentage below the entry price to limit potential losses.
• Example: A 2% SL on an entry at $100 would trigger a sell at $98.
• Take Profit (TP): Set a fixed percentage above the entry price to lock in gains.
• Example: A 5% TP on an entry at $100 would trigger a sell at $105.
Supertrend-based SL/TP:
• Stop Loss (SL): Position the SL at the Supertrend line. If the price breaches this line, it could indicate a trend reversal.
• Take Profit (TP): One could set the TP at a point where the Supertrend line flattens or turns, indicating a possible slowdown in momentum.
Swing high/low-based SL/TP:
• Stop Loss (SL): For a long position, set the SL just below the recent swing low. For a short position, set it just above the recent swing high.
• Take Profit (TP): For a long position, set the TP near a recent swing high or resistance. For a short position, near a swing low or support.
And other methods...
1. Trailing Stop Loss: This dynamic SL adjusts with the price movement, locking in profits as the trade moves in your favor.
2. Multiple Take Profits: Divide the position into segments and set multiple TP levels, securing profits in stages.
3. Opposite Signal Exit: Exit when another reliable indicator gives an opposite signal.
Trade execution and management are as much an art as they are a science. They require a blend of analytical skill, discipline, and intuition. Regularly reviewing and refining your strategies, especially in light of changing market conditions, is crucial to maintaining consistent trading performance.
7. Visual Representations
Visual tools are essential for traders, as they simplify complex data into an easily interpretable format. Properly analyzing and understanding the plots on a chart can provide actionable insights and a more intuitive grasp of market conditions. In this section, we’ll delve into various visual representations used in the Supertrend Advance Strategy and their significance.
Understanding Plots on the Chart:
Charts are the primary visual aids for traders. The arrangement of data points, lines, and colors on them tell a story about the market's past, present, and potential future moves.
1. Data Points: These represent individual price actions over a specific timeframe. For instance, a daily chart will have data points showing the opening, closing, high, and low prices for each day.
2. Colors: Used to indicate the nature of price movement. Commonly, green is used for bullish (upward) moves and red for bearish (downward) moves.
Trend Lines:
Trend lines are straight lines drawn on a chart that connect a series of price points. Their significance:
1. Uptrend Line: Drawn along the lows, representing support. A break below might indicate a trend reversal.
2. Downtrend Line: Drawn along the highs, indicating resistance. A break above might suggest the start of a bullish trend.
Filled Areas:
These represent a range between two values on a chart, usually shaded or colored. For instance:
1. Bollinger Bands: The area between the upper and lower band is filled, giving a visual representation of volatility.
2. Volume Profile: Can show a filled area representing the amount of trading activity at different price levels.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Lines:
These are horizontal lines representing pre-determined exit points for trades.
1. Stop Loss Line: Indicates the level at which a trade will be automatically closed to limit losses. Positioned according to the trader's risk tolerance.
2. Take Profit Line: Denotes the target level to lock in profits. Set according to potential resistance (for long trades) or support (for short trades) or other technical factors.
Trailing Stop Lines:
A trailing stop is a dynamic form of stop loss that moves with the price. On a chart:
1. For Long Trades: Starts below the entry price and moves up with the price but remains static if the price falls, ensuring profits are locked in.
2. For Short Trades: Starts above the entry price and moves down with the price but remains static if the price rises.
Visual representations offer traders a clear, organized view of market dynamics. Familiarity with these tools ensures that traders can quickly and accurately interpret chart data, leading to more informed decision-making. Always ensure that the visual aids used resonate with your trading style and strategy for the best results.
8. Backtesting
Backtesting is a fundamental process in strategy development, enabling traders to evaluate the efficacy of their strategy using historical data. It provides a snapshot of how the strategy would have performed in past market conditions, offering insights into its potential strengths and vulnerabilities. In this section, we'll explore the intricacies of setting up and analyzing backtest results and the caveats one must be aware of.
Setting Up Backtest Period:
1. Duration: Determine the timeframe for the backtest. It should be long enough to capture various market conditions (bullish, bearish, sideways). For instance, if you're testing a daily strategy, consider a period of several years.
2. Data Quality: Ensure the data source is reliable, offering high-resolution and clean data. This is vital to get accurate backtest results.
3. Segmentation: Instead of a continuous period, sometimes it's helpful to backtest over distinct market phases, like a particular bear or bull market, to see how the strategy holds up in different environments.
Analyzing Backtest Results:
1. Performance Metrics: Examine metrics like the total return, annualized return, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, and others to gauge the strategy's efficiency.
2. Win Rate: It's the ratio of winning trades to total trades. A high win rate doesn't always signify a good strategy; it should be evaluated in conjunction with other metrics.
3. Risk/Reward: Understand the average profit versus the average loss per trade. A strategy might have a low win rate but still be profitable if the average gain far exceeds the average loss.
4. Drawdown Analysis: Review the periods of losses the strategy could incur and how long it takes, on average, to recover.
9. Tips and Best Practices
Successful trading requires more than just knowing how a strategy works. It necessitates an understanding of when to apply it, how to adjust it to varying market conditions, and the wisdom to recognize and avoid common pitfalls. This section offers insightful tips and best practices to enhance the application of the Supertrend Advance Strategy.
When to Use the Strategy:
1. Market Conditions: Ideally, employ the Supertrend Advance Strategy during trending market conditions. This strategy thrives when there are clear upward or downward trends. It might be less effective during consolidative or sideways markets.
2. News Events: Be cautious around significant news events, as they can cause extreme volatility. It might be wise to avoid trading immediately before and after high-impact news.
3. Liquidity: Ensure you are trading in assets/markets with sufficient liquidity. High liquidity ensures that the price movements are more reflective of genuine market sentiment and not due to thin volume.
Adjusting Settings for Different Markets/Timeframes:
1. Markets: Each market (stocks, forex, commodities) has its own characteristics. It's essential to adjust the strategy's parameters to align with the market's volatility and liquidity.
2. Timeframes: Shorter timeframes (like 1-minute or 5-minute charts) tend to have more noise. You might need to adjust the settings to filter out false signals. Conversely, for longer timeframes (like daily or weekly charts), you might need to be more responsive to genuine trend changes.
3. Customization: Regularly review and tweak the strategy's settings. Periodic adjustments can ensure the strategy remains optimized for the current market conditions.
10. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Given the complexities and nuances of the Supertrend Advance Strategy, it's only natural for traders, both new and seasoned, to have questions. This section addresses some of the most commonly asked questions regarding the strategy.
1. What exactly is the Supertrend Advance Strategy?
The Supertrend Advance Strategy is an evolved version of the traditional Supertrend indicator. It's designed to provide clearer buy and sell signals by incorporating additional indicators like EMA, RSI, MACD, CCI, etc. The strategy aims to capitalize on market trends while minimizing false signals.
2. Can I use the Supertrend Advance Strategy for all asset types?
Yes, the strategy can be applied to various asset types like stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. However, it's crucial to adjust the settings accordingly to suit the specific characteristics and volatility of each asset type.
3. Is this strategy suitable for day trading?
Absolutely! The Supertrend Advance Strategy can be adjusted to suit various timeframes, making it versatile for both day trading and long-term trading. Remember to fine-tune the settings to align with the timeframe you're trading on.
