Historical Monthly Returns TrackerThe Historical Monthly Returns Tracker is a powerful Pine Script v5 indicator designed to provide a detailed performance analysis of an asset’s monthly returns over time. It calculates and displays the percentage change for each month, aggregated into a structured table. The indicator helps traders and investors identify seasonal trends, recurring patterns, and historical profitability for a selected asset.
Key Features
✅ Historical Performance Analysis – Tracks monthly percentage changes for any asset.
✅ Customizable Start Year – Users can define the beginning year for data analysis.
✅ Comprehensive Data Table – Displays a structured table with yearly returns per month.
✅ Aggregated Statistics – Shows average return, total sum, number of positive months, and win rate (WR) for each month.
✅ Clear Color Coding – Highlights positive returns in green, negative in red, and neutral in gray.
✅ Works on Daily & Monthly Timeframes – Ensures accurate calculations based on higher timeframes.
How It Works
Data Collection:
The script fetches monthly closing prices.
It calculates month-over-month percentage change.
The values are stored in a matrix for further processing.
Table Generation:
Displays a structured table where each row represents a year, and each column represents a month (Jan–Dec).
Monthly returns are color-coded for easy interpretation.
Aggregated Statistics:
AVG: The average return per month across all available years.
SUM: The total cumulative return for each month.
+ive: The number of times a month had positive performance vs. total occurrences.
WR (Win Rate): The percentage of times a month had a positive return.
Use Cases
📈 Seasonality Analysis: Identify which months historically perform better or worse.
📊 Risk Management: Plan trading strategies based on historical trends.
🔍 Backtesting Aid: Support algorithmic and discretionary traders with real data insights.
🔄 Asset Comparison: Compare different stocks, forex pairs, or cryptocurrencies for their seasonal behavior.
How to Use
Apply the Indicator to a chart in TradingView.
Ensure your timeframe is Daily or Monthly (lower timeframes are not supported).
The table will automatically populate based on available historical data.
Analyze the patterns, trends, and win rates to optimize trading decisions.
Limitations
⚠️ Requires a sufficient amount of historical data to provide accurate analysis.
⚠️ Works best on high-liquidity assets (stocks, indices, forex, crypto).
⚠️ Not a predictive tool but rather a historical performance tracker.
Final Thoughts
The Historical Monthly Returns Tracker is an excellent tool for traders seeking to leverage seasonal trends in their strategies. Whether you're a stock, forex, or crypto trader, this indicator provides clear, data-driven insights to help refine entry and exit points based on historical patterns.
🚀 Use this tool to make smarter, more informed trading decisions!
Cari dalam skrip untuk "backtesting"
[3Commas] Turtle StrategyTurtle Strategy
🔷 What it does: This indicator implements a modernized version of the Turtle Trading Strategy, designed for trend-following and automated trading with webhook integration. It identifies breakout opportunities using Donchian channels, providing entry and exit signals.
Channel 1: Detects short-term breakouts using the highest highs and lowest lows over a set period (default 20).
Channel 2: Acts as a confirmation filter by applying an offset to the same period, reducing false signals.
Exit Channel: Functions as a dynamic stop-loss (wait for candle close), adjusting based on market structure (default 10 periods).
Additionally, traders can enable a fixed Take Profit level, ensuring a systematic approach to profit-taking.
🔷 Who is it for:
Trend Traders: Those looking to capture long-term market moves.
Bot Users: Traders seeking to automate entries and exits with bot integration.
Rule-Based Traders: Operators who prefer a structured, systematic trading approach.
🔷 How does it work: The strategy generates buy and sell signals using a dual-channel confirmation system.
Long Entry: A buy signal is generated when the close price crosses above the previous high of Channel 1 and is confirmed by Channel 2.
Short Entry: A sell signal occurs when the close price falls below the previous low of Channel 1, with confirmation from Channel 2.
Exit Management: The Exit Channel acts as a trailing stop, dynamically adjusting to price movements. To exit the trade, wait for a full bar close.
Optional Take Profit (%): Closes trades at a predefined %.
🔷 Why it’s unique:
Modern Adaptation: Updates the classic Turtle Trading Strategy, with the possibility of using a second channel with an offset to filter the signals.
Dynamic Risk Management: Utilizes a trailing Exit Channel to help protect gains as trades move favorably.
Bot Integration: Automates trade execution through direct JSON signal communication with your DCA Bots.
🔷 Considerations Before Using the Indicator:
Market & Timeframe: Best suited for trending markets; higher timeframes (e.g., H4, D1) are recommended to minimize noise.
Sideways Markets: In choppy conditions, breakouts may lead to false signals—consider using additional filters.
Backtesting & Demo Testing: It is crucial to thoroughly backtest the strategy and run it on a demo account before risking real capital.
Parameter Adjustments: Ensure that commissions, slippage, and position sizes are set accurately to reflect real trading conditions.
🔷 STRATEGY PROPERTIES
Symbol: BINANCE:ETHUSDT (Spot).
Timeframe: 4h.
Test Period: All historical data available.
Initial Capital: 10000 USDT.
Order Size per Trade: 1% of Capital, you can use a higher value e.g. 5%, be cautious that the Max Drawdown does not exceed 10%, as it would indicate a very risky trading approach.
Commission: Binance commission 0.1%, adjust according to the exchange being used, lower numbers will generate unrealistic results. By using low values e.g. 5%, it allows us to adapt over time and check the functioning of the strategy.
Slippage: 5 ticks, for pairs with low liquidity or very large orders, this number should be increased as the order may not be filled at the desired level.
Margin for Long and Short Positions: 100%.
Indicator Settings: Default Configuration.
Period Channel 1: 20.
Period Channel 2: 20.
Period Channel 2 Offset: 20.
Period Exit: 10.
Take Profit %: Disable.
Strategy: Long & Short.
🔷 STRATEGY RESULTS
⚠️Remember, past results do not guarantee future performance.
Net Profit: +516.87 USDT (+5.17%).
Max Drawdown: -100.28 USDT (-0.95%).
Total Closed Trades: 281.
Percent Profitable: 40.21%.
Profit Factor: 1.704.
Average Trade: +1.84 USDT (+1.80%).
Average # Bars in Trades: 29.
🔷 How to Use It:
🔸 Adjust Settings:
Select your asset and timeframe suited for trend trading.
Adjust the periods for Channel 1, Channel 2, and the Exit Channel to align with the asset’s historical behavior. You can visualize these channels by going to the Style tab and enabling them.
For example, if you set Channel 2 to 40 with an offset of 40, signals will take longer to appear but will aim for a more defined trend.
Experiment with different values, a possible exit configuration is using 20 as well. Compare the results and adjust accordingly.
Enable the Take Profit (%) option if needed.
🔸Results Review:
It is important to check the Max Drawdown. This value should ideally not exceed 10% of your capital. Consider adjusting the trade size to ensure this threshold is not surpassed.
Remember to include the correct values for commission and slippage according to the symbol and exchange where you are conducting the tests. Otherwise, the results will not be realistic.
If you are satisfied with the results, you may consider automating your trades. However, it is strongly recommended to use a small amount of capital or a demo account to test proper execution before committing real funds.
🔸Create alerts to trigger the DCA Bot:
Verify Messages: Ensure the message matches the one specified by the DCA Bot.
Multi-Pair Configuration: For multi-pair setups, enable the option to add the symbol in the correct format.
