Bitcoin Margin Call Envelopes [saraphig & alexgrover]Bitcoin is the most well known digital currency, and allow two parties to make a transaction without the need of a central entity, this is why cryptocurrencies are said to be decentralized, there is no central unit in the transaction network, this can be achieved thanks to cryptography. Bitcoin is also the most traded cryptocurrency and has the largest market capitalization, this make it one of the most liquid cryptocurrency.
There has been tons of academic research studying the profitability of Bitcoin as well as its role as a safe heaven asset, with all giving mixed conclusions, some says that Bitcoin is to risky to be considered as an hedging instrument while others highlight similarities between Bitcoin and gold thus showing evidence on the usefulness of Bitcoin acting as an hedging instrument. Yet Bitcoin seems to attract more short term speculative investors rather than other ones that would use Bitcoin as an hedging instrument.
Once introduced, cryptocurrencies where of course heavily analyzed by technical analyst, and technical indicators where used by retail as well as institutional investors in order to forecast the future trends of bitcoin. I never really liked the idea of designing indicators that specifically worked for only one type of market and ever less on only one symbol. Yet the user @saraphig posted in Feb 20 an indicator called " Margin Call MovingAverage " who calculate liquidation price by using a volume weighted moving average. It took my attention and we decided to work together on a relatively more complete version that would include resistances levels.
I believe the proposed indicator might result useful to some users, the code also show a way to restrict the use of an indicator to only one symbol (line 9 to 16).
The Indicator
The indicator only work on BTCUSD, if you use another symbol you should see the following message:
The indicator plot 6 extremities, with 3 upper (resistance) extremities and 3 lower (support) extremities, each one based on the isolated margin mode liquidation price formula:
UPlp = MA/Leverage × (Leverage+1-(Leverage*0.005))
for upper extremities and:
DNlp = MA × Leverage/(Leverage+1-(Leverage*0.005))
for lower extremities.
Length control the period of the moving averages, with higher values of length increasing the probability of the price crossing an extremity. The Leverage's settings control how far away their associated extremities are from the price, with lower values of Leverage making the extremity farther away from the price, Leverage 3 control Up3 and Dn3, Leverage 2 control Up2 and Dn2, Leverage 1 control Up1 and Dn1, @saraphig recommend values for Leverage of either : 25, 20, 15, 10 ,5.
You can select 3 different types of moving average, the default moving average is the volume weighted moving average (VWMA), you can also choose a simple moving average (SMA) and the Kaufman adaptive moving average (KAMA).
Based on my understanding (which could be wrong) the original indicator aim to highlight points where margin calls might have occurred, hence the name of the indicator.
If you want a more "DSP" like description then i would say that each extremity represent a low-pass filter with a passband greater than 1 for upper extremities and lower than 1 for lower extremities, unlike bands indicators made by adding/subtracting a volatility indicator from another moving average this allow to conserve the original shape of the moving average, the downside of it being the inability to show properly on different scales.
here length = 200, on a 1h tf, each extremities are able to detect short-terms tops and bottoms. The extremity become wider when using lower time-frames.
You would then need to increase the Leverages settings, i recommend a time frame of 1h.
Conclusion
I'am not comfortable enough to make a conclusion, as i don't know the indicator that well, however i liked the original indicator posted by @saraphig and was curious about the idea behind it, studying the effect of margin calls on market liquidity as well as making indicators based on it might result a source of inspiration for other traders.
A big thanks to @saraphig who shared a lot of information about the original indicator and allowed me to post this one. I don't exclude working with him/her in the future, i invite you to follow him/her:
www.tradingview.com
Thx for reading and have a nice weekend! :3
Cari dalam skrip untuk "GOLD"
7EMA_5MA (G/D + Bias + 12/26 Signal)This script alow you to survey multiple crossing signals as Golden/Death cross (MA50/200), Institutional Bias (EMA9/18), or EMA 12/26 crossing. You can show/hide all EMAs/MAs and show/hide all signals. Default config displays EMA 50/100/200 and MA 20. Full script includes display of EMA 9/18/12/26/50/100/200 and MA 20/21/50/100/200.