4. How do I deal with false signals?
No strategy is immune to false signals. However, by combining the Supertrend with other indicators and adhering to strict risk management protocols, you can minimize the impact of false signals. Always use stop-loss orders and consider filtering trades with additional confirmation signals.
5. Do I need any prior trading experience to use this strategy?
While the Supertrend Advance Strategy is designed to be user-friendly, having a foundational understanding of trading and market analysis can greatly enhance your ability to employ the strategy effectively. If you're a beginner, consider pairing the strategy with further education and practice on demo accounts.
6. How often should I review and adjust the strategy settings?
There's no one-size-fits-all answer. Some traders adjust settings weekly, while others might do it monthly. The key is to remain responsive to changing market conditions. Regular backtesting can give insights into potential required adjustments.
7. Can the Supertrend Advance Strategy be automated?
Yes, many traders use algorithmic trading platforms to automate their strategies, including the Supertrend Advance Strategy. However, always monitor automated systems regularly to ensure they're operating as intended.
8. Are there any markets or conditions where the strategy shouldn't be used?
The strategy might generate more false signals in markets that are consolidative or range-bound. During significant news events or times of unexpected high volatility, it's advisable to tread with caution or stay out of the market.
9. How important is backtesting with this strategy?
Backtesting is crucial as it allows traders to understand how the strategy would have performed in the past, offering insights into potential profitability and areas of improvement. Always backtest any new setting or tweak before applying it to live trades.
10. What if the strategy isn't working for me?
No strategy guarantees consistent profits. If it's not working for you, consider reviewing your settings, seeking expert advice, or complementing the Supertrend Advance Strategy with other analysis methods. Remember, continuous learning and adaptation are the keys to trading success.
Other comments
Value of combining several indicators in this script and how they work together
Diversification of Signals: Just as diversifying an investment portfolio can reduce risk, using multiple indicators can offer varied perspectives on potential price movements. Each indicator can capture a different facet of the market, ensuring that traders are not overly reliant on a single data point.
Confirmation & Reduced False Signals: A common challenge with many indicators is the potential for false signals. By requiring confirmation from multiple indicators before acting, the chances of acting on a false signal can be significantly reduced.
Flexibility Across Market Conditions: Different indicators might perform better under different market conditions. For example, while moving averages might excel in trending markets, oscillators like RSI might be more useful during sideways or range-bound conditions. A mashup strategy can potentially adapt better to varying market scenarios.
Comprehensive Analysis: With multiple indicators, traders can gauge trend strength, momentum, volatility, and potential market reversals all at once, providing a holistic view of the market.
How do the different indicators in the Supertrend Advance Strategy work together?
Supertrend: This is primarily a trend-following indicator. It provides traders with buy and sell signals based on the volatility of the price. When combined with other indicators, it can filter out noise and give more weight to strong, confirmed trends.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): EMA gives more weight to recent price data. It can be used to identify the direction and strength of a trend. When the price is above the EMA, it's generally considered bullish, and vice versa.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): An oscillator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. By cross-referencing with other indicators like EMA or MACD, traders can spot potential reversals or confirmations of a trend.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): This indicator identifies changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it can be a bullish sign, and when it crosses below, it can be bearish. Pairing MACD with Supertrend can provide dual confirmation of a trend.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): Initially developed for commodities, CCI can indicate overbought or oversold conditions. It can be used in conjunction with other indicators to determine entry and exit points.
In essence, the synergy of these indicators provides a balanced, comprehensive approach to trading. Each indicator offers its unique lens into market conditions, and when they align, it can be a powerful indication of a trading opportunity. This combination not only reduces the potential drawbacks of each individual indicator but leverages their strengths, aiming for more consistent and informed trading decisions.
Backtesting and Default Settings
• This indicator has been optimized to be applied for 1 hour-charts. However, the underlying principles of this strategy are supply and demand in the financial markets and the strategy can be applied to all timeframes. Daytraders can use the 1min- or 5min charts, swing-traders can use the daily charts.
• This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
• The combination of the qualifiers results in a highly selective strategy which only considers the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
• Consequently, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
• Default properties: RSI on (length 14, RSI buy level 50, sell level 50), EMA, RSI, MACD on, type of strategy pullback, SL/TP type: ATR (length 10, factor 3), trade direction both, quantity 5, take profit swing hl 5.1, highest / lowest lookback 2, enable ATR trail (ATR length 10, SL ATR multiplier 1.4, TP multiplier 2.1, lookback = 4, trade direction = both).
KNN Regression [SS]Another indicator release, I know.
But note, this isn't intended to be a stand-alone indicator, this is just a functional addition for those who program Machine Learning algorithms in Pinescript! There isn't enough content here to merit creating a library for (it's only 1 function), but it's a really useful function for those who like machine learning and Nearest Known Neighbour Algos (or KNN).
About the indicator:
This indicator creates a function to perform KNN-based regression.
In contrast to traditional linear regression, KNN-based regression has the following advantages over linear regression:
Advantages of KNN Regression vs. Linear Regression:
🎯 Non-linearity: KNN is a non-parametric method, meaning it makes no assumptions about the underlying data distribution. This allows it to capture non-linear relationships between features and the target variable.
🎯Simple Implementation: KNN is conceptually simple and easy to understand. It doesn't require the estimation of parameters, making it straightforward to implement.
🎯Robust to Outliers: KNN is less sensitive to outliers compared to linear regression. Outliers can have a significant impact on linear regression models, but KNN tends to be less affected.
Disadvantages of KNN Regression vs. Linear Regression:
🎯 Resource Intensive for Computation: Because KNN operates on identifying the nearest neighbors in a dataset, each new instance has to be searched for and identified within the dataset, vs. linear regression which can create a coefficient-based model and draw from the coefficient for each new data point.
🎯Curse of Dimensionality: KNN performance can degrade with an increasing number of features, leading to a "curse of dimensionality." This is because, in high-dimensional spaces, the concept of proximity becomes less meaningful.
🎯Sensitive to Noise: KNN can be sensitive to noisy data, as it relies on the local neighborhood for predictions. Noisy or irrelevant features may affect its performance.
Which is better?
I am very biased, coming from a statistics background. I will always love linear regression and will always prefer it over KNN. But depending on what you want to accomplish, KNN makes sense. If you are using highly skewed data or data that you cannot identify linearity in, KNN is probably preferable.
However, if you require precise estimations of ranges and outliers, such as creating co-integration models, I would advise sticking with linear regression. However, out of curiosity, I exported the function into a separate dummy indicator and pulled in data from QQQ to predict SPY close, and the results are actually very admirable:
And plotted with showing the standard error variance:
Pretty impressive, I must say I was a little shocked, it's really giving linear regression a run for its money. In school I was taught LinReg is the gold standard for modeling, nothing else compares. So as with most things in trading, this is challenging some biases of mine ;).
Functionality of the function
I have permitted 3 types of KNN regression. Traditional KNN regression, as I understand it, revolves around clustering. ( Clustering refers to identifying a cluster, normally 3, of identical cases and averaging out the Dependent variable in each of those cases) . Clustering is great, but when you are working with a finite dataset, identifying exact matches for 2 or 3 clusters can be challenging when you are only looking back at 500 candles or 1000 candles, etc.