Signal Settings: Enable the option to receive long or short signals (Entry | TP | SL), copy and paste the messages for the DCA Bots configured.
Alert Setup:
When creating an alert, set the condition to the indicator and choose "alert() function call only".
Enter any desired Alert Name.
Open the Notifications tab, enable Webhook URL, and paste the Webhook URL.
For more details, refer to the section: "How to use TradingView Custom Signals".
Finalize Alerts: Click Create, you're done! Alerts will now be sent automatically in the correct format.
🔷 INDICATOR SETTINGS
Period Channel 1: Period of highs and lows to trigger signals
Period Channel 2: Period of highs and lows to filter signals
Offset: Move Channel 2 to the right x bars to try to filter out the favorable signals.
Period Exit: It is the period of the Donchian channel that is used as trailing for the exits.
Strategy: Order Type direction in which trades are executed.
Take Profit %: When activated, the entered value will be used as the Take Profit in percentage from the entry price level.
Use Custom Test Period: When enabled signals only works in the selected time window. If disabled it will use all historical data available on the chart.
Test Start and End: Once the Custom Test Period is enabled, here you select the start and end date that you want to analyze.
Check Messages: Check Messages: Enable this option to review the messages that will be sent to the bot.
Entry | TP | SL: Enable this options to send Buy Entry, Take Profit (TP), and Stop Loss (SL) signals.
Deal Entry and Deal Exit: Copy and paste the message for the deal start signal and close order at Market Price of the DCA Bot. This is the message that will be sent with the alert to the Bot, you must verify that it is the same as the bot so that it can process properly.
DCA Bot Multi-Pair: You must activate it if you want to use the signals in a DCA Bot Multi-pair in the text box you must enter (using the correct format) the symbol in which you are creating the alert, you can check the format of each symbol when you create the bot.
👨🏻💻💭 We hope this tool helps enhance your trading. Your feedback is invaluable, so feel free to share any suggestions for improvements or new features you'd like to see implemented.
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Strategy SuperTrend SDI WebhookThis Pine Script™ strategy is designed for automated trading in TradingView. It combines the SuperTrend indicator and Smoothed Directional Indicator (SDI) to generate buy and sell signals, with additional risk management features like stop loss, take profit, and trailing stop. The script also includes settings for leverage trading, equity-based position sizing, and webhook integration.
Key Features
1. Date-based Trade Execution
The strategy is active only between the start and end dates set by the user.
times ensures that trades occur only within this predefined time range.
2. Position Sizing and Leverage
Uses leverage trading to adjust position size dynamically based on initial equity.
The user can set leverage (leverage) and percentage of equity (usdprcnt).
The position size is calculated dynamically (initial_capital) based on account performance.
3. Take Profit, Stop Loss, and Trailing Stop
Take Profit (tp): Defines the target profit percentage.
Stop Loss (sl): Defines the maximum allowable loss per trade.
Trailing Stop (tr): Adjusts dynamically based on trade performance to lock in profits.
4. SuperTrend Indicator
SuperTrend (ta.supertrend) is used to determine the market trend.
If the price is above the SuperTrend line, it indicates an uptrend (bullish).
If the price is below the SuperTrend line, it signals a downtrend (bearish).
Plots visual indicators (green/red lines and circles) to show trend changes.
5. Smoothed Directional Indicator (SDI)
SDI helps to identify trend strength and momentum.
It calculates +DI (bullish strength) and -DI (bearish strength).
If +DI is higher than -DI, the market is considered bullish.
If -DI is higher than +DI, the market is considered bearish.
The background color changes based on the SDI signal.
6. Buy & Sell Conditions
Long Entry (Buy) Conditions:
SDI confirms an uptrend (+DI > -DI).
SuperTrend confirms an uptrend (price crosses above the SuperTrend line).
Short Entry (Sell) Conditions:
SDI confirms a downtrend (+DI < -DI).
SuperTrend confirms a downtrend (price crosses below the SuperTrend line).
Optionally, trades can be filtered using crossovers (occrs option).
7. Trade Execution and Exits
Market entries:
Long (strategy.entry("Long")) when conditions match.
Short (strategy.entry("Short")) when bearish conditions are met.
Trade exits:
Uses predefined take profit, stop loss, and trailing stop levels.
Positions are closed if the strategy is out of the valid time range.
Usage
Automated Trading Strategy:
Can be integrated with webhooks for automated execution on supported trading platforms.
Trend-Following Strategy:
Uses SuperTrend & SDI to identify trend direction and strength.
Risk-Managed Leverage Trading:
Supports position sizing, stop losses, and trailing stops.
Backtesting & Optimization:
Can be used for historical performance analysis before deploying live.
Conclusion
This strategy is suitable for traders who want to automate their trading using SuperTrend and SDI indicators. It incorporates risk management tools like stop loss, take profit, and trailing stop, making it adaptable for leverage trading. Traders can customize settings, conduct backtests, and integrate it with webhooks for real-time trade execution. 🚀
Important Note:
This script is provided for educational and template purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Traders and investors should conduct their research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long-Only For SPXThe "GOATED Long-Only" TradingView strategy, written in Pine Script v5, is designed for long-term momentum trading with a $50 initial capital. It identifies high-momentum stocks by calculating a composite momentum score across 3-month (63 days), 6-month (126 days), 9-month (189 days), and 12-month (252 days) periods, using the formula (current_price / past_price) - 1. The strategy filters stocks with annualized volatility below 0.5 (calculated as the standard deviation of daily returns, annualized by multiplying by the square root of 252 trading days) and requires momentum to exceed a customizable threshold (default 0.0). It enters long positions when momentum becomes positive and exits when it turns negative, using stop-loss (1%) and take-profit (50%) levels to manage risk. The strategy visualizes momentum and volatility on the chart, plotting entry/exit signals as green triangles (long entry) and red triangles (long exit) for backtesting and analysis.
Balance of Power for US30 4H [PineIndicators]The Balance of Power (BoP) Strategy is a momentum-based trading system for the US30 index on a 4-hour timeframe. It measures the strength of buyers versus sellers in each candle using the Balance of Power (BoP) indicator and executes trades based on predefined threshold crossovers. The strategy includes dynamic position sizing, adjustable leverage, and visual trade tracking.
⚙️ Core Strategy Mechanics
Positive values indicate buying strength.
Negative values indicate selling strength.
Values close to 1 suggest strong bullish momentum.
Values close to -1 indicate strong bearish pressure.
The strategy uses fixed threshold crossovers to determine trade entries and exits.
📌 Trade Logic
Entry Conditions
Long Entry: When BoP crosses above 0.8, signaling strong buying pressure.
Exit Conditions
Position Close: When BoP crosses below -0.8, indicating a shift to selling pressure.
This threshold-based system filters out low-confidence signals and focuses on high-momentum shifts.
📏 Position Sizing & Leverage
Leverage: Adjustable by the user (default = 5x).
Risk Management: Position size adapts dynamically based on equity fluctuations.
📊 Trade Visualization & History Tracking
Trade Markers:
"Buy" labels appear when a long position is opened.
"Close" labels appear when a position is exited.
Trade History Boxes:
Green for profitable trades.
Red for losing trades.
These elements provide clear visual tracking of past trade execution.
⚡ Usage & Customization
1️⃣ Apply the script to a US30 4H chart in TradingView.
2️⃣ Adjust leverage settings as needed.
