Current and Average Volume Table [CHE]Introduction:
The "Current and Average Volume Table " script is designed as a custom indicator for trading platforms that support Pine Script (specifically Pine Script version 5). This indicator provides a compact and informative table summarizing key volume-related metrics for financial instruments, enhancing traders' ability to analyze buying and selling dynamics over a specified period.
Description:
The script calculates and displays essential volume metrics in a customizable table format. It includes options for positioning the table on the chart (e.g., top-right, bottom-left) and adjusting its visual size (auto, huge, large, normal, small, tiny) to fit user preferences and chart layout.
Analysis:
The indicator computes several critical metrics:
Current Volume Metrics:
Current Volume: Displays the total volume traded in the current bar.
Buy Percentage (%): Indicates the proportion of the total volume attributed to buying activities.
Sell Percentage (%): Shows the percentage of the total volume attributed to selling activities.
Average Volume Metrics:
Average Volume: Calculates the simple moving average (SMA) of the volume over a specified number of bars. This provides a smoothed average volume figure, helping traders identify trends or anomalies in trading activity.
Average Buy Percentage (%): Computes the average percentage of buying volume over the SMA period.
Average Sell Percentage (%): Calculates the complementary percentage of selling volume over the SMA period.
The script uses conditional formatting to highlight cells based on comparative values of buy versus sell percentages and their averages. Green shades indicate higher buying activity, while red shades signify higher selling activity, providing a quick visual cue to traders.
Resume:
The "Current and Average Volume Table " script offers traders a concise and insightful tool to monitor and analyze volume dynamics. By displaying current and average volume metrics alongside buy and sell percentages, traders can quickly gauge market sentiment and potential trends. The customizable table placement and size options enhance usability, adapting to individual trading styles and chart preferences.
This script is ideal for traders seeking to incorporate volume analysis into their technical analysis toolkit, providing both real-time insights and historical trend comparisons to inform trading decisions effectively.
This description outlines the functionality, benefits, and practical applications of the script, catering to traders interested in volume-based analysis within the cryptocurrency and traditional financial markets.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "crypto"
RvB ( relative strength vs BTC ) Overview
The "Coin vs BTC" indicator is designed to compare the performance of a selected cryptocurrency against Bitcoin (BTC) using Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). By plotting the difference in EMA values as a percentage, this indicator helps traders visualize the relative strength of a cryptocurrency compared to Bitcoin over specified periods.
How It Works
EMA Calculation: The indicator calculates two EMAs (lengths specified by the user) for both the selected cryptocurrency and Bitcoin (BTC).
Length 1: Fast EMA (default: 9)
Length 2: Slow EMA (default: 21)
Score Calculation:
For both the selected coin and Bitcoin, it computes a score representing the percentage difference between the fast and slow EMAs relative to the previous closing price. This is done using the following steps:
Calculate the difference between the fast and slow EMAs.
Compute the percentage of this difference relative to the previous closing price.
Round the percentage to two decimal places for clarity.
Plotting: The scores for both the selected cryptocurrency and Bitcoin are plotted on the same chart:
Coin Score: Displayed in blue.
BTC Score: Displayed in orange.
Potential Uses
Relative Strength Analysis:
This indicator helps traders compare the strength of a cryptocurrency against Bitcoin. A higher score for the selected coin compared to Bitcoin indicates it is performing better relative to its moving averages.
Trend Confirmation:
By observing the EMA differences, traders can confirm trends and potential reversals. Consistently higher scores may indicate a strong upward trend, while lower scores could suggest a weakening trend.
Market Comparison:
This tool is particularly useful for those looking to understand how their selected cryptocurrency is performing in the broader market context, especially in relation to Bitcoin, which is often considered a market benchmark.
Intelle_city - World Cycle - Ath & Atl - Logarithmic - Strategy.Overview
Indicators: Strategy !
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Strategy - The Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Oscillator is an adaptation of the original Pi Cycle Top chart. It compares the 111-Day Moving Average circle and the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle of Bitcoin’s Price. These two moving averages were selected as 350 / 111 = 3.153; An approximation of the important mathematical number Pi.
When the 111-Day Moving Average circle reaches the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market is becoming overheated. That is because the mid time frame momentum reference of the 111-Day Moving Average has caught up with the long timeframe momentum reference of the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average.
Historically this has occurred within 3 days of the very top of each market cycle.
When the 111 Day Moving Average circle falls back beneath the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market momentum of that cycle is significantly cooling down. The oscillator drops down into the lower green band shown where the 111 Day Moving Average is moving at a 75% discount relative to the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average.
Historically, this has highlighted broad areas of bear market lows.
IMPORTANT: You need to set a LOGARITHMIC graph. (The function is located at the bottom right of the screen)
IMPORTANT: The INTELLECT_city indicator is made for a buy-sell strategy; there is also a signal indicator from INTELLECT_city
IMPORTANT: The Chart shows all cycles, both buying and selling.
IMPORTANT: Suitable timeframes are 1 daily (recommended) and 1 weekly
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Описание на русском:
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Обзор индикатора
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Strategy - Логарифмический - Сигнал - Осциллятор вершины и основания цикла Пи представляет собой адаптацию оригинального графика вершины цикла Пи. Он сравнивает круг 111-дневной скользящей средней и круг 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней цены Биткойна. Эти две скользящие средние были выбраны как 350/111 = 3,153; Приближение важного математического числа Пи.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней достигает круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рынок перегревается. Это происходит потому, что опорный моментум среднего временного интервала 111-дневной скользящей средней догнал опорный момент импульса длинного таймфрейма 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это происходило в течение трех дней после вершины каждого рыночного цикла.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней опускается ниже круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рыночный импульс этого цикла значительно снижается. Осциллятор опускается в нижнюю зеленую полосу, показанную там, где 111-дневная скользящая средняя движется со скидкой 75% относительно 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это высветило широкие области минимумов медвежьего рынка.
ВАЖНО: Выставлять нужно ЛОГАРИФМИЧЕСКИЙ график. (Находиться функция с правой нижней части экрана)
ВАЖНО: Индикатор INTELLECT_city сделан для стратегии покупок продаж, есть также и сигнальный от INTELLECT_сity
ВАЖНО: На Графике видны все циклы, как на покупку так и на продажу.
ВАЖНО: Подходящие таймфреймы 1 дневной (рекомендовано) и 1 недельный
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Beschreibung - Deutsch
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Indikatorübersicht
INTELLECT_city – Weltzyklus – ATH & ATL – Zeitrahmen 1T und 1W – Logarithmisch – Strategy – Der Pi-Zyklus-Top- und Bottom-Oszillator ist eine Anpassung des ursprünglichen Pi-Zyklus-Top-Diagramms. Er vergleicht den 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis und den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis des Bitcoin-Preises. Diese beiden gleitenden Durchschnitte wurden als 350 / 111 = 3,153 ausgewählt; eine Annäherung an die wichtige mathematische Zahl Pi.