So to accommodate this, I have added a functionality to clustering called "Tolerance". And it allows you to set a tolerance level for your Euclidean distance parameters. As a default, I have tested this with a default of 0.5 and it has worked great and no need to change even when working with large numbers such as NQ and ES1!.
However, I have added 2 additional regression types that can be done with KNN.
#1 One is a regression by the last IDENTICAL instance, which will find the most recent instance of a similar Independent variable and pull the Dependent variable from that instance. Or
#2 Average from all IDENTICAL instances.
Using the function
The code has the instructions for integrating the function into your own code, the parameters, and such, so I won't exhaust you with the boring details about that here.
But essentially, it exports 3, float variables, the Result, the Correlation, and the simplified R2.
As this is KNN regression, there are no coefficients, slopes, or intercepts and you do not need to test for linearity before applying it.
Also, the output can be a bit choppy, so I tend to like to throw in a bit of smoothing using the ta.sma function at a deault of 14.
For example, here is SPY from QQQ smoothed as a 14 SMA:
And it is unsmoothed:
It seems relatively similar but it does make a bit of an aesthetic difference. And if you are doing it over 14, there is no data loss and it is still quite reactive to changes in data.
And that's it! Hopefully you enjoy and find some interesting uses for this function in your own scripts :-).
Safe trades everyone!
MACD_RSI_trend_followingINFO:
This indicator can be used to build-up a strategy for trading of assets which are currently in trending phase.
My preference is to use it on slowly moving assets like GOLD and on higher timeframes, but practice may show that we find more usefull cases.
This script uses two indicators - MACD and RSI, as the timeframe that those are extracted for is configurable (defaults with the Chart TF, but can be any other selected by the user).
The strategy has the following simple idea - buy if any if the conditions below is true:
The selected TF MACD line crosses above the signal line and the TF RSI is above the user selected trigger value
The selected TF MACD line is above the signal line and the TF RSI crosses above the user selected trigger value
Once we're in position we wait for the selected TF MACD line to cross below the signal line, and then we set a SL at the low of that bar
DETAILS and USAGE:
In the current implementation I find two possible use cases for the indicator:
as a stand-alone indicator on the chart which can also fire alerts that can help to determine if we want to manually enter/exit trades based on them
can be used to connect to the Signal input of the TTS (TempalteTradingStrategy) by jason5480 in order to backtest it, thus effectively turning it into a strategy (instructions below in TTS CONNECTIVITY section)
In the example below we see a position opened at the bar after the buy indicator from the script has been triggered, and then later after the SL indicator from the script has been triggered a SL has been set on the lower wick of the closing candle, and the position eventually got closed once the price hit that level. Note that most of the drawing on the example snapshot below are from the TTS indicator following the buy/sell/SL conditions themseves:
Trading period can be selected from the indicator itself to limit to more interesting periods.
Arrow indications are drawn on the chart to indicate the trading conditions met in the script - green arrow for a buy signal indication and orange for LTF crossunder to indicate setting of SL.
SETTINGS:
Leaving all of the settings as in vanilla use case, as both the MACD and RSI indicator's settings follow the default ones for the stand-alone indicators themselves.
The start-end date is a time filter that can be extermely usefull when backtesting different time periods.
Pesonal preference is using the script on a D/W timeframe, while the indicator is configured to use Monthly chart.
The default value of the RSI filter is left to 50, which can be changed. I.e. if the RSI is above 50 we have a regime filter based on the MACD criteria.
EXTERNAL LIBRARIES:
The script uses a couple of external libraries:
HeWhoMustNotBeNamed/enhanced_ta/14 - collection of TA indicators
jason5480/tts_convention/3 - more details about the Template Trading Strategy below
I would like to highly appreciate and credit the work of both HeWhoMustNotBeNamed and jason5480 for providing them to the community.
TTS SETTINGS (NEEDED IF USED TO BACKTEST WITH TTS):
The TempalteTradingStrategy is a strategy script developed in Pine by jason5480, which I recommend for quick turn-around of testing different ideas on a proven and tested framework
I cannot give enough credit to the developer for the efforts put in building of the infrastructure, so I advice everyone that wants to use it first to get familiar with the concept and by checking
by checking jason5480's profile www.tradingview.com
The TTS itself is extremely functional and have a lot of properties, so its functionality is beyond the scope of the current script -
Again, I strongly recommend to be thoroughly epxlored by everyone that plans on using it.
In the nutshell it is a script that can be feed with buy/sell signals from an external indicator script and based on many configuration options it can determine how to execute the trades.
The TTS has many settings that can be applied, so below I will cover only the ones that differ from the default ones, at least according to my testing - do your own research, you may find something even better :)
The current/latest version that I've been using as of writing and testing this script is TTSv48
Settings which differ from the default ones:
from - False (time filter is from the indicator script itself)
Deal Conditions Mode - External (take enter/exit conditions from an external script)
🔌Signal 🛈➡ - MACD_RSI_trend_following: 🔌Signal to TTSv48 (this is the output from the indicator script, according to the TTS convention)
Sat/Sun - true (for crypto, in order to trade 24/7)
Order Type - STOP (perform stop order)
Distance Method - HHLL (HigherHighLowerLow - in order to set the SL according to the strategy definition from above)
The next are just personal preferenes, you can feel free to experiment according to your trading style
Take Profit Targets - 0 (either 100% in or out, no incremental stepping in or out of positions)
Dist Mul|Len Long/Short- 10 (make sure that we don't close on profitable trades by any reason)
Quantity Method - EQUITY (personal backtesting preference is to consider each backtest as a separate portfolio, so determine the position size by 100% of the allocated equity size)
Equity % - 100 (note above)
[blackcat] L2 Fibonacci BandsThe concept of the Fibonacci Bands indicator was described by Suri Dudella in his book "Trade Chart Patterns Like the Pros" (Section 8.3, page 149). These bands are derived from Fibonacci expansions based on a fixed moving average, and they display potential areas of support and resistance. Traders can utilize the Fibonacci Bands indicator to identify key price levels and anticipate potential reversals in the market.
To calculate the Fibonacci Bands indicator, three Keltner Channels are applied. These channels help in determining the upper and lower boundaries of the bands. The default Fibonacci expansion levels used are 1.618, 2.618, and 4.236. These levels act as reference points for traders to identify significant areas of support and resistance.
When analyzing the price action, traders can focus on the extreme Fibonacci Bands, which are the upper and lower boundaries of the bands. If prices trade outside of the bands for a few bars and then return inside, it may indicate a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that the price has temporarily deviated from its usual range and could be due for a correction.
To enhance the accuracy of the Fibonacci Bands indicator, traders often use multiple time frames. By aligning short-term signals with the larger time frame scenario, traders can gain a better understanding of the overall market trend. It is generally advised to trade in the direction of the larger time frame to increase the probability of success.
In addition to identifying potential reversals, traders can also use the Fibonacci Bands indicator to determine entry and exit points. Short-term support and resistance levels can be derived from the bands, providing valuable insights for trade decision-making. These levels act as reference points for placing stop-loss orders or taking profits.