3️⃣ Review trade signals and historical performance with visual markers.
4️⃣ Enable backtesting to evaluate past performance.
This strategy is designed for momentum-based trading and is best suited for volatile market conditions.
Trade Quality Rating: signal rating from 1 to 5 starsOverview
The indicator is built to generate trading signals based on a combination of technical indicators and then assign each signal a quality rating from 1 to 5 stars. The idea is that the more filters that are met, the stronger (or higher quality) the signal is assumed to be. You can then use these quality ratings to decide which signals to act upon, keeping in mind that a higher-rated signal has more confirming factors.
Components of the Indicator
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs):
SMA9 and SMA20:
These two moving averages are used to detect short-term trend changes via crossovers. A bullish signal is generated when the SMA9 crosses above the SMA20, and a bearish signal when it crosses below.
SMA200 (on the current timeframe) & Daily SMA200:
The SMA200 on your current chart helps smooth out the price action.
The Daily SMA200 serves as a long-term trend filter. For a valid long signal, the price must be above the Daily SMA200, and vice versa for a short signal.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD is calculated using standard parameters (12, 26, 9).
It adds momentum confirmation to the signal. For a long trade, the MACD line should be above its signal line, and for a short trade, below.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Calculated with a 14-period setting.
For long signals, the RSI must be above 50 (indicating upward momentum), while for short signals, it should be below 50.
This filter is one of the additional conditions that add to the quality rating.
Volume Filter:
A 20-period moving average of volume is computed.
The current volume must exceed this average, suggesting that there is enough market participation backing the move.
This is another extra filter that adds to the overall quality score.
ADX (Average Directional Index):
The ADX is manually calculated in the script (using a 14-period setting) to gauge the strength of the trend.
A value above 25 is considered to confirm that a strong trend is in place, making the signal more reliable.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price):
The session VWAP is computed on a daily basis.
For long trades, the price should be above the VWAP, and for short trades, below.
This serves as a confirmation that the current price is moving in the right direction relative to the volume-weighted average.
Signal Generation and Quality Rating
Base Signal (1 Star):
The fundamental trade signal is generated when the SMA9/SMA20 crossover occurs, in combination with the MACD confirmation and the condition that the price is on the correct side of the Daily SMA200. This base signal provides a 1-star quality rating.
Additional Filters (Adding Extra Stars):
RSI Filter: Adds 1 extra star if the RSI condition is met (RSI > 50 for long or RSI < 50 for short).
Volume Filter: Adds 1 extra star if the current volume exceeds its 20-period moving average.
ADX Filter: Adds 1 extra star if the ADX value is above 25, confirming a strong trend.
VWAP Filter: Adds 1 extra star if the price is above the VWAP for long trades (or below for short trades).
When all filters are met, you get a 5-star rating (1 star base + 4 extra stars).
Display and Alerts:
The indicator plots your SMAs on the chart.
When a signal occurs, it places a label on the chart showing the trade direction ("BUY" or "SELL") along with the quality rating in stars.
Additionally, alert conditions are set up so that you can receive notifications when a valid signal (based on the base criteria) is generated.
How to Use This Indicator
Filtering Trades:
Use the quality rating as a visual guide. For instance, if you want to only act on the most reliable setups, you might decide to trade only signals that are rated 4 or 5 stars.
Manual Confirmation:
Even with a high star rating, you can perform your own final checks (e.g., checking price action or additional chart patterns) before entering a trade.
Backtesting and Adjustment:
Because market conditions differ, it’s advisable to backtest the indicator on your instrument of choice and adjust the parameters (such as the ADX threshold or the period for volume averaging) to better suit your trading style.
Conclusion
This 5-star system indicator is designed to provide a comprehensive overview of trade quality by integrating multiple technical filters into one visual signal. It helps filter out noise by ensuring that a trade signal not only meets a basic SMA and MACD condition but also aligns with volume, trend strength (ADX), and VWAP criteria. This multi-layered approach can lead to fewer but higher quality trades, allowing you to focus on setups that have more confluence.
Happy trading!
Volatility with Sigma BandsOverview
The Volatility Analysis with Sigma Bands indicator is a powerful and flexible tool designed for traders who want to gain deeper insights into market price fluctuations. It calculates historical volatility within a user-defined time range and displays ±1σ, ±2σ, and ±3σ standard deviation bands, helping traders identify potential support, resistance levels, and extreme price behaviors.
Key Features
Multiple Volatility Band Displays:
±1σ Range (Yellow line): Covers approximately 68% of price fluctuations.
±2σ Range (Blue line): Covers approximately 95% of price fluctuations.
±3σ Range (Fuchsia line): Covers approximately 99% of price fluctuations.
Dynamic Probability Mode:
Toggle between standard normal distribution probabilities (68.2%, 95.4%, 99.7%) and actual historical probability calculations, allowing for more accurate analysis tailored to varying market conditions.
Highly Customizable Label Display:
The label shows:
Real-time volatility
Annualized volatility
Current price
Price ranges for each σ level
Users can adjust the label’s position and horizontal offset to prevent it from overlapping key price areas.
Real-Time Calculation & Visualization:
The indicator updates in real-time based on the selected time range and current market data, making it suitable for day trading, swing trading, and long-term trend analysis.
Use Cases
Risk Management:
Understand the distribution probabilities of price within different standard deviation bands to set more effective stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Trend Confirmation:
Determine trend strength or spot potential reversals by observing whether the price breaks above or below ±1σ or ±2σ ranges.
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Price movement beyond the ±3σ range often indicates extreme market sentiment, providing potential reversal opportunities.
Backtesting and Historical Analysis:
Utilize the customizable time range feature to backtest volatility during various periods, providing valuable insights for strategy refinement.
The Volatility Analysis with Sigma Bands indicator is an essential tool for traders seeking to understand market volatility patterns. Whether you're a day trader looking for precise entry and exit points or a long-term investor analyzing market behavior, this indicator provides deep insights into volatility dynamics, helping you make more confident trading decisions.
RSI of Accumulation/DistributionHow to Use the RSI of Accumulation/Distribution Indicator:
1. Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
Overbought: When the RSI of the ADL is above 70, it indicates that the asset may be overbought and could be due for a pullback or correction.
Oversold: When the RSI of the ADL is below 30, it suggests that the asset may be oversold and could be poised for a rebound.
2. Look for Divergences:
Bullish Divergence: If the price is making lower lows while the RSI of the ADL is making higher lows, it can signal a potential reversal to the upside.
Bearish Divergence: If the price is making higher highs while the RSI of the ADL is making lower highs, it can indicate a potential reversal to the downside.
3. Confirm Trend Strength:
Use the RSI of the ADL to confirm the strength of a trend. For example, if the RSI is consistently above 50 during an uptrend, it suggests strong buying pressure and the trend is likely to continue.
Conversely, if the RSI is consistently below 50 during a downtrend, it indicates strong selling pressure and the trend is likely to persist.
4. Monitor for Reversals:
When the RSI of the ADL crosses above 50, it can signal a potential bullish reversal.
When the RSI of the ADL crosses below 50, it can signal a potential bearish reversal.
Is It Worth It?
The RSI of the Accumulation/Distribution Line can be a valuable tool for traders looking to gain insights into market momentum and trend strength. Here are a few reasons why it might be worth considering:
1. Volume and Price Combination: By combining price action (RSI) with volume-based analysis (ADL), this indicator provides a more comprehensive view of market dynamics.