Wenn der 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis erreicht, deutet dies darauf hin, dass der Markt überhitzt. Das liegt daran, dass der Momentum-Referenzwert des 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im mittleren Zeitrahmen den Momentum-Referenzwert des 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im langen Zeitrahmen eingeholt hat.
Historisch gesehen geschah dies innerhalb von 3 Tagen nach dem Höhepunkt jedes Marktzyklus.
Wenn der Kreis des 111-Tage-Durchschnitts wieder unter den Kreis des 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitts fällt, deutet dies darauf hin, dass die Marktdynamik dieses Zyklus deutlich nachlässt. Der Oszillator fällt in das untere grüne Band, in dem der 111-Tage-Durchschnitt mit einem Abschlag von 75 % gegenüber dem 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitt verläuft.
Historisch hat dies breite Bereiche mit Tiefstständen in der Baisse hervorgehoben.
WICHTIG: Sie müssen ein logarithmisches Diagramm festlegen. (Die Funktion befindet sich unten rechts auf dem Bildschirm)
WICHTIG: Der INTELLECT_city-Indikator ist für eine Kauf-Verkaufs-Strategie konzipiert; es gibt auch einen Signalindikator von INTELLECT_city
WICHTIG: Das Diagramm zeigt alle Zyklen, sowohl Kauf- als auch Verkaufszyklen.
WICHTIG: Geeignete Zeitrahmen sind 1 täglich (empfohlen) und 1 wöchentlich
intellect_city - World Cycle - Ath & Atl - Logarithmic - Signal.Indicator Overview
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Signal - The Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Oscillator is an adaptation of the original Pi Cycle Top chart. It compares the 111-Day Moving Average circle and the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle of Bitcoin’s Price. These two moving averages were selected as 350 / 111 = 3.153; An approximation of the important mathematical number Pi.
When the 111-Day Moving Average circle reaches the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market is becoming overheated. That is because the mid time frame momentum reference of the 111-Day Moving Average has caught up with the long timeframe momentum reference of the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average.
Historically this has occurred within 3 days of the very top of each market cycle.
When the 111 Day Moving Average circle falls back beneath the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market momentum of that cycle is significantly cooling down. The oscillator drops down into the lower green band shown where the 111 Day Moving Average is moving at a 75% discount relative to the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average.
Historically, this has highlighted broad areas of bear market lows.
IMPORTANT: You need to set a LOGARITHMIC graph. (The function is located at the bottom right of the screen)
IMPORTANT: The INTELLECT_city indicator is made for signal purchases of sales, there is also a strategic one from INTELLECT_city
IMPORTANT: The Chart shows all cycles, both buying and selling.
IMPORTANT: Suitable timeframes are 1 daily (recommended) and 1 weekly
-----------------------------
Описание на русском:
-----------------------------
Обзор индикатора
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Signal - Логарифмический - Сигнал - Осциллятор вершины и основания цикла Пи представляет собой адаптацию оригинального графика вершины цикла Пи. Он сравнивает круг 111-дневной скользящей средней и круг 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней цены Биткойна. Эти две скользящие средние были выбраны как 350/111 = 3,153; Приближение важного математического числа Пи.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней достигает круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рынок перегревается. Это происходит потому, что опорный моментум среднего временного интервала 111-дневной скользящей средней догнал опорный момент импульса длинного таймфрейма 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это происходило в течение трех дней после вершины каждого рыночного цикла.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней опускается ниже круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рыночный импульс этого цикла значительно снижается. Осциллятор опускается в нижнюю зеленую полосу, показанную там, где 111-дневная скользящая средняя движется со скидкой 75% относительно 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это высветило широкие области минимумов медвежьего рынка.
ВАЖНО: Выставлять нужно ЛОГАРИФМИЧЕСКИЙ график. (Находиться функция с правой нижней части экрана)
ВАЖНО: Индикатор INTELLECT_city сделан для сигнальных покупок продаж, есть также и стратегический от INTELLECT_сity
ВАЖНО: На Графике видны все циклы, как на покупку так и на продажу.
ВАЖНО: Подходящие таймфреймы 1 дневной (рекомендовано) и 1 недельный
-----------------------------
Beschreibung - Deutsch
-----------------------------
Indikatorübersicht
INTELLECT_city – Weltzyklus – ATH & ATL – Zeitrahmen 1T und 1W – Logarithmisch – Signal – Der Pi-Zyklus-Top- und Bottom-Oszillator ist eine Anpassung des ursprünglichen Pi-Zyklus-Top-Diagramms. Er vergleicht den 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis und den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis des Bitcoin-Preises. Diese beiden gleitenden Durchschnitte wurden als 350 / 111 = 3,153 ausgewählt; eine Annäherung an die wichtige mathematische Zahl Pi.
Wenn der 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis erreicht, deutet dies darauf hin, dass der Markt überhitzt. Das liegt daran, dass der Momentum-Referenzwert des 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im mittleren Zeitrahmen den Momentum-Referenzwert des 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im langen Zeitrahmen eingeholt hat.
Historisch gesehen geschah dies innerhalb von 3 Tagen nach dem Höhepunkt jedes Marktzyklus.
Wenn der Kreis des 111-Tage-Durchschnitts wieder unter den Kreis des 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitts fällt, deutet dies darauf hin, dass die Marktdynamik dieses Zyklus deutlich nachlässt. Der Oszillator fällt in das untere grüne Band, in dem der 111-Tage-Durchschnitt mit einem Abschlag von 75 % gegenüber dem 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitt verläuft.
Historisch hat dies breite Bereiche mit Tiefstständen in der Baisse hervorgehoben.
WICHTIG: Sie müssen ein logarithmisches Diagramm festlegen. (Die Funktion befindet sich unten rechts auf dem Bildschirm)
WICHTIG: Der INTELLECT_city-Indikator dient zur Signalisierung von Käufen oder Verkäufen, es gibt auch einen strategischen Indikator von INTELLECT_city
WICHTIG: Das Diagramm zeigt alle Zyklen, sowohl Kauf- als auch Verkaufszyklen.
WICHTIG: Geeignete Zeitrahmen sind 1 täglich (empfohlen) und 1 wöchentlich
Intellect_city - Halvings Bitcoin CycleWhat is halving?
The halving timer shows when the next Bitcoin halving will occur, as well as the dates of past halvings. This event occurs every 210,000 blocks, which is approximately every 4 years. Halving reduces the emission reward by half. The original Bitcoin reward was 50 BTC per block found.
Why is halving necessary?
Halving allows you to maintain an algorithmically specified emission level. Anyone can verify that no more than 21 million bitcoins can be issued using this algorithm. Moreover, everyone can see how much was issued earlier, at what speed the emission is happening now, and how many bitcoins remain to be mined in the future. Even a sharp increase or decrease in mining capacity will not significantly affect this process. In this case, during the next difficulty recalculation, which occurs every 2014 blocks, the mining difficulty will be recalculated so that blocks are still found approximately once every ten minutes.