Another useful tool for analyzing the trend is the slope of the midband, which is the middle line of the Fibonacci Bands indicator. The midband's slope can indicate the strength and direction of the trend. Traders can monitor the slope to gain insights into the market's momentum and make informed trading decisions.
The Fibonacci Bands indicator is based on the concept of Fibonacci levels, which are support or resistance levels calculated using the Fibonacci sequence. The Fibonacci sequence is a mathematical pattern that follows a specific formula. A central concept within the Fibonacci sequence is the Golden Ratio, represented by the numbers 1.618 and its inverse 0.618. These ratios have been found to occur frequently in nature, architecture, and art.
The Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci (1170-1250) is credited with introducing the Fibonacci sequence to the Western world. Fibonacci noticed that certain ratios could be calculated and that these ratios correspond to "divine ratios" found in various aspects of life. Traders have adopted these ratios in technical analysis to identify potential areas of support and resistance in financial markets.
In conclusion, the Fibonacci Bands indicator is a powerful tool for traders to identify potential reversals, determine entry and exit points, and analyze the overall trend. By combining the Fibonacci Bands with other technical indicators and using multiple time frames, traders can enhance their trading strategies and make more informed decisions in the market.
MA + MACD alert TrendsThis is a strategy/combination of warning indicators using 6MA+MACD.
The strategy details are as follows: This is a simple warning strategy created so that we don't have to monitor the candlestick chart too often.
Note: This isn't an entry strategy; it's a signaling strategy for upcoming trends. For maximum efficiency, we should incorporate more formulas into the command. In the case below, I use Fibonacci to enter the command.
This strategy setting works for a 15-minute time frame, but it can still work for different time frames.
It has been working well with Gold and USOIL for the last two years, as well as with currency pairs like EURUSD and many others.
Components:
EMA100 + EMA200 + MA400 + MA800
MACD (timeframe greater than 1 timeframe)
Fibonacci retreat.
Uptrend alert:
Candles on both EMAs (100-200) + 2 SMAs (400-800)
In the previous 80 candles:
EMA100 cross up to EMA200
At the same time, the MACD cross up 0.
The uptrend warning will trigger when EMA6 cuts down to MA10. That's when the price creates the top and we'll wait for the market to go back to the Fibonacci threshold of 0.618 and start buying (or wait for markets to break up the trendline to buy).
Downtrend alert:
Candles are below both EMAs ( 100-200 ) + 2 SMAs ( 400-800 )
In the previous 80 candles:
EMA100 cross down to EMA200
At the same time, the MACD cross down zero.
The downtrend warning will trigger when EMA6 cuts to MA10. That's when the price creates a bottom and we'll wait for the market to go back to the Fibonacci threshold of 0.618 and start selling (or wait for the market to break down the trendline to sell).
Recommended RR: 1:1
If you have any questions please let me know!
Triple EMA By Ozy
**Triple EMA By Ozy**
The "Triple EMA By Ozy" is a visual indicator that offers traders a clear and concise view of three exponential moving averages (EMAs) at a glance. This tool combines three common EMAs (20, 50, and 200) and additionally calculates and displays the slope angle of each EMA, allowing for a more precise identification of the current trend's direction and strength.
**Key Features:**
1. **Three EMAs in One Indicator:** The 20, 50, and 200-period EMAs are popular among traders and are crucial for identifying short, medium, and long-term trends.
2. **Slope Angle:** The indicator calculates the slope angle for each EMA, which can be indicative of the trend's strength. A positive angle suggests bullish momentum, while a negative angle indicates bearish momentum.
3. **Clear Visual Indication:** The indicator uses colors to easily distinguish between EMAs and also to identify the direction of the slope angle (green for positive, red for negative).
**How to Use:**
- An increasing angle in the EMA20 may indicate the beginning of a new short-term upward trend.
- A decreasing angle in the EMA200 might signal a long-term downtrend gaining strength.
- Crosses between the EMAs can also be points of interest, like the golden cross (EMA50 crossing above the EMA200) or the death cross (EMA50 crossing below the EMA200).
**Triple EMA By Ozy**
El "Triple EMA By Ozy" es un indicador visual que proporciona a los traders una visión clara y concisa de tres medias móviles exponenciales (EMAs) en un solo vistazo. Esta herramienta combina tres EMAs comunes (20, 50 y 200) y, además, calcula y muestra el ángulo de inclinación de cada EMA para identificar con mayor precisión la dirección y la fuerza de la tendencia actual.
**Características principales:**
1. **Tres EMAs en un solo indicador:** Las EMAs de 20, 50 y 200 períodos son populares entre los traders y son esenciales para identificar tendencias a corto, mediano y largo plazo.
2. **Ángulo de inclinación:** El indicador calcula el ángulo de inclinación de cada EMA, que puede ser un indicativo de la fuerza de la tendencia. Un ángulo positivo sugiere un impulso alcista, mientras que un ángulo negativo indica un impulso bajista.
3. **Indicación visual clara:** El indicador utiliza colores para distinguir fácilmente entre EMAs y también para identificar la dirección del ángulo de inclinación (verde para positivo, rojo para negativo).
**Cómo usar:**
- Un ángulo creciente en la EMA20 puede indicar el comienzo de una nueva tendencia al alza a corto plazo.
- Un ángulo decreciente en la EMA200 puede ser una señal de una tendencia bajista a largo plazo que está ganando fuerza.
- Los cruces entre las EMAs también pueden ser puntos de interés, como el cruce dorado (EMA50 cruza por encima de la EMA200) o el cruce de la muerte (EMA50 cruza por debajo de la EMA200).
Flat Combo DetectorFlat Combo Detector (FCD)
Introduction:
The Flat Combo Detector is a unique tool crafted to aid traders in identifying potential trend reversals. Unlike standard indicators that primarily focus on moving averages or oscillators, the FCD bases its signals on specific candlestick patterns that manifest at crucial trend pivot points.
I use it mostly on OANDA:XAUUSD Gold
How It Works:
The logic of the Flat Combo Detector revolves around the formation of consecutive bearish and bullish candles with particular attributes:
Bearish to Bullish Transition:
Primary Candle : A bearish candle where the close is lower than the open and its close is equal to its low.
Following Candle: A bullish candle where the close is higher than the open, and the open approximates its low (within a user-defined tolerance).
Signal : A green triangle plotted below the price bar, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to bullish trend.
Bullish to Bearish Transition:
Primary Candle: A bullish candle where the close is higher than the open and equals its high.
Following Candle : A bearish candle where the close is lower than the open, and the open approximates its high (within a user-defined tolerance).
Signal : A red triangle plotted above the price bar, indicating a potential transition from a bullish to bearish trend.
Usage Guidance:
For traders unfamiliar with Pine Script, using this indicator is straightforward. Once added to the chart, look for the green and red triangle signals. A green triangle below a price bar suggests a possible bullish reversal, while a red triangle above a price bar hints at a potential bearish reversal. Always consider these signals in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and the broader market context to optimize decision-making.
Associated Strategy:
I've also developed a trading strategy that utilizes these specific entry points identified by the FCD. If you find the signals from this indicator helpful, you might also be interested in exploring the strategy for a comprehensive trading approach. Always remember to backtest and validate any strategy before live trading.