2. Divergence Detection: It helps identify divergences between price and volume, which can be early signals of potential reversals.
3. Trend Confirmation: It offers additional confirmation of trend strength and potential reversal points, helping traders make more informed decisions.
However, like any indicator, it's important to use it in conjunction with other analysis methods and not rely on it solely for trading decisions. Backtesting the indicator on historical data and combining it with other technical analysis tools can improve its effectiveness.
Feel free to test the script in TradingView and see how it performs in different market conditions. If you have any specific questions or need further assistance, let me know! 😊
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Normalized RSI Oscillator with DivergencesNormalized RSI with Divergences {A Next-Level Trading Tool}
The Normalized RSI with Divergences indicator is a powerful and innovative tool designed to enhance your trading precision. By normalizing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and detecting divergences between the standard and normalized RSI, this script helps traders identify potential trend reversals and continuations with remarkable clarity.
Key Features
🔹 Advanced RSI Normalization
• Transforms the traditional RSI into a normalized range of , making overbought and oversold conditions more intuitive.
• Utilizes a dynamic lookback period to adapt to market conditions.
🔹 Divergence Detection for Smarter Trading
• Identifies Bullish, Hidden Bullish, Bearish, and Hidden Bearish divergences by analyzing RSI pivot points.
• Provides early signals of trend reversals and continuations for better trade execution.
🔹 Clear & Visual Trade Signals
• Divergences are automatically labeled on the chart:
o Bullish Divergence: 🟢 “Bull” (Green) – Possible upward reversal.
o Hidden Bullish Divergence: 🟢 “Hid.” (Lime) – Continuation of an uptrend.
o Bearish Divergence: 🔴 “Bear” (Red) – Possible downward reversal.
o Hidden Bearish Divergence: 🟠 “Hid.” (Orange) – Continuation of a downtrend.
🔹 Fully Customizable Inputs
• Adjust RSI period, normalization lookback, and divergence parameters to fit your strategy.
• Tailor the indicator to your preferred trading style and market conditions.
________________________________________
How It Works
🔹 RSI Normalization Formula:
Norm=2×(RSI−MinMax−Min)−1\text{Norm} = 2 \times \left(\frac{\text{RSI} - \text{Min}}{\text{Max} - \text{Min}}\right) - 1Norm=2×(Max−MinRSI−Min)−1
• Min & Max represent the lowest and highest RSI values over the selected lookback period.
🔹 Divergence Detection Process:
• Identifies pivot points in both the normalized RSI and the standard RSI.
• Compares their directions to detect potential trading signals.
🔹 Real-Time Chart Labeling:
• Uses label.new to visually highlight divergence points for quick and efficient decision-making.
________________________________________
Input Parameters
• Source: Price source for RSI calculation (Default: hlc3).
• Signal Period: RSI calculation period (Default: 50).
• Lookback Range: Normalization period (Default: 200, Max: 5000).
• Trend Length: Smoothing period for normalized RSI (Default: 5).
• Band Width: Center line & bands calculation period (Default: 34).
• Divergence Range: Lookback period for divergence detection (Default: 5).
________________________________________
How to Use
1. Add the script to your trading chart.
2. Customize the settings to match your trading approach.
3. Watch for divergence labels to identify potential market moves:
o 🟢 Bullish Divergence: Possible upward reversal.
o 🟢 Hidden Bullish Divergence: Continuation of an uptrend.
o 🔴 Bearish Divergence: Possible downward reversal.
o 🟠 Hidden Bearish Divergence: Continuation of a downtrend.
________________________________________
Why Use This Indicator?
✅ Enhanced RSI Analysis: Normalization simplifies overbought/oversold conditions.
✅ Crystal-Clear Divergence Signals: Instantly spot key trend shifts.
✅ Fully Customizable: Adjust settings for your specific strategy.
✅ Improve Trade Accuracy: Gain an edge with precise divergence detection.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and backtesting before using it in live trading.
📜 License
This script is released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Enjoy the Normalized RSI with Divergences indicator, and happy trading! 🚀📈
— Kerem Ertem
[SHORT ONLY] 10 Bar Low Pullback█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "10 Bar Low Pullback" strategy is a contrarian short trading system designed to capture pullbacks after a new 10‐bar low is made. it identifies a potential short opportunity when the current bar’s low breaks below the lowest low of the previous 10 bars, provided that the bar exhibits strong internal momentum as measured by its IBS value. An optional trend filter further refines entries by requiring that the close is below a 200-period EMA.
█ WHAT IS INTERNAL BAR STRENGTH (IBS)?
Internal Bar Strength (IBS) measures where the closing price falls within the high-low range of a bar. It is calculated as:
ibs = (close - low) / (high - low)
- Low IBS (≤ 0.2): Indicates the close is near the bar's low, suggesting oversold conditions.
- High IBS (≥ 0.8): Indicates the close is near the bar's high, suggesting overbought conditions.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The current bar’s low is below the lowest low of the past X bars (default: 10).
The bar’s IBS is greater than the specified threshold (default: 0.85).
The signal occurs within the defined trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
If the EMA Filter is enabled, the close must be below the 200-period EMA.
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low (close < low ), indicating a potential bearish reversal and prompting the strategy to close its short position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Lookback Period: Defines the number of bars (default is 10) over which the lowest low is calculated.
IBS Threshold: Sets the minimum required IBS value (default is 0.85) to qualify as a pullback.
Trading Window: Trades are only executed between the user-defined Start Time and End Time.
EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, short entries are only considered if the current close is below the 200-period EMA, with the EMA period being adjustable (default is 200).
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
Designed for shorting opportunities, this strategy aims to capture pullbacks following an aggressive 10-bar low break.
It leverages a combination of a lookback low and IBS measurement to identify overextended bullish moves that may revert.
The optional EMA filter helps confirm a bearish market environment by ensuring the price remains under the trend line.
Suitable for use on various assets, including stocks and ETFs, on daily or similar timeframes.
Backtesting and parameter optimization are recommended to tailor the strategy to specific market conditions.
[SHORT ONLY] ATR Sell the Rip Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "ATR Sell the Rip Mean Reversion Strategy" is a contrarian system that targets overextended price moves on stocks and ETFs. It calculates an ATR‐based trigger level to identify shorting opportunities. When the current close exceeds this smoothed ATR trigger, and if the close is below a 200-period EMA (if enabled), the strategy initiates a short entry, aiming to profit from an anticipated corrective pullback.
█ HOW IS THE ATR SIGNAL BAND CALCULATED?
This strategy computes an ATR-based signal trigger as follows:
Calculate the ATR
The strategy computes the Average True Range (ATR) using a configurable period provided by the user:
atrValue = ta.atr(atrPeriod)
Determine the Threshold
Multiply the ATR by a predefined multiplier and add it to the current close:
atrThreshold = close + atrValue * atrMultInput
Smooth the Threshold
Apply a Simple Moving Average over a specified period to smooth out the threshold, reducing noise:
signalTrigger = ta.sma(atrThreshold, smoothPeriodInput)
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The current close is above the smoothed ATR signal trigger.
The trade occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
If the EMA filter is enabled, the close must also be below the 200-period EMA.
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low (close < low ), indicating a potential bearish reversal and prompting the strategy to close its short position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
ATR Period: The period used to calculate the ATR, allowing for adaptability to different volatility conditions (default is 20).