How does halving work in Bitcoin blocks?
The miner who collects the block adds a so-called coinbase transaction. This transaction has no entry, only exit with the receipt of emission coins to your address. If the miner's block wins, then the entire network will consider these coins to have been obtained through legitimate means. The maximum reward size is determined by the algorithm; the miner can specify the maximum reward size for the current period or less. If he puts the reward higher than possible, the network will reject such a block and the miner will not receive anything. After each halving, miners have to halve the reward they assign to themselves, otherwise their blocks will be rejected and will not make it to the main branch of the blockchain.
The impact of halving on the price of Bitcoin
It is believed that with constant demand, a halving of supply should double the value of the asset. In practice, the market knows when the halving will occur and prepares for this event in advance. Typically, the Bitcoin rate begins to rise about six months before the halving, and during the halving itself it does not change much. On average for past periods, the upper peak of the rate can be observed more than a year after the halving. It is almost impossible to predict future periods because, in addition to the reduction in emissions, many other factors influence the exchange rate. For example, major hacks or bankruptcies of crypto companies, the situation on the stock market, manipulation of “whales,” or changes in legislative regulation.
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Table - Past and future Bitcoin halvings:
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Date: Number of blocks: Award:
0 - 03-01-2009 - 0 block - 50 BTC
1 - 28-11-2012 - 210000 block - 25 BTC
2 - 09-07-2016 - 420000 block - 12.5 BTC
3 - 11-05-2020 - 630000 block - 6.25 BTC
4 - 20-04-2024 - 840000 block - 3.125 BTC
5 - 24-03-2028 - 1050000 block - 1.5625 BTC
6 - 26-02-2032 - 1260000 block - 0.78125 BTC
7 - 30-01-2036 - 1470000 block - 0.390625 BTC
8 - 03-01-2040 - 1680000 block - 0.1953125 BTC
9 - 07-12-2043 - 1890000 block - 0.09765625 BTC
10 - 10-11-2047 - 2100000 block - 0.04882813 BTC
11 - 14-10-2051 - 2310000 block - 0.02441406 BTC
12 - 17-09-2055 - 2520000 block - 0.01220703 BTC
13 - 21-08-2059 - 2730000 block - 0.00610352 BTC
14 - 25-07-2063 - 2940000 block - 0.00305176 BTC
15 - 28-06-2067 - 3150000 block - 0.00152588 BTC
16 - 01-06-2071 - 3360000 block - 0.00076294 BTC
17 - 05-05-2075 - 3570000 block - 0.00038147 BTC
18 - 08-04-2079 - 3780000 block - 0.00019073 BTC
19 - 12-03-2083 - 3990000 block - 0.00009537 BTC
20 - 13-02-2087 - 4200000 block - 0.00004768 BTC
21 - 17-01-2091 - 4410000 block - 0.00002384 BTC
22 - 21-12-2094 - 4620000 block - 0.00001192 BTC
23 - 24-11-2098 - 4830000 block - 0.00000596 BTC
24 - 29-10-2102 - 5040000 block - 0.00000298 BTC
25 - 02-10-2106 - 5250000 block - 0.00000149 BTC
26 - 05-09-2110 - 5460000 block - 0.00000075 BTC
27 - 09-08-2114 - 5670000 block - 0.00000037 BTC
28 - 13-07-2118 - 5880000 block - 0.00000019 BTC
29 - 16-06-2122 - 6090000 block - 0.00000009 BTC
30 - 20-05-2126 - 6300000 block - 0.00000005 BTC
31 - 23-04-2130 - 6510000 block - 0.00000002 BTC
32 - 27-03-2134 - 6720000 block - 0.00000001 BTC
ATH/ATL Tracker [LuxAlgo]The ATH/ATL Tracker effectively displays changes made between new All-Time Highs (ATH)/All-Time Lows (ATL) and their previous respective values, over the entire history of available data.
The indicator shows a histogram of the change between a new ATH/ATL and its respective preceding ATH/ATL. A tooltip showing the price made during a new ATH/ATL alongside its date is included.
🔶 USAGE
By tracking the change between new ATHs/ATLs and older ATHs/ATLs, traders can gain insight into market sentiment, breadth, and rotation.
If many stocks are consistently setting new ATHs and the number of new ATHs is increasing relative to old ATHs, it could indicate broad market participation in a rally. If only a few stocks are reaching new ATHs or the number is declining, it might signal that the market's upward momentum is decreasing.
A significant increase in new ATHs suggests optimism and willingness among investors to buy at higher prices, which could be considered a positive sentiment. On the other hand, a decrease or lack of new ATHs might indicate caution or pessimism.
By observing the sectors where stocks are consistently setting new ATHs, users can identify which sectors are leading the market. Sectors with few or no new ATHs may be losing momentum and could be identified as lagging behind the overall market sentiment.
🔶 DETAILS
The indicator's main display is a histogram-style readout that displays the change in price from older ATH/ATLs to Newer/Current ATH/ATLs. This change is determined by the distance that the current values have overtaken the previous values, resulting in the displayed data.
The largest changes in ATH/ATLs from the ticker's history will appear as the largest bars in the display.
The most recent bars (depending on the selected display setting) will always represent the current ATH or ATL values.
When determining ATH & ATL values, it is important to filter out insignificant highs and lows that may happen constantly when exploring higher and lower prices. To combat this, the indicator looks to a higher timeframe than your chart's timeframe in order to determine these more significant ATHs & ATLs.
For Example: If a user was on a 1-minute chart and 5 highs-new highs occur across 5 adjacent bars, this has the potential to show up as 5 new ATHs. When looking at a higher timeframe, 5 minutes, only the highest of the 5 bars will indicate a new ATH. To assist with this, the indicator will display warnings in the dashboard when a suboptimal timeframe is selected as input.
🔹 Dashboard
The dashboard displays averages from the ATH/ATL data to aid in the anticipation and expectations for new ATH/ATLs.
The average duration is an average of the time between each new ATH/ATL, in this indicator it is calculated in "Days" to provide a more comprehensive understanding.
The average change is the average of all change data displayed in the histogram.
🔶 SETTINGS
Duration: The designated higher timeframe to use for filtering out insignificant ATHs & ATLs.
Order: The display order for the ATH/ATL Bars, Options are to display in chronological (oldest to newest) or reverse chronological order (newest to oldest).
Bar Width: Sets the width for each ATH/ATL bar.
Bar Spacing: Sets the # of empty bars in between each ATH/ATL bar.
Dashboard Settings: Parameters for the dashboard's size and location on the chart.
Advanced Awesome Oscillator [CryptoSea]Advanced AO Analysis Indicator
The Advanced AO Analysis indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to evaluate the Awesome Oscillator (AO) in search of regular and hidden divergences that signal potential price reversals. By tracking the intensity and duration of the AO's movements, this indicator aids traders in pinpointing critical points in price action.