Chart Presentation:
The published chart associated with this script has been kept clean to ensure clarity. Users will only observe the main price bars/candles along with the green and red triangle signals generated by the FCD.
Conclusion:
The Flat Combo Detector provides traders with a fresh perspective on trend reversal points. Its focus on specific candlestick patterns makes it a valuable tool, especially when used in combination with other technical indicators. Always ensure to practice prudent risk management and consult multiple analysis methods before making trading decisions.
PCA-Risk IndicatorOBJECTIVE:
The objective of this indicator is to synthesize, via PCA (Principal Component Analysis), several of the most used indicators with in order to simplify the reading of any asset on any timeframe.
It is based on my Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator, and is the evolution of another indicator that I have not published 'Average Risk Indicator'.
The idea of this indicator is to use statistics, in this case the PCA, to reduce the number of dimensions (indicator) to aggregate them in some synthetic indicators (PCX)
I invite you to dig deeper into the PCA, but that is to try to keep as much information as possible from the raw data. The signal minus the noise.
I realized this indicator a year ago, but I publish it now because I do not see the interest to keep it private.
USAGE:
Unlike the Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator, it does not make sense to change or disable the input indicators unless you use the 'Average Indicator' function. Because each input is weighted to generate the outputs, the PCX.
I extracted several courses (Bitcoin, Gold, S&P, CAC40) on several timeframes (W, D, 4h, 1h) of Trading view and use the Excel generated for the data on which I played the PCA analysis.
The results:
explained_variance_ratio: 0.55540809 / 0.13021972 / 0.07303142 / 0.03760925
explained_variance: 11.6639671 / 2.73470717 / 1.53371209 / 0.7898212
Interpretation:
Simply put, 55% of the information contained in each indicator can be represented with PC1, +13% with PC2, +7% with PC3, +3% with PC4.
What is important to understand is that PC1, which serves as a thermometer in a way, gives a simple indication of over-buying or over-selling area better than any other indicator.
PC2, difficult to interpret, is more reactive because precedes PC1, but can give false signals.
PC3 and PC4 do not seem relevant to me.
The way I use it is to take PC1 for Risk indicator, and display PC2 with 'Area'. When PC2 turns around and PC1 arrives on extremes, it can be good points to act.
NOTES :
- It is surprising that a simple average of all the indicators gives a fairly relevant result
- With Average indicator as Risk indicator, you can combine the indicators of your choice and see the predictive power with the staining of bars.
- You can add alerts on the levels of your choice on the Risk Indicator
- If you have any idea of adding an indicator, modification, criticism, bug found: share them, it’s appreciated!
---- FR ----
OBJECTIF :
L'objectif de cet indicateur est de synthétiser, via l'ACP (Analyse en Composantes Principales), plusieurs indicateurs parmi les plus utilisés avec afin de simplifier la lecture de n'importe quel actif sur n'importe quel timeframe.
Il est inspiré de mon indicateur 'Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator', et est l'évolution d'un autre indicateur que je n'ai pas publié 'Average Risk Indicator'.
L'idée de cet indicateur est d'utiliser les statistiques, en l'occurence l'ACP, pour réduire le nombre de dimensions (indicateur) pour les agréger dans quelques indicateurs synthétiques (PCX)
Je vous invite à creuser l'ACP, mais c'est chercher à conserver un maximum d'informations à partir de la donnée brute. Le signal moins le bruit.
J'ai réalisé cet indicateur il y a un an, mais je le publie maintenant car je ne vois pas l'intérêt de le garder privé.
UTILISATION :
Contrairement à 'Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator', il ne fait pas sens de modifier ou désactiver les indicateurs inputs, sauf si vous utiliser la fonction 'Average Indicator'. Car chaque input est pondéré pour générer les outputs, les PCX.
J'ai extrait plusieurs cours (Bitcoin, Gold, S&P, CAC40) sur plusieurs timeframes (W, D, 4h, 1h) de Trading view et utiliser les Excel généré pour la data sur laquelle j'ai joué l'analyse ACP.
Les résultats :
explained_variance_ratio : 0.55540809 / 0.13021972 / 0.07303142 / 0.03760925
explained_variance : 11.6639671 / 2.73470717 / 1.53371209 / 0.7898212
Interprétation :
Pour faire simple, 55% de l'information contenu dans chaque indicateur peut être représenté avec PC1, +13% avec PC2, +7% avec PC3, +3% avec PC4.
Ce qui faut y comprendre c'est que le PC1, qui sert de thermomètre en quelque sorte, donne une indication simple de zone de sur-achat ou sur-vente mieux que n'importe quel autre indicateur.
PC2, difficile à interpréter, est plus réactif car précède PC1, mais peut donner des faux signaux.
PC3 et PC4 ne me semble pas pertinent.
La manière dont je m'en sert c'est de prendre PC1 pour Risk indicator, et d'afficher PC2 avec 'Region'. Lorsque PC2 se retourne et que PC1 arrive sur des extrêmes, cela peut être des bons points pour agir.
NOTES :
- Il est étonnant de constater qu'une simple moyenne de tous les indicateurs donne un résultat assez pertinent
- Avec Average indicator comme Risk indicator, vous pouvez combiner les indicateurs de vos choix et voir la force prédictive avec la coloration des bars.
- Vous pouvez ajouter des alertes sur les niveaux de votre choix sur le Risk Indicator
- Si vous avez la moindre idée d'ajout d'indicateur, modification, critique, bug trouvé : partagez-les, c'est apprécié !
Advanced EMA Cross with Normalized ATR Filter, Controlling ADX
Description:
This strategy is based on EMA cross strategy and additional filters are used to get better results, a normalized ATR filter, and ADX control...
It aims to provide traders with a code base that generates signals for long positions based on market conditions defined by various indicators.
How it Works:
1. EMA: Uses short (8 periods) and long (20 periods) EMAs to identify crossovers.
2. ATR: Uses a 14-period ATR, normalized to its 20-period historical range, to filter out noise.
3. ADX: Uses a 14-period RMA to identify strong trends.
4. Volume: Filters trades based on a 14-period SMA of volume.
5. Super Trend: Uses a Super Trend indicator to identify the market direction.
How to Use:
- Buy Signal: Generated when EMA short crosses above EMA long, and other conditions like ATR and market direction are met.
- Sell Signal: Generated based on EMA crossunder and high ADX value.
Originality and Usefulness:
This script combines EMA, ATR, ADX, and Super Trend indicators to filter out false signals and identify more reliable trading opportunities.
USD Strength in the code is not working, just simulated it as PSEUDO CODE:
Strategy Results:
- Account Size: $1000
- Commission: Not considered
- Slippage: Not considered
- Risk: Manageable through parameters, now less than 5% per trade
- Dataset: Aim for more than 100 trades for a sufficient sample size
- Test Conditions: Test in 30 min chart for BTCUSDT
IMPORTANT NOTE: This script should be used for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
Chart:
- The script's output is plotted as Buy and Sell signals on the chart.
- No other scripts are included for clarity.
- Have tested with 30mins period
- You are encouraged to play with parameters, let me know if it helps you and/or if you can upgrade the code to a better level.