ATR Multiplier: The multiplier applied to the ATR to determine the raw threshold (default is 1.0).
Smoothing Period: The period over which the raw ATR threshold is smoothed using an SMA (default is 10).
Start Time and End Time: Defines the time window during which trades are allowed.
EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, short entries are only executed if the current close is below the 200-period EMA, confirming a bearish trend.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for use on the Daily timeframe, targeting stocks and ETFs by capitalizing on overextended price moves.
It utilizes a dynamic, ATR-based trigger to identify when prices have potentially peaked, setting the stage for a mean reversion short entry.
The optional EMA filter helps align trades with broader market trends, potentially reducing false signals.
Backtesting is recommended to fine-tune the ATR multiplier, smoothing period, and EMA settings to match the volatility and behavior of specific markets.
[SHORT ONLY] Consecutive Bars Above MA Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Consecutive Bars Above MA Strategy" is a contrarian trading system aimed at exploiting overextended bullish moves in stocks and ETFs. It monitors the number of consecutive bars that close above a chosen short-term moving average (which can be either a Simple Moving Average or an Exponential Moving Average). Once the count reaches a preset threshold and the current bar’s close exceeds the previous bar’s high within a designated trading window, a short entry is initiated. An optional EMA filter further refines entries by requiring that the current close is below the 200-period EMA, helping to ensure that trades are taken in a bearish environment.
█ HOW ARE THE CONSECUTIVE BULLISH COUNTS CALCULATED?
The strategy utilizes a counter variable, `bullCount`, to track consecutive bullish bars based on their relation to the short-term moving average. Here’s how the count is determined:
Initialize the Counter
The counter is initialized at the start:
var int bullCount = na
Bullish Bar Detection
For each bar, if the close is above the selected moving average (either SMA or EMA, based on user input), the counter is incremented:
bullCount := close > signalMa ? (na(bullCount) ? 1 : bullCount + 1) : 0
Reset on Non-Bullish Condition
If the close does not exceed the moving average, the counter resets to zero, indicating a break in the consecutive bullish streak.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A short signal is generated when:
The number of consecutive bullish bars (i.e., bars closing above the short-term MA) meets or exceeds the defined threshold (default: 3).
The current bar’s close is higher than the previous bar’s high.
The signal occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
Additionally, if the EMA filter is enabled, the entry is only executed when the current close is below the 200-period EMA.
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit signal is triggered when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low, prompting the strategy to close the short position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Threshold: The number of consecutive bullish bars required to trigger a short entry (default is 3).
Trading Window: The Start Time and End Time inputs define when the strategy is active.
Moving Average Settings: Choose between SMA and EMA, and set the MA length (default is 5), which is used to assess each bar’s bullish condition.
EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, this filter requires that the current close is below the 200-period EMA, supporting entries in a downtrend.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for stocks and ETFs and can be applied across various timeframes.
It seeks to capture mean reversion by shorting after a series of bullish bars suggests an overextended move.
The approach employs a contrarian short entry by waiting for a breakout (close > previous high) following consecutive bullish bars.
The adjustable moving average settings and optional EMA filter allow for further optimization based on market conditions.
Comprehensive backtesting is recommended to fine-tune the threshold, moving average parameters, and filter settings for optimal performance.
[SHORT ONLY] Consecutive Close>High[1] Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Consecutive Close > High " Mean Reversion Strategy is a contrarian daily trading system for stocks and ETFs. It identifies potential shorting opportunities by counting consecutive days where the closing price exceeds the previous day's high. When this consecutive day count reaches a predetermined threshold, and if the close is below a 200-period EMA (if enabled), a short entry is triggered, anticipating a corrective pullback.
█ HOW ARE THE CONSECUTIVE BULLISH COUNTS CALCULATED?
The strategy uses a counter variable called `bullCount` to track how many consecutive bars meet a bullish condition. Here’s a breakdown of the process:
Initialize the Counter
var int bullCount = 0
Bullish Bar Detection
Every time the close exceeds the previous bar's high, increment the counter:
if close > high
bullCount += 1
Reset on Bearish Bar
When there is a clear bearish reversal, the counter is reset to zero:
if close < low
bullCount := 0
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The count of consecutive bullish closes (where close > high ) reaches or exceeds the defined threshold (default: 3).
The signal occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low (close < low ), prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Threshold: The number of consecutive bullish closes required to trigger a short entry (default is 3).
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, short entries are only triggered if the current close is below the 200-period EMA.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for Stocks and ETFs on the Daily timeframe and targets overextended bullish moves.
It aims to capture mean reversion by entering short after a series of consecutive bullish closes.
Further optimization is possible with additional filters (e.g., EMA, volume, or volatility).
Backtesting should be used to fine-tune the threshold and filter settings for specific market conditions.
[SHORT ONLY] Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Strategy" is a mean-reversion strategy designed to identify trading opportunities based on the closing price's position within the daily price range. It enters a short position when the IBS indicates overbought conditions and exits when the IBS reaches oversold levels. This strategy is Short-Only and was designed to be used on the Daily timeframe for Stocks and ETFs.
█ WHAT IS INTERNAL BAR STRENGTH (IBS)?
Internal Bar Strength (IBS) measures where the closing price falls within the high-low range of a bar. It is calculated as:
IBS = (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
- Low IBS (≤ 0.2) : Indicates the close is near the bar's low, suggesting oversold conditions.
- High IBS (≥ 0.8) : Indicates the close is near the bar's high, suggesting overbought conditions.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The IBS value rises to or above the Upper Threshold (default: 0.9).
The Closing price is greater than the previous bars High (close>high ).
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the IBS value drops to or below the Lower Threshold (default: 0.3). This prompts the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Upper Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy enters trades. Default is 0.9.
Lower Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy exits short positions. Default is 0.3.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for Stocks and ETFs markets and performs best when prices frequently revert to the mean.
The strategy can be optimized further using additional conditions such as using volume or volatility filters.
It is sensitive to extreme IBS values, which help identify potential reversals.
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the Upper/Lower Thresholds for specific instruments and market conditions.
MACD & Bollinger Bands Overbought OversoldMACD & Bollinger Bands Reversal Detector
This indicator combines the power of MACD divergence analysis with Bollinger Bands to help traders identify potential reversal points in the market.
Key Features:
MACD Calculation & Divergence:
The script calculates the standard MACD components (MACD line, Signal line, and Histogram) using configurable fast, slow, and signal lengths. It includes a simplified divergence detection mechanism that flags potential bearish divergence—when the price makes a new swing high but the MACD fails to confirm the move. This divergence can serve as an early warning that the bullish momentum is waning.
Bollinger Bands:
A 20-period simple moving average (SMA) is used as the basis, with upper and lower bands drawn at 2 standard deviations. These bands help visualize overbought and oversold conditions. For example, a close at or above the upper band suggests the market may be overextended (overbought), while a close at or below the lower band may indicate oversold conditions.
Visual Alerts:
The indicator plots the Bollinger Bands on the chart along with labels marking overbought and oversold conditions. Additionally, it marks potential bearish divergence with a downward triangle, providing a quick visual cue to traders.
Usage Suggestions:
Confluence with Other Signals:
Use the divergence signals and Bollinger Band conditions as filters. For example, even if another indicator suggests a long entry, you might avoid it if the price is overbought or if MACD divergence warns of weakening momentum.