[fikira] MTF MA/EMA'sHere is my take on MA/EMA's and MTF, based on the most excellent work of
"PineCoders" (MTF Selection Framework functions)!
The big advantage is that on 1 image you can easily see where
price is compared to different MA/EMA's (each of different Time Frames).
This gives a lot of Support and Resistance area's!
Includes:
- MA/EMA 20
- MA/EMA 50
- MA/EMA 100
- MA/EMA 200
The present Time Frame MA/EMA has a coloured circle at the side.
Each can be altered in length (the length is visible at the side and changed with the settings)
Each has an extra 4 different Time Frames (multiple settings possible)
Crossover and crossunder MA/EMA 50 with 100 (Silver Cross) and 200 (Golden Cross) is included.
The present Time Frame Cross has a "o" above the Cross
Time Frame 1 Cross has a "1" above the Cross
Time Frame 1 Cross has a "2" above the Cross
Time Frame 1 Cross has a "3" above the Cross
Time Frame 1 Cross has a "4" above the Cross
Ichimoku Cloud by Wei V1.3Label Sanyaku events, green for Gold and red for dead
- a: Tenkan sen Kijun Sen cross
- b: Chiko Span Cross Candle
- c: Kumo breakout
I also added a input option to draw chiko span differently. Original Chiko to draw Chiko as originally designed, and false to draw price at 25 bars earlier at current as "chiko span"
TFs Golden Cross - Status BoxThis simple strategy demonstrates the use of Pine Script version 4 "label" feature to show status box.
This box can display anything, in this case it shows current market position, current profit and close price. It renders the box in green if profit is positive, red if negative and blue if neutral.
Silver Long/Short Combines Gold and Silver price ratio with SMA trend indicators for buy and sell signals.
Extreme VolumeThis indicator colors volume bars that are significantly higher volume than the vol moving average ( SMA ). Utilizes two multiplier that can be adjusted by user. Defaults are that the indicator colors volume bars yellow if 20% higher than average, and orange if over 50% higher than average.
Reason why i created this indicator is i typically don't care about volume unless it is significantly higher than average. I find extreme volume useful for confirmation of a breakout, etc. This is why the rest of the volume bars are gray, they are still available for reference, but I dont pay much attention until volume is higher than average.
Also, when you load this indicator it will be in its own pane below the chart. To try and figure out how to add it to same pane as the chart was a huge pain in the ass. Once you figure it out it is pretty easy. I'll try to explain below...
Next to the indicator name you have the following options ... Hide, Settings, Show Source Code{}, Delete(X), and More (3 dots)
1) Click on "More" (3 dots)
2) Click on "Move To" then chose "Existing Pane Above"
3) Volume will likely be too large. Volume scale should be on left side, use your mouse to adjust volume smaller
4) Volume will likely be in the middle of your chart, click on it and drag it down.
ZoneBand (@Mido_yuiya)Bollinger band is converted to EMA , and support and resistance bands are made into regions
ANN MACD : 25 IN 1 SCRIPTIn this script, I tried to fit deep learning series to 1 command system up to the maximum point.
After selecting the ticker, select the instrument from the menu and the system will automatically turn on the appropriate ann system.