WHY DID I USE ATR AND ADX?
ATR filter is usually used for the following purposes.
Market Volatility: ATR measures how volatile the market is. High ATR values indicate that the price is experiencing significant fluctuations.
Filtering: Crossing a certain ATR threshold may indicate that the market is active enough to present trading opportunities.
Risk Management: ATR can also be used to set stop-loss and take-profit levels, helping to manage risk effectively.
And ADX is usually used for;
Trend Strength: ADX measures the strength of a trend. High ADX values indicate a strong trend.
Filtering: An ADX value above a certain level suggests that the trend is strong and it might be safer to trade.
Versatility: ADX does not indicate the direction of the trend, only its strength. This makes it useful in both bullish and bearish markets.
Using these indicators together can help filter out false signals and produce more reliable trading signals. While ATR helps to determine if the market is active enough, ADX measures the strength of the trend. Combined, they can create a more complex and effective trading strategy.
I've used ADX data to support generating a buy signal after a golden cross (bullish trend) and waiting until this is a strong trend. It sounds good to check for different trend strengths for bullish and bearish markets to decide a buy signal. Additionally I used ATR to check if the market has enough fluctuations.
Auto Fibo on IndicatorsThis drawing tool aims to draw auto Fibonacci Retracement Levels on desired indicators.
Users can define the target indicator to draw Auto Fibo Lines, from the "settings tab":
There are six commonly used indicators below the charts that can be selected to draw Fibonacci Retracement lines on:
RSI : Relative Strength Index
CCI : Commodity Channel Index
MFI : Money Flow Index
STOCHASTIC : Stochastic Oscillator
CMF : Chaikin Money Flow
CMO : Chande Momentum Oscillator
Fibonacci Retracement Levels will appear automatically after applying the indicator.
The "Auto Fibo on Indicators" tool looks back. It checks the indicator levels for a desired number of bars and then draws the Fibonacci Levels automatically in the right way, considering the final movements of the indicator.
There are five commonly used Fibonacci Levels added between the Highest and Lowest values such as:
%23.6
%38.2
%50 (Not precisely a Fibonacci Level, indeed)
%61.8 (Golden Ratio)
%78.6
Four extra levels can be added from the settings tab by checking their boxes:
%127.2 (adjustable level)
%161.8
%261.8
%361.8
Default lookback bars of Auto Fibo Levels: 144 (which is also a Fibonacci number)
Default Indicator: RSI
Default Indicator length: 14
Default data source: CLOSE
Users can also define and show overbought and oversold levels by unchecking the "Do not Show Indicator Overbought / Oversold Levels?" button from the settings menu.
In technical analysis, Fibonacci Levels on price can guide valuable trading signals for investors.
Levels can be significant support and resistance levels for breakouts and turning points.
This drawing tool aims to follow those necessary levels on indicators to observe critical levels and breakouts.
[blackcat] L1 Trigger Variable Moving Average (TVMA)TVMA is a special type of moving average that differs from the traditional usage of moving averages. TVMA is a lagging moving average, and the degree of lag is determined by the parameter "tvmaLength". When "tvmaLength" = 1, the TVMA line coincides completely with the data source curve without any lag. As the value of "tvmaLength" increases, the lagging effect of the moving average becomes more pronounced. Therefore, TVMA is a very unique type of moving average that aims to obtain lagging signals rather than leading signals.
The purpose of TVMA as a moving average is to provide crossover signals (golden cross and death cross) as reference signals for buying and selling decisions. This indicator is usually used in conjunction with other technical indicators to enhance the accuracy of trading signals. The lagging characteristic of TVMA allows it to generate better trading signals during major trend developments and helps traders avoid being influenced by short-term fluctuations. However, during periods of intense market volatility, this lagging feature may cause delayed signals and result in missed opportunities for good buy or sell points.
Therefore, when using TVMA for trading purposes, it's important to adjust parameters in order to obtain better lagging moving average signals. Additionally, combining other technical indicators and analyzing market trends can also improve the accuracy of trading signals generated by TVMA.
The script defines an indicator called " L1 Trigger Variable Moving Average (TVMA)" using the indicator() function. It also defines a function called tvma() that calculates the TVMA (Trigger Variable Moving Average) based on a given source, length, and alpha value.
The main logic of the script involves calculating the TVMA value using the tvma() function with user-defined inputs. The source data for calculation is taken from the closing price (close). The length of TVMA and its alpha value are also defined by user inputs.
Finally, the calculated TVMA values are plotted on the chart using the plot() function with specified color and title.
Support and Resistance Levels and Zones [Quantigenics]Support and Resistance Levels and Zones Indicator is an enhanced support and resistance indicator in that typical support and resistance levels are crucial concepts in technical analysis representing price levels where selling or buying momentum tends to halt, typically leading to a price reversal.
The Support and Resistance Levels and Zones Indicator goes beyond static levels by identifying dynamic 'zones'. These zones, depicted as shaded areas, offer more nuanced insights, acknowledging that markets are not rigid but fluctuating entities. Traders can leverage these zones, alongside the standard levels that the indicator plots, to better time their entries and exits, maximizing potential profitability and minimizing risk.
This is a "must-see on your charts" indicator and while scrolling back looking at historical data shows the amazing power of this indicator, it's even better in realtime LIVE price action and the price can tend to hit the Support and Resistance Levels and Zones multiple times intrabar.
TVC:GOLD 1HR
NYMEX:CL1! 15MIN
Enjoy!
Swing Point Oscillator with Trend Filter [Quantigenics]The "Swing Point Oscillator with Trend Filter" is a sophisticated trading oscillator designed to enhance trading decisions by adapting to market conditions. Oscillators typically signal overbought/oversold market states, often yielding false signals in strong trends. This trend indicator addresses this by implementing a 'Trend Filter' which changes color in strong trends, alerting traders to avoid typical oscillator reversals. In strong trends (when the trend Filter is red), mid-high or mid-low levels can be used for pullback entries. In more neutral markets (when the trend Filter is close to blue), extreme high and low levels (top and bottom) can be used, as a true 'over bought / over sold' oscillator. The oscillator combines components of the Stochastic Oscillator and the CCI, then normalizes the result, providing a unique, adaptive signal. The color-coded lines and Trend Filter offer clear visual cues, making this a comprehensive tool for various market scenarios.
Caution: Always use the indicator in conjunction with other tools and analysis methods to confirm trading decisions. Avoid trading solely based on this indicator.
GOLD 4HR
CL1! 4HR
How to Use:
Swing Point Oscillator: Displays the momentum of the price relative to its recent high and low.
Trend Filter: Highlights the general direction of the market trend.
Zones: Visual representation to categorize oscillator values (Up Zone and Down Zone).
Interpretation:
Oscillator:
When the oscillator moves upward and approaches or enters the Up Zone, it indicates increasing bullish momentum.
When the oscillator moves downward and approaches or enters the Down Zone, it suggests increasing bearish momentum.
Values near the middle (around zero) often indicate indecision or consolidation in the market.
Trend Filter:
A trend filter line above the Mid-High or below the Mid-Low suggests a strong trend.