Customization:
All key parameters, such as the MACD lengths, Bollinger Band period, and multiplier, are fully configurable. This flexibility allows you to adjust the indicator to suit different markets or trading styles.
Disclaimer:
This script is provided for educational purposes only. Always perform your own analysis and backtesting before trading with live capital.
On-chain Zscore | QuantumResearchQuantumResearch On-chain Zscore Indicator
The On-chain Zscore Indicator by QuantumResearch is a cutting-edge tool designed for traders and analysts who leverage on-chain metrics to assess Bitcoin’s market conditions. This indicator calculates a composite Z-score using three key on-chain metrics: NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss), SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio), and MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value). By normalizing these values through standard deviations, the indicator provides a dynamic, data-driven approach to identifying overbought and oversold conditions, improving market timing and decision-making.
1. Overview
This indicator integrates multiple on-chain metrics to:
Assess Market Cycles – Utilize Z-score normalization to detect potential tops and bottoms.
Smooth Volatility – Apply EMA and standard deviation filtering to refine signals.
Identify Buy & Sell Signals – Use adaptive thresholds to highlight market extremes.
Provide Visual Clarity – Color-coded bar signals and background fills for intuitive analysis.
2. How It Works
A. Z-score Calculation
What is a Z-score? – The Z-score measures how far a data point deviates from its historical mean in terms of standard deviations. This helps in identifying statistical extremes.
Zscore(source,mean,std)=>
zscore = (source-mean)/std
zscore
Standard Deviation Normalization – Each on-chain metric (NUPL, SOPR, MVRV) is individually standardized before being combined into a final score.
B. On-Chain Components
NUPL Z-score – Measures unrealized profits and losses relative to market cycles.
SOPR Z-score – Evaluates profit-taking behavior on spent outputs.
MVRV Z-score – Assesses whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued based on market cap vs. realized cap.
C. Composite On-chain Score
The indicator computes an average Z-score of the three on-chain metrics to create a composite market assessment.
Adaptive thresholds (default: 0.73 for bullish signals, -0.44 for bearish signals) dynamically adjust based on market conditions.
3. Visual Representation
This indicator features color-coded elements and dynamic threshold visualization:
Bar Colors
Green Bars – Bullish conditions when Z-score exceeds the upper threshold.
Red Bars – Bearish conditions when Z-score drops below the lower threshold.
Gray Bars – Neutral market conditions.
Threshold Bands & Background Fill
Upper Band (Overbought) – Default threshold set at 0.73.
Middle Band – Neutral zone at 0.
Lower Band (Oversold) – Default threshold set at -0.44.
4. Customization & Parameters
This indicator is highly configurable, allowing traders to fine-tune settings based on their strategy:
On-Chain Z-score Settings
NUPL Z-score Length – Default: 126 periods
SOPR Z-score Length – Default: 111 periods
MVRV Z-score Length – Default: 111 periods
Signal Thresholds
Upper Threshold (Bullish Zone) – Default: 0.73
Lower Threshold (Bearish Zone) – Default: -0.44
Color & Visual Settings
Choose from eight customizable color modes to suit personal preferences.
5. Trading Applications
The On-chain Zscore Indicator is versatile and can be applied in various market scenarios:
Macro Trend Analysis – Identify long-term market tops and bottoms using normalized on-chain metrics.
Momentum Confirmation – Validate price action trends with SOPR & MVRV behavior.
Market Timing – Use deviation thresholds to enter at historically significant price zones.
Risk Management – Avoid overextended markets by watching for extreme Z-score readings.
6. Final Thoughts
The QuantumResearch On-chain Zscore Indicator provides a unique approach to market evaluation by combining three critical on-chain metrics into a single, normalized score.
By standardizing Bitcoin’s market behavior, this tool helps traders and investors make informed decisions based on historical statistical extremes.
Backtesting and validation are essential before using this indicator in live trading. While it enhances market analysis, it should be used alongside other tools and strategies.
Disclaimer: No indicator can guarantee future performance. Always use appropriate risk management and perform due diligence before trading.
Volume Alert with Adaptive Trend - MissouriTimElevate your market analysis with our "Volume Alert with Adaptive Trend" indicator. This powerful tool combines real-time volume spike notifications with a sophisticated adaptive trend channel, providing traders with both immediate and long-term market insights. Customize your trading experience with adjustable volume alert thresholds and trend visualization options.
Features Summary
Volume Alert Features:
Volume Spike Detection:
Alerts you when volume exceeds a user-defined multiplier of the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of volume, helping identify potential market interest or significant price movements.
Visual Notification:
A "Volume Alert" label appears on the chart in a striking purple color (#7300E6) with white text, making high volume bars easily noticeable.
Customizable Sensitivity:
The volume spike threshold is adjustable, allowing you to set how sensitive the alert should be to volume changes, tailored to your trading strategy.
Alerts:
An alert condition is set to notify you when a volume spike occurs, ensuring you don't miss potential trading opportunities.
Adaptive Trend Features
Adaptive Channel:
Visualizes market trends through a dynamic channel that adjusts to price movements, offering insights into trend direction, strength, and potential reversal points.
Lookback Period:
Choose between short-term or long-term trend analysis with a toggle that adjusts the calculation period for the trend channel.
Channel Customization:
Fine-tune the trend channel with options for deviation multiplier, line styles, colors, transparency, and extension preferences to match your visual trading preferences.
Non-Repainting:
The trend lines are updated only on the current bar, ensuring the integrity of historical data for backtesting and strategy development.
Integrated Utility
Combination of Tools: This indicator marries the immediacy of volume alerts with the strategic depth of trend analysis, offering a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
User Customization: With inputs for both volume alerts and trend visualization, the indicator can be tailored to suit various trading styles, from scalping to swing trading.
This indicator ensures you're always in tune with market movements, providing crucial information at a glance to inform your trading decisions.
BTC Future Gamma-Weighted Momentum Model (BGMM)The BTC Future Gamma-Weighted Momentum Model (BGMM) is a quantitative trading strategy that utilizes the Gamma-weighted average price (GWAP) in conjunction with a momentum-based approach to predict price movements in the Bitcoin futures market. The model combines the concept of weighted price movements with trend identification, where the Gamma factor amplifies the weight assigned to recent prices. It leverages the idea that historical price trends and weighting mechanisms can be utilized to forecast future price behavior.
Theoretical Background:
1. Momentum in Financial Markets:
Momentum is a well-established concept in financial market theory, referring to the tendency of assets to continue moving in the same direction after initiating a trend. Any observed market return over a given time period is likely to continue in the same direction, a phenomenon known as the “momentum effect.” Deviations from a mean or trend provide potential trading opportunities, particularly in highly volatile assets like Bitcoin.
Numerous empirical studies have demonstrated that momentum strategies, based on price movements, especially those correlating long-term and short-term trends, can yield significant returns (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). Given Bitcoin’s volatile nature, it is an ideal candidate for momentum-based strategies.
2. Gamma-Weighted Price Strategies:
Gamma weighting is an advanced method of applying weights to price data, where past price movements are weighted by a Gamma factor. This weighting allows for the reinforcement or reduction of the influence of historical prices based on an exponential function. The Gamma factor (ranging from 0.5 to 1.5) controls how much emphasis is placed on recent data: a value closer to 1 applies an even weighting across periods, while a value closer to 0 diminishes the influence of past prices.