Key Features
Divergence Detection: Identifies both regular and hidden bullish and bearish divergences, providing early signs of potential market reversals.
Customizable Lookback Periods: Allows users to set specific lookback windows to define the strength and relevance of detected divergences.
Adaptive Oscillator Display: Features customizable display options for the AO, enabling users to view data in different modes suited to their analysis needs.
Alert System: Includes configurable alerts to notify users of potential divergence formations, helping traders respond promptly.
How it Works
AO Calculation: Computes the AO as the difference between short-term and long-term moving averages of the midpoints of bars, highlighting momentum shifts.
Pivot Point Analysis: Utilizes advanced algorithms to find low and high pivot points based on the oscillator values, crucial for spotting trend reversals.
Range Validation: Verifies that divergences occur within a predefined range from pivot points, ensuring their validity and strength.
Visualisation: Plots AO values and potential divergences directly on the chart, aiding in quick visual analysis.
Application
Strategic Decision-Making: Assists traders in making informed decisions by providing detailed analysis of AO movements and divergence.
Trend Confirmation: Reinforces trading strategies by confirming potential reversals with pivot point detection and divergence analysis.
Behavioural Insight: Offers insights into market dynamics and sentiment by analyzing the depth and duration of AO cycles above and below zero.
The Advanced AO Analysis indicator equips traders with a powerful analytical tool for studying the Awesome Oscillator in-depth, enhancing their ability to spot and act on divergence-based trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency markets.
Readable Format Small Unit Price: Scientific/Subscript NotationSimple script which shows current price for very small unit value assets (Less than 0.001) in more easily readable format ('Scientific notation' / 'Subscript notation').
I wrote this after getting tired of counting the tiny zeros on the price scale. It displays the price in large font, using the subscript notation similar to that used on some crypto exhanges.
-For use on obscure crypto coins that have many zeros after the decimal place.
-Subscript (smaller) digit denotes the number of zeros after the decimal point
-Choose label position, color, and text size.
-Will only display when closing price of asset is less than 0.001
Rolling VWAPThe Rolling VWAP indicator is a powerful technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify significant price levels and potential reversal points. This indicator combines a rolling volume-weighted average price (VWAP) with multiple standard deviation bands to provide a dynamic view of price volatility and market trends.
Key Features:
Rolling VWAP Calculation: The indicator calculates the VWAP using the high, low, and close prices (HLC3) over a user-defined rolling period. This VWAP is then plotted on the chart, providing a reliable benchmark for average price levels over a specified timeframe.
Adjustable Timeframes: Users can select from multiple timeframes (1 hour, 4 hours, 1 day, 3 days, 1 week) to calculate the RVWAP, allowing flexibility to analyze market trends over different periods.
Multiple Standard Deviation Bands: The indicator includes up to five adjustable standard deviation bands, each with customizable multipliers. These bands are plotted around the RVWAP to indicate potential support and resistance levels, helping traders identify areas of high and low volatility.
Customizable Display Settings: Users can toggle the visibility of each band and adjust their colors and transparency, making it easy to tailor the indicator to their specific analysis needs.
How to Use:
Selecting the VWAP Timeframe: Choose the desired timeframe for VWAP calculation from the options provided (1 hour, 4 hours, 1 day, 3 days, 1 week). This allows you to analyze price action over different periods and identify significant trends.
Adjusting Band Multipliers: Customize the multipliers for each standard deviation band to suit your trading strategy. By default, the indicator includes bands with multipliers of 2.0, 2.5, 3.0, 3.5, and 4.0. Adjust these values based on your preferred levels of price deviation.
Interpreting the Bands: The standard deviation bands provide key insights into market volatility. Inner Bands (e.g., 2.0 StdDev) indicate areas of normal price fluctuation. Price movement within these bands is generally considered stable. Outer Bands (e.g., 3.5 or 4.0 StdDev) highlight extreme price deviations. Price reaching these bands may signal overbought or oversold conditions, potentially leading to reversals.
Combining with Other Indicators: Enhance your analysis by using this indicator in conjunction with other technical tools such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD. This helps confirm signals and improve trading decisions.
Best Practices:
Trend Identification: Use the Rolling VWAP to identify the prevailing market trend. A rising VWAP indicates an uptrend, while a falling VWAP suggests a downtrend.
Support and Resistance Levels: The standard deviation bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Monitor price action around these bands for potential entry and exit points.
Volatility Analysis: Wider bands indicate higher market volatility, while narrower bands suggest lower volatility. Adjust your trading strategy accordingly based on the observed volatility levels.
24/7 Trading Instruments: This indicator is particularly useful for instruments that trade 24/7 and do not have defined sessions, such as cryptocurrencies. Unlike a session-anchored VWAP, the rolling VWAP provides a continuous measure of average price levels, making it ideal for analyzing markets that operate around the clock.
By integrating the Rolling VWAP indicator into your trading routine, you can gain a deeper understanding of price dynamics and make more informed trading decisions. Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator provides valuable insights to help you navigate the markets with confidence.
CME Gap Detector [CryptoSea]The CME Gap Indicator , is a tool designed to identify and visualize potential price gaps in the cryptocurrency market, particularly focusing on gaps that occur during the weekend trading sessions. By highlighting these gaps, traders can gain insights into potential market movements and anticipate price behavior.
Key Features
Gap Identification: The indicator identifies gaps in price between the Friday close and the subsequent opening price on Monday. It plots these gaps on the chart, allowing traders to easily visualize and analyze their significance.
Weekend Price Comparison: It compares the closing price on Friday with the opening price on Monday to determine whether a gap exists and its magnitude.
Customizable Visualization: Traders have the option to customize the visualization of the gaps, including the color scheme for better clarity and visibility on the chart.
Neutral Candle Color Option: Users can choose to display neutral candle colors, enhancing the readability of the chart and reducing visual clutter.
How it Works
Data Fetching and Calculation: The indicator fetches the daily close price and calculates whether a gap exists between the Friday close and the subsequent Monday opening price.
Plotting: It plots the current price and the previous Friday's close on the chart, making it easy for traders to compare and analyze.
Gradient Fill: The indicator incorporates a gradient fill feature to visually represent the magnitude of the gap, providing additional insights into market sentiment.
Weekend Line Logic: It includes logic to identify Sunday bars and mark them on the chart, aiding traders in distinguishing weekend trading sessions.
Application
Gap Trading Strategy: Traders can use the identified gaps as potential entry or exit points in their trading strategies, considering the tendency of price to fill gaps over time.
Market Sentiment Analysis: Analyzing the presence and size of weekend gaps can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and participant behavior.
Risk Management: Understanding the existence and significance of gaps can help traders manage their risk exposure and make informed decisions.
The CME Gap indicator offers traders a valuable tool for analyzing weekend price gaps in the cryptocurrency market, empowering them to make informed trading decisions and capitalize on market opportunities.