Listed instruments with alternative tickers and error rates:
WTI : West Texas Intermediate (WTICOUSD , USOIL , CL1! ) Average error : 0.007593
BRENT : Brent Crude Oil (BCOUSD , UKOIL , BB1! ) Average error : 0.006591
GOLD : XAUUSD , GOLD , GC1! Average error : 0.012767
SP500 : S&P 500 Index (SPX500USD , SP1!) Average error : 0.011650
EURUSD : Eurodollar (EURUSD , 6E1! , FCEU1!) Average error : 0.005500
ETHUSD : Ethereum (ETHUSD , ETHUSDT ) Average error : 0.009378
BTCUSD : Bitcoin (BTCUSD , BTCUSDT , XBTUSD , BTC1!) Average error : 0.01050
GBPUSD : British Pound (GBPUSD,6B1! , GBP1!) Average error : 0.009999
USDJPY : US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USDJPY , FCUY1!) Average error : 0.009198
USDCHF : US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USDCHF , FCUF1! ) Average error : 0.009999
USDCAD : Us Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) Average error : 0.012162
SOYBNUSD : Soybean (SOYBNUSD , ZS1!) Average error : 0.010000
CORNUSD : Corn (ZC1! ) Average error : 0.007574
NATGASUSD : Natural Gas (NATGASUSD , NG1!) Average error : 0.010000
SUGARUSD : Sugar (SUGARUSD , SB1! ) Average error : 0.011081
WHEATUSD : Wheat (WHEATUSD , ZW1!) Average error : 0.009980
XPTUSD : Platinum (XPTUSD , PL1! ) Average error : 0.009964
XU030 : Borsa Istanbul 30 Futures ( XU030 , XU030D1! ) Average error : 0.010727
VIX : S & P 500 Volatility Index (VX1! , VIX ) Average error : 0.009999
YM : E - Mini Dow Futures (YM1! ) Average error : 0.010819
ES : S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES1! ) Average error : 0.010709
GAZP : Gazprom Futures (GAZP , GZ1! ) Average error : 0.008442
SSE : Shangai Stock Exchange Composite (Index ) ( 000001 ) Average error : 0.011287
XRPUSD : Ripple (XRPUSD , XRPUSDT ) Average error : 0.009803
Note 1 : Australian Dollar (AUDUSD , AUD1! , FCAU1! ) : Instrument has been removed because it has an average error rate of over 0.13.
The average error rate is 0.1850.
I didn't delete it from the menu just because there was so much request,
You can use.
Note 2 : Friends have too many requests, it took me a week in total and 1 other script that I'll share in 2 days.
Reaching these error rates is a very difficult task, and when I keep at a low learning rate, they are trained for a very long time.
If I don't see the error rate at an average low, I increase the layers and go back into a longer process.
It takes me 45 minutes per instrument to command artificial neural networks, so I'll release one more open source, and then we'll be laying 70-80 percent of the world trade volume with artificial neural networks.
Note 3 :
I would like to thank wroclai for helping me with this script.
This script is subject to MIT License on behalf of both of us.
You can review my original idea scripts from my Github page.
You can use it free but if you are going to modify it, just quote this script .
I hope it will help everyone, after 1-2 days I will share another ann script that I think is of the same importance as this, stay tuned.
Regards , Noldo .
BTCBOT2Watches 3 Symbols with separate timeframe control, with Hull Moving Average crossovers on each, DXY XAU/USD BTC/USD
and a daily candle crossover. With StopLoss and Target Price and Backtesting history selection control. Entry and Exit rules visible in script (script open)
So if DXY chart is going down and Gold chart going up and Bitcoin chart going up then it will enter a buy, yes it is watching more than just bitcoin itself.
it needs HMA to match on all 3 charts and with selected timeframes, the timeframe of users chart, the timeframe in settings for the HMA's on the symbols. Also a Daily Candle chart of the users selected chart (symbol)
EMA - Baby WhaleThis script will show you the 8, 13, 21, 55, 100 and 200 EMA .
You can change the colors yourself if you want.
You can use the EMA to define the trend.
A good strategy that traders use is a 55 EMA crossover.
This means that when the 8, 13 and 21 all cross the 55 EMA you place a buy or sell order.
You close your position when the same thing happens on the other side.
Another great way that traders use these EMA's is to spot a Golden or Death cross.
When the 55 and 200 EMA cross and the 200 becomes support it means we're in a uptrend and vice versa.
If you want access, just send a message please.
Much love from Baby Whale!!
🙏❤️🐳
別府 Multiple Moving AveragesThis is yet another script that implements multiple moving averages into one indicator. It also identifies SMA golden crosses and candles where price goes above or below the 200 SMA. It also has a few EMAs and SMAs with configurable periods in case you want to try something out and need a weird EMA or SMA. The default EMAs and SMAs use 50, 100, and 200 periods.
Open Interest Rank-BuschiEnglish:
One part of the "Commitment of Traders-Report" is the Open Interest which is shown in this indicator (source: Quandl database).