Gamma-based models are used in financial analysis and modeling to enhance a model’s adaptability to changing market dynamics. This weighting mechanism is particularly advantageous in volatile markets such as Bitcoin futures, as it facilitates quick adaptation to changing market conditions (Black-Scholes, 1973).
Strategy Mechanism:
The BTC Future Gamma-Weighted Momentum Model (BGMM) utilizes an adaptive weighting strategy, where the Bitcoin futures prices are weighted according to the Gamma factor to calculate the Gamma-Weighted Average Price (GWAP). The GWAP is derived as a weighted average of prices over a specific number of periods, with more weight assigned to recent periods. The calculated GWAP serves as a reference value, and trading decisions are based on whether the current market price is above or below this level.
1. Long Position Conditions:
A long position is initiated when the Bitcoin price is above the GWAP and a positive price movement is observed over the last three periods. This indicates that an upward trend is in place, and the market is likely to continue in the direction of the momentum.
2. Short Position Conditions:
A short position is initiated when the Bitcoin price is below the GWAP and a negative price movement is observed over the last three periods. This suggests that a downtrend is occurring, and a continuation of the negative price movement is expected.
Backtesting and Application to Bitcoin Futures:
The model has been tested exclusively on the Bitcoin futures market due to Bitcoin’s high volatility and strong trend behavior. These characteristics make the market particularly suitable for momentum strategies, as strong upward or downward movements are often followed by persistent trends that can be captured by a momentum-based approach.
Backtests of the BGMM on the Bitcoin futures market indicate that the model achieves above-average returns during periods of strong momentum, especially when the Gamma factor is optimized to suit the specific dynamics of the Bitcoin market. The high volatility of Bitcoin, combined with adaptive weighting, allows the model to respond quickly to price changes and maximize trading opportunities.
Scientific Citations and Sources:
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65–91.
• Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637–654.
• Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427–465.
Period Counter CandleDescription:
The Period Candle Counter is a Pine Script v6 indicator designed to track and display candle statistics within a user-defined time range. This tool provides valuable insights into market movement by counting green (bullish) and red (bearish) candles within the selected period, along with their respective percentages.
Additionally, it calculates the total duration of the selected candles based on the current chart timeframe. This allows traders to understand how much actual market time has passed during the analyzed period.
Features & Functionality:
✅ Custom Time Selection:
Users can define a start and end time for the analysis.
The indicator automatically identifies and tracks candles within this period.
✅ Candle Count & Percentages:
Total Candles in the selected period.
Green Candle Count & Percentage (bullish candles).
Red Candle Count & Percentage (bearish candles).
✅ Time Calculation:
Multiplies the number of candles by the chart timeframe.
Converts the total time into hours and minutes (e.g., "2h 30m").
✅ User-Friendly Display:
Data is neatly organized in a panel positioned in the top-right corner of the chart.
Background highlighting is applied during the selected period for easy visualization.
Use Cases:
📊 Trend Analysis – Helps traders identify whether a session was bullish or bearish.
⏳ Market Session Timing – Understand how long a specific trend or movement lasted.
📉 Backtesting Strategy Support – Evaluate historical periods efficiently.
Dynamic RSI Bollinger Bands with Waldo Cloud
TradingView Indicator Description: Dynamic RSI Bollinger Bands with Waldo Cloud
Title: Dynamic RSI Bollinger Bands with Waldo Cloud
Short Title: Dynamic RSI BB Waldo
Overview:
Introducing an experimental indicator, the Dynamic RSI Bollinger Bands with Waldo Cloud, designed for adventurous traders looking to explore new dimensions in technical analysis. This indicator overlays on your chart, providing a unique perspective by integrating the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with Bollinger Bands, creating a dynamic trading tool that adapts to market conditions through the lens of momentum and volatility.
What is it?
This innovative indicator combines the traditional Bollinger Bands with the RSI in a way that hasn't been commonly explored. Here's a breakdown:
RSI Integration: The RSI is calculated with customizable length settings, and its values are used not just for momentum analysis but as the basis for the Bollinger Bands. This means the position and width of the bands are directly influenced by the RSI, offering a visual representation of momentum within the context of price volatility.
Dynamic Bollinger Bands: Instead of using price directly, the Bollinger Bands are calculated using a scaled version of the RSI. This scaling is done to fit the RSI values into the price range, ensuring the bands are relevant to the actual price movement. The standard deviation for these bands is also scaled accordingly, providing a unique volatility measure that's momentum-driven.
Waldo Cloud: Named after a visual representation concept, the 'Waldo Cloud' refers to the colored area between the Bollinger Bands, which changes based on various conditions:
Purple when RSI is overbought.
Blue when RSI is oversold.
Green for bullish conditions, defined by the fast-moving average crossing above the slow one, RSI is bullish, and the price is above the slow MA.
Red for bearish conditions, when the fast MA crosses below the slow MA, the RSI is bearish, and the price is below the slow MA.
Gray for neutral market conditions.
Moving Averages: Two simple moving averages (Fast MA and Slow MA) are included, which can be toggled on or off, offering additional trend analysis through crossovers.
How to Use It:
Given its experimental nature, this indicator should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analysis methods:
Identifying Market Conditions: Use the color of the Waldo Cloud to gauge market sentiment. A green cloud might suggest a good time to consider long positions, while a red cloud could indicate potential shorting opportunities. Purple and blue clouds highlight extreme conditions that might precede reversals.
Volatility and Momentum: The dynamic nature of the Bollinger Bands based on RSI provides insight into how momentum is affecting price volatility. When the bands are wide, it might indicate high momentum and potential trend continuation or reversal, depending on the RSI's position relative to its overbought/oversold levels.
Trend Confirmation: The moving average crossovers can act as confirmation signals. For instance, a bullish crossover (fast MA over slow MA) within a green cloud might strengthen a buy signal, whereas a bearish crossover in a red cloud might reinforce a sell decision.
Customization: Adjust the RSI length, overbought/oversold levels, and moving average lengths to suit different trading styles or market conditions. Experiment with these settings to find what works best for your strategy.
Combining with Other Indicators: Since this is an experimental tool, it's advisable to use it alongside established indicators like traditional Bollinger Bands, MACD, or trend lines to validate signals.
Conclusion:
The Dynamic RSI Bollinger Bands with Waldo Cloud is an experimental venture into combining momentum with volatility visually and interactively. It's designed for traders who are open to exploring new methods of market analysis.
Remember, due to its experimental status, this indicator should be part of a broader trading strategy, and backtesting or paper trading is recommended before applying it in live trading scenarios. Keep an eye on how the market reacts to the signals provided by this indicator and always consider risk management practices.
One Trading Setup for Life ICT [TradingFinder] Sweep Session FVG🔵 Introduction
ICT One Trading Setup for Life is a trading strategy based on liquidity and market structure shifts, utilizing the PM Session Sweep to determine price direction. In this strategy, the market first forms a price range during the PM Session (from 13:30 to 16:00 EST), which includes the highest high (PM Session High) and lowest low (PM Session Low).
In the next session, the price first touches one of these levels to trigger a Liquidity Hunt before confirming its trend by breaking the Change in State of Delivery (CISD) Level. After this confirmation, the price retraces toward a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Order Block (OB), which serve as the best entry points in alignment with liquidity.