Price and Volume Breakout Buy Strategy [TradeDots]The "Price and Volume Breakout Buy Strategy" is a trading strategy designed to identify buying opportunities by detecting concurrent price and volume breakouts over a specified range of candlesticks.
This strategy is optimized for assets demonstrating high volatility and significant momentum spikes.
HOW IT WORKS
The strategy first takes the specific number of candlesticks as the examination window for both price and volume.
These values are used as benchmarks to identify breakout conditions.
A trade is initiated when both the closing price and the trading volume surpass the maximum values observed within the predetermined window.
Price must be above a designated moving average, serving as the trend indicator, ensuring that all trades align with the prevailing market trend.
APPLICATION
This strategy is particularly effective for highly volatile assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, capitalizing on the cues from sudden price and volume breakouts indicative of significant market movement, often driven by market smart money traders.
However, for broader markets like the S&P 500, this strategy may be less effective due to less pronounced volume and price shifts compared to the cryptocurrency markets.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 70%
Backtest result sometimes gives fewer than 100 trades under certain higher timeframes, as most trades tend to have a long holding period. Entry conditions are also more stringent, which, combined with the relatively brief history of cryptocurrencies, results in fewer trades on longer timeframes.
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
MFI- Momentum Fusion IndicatorIndicator Overview
The "MFI - Momentum Fusion Indicator" is a comprehensive trading tool designed for TradingView that combines several technical analysis methods to assist traders in identifying potential buy and sell opportunities in financial markets.
Key Components
Moving Averages (MA): Uses two Simple Moving Averages (SMA) with periods defined by the user (default 10 and 20). The indicator generates buy signals when the shorter MA (MA 10) crosses above the longer MA (MA 20) and sell signals when it crosses below, helping to pinpoint trend reversals.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator that helps identify overbought or oversold conditions, adding a layer of confirmation to the signals generated by the moving averages.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA 50): Used to gauge the medium-term trend direction. The color of the EMA line changes based on whether the trend is up (green) or down (red), providing a visual representation of the market trend.
Average True Range (ATR): This component measures market volatility. Signals are only generated when the ATR confirms significant market movement relative to the EMA50, enhancing the reliability of the signals during volatile conditions.
How It Works
Signal Generation: The core of the indicator is based on the crossover of two SMAs. A buy signal is issued when the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA during sufficient market volatility (confirmed by ATR). Conversely, a sell signal is triggered when the short-term MA crosses below the long-term MA under similar conditions.
Trend Confirmation: The EMA50 helps confirm the broader market trend, while the ATR ensures that the crossover signals occur during periods of meaningful price movement, filtering out noise and less significant price movements.
Use Case
For Traders: The indicator is ideal for traders who need clear, actionable signals combined with an assessment of market conditions. It’s particularly useful in markets where understanding volatility and momentum is crucial, such as in cryptocurrencies and forex.
Benefits
Comprehensive Analysis: Combines trend, momentum, and volatility analysis in one tool, providing a multifaceted approach to the markets.
Enhanced Decision-Making: By integrating multiple indicators, it reduces the likelihood of false signals and enhances decision-making confidence.
Customizable and Dynamic: Allows for easy adjustment of parameters to fit different trading styles and market conditions.
This indicator equips traders with a powerful blend of tools to analyze price movements and make informed trading decisions based on a combination of trend, momentum, and volatility insights.
BINANCE-BYBIT Cross Chart: Spot-Perpetual CorrelationName: "Binance-Bybit Cross Chart: Spot-Perpetual Correlation"
Category: Scalping, Trend Analysis
Timeframe: 1M, 5M, 30M, 1D (depending on the specific technique)
Technical analysis: This indicator facilitates a comparison between the price movements shown on the Binance spot chart and the Bybit perpetual chart, with the aim of discerning the correlation between the two charts and identifying the dominant market trends. It automatically generates the corresponding chart based on the ticker selected in the primary chart. When a Binance pair is selected in the main chart, the indicator replicates the Bybit perpetual chart for the same pair and timeframe, and vice versa, selecting the Bybit perpetual chart as the primary chart generates the Binance spot chart.
Suggested use: You can utilize this tool to conduct altcoin trading on Binance or Bybit, facilitating the comparison of price actions and real-time monitoring of trigger point sensitivity across both exchanges. We recommend prioritizing the Binance Spot chart in the main panel due to its typically longer historical data availability compared to Bybit.
The primary objective is to efficiently and automatically manage the following three aspects:
- Data history analysis for higher timeframes, leveraging the extensive historical data of the Binance spot market. Variations in indicators such as slow moving averages may arise due to differences in historical data between exchanges.
- Assessment of coin liquidity on both exchanges by observing candlestick consistency on smaller timeframes or the absence of gaps. In the crypto market, clean charts devoid of gaps indicate dominance and offer enhanced reliability.
- Identification of precise trigger point levels, including daily, previous day, or previous week highs and lows, which serve as sensitive areas for breakout or reversal operations.
All-Time High (ATH) and All-Time Low (ATL) levels may vary significantly across exchanges due to disparities in historical data series.
This tool empowers traders to make informed decisions by leveraging historical data, liquidity insights, and precise trigger point identification across Binance Spot and Bybit Perpetual market.
Configuration:
EMA length:
- EMA 1: Default 5, user configurable
- EMA 2: Default 10, user configurable
- EMA 3: Default 60, user configurable
- EMA 4: Default 223, user configurable
- Additional Average: Optional display of an additional average, such as a 20-period average.
Chart Elements:
- Session separator: Indicates the beginning of the current session (in blue)
- Background: Indicates an uptrend (60 > 223) with a green background and a downtrend (60 < 223) with a red background.
Instruments:
- EMA Daily: Shows daily averages on an intraday timeframe.
- EMA levels 1h - 30m: Shows the levels of the 1g-30m EMAs.
- EMA Levels Highest TF: Provides the option to select additional EMA levels from the major timeframes, customizable via the drop-down menu.
- "Hammer Detector: Marks hammers with a green triangle and inverted hammers with a red triangle on the chart
- "Azzeramento" signal on TF > 30m: Indicates a small candlestick on the EMA after a dump.
- "No Fomo" signal on TF < 30m: Indicates a hyperextended movement.
Trigger Points:
- Today's highs and lows: Shows the opening price of the day's candlestick, along with the day's highs and lows (high in purple, low in red, open in green).
- Yesterday's highs and lows: Displays the opening price of the daily candlestick, along with the previous day's highs and lows (high in yellow, low in red).
You can customize the colors in "Settings" > "Style".
It is best used with the Scalping The Bull indicator on the main panel.
Credits:
@tumiza999: for tests and suggestions.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy " trading strategy represents a novel integration of two powerful technical analysis tools: the Vegas Channel and the SuperTrend indicator. This fusion creates a dynamic, adaptable strategy designed for the volatile and fast-paced cryptocurrency markets, particularly focusing on Bitcoin trading.