When the trend filter is between the Mid-High and Mid-Low, it might indicate a weaker or sideways trend.
Its color will change based on its position relative to the zones. For instance, it turns red when indicating a stronger trend.
Zones:
Up Zone: The area between the Top Line and the Mid-High. Indicates strong bullish momentum when the oscillator is within this zone.
Down Zone: The area between the Mid-Low and the Bottom Line. Indicates strong bearish momentum when the oscillator is in this zone.
Trading Tips:
Bullish Scenario: Consider long positions when the oscillator is rising, and the trend filter indicates a strong upward trend.
Bearish Scenario: Consider short positions when the oscillator is falling, and the trend filter indicates a strong downward trend.
HTF Trend Filter - Dynamic SmoothingSummary of the HTF Trend Filter
The Higher Time Frame (HTF) Trend Filter is a cutting-edge tool crafted for traders who want to scan moving average trend lines time efficiently. At its core, it harnesses the power of dynamic smoothing to present a sleek moving average line regardless of the time frame you’re on. Here's a glimpse of the advantages you unlock with the HTF trend filter:
Dynamic Smoother: Ever been irked by jagged lines on your chart? With the dynamic smoother, those days are gone. The smoother streamlines HTF moving average line on your current lower time frame chart.
Time Efficiency: Time is of the essence in trading. With this tool, you can nimbly toggle between time charts without the hassle of readjusting input parameters, ensuring your screening process remains unhindered.
Features of the Script
Variety of Moving Averages: The script caters to different trading styles by offering a plethora of moving average types, ranging from the classic SMA and EMA to the innovative Hull and McGinley Dynamic MAs.
Dynamic Smoothing: This is the script's pièce de résistance. The dynamic smoothing factor is ingeniously derived by taking the ratio of minutes of the higher time frame to the current time frame. This ensures the moving average remains fluid and consistent across different time frames, eliminating the common pitfalls of jagged moving averages.
Reversal Indicators: It includes a reversal indicator. Green circles pinpoint the start of a potential uptrend, while red ones signify a potential downtrend.
Customizable Alerts: To ensure you never miss a beat, the script is equipped with customizable alert conditions.
Trading Idea
The essence of trading lies in confirming assumptions and validating trends. The HTF Trend Dynamic Smoother positions itself as a potential game-changer in this domain. One could consider using the HTF trend dynamic smoother as a supplementary confirmation tool alongside other primary indicators. For instance, if you're plotting a moving average on a lower time frame, toggling the HTF smoother can offer a broader perspective of the trend from a higher time frame. By ensuring alignment between these perspectives, you could potentially trade with increased confidence, reinforcing your lower time frame strategies with higher time frame confirmations. It's worth noting, however, that while this method can offer additional layers of information and validation, it doesn't replace due diligence. Every trade decision should be the culmination of thorough analysis, and no tool should be solely relied upon for decision-making.
Limitations
While the HTF Trend Filter is an exceptional tool, like all tools, it has its constraints. Lower Time Frame Dependency: For the indicator to function optimally, it's paramount to ensure that the time frame open is always lower (or equal) than the one selected in the input parameters. This limitation is crucial to remember as the dynamic smoother's accuracy hinges on this condition.
In conclusion, the HTF Trend Filter - Dynamic Smoothing is a remarkable blend of innovation and efficiency, tailored for traders who demand fast screening of higher time frame MA trends. Due to it simplistic design it gives a user-friendly experience. However, always remember the golden rule of trading: utilize tools as part of a comprehensive strategy, never in isolation.
LNL Trend SystemLNL Trend System is an ATR based day trading system specifically designed for intra-day traders and scalpers. The System works on any chart time frame & can be applied to any market. The study consist of two components - the Trend Line and the Stop Line. Trend System is based on a special ATR calculation that is achieved by combining the previous values of the 13 EMA in relation to the ATR which creates a line of deviations that visually look similar to the basic moving average but actually produce very different results ESPECIALLY in sideways market.
Trend Line:
Trend Line is a simple line which is basically a fast gauge represented by the 13 EMA that can change the color based on the current trend structure defined by multiple averages (8,13,21,34 EMAs). Trend Line is there to simply add the confluence for the current trend. Colors of the line are pretty much self-explanatory. Whenever the line turns red it states that the current structure is bearish. Vice versa for green line. Gray line represents neutral market structure.
Stop Line:
Stop Line is an ATR deviaton line with special calculation based on the previous bar ATRs and position of the price in relation to the current and previous values of 13 EMA. As already stated, this creates an ATR deviation marker either above or below the price that trails the price up or down until they touch. Whenever the price comes into the Stop Line it means it is making an ATR expansion move up or down .This touch will usually resolve into a reaction (a bounce) which provides trade opportunities.
Trend Bars:
When turned ON, Trend Bars can provide additional confulence of the current trend alongside with the Trend Line color. Trend Bars are based on the DMI and ADX indicators. Whenever the DMI is bearish and ADX is above 20 the candles paint themselfs red. And vice versa applies for the green candles and bullish DMI. Whenever the ADX falls below the 20, candles are netural (Gray) which means there is no real trend in place at the moment.
Trend Mode:
There are total of 5 different trend modes available. Each mode is visualizing different ATR settings which provides either aggressive or more conservative approach. The more tigher the mode, the more closer the distance between the price and the Stop Line. First two modes were designed for slower markets, whereas the "Loose" and "FOMC" modes are more suitable for products with high volatility.
Trend Modes:
1. Tight
Ideal for the slowest markets. Slowest market can be any market with unusually small average true range values or just simply a market that does have a personality of a "sleeper". Tight Mode can be also used for aggresive entries in the most ridiculous trends. Sometimes price will barely pullback to the Trend Line not even the Stop Line.
2. Normal
Normal Mode is the golden mean between the modes. "Normal" provides the ideal ATR lengths for the most used markets such as S&P Futures (ES) or SPY, AAPL and plenty of other highly popular stocks. More often than not, the length of this mode is respected considering there is no breaking news or high impact market event scheduled.
3. Loose
The "Loose" mode is basically a normal mode but a little bit more loose. This mode is useful whenever the ATRs jump higher than usual or during the days of highly anticipated news events. This mode is also better suited for more active markets such as NQ futures.
4. FOMC
The FOMC mode is called FOMC for a reason. This mode provides the maximum amount of wiggle room between the price and the Stop Line. This mode was designed for the extreme volatility, breaking news events or post-FOMC trading. If the market quiets down, this mode will not get the Stop Line touch as frequently as othete modes, thus it is not very useful to run this on markets with the average volatlity. Although never properly tested, perhaps the FOMC mode can find its value in the crypto market?
5. The Net
The net mode is basically a combination of all modes into one stop line system which creates "the net" effect. The Net provides the widest Stop Line zone which can be mainly appreciated by traders that like to use scale-in scale-out methods for their trading. Not to mention the visual side of the indicator which looks pretty great with the net mode on.
HTF (Higher Time Frame) Trend System:
The system also includes additional higher time frame (HTF) trend system. This can be set to any time frame by manual HTF mode. HTF mode set to "auto" will automatically choose the best suitable higher time frame trend system based on how appropriate the aggregation is. For everything below 5min the HTF Trend System will stay on 5min. Anything between 5-15min = 30min. 30min - 120min will turn on the 240min. 180min and higher will result in Daily time frame. Anything above the Daily will result in Weekly HTF aggregation, above W = Monthly, above M = Quarterly.