In financial markets, liquidity is the primary driver of price movement, and major market participants such as institutional investors and banks are constantly seeking liquidity at key levels. This process, known as Liquidity Hunt or Liquidity Sweep, occurs when the price reaches an area with a high concentration of orders, absorbs liquidity, and then reverses direction.
In this setup, the PM Session range acts as a trading framework, where its highs and lows function as key liquidity zones that influence the next session’s price movement. After the New York market opens at 9:30 EST, the price initially breaks one of these levels to capture liquidity.
However, for a trend shift to be confirmed, the CISD Level must be broken.
Once the CISD Level is breached, the price retraces toward an FVG or OB, which serve as optimal trade entry points.
Bullish Setup :
Bearish Setup :
🔵 How to Use
In this strategy, the PM Session range is first identified, which includes the highest high (PM Session High) and lowest low (PM Session Low) between 13:30 and 16:00 EST. In the following session, the price touches one of these levels for a Liquidity Hunt, followed by a break of the Change in State of Delivery (CISD) Level. The price then retraces toward a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Order Block (OB), creating a trading opportunity.
This process can occur in two scenarios : bearish and bullish setups.
🟣 Bullish Setup
In a bullish scenario, the PM Session High and PM Session Low are identified. In the following session, the price first breaks the PM Session Low, absorbing liquidity. This process results in a Fake Breakout to the downside, misleading retail traders into taking short positions.
After the Liquidity Hunt, the CISD Level is broken, confirming a trend reversal. The price then retraces toward an FVG or OB, offering an optimal long entry opportunity.
The initial take-profit target is the PM Session High, but if higher timeframe liquidity levels exist, extended targets can be set.
The stop-loss should be placed below the Fake Breakout low or the first candle of the FVG.
🟣 Bearish Setup
In a bearish scenario, the market first defines its PM Session High and PM Session Low. In the next session, the price initially breaks the PM Session High, triggering a Liquidity Hunt. This movement often causes a Fake Breakout, misleading retail traders into taking incorrect positions.
After absorbing liquidity, the CISD Level breaks, indicating a shift in market structure. The price then retraces toward an FVG or OB, offering the best short entry opportunity.
The initial take-profit target is the PM Session Low, but if additional liquidity exists on higher timeframes, lower targets can be considered.
The stop-loss should be placed above the Fake Breakout high or the first candle of the FVG.
🔵 Setting
CISD Bar Back Check : The Bar Back Check option enables traders to specify the number of past candles checked for identifying the CISD Level, enhancing CISD Level accuracy on the chart.
Order Block Validity : The number of candles that determine the validity of an Order Block.
FVG Validity : The duration for which a Fair Value Gap remains valid.
CISD Level Validity : The duration for which a CISD Level remains valid after being broken.
New York PM Session : Defines the PM Session range from 13:30 to 16:00 EST.
New York AM Session : Defines the AM Session range from 9:30 to 16:00 EST.
Refine Order Block : Enables finer adjustments to Order Block levels for more accurate price responses.
Mitigation Level OB : Allows users to set specific reaction points within an Order Block, including: Proximal: Closest level to the current price. 50% OB: Midpoint of the Order Block. Distal: Farthest level from the current price.
FVG Filter : The Judas Swing indicator includes a filter for Fair Value Gap (FVG), allowing different filtering based on FVG width: FVG Filter Type: Can be set to "Very Aggressive," "Aggressive," "Defensive," or "Very Defensive." Higher defensiveness narrows the FVG width, focusing on narrower gaps.
Mitigation Level FVG : Like the Order Block, you can set price reaction levels for FVG with options such as Proximal, 50% OB, and Distal.
Demand Order Block : Enables or disables bullish Order Block.
Supply Order Block : Enables or disables bearish Order Blocks.
Demand FVG : Enables or disables bullish FVG.
Supply FVG : Enables or disables bearish FVGs.
Show All CISD : Enables or disables the display of all CISD Levels.
Show High CISD : Enables or disables high CISD levels.
Show Low CISD : Enables or disables low CISD levels.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT One Trading Setup for Life is a liquidity-based strategy that leverages market structure shifts and precise entry points to identify high-probability trade opportunities. By focusing on PM Session High and PM Session Low, this setup first captures liquidity at these levels and then confirms trend shifts with a break of the Change in State of Delivery (CISD) Level.
Entering a trade after a retracement to an FVG or OB allows traders to position themselves at optimal liquidity levels, ensuring high reward-to-risk trades. When used in conjunction with higher timeframe bias, order flow, and liquidity analysis, this strategy can become one of the most effective trading methods within the ICT Concept framework.
Successful execution of this setup requires risk management, patience, and a deep understanding of liquidity dynamics. Traders can enhance their confidence in this strategy by conducting extensive backtesting and analyzing past market data to optimize their approach for different assets.
Median Deviation Bands | QuantumResearchIntroducing QuantumResearch’s Median Deviation Bands Indicator
The Median Deviation Bands indicator is an advanced volatility-based tool designed to help traders identify price trends, market reversals, and potential trading opportunities.
By using a percentile-based median baseline combined with standard deviation bands, this indicator provides a dynamic framework for analyzing price movements and assessing market volatility.
How It Works
Baseline Calculation:
The median price over a user-defined period (default: 50) is calculated using the 50th percentile of price data.
This serves as the central reference point for trend analysis.
Trend Identification:
Bullish Trend: Occurs when the price crosses above the baseline.
Bearish Trend: Occurs when the price crosses below the baseline.
Deviation Bands:
The indicator plots three sets of upper and lower bands, representing 1x, 2x, and 3x standard deviations from the median.
These bands act as dynamic support and resistance zones, helping traders identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Visual Representation
The Median Deviation Bands indicator offers a clear, customizable visual layout:
Color-Coded Baseline:
Green (Bullish): Price is above the median.
Red (Bearish): Price is below the median.
Deviation Bands:
First Band (Light Fill): Represents 1 standard deviation from the baseline.
Second Band (Medium Fill): Represents 2 standard deviations, highlighting stronger trends.
Third Band (Dark Fill): Represents 3 standard deviations, showing extreme price conditions.
Trend Markers:
Green Up Arrows: Indicate the start of a bullish trend when price crosses above the baseline.
Red Down Arrows: Indicate the start of a bearish trend when price crosses below the baseline.
Customization & Parameters
The Median Deviation Bands indicator includes multiple user-configurable settings to adapt to different trading strategies:
Baseline Length: Default set to 50, determines the lookback period for median calculation.
Source Price: Selectable input price for calculations (default: close).
Band Visibility: Traders can toggle individual deviation bands on or off to match their preferences.
Trend Markers: Option to enable or disable up/down trend arrows.
Color Modes: Choose from eight color schemes to customize the indicator’s appearance.
Trading Applications
This indicator is highly versatile and can be applied to multiple trading strategies, including:
Volatility-Based Trading: Price movement within and outside the bands helps traders gauge volatility and market conditions.
Trend Following: The baseline and deviation bands help confirm ongoing trends.
Mean Reversion Strategies: Traders can look for price reactions at extreme bands (±3 standard deviations).
Final Note
QuantumResearch’s Median Deviation Bands indicator provides a unique approach to market analysis by integrating percentile-based median price levels with standard deviation-based volatility bands.
This combination helps traders understand price behavior in relation to historical volatility, making it a valuable tool for both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
As always, backtesting and customization are recommended to optimize performance across different market conditions.