Unlike traditional trading strategies that rely on a static set of rules, this approach modifies the SuperTrend's sensitivity to market volatility, offering traders the ability to customize their strategy based on current market conditions. This adaptability makes it uniquely suited to navigating the often unpredictable swings in cryptocurrency valuations, providing traders with signals that are both timely and reflective of underlying market dynamics.
BTC 6h LS
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
This is an innovative approach that combines the volatility-based Vegas Channel with the trend-following SuperTrend indicator to create dynamic trading signals. This section delves deeper into the mechanics and mathematical foundations of the strategy.
Detail picture to show :
🔶 Vegas Channel Calculation
The Vegas Channel serves as the foundation of this strategy, employing a simple moving average (SMA) coupled with standard deviation to define the upper and lower bounds of the trading channel. This channel adapts to price movements, offering a visual representation of potential support and resistance levels based on historical price volatility.
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator Adjustment
Central to the strategy is the SuperTrend indicator, which is adjusted according to the width of the Vegas Channel. This adjustment is achieved by modifying the SuperTrend's multiplier based on the channel's volatility, allowing the indicator to become more sensitive during periods of high volatility and less so during quieter market phases.
🔶 Trend Determination and Signal Generation
The market trend is determined by comparing the current price with the SuperTrend values. A shift from below to above the SuperTrend line signals a potential bullish trend, prompting a "buy" signal, whereas a move from above to below indicates a bearish trend, generating a "sell" signal. This methodology ensures that trades are entered in alignment with the prevailing market direction, enhancing the potential for profitability.
BTC 6h Local
█ Trade Direction
A distinctive feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction input, allowing traders to specify whether they wish to engage in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility enables users to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, trading style, and market outlook, providing a personalized trading experience.
█ Usage
To utilize the "Vegas SuperTrend - Enhanced" strategy effectively, traders should first adjust the input settings to align with their trading preferences and the specific characteristics of the asset being traded. Monitoring the strategy's signals within the context of overall market conditions and combining its insights with other forms of analysis can further enhance its effectiveness.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (allows trading in both directions)
- ATR Period for SuperTrend: 10 (determines the length of the ATR for volatility measurement)
- Vegas Window Length: 100 (sets the length of the SMA for the Vegas Channel)
- SuperTrend Multiplier Base: 5 (base multiplier for SuperTrend calculation)
- Volatility Adjustment Factor: 5.0 (adjusts SuperTrend sensitivity based on Vegas Channel width)
These default settings provide a balanced approach suitable for various market conditions but can be adjusted to meet individual trading needs and objectives.
Trend Regression Kernel [IkkeOmar]Kernel by @jdehorty huge shoutout to him! This is only an idea for how I use it when trading
All credit for the kernel goes to him, I did not make the kernel! I don't know how to make it more clear.
I use this to assist with top-down analysis.
timeframe I want to trade : timeframe to analyse with white noise and kernel:
1m : 1H
5m : 2H
15m : 4H
1H : 1D
In the chart you see that I have the 1H open, I use the white noise at a "lower setting length" (55 in this case), I change the source of to be the kernel on the higher timeframe. When a new trend is detected by the White noise I wait for price to retest the kernel before building a position. Another case described below:
Here i use the adaptive MCVF (I have made this free for everyone on TradingView) to buy when price is below the kernel while the trend for the white noise is bullish .
Notice that the Kernel is set on the 4H timeframe! The source of the white noise is the kernel!
Here is an example in a bearish trend:
Notice, I am on the 5m chart, kernel uses the 2H chart and the source of the white noise is the kernel.
I use the adaptive MCVF to help me get entries AFTER the first touch of the kernel.
Mandatory code explanation, with respect to the house rules:
Input settings:
Input Settings:
The script provides various input parameters to customize the indicator:
src: The source of price data, defaulted to closing prices.
h, r, x_0: Parameters for Kernel 1.
h2, r2, x_2: Parameters for Kernel 2.
Kernel Regression Functions:
Two functions kernel_regression1 and kernel_regression2 are defined to perform kernel regression calculations.
These functions estimate the trend using the Nadaraya-Watson kernel non-parametric regression method.
They take the source data (_src), the size of the data series (_size), and the lookback window (_h) as inputs.
They iterate over the data series and calculate the weighted sum of the values based on the specified kernel parameters.
The result is divided by the cumulative weight to obtain the estimated value.
Estimations:
The kernel_regression1 and kernel_regression2 functions are called with the respective parameters to estimate trends (yhat1 and yhat2).
Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy and sell signals are generated based on crossover and crossunder conditions between the two trend estimates (yhat1 and yhat2).
buySignal is true when yhat1 crosses above yhat2.
SellSignal is true when yhat1 crosses below yhat2.
Plotting:
The average of the two trend estimates (yhat1 and yhat2) is calculated and plotted.
The color of the plot is determined based on whether yhat1 is greater than yhat2, less than yhat2, or equal to yhat2.
Buy and sell signals are plotted using triangle shapes below and above bars, respectively.
Alerts:
Alert conditions are set based on buy and sell signals. Alerts are triggered when a crossover (long signal) or crossunder (short signal) occurs.
The alerts include information about the signal type, symbol, and price.
It's important to mention that the buy and sell signals from the indicator is very discretionary, I rarely use them, and if I do it's if they are in confluence with a correction i am biased towards or if it has confluence with some of my other systems.
The adaptive MCVF and White noise is free for everyone on TradingView, linked below:)
Huge shoutout to @jdehorty, original kernel below:
PVSRA Candles Auto OverrideWhat does this “PVSRA Candles Auto Override” Indicator
do?
This indicator automates PVSRA analysis for crypto traders. It finds the corresponding Binance Perpetual Futures chart for the current instrument, then replaces the current chart's volume profile with the perpetual futures data (if available) to ensure the PVSRA calculation uses the most relevant volume. This not only reduces human error during market scans but also automatically selects the appropriate Binance Perpetual Futures contract, saving time and improving the accuracy of PVSRA calculations.
How can a trader use this indicator?
This helps the trader to identify if there is volume data available in an equivalent Binance Perpetual Futures chart and automatically displays it, making it easier to switch coins whilst viewing the market. Why do we want to use Binance Perpetual Futures Volume? In most markets Binance volume surpasses those of other crypto exchanges so this will give us a better view on the volume spikes in the market.
What is PVSRA and how can I trade using this indicator?
PVSRA candles are a type of candlestick chart formatting. PVSRA stands for Price, Volume, Support and Resistance Analysis.
Here's a breakdown of what PVSRA candles aim to achieve:
Combine multiple factors: They take into account price movement, trading volume, and support and resistance levels to identify potential trading opportunities.
Highlight potential imbalances: By color-coding candles based on PVSRA analysis, they aim to show areas of high volume activity, potentially representing imbalances created by market makers (large institutions that influence price).
Identify areas of revisit: The theory is that these high-volume zones may be revisited by the market in the future, as there's "unrecovered liquidity" in those areas.