Unlike my also published indicator "Open Interest-Buschi", the values here are not absolute but in a ranking system from 0 to 100 with individual time frames-
The following futures are included:
30-year Bonds (ZB)
10-year Notes ( ZN )
Soybeans (ZS)
Soybean Meal (ZM)
Soybean Oil (ZL)
Corn ( ZC )
Soft Red Winter Wheat (ZW)
Hard Red Winter Wheat (KE)
Lean Hogs (HE)
Live Cattle ( LE )
Gold ( GC )
Silver (SI)
Copper (HG)
Crude Oil ( CL )
Heating Oil (HO)
RBOB Gasoline ( RB )
Natural Gas ( NG )
Australian Dollar (A6)
British Pound (B6)
Canadian Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanese Yen (J6)
Swiss Franc (S6)
Sugar ( SB )
Coffee (KC)
Cocoa ( CC )
Cotton ( CT )
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Steel ( HRC )
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Crude Oil (J26)
Rice (ZR)
Oat (ZO)
Milk (DL)
Orange Juice (JO)
Lumber (LS)
Feeder Cattle (GF)
S&P 500 ( SP )
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
New Zealand Dollar (N6)
Deutsch:
Ein Bestandteil des "Commitment of Traders-Report" ist das Open Interest, das in diesem Indikator dargestellt wird (Quelle: Quandl Datenbank).
Anders als in meinem ebenfalls veröffentlichten Indikator "Open Interest-Buschi" werden hier nicht die absoluten Werte dargestellt, sondern in einem Ranking-System von 0 bis 100 mit individuellen Zeitrahmen.
Folgende Futures sind enthalten:
30-jährige US-Staatsanleihen (ZB)
10-jährige US-Staatsanleihen ( ZN )
Sojabohnen(ZS)
Sojabohnen-Mehl (ZM)
Sojabohnen-Öl (ZL)
Mais( ZC )
Soft Red Winter-Weizen (ZW)
Hard Red Winter-Weizen (KE)
Magerschweine (HE)
Lebendrinder ( LE )
Gold ( GC )
Silber (SI)
Kupfer(HG)
Rohöl ( CL )
Heizöl (HO)
Benzin ( RB )
Erdgas ( NG )
Australischer Dollar (A6)
Britisches Pfund (B6)
Kanadischer Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanischer Yen (J6)
Schweizer Franken (S6)
Zucker ( SB )
Kaffee (KC)
Kakao ( CC )
Baumwolle ( CT )
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Stahl ( HRC )
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Rohöl (J26)
Reis (ZR)
Hafer (ZO)
Milch (DL)
Orangensaft (JO)
Holz (LS)
Mastrinder (GF)
S&P 500 ( SP )
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
Neuseeland Dollar (N6)
Open Interest-Buschi
English:
One part of the "Commitment of Traders-Report" is the Open Interest which is shown in this indicator (source: Quandl database).
The following futures are included:
30-year Bonds (ZB)
10-year Notes (ZN)
Soybeans (ZS)
Soybean Meal (ZM)
Soybean Oil (ZL)
Corn (ZC)
Soft Red Winter Wheat (ZW)
Hard Red Winter Wheat(KE)
Lean Hogs (HE)
Live Cattle (LE)
Gold (GC)
Silver (SI)
Copper (HG)
Crude Oil (CL)
Heating Oil (HO)
RBOB Gasoline (RB)
Natural Gas (NG)
Australian Dollar (A6)
British Pound (B6)
Canadian Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanese Yen (J6)
Swiss Franc (S6)
Sugar (SB)
Coffee (KC)
Cocoa (CC)
Cotton (CT)
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Steel (HRC)
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Crude Oil (J26)
Rice (ZR)
Oat (ZO)
Milk (DL)
Orange Juice (JO)
Lumber (LS)
Feeder Cattle (GF)
S&P 500 (SP)
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
New Zealand Dollar (N6)
Deutsch:
Ein Bestandteil des "Commitment of Traders-Report" ist das Open Interest, das in diesem Indikator dargestellt wird (Quelle: Quandl Datenbank).