Background Clouds:
In terms of visualization, each trend system is fully customizable through the inputs settings. There is also an option to turn on/off the background clouds behind the stop lines. These clouds can make the charts more clean & visible.
Tips & Tricks:
1. Different Trend Modes
Try out different modes in different markets. There is no one single mode that will fit to everyone on the same type of market. I myself actually prefer more Loose than the Normal.
2. Stop Line Mirroring
Whenever the Stop Lines start to mirror each other (there is one above the price and one below) this means the price is entering a ranging sideways market. It does not matter which Stop Line will the price touch first. They can both be faded until one of them flips.
3. Signs of the Ranging Market
Watch out for signs of ranging market. Whenever the Trend System looses its colors whether on trend line or trend bars, if everything turns neutral (gray) that is usually a solid indication of a range type action for the following moments. Also as already stated before, the Stop Line mirroring is a good sign of the range market.
4. Trailing Tool, Trend System as an Additional Study?
In case you are not a fan of the colorful green / red charts & candles. You can switch all of them off and just leave the Stop Line on. This way you can use the benefits of the trend system and still use other studies on top of that. Similarly as the Parabolic SAR is often used.
5. The Flip Setup
One of my favorite trades is the Flip Setup on the 5min charts. Whenever the Stop Line is broken , the very first opposing touch after the Trend System flips is a usually a highly participated touch. If there is a strong reaction, this means this is likely a beginning of a new trend. Once I am in the position i like to trail the Stop Line on the 1min charts.
Hope it helps.
SHAHRAM - Money Management This indiator will help you to calculate your position size for managing the risk calculator.
Features :
Click-able Price Entry & SL & TP
calculations works on Forex, CFD, Stock, Futures and Crypto markets.
Usage:
Step 1: Set your entry price
Step 2: Set your stop loss
Step 3: Set your Target
Step 4: Choose the symbol, forex will be automatically detected
Step 5: Fill in your balance and set your risk settings
Parameters
- Set symbol: Forex (auto detection), US100, US30, BTC, XAUUSD, NGAS, XBRUSD, XTIUSD, AUS200, US500, OIL, GOLD, SILVER,...
- Account balance
- Risk in %
- Contract size
- Levels: Stop loss, Entry, Target
- Display settings for the Trading Panel
Trading panel
- Show Live P/L
- Show Risk to reward
- Show lot size
- Show risk in %
- Show account balance
- Show money at risk (no commissions included)
You need change the lot size in Account Setting of this indicator For Gold,Oil... and Other Symbol like as different pip value.
Simply choose your entry level and stop level than target price on the chart and the indicator will calculate your invest size and other documents. You can change your account risk and base currency units in the settings along with changing the scaling of the calculation to adjust the results with the lot sizing units of your broker. This allows the calculator to be used with CFDs, forex, Gold, etc.. Hope it helps in your trading it has been the single most useful tool in my trading as it has helped me always keep my risk locked up and on point that is why I released it.
Copyright BY : @shahramlife
indiator will help you to calculate your position size for managing the risk calculator.
VCC SmtmWorks better for Cryptos (1W and greater than) timeframes.
This strategy incorporates multiple indicators to make informed trading signals. It leverages the Stochastic indicator to assess price momentum, utilizes the Bollinger Band to identify potential oversold and overbought conditions, and closely monitors Moving Averages to gauge the trend's bullish or bearish nature.
A long signal will be displayed if the following conditions are met:
The Stochastic D and Stochastic K both indicate an oversold condition, with Stochastic K being lower than Stochastic D.
The current Price Low is below the Bollinger Lower Band.
The Price Close is currently below all Moving Averages.
A Death Cross pattern has formed among the Moving Averages.
A short signal will be displayed if the opposite of the long conditions are true:
The Stochastic D and Stochastic K both indicate an overbought condition, with Stochastic K being higher than Stochastic D.
The current Price High is above the Bollinger Upper Band.
The Price Close is currently above all Moving Averages.
A Golden Cross pattern has formed among the Moving Averages.
XAUUSD & XAGUSD LOT SIZE CALCUALTOR - BY ADRIANFX94This calculator is a tool designed for traders who trade on the financial markets with instruments like gold (XAUUSD) and silver (XAGUSD). It helps you determine the appropriate lot size to trade based on your account balance, desired risk percentage, and stop-loss size in pips.
Here's how it works:
Account Balance: You input your account balance in US dollars (USD). This is the amount of money you have available to trade.
Risk Percentage: You specify the percentage of your account balance that you are willing to risk on each trade. For example, if you set it to 1%, you are willing to risk 1% of your account balance on a single trade.
Stop Loss Pip Size: You set the size of your stop loss in pips. A stop loss is a risk management tool that defines the maximum amount you are willing to lose on a trade.
The calculator then uses this information along with contract sizes and pip sizes for gold and silver to calculate the appropriate lot size for each instrument. Lot size refers to the number of units or contracts you will trade.
The results are displayed in a table on the top-right corner of your trading chart. The table shows your account balance, the risk percentage you set, and the calculated lot size for gold and silver. The lot size represents the number of contracts you should trade for each instrument to align with your risk management strategy.
By using this calculator, traders can make informed decisions about their trade sizes, ensuring they manage their risk effectively and trade in a way that aligns with their account balance and risk tolerance. It helps traders avoid overexposing their accounts to risk and helps maintain a disciplined trading approach.
Oil Price Prediction (Highly Accurate)It's a little-known fact that gold prices move preceded oil prices by 20 months.
If you don't believe me here is a short video from Tom McClellan discussing this www.cnbc.com
This gives us one of the best and highly accurate indicators of what oil will do in the months to come.
HOW TO USE.
When adding the script to your charts it's important to make a couple of adjustments.
Click the triple dots (...), scroll down to pin to scale, and click pin to new scale.
Rght-click the new scale and click auto (fits data to screen)
Go into the indicator settings and turn off the red line.
What you'll be left with is a price projection on where oil prices will go. This becomes your 30,000-foot view. It is important for traders to know if they're coming into a bullish, bearish or consolidating market and this indicator does that.
Its important to mention this is for Monthly charts.
Happy Trading
Sessioned EMA - Frozen EMA in post market hoursWhy I develop this indicator?
In future indices, post market data with little volume distort the moving average seriously. This indicator is to eliminate the distortion of data during low volume post market hours.
How to use?
There is a time session setting in the indicator, you can set the cash hour time, moving average outside the session will be frozen.
What this indicator gives you
This indicator give you a more make sense ema pattern, the ema lines are more respected by the prices when you set the session properly.
Setup
1. Session setting
In US indices, such as NQ, ES etc, when there was data release at 0830 hr, huge volume transaction order appears, that makes the 0830 price data important that should be included in your ema trend line calculating. If that is the case, I will set the session begin from 0830, otherwise, I start the session at 0930. Golden rule : Price with huge volume counts.
2. Time zone
The coding is decided for GMT+8 time zone, you may amend the code to fit your timezone.