Usage of the Indicator:
By default the indicator will automatically use the Equivalent Binance Perpetual Chart for the Data
You can override the symbol manually if you what to view another instrument’s data.
Open Interest Auto OverrideWhat does this “Open Interest Auto Override” Indicator
do?
Open Interest data is not supplied by every exchange to TradingView, however it is available on Binance Perpetual Futures. This script helps the crypto trader to identify the equivalent Binance Perpetual Futures Chart that has Open Interest Data available and automatically displays this on the traders chart.
How can a trader use this indicator?
This helps the trader to identify if there is Open Interest Data available in Binance and automatically displays it, making it easier to switch Coins whilst viewing the market.
What is Open Interest and how can I trade using this indicator?
Open Interest (OI) is the number of open futures contracts held by traders in active positions. The higher the value the Higher the number of open positions which indicates an increase in interest by traders in the asset.
If OI is increasing an equal number of longs and short positions are being opened.
If OI Decreases both longs and shorts are exiting the market.
If OI remains unchanged, no new contracts are entering or exiting, or an equal number of positions are being opened as there are being closed.
Open Interest can help traders by giving us a hint that a breakout may occur. If Open Interest is increasing whilst price is consolidating it may indicate that a breakout is imminent. If Open Interest is decreasing whilst price is consolidating it is likely that a false move in the form of a stop hunt may be issued prior to the actual breakout.
Usage of the Indicator:
By default the indicator will automatically use the Equivalent Binance Perpetual Chart for the Data
You can override the symbol manually if you what to view another exchanges data.
Neutral State Stochastic Oscillator {DCAquant}Neutral State Stochastic Oscillator {DCAquant}
The Neutral State Stochastic Oscillator {DCAquant} is an enhanced version of the classic Stochastic Oscillator. This iteration aims to refine the detection of neutral market states — periods where the market is neither overbought nor oversold — potentially signaling a period of consolidation or equilibrium before the next significant price move.
Key Features:
Advanced Oscillator Analysis: It extends the traditional use of the Stochastic Oscillator by identifying a neutral zone, which may signal a pause in market momentum.
Customizable Sensitivity: Users can adjust parameters such as K and D periods, Smooth K, and neutral zone thresholds to tailor the indicator to their trading style.
Neutral Zone Detection: This tool is especially adept at pinpointing where the %K and %D lines converge within a specific threshold, marking a neutral state.
How it Works:
%K and %D Calculation: The indicator calculates the Stochastic %K and %D lines over user-defined periods, smoothing %K for clearer signals.
Neutral Zone Threshold: A threshold defines how close %K and %D lines should be to each other to qualify as a neutral state, offering a refined perspective on market momentum.
Visual Contrast: The indicator employs a distinct color scheme to distinguish between neutral (gray), bullish (%K>%D in aqua), and bearish (%K<%D in fuchsia) market conditions, directly on the price chart.
Visual Indicators and Interpretation:
Neutral Market Condition: A gray background indicates a neutral state where %K and %D are close, suggesting a balanced market awaiting new forces to define the trend.
Market Extremes: Aqua and fuchsia backgrounds highlight when the market is exiting the neutral zone, potentially signaling the start of an uptrend or downtrend.
Strategic Application:
Consolidation and Breakout Identification: This tool helps in identifying consolidation zones which could lead to potential breakouts or breakdowns, aiding in strategic entry and exit decisions.
Multifaceted Market Analysis: By revealing neutral market states, it serves as a vital component in a comprehensive trading strategy, augmenting the insights provided by other technical indicators.
Customization and Usage:
Flexible for Various Markets: The Neutral State Stochastic Oscillator {DCAquant} is adaptable for a variety of markets, whether you're trading cryptocurrencies, stocks, forex, or commodities.
Confirmatory Tool: It acts as an excellent confirmatory tool when used with price action analysis, other oscillators, or trend indicators, ensuring a well-rounded analytical approach.
Disclaimer and User Guidance:
The Neutral State Stochastic Oscillator {DCAquant} is a sophisticated trading tool designed for informative purposes. Traders are advised to use it in conjunction with a robust risk management strategy and not as a standalone decision-making tool. As with all trading indicators, success cannot be guaranteed, and it is recommended that traders perform their due diligence before executing trades based on signals from this or any other analytical tool.
ATH Distance HeatmapThe "ATH Distance Heatmap" is a powerful visualization tool designed for traders and investors who seek to quickly assess the relative performance of assets against their All-Time Highs (ATH). By mapping the percentage distance of current prices from their historical peaks, this script provides a unique perspective on market sentiment, potential recovery opportunities, and overvaluation risks.
Key Features:
Visual Clarity: Utilize a color-coded heatmap to instantly recognize which assets are near or far from their ATHs. Colors transition smoothly from cool to warm tones, indicating smaller to larger distances respectively.
Real-Time Updates: The script updates dynamically with live market data, ensuring you have the most current information at your fingertips.
Versatile Application: Whether you're tracking stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, or indices, the "ATH Distance Heatmap" adapts to a wide array of assets, making it a versatile tool for your trading arsenal.
Insightful Analysis: Beyond mere visualization, this tool can help identify potential buying opportunities in assets that are significantly below their ATHs, or highlight caution for those nearing their peaks.
How to Use:
Configure Your Assets: Start by selecting the assets you wish to track. The script can be customized to monitor a broad market range or a specific segment.
Interpret the Colors: Use the color gradient to gauge the distance of each asset from its ATH. Cooler colors indicate assets closer to their ATH, while warmer colors highlight those further away.
Ideal for:
Traders looking for a quick visual guide to market trends and asset performance.
Investors aiming to capitalize on recovery opportunities or to evaluate entry and exit points.
Market analysts interested in a concise overview of asset health relative to historical performance.
Bitcoin Regression Price BoundariesTLDR
DCA into BTC at or below the blue line. DCA out of BTC when price approaches the red line. There's a setting to toggle the future extrapolation off/on.
INTRODUCTION
Regression analysis is a fundamental and powerful data science tool, when applied CORRECTLY . All Bitcoin regressions I've seen (Rainbow Log, Stock-to-flow, and non-linear models), have glaring flaws ... Namely, that they have huge drift from one cycle to the next.
Presented here, is a canonical application of this statistical tool. "Canonical" meaning that any trained analyst applying the established methodology, would arrive at the same result. We model 3 lines:
Upper price boundary (red) - Predicted the April 2021 top to within 1%
Lower price boundary (green)- Predicted the Dec 2022 bottom within 10%
Non-bubble best fit line (blue) - Last update was performed on Feb 28 2024.
NOTE: The red/green lines were calculated using solely data from BEFORE 2021.
"I'M INTRUIGED, BUT WHAT EXACTLY IS REGRESSION ANALYSIS?"
Quite simply, it attempts to draw a best-fit line over some set of data. As you can imagine, there are endless forms of equations that we might try. So we need objective means of determining which equations are better than others. This is where statistical rigor is crucial.