Folgende Futures sind enthalten:
30-jährige US-Staatsanleihen (ZB)
10-jährige US-Staatsanleihen (ZN)
Sojabohnen(ZS)
Sojabohnen-Mehl (ZM)
Sojabohnen-Öl (ZL)
Mais(ZC)
Soft Red Winter-Weizen (ZW)
Hard Red Winter-Weizen (KE)
Magerschweine (HE)
Lebendrinder (LE)
Gold (GC)
Silber (SI)
Kupfer(HG)
Rohöl (CL)
Heizöl (HO)
Benzin (RB)
Erdgas (NG)
Australischer Dollar (A6)
Britisches Pfund (B6)
Kanadischer Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanischer Yen (J6)
Schweizer Franken (S6)
Zucker (SB)
Kaffee (KC)
Kakao (CC)
Baumwolle (CT)
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Stahl (HRC)
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Rohöl (J26)
Reis (ZR)
Hafer (ZO)
Milch (DL)
Orangensaft (JO)
Holz (LS)
Mastrinder (GF)
S&P 500 (SP)
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
Neuseeland Dollar (N6)
Double StochasticUses two sets of stochastic's to find bull/bear conditions tested on BTC daily and Gold etf weekly charts
Stochastic RSI (with alerts)This is a modification of original Stochastic RSI oscillator, but with addition of highlighted death and golden crosses. It also allows you to receive alerts: "Stochastic RSI: Death cross on 4hours"
ck - Crypto Correlation IndicatorA simple Correlation Indicator initially configured for Crypto Trader use (but other markets can use this too).
It plots the correlation between the current chart (say BTCUSD ) versus 4 user-definable indices, currency pairs, stocks etc.
By default, the indicator is preconfigured for:
GOLD (Oz/$),
Dow Jones Index (DJI),
Standard & Poor 500 Index (SPX) ,
Dollar Index ( DXY )
You can set the period (currently 1D resolution) in the "Period" box in the settings, valid inputs are:
minutes (number), days (1D, 2D, 3D etc), weeks (1W, 2W etc), months (1M, 2M etc)
Length is the lagging period/smoothing applied - default is 14
When changing comparison instruments/tickers, you may find it useful to prefix the exchange with the instrument's ticker, for example:
Binance:BTCUSDT, NYSE:GOOG etc
*** Idea originally from the brilliant Backtest Rookies - backtest-rookies.com ***
Laguerre True RangeA ribbon of 18 Laguerre Filters with separate Gamma values is calculated. To see them enable "Draw Ribbon"
An average of the 18 filters generates the basis line. Then, Golden Mean ATR over the specified sampling period multiplied by 1 and 2 are added and subtracted to the basis line to generate the bands.
Original by DonovanWall
[TH] MA CloudThis script uses concept of ichmok cloud to SMA . ( But the details are different )
It is useful for 1-3 month swing trading (if open market is 5days in a week).
* Cloud
Simple Moving Average ( SMA ) 20 days & 60 days were used to make cloud region( green, red cloud )
- 20 days, 60days SMA were translated to 20days future from now ( =SMA Leading span 1,2 )
- if 20days sma > 60days sma => green
- if 20days sma < 60days sma => red
- if close price < cloud => The bigger red cloud means stronger resistance
- if close price > cloud = > The bigger green cloud means stronger support
* Leading Span (Most important)
Instead of using lagging span, I used leading span.
We can predict 20 days sma's direction with this leading span & current price(close price)
- if close price makes Dead Cross over leading span & close price < 20days sma
=> 20days sma heading down soon
- if close price makes Golden Cross over leading span & close > 20days sma
=> 20days sma heading up soon
* buy
Buy IF 20days sma heading up soon & close price >= green cloud ( even better if 20days sma >= 60days sma )
OR IF 20days sma heading up soon & close price < red cloud & cloud is small ( low success rate )
MBK Multi MAsHello,
this is a Moving Average (9,25,50,100,200,300,400,500) very simple script with golden cross and death cross spots.
feel free to modify it as you like.
trade safe