We check p-values to ensure that a proposed model is better than chance. When comparing two different equations, we check R-squared and Residual Standard Error, to determine which equation is modeling the data better. We check residuals to ensure the equation is sufficiently complex to model all the available signal. We check adjusted R-squared to ensure the equation is not *overly* complex and merely modeling random noise.
While most people probably won't entirely understand the above paragraph, there's enough key terminology in for the intellectually curious to research.
DIVING DEEPER INTO THE 3 REGRESSION LINES ABOVE
WARNING! THIS IS TECHNICAL, AND VERY ABBREVIATED
We prefer a linear regression, as the statistical checks it allows are convenient and powerful. However, the BTCUSD dataset is decidedly non-linear. Thus, we must log transform both the x-axis and y-axis. At the end of this process, we'll use e^ to transform back to natural scale.
Plotting the log transformed data reveals a crucial visual insight. The best fit line for the blowoff tops is different than for the lower price boundary. This is why other models have failed. They attempt to model ALL the data with just one equation. This causes drift in both the upper and lower boundaries. Here we calculate these boundaries as separate equations.
Upper Boundary (in red) = e^(3.24*ln(x)-15.8)
Lower Boundary (green) = e^(0.602*ln^2(x) - 4.78*ln(x) + 7.17)
Non-Bubble best fit (blue) = e^(0.633*ln^2(x) - 5.09*ln(x) +8.12)
* (x) = The number of days since July 18 2010
Anyone familiar with Bitcoin, knows it goes in cycles where price goes stratospheric, typically measured in months; and then a lengthy cool-off period measured in years. The non-bubble best fit line methodically removes the extreme upward deviations until the residuals have the closest statistical semblance to normal data (bell curve shaped data).
Whereas the upper/lower boundary only gets re-calculated in hindsight (well after a blowoff or capitulation occur), the Non-Bubble line changes ever so slightly with each new datapoint. The last update to this line was made on Feb 28, 2024.
ENOUGH NERD TALK! HOW CAN I APPLY THIS?
In the simplest terms, anything below the blue line is a statistical buying opportunity. The closer you approach the green line (the lower boundary) the more statistically strong that opportunity is. As price approaches the red line, is a growing statistical likelyhood/danger of an imminent blowoff top.
So a wise trader would DCA (dollar cost average) into Bitcoin below the blue line; and would DCA out of Bitcoin as it approaches the red line. Historically, you may or may not have a large time-window during points of maximum opportunity. So be vigilant! Anything within 10-20% of the boundary should be regarded as extreme opportunity.
Note: You can toggle the future extrapolation of these lines in the settings (default on).
CLOSING REMARKS
Keep in mind this is a pure statistical analysis. It's likely that this model is probing a complex, real economic process underlying the Bitcoin price. Statistical models like this are most accurate during steady state conditions, where the prevailing fundamentals are stable. (The astute observer will note, that the regression boundaries held despite the economic disruption of 2020).
Thus, it cannot be understated: Should some drastic fundamental change occur in the underlying economic landscape of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin itself, or the broader economy, this model could drastically deviate, and become significantly less accurate.
Furthermore, the upper/lower boundaries cross in the year 2037. THIS MODEL WILL EVENTUALLY BREAK DOWN. But for now, given that Bitcoin price moves on the order of 2000% from bottom to top, it's truly remarkable that, using SOLELY pre-2021 data, this model was able to nail the top/bottom within 10%.
Pi Cycle Indicator Low and High
The Pi Cycle Indicator is a technical analysis tool used in finance, particularly within cryptocurrency markets, to identify potential market tops or bottoms. It is based on two moving averages: the 111-day moving average and the 350-day moving average of Bitcoin's price. The indicator suggests that when these two moving averages converge or cross each other, it may signal significant market turning points. The name "Pi Cycle" comes from the mathematical relationship between these two moving averages, roughly equivalent to the mathematical constant Pi (3.14). Traders and analysts use this indicator to gauge potential trend reversals and make informed decisions regarding their trading strategies. However, like any technical analysis tool, it should be used in conjunction with other indicators and fundamental analysis for a comprehensive understanding of market conditions.
ATH finder showing passed daysATH Finder Showing Passed Days Indicator
Introducing the "ATH Finder Showing Passed Days" – a cutting-edge TradingView indicator meticulously designed for traders and investors focused on capturing and analyzing the all-time highs (ATHs) of financial markets. Whether you're navigating the volatile waves of cryptocurrencies, the dynamic shifts of the stock market, forex, or any other trading instrument, this indicator is your essential tool for highlighting and understanding ATHs with precision.
Core Features:
Dynamic ATH Tracking: Seamlessly identifies and marks the most recent ATHs in any given market, ensuring that you are always up-to-date with significant price levels that matter the most.
Days Since ATH Visualization: Innovatively displays the number of days that have passed since the last ATH was reached. This powerful feature provides crucial insights into market sentiment, offering a clear view of how long the current price has been consolidating or retreating from its peak.
Visual Enhancements: Features a striking yellow arrow precisely at the ATH point, drawing immediate attention to pivotal market moments without cluttering your chart.
Strategic Placement of Information: Incorporates a non-intrusive label placed in the top right corner of your chart, summarizing the ATH value alongside the days elapsed since its occurrence. This approach ensures your chart remains clean and organized, allowing for other analyses to be conducted without distraction.
Customizable to Fit Your Needs: While it's ready to use out of the box, the indicator provides flexibility for customization, making it adaptable to various timeframes and individual trading strategies.
Benefits for Traders and Investors:
Provides a historical context to current price levels, helping to gauge the strength and potential of market trends.
Aids in identifying potential resistance levels, offering strategic insights for entry and exit points.
Enhances market analysis with a clear, visual representation of significant price milestones and their temporal context.
Easy Setup:
To integrate the "ATH Finder Showing Passed Days" indicator into your trading strategy, simply add it from the TradingView Indicators menu to your chart. Customize according to your preferences and let the indicator illuminate your path to more informed decision-making.
Why Choose the ATH Finder Showing Passed Days?
In the quest for market excellence, understanding the nuances of price movements and their historical significance is paramount. The "ATH Finder Showing Passed Days" indicator not only highlights where and when the market reached its zenith but also contextualizes these moments within the broader tapestry of trading days. Equip yourself with the insight to discern the momentum and potential retracements, elevating your trading to new heights.
BTC Spread Indicator"Hot potato, Bitcoin style!
In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, keeping an eye on price movements across different exchanges can be as exhilarating as a game of hot potato. By calculating the average Bitcoin price across major exchanges, we can then dive deeper to identify the spreads between this global average and the prices on individual exchanges. This analysis reveals who's currently 'holding the potato'—or dealing with higher prices—and predicts who might be next. It's a fun, yet insightful way to visualize market volatility and trading opportunities. Let's see where the potato lands next!"
